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Week 2 Preview – Heavyweight Battle

Week 2 Preview – Heavyweight Battle

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

This week, it’s one of the Dynasty Owner Chase for the Ring matchups we wanted to see in 2019 but didn’t. That’s right, last year’s Champ Eddie Driscoll and New York’s Strongest take on the team that stormed up the Standings in the final two weeks and had the most points in the playoff finals (Dan Clarke of Yorkshire Roses). They didn’t face each other last year because they were in different Dynasty Owner beta leagues, but now we have the opportunity in 2020 to see this heavyweight battle of two of the best Dynasty Owners from last year.

Every week of the regular season and playoffs, we’ll present a set of players at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup as well as one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. We won’t recommend a kicker to Start or Bench though and these won’t be the obvious choices for Starters, like go ahead and start Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey and Travis Kelce (as if you weren’t going to do that already if you have them). Instead, these will be guys to Start who might not be highly owned or who were drafted to be a backup. For the Bench or Practice Squad choices, we’ll find typical Starters who shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup for the week based on matchups or past performance against a team. We’ll also review my Week 1 recommendations and see how those players fared.

Finally, we will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the Match-up of the Week, we will look at the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce. If you want your Dynasty Owner team to be featured as the Match-up of the Week in the future, just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and maybe it’ll be your matchup highlighted.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of September 17th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 1 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Jimmy Garoppolo – 25.9 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Tarik Cohen – 6.7 (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: DeSean Jackson – 6.6 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Jordan Reed – 3.2 (Bad recommendation)

A poor start to the 2020 recommendations with just one Just Ok and three Bad recommendations. The Jimmy Garoppolo recommendation almost qualified as Good since he was tied for 13th best QB in Week 1, but instead he fell 1.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points short of Cam Newton for the 12th spot. Tarik Cohen was closer to being Just Ok than either Jackson or Reed as he was the #46 RB for the week – meaning he was a very low-end Bench option. Jackson and Reed were clear Practice Squad players.

Let’s try to do better in Week 2 with these four recommendations:

Mitchell Trubisky (QB – CHI): One great quarter (89 passing yards and 3 passing TDs plus 20 rushing yards) was all it took to make Trubisky the 5th best QB in Dynasty Owner last week with 34.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Even with his Top 5 performance, most Dynasty Owners with him on their roster (owned in 94% of Dynasty Owner leagues) probably aren’t thinking about making him their Starter, are they? They should since the Giants defense gave up 29.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (229 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 9 rushing yards, 1 fumble) to Ben Roethlisberger. Mitch’s status as a Dynasty Owner Starter isn’t going to last long, so ride him while he’s playing well.

Joshua Kelley (RB – LAC): The atmosphere for the Chargers first game at SoFi Stadium is going to be better than it was for their “home” games the past three years playing in front of more opposition fans at StubHub Center. Will that suddenly make Kelley worth being in your Starting lineup? No, but it was fun to type out. What makes him worthy of being a Starter this week is his play last week (12 carries for 60 rushing yards and a rushing TD) against the Bengals combined with the Chiefs poor performance stopping David Johnson of the Texans last week (19.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Chargers Coach Anthony Lynn has suggested that starting RB Austin Ekeler could see his pass-catching opportunities “limited”. Not sure who would pick up those additional opportunities, but with Justin Jackson looking increasingly unlikely to play in Week 2, Kelley is most likely to pick up some extra chances to touch the ball. That makes him someone to look at for your Week 2 Starting lineup, either as a RB2 or FLEX.

Tre’Quan Smith (WR – NO): Somebody in New Orleans is going to have to replace Michael Thomas who is likely out for Week 2 and a few more weeks with a high ankle sprain. It should be Smith who gets a good portion of the nearly 12 targets that Thomas averaged per game in 2019. He’s not available in many Dynasty Owner leagues (available in just 3%, likely because of his low $855,131 salary), but with injuries to several WRs last week, many Dynasty Owners are probably looking to their Practice Squad for those backups who they drafted late, hoping for a breakthrough. Smith has a great chance to do that this week against the Las Vegas Raiders who let Carolina Panthers WRs catch 16 passes for 211 yards last week. Move Smith off your Bench or Practice Squad and get him in your Starting lineup this week.

Logan Thomas (TE – WAS): Jordan Reed didn’t work out as the TE recommendation last week against the Arizona Cardinals, but let’s try again by picking the TE facing Arizona this week. Logan Thomas, come on down! After all, the Cardinals are just one season removed from allowing nearly 20 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to the opposing team’s TE. Thomas is a guy who you can still find (along with his $3,072,500 salary) in the Free Agent Auction in 31% of Dynasty Owner leagues, down from 71% last week. As the #7 TE last week, he was picked up by a lot of Dynasty Owners and you didn’t pick him up to have him sit on your Practice Squad, did you? Put Thomas in your Starting lineup and see if he can have another TE1 performance this week.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up are the Week 1 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations. How did they fare (Good, Bad or Just Ok)?

  • QB: Aaron Rodgers – 43.4 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Kareem Hunt – 11.1 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Amari Cooper – 18.1 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Evan Engram – 2.9 (Good recommendation)

Just like last year, my Bench recommendations were a little better, but the Rodgers recommendation was a huge mistake since he was Dynasty Owner Player of the Week. Kareem Hunt had only 11.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points but was the #29 ranked RB (but #81 ranked among players eligible to be in the FLEX lineup spot) so he should have been on the Bench, but just barely. Amari Cooper was a clear Starter as the 18th best WR for the week, while Evan Engram should have been on the Practice Squad with his #36 TE performance. Let’s see if we can do better with this set of players who should be sitting on the Bench or hanging out with the Practice Squad this week.

Carson Wentz (QB – PHI): The Philadelphia offensive line was truly offensive last week, allowing Wentz to get sacked eight times by the Football Team defense. This week, it’s Aaron Donald and the Rams defense who had three sacks of Dak Prescott in the Rams 20-17 victory over Dallas on Sunday night. Lane Johnson should be back this week to help shore up the offensive line, as will RB Miles Sanders who can help take pressure off Wentz with a good running game and receiver to dump off passes. Sure, the Rams defense allowed Cowboys WRs to 18 passes for 190 yards but remember WR isn’t exactly an Eagles position of strength and Prescott was just the #18 QB in Dynasty Owner in Week 1. Wentz struggles for the second week in a row and should be on your Dynasty Owner Bench again.

Melvin Gordon (RB – DEN): If Saquon Barkley only got 12.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points versus the Pittsburgh defense to finish as the #23 RB for Week 1, do you think Melvin Gordon will do better? Even with Phillip Lindsay possibly missing or being limited in Week 2 and Gordon getting more touches, it’s tough to recommend anything but sitting Gordon on the Bench despite his #16 RB rank in Week 1, ADP of 51 and $8 million salary. Dynasty Owners will have plenty of opportunities to start Gordon this season, just not this week.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): Just because I’m recommending that you start Logan Thomas doesn’t mean I think all players on the Football Team are advisable Starters this week in Dynasty Owner. Unlike Thomas, I think Terry McLaurin should be a Bench option at best. First, he has had less of a connection with Dwayne Haskins than other Football Team QBs in his pro career. He’s averaging 13.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 15 games as a pro, but only 10.45 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in games that Haskins has played the whole game. Second, he’s likely to be shadowed this week by Patrick Peterson who’s looking to be seen as one of the top shadow cornerbacks in the league again in 2020. Both of those factors lead to a Bench recommendation for McLaurin this week.

Noah Fant (TE – DEN): It worked last week so I’m going to use the TE facing the Steelers defense in this spot again in Week 2. Fant had a great Week 1 with 19.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 81 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) against the Titans on Monday night. He ranks as the 3rd best TE in Dynasty Owner after Week 1 and was drafted as a #1 TE with an ADP of 85.4 despite a salary of $3.15 million. Fant is a Bench recommendation for the same reasons as Giants TE Evan Engram was last week – the Steelers defense is really good in general and especially against TEs since they acquired Minkah Fitzpatrick from the Dolphins last year. Despite his performance last week, Bench Fant this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – New York’s Strongest vs. Yorkshire Roses

It’s time for our second Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2020 season. Both teams won their league in 2019, but that can’t happen in 2020 because they are in the same league!  And now in Week 2 of the 2020 season, they must play each other. Yorkshire Roses is looking to start the season 2-0 while New York’s Strongest is trying to avoid their second ever Dynasty Owner loss and an 0-2 start to the 2020 season.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, it looks like New York’s Strongest has a slight edge over Yorkshire Roses (130.5 to 124.1).

Let’s look each team’s Starters and see if New York’s Strongest earns the advantage over Yorkshire Roses from their Starting lineup:

New York’s Strongest definitely has the advantage in Starting lineups with a projected 121.5 to 110.3 lead. Pretty much all of their advantage is at RB as Saquon Barkley’s projection for 21.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points is almost twice the 11.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points projected for Devin Singletary. Everything else is pretty even.

On to the Bench where Dynasty Owners get 20% of their Bench scoring added to their overall point total. Each team has the following players on their Bench right now.

Yorkshire Roses has a significant advantage right now with the Bench scoring and is projected to outscore New York’s Strongest at almost every Bench position. However, their 23.8-point Bench points advantage (69.1 to 45.3) only cuts New York’s Strongest lead by 4.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

The projections have New York’s Strongest back in the winner’s circle this week, but nothing is official until Monday Night Football is over. Check out the Tuesday recap article to see who actually won, if either one or both teams make their 2020 season debut on the Chase for the Ring Leaderboard and most importantly, if your team was good enough to make it there as well.

Conclusion

Please read the preview article each week. Maybe your team will be featured in the Match-Up of the Week – it’s going to definitely be someone other than New York’s Strongest next week. If you want it to be your team that is featured, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and check out next week’s preview to see if your matchup was chosen. Remember that there will be a recap article coming out every Tuesday and a preview article posted every Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well. Follow all four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

There will also be a weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube and other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker). You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has crossed the 500 subscriber’s threshold on YouTube and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring! Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

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