Free Agent Auction Targets: Week 13

Dynasty Owners! Welcome back to another week of trying to find production for your rosters. The free agents this week are surprisingly not all that bad and should offer some solid value especially in the short term. Before we talk about the guys that can help you, let’s cover some of the highlights from this week in, Jay’s weekly recap.

As always I will continue my little tradition of picking on Baker Mayfield not because I don’t like the guy but simply because he plays for the Browns and never plays up to his full potential. The Browns tried to become the 38th team in 38 tries to win a NFL football game when the opposing QB throws four interceptions and failed to do just that. I have been saying for a while now that Baker Mayfield struggles to win games without massive amounts of help from teammates and we now see that he even struggles to win games when being gifted four turnovers. If I am in the front office for the Browns, I am running hard after one of the disgruntled veteran signal callers this off-season after the debacle we just witnessed in the Browns’ most important game this season. Imagine this Browns roster with Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, or DeShaun Watson at the helm. As a Steelers fan, I would prefer to not talk about their game, but since I ragged on Baker, it’s only fair. The Steelers need a QB and a new defensive coordinator in a bad way. I see no reason the defense should struggle this bad with the pieces they have. The Cowboys found a way to lose against a struggling Raiders team on Thanksgiving and it seems their division may just get interesting before the season ends. The Bills got going in the right direction against the Saints but have a crucial divisional matchup against the Patriots coming this Monday night. As much as I could not stand the Pats in recent years, I am growing fond of this Mac Jones led team. The job Bill Belichick has done with this team further assures me he is the best coach to ever put on a headset. In this week’s toilet bowl, the Jets pulled out a narrow victory against the Texans and with that the second pick in the NFL draft is still up for grabs. The Colts almost held on to beat the Buccaneers but fell just short. If the Colts make the playoffs be on the lookout for a deep run on the back of Jonathan Taylor. In my opinion, the Colts are one receiver away from being a Super Bowl contender. The Falcons managed to win a game against the Jaguars this weekend and my two takeaways from this game are that we all missed on Cordarrelle Patterson bad this off-season, and Urban Meyer needs to be fired. He is in over his head and is killing the development of Trevor Lawrence. The Cam Newton truthers from Twitter must be angry after this week’s performance. Just last week many said the Patriots made a mistake starting Mac Jones and letting Cam go. If it wasn’t obvious two weeks ago when it was being said it surely is now, The Hoodie is smarter than all of us when it comes to football I promise! The Packers made a huge statement this weekend beating the Rams and because of that the Rams’ playoff hopes could be in danger. Finally, we have the Vikings vs 49ers and as always when it comes to Minnesota football games the game came down to the wire. This week the Niners, not the Vikings, came out on top. I hope you enjoyed this week’s recap now onto the important stuff.

Alright Dynasty Owners, we are back with another week of trying to find a diamond in the rough with the Free Agent Auction targets. The free agent articles/videos will be dropping every Tuesday afternoon in advance of when bids process on Wednesday at 5 AM and will consist of the week’s Top 5 free agent adds. I will do my best to keep the players listed at an ownership percentage of 65% or less and make sure all players have contracts of $8,000,000 or less, with most players coming in at under $4,000,000. One last note, in Dynasty Owner you will be credited each week with 25% of your entire Bench’s score making these weekly free agent pick-ups extremely important to help boost your total weekly score.

On to the top targets for Week 13:

  1. Kendrick Bourne – (WR – NE) 3 years/$5,000,000 – 67.46% Rostered

If you have followed this series at all this season, you likely know that Kendrick Bourne was the poster child of my free agents. Bourne has appeared in these articles several times this season, yet still remains under 70% rostered on Dynasty Owner. I am assuming this will be Bourne’s last week under that mark as he put up another solid week scoring 2 touchdowns and catching 5 passes for 61 yards to score 23.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. I don’t know about you, but I can’t leave that kind of production in my league’s Free Agent Auction if I have the cap space. The other huge positive about Bourne is that his quarterback Mac Jones is a rookie who will likely only get better the more he plays.

  • Josh Reynolds – (WR – DET) 1 year/$1,750,000 – 46.15% Rostered

If you remember back to last week’s article, I included Josh Reynolds despite the fact that he did not catching a pass in a Lions uniform. I said this would be a pickup for future production. Well on Thursday against the Chicago Bears, Reynolds made me look like a smart man when he caught 3 balls for 70 yards and a touchdown (16.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). If it wasn’t clear last week, it is now, Reynolds is Detroit’s number 1 wide receiver for the rest of the season. It also seems that Reynolds will be the main deep threat for this offense moving forward.

  • Dontrelle Hilliard – (RB – TEN) 1 year/$920,000 – 58.58% Rostered

In the third spot, we have another repeat player from last week’s list in Dontrelle Hilliard. I put Hilliard on this list last week due to the volume he received in the passing game and while he was unable to duplicate that performance, Hilliard looked solid running for 131 yards and a touchdown on just 12 carries. If you were to just read that last sentence, it may impress you enough to pick up Hilliard but if that doesn’t do it for you just look at who he put these numbers up against last week. The New England Patriots who always play tough defense. The Titans backfield seems to be a two man show without Derrick Henry and that should mean guaranteed work for Hilliard and his teammate D’Onta Foreman ($920,000; 82.25% rostered) moving forward.

  • Matt Breida – (RB – BUF) 1 year/$1,055,000 – 53.85% Rostered

Do the Bills finally have some resemblance of a running game, minus Josh Allen of course? Over the past two weeks Matt Breida has turned in above average performances that would probably look nice on more than a few people’s Bench right now in Dynasty Owner. I am not going to recommend Breida in anyone’s Starting lineup or Bench for that matter, but he can be played in a pinch and as we saw on Thanksgiving, he has a chance to find the end zone. When the running back position looks as bad as it does now sometimes you have to suck it up and play a Matt Breida. On another note, it’s funny to me that Breida and Jordan Howard looked so bad last season yet have found new life outside of Miami.

  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine – (WR – TEN) 1 year/$610,000 – 61.54% Rostered

Finally, in the last spot we have our fourth repeat on the list, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine. In Sunday’s loss against the red hot New England Patriots, Westbrook-Ikhine managed to put together a decent day for those who had to play him in their lineups thanks to a touchdown. In Week 12, Westbrook-Ikhine didn’t have the best day catching only 2 passes for 25 yards but caught a day changing touchdown as mentioned earlier. At this point, it seems like a huge gamble playing Westbrook-Ikhine, but he has shown the ability to find the end zone which always helps. All in all, there are much worse options than Westbrook-Ikhine with as cheap as his salary is.

Please do not forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you for reading and as always good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Monday Night Football Preview: Week 12

Seahawks vs Football Team

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Dynasty Owners, it is that time again and before we get into the article, I want to say that I hope all of you had a memorable Thanksgiving holiday. As always, we will cover last week’s Value of the Game before jumping straight into tonight’s game. If you recall in last week’s article, I mentioned the fact there was no real clear-cut Value of the Game and that someone with 3 catches for 20 yards would likely emerge victorious. Well, that ended up becoming reality with the winner of what was quite possibly the worst Value of the Game I have ever seen being none other than Darius Slayton. Slayton finished Monday night with a glorious stat line of 4 catches, 37 yards and a lost fumble resulting in 4.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Yea that is the kind of game the “values” had last Monday night between the Giants and Buccaneers. I probably look like I have my Adam Gase hat on after my pick last week (Tyler Johnson) couldn’t even outperform an average Darius Slayton game, but I refused to pick Slayton again after burning me with a 0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points outing earlier in the year.

What to Watch For

In what seems to be the worst stretch of Monday night games this season, we have another not so intriguing matchup tonight. Although I am expecting a somewhat boring game there are quite a few things I will be watching for. Let’s start with what I will be watching for on the Football Team’s side of things first. The Football Team’s quarterback Taylor Heinicke tends to play well on big stages and will be looking to do the same tonight. Can he? I am not banking on it as I have him pegged for less than his projected 23.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy point total. Running back Antonio Gibson has struggled horribly this season compared to where he was drafted, but I am expecting a big game from him tonight. On the Seahawks’ side of things, Russell Wilson has struggled since returning from injury and I will be watching closely to see how he performs against Washington’s struggling pass defense. The other big thing I will be watching for from the Seahawks is if the running game can get going behind Alex Collins with Chris Carson being shut down for the season. If Seattle doesn’t put together a few wins throughout the back half of the season, one of Pete Carroll or Russell Wilson will likely be gone, if not both.

Jay’s Monday Night Prediction

 
Seattle Seahawks 27    Washington Football Team 16

Over/Under Projections

Football Team

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Taylor HeinickeQB$2,375,00023.4Under
Antonio GibsonRB$1,233,15914.1Over
Terry McLaurinWR$961,91816.4Over
DeAndre CarterWR$970,0002.8Over
Logan ThomasTE$3,072,50011.3Under

Seahawks

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Russell WilsonQB$35,000,00025.1Over
Alex CollinsRB$990,00010.0Under
DK MetcalfWR$1,146,15316.9Over
Tyler LockettWR$10,250,00016.0Over
Gerald EverettTE$6,000,0009.6Under

Jay’s Dynasty Owner Games of the Week

Each week I will pick two games that are close in score and will likely be decided during Monday Night Football. If you happen to find yourself in this situation on Sunday night, please get ahold of me on Twitter (@jaypoundsnfl) and I will gladly feature your game here.

Game 1 – League #27449

The Road Warriors – DK Metcalf in Starting lineup and Taylor Heinicke and Terry McLaurin on Bench left to play

The Road Warriors must be a bit nervous heading into tonight as they are projected to win by just over 2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, which would put them at a devastating 9-3 record and would barely get them into the playoffs. I am joking of course; a 9-3 record pretty much guarantees a playoff spot in any league. While I tend to hate waiting for Monday night to decide my match-up, I wouldn’t mind being in The Road Warriors spot at all. Down but projected to win, their opponent only has one Bench player left, and Road Warriors still have two studs and a quarterback left to play. It doesn’t get much better than that if you are a Dynasty Owner in a close game. Either way The Road Warriors have had an excellent season!

Furious Ferrets – Alex Collins on Bench left to play

The Furious Ferrets have got to be furious ferrets right now. They have almost pulled off the David vs Goliath type upset, but after a solid week it doesn’t seem like it is going to happen. They need a low scoring game to knock off the team who is currently in first place in the Chase for the Ring standings. I am sure Furious Ferrets will be watching the game closely to see if they can earn some solid bragging rights throughout the platform!

Game 2 – League #27450

Social V – Taylor Heinicke in Starting lineup and DeeJay Dallas on Bench left to play

In my toilet bowl match-up of the week, it appears the 2-9 Social V team should pull off a narrow upset, as they are currently projected to score 3.75 points more than their opponent. Heading into tonight’s game Social V has his starting quarterback left to play which is always a big help to the point total. If the Football Team does well in the red zone, Social V will come away with an easy victory later tonight. If the Football Team struggles and lets the sly guy (aka Joey Slye) kick a bunch of field goals, Social V’s last place status in their league standings will remain unchanged.

Shillelagh Law – Joey Slye in Starting lineup left to play

Heading into tonight’s game, I think Shillelagh Law has one thing on their minds, a win to save themselves the embarrassment of losing to the last place team. As of right now, Shillelagh Law is projected to lose but I am not sure I would be all that worried as they have superman Joey Slye left to play. I am kidding somewhat, the real reason I would not be worried is because Washington is not a great offensive unit, and I am not expecting Heinicke to hit his projected point total. Either way it will be a massive fight to the death tonight!

Value of the Game

In tonight’s game, I had more than a couple options to choose from as my Value of the Game. The players in contention were Terry McLaurin, DK Metcalf, Antonio Gibson, and Alex Collins with DK Metcalf getting the nod. I have gone against DK Metcalf once this season and it cost me, and I will not be making that mistake again. Metcalf is going up against one of the worst pass defenses in the league and there is no reason to believe he won’t get loose a time or two in tonight’s game. I also like Metcalf’s chances because of how banged up the running game is for the Seahawks right now. If there is a game for Russell Wilson and this Seattle passing offense to get back on track, it’s going to be tonight against the Washington Football Team’s pass defense.

Winner – DK Metcalf

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
DK Metcalf691121.1

Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction article and video that will be released on Tuesday afternoon before Free Agent Auction bids are processed on Wednesday at 5 AM. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly Tuesday recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you all for reading and hopefully tonight’s game will be a good one with all these projections coming true. Stay safe and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Week 12 Preview – Playoff Contention

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Most of the time the focus is on the top teams in both the NFL and Dynasty Owner. Last week, the five undefeated Dynasty Owner teams were profiled here, but there’s no suspense about those teams making the Dynasty Owner playoffs since all of them have already clinched a spot. The top NFL teams will likely get flexed into the Sunday Night Football match-up over the next few weeks. For example, the Week 13 game between the AFC West division leading Kansas City Chiefs was moved to be played on Sunday night. The game featuring two teams in the battle for an AFC Wild Card (Bengals vs. Chargers) was not flexed into prime time.

NFL teams who make the playoffs as a Wild Card (seeds #5 and #6, and now #7) need to win four straight games to win the Super Bowl. That’s usually on top of having to win a few games down the stretch in the regular season to make the playoffs. Tampa Bay was a Wild Card last year and won the Super Bowl, making them the seventh team to win the Super Bowl, but not their division.

It can happen in Dynasty Owner as well. A few of our 2020 League Winners weren’t one of the top two teams and had to play in the first round of the playoffs. Some were even the #5 or #6 seed. In League #28274, B3lowradar made the playoffs at 7-6, but ended up defeating the top three seeds to win their League title. The Swamp Rats in League #35109 entered the playoffs as the #5 seed with a 7-6 record, but toppled the #2 seed in the finals to win. Those are just two examples, and we are likely to see more of them in 2021. If your Dynasty Owner team won last year as a #5 or #6 seed with a 7-6 or 6-7 record, let me know and I’ll mention it on Twitter.

This year, there are hundreds of those teams who have 4-7, 5-6, 6-5 and, in some cases, 7-4 records and need a solid finish to the season to make their League playoffs. My beta league has five teams at 6-5 and one at 5-6, all fighting to make the playoffs since the top four teams are all tied at 7-4. With ten teams having a shot of making the playoffs and only six spots, it’s very possible that one of the 7-4 teams could lose their next three games and miss out. I’m one of the 6-5 teams and need to win out to make it. I know that I’m trying my best to make it to the playoffs since things seem pretty wide open.

That’s because making the playoffs entitles Dynasty Owner teams to a minimum payout of $2 million Dynasty Dollars, while non-playoff teams need to make it to at least the finals of the Loser’s bracket to earn anything (an Amnesty Provision goes to both teams in the Loser’s bracket finals while the winner also gets the extra first round draft pick – 1.13). Making the playoffs should be the goal of all Dynasty Owner teams at the beginning of the season and for those with slimmer chances of making it, this is a key week to pick up a victory.

With making the playoffs top of mind, the recommendations for a player at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) to have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup and a player who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad, will focus on players who are on a high percentage of Dynasty Owner rosters. Making the correct Start-Bench decisions could keep a Dynasty Owner team in playoff contention for another week, or maybe even clinch them a berth this week.

For the Match-up of the Week, we’ll look at two teams in the middle of the pack of their League standings and see which one is favored to win and keep their quest for the playoffs alive. The loser is very likely out. Don’t forget that suggestions are welcomed for the remaining Match-ups of the Week. If you want your team or a team in your League to appear in the future, then send me a tweet (@SteveVT33).

With only a couple of weeks left in the regular season, let’s take a look at our remaining undefeated teams. All of these teams have defeated every team in their League once and it’s time for rematches. We have only four undefeated teams with Thee Camel Toe Jockey in League #66645 losing last week. The four remaining undefeated Dynasty Owner teams are:

Team NameLeagueChase Position
DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew)274583rd
Detroit’s Finest7473322nd
Miami Crypt Keepers5907471st
The HipHopOpatomus7006894th

Check back here next week and see how many of them are still undefeated and where they are in the Chase for the Ring.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of November 26th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s look at how my Week 11 recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I predicted performances worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup for these four players last week. Thankfully Dynasty Owner has a Starting TE position, or I wouldn’t have had a Good recommendation. Here’s how many points my recommendations scored:

QB: Ryan Tannehill – 9.4 (Bad recommendation)

RB: Jeffery Wilson – 5.8 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Rashod Bateman – 5.9 (Bad recommendation)

TE: Adam Trautman – 16.8 (Good recommendation)

In six of the past seven weeks, my TE recommendation has been good. No thanks to Jordan Akins who ruined the streak in Week 9. This week, it was Adam Trautman who had a career high 16.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. The other three recommendations were Bad as none of the trio of Ryan Tannehill, Jeffery Wilson and Rashod Bateman had double-digit points. At least Bateman scored, unlike Keelan Cole who had a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and was nearly my recommendation. With teams in playoff contention maybe reading this article for some recommendations, I’ll try to avoid guys who aren’t rostered in many Dynasty Owner leagues and go with players who they might actually have as potential options for their Week 12 Starting lineup. Here they are:

Tyrod Taylor (QB – HOU): Taylor is rostered in nearly every Dynasty Owner league (96.45%), largely because of his one year contract for only $5.5 million. In four starts, Taylor has 2 TDs in three of them. Week 9 against Miami was the only week in which he didn’t have multiple TDs and at least 19.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. This week, Taylor and the Texans get to face the New York Jets defense, which has allowed 28.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to QBs since their Week 6 bye. For the whole season, they have allowed an average of 24.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to QBs, so they haven’t been good for most of the season, but just worse recently. Taylor is only averaging 191 passing yards per game and 26.5 rushing yards, but those yards plus two TDs would be 24.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, which should be good enough for all of the Dynasty Owners who have him and are in playoff contention to use in their Starting lineup.

Ty Johnson (RB – NYJ): In the Jets’ five games since their bye week, Ty Johnson has averaged 11.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game on just seven touches per game. He’s had to share carries and receptions with Michael Carter for all five of those games (plus Tevin Coleman for the past two) and therefore is only the RB40 for the season. Carter is out with a high ankle sprain and was averaging 16.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game over that same time period on an average of 17.4 touches per game. If Johnson can take over Carter’s touches and keep up his average, he’d score 27.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Since he’s playing the Houston Texans’ defense which is allowing the second most rushing yards per game to RBs, it’s possible he could reach that level of production. At a very low salary of just $672,976 this season, he is rostered in almost every Dynasty Owner league (99.41%). That means, there are plenty of Dynasty Owners who probably need a RB for their Starting lineup this week and can use him when he should exceed his average and be my first Good RB recommendation of the season.

Russell Gage (WR – ATL): Gage has been really hit or miss all season for the Falcons. He has played seven regular season games and produced a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) in three of them. He has been remarkably productive in the other four games, averaging 11.95 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. In a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, it seems unlikely that Gage will produce another Blutarsky, so he should be in line for a productive game for everyone who has him and his $654,049 salary in Dynasty Owner (rostered in 99.41% of leagues). Opposing WRs are averaging 14.2 receptions for 174.4 yards against the Jacksonville defense, which is the fourth most receptions allowed per game and tenth most receiving yards allowed per game. Gage also had a productive game with 10.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 49 receiving yards, 7 rushing yards) against Jacksonville back in 2019. A productive game, as opposed to a Blutarsky, would be helpful for Gage’s Dynasty Owners who should put him in their Starting lineups.

Albert Okwuegbunam (TE – DEN): Evan Engram should be the pick here as the Giants are playing the league worst defense against TEs (Philadelphia Eagles), but having little confidence in Engram and QB Daniel Jones leads me to pick someone else. Albert Okwuegbunam has been quietly efficient in his past three games with an average of 7.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game with 10 receptions for 136 receiving yards. He has gotten at least three targets and three receptions in each of the past three games. This week, the Broncos play against the Los Angeles Chargers who have allowed a pair of receiving TDs to TEs in each of the past two weeks (Tyler Conklin in Week 10 and Eric Ebron and Pat Freiermuth in Week 11). Not only did they all have TDs, but each one of them scored double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points (16.1 for Conklin, 11.4 for Ebron and 11.1 for Freiermuth). That makes eight TEs with double-digit points against the Chargers this season in ten games. Albert O should make it nine (and maybe Noah Fant makes it ten) this week so the Dynasty Owners with him and his $1.011 million salary on their roster (88.76%) should get him in their Starting lineup this week.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

The Bench recommendations were a little on the Bad side in Week 11, but better than the Starting lineup recommendations. That’s pretty typical this season. Let’s find out how each one of them did.

QB: Kirk Cousins – 34.6 (Bad recommendation)

RB: J.D. McKissic – 6.0 (Good recommendation)

WR: D.J. Moore – 16.0 (Bad recommendation)

TE: T.J. Hockenson – 11.1 (Just Ok recommendation)

On the Bad side, we have Kirk Cousins who was the QB3 for the week and D.J. Moore who caught a TD pass from Cam Newton, which was his first TD reception since back in Week 4, to make him a low-end WR2 or solid FLEX starter. T.J. Hockenson was tied as the TE14 for the week, but had only 0.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points less than the TE12. That made the Hockenson recommendation Just Ok. The only good Bench recommendation was J.D. McKissic who took a backseat to Antonio Gibson for the second consecutive week since the Football Team’s bye week. Helping a Dynasty Owner team in playoff contention can also mean providing advice on Benching a player likely to have a bad week, so here are four players to leave on your Bench in Week 12.

Joe Burrow (QB – CIN): Burrow is the QB12 in Dynasty Owner right now, so he’s a low-end starter, but one who is rostered in 100% of leagues so lots of teams have the option of putting him in their Starting lineup. Two of the top 12 QBs (Kirk Cousins and Carson Wentz) are not rostered in too many leagues. Since winning the Player of the Week award in Week 7 against Baltimore, Burrow has only averaged 15.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Jets, Browns and Raiders. Two of those three teams (Jets and Raiders) are in the bottom half of the NFL in passing yards allowed and Burrow threw for only 407 combined against them. He has also become turnover prone with a total of three INTs and a fumble in each of his last three games. Pittsburgh safety Minkah Fitzpatrick will be back in the Steelers lineup this week and linebacker T.J. Watt and cornerback Joe Haden should return as well to a defense that was only allowing 20.6 points per game before the three of them missed last week’s game against the Chargers. Burrow has only averaged 20.45 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in two career games against Pittsburgh. The return of those three starters to the Pittsburgh lineup should enable them to hold Burrow to his average, or below, and make him better suited to be on your Dynasty Owner Bench in Week 12.

Leonard Fournette (RB – TB): Just looking at the average rushing yards allowed per game stat shows that the Indianapolis Colts allow 111.6 rushing yards per game to rank in a tie for 15th place. However, they are allowing 32.2 of those yards to non-RBs including 79 yards rushing to Jacksonville WR Jamal Agnew in Week 10 and 62 rushing yards to Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson in Week 5. They have also only allowed RBs to score 5 TDs all season to rank 30th in the NFL. All of this is to say that the Colts rushing defense is better than they look. After all, they held Derrick Henry to below his average number of Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in both games he played against them this year. Their pass defense has also allowed 23 receiving TDs to non-RBs, so that’s likely how Tom Brady will attack them, which should limit the number of touches that Fournette will get this week. Fournette only received 7 touches in Week 3 against the Rams to score 6.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and 11 touches in Week 8 against the Saints to score 7.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Count on a low touch week for Fournette and a week worthy of being on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Courtland Sutton (WR – DEN): Originally, A.J. Brown was here, but he got ruled out of the Titans’ Week 12 game versus New England right before I edited the article, so I had to switch and go with Courtland Sutton. Sutton just signed a new contract (4 years, $60.8 million) that kicks in for the 2022 Dynasty Owner season, so his roster percentage is likely to drop from the 100% level that he is at now. The other thing that might make Dynasty Owners drop Sutton for free next year when that contract kicks in is seeing how his production drops with Jerry Jeudy in the Broncos lineup. It’s the same thing I said in this spot two weeks ago, but updated with more statistics. While Sutton is the WR32 for the season and likely a FLEX position play for his Dynasty Owners, he’s a whole lot better without Jerry Jeudy in the Broncos lineup (16.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in those six games) than when he’s in it (4.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in those four games). He has zero TDs in the four games with Jeudy in the lineup with only 6 receptions for 92 yards and a 2-pt conversion. The other main Broncos WR, Tim Patrick, has nearly identical statistics this season with and without Jeudy on the field (11.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in six games with Jeudy and 11.55 points in the four games without him). Start Jeudy or Patrick this week against the Chargers, but leave Sutton on your Bench.

Hunter Henry (TE – NE): Henry has been the most efficient TE in Dynasty Owner scoring this season as Matt Morrison mentioned in his article this week. Henry has 7 TDs from just 33 receptions and TDs account for over one-third (37%) of his Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He’s ranked as the TE7 in Dynasty Owner, but has fewer receptions than every TE in the top 16 except Dawson Knox. Tennessee has only allowed three TDs to TEs all season, so it’s probable that Henry will go without a TD in Week 12. He’s only had five games without a TD this season and is averaging just 5.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in those games. As a Patriots fan, I hope Henry scores a TD, but the data are indicating the opposite, so I’d put Henry on your Dynasty Owner Bench this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad vs. 36 Chambers

For our twelfth Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week, we have a battle of two teams on the edge of playoff contention in League #76065, also known informally as the Polian League since it features Team Polian from the ‎Inside Football Podcast with Bill Polian. Team Polian is 7-4 and sits in third place, while Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad and 36 Chambers are both 5-6 and in ninth and tenth place, respectively. However, the sixth place team in the League is also 5-6 and only scored under 100.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points more than both of them. However, it’s unlikely that both of those teams will make the playoffs as one of them will have seven losses after this week and a 7-7 record seems unlikely to be a playoff team in this League. 

Usually, these projections are listed from before the Thursday Night Football game, but even with three games on Thanksgiving Day, neither Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad nor 36 Chambers had anybody in their Starting lineup play already. Only 36 Chambers Bench QB Trevor Siemian (11.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad Bench WR Deonte Harris (3.72 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) have played, while 36 Chambers doesn’t have a Bench kicker with Matt Prater on bye.

The projections show an extremely close match-up with 36 Chambers projected to win by only 2.52 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. The biggest advantage in the Starting lineups is at TE for 36 Chambers with George Kittle (15.87 projected points) over Pat Freiermuth (9.97 projected points) for Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad. Bench scoring is projected to be close as well with Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad having a QB and kicker advantage with Tua Tagovailoa and Chase McLaughlin over the previously mentioned Trevor Siemian and Matt Prater.  However, both of the Bench WRs for 36 Chambers (Michael Pittman and Chase Claypool) are projected to score over 10.0 points more than Deonte Harris has already scored for Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad.

Maybe this will be a featured game in Jay’s Monday Night Football preview article when 36 Chambers will be finished, while Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad will have Russell Wilson, Terry McLaurin, and Jason Myers still to play in their Starting lineup. Find out who wins in the Week 12 recap article, moves to .500 for the 2021 season and stays in playoff contention.

Conclusion

With only three weeks remaining in the Dynasty Owner regular season, hopefully all of your teams are at least in playoff contention. The final weeks of the fantasy football season are always a lot more fun if your team has a chance to win something, whether it be just Dynasty Dollars, or Dynasty Dollars plus cash.

Just because both Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad, 36 Chambers, and maybe your Dynasty Owner team haven’t clinched a playoff berth yet doesn’t mean that they can’t go on a three-game win streak to end the regular season, then sweep through the playoffs and win their League. It happened last year for at least a couple of teams, why not yours this year?

Please read my weekly preview article each and every week to see who should be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup and who should be on your Bench. While some Dynasty Owners may heed my advice, others might disagree, or not have a better option for their Starting lineup and choose to ignore a Bench recommendation. Other Dynasty Owners may not need Starting lineup help as they have a stud player at a position who isn’t moving to the Bench unless he’s injured or on bye. Hopefully, the choices for your Starting lineup and Bench are solid, your team wins its game and stays in contention for the playoffs and even the Chase for the Ring.

In addition to this weekly preview article, Dynasty Owner has plenty of other great content to help your team, especially if it’s in playoff contention. On Monday, Jay Pounds will preview the Monday Night Football matchup from the Dynasty Owner perspective. Tuesday has a double shot of Dynasty Owner content with my Week 12 recap article and Jay’s Free Agent Auction targets article and video. Wednesdays is when Matt Morrison – The Jerk will dive into a topic of his choosing with an article and a video. In keeping with the playoff contenders theme, he’s going to start speculating on the players who he thinks will be league winners for a lot of Dynasty Owner teams. On Thursday, it’ll be back to normal for Week 13 with Matt’s Thursday Night Football preview article.

Don’t forget about the weekly Dynasty Owner livestream on Wednesday with myself, Tim Peffer, and Dr. Cousin Justin. If there is a particular injured player who you are interested in learning more about during the livestream, drop me a line on Twitter (@SteveVT33) and I’ll put it on the list for Cousin Justin to research. Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of the Dynasty Owner team of writers plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Thanksgiving Day Football: Week 12

Bears vs Lions

Raiders vs Cowboys

Bills vs Saints

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Without a doubt, this is my favorite day of the year to watch football. Yes, the NFL playoffs are great, and the Super Bowl is always an event, but Thanksgiving Day football is second to none in my opinion. There is nothing better than eating, drinking, relaxing and watching football with family. This year there are numerous fantasy implications for my teams as I’m sure there are for most of your teams as well. Given that there are three games, I will be doing three variations of my normal Thursday Night Football article. Each will be abbreviated, but it should give you most of the info you need. Let’s do it…

Value of the Game Recap

Last week I picked Jakobi Meyers as my Value of the Game with this projected stat line…

Week 11 ProjectionReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Jakobi Meyers449114.9

My prediction was close in terms of receptions and yardage, but he was unable to get the touchdown that I projected he would receive. Due to that, Russell Gage ended the game as the biggest value. He didn’t have a particularly great game, but 9.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points combined with a salary of $654,049 was good enough to make Gage the Week 11 Thursday Night Football Value of the Game.

Bears vs Lions

What To Watch For

The number one thing I want to see in the opening game on Thursday is how David Montgomery plays. I was very hopeful for Montgomery in Week 11. Unfortunately, he was unable to do much fantasy work with 15 touches. He ended Week 11 with only 7.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. I look for him to at least double this fantasy output in Week 12 as he should be able to exploit an excellent matchup.

Starters

Justin Fields ($4,717,989) – if he plays

David Montgomery ($1,003,845)

D’Andre Swift ($2,134,728)

Cole Kmet ($1,894,444)

T.J. Hockenson ($4,955,306)

Bench

Darnell Mooney ($894,263)

Value of the Game

My Value of the Game projection for the Bears/Lions matchup will be David Montgomery. Montgomery has too juicy of a matchup with too cheap of a salary for me not to pick him. I predict…

Week 12 ProjectionsRushesRushing YardsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
David Montgomery21104216122.0

Raiders vs Cowboys

What To Watch For

The tight ends will be what I’m keeping my eye on most for this game. I’m talking about Darren Waller and Dalton Schultz specifically. Both should be very strong fantasy plays this week.

Waller rebounded nicely in Week 11. He had not broken 100 receiving yards since Week 1 until last week when he had seven receptions for 116 yards. While I don’t predict a 116 yard performance, I do think he will find the end zone this week. Start him with confidence.

Likewise, I am very bullish on Dalton Schultz this week. As we all know, Amari Cooper will miss his second straight game due to COVID protocols. In his absence, Schultz should see increased volume. He had a very healthy game of six receptions for 53 yards in Week 11.

Starters

Derek Carr ($25,000,000)

Dak Prescott ($40,000,000)

Josh Jacobs ($2,983,350)

Ezekiel Elliott ($15,000,000)

Hunter Renfrow ($708,987)

CeeDee Lamb ($3,502,503)

Michael Gallup ($880,995)

Darren Waller ($7,450,000)

Dalton Schultz ($728,090)

Bench

Kenyan Drake ($5,500,000)

Tony Pollard ($796,945)

Bryan Edwards ($1,173,113)

Value of the Game

My Value of the Game (VOTG) is going to be another player that should benefit greatly from Amari Cooper’s absence. That player is Michael Gallup. Gallup had a rather disappointing Week 11 although his 9.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance didn’t kill your week. Here is what I think Gallup will do in the middle game on Thanksgiving day…

Week 12 ProjectionReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Michael Gallup572118.2

This stat line combined with a salary of $880,995 makes Michael Gallup my “middle game” VOTG.

Bills vs Saints

What To Watch For

I want to see how the Bills play at least from a team standpoint. They have lost two of their last three games, and in those two games, they were at least 75 percent favorites to win at the time of kickoff. I want to see if their defensive efficiency will return against the Saints. Likewise, let’s see if the Saints’ defense can return to their old form in this game. This game has a 46.5 over/under at the time of writing. It seems that Vegas is giving both defenses quite a bit of respect. I also anticipate a lower scoring game.

Starters

Josh Allen ($5,295,760)

Alvin Kamara ($15,000,000) – if he plays

Mark Ingram ($2,500,000) – if Kamara doesn’t play

Stefon Diggs ($14,400,000)

Dawson Knox ($880,400)

Bench

Trevor Siemian ($990,000)

Zack Moss ($1,153,079)

Devin Singletary ($974,500)

Cole Beasley ($7,250,000)

Emmanuel Sanders ($6,000,000)

Value of the Game

In the evening game, I will select Dawson Knox as my Value of the Game. I am always hesitant to pick a tight end in this spot, but his salary is too cheap to ignore. Even a modest game of 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points would return the kind of value you are looking for as a Dynasty Owner.

Week 12 ProjectionReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Dawson Knox460010.0

Like I said, this is a risk, but if Knox is able to give at least 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, his salary of $880,400 will make him the Value of the Game.

Thank you all for reading, and I hope you have a great Thanksgiving. Take care and be safe.

TheJerk

Opportunity Is (Almost) Everything: Part IV

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Hello Dynasty Owners. I am Matt TheJerk here with the final installment of my Opportunity Is (Almost) Everything article series. It’s hard to believe that the month of November is nearly over.  With this end, comes the dawn of the fantasy and Dynasty Owner playoffs (only three weeks away). After this article, I will delve into the topic of playoffs. I will present a series of articles that speculate on the players who I think will be league winners for a lot of Dynasty Owner teams this season. But before we get too far ahead, let’s talk about some tight ends and their opportunities. Here is what I have quoted in all four of my “Opportunity” articles this year. It is an excerpt from my articles last year when I really started to experiment with opportunities compared to fantasy points.

“A few years ago, I came across a few underutilized metrics that, I think, can help bridge the gap between opportunity and fantasy production.  So often we compare Player x to Player y without having the full context of their seasons.  I am guilty of comparing players that I know haven’t had the same opportunity.  These metrics are also a great way to see which players are on the field, but aren’t receiving the opportunity you would expect.  This article will be limited to players in my Top 100 updated rankings.”

Today, I’ll be writing about the tight end position. Due to the fact that tight end is a very scarce and tough position to predict, I am going to only be taking stats from the Top 10 tight ends in Dynasty Owner right now. In addition to that, I will be presenting only the Top 3 for each category. The categories are…

  • Total Opportunities
  • Opportunities per Snap
  • Fantasy Points per Opportunity
  • Salary Compared to Opportunity

Tight Ends

Total Opportunities

All the stats that I’m including for this article are only through Week 10.  I felt it was more appropriate to include a complete set of 10 weeks considering this is a holiday week.  Regardless, I wouldn’t expect the numbers or rankings to change much even if the Week 11 games were included.  Without further ado, here are the Top 3 for tight end opportunities…

Player, TeamSalaryOpportunitiesDOFP
Travis Kelce, KC$14,312,50089163.7
Darren Waller, LV$7,450,00071105.4
Mike Gesicki, MIA$1,652,98170110.9

An opportunity for a tight end is defined in the same way that it is for a running back or wide receiver. An opportunity is any target or rushing attempt. As it turns out, tight ends do not have rushing attempts very often, and no one in the Top 10 had one. So, the opportunities you are seeing are all targets.

Travis Kelce leads all tight ends in opportunities, and that should not come as a surprise. What I find interesting is the salary difference between TE1 and TE2 and then also TE2 to TE3. There is definitely a wide range of salary for the top opportunity tight ends. But like I said, Kelce is far and away the tight end with the most volume. He has 18 more targets than the next nearest TE.

**I find it funny that I mentioned not one tight end in the Top 10 had a rushing attempt, and then Kelce goes and has himself a rushing touchdown in Week 11. Those stats are however not included in this article.**

Opportunities Per Snap

Up next I like to look into Opportunities per Snap. This gives me an idea of what players are getting the most opportunities when they are actually on the field. Of all four major offensive positions, tight end is the one position that has the lowest Opp/Snap. This makes sense as tight ends are called on to block much more than any of the other three major positions. Here are the Top 3 tight ends for Opp/Snap…

Player, TeamSalaryOpportunitiesDOFPSnapsOpp/Snap
Darren Waller, LV$7,450,00071105.44810.15
Travis Kelce, KC$14,312,50089163.76100.15
Mark Andrews, BAL$863,29069140.34810.14

There’s a few things I want to mention with this stat.

First, I want to point out how Darren Waller’s opportunities and Opp/Snap may be a little skewed. These are the actual numbers that he has posted over the past 10 weeks.  However, he had 19 opportunities in Week 1. Since then, the most he has totaled in any one game is 11.  Again, I’m not saying these 19 opportunities should be forgotten about, but we have to realize that Waller hasn’t been utilized anywhere close to the way he was used in Week 1. In fact, more than 25 percent of his Dynasty Owner fantasy points came in Week 1.

Second, I want to show that even with a 0.15 Opp/Snap (an opportunity on 15 percent of his snaps), Travis Kelce would rank as the WR6 this year in Dynasty Owner fantasy points if he was labeled as a wide receiver. Let me put that into perspective. If Kelce was a wide receiver, he would currently be 15th in opportunity per snap. Despite this fact, he would be the WR6 on the season. What this tells me is that Kelce is amazingly vital to his team’s success, and that it isn’t limited to receptions and touchdowns. He has a very high number of snaps (610), but he has a relatively low number of opportunities at least compared to top tier wide receivers. Even with this high praise, I was surprised to learn that he is not ranked in the Top 3 for DOFP/Opp.  Based on the info I’ve presented you; do you have any guesses as to who is in the Top 3?

Fantasy Points Per Opportunity

Player, TeamSalaryOpportunitiesDOFPSnapsOpp/SnapDOFP/Opp
Hunter Henry, NE$12,500,00042108.34700.0892.58
Mark Andrews, BAL$863,29069140.34810.1432.03
Dalton Schultz, DAL$728,0905199.85050.1011.96

That’s right! Hunter (All I Do Is Score Touchdowns) Henry is the tight end leader for “efficiency” through 10 weeks. The reason for this is precisely due to the nickname I just gave him…he scores touchdowns. Henry already has seven touchdowns in the 2021 season. Since Week 4, he has scored a touchdown in every game except for one. One of those weeks, he had a double touchdown game.

Do you remember back to last week when I talked about how efficient DeAndre Hopkins has been this season? Well, Henry has been even slightly more efficient. Henry has seven touchdowns with only 31 receptions and 42 opportunities. This means that 16.7 percent of the time Henry gets the ball thrown his way, he gets a touchdown. It also means that 22.6 percent of the time he catches the ball, he gets a touchdown. This is truly amazing efficiency, but it’s not something that is totally unprecedented. Jimmy Graham finished the 2020 NFL season with a similar stat line, although not quite as impressive. Graham had 8 touchdowns on only 50 receptions with less than 500 yards.

The other two names have been staples of efficiency over at least the past year and a half. Schultz has to be hyper efficient if he wants any meaningful fantasy production amongst so many mouths to feed in Dallas, and Andrews has been a top tier fantasy producer his entire career with low volume.

Salary Compared To Opportunity

Player, TeamSalaryOpportunitiesFPsSnapsOpp/SnapDOFP/Opp
Hunter Henry, NE$12,500,00042108.34700.092.58
Mark Andrews, BAL$863,29069140.34810.142.03
Dalton Schultz, DAL$728,0905199.85050.101.96
Travis Kelce, KC$14,312,50089163.76100.151.84
Tyler Conklin, MIN$685,2584988.35130.101.80
Tyler Higbee, LAR$7,250,0005189.45770.091.75
Kyle Pitts, ATL$8,227,62464106.64300.151.67
Noah Fant, DEN$3,147,6805997.94790.121.66
Mike Gesicki, MIA$1,652,98170110.94920.141.58
Darren Waller, LV$7,450,00071105.44810.151.48

There are a few clear cut values when it comes to tight ends. Throughout all of these four articles, my goal was to try and find a better metric for value through efficiency. When I combine salary with fantasy points and DOFP/Opp we see that these are the four tight ends that stand out…

  • Mark Andrews
  • Dalton Schultz
  • Tyler Conklin
  • Mike Gesicki

Barring injury, there is almost no chance that Mark Andrews will not be the Value of the Year for tight ends. Andrews is only 23.4 fantasy points behind Kelce. This stat in itself is deceiving because Kelce hasn’t had his bye yet, but Andrews has. Andrews is that close to Kelce, yet his salary is only 6 percent of Kelce’s.

Thank you for reading. Message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know if you have any questions or concerns. I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube. Take care everyone and be safe.

TheJerk

Week 11 Recap: Up and Down

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

That’s what the past couple of weeks have been for a few of the top NFL teams. In the past three weeks, the Buffalo Bills have gone from scoring six points in a loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, to scoring 45 points in a dominating victory over the New York Jets to losing by 26 points to the Indianapolis Colts. It’s been the same way for the Arizona Cardinals as they beat the San Francisco 49ers by 14 points in their first game with Colt McCoy playing in place of an injured Kyler Murray, then lost by 24 points to the Carolina Panthers, to come back and beat the Seattle Seahawks by 10 points on Sunday. At least Arizona can point to the injuries to Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins as an explanation for why they have been up and down for the past couple of weeks. Buffalo doesn’t really have that kind of built-in excuse. Sorry Bills Mafia.

It’s not just Arizona and Buffalo. Twenty-four out of the 32 NFL teams have a current winning or losing streak of one or two games. The Bears have the longest current losing streak of five games, which came right after a two-game winning streak. The Dolphins won their season opener, then lost seven straight games before winning their last three games.

Of course, the same thing is true for NFL players. Patrick Mahomes had three poor games in a row of less than 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, then followed those down weeks with 54.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week to win the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week award. This week, he was back down and only scored 8.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Mahomes has been the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week twice and also scored less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points twice. Mike White was a sensation in his first NFL start with 38.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to win the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week award. Two weeks later, he was throwing 4 INTs and scoring just 0.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points before getting replaced in Week 11 as Jets QB by Joe Flacco. One week after scoring a season-high 63.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, Lamar Jackson only put up 13.4 points the following week. In Week 4, Myles Gaskin had only 0.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and in Week 6, he had just 2.4 points, but in between those bad weeks, he had 31.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 5 and was the Value Player of the Week. There are plenty of other examples that I could give, but hopefully everyone gets the idea by now.

For many Dynasty Owners, the success of their team depends upon which of the up and down players are in their Starting lineup or on their Bench. Hopefully you’ve got more of the “up” guys than “down” guys every week and your opponent has the opposite. We had five of the top “up” teams in Dynasty Owner, the undefeated teams, profiled in the Week 11 preview article. Let’s see how they did:

Team NameLeagueWeek 11 ResultChase PositionChange
DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew)27458Win3rdNone
Thee Camel Toe Jockey66645Loss6thDown 2
Detroit’s Finest74733Win22ndDown 12
Miami Crypt Keepers59074Win71stDown 27
The HipHopOpatomus70068Win94thUp 16

While four out of our five undefeated teams won their Week 11 match-up, only one (The HipHopOpatomus) moved up in the Chase for the Ring standings. DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) didn’t have much room to move up and stayed in 3rd place, while Detroit’s Finest and Miami Crypt Keepers won their game, but must have had a down week in scoring as they dropped in the Chase standings. Finally, Thee Camel Toe Jockey went down in defeat to TOtheShow79 by a score of 183.0 to 160.08 to have their undefeated season ended. However, they only fell two spots in the Chase for the Ring standings.

Detroit’s Finest won the Match-up of the Week, but still check out how they did later in this article. We’ll see if we feature one of the remaining undefeated teams in the Week 12 Match-up of the Week, or if someone sends me a compelling alternative match-up on Twitter (@SteveVT33) to use.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of November 23rd.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our eleventh Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for 2021 is a first time winner, but someone who has been up for the past several weeks, so it shouldn’t be surprising that he finally won. Our winner this week is: Jonathan Taylor

Taylor becomes just the fourth RB to be the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week in just over two and a half seasons. Taylor had the second best RB performance in Dynasty Owner history with 55.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (185 rushing yards, 4 rushing TDs, 3 receptions, 19 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). Taylor was expected to be good this year as he had the lowest ADP of any player in 2021 Dynasty Owner start-up drafts (ADP 2.3). However, that can be attributed as much to his salary ($1.96 million) as his expected performance this season. He has exceeded his production from 15 games played his rookie season (261.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) in just 11 games so far this season (273.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Taylor has been producing at a high level for the past eight weeks as he has scored at least one TD and more than 100 yards from scrimmage in all eight games and averaged 30.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points during that time. He has moved far ahead of Derrick Henry as the RB1 for the Dynasty Owner season and is averaging nearly as many points per game as Henry did before his injury (24.85 points per game for Taylor vs. 25.9 for Henry). Taylor should easily continue to be one of the top RBs in Dynasty Owner for the next two seasons at his current salary and production.

Week 11 Points: 55.4

2021 Salary: $1,957,287

Cost per Point: $35,330

Congratulations to Jonathan on winning the first Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor of your career.

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The eleventh Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week for the 2021 season is: Marquez Valdes-Scantling

This is the second time that Valdes-Scantling has been the winner of this award. He was also the best value in Week 10 of the 2020 season when he had his career high of 24.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. This week, he had 22.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions, 123 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) for the fifth game of his career with more than 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He has specialized in long TD receptions during his career as the 75-yard TD reception he had this week was his fourth career TD reception of more than 70 yards. Valdes-Scantling is the epitome of a player who is up and down. He has eight career games with a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) to go along with those five 20.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy point games.

Week 11 Points: 22.3

2021 Salary: $669,388

Cost per Point: $30,017

Congratulations Marquez on your first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor this season and the second one of your career.

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 11. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Jonathan Taylor because he was the consensus top pick in Dynasty Owner this year and is on an amazing streak of eight straight games with a rushing TD and 18.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Instead, these are players who might normally be on your Bench or Practice Squad (or even not on many Dynasty Owner rosters), but likely weren’t Starters in Week 11 when they ended up having an up week and should have been.

QB: Cam Newton (CAR) – 32.0 points

It’s been quite the whirlwind couple of weeks for Cam Newton. It was on November 11th that Carolina signed Newton to its active roster. He played a little bit three days later and had two TDs and 13.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. As a result, he was named the Week 11 starter and ended up with 32.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (189 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 46 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD). From the depths of being released by New England in training camp then sitting on the sidelines for over two months, to signing with your former team and getting a thunderous ovation in his first home game, that’s been the 2021 season for Cam Newton. It would have been better if he led them to a victory, but that didn’t happen. While his roster percentage is up to 95.3% now, I’m not sure if all of those Dynasty Owner ended up having Cam in their Starting lineup, or if they did, planned on him being a Top 5 QB this week. That’s what he did in his return to the Carolina Starting lineup and his Dynasty Owners should have put them in their Starting lineup as well.

Honorable mention to Trevor Siemian of the New Orleans Saints. This is his second straight appearance here and the fourth consecutive week that he has scored more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than the previous week. Even though the Saints have lost three games in a row with him at QB and their playoff chances keep going down, his fantasy points have been going up. This week, he scored 30.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (214 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 16 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 2 INTs) in the Saints 40-29 loss to the Eagles. It’ll be interesting to see if Siemian can keep his streak going, while the Saints break their losing streak on Thanksgiving against the up and down Buffalo Bills. This was yet another up week for Siemian, and he should have been in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup.

RB: Dontrell Hilliard (TEN) – 16.8 points

Ever since Derrick Henry was lost for the rest of the Dynasty Owner regular season, Dynasty Owners (and the Tennessee Titans) have been trying to find a RB to replace him. While it was expected that Jeremy McNichols would step in since he’s been with the team and on the active roster for the whole season, instead it’s been a series of new faces taking the lead RB role for Tennessee. In Week 9, Adrian Peterson got signed to the practice squad on Thursday, promoted to the active roster on Friday and scored 9.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points on Sunday. Former practice squad player D’Onta Foreman had 9.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 10. In Week 11, it was Dontrell Hilliard, another practice squad player, who stepped in to lead the Titans’ RBs. Hilliard had a career high 16.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (35 rushing yards, 8 receptions, 47 receiving yards, 65 return yards, 1 fumble). Neither Peterson nor Foreman have been able to repeat their best performance, so it remains to be seen if Hilliard can stay up on top of the Titans RB depth chart, or if he’ll go back down to the practice squad. If you are one of the very few Dynasty Owners with Hilliard on your roster now (0.59% rostered), then hopefully you saw this performance coming and put him in your Starting lineup.

WR: Marquise Goodwin (CHI) – 23.4 points

Marquise Goodwin had one of the most interesting two NFL seasons. At the start of 2020, he was a member of the San Francisco 49ers, but was traded to the Philadelphia Eagles before the NFL draft in late April. He signed a new contract with the Eagles, but then was one of the first players to opt out of the 2020 season due to COVID-19. He didn’t play at all for Philadelphia and reverted back to the 49ers roster when the 2021 NFL league year started. The 49ers released him, and he was signed by the Chicago Bears. He has played in all ten games for the Bears in 2021, but had little impact until Week 11 when he scored 23.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions, 104 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). He earned his Dynasty Owners a 3-point clutch scoring bonus for his 49-yard TD pass from Andy Dalton with under two minutes left in the Bears-Ravens game. His performance had been down before this week as he was averaging only 3.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game (29.2 points in nine games). Goodwin replaced Allen Robinson in the Bears starting lineup and should have been in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup if your team is one of the 9.5% of teams with him on the roster.

TE: Josiah Deguara (GB) – 11.7 points

For much of the season, this space has featured the most unlikely of the unlikely TEs to score a TD on a weekly basis. Two weeks ago, Stephen Anderson of the Chargers was here when he scored 13.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but for the past two weeks, Anderson hasn’t had any Dynasty Owner fantasy points. This week, it’s Josiah Deguara of the Green Bay Packers who had scored a total of 15.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (9 receptions for 65 receiving yards) in his career prior to scoring his first TD and providing 11.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions, 37 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) to his Dynasty Owners in Week 11. Deguara had been on the upswing as an infrequent target for Aaron Rodgers since the season-ending knee injury to Robert Tonyan in Week 8. Not sure if there will be any additional weeks like Week 11 for Deguara, or if he’s going to go back to producing few points like he had been doing in the weeks prior. Either way, he should have been in your Week 11 Dynasty Owner Starting lineup.

K: Evan McPherson (CIN) – 20.0 points

A 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy point week is the definition of an “up” week for a kicker and that’s what Evan McPherson had this week for the Cincinnati Bengals. He was the #14 ranked kicker coming into Week 11 with three weeks of double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but also a down week when he missed two FGs and had -2.0 points. McPherson wasn’t even perfect this week as he missed a PAT attempt, but nailed all four of his FGs attempts, including three from beyond 50 yards (51, 53 and 54 yarders) which are worth 5.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points each. He added a 47-yard FG (worth 4.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and two out of three PATs for a total of 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Even though many Dynasty Owners used a 2021 start-up draft pick on him (ADP 197.9) or a third-round rookie draft pick (rookie draft ADP 30.4), he may not have been in everybody’s Starting lineup in Week 11 when he should have been.

Honorable mention to Philadelphia Eagles kicker Jake Elliott who was also on this list in Weeks 8 and 10 and doesn’t qualify anymore as he’s now the #6 kicker for the entire season in Dynasty Owner. It’s taken three great weeks for Elliott as the 44.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points he has scored in Weeks 8, 10 and 11 outpaces the 36.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the other eight games. That’s pretty up and down, even for a kicker. This week, he was even better than his other two great weeks as he made eight kicks for a total of 17.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (FGs of 33 yards, 37 yards, 47 yards and 50 yards plus 4 PATs). Hopefully his Dynasty Owners started putting him in their Starting lineup after the previous two appearances here and didn’t wait for the third one.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been in your Starting lineup but wasn’t, we have at least one highly drafted or highly ranked player who probably was in your Starting lineup, but would have been better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who scored either negative or only a few Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 11. All of them should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad.

QB: Dak Prescott (DAL) – 0.8 points

Dak Prescott was extremely close to have a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) or even worse. If his second interception of the night had come one play earlier, before his 16-yard completion to Michael Gallup, then Dak would have finished with 200 yards passing and exactly 0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. And if his fumble in the second quarter hadn’t gone out of bounds, he would have had -2.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Both of those outcomes are even worse than the 0.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy point game (216 passing yards, 2 INTs, 2 fumbles – 1 lost) that Dak mustered against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 11. It was his second “down” week of the season, but easily worse than his first one when he scored 7.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 2 and much worse than any games he had in either 2019 or 2020. He has had four “up” weeks with 30.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points this season, but not this week. Prescott should have been on your Bench, or Practice Squad, for Week 11.

RB: Darrel Williams (KC) – 3.6 points

Without Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the Kansas City Chiefs’ lineup, Darrel Williams picked it up significantly and averaged 17.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. He was playing like a top RB and had his best week of the season in Week 10 against Las Vegas with 29.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Even though Edwards-Helaire was supposed to be back for Week 11, it seemed that Williams would still likely have a significant role after playing so well for five weeks. Unfortunately for everyone who had been relying on Williams in their Dynasty Owner Starting lineup, he went back to his backup usage from the start of the season when he averaged just over 4.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. The lower than anticipated six touches yielded only 3.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (15 rushing yards, 1 reception, 11 receiving yards). That’s not even really Bench level production and definitely not worthy of having in your Starting lineup.

WR: Brandin Cooks (HOU) – 3.8 points

In his first three starts, Houston QB Tyrod Taylor completed 55 passes for 756 passing yards with Brandin Cooks hauling in 20 of those passes for 266 yards, or just over one-third of those completions and yards. That seemed to bode well for Cooks staying in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup, even if Taylor didn’t play great. In Week 11, the Texans’ offense had less than 200 yards of total offense, including only 14 pass completions for 107 yards for Taylor. Unfortunately for Cooks, he didn’t get his usual one-third of the receptions and yards from Taylor. He did worse than that with only 2 receptions for 18 receiving yards (3.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). It was his worst game of the 2021 season and the second worst of his career in Houston. Since Cooks had scored over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 17 out of his 24 games as a Texan, it was a clear unexpected down week for him and one in which he should have been on your Bench.

TE: C.Z. Uzomah (CIN) – 2.9 points

For the season, Uzomah was TE13 heading into Week 11, but with Tyler Higbee and Noah Fant on bye, he could have easily been pressed into the Starting lineup for Dynasty Owners even though he is the poster boy for up and down. He’s been so good twice with 26.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 4 and 24.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 7 that he has been the TE1 in both of those weeks. In the other seven weeks, he has averaged only 5.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Pretty much two “up” games and seven “down” games for Uzomah before another down performance in Week 11 when he had just 2.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions for 9 receiving yards). Hopefully, his Dynasty Owners had another better option this week and didn’t put Uzomah in their Starting lineup.

K: Tyler Bass (BUF) – -3.0 points

There were quite a few kickers who had down weeks, but none were worse than Tyler Bass who missed two long FGs of 49 yards and 57 yards and made his only PAT attempt to score -3.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Prior to Week 11, Bass had only missed one other FG attempt (a 53 yarder back in Week 2 against Miami). He had a low scoring game of 3.0 points that week, but no other games with fewer than 6.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That left him tied for the #5 ranked kicker in Dynasty Owner with Randy Bullock who also had a down Week 11 with zero points. Younghoe Koo and Cairo Santos also had negative Dynasty Owner fantasy points (-2.0 for Koo and -1.0 for Santos) this week and Matt Prater had a zero, but all of them were ranked lower than Bass and didn’t cost their teams as many points as Bass did. Hopefully your Dynasty Owner teams had three kickers and Bass was on your Practice Squad, or you accidentally had one of the kickers on bye in your Starting lineup or on your Bench instead of Bass.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week Recap – Detroit’s Finest vs. Maple Bandits

Detroit’s Finest continued their winning ways with a robust victory over Maple Bandits to stay undefeated in League #74733, the Dynasty Dorks Pros vs. Joes (Lobos FF Den). However, both had down weeks and failed to hit their projected points.

Detroit’s Finest was able to overcome two Blutarskys (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) in their Starting lineup plus one on their Bench. Neither Marquise Brown nor Antonio Brown played in Week 11 even though they were in the Starting lineup and on the Bench for Detroit’s Finest. Their Starting kicker, Randy Bullock, got his Blutarsky by making one PAT attempt and missing another one. Detroit’s Finest did get a season-high 37.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points from Vikings WR Justin Jefferson and solid performances by Travis Kelce (18.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), Najee Harris (16.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), D.J. Moore (16.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and Leonard Fournette (13.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) to easily defeat Maple Bandits.

Christian McCaffrey did his part with 24.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for Maple Bandits, but Patrick Mahomes only had 8.1 points and none of the other players in their Starting lineup contributed many points at all. The 72.93 Dynasty Owner fantasy points scored by Maple Bandits was their lowest point total of the season and comes the week after they had their best scoring week of the season (156.13 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) in Week 10. Another instance of a Dynasty Owner team being up one week and down the next one.

Detroit’s Finest dropped out of the Top 10 in the Chase for the Ring standings as mentioned in the introduction. We’ll have to see who jumped up to replace them in the Top 10 after their second lowest scoring week of the season.

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

There was actually more movement in the Top 10 than in previous weeks, with three teams moving in and out. One of the top teams all season had their worst week to drop out of the Top 25 entirely, while two other teams are on the upswing as they scored the most points in a game this season and cracked the Top 10.

The top six teams stayed intact with a little internal movement, including at the very top. The top spot flipped back to The Road Warriors who overtook SKOL Vikings (League #31927) by scoring a personal season-high of 231.13 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 11. SKOL Vikings (League #31927) scored 197.63 points this week, but dropped into second place. DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) scored 207.0 points but remained in third place and even lost ground in their quest for first place. Thee Camel Toe Jockey didn’t have their worst week of the season, but it was still a down week as they lost for the first time and dropped from fourth place to sixth place. Havana Club 79 and Blaze’s Backyard Burners both moved up a spot.

We have three completely new teams in the Top 10 this week. Two teams had their highest scoring weeks of the season and catapulted into the Top 10 for the first time. All Might had 238.25 points and is now in seventh place, while juan blanco had even more points than that (259.35 points) to move into eighth place overall. The final new team in the Top 10 is THE DOTHRAKI in ninth place.

Heeb Unit was in ninth place last week, but fell all the way down to 40th place after scoring a season low 85.5 points in Week 11. This shows how easy it is to fall with a down week as Heeb Unit first appeared in the Top 10 in Week 3 in first place and had stayed in the Top 10 for eight straight weeks. The other team to drop out of the Top 10 was bradysbunch12 who fell 11 spots from seventh to 18th place. 

Conclusions

With the up and downs of the NFL season, it’s impressive that we still have four undefeated Dynasty Owner teams eleven weeks into the season. Since all Dynasty Owner leagues are comprised of 12 teams, that means they have defeated everyone in their League already. Maybe one of the three teams they face for the second time this season will rise up and beat them.

With Week 12 and Thanksgiving rapidly approaching, I hope all Dynasty Owners are as thankful as I am for being able to play in such an innovative and challenging fantasy football format. Some of my teams are up and others are down, but I’m thankful for all of them and for everyone who reads my articles, watches my weekly preview videos, or views the weekly Livestream.

Every week, Dynasty Owners get the following content to help them in their quest to win their League and compete in the Chase for the Ring. First, we have Jay Pounds doing the Monday Night Football preview on Monday afternoons and his Free Agent Auction targets article and video on Tuesdays. Matt Morrison – The Jerk continues his Wednesday article and video series and then is back on Thursday afternoon with his Thursday Night Football preview. This week, he has a special Thanksgiving Thursday preview article that will drop earlier than normal. Finally, my article and video previewing the rest of the weekly slate of games will appear on Friday. Check it out to see how my Week 11 recommendations fared and what teams are featured in the Match-up of the Week.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of us plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Free Agent Auction Targets: Week 12

By: Jay Pounds (@JayPoundsNFL)

Dynasty Owners welcome back to one of the last few weeks of the 2021 Free Agent Auction targets series. As the season starts to wind down so does the amount of free agents available. In last week’s article, the Number 1 target (Cam Newton) paid off big time, but a big time free agent pickup this late in Dynasty Owner will likely be an outlier in the years to come. If you think I am lying just wait until you see the list of today’s free agents.

Before we jump straight into the mayhem of finding a suitable replacement, let’s run through my favorite segment of the week, Jay’s weekly recap. It’s just like Chris Berman’s fastest 3 minutes only slower! In our opener for the segment, I will start where you should expect by now, Baker Mayfield and the Browns. I went and watched the Browns versus Lions live and I must say it was just as bad in person. Even as banged up as Baker is, the performance against the Lions was unacceptable and the mood around Cleveland now seems to be, it’s time for a new QB. Has Baker lost the Cleveland fan base? If not he is certainly on the verge of losing the locker room after his wife took to social media to question the rest of the Browns players’ toughness. If this isn’t enough to make you worry, a trusted reporter out of Cleveland reported that Baker Mayfield and head coach Kevin Stefanski do not see eye to eye. In my opinion, Baker acts like a spoiled kid and throws a fit when things go bad. I know that was much longer than expected but it’s drama worth covering living in the heart of Browns country.

The next game we have is an impressive win by the Ravens over the Bears without Lamar Jackson and a cast of misfits at running back. The Chiefs managed to stay hot defeating a tough Cowboys team in what really was an ugly game all the way around. The Saints have decided to stick with Trevor Siemian over Taysom Hill for some reason and I feel it will cost them a shot at the playoffs this season. The Bills struggled once again and while I am not completely worried about Josh Allen, I am slightly concerned at this point. The Bills need a running game in a bad way. The Minnesota Vikings continued to be the NFL’s most hard to predict team after beating the Packers in a high scoring contest. In the Toilet Bowl of the week, the Dolphins narrowly edged out former Super Bowl MVP Joe Flacco and the New York Jets. The Bengals got back on track with a win against Las Vegas making the AFC North a close four team race that should come down to the final week. Arizona continues to find ways to win without their best two players, Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. My Steelers blew a very winnable game on Sunday night against the Chargers, but I have to take my hat off to Justin Herbert as he played a fantastic football game. Finally, we have our Monday night game between the Bucs and Giants and as we all expected Tom Brady took care of business and got back on the right track. As upsets continue to mount this season what will happen next?

Alright Dynasty Owners, we are back with another week of trying to find a diamond in the rough with the Free Agent Auction targets. The free agent articles/videos will be dropping every Tuesday afternoon in advance of when bids process on Wednesday at 5 AM and will consist of the week’s Top 5 free agent adds. I will do my best to keep the players listed at an ownership percentage of 65% or less and make sure all players have contracts of $8,000,000 or less, with most players coming in at under $4,000,000. One last note, in Dynasty Owner you will be credited each week with 25% of your entire Bench’s score making these weekly free agent pick-ups extremely important to help boost your total weekly score.

On to the top targets for Week 12:

  1. DeAndre Carter – (WR – WAS) 1 year/$970,000 – 31.36% Rostered

DeAndre Carter was someone I really considered putting on this list last week, but I wanted to diversify and put in multiple running backs. It ultimately cost Carter his spot on the list and let me tell you, Carter was about as unhappy as Terrell Owens when he did not get selected to the Hall of Fame in his first-year eligible. I am kidding of course! After another week of finding the end zone, Carter can no longer be ignored. Over the past three games for the Football Team, Carter has been able to find paydirt each week and will look to continue building on his recent success in Week 12. Taylor Heinicke has taken a liking to Carter where it matters most which makes him a Bench play if you are desperate.

  • Josh Reynolds – (WR – DET) 1 Year/$1,750,000 – 46.15% Rostered

If you are going to be picking Josh Reynolds up, I urge you to not look at the stat sheet from last week as it was a rough outing for the entire Lions offense. In his debut with the Lions, Reynolds saw more snaps than any other receiver on the roster and was the only player Tim Boyle targeted deep in his first start. If Reynolds continues to see a workload like this as the season goes, he will surely be putting up fill-in Bench worthy production. That’s the best compliment a Lions receiver will get out of me this season. As long of a shot as it is, Reynolds could play well and find a home in Detroit past this season and become a cheap Bench option on our Dynasty Owner teams for many years to come. Hey, a man can dream right?

  • Cedrick Wilson – (WR – DAL) 1 year/$2,183,000 – 34.91% Rostered

While Cedrick Wilson is not going to be a long term play, he can help your team win next week and possibly the week after. Wilson’s teammate Amari Cooper tested positive for Covid and must sit out the minimum of 10 days before he is able to return. Usually, this scenario means one game missed but the Cowboys traditionally play on Thanksgiving every year, meaning they will have a short week and not enough time for Cooper to clear the required protocols. I know Wilson did not have the most glorious stat line in Week 11, but the entire Cowboys offense seemed to struggle. The other huge positive in picking Wilson up is he is a versatile kid who can fill in for Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, or Michael Gallup when injured giving him more opportunity to find your lineup each week.

  • Rex Burkhead – (RB – HOU) 1 year/$1,500,000 – 10.06% Rostered

I honestly feel like I am leading all of us down the field with two minutes to go, down by three and I pull a Baker Mayfield. Instead of a beautiful throw to a top tier receiver to win the game, I turn around and hand it off to Rex Burkhead and lose the game. I hope that puts all of you squarely into my state of mind when writing this. On a more serious note, Burkhead was given 18 carries in a game the Texans led from wire to wire. I am not sure this means great things to come for Burkhead, but it does mean he may be the only player getting consistent touches in this horrid backfield moving forward. The Texans aren’t a good team, but they are a capable team with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback which means the running backs should have some type of value if they are not getting blown out in games.

  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (WR – TEN) 1 year/$610,000 – 34.91% Rostered

Another week, another player appearing again in the Free Agent Auction targets article. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine had another fabulous game Sunday after doing nothing for virtually the past 6 weeks, but his performance deserves a look. The Titans offense has been tough to predict recently with Marcus Johnson, D’Onta Foreman, Jeremy McNichols, Adrian Peterson, and Dontrelle Hillard all having a good game over the past 4-5 weeks. The one thing I do like a lot about Westbrook-Ikhine is that both times he has had four or more targets in a game this season, he has produced solid fantasy numbers. Hopefully the Titans have noticed that as well

Please do not forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you for reading and as always good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Monday Night Football Preview: Week 11

Giants vs Buccaneers

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

What is up Dynasty Owners? Welcome back to another episode of Jay’s Value of the Game prediction does nothing on Monday night! In last week’s article, I had Elijah Mitchell pegged as my Value of the Game and he missed the mark with his teammate Deebo Samuel leading the way. Deebo has taken the league by storm in his third season and while I thought he had a chance at Value of the Game, I thought Elijah Mitchell’s low salary ($915,982) would keep him ahead and would ultimately be too much to overcome. Well, I found out when it’s Deebo’s year, it’s Deebo’s year. Even at a little under double the amount of Mitchell’s salary ($1,811,869), Deebo Samuel still ended as last week’s Value of the Game. It is remarkable what Deebo Samuel has been able to do thus far, and I see no reason it stops here!

What to Watch For

Welcome back to another addition of, What to Watch For! In tonight’s game, there are a few things I will be looking for, but I must admit the biggest, intriguing story line coming out of this game is Brady’s lack of success against the Men in Blue. Sorry for the reminder, Steve Van Tassell. Those must be bad memories, but as a Patriots fan it’s the only upsetting moments you have had in recent memory, and I am sure you are more than ok with a few bad moments for all the good Brady brought throughout the years. All jokes aside, I will be keeping an eye on how Tom Brady performs as he has struggled over the past two weeks in losses to the Saints and Football Team. The only other major thing I will be looking for on the Bucs side of the ball is the depth behind Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and who gets the targets with Antonio Brown out. On the other side of the ball, we have Tom Brady’s biggest nemesis, the New York Giants. The last couple things I will be watching for on this game all have to do with Giants’ personnel. Kenny Golladay has been banged throughout this season missing Weeks 5-8 with injuries before coming back to a quiet outing in Week 9. If Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepard, Kadarius Toney, and Golladay can all get right this Giants offense may be going somewhere. Let’s see if at least three of the four can get back to normal this week.

Jay’s Monday Night Prediction

 
New York Giants 17    Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35

Over/Under Projections

Buccaneers

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Tom BradyQB$25,000,00029.3Over
Leonard FournetteRB$3,250,00015.9Under
Mike EvansWR$16,500,00019.1Over
Chris GodwinWR$15,983,00017.2Over
Rob GronkowskiTE$8,000,00010.0Over

Giants

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Daniel JonesQB$6,416,01421.7Under
Saquon BarkleyRB$7,798,68814.8Over
Kenny GolladayWR$18,000,00011.6Under
Kadarius ToneyWR$3,429,87712.4Over
Evan EngramTE$6,013,0007.6Under

Jay’s Dynasty Owner Games of the Week

Each week I will pick two games that are close in score and will likely be decided during Monday Night Football. If you happen to find yourself in this situation on Sunday night, please get ahold of me on Twitter (@jaypoundsnfl) and I will gladly feature your game here.

Game 1 – League #27483 (Beta Test League #3)

Quaranteam – Playoff Lenny (aka Leonard Fournette) in Starting lineup left to play

As a good friend of mine, I hope Quaranteam finds a way to pull out the victory, but if you checked out my projections earlier in the article you will see I don’t think it will happen. Tom Brady has struggled some over the past few weeks losing against the Saints and Football Team which makes me feel as if Brady is going to come out and prove a point. Every time I hear conversations about Brady being on the decline, he goes on a massive MVP type run. One thing I’ve learned in my years as a sports fan, never bet against Tom Brady! Quaranteam certainly has a shot, but they will need a low scoring game to win. Is it going to be Playoff Lenny time?

VIP Club Dub – Chris Godwin in Starting lineup left to play

VIP Club Dub, who I will refer to as Dub, has themselves in an excellent spot going into Monday night. Tom Brady tends to shine on the big stage and during the season, no games are bigger than Monday Night Football. I am expecting Brady to come out on fire to make a statement and that spells good things for Chris Godwin. As I mentioned earlier, a low scoring game would benefit Dub’s opponent Quaranteam, while Dub is hoping for a typical Brady with the Bucs game to pull out a win.

Game 2 – League #30058

Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad – No one in Starting lineup or on Bench left to play

Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad currently leads heading into Monday night’s matchup and after checking out my projections, they should be feeling pretty good about winning their match-up this week. In an extremely tight contest by projections, Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad is projected to lose by just .26 points. While I typically hate this scenario where you are left to watch and hope, I would not mind being in this spot at all this week. Doritos Cheese Ninja Squad should pull this one out by a couple of points with Tom Brady making it a point to put up big numbers and keep Leonard Fournette’s production down.

Nashville Riverboat Gamblers – Playoff Lenny (aka Leonard Fournette) in Starting lineup left to play

Finally, we have Nashville Riverboat Gamblers making their first appearance of the season in Jay’s Dynasty Owner Games of the Week. They have just one player left to play and as I mentioned in the Game 1 preview for Quaranteam, Riverboat Gamblers will likely need a low scoring contest to pull out the win. However, if Playoff Lenny continues to put up solid PPR numbers, this matchup could get dicey fast. Good luck to those of you depending on Playoff Lenny, I believe you will need it tonight.

Value of the Game

Over the course of this season, I have had a tough time finding the Value of the Game. There have only been one or two games where the value truly stuck out, but either way we are going to keep trying. In case you missed it, Diontae Johnson had the game on Sunday night (7 catches, 101 yards, 1 TD) that I was expecting when I selected him as my Value of the Game two weeks ago against the Chicago Bears.

As the end of Week 11 draws near, it means it is now time for me to give it a go again and tonight, I will be rolling with the youngster Tyler Johnson. In this game, all the usual players you would think of when seeing this matchup on paper just have too high of a salary to be considered for Value of the Game. One option I have is to select a higher priced player, but even Kadarius Toney at just over a $3 million in salary would have trouble keeping up with a player who produces a few Dynasty Owner fantasy points and is under $1,000,000 in salary on Dynasty Owner. If the main guys produce big like expected in this game, it is entirely possible we see someone win this award who has a stat line around two catches for 20 yards. Sometimes values jump off the paper, sometimes you can’t see them if you look through a magnifying glass! Tyler Johnson ($902,355) has seemed to gain Brady’s trust more and more each time they take the field together and with Antonio Brown out for tonight’s game, it is time for Johnson to step up on national TV and get people familiar with his name. Tyler Johnson is my Week 11 Value of the Game!

Winner – Tyler Johnson

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Tyler Johnson568011.8

Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction article and video that will be released on Tuesday afternoon before Free Agent Auction bids are processed on Wednesday at 5 AM. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly Tuesday recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you all for reading and hopefully tonight’s game will be a good one with all these projections coming true. Stay safe and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Week 11 Preview – Undefeated

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

It only took until Week 8 before the final NFL team (Arizona Cardinals) dropped from the ranks of the undefeated. Arizona was the only undefeated team for three weeks.  Heading into Week 4, there were five undefeated teams (Arizona, Carolina, Denver, Las Vegas, and Los Angeles Rams), but four of them lost to go 3-1. Once Arizona lost, the only undefeated team in NFL history (the 1972 Miami Dolphins) got to do their traditional champagne pop for the year.

Even though Arizona was the last undefeated team in the NFL, it doesn’t make them the favorites to win the Super Bowl. The last team to win the Super Bowl and be the final team to lose their undefeated season were the Indianapolis Colts back in 2006. Since then, six other teams have made it to the Super Bowl but lost after being the final undefeated team of the season.

In Dynasty Owner, our first Chase for the Ring winner in 2019 (New York’s Strongest) went undefeated, but they remain the only undefeated team in Dynasty Owner history. The 2020 Ring winner (Barbee Kilgore) lost their first game in Week 5. They followed that up with another loss in Week 6 and even suffered a third loss in the regular season.

Last year, there were four undefeated teams (Here for the beers in League #28289, Baby Got Dak in League #34661, Backstage Bums in League #36362 and My Corona in League #30539) heading into Week 10 and all four of them ended up losing. 

We are in a similar spot right now as Dynasty Owner has five undefeated teams. By winning their first ten games, all five have gone undefeated longer than anyone did last year. The five undefeated teams are:

Team NameLeagueChase Position
DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew)274583rd
Thee Camel Toe Jockey666454th
Detroit’s Finest7473310th
Miami Crypt Keepers5907444th
The HipHopOpatomus70068110th

Do these five teams have anything (besides being undefeated) in common? Not surprisingly, all of them are favored to win their match-ups this week by margins ranging from just 3.13 points to almost 80 points (78.84). All of them have also appeared in the Top 10 of the Chase for the Ring at some point during this season, even if they aren’t there now. None of them have a full compliment of 30 players on their roster right now either.

There are some differences as well. By looking at the league numbers, we can see that four of the teams drafted this season with only DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) being a second year team. They won their league in 2020 and finished sixth in the Chase for the Ring. In addition, four teams are in cash leagues, two can also pocket $300 while two other ones will earn themselves $600 if they can win their League.

In terms of players, I expected that all five teams would share a player (or two) in common and was correct in that assumption, but incorrect on the particular player. Because Cooper Kupp is so far ahead of his competition at WR (48.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points ahead of Tyreek Hill), I speculated that all five teams likely had him on their roster. However, only three of them do. There is only one top player who is on all of the undefeated teams right now.

The top player that all five teams share is Travis Kelce. That’s right, the same Travis Kelce who was one of the most drafted players by 2020 Dynasty Owner league winners according to an off-season analysis that I did. Kelce was drafted by 20% of 2020 league winners, tied with Alvin Kamara, and behind only Jonnu Smith who was drafted by 21.1%.

The only remaining questions are:

  • Can any of these teams stay undefeated for the rest of the Dynasty Owner regular season?
  • How many will win their League title?
  • Will one of them win the Chase for the Ring?

We’ll see what happens over the next seven weeks. That’s right, it’s Week 11 of the 14-game Dynasty Owner regular season and there are only seven weeks left (four regular season weeks and the three week playoffs). Only seven more weeks left for me to give Dynasty Owners a player at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) to have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup. Only seven more weeks for me to name one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad.

In keeping with this week’s theme, one of the five undefeated teams will be featured in our Match-up of the Week. Keep reading and find out which team it is. Don’t forget that suggestions are welcomed for the remaining Match-ups of the Week. If you want your team or a team in your League to appear in the future, then send me a tweet (@SteveVT33).

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of November 19th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s look at how my Week 10 recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I predicted performances worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup for these four players last week. I’ve yet to have an “undefeated” perfect week with four Good recommendation, or even a week without at least one Bad recommendation. Let’s see if that changed.

QB: Teddy Bridgewater – 11.3 (Bad recommendation)

RB: Devin Singletary – 10.9 (Just Ok recommendation)

WR: Marvin Jones – 5.5 (Bad recommendation)

TE: Tyler Conklin – 16.1 (Good recommendation)

It did not. My TE recommendations continue to be the best of the bunch as while Tyler Conklin was held to only three receptions for 11 yards, he had two TDs. That makes five Good Starting TE recommendations on the season. At the opposite end of the spectrum, I nearly had my first Good RB recommendation as Devin Singletary was on the edge of being a RB2 for the week, so that recommendation was Just Ok. Neither Teddy Bridgewater nor Marvin Jones came through and both of those recommendations were Bad. I’m going to try and have my first “undefeated” week by naming the following four players as ones who should be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup this week.

Ryan Tannehill (QB – TEN): Over his past two seasons with Tennessee, Ryan Tannehill has averaged 32.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Houston, which is higher than his overall average of 28.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. He has thrown for nine TDs and run for three more against them in those four games. That’s an average of three TDs per game. The Titans are on a roll coming into this week’s game against the Texans having won six games in a row, even as Tannehill has averaged only 20.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Overall, Tannehill is QB15 for the season scoring an average of 20.55 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game with a low game of 14.1 points in Week 6 against Buffalo. All of that makes him a solid Bench QB. However, with Derrick Henry still missing from the Titans’ lineup, Tannehill is going to have to pass more to the 11 players who caught a pass for Tennessee last week against New Orleans. Because of his history against Houston, Tannehill should do well, score more points than average, be a Top 12 QB this week and worthy of a spot in your Starting lineup.

Jeffery Wilson (RB – SF): With Elijah Mitchell doubtful to play this week, it’s time for another RB to take charge of the San Francisco backfield. Although he just got back off Injured Reserve last week and only scored 2.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (28 rushing yards), it appears that Jeffery Wilson is the next man up. Wilson played in 12 games for the 49ers in 2020 and finished as RB31 with 144.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (12.0 points per game). However, when given the chance to be the featured RB and get more than 15 touches, he did really well with four games of more than 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. While Jacksonville is a middle of the pack defense against RBs, they have allowed double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points to eight different RBs, including 26.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to Jonathan Taylor last week. While Wilson isn’t quite on Taylor’s level, the 49ers have been an above average rushing team with two rookies (Elijah Mitchell and Trey Sermon) leading the way. Even in only his second game of the year, Wilson should be worth having in your Starting lineup in Week 11.

Keelan Cole (WR – NYJ): While undefeated DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) owner Rudy Valentine believes that Cole will catch a TD pass from Joe Flacco, I don’t have the same confidence. However, I wanted to put this here in case it happens to give Rudy his props for believing in this and wagering $5 million Dynasty Dollars on Keelan Cole and Joe Flacco. The best of all possible worlds is that Cole gets the TD, but only has one or two catches plus 12 receiving yards, so he falls short of 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup. That way, Rudy will be correct and so will I for not listing Cole here. We shall see what happens!

Rashod Bateman (WR – BAL): My choice for this spot is really Rashod Bateman. Bateman missed the first five games of his rookie season with a groin injury. Dynasty Owners may have missed this injury with all of the injuries to Baltimore RBs in the pre-season, but it happened, he had surgery, was on Injured Reserve and is now back. He did miss practice on Thursday but was back on Friday, so hopefully he’s good to go on Sunday against the Bears. In the four games that Bateman has played this season, he has scored 42.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (10.5 points per game) without a TD. He is being targeted an average of seven times per game. The Bears did well against the Steelers’ WRs two weeks ago before their bye week, but allowed plenty of Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the two previous weeks to Deebo Samuel (23.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), Chris Godwin (25.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and Mike Evans (31.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). While Bateman is probably not as good as those three WRs, he’s good enough to keep up his current pace and probably exceed it, so he should be good to add to your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup.

Adam Trautman (TE – NO): Trautman might be one of the few people who would prefer New Orleans stick with Trevor Siemian at QB instead of changing to Taysom Hill. That’s because in the two games Siemian has started at QB, Trautman has probably had the best two game stretch of his short NFL career with 9 receptions for 79 receiving yards (16.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). He had only 18.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the first seven games of the season (2.6 points per game) with 11 receptions for 104 receiving yards and a lost fumble. He has only needed a TD to be a Top 12 TE in each of the past two weeks. Good for him that the Saints are travelling to Philadelphia this week to play the Eagles who are the worst team in the NFL at stopping TEs. The Eagles are allowing the most receptions per game to TEs (7.5), the most yards per game (73.3) and have given up the most TD receptions as well (8). Over the past five games, eight different TEs have scored 10.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points when facing the Eagles defense and only two of them (T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant) are ranked in the Top 12 TEs in Dynasty Owner. He’s been a disappointment for his Dynasty Owners so far this season, but they should look past that and put Trautman in their Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

After a perfect Week 1 with four Good Bench recommendations, my Bench recommendations have been up and down. Usually, they are better than the Starting lineup recommendations, so let’s find out if that was true in Week 10.

QB: Aaron Rodgers – 11.4 (Good recommendation)

RB: Antonio Gibson – 21.8 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Courtland Sutton – 4.9 (Good recommendation)

TE: Zach Ertz – 8.6 (Just Ok recommendation)

While Aaron Rodgers had a better game than the other QB in his game (Russell Wilson), he still didn’t score enough Dynasty Owner fantasy points to be worthy of a spot in your Starting lineup, so that recommendation was Good. The recommendation to Bench Courtland Sutton was also a Good one. Zach Ertz was TE13 for the week, so technically he shouldn’t have been in your Starting lineup, but it’s so close that I have to call that recommendation Just Ok. Finally, Antonio Gibson had a very solid game with 21.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He helped me win a non-Dynasty Owner league game (Alvin Kamara and Damien Harris were both out injured so I had little choice), so I’m not too unhappy that he ended up being a Bad recommendation. Since 11 is just two 1s, maybe I can duplicate my Week 1 predictions with these four players to leave on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Kirk Cousins (QB – MIN): Cousins is the QB9 through Week 10 with four games of 30.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points. However, three of those games came in the first three weeks of the season when he scored an average of 32.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Since then, he has scored less than 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in three games and averaged 23.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. This week, Cousins gets to face the Green Bay Packers and except for his first year in Minnesota back in 2018, he hasn’t played very well in a Vikings uniform against Green Bay. Over the past two years, he is averaging only 14.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game against them. In the past two games this season, the Green Bay defense has allowed just seven points in total. Patrick Mahomes only scored 14.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against them two weeks ago and they held Russell Wilson to a career low 5.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week. I think the Packers defense plays well for the third week in a row and holds down the Minnesota offense and Cousins. Keep Cousins on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

J.D. McKissic (RB – WAS): The Carolina-Washington game this week is unlikely to turn into a shootout with the over/under currently sitting at 43 points. In games in which the Football Team’s opponents scores over 24 points, McKissic is averaging 11.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. In games in which their opponents score 24 or fewer points, his average drops to 9.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Carolina is averaging only 20.5 points per game and has scored 24 or fewer points in six out of ten games. A close game likely means less passing by Washington and McKissic scores 80% of his Dynasty Owner fantasy points from receiving (79.7 out of 99.3 points). In addition, Carolina has only allowed RBs to catch 36 passes for 244 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD in ten games. That’s the fewest receptions and receiving yards on a per game basis in the NFL. Since it’s likely to be a low-scoring game, McKissic doesn’t run the ball much and Carolina is so good at stopping RBs from making an impact in the passing game, it’s hard to see how he gets many Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week. Leave him on your Bench.

D.J. Moore (WR – CAR): For the entire 2021 season, D.J. Moore is the WR14 and has scored 146.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (14.6 points per game). However, it’s really been two separate seasons for Moore as he had 89.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the first four weeks (22.5 points per game) and just 56.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the last six weeks (9.4 points per game). Carolina QB Sam Darnold played well in the first four games, then not so good after that until he got hurt, followed by P.J. Walker (plus a little bit of Cam Newton) for one week. Now, Cam will be the Panthers QB in Week 11 and that’s bad news for Moore’s Dynasty Owners. In 2020, Cam played 15 games for New England. In those 15 games, he had only 8 TD passes, 11 games in which he completed less than 20 passes, 10 games with less than 200 yards passing and four with less than 100 yards passing. While it’s true that Moore is better than any of the New England receivers last year, it won’t matter much if Cam doesn’t throw the football better than he did last year. For all of the great things he did for Carolina last week, he was still just 3 out of 4 passing for 8 yards and a TD. Cam actually had more rushing yards than passing yards (14 rushing vs. 8 passing). I know that this prediction isn’t going to go over well with Tim, the President of the D.J. Moore Fan Club, but I’m going to say it anyway. Leave D.J. Moore on your Dynasty Owner Bench this week.

T.J. Hockenson (TE – DET): Tim Boyle is scheduled to be the Detroit Lions starting QB this week. Boyle is in his fourth season in the NFL and has thrown only four career passes (completing three for 15 yards). While Hockenson is TE7 for the Dynasty Owner season, he is not immune to bad games. He’s had three of them so far this season (3.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Baltimore in Week 3, 4.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Minnesota in Week 5 and 0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Pittsburgh in Week 10). Minnesota and Pittsburgh are ranked around the same place as Cleveland in fantasy points allowed to TEs and with Boyle at QB and coming off thumb surgery, I don’t expect Hockenson to do well at all. It’s not Hockenson’s fault, but unless Boyle turns into Week 8 Mike White 2.0, he’ll struggle so put Hockenson on your Bench.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – Detroit’s Finest vs. Maple Bandits

For our eleventh Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week, we have one of the few undefeated teams left in Dynasty Owner. It’s Detroit’s Finest, the tenth place team in the Chase for the Ring, facing off against Maple Bandits in League #74733, also known as the Dynasty Dorks Pros vs. Joes (Lobos FF Den) league. While Detroit’s Finest is undefeated, Maple Bandits aren’t far behind with an 8-2 record that has them sitting in second place in the League. However, they have been fairly fortunate to be in that position as they are sixth in total points scored in their League.

Even though Detroit’s Finest are projected to score a few points less than their season-long average, they are still a 24.5 point favorite. With the Rams on bye, Detroit’s Finest is missing both Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp, leaving them with Baker Mayfield as their Starting QB and newly picked up Cam Newton as their Bench QB. Detroit’s Finest is really trying to stay undefeated and win the Ring as they dropped six players to pick up Newton. Ironically, they will be rooting for Baker against the winless Detroit Lions this week. The loss of Kupp is easier for Detroit’s Finest to deal with as they have Justin Jefferson and D.J. Moore as their Starting WRs plus Marquise Brown in their FLEX position. Of course, they have Travis Kelce at TE, as all of our current undefeated teams do.

Maple Bandits will need to lean on the combination of Patrick Mahomes and Christian McCaffrey to have a chance to win as none of the remaining players in their Starting lineup are projected to score more than the players in Detroit’s Finest Starting lineup. If they can somehow pull of the upset, Maple Bandits will clinch a playoff berth as the sixth place team in their league is currently 5-5 so nine wins will be enough to make it.

Conclusion

Detroit’s Finest are the clear favorite to stay undefeated as are four out of the five undefeated teams. However, having multiple undefeated teams lose at once is not unprecedented. With some of the lopsided match-ups, it’s unlikely to happen this year, but I’m sure there was an upset or two (or maybe four) last year.

That doesn’t their Chase for the Ring and League Championship dreams are over. Viktor lost two games in a row last year and three overall, but still won the Ring. One of the last undefeated team in 2020 was My Corona (League #30539) who was in tenth place in the Chase for the Ring before falling to The Fresh Prince of Helaire by an extremely close score of 144.34 to 142.95 in Week 10. Ironically, they moved up in the Chase for the Ring standings into sixth place after the loss.

Maybe one of these final five undefeated teams will stay undefeated for the entire regular season. More importantly, maybe they win the Chase for the Ring. It’s possible that one of them could do both.

Please read my weekly preview article each and every week to see who should be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup and who should be on your Bench. While some Dynasty Owners may heed my advice, others might disagree, or not have a better option for their Starting lineup and choose to ignore a Bench recommendation. Other Dynasty Owners may not need Starting lineup help as they have a stud player at a position who isn’t moving to the Bench unless he’s injured or on bye. Hopefully, the choices for your Starting lineup and Bench are solid, your team wins its game and doesn’t suffer any injuries, and you stay in contention for the playoffs and even the Chase for the Ring.

In addition to this weekly preview article, Dynasty Owner has plenty of other great content to help you go undefeated for the rest of the season so your team can win your League Championship and maybe the Chase for the Ring. On Monday, Jay Pounds will preview the Monday Night Football matchup from the Dynasty Owner perspective. Tuesday has a double shot of Dynasty Owner content with my Week 11 recap article and Jay’s Free Agent Auction targets article and video. Wednesdays is when Matt Morrison – The Jerk will dive into a topic of his choosing with an article and a video. Currently, he is doing a series about Opportunities by position. Because of Thanksgiving, he’ll have an article previewing the three Thanksgiving Day games earlier than normal that will start Week 12 of the Dynasty Owner regular season and give everyone something to read before Thanksgiving dinner.

Don’t forget about the weekly Dynasty Owner livestream on Wednesday with myself, Tim Peffer, and Dr. Cousin Justin. If there is a particular injured player who you are interested in learning more about during the livestream, drop me a line on Twitter (@SteveVT33) and I’ll put it on the list for Cousin Justin to research. Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of the Dynasty Owner team of writers plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Jay’s Top 2022 NFL Prospects

By: Jay Pounds (@JayPoundsNFL)

Welcome everyone to my first look at the incoming 2022 NFL draft class. While there may be some players who declare early and jump ahead of the players on this list, these are the players that numerous major sites have listed on their big boards. As we all know by now, the scouting process of football players can be a daunting task, just look at the how often top picks fail, and late round picks succeed in the NFL compared to a league like the NBA. It is a rare occurrence that a good starter is found in the second round of the NBA draft, yet every year we see numerous late round players turn into studs in the NFL. And don’t forget about those hungry undrafted kids. What I am trying to say here is it is never too early to start doing your homework when it comes to NFL prospects. Enough of the talking, let’s get familiar with these guys!

Quarterback

  1. Malik Willis – Liberty University
2021 Season StatsPassing AttemptsCompletionsPassing YardsTDsINTs
Malik Willis2351562,159219

In the Number 1 spot at the most important position in sports, we have Malik Willis, the Liberty University phenom. Willis started his college career at Auburn, but decided to transfer after things did not go according to plan. What I like most about Willis is the fact he was able to transfer away from a true-blue blood program like Auburn and found a way to massively increase his draft stock. I can easily see Willis going Number 1 overall in next year’s NFL draft because of how he just oozes with talent in both his legs and arm. If I had to compare Willis to anyone in the NFL today it would be Josh Allen. I honestly feel Willis is the better athlete while Allen has a stronger arm, though it’s closer than most think. In 2020, Willis had some serious accuracy issues but has seemed to put those worries to bed in 2021 with a 66.4% completion percentage. It may take Willis a year or two to figure things out, but he should be a future star in the league and a QB1 for fantasy.

2. Sam Howell – North Carolina

2021 Season StatsPassing AttemptsCompletionsPassing YardsTDsINTs
Sam Howell3011912,704228

The freshman phenom Sam Howell slots in as our Number 2 signal caller as of now. In 2021, Howell has slightly underperformed but has played well enough that it has not hurt his draft status. In fact, the play of others (Spencer Rattler) may have improved it. As a freshman and sophomore, Howell was excellent and threw for 30 or more touchdowns to only 7 interceptions in both seasons. The best quality Howell possess is his accuracy with the football after having a better than 60% completion percentage in all three of his college seasons with the Tar Heels. My NFL comparison for Howell is Baker Mayfield and while I’m sure you think that is a bad thing because of how much I trash Mayfield, I assure you it’s not. I believe Howell, as well as Mayfield, can be more than serviceable starters in the league. They just need to be in the right system with the right pieces around them to win. The big knock I have seen on Howell is that the system he plays in does not translate well to the NFL, but the talent is there regardless. Look for Howell’s name to be called in the first round of the 2022 NFL draft.

3. Matt Corral – Ole Miss

2021 Season StatsPassing AttemptsCompletionsPassing YardsTDsINTs
Matt Corral3082052,773172

In the #3 spot we have this year’s biggest riser at the quarterback position, Matt Corral. Corral plays in a pro-style offense for Lane Kiffin at Ole Miss, which is sure to help him throughout the draft process. Corral lacks all the ideal measurables and does not have the biggest arm, but I do feel he is good enough to get the job done on a NFL field. During my time watching film on Corral the main thing that stuck out to me is how athletic he is for someone who reportedly runs a 4.8 in the 40-yard dash. The best comparison I have seen for Corral is a shorter Derek Carr as both have an uncanny ability to take care of the football on top of great accuracy. Keep an eye on Corral as he may end up as this year’s Zach Wilson in the draft.

Other Names to Watch For: Kenny Pickett (Pittsburgh), Carson Strong (Nevada), Desmond Ridder (Cincinnati)

Running Back

  1. Breece Hall – Iowa State
2021 Season StatsRushing AttemptsRushing YardsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDs
Breece Hall2161,1723124618

At the top spot for everyone’s favorite fantasy football position we have Breece Hall from the Iowa State Cyclones. Hall had a slow start to the 2021 season, but I feel the slow start Iowa State has had every season under Matt Campbell is solely to blame. Hall is an excellent running back prospect who excels in virtually every area of the game. While Hall does not have true high-end speed, he is plenty fast enough to break big plays at the next level and has excellent pass catching ability for such a physical back. After watching as much Breece Hall tape as I could find the best NFL comparison I can think of is Ezekiel Elliott. The one thing that worries me with Hall is he can be suspect at times as a pass blocker which may keep him off the field some to start his career in the NFL. I can’t see a scenario, outside of injury, where Breece Hall is not one of the first two running backs taken in the 2022 NFL draft.

2. Kenneth Walker III – Michigan State

2021 Season StatsRushing AttemptsRushing YardsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDs
Kenneth Walker III2281,483128518

As much as I wanted too, I just couldn’t bring myself to put Walker above Breece Hall. While I am no college football expert, I have seen enough good out of Breece Hall to become a truther already. In Walker’s defense, he has a great shot to win the Heisman Trophy this season if he can stay hot down the stretch, especially against the fourth ranked Ohio State Buckeyes. If things stand as they are projected right now, Walker will likely end up being drafted ahead of Breece Hall. When digging into Walker, I was unable to find much negative about his game aside from a somewhat nonexistent role in the passing game. At 12 catches for 85 yards this season Walker is having what is by far his best receiving college season in three years of work, which will likely worry some scouts and of course, those dreaded fantasy football managers. As far as my thoughts on his pass catching abilities, I would say pump the brakes as I don’t think he was utilized well at Wake Forest and Michigan State does not use their backs much in the passing game. If Walker proves to have above average skills in the passing game down the stretch, or at the combine this off-season, he will no doubt be viewed as the total package at the running back position. The best NFL comparison I can think of for this kid is going to be Jonathon Taylor lite.

3. Isaiah Spiller – Texas A&M

2021 Season StatsRushing AttemptsRushing YardsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDs
Isaiah Spiller159914251896

At the Number 3 spot for the running back position, we have Isaiah Spiller who plays in the SEC for the Texas A&M Aggies. When watching film on Spiller the things that jumped out more than anything are that he is an extremely violent runner who seems to look for contact, but also has great patience when needed. Spiller has proved to be an extremely elusive running back throughout his time in college averaging 5.6 yards per carry overall. Spiller has all the measurables teams look for in a running back at 6’ 1” tall, 215 pounds and runs a 4.50 in the 40-yard dash. The one big knock on Spiller’s game heading into 2021 was if he could contribute in the passing game but he has shown he can be more than capable this season catching 25 balls for 189 yards and a touchdown so far.

4. Zach Charbonnet – UCLA

2021 Season StatsRushing AttemptsRushing YardsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDs
Zach Charbonnet1528641715011

Zach Charbonnet is one of the more interesting prospects I have looked at thus far. While Charbonnet is an extremely talented running back who runs with a purpose, has great balance, and is tough to bring down, he doesn’t exactly have a huge body of work to look at after transferring. Charbonnet started his college career for Jim Harbaugh and the Michigan Wolverines before eventually transferring to UCLA to finish out his college career under Chip Kelly. Once Charbonnet was in a Bruins uniform, all bets were off, and he has looked nothing short of special since Day 1. If Charbonnet continues this path he is on, he will be a lock to become a Day 2 selection in the 2022 NFL draft. After watching more than 50% of his Bruins snaps, I think the best comparison for Charbonnet is peak Arizona Cardinals David Johnson. Call me crazy but I feel this kid has a good chance at becoming a big time NFL player.

Other Names to Watch For: Brian Robinson Jr. (Alabama), Kyren Williams (Notre Dame), Zonovan Knight (North Carolina State)

Wide Receiver

  1. Garrett WIlson – Ohio State
2021 Season StatsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDs
Garrett Wilson538139

In the top spot at the receiver position, we have Garrett Wilson who plays for the greatest college team on earth, The Ohio State Buckeyes. Wilson was a 5-star recruit coming out of high school and he has done nothing but live up to the hype since stepping on the field as a true freshman in Columbus, Ohio. Wilson is unbelievably athletic and the best route runner of the 2022 draft class which should make him a lock to be the first receiver drafted come Draft Day. As a sophomore in 2020, he was able to post a stat line of 43 catches, 723 yards, and 6 touchdowns, despite the shortened season due to Covid- 19. When watching Garett Wilson’s film, the thing that stood out to me like a sore thumb was his ability to go up and get the ball. Wilson is as close to a lock at the next level as I have seen, and I cannot wait to have him on some of my fantasy teams. I have thought long and hard about this and my bias still shows through as my NFL comparison for Garrett Wilson is none other than Michael Thomas.

2. Chris Olave – Ohio State

2021 Season StatsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDs
Chris Olave5170811

The only reason I do not have Chris Olave in the Number 1 spot is because the great Ricky Bobby once said, “You can’t have two number ones” to which Cal Naughton Jr. replied, “Yeah, ’cause that makes 11.” All jokes aside folks these two wideouts could easily be considered 1a and 1b, but that could also be my Ohio State bias showing through again. I have watched the majority of Olave’s collegiate snaps as a Buckeye fan and I have always been impressed with how fluid he looks on the field and the way he is able to get off the line because of how fast and twitchy he is. Olave is every bit a burner as much as he is a route runner, when he runs by someone (he does this often) it looks completely effortless like a gazelle in an open field of daisies. The NFL comparison I have for Olave is great route running Will Fuller which sounds like something that will keep defensive coordinators up at night. Like Garrett Wilson, look for Olave to be a Top 10 pick come Draft Day.

3. Treylon Burks – Arkansas

2021 Season StatsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDs
Treylon Burks528158

If I am being completely honest if I had gone into this completely blind and only watched YouTube highlights of these three receivers, Treylon Burks may have wound up as my Number 1. He didn’t because the Buckeye greats are ahead of him. Burks is a physical specimen who stands at 6 feet 3 inches tall, 225 pounds, and runs between a 4.4-4.5 in the 40-yard dash. When looking at some of the measurables for Burks, I happened to notice he has a 10 ¼ inch hand and wears a 5XL glove. I think it’s safe to say he won’t be dropping many balls. Burks is an excellent athlete who does a great job of high pointing the ball and routinely coming down with tough contested catches. My NFL comparison for Burks has got to be Julio Jones as they can both beat you with speed, smarts, or just by being a better athlete than whoever is trying to guard them.

Other Names to Watch For: Drake London (USC), Jameson Williams (Alabama), Jahan Dotson (Penn State)

Tight End

  1. Jalen Wydermyer – Texas A&M
2021 Season StatsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDs
Jalen Wydermyer354744

Finally, we have the tight end position and I have to say I don’t think I am all that excited about any of these prospects, except Jeremy Ruckert from Ohio State…… I am kidding my favorite prospect thus far is Jalen Wydermyer from Texas A&M. While I think Wydermyer has the potential to become a good NFL tight end, I am not sure I see him ever becoming an elite fantasy option as he compares well to Martellus Bennett and Jonnu Smith. Wydermyer is an excellent blocking tight end and from everything I have researched he could be a solid offensive lineman, which will help him get on the field early in his career. Wydermyer is very athletic for his size, but he I don’t think he is fast enough to put up huge numbers at the next level.

Other Names to Watch For: Isaiah Likely (Coastal Carolina), Jeremy Ruckert (Ohio State), Trey McBride (Colorado State)

I hope all of you enjoyed reading this as much as I did writing it. I love having a reason to start digging into next year’s Dynasty Owner season and I am honored to be able to help you guys prepare for a second Dynasty Owner rookie draft. If there are any players, you feel should have been in the article, I would love to hear who you would have considered and why.

Thank you for reading and as always good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!