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Week 10 Recap: Low Scoring Week

Week 10 Recap: Low Scoring Week

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Overall, scoring is up in the NFL as teams were averaging more points per game (25.3) than any other season through the first nine weeks of this season (https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2020/11/11/plenty-of-reasons-for-scorings-record-setting-pace-in-nfl/114854558/). In Week 10, the average points scored per team was nearly two and a half points lower at 22.9. On a team by team basis, a majority of teams (17 out of 28) scored less points in Week 10 than their average for the season. Some teams scored more, particularly Tampa Bay, but chances are, your team scored less this week than usual.

All of that translates into fewer fantasy points for most Dynasty Owner teams. While not a complete analysis of all leagues, a quick look shows that scoring appears to be down in Dynasty Owner as well. In my two leagues, only five teams (out of 24) scored more points in Week 10 than their average, while out of the current Top 25 teams in the Chase for the Ring, only four had more points this week than their average. For the past couple of weeks, seeing at least one Chase for the Ring team score 200 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points was common, but this week, the highest score that I saw in my quick look was 184.2 by Hi Boltage. Congrats to them! Sure, some of you had high-scoring players like the G.O.A.T. and Alvin Kamara and were able to score more points than usual, but for most of us, Dynasty Owner fantasy points were down this week.

The low scoring was across the board at all positions (QB, RB, WR, TE), every position, that is, except kicker. Much to the dismay of the Dynasty Owners out there who hate kickers, they were the only position immune to the low-scoring nature of Week 10. There were only six kicks (3 FGs and 3 PATs) missed this week, which probably helped to keep kicker scoring as usual. If you hate having kickers in fantasy football in general and Dynasty Owner in particular, add this to your list of reasons why.

Will this reduced scoring lead to a reduced number of words in our tenth regular season Dynasty Owner weekly recap article for 2020? Probably not, but just like every week, this article will name a Dynasty Owner Player of the Week and a Value Player of the Week, highlight a player at every position who should have been one of your Starters and one who should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad. We’ll also find out if the Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week was low scoring and take our weekly look at the Chase for the Ring standings.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of November 17th.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our tenth Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for the season is: Tom Brady

This may be one of the only honor that eluded the G.O.A.T. and now in the tenth game of the second season of Dynasty Owner, he has finally won the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week award. Just a week after a career low 1.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, the G.O.A.T. had the most points this week with 42.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (341 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 2 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD). It was the highest point total of Week 10, but only the third best performance of the season for the G.O.A.T. and the fewest number of points to lead Dynasty Owner in scoring all season.

  • Week 10 Points: 42.3
  • 2020 Salary: $25,000,000
  • Cost per Point: $591,017

Congratulations Tom! Winning the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor likely isn’t as awesome as any of your six Super Bowl victories, but it’s still pretty sweet.

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The tenth Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week for 2020 is: Marquez Valdes-Scantling

A week after a two TD performance, Valdes-Scantling did even better this week to just barely take this honor over a pair of multiple TD scoring RBs in Alvin Kamara and Nyheim Hines. Both Kamara and Hines had won the Value Player of the Week honor already this season and scored more points this week than Valdes-Scantling, but neither was a better value. That’s because the third-year, fifth-round draft pick only has a salary of $669,388 for the season and scored a career-high 24.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions, 149 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) this week. He even outscored his teammate Davante Adams, the #3 WR in all of Dynasty Owner. However, he scored fewer points than any Value Player of the Week winner so far this season. 

  • Week 10 Points: 24.9
  • 2020 Salary: $669,388
  • Cost per Point: $26,883

Congratulations Marquez on your first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor!

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been in one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 10. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Kyler Murray or Alvin Kamara because barring injury or bye week, those guys should always be in your Starting lineup. Instead, these are players who might be Free Agents or on your Bench or Practice Squad, but likely weren’t Starters in Week 10 when they should have been.

QB: Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) – 41.7 points

Roethlisberger has been performing as a Top QB pretty much all season, averaging 26.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. This week was his best performance of the season with 41.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (333 passing yards, 4 passing TDs) against Cincinnati, just a week after a 35.1 point performance against Dallas. Despite those performances, he and his $34 million annual salary are only owned in 5% of Dynasty Owner leagues, meaning few Dynasty Owners even have the opportunity to start Big Ben. He is unlikely to garner much additional ownership due to his high salary and age (38 years old), but he is steadily outperforming two younger QBs (Jared Goff and Carson Wentz) who make nearly as much in salary. Are there any Goff or Wentz owners out there who are going to use an amnesty provision to dump those QBs and pay a little extra for Roethlisberger and put Ben in their Starting lineup?  They might want to consider it since he should have been a Starter this past week.

RB: Devontae Booker (LV) – 21.3 points

After a poor season in 2019 with just 15.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, Devontae Booker was not resigned by the Denver Broncos and became an unrestricted free agent. In 2020, he scored more Dynasty Owner fantasy points in this low-scoring week against his former team than he did in all of 2019. He had 21.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (81 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 1 reception, 2 receiving yards). His performance in Week 10 moved him up to the #46 ranked RB in Dynasty Owner, so Booker probably wasn’t in the Starting lineup in too many of the 55% of leagues in which he is on a roster. He should have been a Starter as he was a Top 10 RB this week.

WR: Willie Snead (BAL) – 23.4 points

For the past three weeks, Snead has been the Baltimore skill position player to own, outscoring each of the following eight more highly owned of his teammates (Mark Andrews, Miles Boykin, Marquise Brown, J.K. Dobbins, David Duvernay, Gus Edwards, Mark Ingram, and James Proche). Over that three week span, Snead has scored a total of 46.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. This week, he was the only Ravens skill position player to score a TD as he had 23.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 64 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs). His $6 million annual salary is likely keeping his ownership down to only 6% of Dynasty Owner leagues. He’s been the only Ravens WR worth having in your Starting lineup in several weeks and should have been there in Week 10.

TE: Cameron Brate (TB) – 12.1 points

Nowhere was the lack of scoring in Week 10 more evident than at the TE position. Without Travis Kelce playing, the top scorers at TE (Mark Andrews and Rob Gronkowski) had just 13.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points each. Only eight TEs scored 10.0 or more points and just six had a TD. One of those TEs was Cameron Brate from Tampa Bay who had 12.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (3 receptions, 31 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). Brate is the #39 TE in Dynasty Owner and only owned in 5% of leagues due to his annual salary of $6.8 million. He was worth that salary this week with his first double digit point week of 2020. Double digit scoring by a TE makes that TE worthy of being in Dynasty Owner starting lineups and that’s where Brate should have been this week.  

Honorable mention to Pharaoh Brown of the Houston Texans.  Brown is currently unowned in Dynasty Owner as the Texans’ third string TE. However, he did outperform both of the other Texans’ TEs (Darren Fells and Jordan Akins) by scoring 10.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions, 21 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) this week. He would only cost Dynasty Owners $750,000 in salary to own, but it’s unlikely he’s going to be picked up in too many, if any, leagues, even though he should have been in Starting lineups this week.

K: Tyler Bass (BUF) and Matt Prater (DET) – 18.0 points

Both Bass and Prater were possible, but not guaranteed Starters for Dynasty Owners this week. They were both outside of the Top 12 kickers through Week 9 with Prater averaging 6.75 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game and Bass averaging 6.3 points per games. Both were drafted roughly at the same time when drafted (Bass ADP 238.9; Prater ADP 245.1). This week, both also scored 18.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, although they did so in different ways. Bass had three progressively longer FGs of over 50 yards in the second quarter alone (54, 55 and 58 yards) plus 3 PATs, while Prater had two FGs of over 50 yards (53 and 59 yards), a 37-yard FG and 3 PATs. Prater’s game ending 59 yard FG was also a clutch scoring event to win the game for the Lions. Both should have been in your Starting lineup this past week (unless you own both of them, then you could have started either one).

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been one of your Starters but wasn’t, we have at least one player who probably was a starter but would have been better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who didn’t score too many Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week, so they should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad in Week 10.

QB: Russell Wilson (SEA) – 9.4 points

Russell Wilson set a couple of dubious records with his Week 10 performance. First, he recorded his lowest number of Dynasty Owner fantasy points by far in the 2020 season with just 9.4 points (248 passing yards, 60 rushing yards, 2 INTs, 1 fumble – lost). Second, he had zero TDs for the first time this season. Finally, he recorded his first performance with less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points across both years of Dynasty Owner’s existence. Plenty of dubious distinctions for the Seattle QB. With just 2.0 more points, he would have reclaimed the top spot in Dynasty Owner scoring for the 2020 season. Instead, he put up his worst performance in two years and should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad.

RB: Devin Singletary (BUF) – 2.0 points

After a good start to the 2020 season, Singletary has cooled off recently with the emergence of rookie RB Zack Moss. However, Dynasty Owners drafted him very high (ADP 30.9) and he was still the #28 RB at the start of Week 9 and playing in a game expected to be high-scoring, so Dynasty Owners may have taken a chance with Singletary (or been forced to Start him) in Week 10. That was a mistake as he scored only 2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (15 rushing yards, 1 reception, -5 receiving yards). His RB rank for the season is now higher than his ADP as he’s the #34 RB for the season. That’s a Bench player for your Dynasty Owner team, which is where he should have been in Week 10.

WR: Travis Fulgham (PHI) – 1.8 points

Travis Fulgham may have been the most pleasant surprise of the 2020 season so far. Released by both Detroit and Green Bay during training camp, he was signed to the Eagles practice squad and sat there until Week 4. In his first five weeks as an Eagle, he scored an average of 19.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game with a salary of $540,000. He was seemingly on a pace to be the Value Player of the Year until things came crashing down in Week 10 with a 1.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (1 reception for 8 yards) against the New York Giants. He received 5 targets, so he didn’t completely disappear from the Eagles offense, but instead of being a Starter this week, he should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad.

TE: Jimmy Graham (CHI) and Jared Cook (NO) – 0.0 points

Both of these high-salary veteran TEs put up a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) this week on two targets. Graham has the higher salary at $8 million per year for two years, but has lower ownership (40% of leagues). He was also averaging 10.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game over the first nine weeks of the season and was coming off a 17.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance in Week 9. Cook has a slightly lower salary ($7.5 million) but is only signed for this season and as a result, is owned in 90% of Dynasty Owner leagues. However, he was only the #16 TE prior to Week 10, but could have been viewed as a bye week Starter with Travis Kelce, Hayden Hurst and Dalton Schultz all out. Neither one of them should have been in your Starting lineup or on your Bench because of the dreaded Blutarsky.

K: Justin Tucker (BAL) – 4.0 points

While four kickers scored less points this week than Justin Tucker, none of them have the pedigree of the Ravens kicker. Tucker was the second kicker drafted in your Dynasty Owner league on average (ADP 172.2), the second ranked kicker in 2019 and the third ranked kicker in 2020 coming into the Ravens’ Week 10 matchup against the New England Patriots. He had also not scored less than 7.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in a single game in 2020. All of that indicates that Tucker should be in your Starting lineup every week he’s not on bye. Not this week as he didn’t get many chances to kick (only three) and scored just 4.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (24 yard FG and 2 PATs). For the first time in a long time, Dynasty Owners would have been better off leaving Tucker on their Bench.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week Recap –

Out of Luck vs. Young Gunz

Out of Luck doesn’t appear to be correctly named as they got a lucky break in a low scoring game and defeated Young Gunz 102.4-100.2. Young Gunz had three players get zero points on their Bench (RB J.J. Taylor – inactive; TE Geoff Swaim – 0.0 points; Greg Zuerlein – bye week) and that may have been the margin of victory. Both teams underperformed their weekly projections by over 30.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and barely scored triple digit points. The win puts both teams in a tie in their League at 7-3, but the low score moved Out of Luck out of the Top 25 in the Chase for the Ring standings.

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

Not only did Victor, the owner of Barbee Kilgore, lose his spot at the top of the Chase for the Ring, he also lost his Dynasty Owner match-up this week by scoring only 114.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. In his place is Quaranteed for Greatness who moved up from second place to take the top spot after Week 10.

After ten weeks of the 2020 Dynasty Owner season, there are no more undefeated teams in the Chase standings. Even if you go to the app or website and check out the Top 25, you’ll see no more undefeated teams. Is there anyone out there who’s still undefeated?

Conclusions

It was a low scoring week in the NFL and as a result, in Dynasty Owner as well. We still had plenty of players who outperformed their projections or previous performances, but the scoring for those individual players who were the best of the week were down. Especially at TE, but not so much at kicker. With only three weeks left in the 2020 Dynasty Owner regular season, how are Dynasty Owners going to react to what happened in Week 10?

We will find out soon enough as, including today, we are just three days away from our next Thursday Night Football game and four days away from the Week 11 preview article. Please read the preview article to see how my Week 10 recommendations did and who should be a Starter and who should be on your Bench in Week 11. Besides the weekly recap and preview articles, we will also have articles every week from both Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) as well. Reading their articles will help you figure out the ins and outs of Dynasty Owner and make you a better General Manager and Head Coach.

The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer goes live this week at 1 PM on Wednesday and again on Thursday night at 10 PM (Eastern). You can multitask by watching us and the Thursday Night Football game at the same time! If you can’t make it, then watch or listen anytime on the Dynasty Owner YouTube channel. You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Subscribe as well to receive notifications and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner is up to 553 subscribers on YouTube. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and make your way into the Top 25 in the Chase for the Ring standings.

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