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Week 16 Recap: Cinderella and the New King

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By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Here they are! Dynasty Owner has a new King in Viktor, the Owner of Barbee Kilgore and your 2020 Dynasty Owner Chase for the Ring Champion. We also have our Cinderella in the upstart, never say die Champion of the Crossroads League, our podcast host and the Voice of Dynasty Owner Seth Kerechanin, Ph.D. and his team CLE Piggy Pauls.

For weeks, we have been following both of these Dynasty Owners in their quests for immortality. Viktor and his Barbee Kilgore team entered the Chase for the Ring Top 10 in the #2 spot way back in Week 8 and never left. He moved up to first place in Week 9, dropped back to second place for a week, but roared back into first place in Week 11 and never looked back. Congratulations to Viktor on becoming the second Chase for the Ring Champion!

All throughout the playoffs, we have chronicled Seth’s Quest for a Dynasty Owner Title as the plucky underdog who lost his starting QB (Joe Burrow) to injury in Week 11, but then ripped off consecutive regular season victories to make his way into the playoffs. From there, Seth and his CLE Piggy Pauls team kept on being the underdog and kept on winning. Seth was supposed to lose first to Girthquake, but took them out in the first round. After that, it was Dynasty Owner Tim and his Real Timo’s Titans who were favored in the semi-finals by over 50.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points but ended up going down to defeat. Finally, it was Dynasty Owner Don who came in as a 37.0 point favorite. It didn’t matter as Seth won again to claim bragging rights for all eternity as the winner of the Crossroads League title. Congratulations to Seth in fulfilling his quest!

In addition to seeing Seth’s margin of victory and looking at who won in our other Match-up of the Week, we’ll name the final Dynasty Owner Player of the Week and Value Player of the Week of the 2020 season. As usual, we’ll also highlight a player at every position who should have been one of your Starters and one who should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad. An updated Top 10 Chase for the Ring standings is also included. We had several familiar teams lose their playoff finals and therefore, they no longer appear in the Standings.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of December 29th.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our final 2020 Dynasty Owner Player of the Week is: Alvin Kamara

It was a Merry Christmas for Alvin Kamara and everyone who has him on a fantasy football roster. Kamara set a new personal best with 58.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (155 rushing yards, 6 rushing TDs, 3 receptions, 17 receiving yards). His previous best was 44.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points back in Week 3 against Green Bay when he was the Value Player of the Week. Kamara set a new Dynasty Owner record for most points in a game by a RB, but didn’t set the record for most in a single game. That record is still held by Tyreek Hill who scored 63.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points back in Week 12. Kamara vaulted ahead of Dalvin Cook to finish the 2020 Dynasty Owner season as the #1 RB with 379.9 points, or an average of 25.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Overall, he justified his 7.7 ADP by finishing as the top non-QB scorer for the 2020 season.

  • Week 16 Points: 58.2
  • 2020 Salary: $964,443
  • Cost per Point: $16,571

Congratulations Alvin on becoming the first player in 2020 to win both the Player of the Week and Value Player of the Week honors!

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The final 2020 Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week is: Myles Gaskin

Gaskin was a tremendous value for his Dynasty Owners in Week 16 and for the entire season when he was healthy. In his return to action after missing two games, he scored 33.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (87 rushing yards, 5 receptions, 82 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs). That’s a lot of points for a player who only costs his Dynasty Owners $651,694 in salary. Gaskin did not enter the 2020 season as the favorite to be the top Miami RB, but he has definitely played that way, scoring 144.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in only 9 games. That’s an average of 16.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. His salary runs through the 2022 season, so provided he doesn’t get a new contract in the off-season, his Dynasty Owners should expect plenty of value from him over the next two seasons.

  • Week 16 Points: 33.9
  • 2020 Salary: $651,694
  • Cost per Point: $19,224

Congratulations Myles on your first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor!

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 16. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Alvin Kamara or Davante Adams because barring injury or bye week, both of them should always be in your Starting lineup, especially in the playoffs. Instead, these are players who might normally be on your Bench or Practice Squad, but likely weren’t Starters in Week 16 when they should have been.

QB: Andy Dalton (DAL) – 36.3 points

A lot of people thought that a QB from the Dallas-Philadelphia Week 16 game would be a good player to help your team win your League Championship or the Loser’s Bracket tournament. However, almost all of them thought it would be Jalen Hurts, not Andy Dalton. Hurts filled up the stat sheet, but only had 21.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (342 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 69 rushing yards, 2 INTs, 2 fumbles – 1 lost) compared to 36.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (377 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 15 rushing yards, 1 INT) for Dalton. Dalton had played well since returning from bye and being injured with an average of 22.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game over the past five weeks. However, he hadn’t scored more than 30.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in a single week until Week 16. Hopefully if you own Dalton, you put him in your Starting lineup this week and he helped you to victory.

RB: Samaje Perine (CIN) – 32.6 points

Samaje Perine’s claim to fame prior to his Week 16 breakout performance was probably being the older brother of Jets’ rookie RB La’Mical Perine. La’Mical was expected to play more and better than Samaje when the season started, but Samaje’s 32.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (95 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 4 receptions, 41 receiving yards) made him the family point leader for the 2020 season. He had only scored 31.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points up until this week and trailed La’Mical by 16.3 points for family bragging rights. For the Dynasty Owners with Samaje on their roster (all 23% of you), hopefully you were playing for a League Championship and had him in your Starting lineup.

Honorable mention to A.J. Dillon of the Green Bay Packers. Dillon was owned in 100% of Dynasty Owner leagues and was drafted as ADP 112.3, but he hadn’t played much at all in the 2020 season. Prior to Week 16, he had only scored a total of only 14.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Given a chance to play in the snow with usual backup RB Jamaal Williams out, Dillon had 27.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (124 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 1 receptions, 5 receiving yards). Dynasty Owners who drafted and held on to Dillon were unlikely to see this breakout coming. As a result, they probably didn’t have Dillon in their Starting lineup when he got the first significant game action of his NFL career.

WR: Michael Gallup (DAL) – 30.1 points

Two weeks ago, Gallup was the selection for someone who Dynasty Owners could start in their first round playoff or Loser’s Bracket tournament game (https://dynastyowner.com/2020/12/week-14-preview-2020/), even though he was well outside of the top producing WRs. He didn’t perform up to expectations that week with only 4.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Hopefully, those of you with Gallup on your Dynasty Owner roster survived that week (or had a bye) so you had the opportunity to put him in your Starting lineup this week. That’s because he ended up the 2020 Dynasty Owner season by having his best week of the year with 30.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6 receptions, 121 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs). Helping his Dynasty Owners win their league title (or the 1.13 rookie draft pick) should make it easier to justify drafting Gallup as highly as they likely did (ADP 72.3), but only if they put him in their Starting lineup this week.

TE: Irv Smith (MIN) – 23.3 points

Who was the top TE in Week 16? If you guessed Travis Kelce, normally you’d be correct especially since he had 22.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and 314.8 points for the season. However, the actual correct answer is Irv Smith who had 23.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6 receptions, 53 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs) for Minnesota back on Christmas Day. Thus, Smith capped an impressive Dynasty Owner playoff performance with a total of 46.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the three weeks of the playoffs, only 0.9 points behind the 47.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points that he scored for his Dynasty Owners in the regular season. Smith would have been a solid contributor to your Starting lineup in Week 16.

Honorable mention to Jimmy Graham who was barely in the top 12 TEs for the 2020 Dynasty Owner season, but may have been on more Benches than Starting lineups since he appeared to have been eclipsed by rookie Bears TE Cole Kmet in recent weeks. In the four games since the Bears Week 11 bye, Kmet had outscored Graham (27.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for Kmet vs. 23.0 points for Graham). However, this week, Graham put up a vintage Jimmy Graham performance with 22.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions, 69 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs) to rank ahead of every TE except Irv Smith. Hopefully his Dynasty Owners went with the veteran TE in their Starting lineup if they have him on their roster (36% ownership).

K: Michael Badgley (LAC) – 14.0 points

For the second time in the 2020 season, Badgley bounced back after a poor performance. Back in Week 13, he had -4.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and bounced back in Week 14 with 11.0 points. In Week 15, he had only 1.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy point, but bounced back again with 14.0 points in Week 16. He made all five of his kicks to score those 14.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (FGs of 25, 37, 37 and 43 yards plus 1 PAT). The second 37 yard FG put the Chargers ahead of the Broncos with just 41 seconds left in their game and earned his Dynasty Owners a 3 point clutch bonus. A great bounce back performance from Badgley who hopefully was in the Starting lineup and not on the Bench for his Dynasty Owners.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been one of your Starters but wasn’t, we have at least one highly ranked player who probably was in your Starting lineup, but would have been better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who scored few or no Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week, so they should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad in the playoff or Loser’s bracket tournament finals.

QB: Ryan Tannehill (TEN) – 16.5 points

There were plenty of QBs who had poor Week 16 performances. In fact, four of them (Baker Mayfield, Teddy Bridgewater, Drew Brees and Jared Goff) had games in which they scored less than a dozen Dynasty Owner fantasy points. However, since none of them were in Top 12 QBs prior to Week 16, they were not likely to be in many Starting lineups (barring a matchup advantage or not having a Top 12 QB). That’s not the case for Ryan Tannehill who was the #8 QB in Dynasty Owner coming into Week 16 and barely outperformed that quartet of low-scoring QBs with just 16.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (121 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 55 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 2 INTs, 1 fumble). Tannehill would have been better off being on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Dishonorable mention to Kyler Murray who barely had more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than Tannehill with just 16.8 points (247 passing yards, 75 rushing yards, 1 INT). This was the second worst game of the year for Murray and the second one in which he didn’t have a passing or rushing TD (Week 12 versus New England was the other game). This poor performance couldn’t have come at a worse time for his Dynasty Owners who likely had the #2 ranked QB coming into Week 16 in their Starting lineups. How were they to know that he’d play this poorly and should have been on the Bench?

RB: Josh Jacobs (LV) – 6.9 points

There were some bad performances by some top RBs in Week 16, but none of them were truly awful. Out of those bad performances, the worst was the 6.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy point effort (69 rushing yards) by Josh Jacobs of the Las Vegas Raiders. It was the fourth game of the season in which Jacobs failed to reach double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but the most critical one for his Dynasty Owners who all likely had him in their Starting lineups since he was the #9 ranked RB heading into the week.

Dishonorable mention to Le’Veon Bell who was well outside of being one of the top RBs, but may have made his way into some Dynasty Owner Starting lineups because he was scheduled to be the lead RB for Kansas City in Week 16 with rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire out. Instead of a game worthy of his high draft position (ADP 71.6), Dynasty Owners only got 4.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (30 rushing yards, 1 reception, 9 receiving yards). He wasn’t even the top RB on his own team as fellow RB Darrel Williams had 11.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (46 rushing yards, 4 receptions, 27 receiving yards). It’s been that kind of forgettable season for Bell and his Dynasty Owners. Hopefully you didn’t buy into the hype for Week 16 and left Bell on your Bench where he’s been most of the season.

WR: Corey Davis (TEN) – 0.0 points

Despite only playing in 12 games up until Week 16, Corey Davis was the #31 ranked WR in Dynasty Owner. Sure, he had put up a couple of bad performances (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 9 versus Chicago and 3.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 14 versus Jacksonville), but he was averaging 15.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game and was just three weeks removed from a career best 35.2 point performance. As he had done for most of his career prior to 2020, Davis underperformed in Week 16. He put up a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and received only 2 targets in the snow against Green Bay. Hopefully Dynasty Owners sat Davis on the Bench or better yet, left him on the Practice Squad and didn’t have that performance dragging down their team.

TE: Robert Tonyan (GB) – 2.7 points

Undrafted in Dynasty Owner despite an annual salary of only $750,000, Robert Tonyan had been an extremely pleasant surprise for everyone who picked him up this year. He had a huge game back in Week 4 with 33.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and had kept it up for most of the year. He had a streak of five consecutive games with 10.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points coming into his Week 16 game versus Tennessee. Sadly, for his Dynasty Owners, Aaron Rodgers only had eyes for Davante Adams as Tonyan got a mere 2.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (1 reception, 17 receiving yards). That performance was better left on your Bench versus having in your Starting lineup.

K: Younghoe Koo (ATL) – -1.0 points

Koo was the #1 kicker in Dynasty Owner prior to Week 16 with a total of 133.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 13 games (he missed the Falcons’ Week 4 game versus the Packers). He was averaging 10.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game and had 8 games with 10.0 or more points and only two games with under 5.0 points. However, in Week 16, he missed his first FG attempt of 39 yards or less all season and the opportunity to tie the Falcons’ game against the Chiefs with 14 seconds left in the game. The miss left Koo with -1.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 PATs plus the missed 39 yard FG attempt). Koo picked a terrible time to put up his worst performance since joining the Falcons last season and let down all of his Dynasty Owners who had come to rely on him as their Starting kicker. For one of the very few times this season, he should have been on your Dynasty Owner Bench or Practice Squad.

Preview Article Recommendations

There’s no Week 17 in Dynasty Owner and as a result, there will be no preview article. As a result, we’ll have to recap my Week 16 Starter recommendations here and see how they worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Baker Mayfield – 7.8 points (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Zack Moss – 12.7 points (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Emmanuel Sanders – 13.5 points (Just Ok recommendation)
  • TE: Austin Hooper – 14.1 points (Good recommendation)

On the positive side, the recommendation of Austin Hooper was the first Good recommendation of the playoffs at any position. On the negative side, recommending that you stack him with QB Baker Mayfield was Bad since Mayfield didn’t have any of his usual starting WRs to throw to this week. In the middle were the Zack Moss and Emmanuel Sanders recommendations. Moss was just inside the top 24 RBs for the week, while Sanders was an acceptable, low end FLEX option. It’s been that type of year for the Starting lineup predictions, so only one Good, two Just Ok and one Bad recommendation qualifies as better than average.

Hopefully the Bench recommendations were better as they have been for most of the 2020 season. Here’s how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok).

  • QB: Russell Wilson – 24.1 points (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: James Conner – 17.5 points (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Terry McLaurin – Did Not Play
  • TE: Hunter Henry – Did Not Play

This is what happens when you make your selections early in the week in 2020, you get two guys who end up not playing (Terry McLaurin and Hunter Henry). Out of the two players who did suit up, one recommendation was Just Ok, and one was Bad. Russell Wilson was just outside of the Top 12 QBs for the week and a Just Ok recommendation while James Conner had 17.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and finished easily inside of the top 24 RBs, so that recommendation was Bad. This was just my second week with no Good Bench recommendations for the season.

Seth’s Quest for a Dynasty Owner Title Recap –

Dynasty Owner Don vs. CLE Piggy Pauls

Seth’s quest for a Dynasty Owner title ended happily ever after, just like Cinderella’s story did, with a 150-97.7 victory over Dynasty Owner Don.

CLE Piggy Pauls were huge underdogs coming into the Crossroads League finals against Dynasty Owner Don, especially since his Starting QB (Taysom Hill) wasn’t starting at QB for his NFL team and his backup was Daniel Jones, who hadn’t played in Week 15. In the end, it wasn’t even close as Stefon Diggs (41.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and the RB tandem of J.D. McKissic (23.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and David Montgomery (20.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) helped Seth to the title.

For Dynasty Owner Don, he got caught with Corey Davis and Salvon Ahmed (1.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) in his Starting lineup. His top scorer was QB Justin Herbert, but he only had 20.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and that wasn’t enough to stop Seth.

Congratulations to Seth on winning his League Championship!

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week Recap –

The Swamp Donkeys vs. Russell Wilson’s War

In our only Championship match-up of two Top 25 Chase for the Ring teams, the Swamp Donkeys got revenge on Russell Wilson’s War for their close Week 12 loss and claimed the #11 spot in the final Chase standings with a 170.2 to 144.2 victory.

The Aaron Rodgers-Davante Adams stack produced big for The Swamp Donkeys with a combined 76.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Russell Wilson’s War had three players on Sunday Night Football as well, but none of those performed up to their usual standards (Aaron Jones 12.8 points; Derrick Henry 9.8 points; A.J. Brown 8.3 points).

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard – Final Standings

With Russell Wilson’s War and all of the losers from the playoff finals removed, let’s take a look at the final Top 10 in the Chase for the Ring.

Barbee Kilgore is your Ring winner by a pretty convincing 65.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy point margin over Quaranteed for Greatness. Those two teams had been at the top of the Standings since Week 9 with Barbee Kilgore on top since Week 11.

Both of them held their positions by winning their League Championship games, but not everyone in the Top 10 after Week 15 won their Championship. In the end, we lost four of those teams as just wanna win, All Might, Semper Fedelis and Russell Wilson’s War all lost their League Championship and fell out of the Chase standings completely.

Conclusions

Congratulations once again to Viktor and Barbee Kilgore on joining Eddie and New York’s Strongest as the only Ring winners in Dynasty Owner history!

Hopefully you won your League Championship and the Dynasty Dollars that go with that victory. Maybe you didn’t make the playoffs, but won the 1.13 rookie draft pick by taking the Loser’s Bracket tournament. Either way, congratulations are in order for everyone who took one of those prizes home in 2020.

For the rest of us, it’s time to start preparations for the 2021 Dynasty Owner season. Keep an eye out for new articles and podcasts to help you win your League and maybe join Eddie and Viktor as the third Ring winner. There’s a fresh article coming on Wednesday from Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) to close out 2020. Starting in 2021, there will be articles every weekday except Tuesday from Matt, myself, Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) and our newest Dynasty Owner writer, Nate Christian (@NateNFL). Read all of them and follow the four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

To hear all about Seth’s victory, watch or listen on Tuesday at 3 PM to the live weekly Dynasty Owner podcast. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer also goes live at 1 PM on Wednesday as we look back at the 2020 Dynasty Owner season and start to look ahead to 2021. If you can’t make it live, then watch or listen to both of them anytime on the Dynasty Owner YouTube channel. You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Subscribe as well to receive notifications and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has 572 subscribers on YouTube right now and we thank everyone who has subscribed already.

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