My Favorite Building Blocks at Each Position

Dynasty Football Building Blocks

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Dynasty Owners! Welcome to my second to last article of the 2022 off-season! Yes, you read that right, the off-season articles are almost over, and we are just 8 days away from the start of the 2022 NFL season when the Buffalo Bills take on the Los Angeles Rams. While I know we all enjoy the pre-season because it means football is back, if we are being honest, it is nothing but a huge tease with seemingly less and less stars partaking in the games now. Though it has seemed like we have seen a lot less injuries this year vs last pre-season.

I don’t know about you, but I am ready to put an end to news about Tom Brady’s ($15,000,000) 11-day disappearance or the fact the Patriots have the strangest offensive coaching staff in the history of football and have some actual answers played out on the field. Over the off-season, I have been breaking down numerous teams on the platform and while I thought about finishing with a couple more, I decided to have a little fun this week and talk about some of the biggest name players. In today’s article, I am going to list my top two Building Blocks at each position and talk about some of the stars this upcoming season.

Before we jump into the meat and potatoes of today’s article, I want to remind everyone to sign up for the signed Justin Jefferson jersey giveaway that ends on September 7th! Also, if you are looking for a new team, be sure to take advantage of the $20 off coupon available on the platform right now (just use promo code DRAFT). We have several leagues that are just a few spots away from filling and you don’t want to miss your last chance to draft before the NFL season starts!

Quarterbacks

  1. Justin Herbert (QB – LAC) – 2 years/$6,644,688

On the Dynasty Owner platform, there is no better value in my opinion than one, Justin Herbert. I know if you dig into the actual numbers, he won’t be anywhere near the top spot in terms of true value, but if you put what he offers your roster in perspective, he is my clear-cut number 1 Building Block. At less than $7 million per season and basically a lock to finish in the top 5, you will have a hard time winning any argument against Herbert. In just his second year in the league, Herbert threw for over 5,000 yards and had 38 touchdowns to just 15 interceptions and I can confidently say he should only get better. With Keenan Allen ($20,025,000), Mike Williams ($20,000,000), and Austin Ekeler ($6,125,000) all returning for another season, this offense is set to explode in 2022 and beyond.

2.Joe Burrow (QB – CIN) – 2 years/$9,047,534

The first of two Bengals on this list is the King of Swag who doesn’t dress himself, Joe Burrow! Burrow took the world by storm a few years back at LSU and aside from an injury in his rookie season with the Bengals, he has not looked back. Burrow led the Bengals to the Super Bowl in just his second year in the NFL and just like Justin Herbert, he should only continue to get better. In 2021, the Bengals’ main issue was the offensive line and over the 2022 off-season they did a fantastic job at upgrading the unit. If the line can gel quickly and the Bengals playmakers can stay healthy, Burrow has a great shot at finishing as the top quarterback in 2022. At just over $9 million, he becomes a tremendous value to build your team around, just as he is in real life.

Running Backs

  1. Jonathan Taylor (RB – IND) – 2 years/$1,957,287

Over the past two off-seasons, I have been clear that I don’t care much for the idea of building around running backs but there happen to be a few RB who I have a small love affair with and will give my stamp of approval. Jonathan Taylor is the clear-cut top running back in Dynasty Owner right now after a monster 2021 season and with two years remaining on his rookie contract that pays him less than $2 million, Taylor fits the bill of a running back you can build around at just 23 years old. In 2021, Taylor ran wild on NFL defenses finishing with 1,811 rushing yards, 360 receiving yards, and 20 total touchdowns. My only warning is if you are planning to build around Taylor, be sure to do it quickly with the way running backs tend to fade in today’s NFL.

2.Javonte Williams (RB – DEN) – 3 years/$2,216,438

I always must throw in one shocker to keep everyone on their toes and today’s shocker happens to be Javonte Williams over Najee Harris ($3,261,862). Remember this is for a rebuilding roster, not a startup draft. I have been open about the fact that I like Williams over Harris despite being a die-hard Steelers fan. Over the next season or two, Harris may be the better option but with Williams being two years younger (22 for Williams vs. 24 for Harris) and quite a bit cheaper ($1,045,424 to be exact), I would give Williams the edge between the two as a Building Block. In 2021, Williams shared the field with Melvin Gordon ($2,500,000) and was still able to put up 903 yards rushing on top of 316 yards receiving and 7 total touchdowns. I know some worry about Gordon stealing touches from Williams once again, but in a rebuild that should be a positive with Williams having less mileage on his body when you are ready to compete.

Wide Receiver

  1. Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN) – 3 years/$7,704,910

First, at the receiver position, we have one of the biggest debates on the entire Dynasty Owner platform. Take Ja’Marr Chase at 3 years/$7.7 million or his former LSU teammate Justin Jefferson at 2 years/$3.28 million. While many like Jefferson ($3,280,701) because of the savings, I prefer Chase who I feel is in the more potent offense, plus I get an extra year of control. Chase took the world by storm during his rookie season with his old buddy Joe Burrow, finishing with 81 catches for 1,455 yards receiving and 13 touchdowns in route to breaking Jefferson’s rookie receiving record set in 2020. As I mentioned in the Burrow segment earlier, the Bengals offensive line should be much better in 2022 meaning the Burrow to Chase connection should get even more terrifying for opposing coaches and players.

2.Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) – 2 years/$3,280,701

Like I just mentioned above, Justin Jefferson is a fantastic receiver who could easily be the number 1 Building Block at his position. It just comes down to preference of the Dynasty Owner. In 2020, Jefferson set the rookie receiving record with 1,400 yards and 7 touchdowns on 88 receptions and did even better in year 2, finishing with 108 receptions, 1,616 yards and 10 touchdowns. The hope with Jefferson is that he will get even better now that he has an offensive minded head coach who will almost certainly throw the ball much more than in previous seasons. If the Vikings do come out and throw the ball more, I don’t think it’s crazy to think Jefferson could challenge the all-time receiving record in 2022. Regardless of who you decide between Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson, I don’t think you can go wrong.

Tight End

  1. Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL) – 3 years/$8,227,624

Ahh Kyle Pitts, a player I will always be a huge fan of thanks to my son drafting him third overall in Steve and my podcast listeners league. I know in the moment I was not happy and still don’t like the pick that early, but I am thankful to have a legitimate star at tight end for many years to come. If Pitts continues to get better over the next couple of seasons, he has a real chance at becoming the Travis Kelce ($14,312,500) or better of his generation. It is not often we see tight ends hit the 1,000-yard receiving mark at any point during their careers and Pitts was able to do just that during his rookie campaign. In 2022 and beyond, it appears Pitts will be the focal point of the Falcons’ offense and if he ends up getting paired with a decent quarterback his future looks extremely bright. I also love the fact the Falcons drafted Drake London ($5,383,617) who will help open things up for Pitts.

2.Mark Andrews (TE – BAL) 4 years/$14,000,000

Finally, we have made it to the last player on our list, Mark Andrews. I remember around this time last season I was partaking in a startup draft, and I selected Andrews in the fifth or sixth round and was met with heavy criticism over the pick. Fast forward a year and now Andrews is easily a top 3 tight end in Dynasty Owner startup drafts (ADP 31.6), even at a $14,000,000 salary. In 2021, Andrews had a massive season finishing as the top tight end in Dynasty Owner with 303.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (38.3 more points than Travis Kelce). Outside of Lamar Jackson ($23,016,000) leaving Baltimore, I see zero concerns for the future of Andrews and even if that doomsday scenario does happen, Andrews performed just fine with Tyler Hunley ($895,000) at the helm last season.

Thank you all for reading and be sure to check out all the awesome stuff going on here at Dynasty Owner. We have articles from Steve, Matt, Nate, and me as well as the Livestream on Wednesdays at 4 PM (Eastern), the Champions podcast with our three Chase for the Ring champions (Jeff, Viktor and Eddie), giveaways, and the podcast with Steve and I. Stay safe out there and good luck on your 2022 Chase for the Ring!

Player Preview: Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely

Position: TE

College: Coastal Carolina

Height: 6’ 5”

Weight: 245

Age: 22

Draft Capital: 4th rounder

By: Nate Christian (@NateNFL)

The Rundown

Isaiah Likely ($1,041,085) was the second tight end selected by the Baltimore Ravens in the 2022 NFL Draft with the 139th pick, after fellow 4th rounder Charlie Kolar ($1,091,221) who was taken with the 128th pick. Kolar has yet to participate in training camp as he’s been dealing with a sports hernia, and during that time Likely has made quite the name for himself. Before we get into his pre-season hype, let’s take a look at his prospect profile to set the stage.

College Production

As a sophomore, Likely caught 32 passes for 431 yards and 5 touchdowns, a solid performance for a college tight end. As a junior though, we saw him take the next step as he caught 30 passes for 601 yards and 5 more touchdowns. He saw an increase of 6.5 yards per reception and Coastal Carolina had a playmaker on their hands. Going into his senior season, Likely looked primed for a big year with Grayson McCall as his quarterback and he performed as one of the top tight ends in the country. He finished his senior year with 59 receptions for 912 yards and 12 touchdowns, including a 99-yard touchdown reception against Arkansas State. Not many players, let along tight ends, can claim a 99-yard touchdown.

Strengths

Hard to Find

Whether it’s before or after the catch, it’s somehow hard for defenders to find this 6’5” 245 lbs. tight end. In zone coverage, he does well to find open space between defenders, especially when give the opportunity to run into green grass down the seam. Once he has the ball in his hands, he offers impressive lateral ability to make some players miss and pick up extra yards. We’re currently seeing this as he is leading the 2022 draft class with 9 missed tackles through two pre-season games.

Strong Hand

Likely through a month of training camp and preseason games has been known to win catches despite traffic. Highlight play after highlight play show him catching the football over defenders or in the middle of the field between two or three linebackers. While watching his film, I liked his hands but felt that he needed to be a bit more consistent. Drops haven’t been an issue so far this pre-season, so the train continues to build steam.

Game IQ

In Lance Zierlein’s scouting report on NFL.com, he mentions that Likely is a “high achiever on and off the field” as well as “football IQ to make adjustments when play breaks down”. Likely has quickly impressed the Ravens coaching staff and part of the reason has been his ability to learn the playbook and get better quickly. Ravens backup QB Tyler Huntley ($895,000) had this to say as well, “he knows what’s going on around him. He knows the plays.”

Weaknesses

Game Speed vs Testing Speed

At Coastal Carolina’s pro day, Likely disappointed some teams with a 4.8 40 time, which caused some doubt if he was as athletic as he looked on film. But the noise out of training camp and from the coaching staff is that Likely oozes athleticism. So far so good, as he is already making plays on the NFL field, albeit against backups.

Not a Great Blocker

Calling Isaiah Likely a tight end is like calling Mike Gesicki ($10,931,000) a tight end. Both of them are truly big slot receivers. They don’t really fit as a wide receiver or as your typical in-line tight end, but they are a matchup nightmare for defenses. But what this means for Likely is he will see the field more often in obvious passing downs, limiting his overall volume of snaps until he can become a better blocker. Especially since he is on a team that values run blocking as much as the Ravens.

NFL Projection

In Dynasty Owner, tight ends are often an afterthought. There is no premium to their stats, and you only need to start one in your main lineup (plus a Bench TE). But there is value to having good tight ends, even if it is only to flip them later for a 2nd round rookie draft pick, Likely may be worth holding onto though.

While he is certainly behind All-Pro Mark Andrews ($14,000,000) he may not be too far behind in the pecking order overall. After Andrews is the sophomore wideout Rashod Bateman ($3,149,853) who looks primed for a breakout. After those two, the targets seem wide open. There’s a good chance that Likely plays a role as a slot receiver for the team this year and I could see him being the third target for this offense, since nobody else has stepped up to grab hold of that role. If Likely is the third (or even the fourth) option for this team, that could be equivalent to 50 or so targets surely boosting Likely’s stock to a player who could help win you a week or two this year, and offer continued upside in the future.

At the end of the day, don’t sleep on this tight end who is making noise on a tight end-centric offense. John Harbaugh and the Ravens know what they want, and Likely seems to be giving them just that.

Free Agent Friday: New Contract Spotlight Recap

By: Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Hello all. Thank you for joining me on another Free Agent Friday article. Today, I will continue my recap series as I talk about some of the more important new contracts over the off-season.  If you read my article last week you may be asking yourself, “didn’t we talk about this already?”  Last week, I wrote about some of the more important free agent signings. While this is similar to new contracts, it isn’t always the same. For example, Davante Adams, Skyy Moore, and Rob Gronkowski were never signed as free agents, yet they all have changes to their contract. I will talk about all three of these players.  Let’s do it…

New Contract Spotlight Recap

Rob Gronkowski

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
Rob Gronkowski32UFA$8,000,000$10,000,000

“The expectation is that if Gronk re-signs he will make at least as much as his previous salary ($8,000,000). I anticipate that number will be a little closer to $10,000,000, but we are in the ballpark at $8,000,000.”

(Published May 20th)

Unless you’ve missed the news, you know that Gronk has retired from the NFL.  You can disregard everything that I mentioned from this speculative contract article.  I was quite surprised when I heard that he would not be returning with Brady.  While I don’t think it’s impossible that he could unretire again, you can’t hold a player for $8,000,000 on that hope.

Skyy Moore

“On paper, it seems that Moore steps into one of the best landing spots possible. While I think it is likely one of the better teams he could have been drafted to, it isn’t the best. That award goes to Christian Watson who was also drafted in the second round by Green Bay. The reason I’m not more “in” on Moore (at least this year) is because of the faith I have in JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. I think that both of these players will receive more targets and receptions in 2022 compared to Moore. I see Moore as a fringe WR4 with upside at the moment. I truly believe that the upside he possesses will not be seen until at least the back half of 2022.

I like Skyy Moore long term. I love the fact that he ended up in KC, but the learning curve with wide receivers is historically at least half of a season. I don’t expect much of an impact until the end of the 2022 season at the earliest. Keep that in mind when you are looking to draft Skyy Moore this year.”

(Published May 6th)

There really isn’t much that has changed since May. I see Skyy Moore ($1,612,625) as a long term hold. While I think there is a chance he makes an impact immediately, I wouldn’t be drafting him until the end of a draft in a redraft league. The lingering issue with JuJu Smith-Schuster’s ($3,250,000) knee makes me slightly concerned for him, but I can’t change his ranking based on a possible issue. In the end, I like both Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($10,000,000) and JuJu over Moore at least for this season. At roughly 1.6 million dollars per year, Moore is still on the top rookie wide receivers I would want to have for the future.

Davante Adams

PlayerSigning AgeStatusTeamSalary per YearSeason Finish
Davante Adams29SignedLas Vegas$28,000,000TBD
DeAndre Hopkins27SignedArizona$27,250,000WR4 (2020)
Michael Thomas26SignedNew Orleans$19,250,000WR1 (2019)
Julio Jones30SignedAtlanta$22,000,000WR3 (2019)

“I want to preface these comparisons by saying that there is really no great comparison for Adams at his current salary and production. The comparisons lack because Adams is making an unprecedented amount of money. However, he was the WR2 last year. If he repeated that feat, these are the three players who would compare best to him over the last three years.

DeAndre Hopkins is the closest recent comparison at least in terms of salary. In his first big contract year with the Cardinals, he finished as WR4. That occurred way back in 2020.

Michael Thomas is a very good comp if you look at his 2019 finish combined with his salary at the time. He became a top paid wide receiver in 2019 with the Saints. He also was the WR1 in that season. Expect a similar finish from Adams as well as a similar DD/PT ($51,525 for Thomas in 2019).

Finally, we have Julio Jones’ 2019 season as well. In that year he received a $22,000,000 contract as he turned 30 years old. He finished two slots (WR3) behind Thomas in 2019.”

(Published April 22nd)

I wanted to repost the player comparison I made with Davante Adams ($28,000,000) in April. I also want to mention Adams’ ADP. It is currently 37.4. The beginning of the third round seems like a pretty good spot for Adams to go. In fact, I did a Dynasty Owner Livestream mock draft on Wednesday, and I was able to steal Adams at the 4.07. Again, Adams costs $28,000,000 per year, but any time after the third round is still a value because of his Top 1 upside.

Thanks for reading. If you want a more in depth breakdown on any of these players (or more) go take a look back at some of my past articles (go to https://dynastyowner.com/articles/ and click on an article, then search “TheJerk” in the box on the right hand side of the page).

If there is ever any player you want me to give more attention to, message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know. I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube. Take care everyone and be safe.

TheJerk

Cheap Players to Buy for Future Trades

McKenzie Running

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Dynasty Owners! We are just 16 days away from the start of the NFL season and I know you all are just as excited as I am for some real NFL games. The Romeo Doubs training camp/pre-season hype will all be put to rest when the games start to count on September 8th (Rams vs. Bills). Before we enjoy the kickoff of the NFL season, we have a few items left on the old agenda to cover this off-season.

In the article today, I want to cover some players who shouldn’t cost much to acquire with a few potentially being available in the Free Agent Auction in your league. Remember, rebuilding is not always about trading for the Justin Jefferson’s of the world. You should always be looking for players who you can flip a few weeks down the road. When looking at the list below you will find players who have a realistic shot at a big role in 2022, making them excellent trade candidates for a rebuilding roster. The idea is to trade an old veteran and/or a third round pick for one of these guys listed below and flip them later in the year for a second round pick, or a first if you happen to strike gold. You should see a nice mix of both young guys and veterans below and if these players do not tickle your fancy, they should at least give you a good idea of who you should be targeting. If you happen to be targeting other players feel free to let me know on Twitter.

Mecole Hardman (WR – KC) – 1 year/$1,248,763

Ahh the heir apparent to Tyreek Hill ($18,000,000), Mecole Hardman. I am not sure why, but people held onto the thought of Hardman becoming the next Hill since King Tut was alive and well, yet the second it makes sense, seemingly everyone is out. I am all for the idea of buying Hardman now and seeing what happens. Someone must take over the old Hill job right? Hardman is in a battle with JuJu Smith-Schuster ($3,250,000), Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($10,000,000) and Skyy Moore ($1,612,625) to become Patrick Mahomes’ ($45,000,000) new number 1 receiver and you can probably buy him for a third round pick right now. If Hardman ends up doing exactly what the Chiefs drafted him for and becomes the “new Tyreek Hill”, he will bring back a first-round pick easily in a future deal and if he doesn’t oh well. Now that’s how you play the fantasy football lottery!

Nico Collins (WR – HOU) – 3 years/$1,217,879

Nico Collins was one of my favorite late picks in last year’s rookie draft and even though he did not put-up huge numbers last season, I am expecting a big step forward in 2022 opposite Brandin Cooks ($16,200,000). I am not completely sure on Collins’ trade value as of late, but you should be able to get him for a third round rookie draft pickand a Bench player. One of my favorite positives for Collins moving forward is the quarterback position in Houston. If Davis Mills ($1,304,383) has a good season and solidifies himself as the starter in 2022, it is a positive for Collins. If Mills comes out and stinks it up, Collins will have one of the prized 2023 quarterbacks slinging him the rock. Either way if Collins develops this year, he has a bright future ahead of him.

Gerald Everett (TE – LAC) – 1 year/$6,000,000

Earlier in the off-season, I said that Gerald Everett was one of my favorite tight end sleepers heading into the 2022 season and my stance has not changed. Everett is extremely gifted when it comes to his athletic ability and if he happens to gel with Justin Herbert ($6,644,688), he should finish as a Top 10 tight end in 2022. Currently, you can pick Everett up in the Free Agent Auction in a few Dynasty Owner leagues (93.9% roster percentage) and if he is already taken a third round pick should get a deal done. Everett is not a player I would keep long-term so if you happen to acquire him, I would sell after a few good games. At worst, he is a middle of the pack tight end, and you can likely get your third round pick back.

Terrace Marshall (WR – CAR) – 3 years/$1,432,372

I must say there are quite a few interesting names on this list, but Marshall may just take the cake. Many in the dynasty community were high on Marshall heading into last year and while I shied away, I feel now is the time to pounce on him. Marshall had terrible quarterback play last season and while it won’t be Top 5 in 2022, it should be much better. Pair that with the fact Robby Anderson ($14,750,000) seems to hate Baker Mayfield ($18,858,000) and the whole OBJ/Mayfield situation and it seems like the perfect world for Terrace Marshall to succeed as crazy as that sounds.

Isaiah McKenzie (WR – BUF) – 2 years/$2,200,000

Throughout the off-season, Isaiah McKenzie could be found on the Free Agent Auction and picked up for just Dynasty Dollars. Now, he will cost you a player and/or draft compensation and I still feel it’s well worth it. McKenzie is competing with Jamison Crowder ($2,000,000) and while I love Crowder’s talent, he has serious durability concerns. When McKenzie was given the chance to shine for the Bills in 2021, he did just that and I see him becoming a staple in the offense early in the 2022 season. Anytime you can get a receiver tied to a quarterback like Josh Allen ($43,005,667( for cheap I feel it is an easy decision to make. If McKenzie wins the Buffalo starting WR3 job, you may have a tough decision on your hands as the trade offers start rolling in.

Jamaal Williams (RB – DET) – 1 year/$3,000,000

I must admit that this was a tough one to put on the list and I almost went with Trey Sermon ($1,218,234) instead. The reason this was a tough decision is the same reason Jamaal Williams finds himself on my list, D’Andre Swift ($2,134,728). Swift is one of my favorite young players to watch but he has been banged up several times throughout his short career. Unfortunately, in 2021, Williams went down the same time Swift did, and Dynasty Owners with Williams on their rosters were not able to cash in. However, that is unlikely to happen two years in a row. Williams should be cheap right now and if the Dynasty Owner with Swift on their roster is a contender and Swift happens to go down again, you can trade Williams for a massive ransom. If Swift defies all odds and stays healthy for the year, Williams should still have a big enough role that you can recoup your original investment.

Jordan Love (QB – GB) – 2 years/$3,095,863

Jordan Love may be a questionable choice for this list because he has no obvious path to the field, but this is more of a future move rather than a move for 2022. The perception around Love is as low as it has ever been and that is exactly why I am buying him now. Love only has two years remaining on his rookie deal and the Packers are going to want some type of return on their silly first round NFL draft investment here soon. When that time comes, Jordan Love could find himself in a Baker Mayfield type situation getting a 1-year trial run as a starter somewhere in the league.

Thank you all for reading and be sure to check out more Dynasty Owner articles from Nate, Steve, and Matt to stay ahead of your league mates. Stay safe and good luck on your 2022 Chase for the Ring!

Free Agent Friday: Top 5 Rankings Recap

By: Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Hello Dynasty Owners. We have one NFL pre-season week behind us and two more to go. With that in mind, I will be continuing my “Recap” series. Today I will be reminding you of the Top 5 rankings I did earlier this off-season. I will also be updating them as a few players have swapped positions.

This is also a good time to let everyone know that my Dynasty Owner full rankings will be released soon. These rankings do not just take into account one year or even two years. I am looking at a three to five year window. Yes, there will be “win now” players a little higher up than you may expect as winning now has its place in Dynasty Owner too. I will have positional rankings as well as combined rankings. In addition to that, I will be bringing you weekly rankings throughout the regular season. I can’t wait to start making that content for you all, but for now, let’s look at my updated Top 5 rankings. I’ll go through the four major positions in order.  Let’s do it.

Quarterback Top 5

PositionPlayer, TeamSalaryYears
QBJustin Herbert, LAC$6,644,6882
QBJalen Hurts, PHI$1,506,2922
QBJoe Burrow, CIN$9,047,5342
QBJosh Allen, BUF$43,005,6677
QBKyler Murray, ARI$8,914,5041

“I don’t think there should be too many surprises for you here. Keep in mind that these rankings reflect many years out. They take age, production and salary into account.

Jalen Hurts comes in at Number two. To be honest, he would probably rank Number one if I was guaranteed that he will remain the Eagles starter for the next five years. His salary is so low that he sits at less than a quarter of Herbert’s salary. Hurts has the upside to be a top three quarterback production wise.

Josh Allen is our only “high salary” quarterback to make it on to this list. Here is my rationale…At some point, production overcomes salary. Even if Allen will never win any salary efficiency metrics around here, he should be one of the first five quarterbacks drafted in each start-up draft. The statistical advantage that he will give you over your opponent’s quarterback each week is more valuable than trying to save on his $43,000,000 salary. Draft Allen at the back of your first round and save money elsewhere.”

(Published June 10th)

I have changed nothing between June 10th and now. My quarterbacks are pretty much locked into place. There have been no major injuries or team changes that would make me want to shift someone up or down. The closest I got to moving someone is when Kyler Murray’s teammate DeAndre Hopkins ($27,250,000) was suspended for six games to start the 2022 NFL season. In the end, it wasn’t enough for me to move Russell Wilson ($33,500,000) or Trey Lance ($8,526,319) ahead of him. If you are curious, here are the next five quarterbacks on my list:

  • Russell Wilson (QB – DEN) – $33,500,000
  • Trey Lance (QB – SF) – $8,526,319)
  • Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL) – $23,016,000
  • Tua Tagovailoa (QB – MIA) – $7,568,859)
  • Patrick Mahomes (QB – KC) – $45,000,000

Running Back Top 5

PositionPlayer, TeamSalaryYears
RBJonathan Taylor, IND$1,957,2872
RBNajee Harris, PIT$3,261,8623
RBChristian McCaffrey, CAR$16,015,8754
RBAustin Ekeler, LAC$6,125,0002
RBJavonte Williams, DEN$2,216,4383

“Harris was the RB3 last year. He was sandwiched between Ekeler and Joe Mixon ($12,000,000). Harris had 381 touches in 2021 including 74 receptions. This led all running backs in total touches. I do think Harris’ role as the lead running back for the Steelers is more than secure.

McCaffrey could very easily outperform this ranking. If he stays healthy for an entire season, he will likely rank as the RB1 at the end of 2022. That is a big “if” though.”

(Published June 17th)

There was actually a decent amount of movement from the running back position. I have Taylor and Harris fully locked as 1 & 2. It would take a major injury to move one of them. Past that though, it gets a little more subjective. I slid CMC up to the #3 spot where he was previously 5th. I just can’t put someone with that much upside past the RB3. Yes, his salary is as big as it gets for running backs, but he would still be the third RB I would want in Dynasty Owner. Ekeler stayed put at in the 4th spot even though CMC jumped him.

What’s also interesting is that D’Andre Swift ($2,216,438) moved from 3rd to 6th and therefore, out of the Top 5. It’s not that I’ve lost trust in Swift but rather that I think I was underestimating Javonte Williams. In my opinion, Williams is a better running back than Swift. He will be a better real NFL player and a better fantasy running back on a better team. Here are RB6 – RB10:

  • D’Andre Swift (RB – DET) – $2,216,438
  • Dalvin Cook (RB – MIN) – $12,600,000
  • Alvin Kamara (RB – NO) – $15,000,000
  • Breece Hall (RB – NYJ) – $2,253,694
  • James Conner (RB – ARI) – $7,000,000

Wide Receiver Top 5

PositionPlayer, TeamSalaryYears
WRJustin Jefferson, MIN$3,280,7012
WRJa’Marr Chase, CIN$7,704,9103
WRCeeDee Lamb, DAL$3,502,5032
WRCooper Kupp, LA$15,750,0002
WRDeebo Samuel, SF$1,811,8691

“The top two shouldn’t surprise you at all.  Jefferson and Chase are two of the best and youngest wide receivers in the NFL.  As you know, young means cheap.  Here is the rationale I used for putting Jefferson over Chase…

  1. Jefferson’s salary is less than half the salary of Chase.
  2. Jefferson has proven himself a top production wide receiver for two consecutive years. It’s not that I don’t think Chase can or will continue dominance, but I trust a two-year sample over a single year.
  3. Jefferson received 25 percent more volume in 2021 than Chase did. You could technically take this as a positive for Chase as he was very close to Jefferson’s production with less opportunities. I like to see it as Jefferson is getting more guaranteed targets, therefore his production is less prone to fluky, big plays.”

(Published June 24th)

There were no changes to my Top 5 wide receivers since June. Like the quarterbacks, I think these wide receivers are pretty well locked in. If there was one player I may be concerned about, it would be Lamb. It remains to be seen how Lamb will perform as the clear cut WR1 for the Cowboys. I think Lamb will become an elite receiver over the next three years which is why he’s in the #3 spot. The following round out the Top 10.

  • Stefon Diggs (WR – BUF) – $14,400,000
  • Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA) – $6,771,498
  • Tee Higgins (WR – CIN) – $2,171,696
  • Michael Pittman (WR – IND) – $2,153,212
  • Diontae Johnson (WR – PIT) – $1,070,241

Tight End Top 5

PositionPlayer, TeamSalaryYears
TEKyle Pitts, ATL$8,227,6243
TEMark Andrews, BAL$14,000,0004
TEDarren Waller, LV$7,450,0002
TEPat Freiermuth, PIT$1,507,0453
TETravis Kelce, KC$14,312,5004

“Kyle Pitts is my Number one tight end at this point in the off-season, and I don’t see that changing. To be honest, I think Pitts has the biggest amount of separation between a top position and second place.

Freiermuth is fourth because of his age (23) and his crazy cheap salary ($1,507,045). I expect him to take a 20%+ step forward in his sophomore year. Expect a long and productive career for one of the best young tight ends in the game.”

(Published July 1st)

There are no changes with my tight end Top 5. Kelce is probably the player closest to being moved out, but I still think his elite production will be there for the next year.

The rest of the Top 10:

  • T.J. Hockenson (TE – DET) – $4,955,306
  • Dalton Schultz (TE – DAL) – $10,931,000
  • George Kittle (TE – SF) – $15,000,000
  • Cole Kmet (TE – CHI) – $1,894,444
  • Zach Ertz (TE – ARI) – $10,550,000

Thanks for reading. If you want a more in depth breakdown on any of these players (or more) go take a look back at some of my past articles (go to https://dynastyowner.com/articles/ and click on an article, then search “TheJerk” in the box on the right hand side of the page).

Next week I will look into some of the more important New Contract Spotlights. If there is ever any player you want me to give more attention to, message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know. I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube. Take care everyone and be safe.

TheJerk

Takeaways: Preseason Week 1

Antonio Gibson Fumble

By: Nate Christian (@NateNFL)

At this point, every NFL team has played a game of pre-season and has been able to give their players some live action football. Being able to see their players in full pads up against other teams helps the coaches get an even better idea of talent, drive, and capacity to develop. These pre-season games also help us finally get our eyes on some of these players we’ve only heard about so far. Now, there are always overreactions, and keep in mind it’s only pre-season football, but every snap on the field is an opportunity and we’ve seen some players take advantage. Without further ado, here’s what we learned from Week 1 of the pre-season.

Romeo Doubs = MVS 2.0

When Packers fans first think of a wide receiver they need to replace, they likely think of Devante Adams ($28,000,000). Well, nobody is replacing Adams. Fourth round pick Romeo Doubs ($1,085,979) might be able to replace Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($10,000,000) though. And this past week he showed his ability to get open and make big plays, but also struggled with some drops and playing through contact. Now the season is still quite young, as none of these snaps matter for wins and losses, but Doubs has been making some noise and seemed to back it up with his performance against the 49ers. Once the season starts, will Doubs have done enough to get on the field with Aaron Rodgers ($33,500,000)? I think the chances are high.


Antonio Gibson Panic Button?

I try to stay away from sensationalist headlines and thoughts, but truthfully Dynasty Owners with Antonio Gibson ($1,233,159) on their roster have to be very nervous at this point. Not only does it look like J.D. McKissic ($3,500,000) will be handling passing down work once again, but new rookie Brian Robinson ($1,261,227) might be pushing Gibson for the rest of the workload. Gibson continues to have a fumbling issue and after turning the ball over in the first quarter against the Panthers, Robinson quickly replaced him. During that time, Robinson looked good catching the ball and running between the tackles, even finding the end zone in the second quarter. Gibson’s workload seems to be diminishing with every passing day and it may be time to move him for greener pastures, if you still can.

Buffalo Bills Passing Attack

Stefon Diggs ($14,400,000). Gabe Davis ($998,595). Isaiah McKenzie ($2,200,000). That’s likely your starting three, with McKenzie working exclusively out of the slot. Behind them you have Jamison Crowder ($2,000,000) who will be swapping in and out with McKenzie. After them, you have the rookie Khalil Shakir ($1,001,787). I’ve been singing the praises of Shakir for a while now, and reports out of training camp have been complimentary. In the game against the Colts, Shakir lined up all over the formation according to PFF, seeing plenty of snaps outside, in the slot, and even a play out of the backfield. Shakir offers versatility that few of the other options in that wideout room offer, making him a candidate to get on the field for meaningful snaps his rookie year. Shakir is one of the best stashes at the position right now with McKenzie on a two-year deal (with an easy out after 2022) and Crowder on a one-year deal.

Bears Working A Committee

All the news coming out of Bears training camp points to a 1a/1b approach out of the backfield this year. David Montgomery ($1,003,845) has enjoyed a workhorse workload over the past couple years, but it sounds like the coaching staff is excited to get Khalil Herbert ($902,677) into the rotation. Montgomery will still likely handle the majority of snaps out of the backfield, but Herbert is going to be involved enough to make a difference. He started the game against the Chiefs and handled all the snaps for the first three drives. Not only does Herbert have great value as a handcuff at this point, but he also has stand-alone value on a week-to-week basis. If Herbert ends up as a solid FLEX option for your Dynasty Owner team, don’t be surprised.

Travis Etienne is Back

In the first quarter of the Jaguars pre-season game against the Browns, Travis Etienne ($3,224,526) had 10 touches (9 rushes and a catch). As long as James Robinson ($763,333) isn’t on the field, it looks like Etienne is going to get volume out of the backfield. Now how long until Robinson is back to full health? He is completing some drills right now, so it may not be as far away as we originally thought. Either way, Etienne is going to be a large part of this offense and offers big-play ability that can help win you your weeks. Keep an eye on Robinson’s recovery though because that is sure to cap Etienne’s fantasy ceiling as soon as they are splitting carries.

Quiet Rookie Starters

Despite playing the majority of starter snaps for their respective teams, Jahan Dotson ($3,762,090) and Alec Pierce ($1,650,336) are still being underrated not only as long-term dynasty assets but also as Year 1 producers. Dotson played every snap that starting quarterback Carson Wentz took against the Panthers and was out there for two-WR sets. Dotson is an electric playmaker with the ball in his hands but also boasts great route running and catch radius, possibly making him a sleeper for this year’s Rookie of the Year. Fellow rookie wideout Pierce may not have quite the same hype as Dotson but he is a starter for a team that should perform well and take shots down the field. Pierce at 6’ 3” and with 4.41 speed should be able to take advantage of that opportunity.

Rebuilding an Orphan Team

ORPHAN TEAM REBUILD

League #36849 – The Peanut Butter Boners

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Dynasty Owners, welcome back to another week of dissecting orphan rosters. Before we get started, let’s hit the countdown to the season. We are officially just 23 days away from the start of the 2022 NFL season and we can finally put things like the debate of Gabriel Davis ($998,595) to rest, until next season at least.

Before jumping into the article, I would like to welcome any new members from the Fantasy Football Expo and any new members in general to the Dynasty Owner platform. If any of you have questions, please feel free to get ahold of me via Twitter. If you have not heard about the Expo, I would like to encourage you to check it out and hope to see you there next year.

As always be sure to let your friends know about Dynasty Owner and use your referral link to ensure you get $10 in cold hard cash while your friend gets $10 off their new team. Just use promo code FRIENDS. Enough of my jibber jabber, let’s get into the orphan roster you are all here for.

Building Blocks

  1. Joe Burrow (QB – CIN) – 2 years/$9,047,534
  2. A.J. Brown (WR – PHI) – 1 year/$1,413,092
  3. Chase Claypool (WR – PIT) – 2 years/$1,654,156

I know, I know I am a big old, biased Steelers fan for calling Chase Claypool a Building Block and not Brandon Aiyuk. The main reasons for this are the fact Deebo Samuel ($1,811,869) will remain in the Bay Area. I like the overall talent of Claypool more and feel he has more room to grow.

A.J. Brown may be questionable to some because of his price tag next season (4 years/$25,000,000 per year), but that is part of the reason he is a Building Block. If you were to try and trade A.J. Brown right now, he wouldn’t bring back much more than a single first round pick. Trust me, I have tried. At that price it is just not worth losing a player who is a Top 10 guy when healthy. I know the accuracy issues that come with Jalen Hurts can be worrisome, but we have seen plenty of stud receivers overcome much worse over the years.

The last guy on the list is the King of Swag who doesn’t pick out his own clothes, Joe Burrow. When I saw Burrow’s name my face lit up though I was soon let down as the rest of this roster leaves a lot to be desired. It’s the same way I felt when I found out Burrow’s teammate Ja’Marr Chase dresses the star QB.

Players to Trade

  1. Alvin Kamara (RB – NO) – 4 years/$15,000,000
  2. Elijah Mitchell (RB – SF) – 3 years/$915,892

As I just finished saying in the Building Blocks section, the rest of the roster leaves a lot to be desired and I think the Players to Trade list highlights that perfectly. With only two players who will bring back decent value right away, the new owner of this team will surely have their work cut out for them.

Alvin Kamara may be a tough trade right now with a potential suspension looming on top of a $15,000,000 per year salary that already makes him difficult to move. If Kamara doesn’t get suspended this season, he should be able to be moved due to the lack of high-end fantasy running backs in the game right now.

The other player on the list is Elijah Mitchell and he comes with plenty of his own question marks. Mitchell is the 49ers’ top running back now, but we all know how quickly that can change in a Kyle Shanahan coached offense. My best advice for any non-competing owner is to move on from Mitchell while he is the presumed starter. I am not saying it’s going to happen, but it would not surprise me to see Mitchell holding a clipboard midway through the year.

Players to Hold

  1. D’Onta Foreman (RB – CAR) – 1 year/$2,000,000
  2. Eno Benjamin (RB – ARI) – 2 years/$849,428
  3. Jamaal Williams (RB – DET) – 1 year/$3,000,000
  4. Michael Carter (RB – NYJ) – 3 years/$1,071,842
  5. Brandon Aiyuk (WR – SF) – 2 years/$3,132,835
  6. Jalen Guyton (WR – LAC) – 1 year/$895,000
  7. Harrison Bryant (TE – CLE) – 2 years/$1,016,007
  8. Josiah Deguara (TE – GB) – 2 years/$1,136,941

The Players to Hold list is full of players with eight total, but only a couple who are intriguing enough to bring back value right now. The others you will have to sit on. The biggest name on the list is Brandon Aiyuk and an argument can be made he could be a Building Block on this roster. Aiyuk had a fantastic finish to the 2020 season and looked to be heading towards stardom and then 2021 and Deebo Samuel happened. If Aiyuk develops a solid connection with young quarterback Trey Lance ($8,526,319), he could be a big piece for this roster.

The other players on this list who are intriguing are both running backs with the first being Michael Carter. Carter looked excellent when healthy in 2021, but that was not enough to stop the Jets from drafting college standout Breece Hall ($2,253,694). If Carter can gain the role of third down back, he could have decent trade value after we see some real football.

The last player I want to talk about is Jamaal Williams. Williams has been an extremely consistent back for several years now but with D’Andre Swift ($2,134,728) seemingly always banged up I would hold Williams and wait until he hits peak value at some point this season before moving him.

Players to Cut

  1. Jaret Patterson (RB – WAS) – 2 years/$820,000
  2. Ben Skowronek (WR – LAR) – 3 years/$891,131
  3. Jamal Agnew (WR – JAX) – 2 years/$4,750,000
  4. James Proche (WR – BAL) – 2 years/$865,774
  5. Josh Reynolds (WR – DET) – 2 years/$3,000,000
  6. Josh Gordon (WR – KC) – 1 year/$1,120,000
  7. Kylen Granson (TE – IND) – 3 years/$1,046,592
  8. Taysom Hill (TE – NO) – 4 years/$10,000,000
  9. Cole Beasley (WR – Free Agent)

As usual I won’t spend much time on the cuts of the roster. The only player on this list I would realistically think about keeping is Kylen Granson. We haven’t heard much about Granson in quite a while, but the Colts seemed to love him heading into 2021 and tight ends tend to take a while to develop,

Long Term Building Blocks

  1. Malik Willis (QB – TEN) – 4 years/$1,290,025
  2. David Bell (WR – CLE) – 4 years/$1,273,726

The poster child of Long-Term Building Blocks (Malik Willis) is back! Willis had a solid showing in his first career NFL showing and showed flashes of why he was projected to go so high. If Willis can refine his skillset over the course of 2022, he could be a gold mine as soon as next season for the Dynasty Owners who drafted him this season.

David Bell is a player I could see having success in 2022 but I don’t think he becomes someone you can even think about starting until Deshaun Watson ($46,000,000) is back from suspension. Thus, making Bell a possible Long-Term Building Block.

Players to Amnesty

  1. Deshaun Watson (QB – CLE) 5 years/$46,000,000

The case can be made to keep Watson because of the shape this roster is in, but I think it’s best just to move on from him and look to draft someone in the next year or two. The main reason for this is the fact that Watson will likely miss most of 2022 meaning you will get roughly one year of Watson before Burrow signs his new deal. Had Burrow been three years away from a new contract, I would likely have a different approach.

Current Draft Picks

2023 – 1st, 2nd, 3rd

2024 – 1st, 2nd, 3rd

2025 – 1st, 2nd, 3rd

2026 – 1st, 2nd, 3rd

Dynasty Dollars and Amnesty Provisions

Dynasty Dollars = $10 million

Amnesty Provisions = 2

My Thoughts

One of the hardest parts of doing these orphan teams is the fact I am not able to see the rest of the league and must assume there is a powerhouse lurking. At first, I really wanted this to be a team I just retooled and was ready to compete with next season, but I just do not see enough talent regardless of what the rest of the league looks like. The roster above is in desperate need of a top end tight end, a receiver or four, and at least one more running back and that’s if Alvin Kamara somehow avoids suspension this season.

If you happen to read this and purchase this team, please reach out as I would like to discuss your strategy and go over how you plan to attack the weak spots. Hopefully this will be the last orphan article but not because I don’t enjoy doing them, it’s because I hate seeing open spots in anyone’s league and there are only three orphan teams left in the Dynasty Owner Orphan Store right now.

Thank you all for reading and be sure to check out our other articles written by Steve, Nate, and Matt. Stay safe out there and good luck on your 2022 Chase for the Ring!

Free Agent Friday: Off-season Free Agent Recap

By: Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Hello Dynasty Owners. I’m Matt theJerk here with another Free Agent Friday article.  My New Contract Spotlight series has ended. In all, we made it through 16 Spotlights this off-season. We have only four more articles prior to the start of the regular season so I will use these four weeks to recap some of the more important things I’ve talked about. I will also keep everyone up to date on any important news that happens between now and then. There is not much news to report at the moment so we will jump into my first recap.

This will be the schedule for my next four articles:

  • Free Agent Recap
  • Top 5 Rankings Recap
  • Contract Spotlight Recap
  • General News Recap

Many of the points I highlighted over the past several months will be reiterated and repeated, but there will also be many changes and developments. Fantasy football is a fluid game.

Free Agent Recap

Here are some of the biggest free agent signings since the middle of March.

Melvin Gordon (RB – DEN) – 1 year/$2,500,000

“I was greatly looking forward to seeing Williams become the bell cow back for a super talented offensive team. That clearly won’t happen, but I also can’t blame Denver for this move, and here is why…

They signed Melvin Gordon as an absolute steal. The deal is 1 year – $2,500,000. This is an insane value for a running back who just put up over 1,000 total yards in back to back seasons.  It’s also an insane value when you consider that Gordon was playing on an $8,000,000 contract last year. And then the realization hit me…

I’m not disappointed in this news at all (at least from Melvin’s side). Dynasty Owners are getting a Top 20 running back on a team that is better than last year (Russell Wilson trade), and his contract is less than a third of what it was in the previous two seasons. What more could we ask for? Yes, I would have preferred if Gordon went to a new team and became their three down back, but that was likely always just a pipe dream. The odds that a team, other than the Texans, would make a newly signed, 29-year old running back their workhorse back is unlikely at best. This really is fantastic news for everyone who continued to hold Gordon throughout free agency.

(Published April 29th)

I wrote that at the end of April, and I would say that my feelings have largely stayed the same. I was very disappointed that Gordon and Javonte Williams ($2,216,438) would once again be taking fantasy value from each other. I have cooled down since then. There is still disappointment, but it has faded. I see Gordon and Williams both finishing as Top 24 running backs this season. I see Williams outscoring Gordon and becoming more of the feature back as the season progresses. We also know that if either of these backs get hurt for a long period of time, the other will likely be a league winner.

James Conner (RB – ARI) – 3 years/$7,000,000 per year

“As we know, Conner is on a $7,000,000 per year contract. This is a middle tier value as far as contracts go. However, I consider Conner a top tier producer. Pair this with the idea that he should have more touches and targets when compared to his split backfield in 2021. Conner is tied for the 10th highest running back contract, and I have him projected to finish as RB10 or better. He is not only going to be productive, but he is a great value. Draft, trade or hold him with confidence.”

(Published May 13th)

As was the case with Gordon, my opinion of Conner has not changed much. He will be the lead back on a Top 10 offense. That offense is also among the league leaders for plays run per game. I don’t expect him to have 18 touchdowns again this season, but he should easily pass 10.

Leonard Fournette (RB – TB) – 3 years/$7,000,000 per year

“At $7,000,000 per year, Fournette is currently tied as the eleventh most expensive running back in Dynasty Owner on a per year basis. He happens to be making exactly the same as James Conner. Oddly enough, they finished back to back in the rankings last season too. Fournette was RB5 and Conner was RB6.

Here is the best way I can summarize it…

Will Fournette lead Dynasty Owner running backs in Dynasty Dollar per Fantasy Point (DD/FP)?  The answer is “No” as that is impossible. What he will do though is give you great value from a middle tier salary. I can’t wait to see what he does with a backfield more or less to himself, especially with Tom Brady returning for at least one more year.”

(Published on April 1st)

The biggest thing that has changed since the time I wrote this is the rumor that Fournette showed up to training camp overweight. There was a report that he weighed in the mid 260’s.  There was also a report shortly after that, that he weighed mid 240’s. My point is that I don’t really care. Yes, Fournette has had reported issues in the past about his weight. I don’t care. I fully believe that he can and will show up Week 1 ready to protect Tom Brady. If he protects Brady, he will be the primary running back on the field.

Allen Robinson (WR – LAR) – 3 years/$15,500,000 per year

“I understand why Robinson’s roster percentage in Dynasty Owner shot up after the signing with the Rams. He will likely be the second option for Stafford after Kupp. This is a valuable position to be in, and it’s one that I recommend taking a shot on. I have two Dynasty Owner leagues where I have Robinson on my roster. I rostered him throughout the entire off-season, so far, despite being up against the cap. Much like I mentioned with MVS in my last article, I would be a holder of Robinson at least through the first month of the 2022 season.”

(Published June 17th)

The only thing that gives me pause with Robinson’s scenario is the health of Matthew Stafford’s elbow. I’m not too worried about it at the moment, but a lingering injury that sidelines Stafford ($27,000,000) for weeks at a time would dramatically hurt Robinson’s value. Continue to monitor it, but at the moment I’m still in on Robinson.

Mike Williams (WR – LAC) – 3 years/$20,000,000

“Williams ended up signing a 3 year – $60,000,000 contract.  This means he will make $20,000,000 per year. As I said above, he will be the sixth highest paid wide receiver in Dynasty Owner this year. The contract ensured that the Chargers have the two highest paid wide receiver teammates of anyone in the NFL. The next closest are Chris Godwin and Mike Evans.

I would be happy to own Williams in any of my Dynasty Owner leagues. As always, it comes down to how much you can save at other positions. I see him as a perfect second or third wide receiver if you are able to save on running backs.”

(Published April 15th)

Mike Williams holds up as one of my favorite wide receivers this year. I think there’s a very good chance that he outperforms his teammate, Keenan Allen ($20,025,000). Williams definitely has the most upside of the two receivers. It’s true that $20,000,000 a year is a lot to pay for a receiver, but he will likely be a WR1 when the season is over.

Thanks for reading. If you want a more in depth breakdown on any of these players (or more) go take a look back at some of my past articles (go to https://dynastyowner.com/articles/ and click on an article, then search “TheJerk” in the box on the right hand side of the page).

If there is ever any player you want me to give more attention to, message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know. I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube.  Take care everyone and be safe.

TheJerk

Treylon Burks: Fact or Fiction

TREYLON BURKS

By: Nate Christian (@NateNFL)

Treylon has Asthma: Fact

Treylon hunts wild hogs with a knife: Fact

Treylon is slow: Fiction

Treylon is going to replace AJ Brown: Maybe…

With a salary of $3,592,398 and a rookie contract with four years left (plus a fifth year option), Burks is one of the top young receivers on Dynasty Owner. There has been a lot of controversy and rumors around his off-season conditioning and training camp performance. What has been true and what has simply been an exaggeration?

The propaganda has swung (effectively) in the direction of talking down on Burks’ ability. Some analysts have tried to exaggerate his growing pains while others have used his lack of conditioning at the start of OTAs to question his dedication. But if you listen to the Titans’ coaching staff, they all have great things to say about Burks’ growth and development so far. Burks wasn’t asked to run a variety of routes at Arkansas and is now expanding his arsenal in the NFL. Of course, he’s not going to be perfect right away, as his predecessor A.J. Brown ($1,413,092) went through similar growing pains, but both of these players are physical, win at the catch point, and offer yards after the catch ability. The Titans made a deliberate decision to replace Brown with Burks one for one, and we need to respect that decision. More often than not, NFL front offices have a decent idea of what they are doing and aren’t simply drawing names out of a hat.

As a prospect, Burks was phenomenal. He comes in at 6’ 2” and 225 lbs., a thick and athletic presence for the Titans on the outside, and ran a 4.55 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine this past spring. In his final year for Arkansas, he finished with 66 receptions, over 1,100 yards, and 12 total touchdowns, a standout performance in the SEC. His production, athleticism, and projected improvement ended up making him a first rounder and the Titans grabbed him with the 18th overall pick. For more information on Burks as a prospect, make sure to check out the prospect profile I wrote on him earlier this off-season before the draft.

Now that he’s in the NFL and getting on the practice field, we’ve had a month or two to speculate about his usage and projected performance. We’ve heard about his conditioning issues, but that seems to be behind him now. He’s running with the 1s and 2s throughout training camp, and as of the first depth chart release he is on the second team offense, but that’s nothing new for rookies in the NFL. In fact, ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler wrote “has looked the part of a top pick so far.” Don’t buy into the idea that he is struggling to get on the field. There is little chance that Burks is not the main weapon for the Titans by mid-season, as I think his ability to make an impact in the NFL will ramp up after the first weeks of the season. The Titans had to be pretty confident in his talent and their ability to scheme him into production for them to trade away one of the best wideouts in the NFL.

Interestingly enough, since camp has started the excitement coming out of Titans training camp has been mostly about a different wide receiver. The Titans’ fifth round draft pick (#163 overall) Kyle Philips ($993,331) has been impressing out of the slot and is looking like a potential starter out of that role. Philips was even listed with the first team offense when the first depth chart of the pre-season came out. Philips’ success and surprising upwards movement does not hurt Burks and his chances to be successful in the NFL. Some fans have looked at Phillips’ name on the first team offense and used it as an indictment of Burks and his ability. While both of them are wide receivers, the players have quite different roles and play styles for the Titans. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine ($895,000) is Burks’ main competition for the X receiver role and has played well so far through camp.

Treylon and the Tennessee Titans take on the Baltimore Ravens tonight in the first pre-season game for both teams, and this will be a great chance to see what Burks can bring to the table on a NFL field and just how far along in his development he is. The idea of Burks catching passes from Malik Willis ($1,290,025) may sound like a dream to some Titans’ fans, and that’s what we will see this evening. Burks won’t take long to make an impact for the Titans and your chances at getting him for a discount is quickly closing. By the time Week 1 hits and he starts producing on the field when it matters, the Burks’ hype will start to build to a point that you’ll have to pay up if you want to get him on your team. Now is the best time to make a deal, much like when Ja’Marr Chase ($7,704,910) had the drops and when Justin Jefferson ($3,280,701) was the WR4 behind Bisi Johnson ($648,572). We’ve been through this before, keep your eye on the talent and the situation. Burks is set up to explode this season.

Rebuilding an Orphan Team

League #36356 (Nerd Herd League) – Laxbro

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Dynasty Owners! Welcome back to another week of rebuilding with Jay. Before we jump into another orphan team, let’s talk some football. We officially have just one month until we have regular season football games on our boob tubes for 17 weeks straight and as I say every year, I feel like a kid waiting for Christmas! Up to this point it has been a relatively quiet off-season and I think that has only made me more anxious as I await the start of the 2022 season.

A few quick training camp notes that can also be found by listening to the Dynasty Owner Podcast that Steve Van Tassell and I release every week. The highlights are:

  • Kareem Hunt ($6,000,000) asking to be traded
  • The Deshaun Watson ($46,000,000) suspension appeal
  • J.K. Dobbins ($1,432,359) possibly coming off the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list, and
  • The devastating Tim Patrick ($11,333,333) injury.

The Hunt situation is the one that could potentially change the fantasy landscape by adding another desperately needed bell cow do-it-all running back to the fantasy world. If you would like to hear more in-depth thoughts on each of these situations, please check out the Dynasty Owner Podcast. It’s available wherever you get your podcasts. Enough of the small talk, let’s check out this orphan team!

Building Blocks

  1. Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL) – 1 year/$23,016,000
  2. D.J. Moore (WR – CAR) – 4 years/$20,628,000
  3. Tee Higgins (WR – CIN) – 2 years/$2,171,696
  4. Rob Gronkowski (TE – TB) Free Agent (for training camp)

As you can see, I laid a monster surprise on you with this one and it is only because I have a trusted inside source (my brain) that helped me understand Rob Gronkowski’s master 10-year plan. Gronk’s master plan is to play another 10 years with Tom Brady and to keep his body fresh, he has decided he has had enough with the amateur hour some call training camp and pre-season. With a fresh Gronk every season you can count on one thing “Gronk see ball, Gronk catch ball, Gronk run”.  Obviously, I am joking and Gronk belongs in the Players to Hold category until we know if he is coming back…. after he skips training camp.

Enough messing around, this category has two real question marks, and it has nothing to do with talent and everything to do with salary. D.J. Moore and Lamar Jackson are both $20 million plus in salary in 2022 and beyond with Jackson expected to possibly double his Dynasty Owner salary come 2023. Either way this roster is slim pickings, and I would keep both long term as of now.

My favorite player on this roster and the player I would build around is Tee Higgins but even as great as Higgins was in 2021, he comes with some doubt too. The fact Higgins is not the Number 1 receiver on his team worries me long-term, but I am more than happy placing him in this category and seeing what happens. The real issue building around these three players is that in just two years this group will cost you roughly $80,000,000 in salary which will probably be about half of your cap space.

Long-Term Hold

  1. Kyle Trask (QB – TB) – 3 years/$1,383,834
  2. Pierre Strong (RB – NE) – 4 years/$1,093,358
  3. Zamir White (RB – LV) – 4 years/$1,100,983
  4. Tommy Tremble (TE – CAR) – 3 years/$1,231,608

For once we have more than a player or two in this category! My favorite player on this list is Tommy Tremble. Tremble is an absolute freak when it comes to his athletic ability and the Panthers seem to like him quite a bit. If the Panthers figure out how to use Tremble, he could be a gold mine in Dynasty Owner in a year or two. If Tremble develops into his full potential, I think he could end up in the realm of what we all hoped Jonnu Smith ($12,500,000) would be, but he still has a long way to go.

The two running backs (Zamir White and Pierre Strong) are both players I don’t see having huge years in 2022 but come 2023, both could have big roles with their current franchise. The last player here is Kyle Trask and while I am not excited about him in the least bit, I also don’t see much reason to let him go just yet. With Brady nearing his death bed, an injury is not out of the question in 2022 which would make Trask excellent trade bait.

Players to Trade

  1. Tom Brady (QB – TB) – 1 year/$15,000,000
  2. Chris Godwin (WR – TB) – 3 years/$20,000,000
  3. Dawson Knox (TE – BUF) – 1 year/$880,400

I believe this is the smallest Players to Trade list I have ever done, and it means a long road for the next owner. The most obvious trade candidate for me on this roster was the G.O.A.T. himself, Tom Brady. With Brady sitting at just $15,000,000 in salary for the 2022 season, he will be very enticing for any hopeful contender. My best advice for whoever takes this roster over is to do your best at starting a bidding war for Brady and hope someone will trade a massive haul for a championship run. Also, when doing this ask for their picks after the 2023 rookie draft, in hopes Brady hangs it up.

Brady’s teammate, Chris Godwin, is another player on this list and one who may be a little tougher to move. I initially had Godwin as a Building Block but with him coming off an injury, being a year older than D.J. Moore, and hitting free agency sooner I elected to stay with Moore long-term over Godwin.

The last player on the list is emerging Buffalo Bills tight end Dawson Knox but only for the right price. I know this contradicts everything I usually say about keeping young tight ends, but I just don’t like the fact Knox is set for a new deal around at the beginning of Josh Allen’s mega-extension and around the same time as Stefon Diggs’ new deal kicks in. If Knox isn’t in Buffalo, I don’t want to pay him as I am not so sure Knox can turn into a top tier tight end outside of Buffalo. I would sell him while he still has a very small contract on the best offense in football as opposed to when he gets paid.

Players to Hold

  1. Chuba Hubbard (RB – CAR) – 3 years/$1,048,294
  2. Kenneth Gainwell (RB – PHI) – 3  years/$953,882
  3. Kenyan Drake (RB – LV) – 1 year/$5,500,000
  4. Justin Jackson (RB – DET) – Listed as Free Agent, but signed for 1 year/$1,035,000
  5. Darius Slayton (WR – NYG) 1 year/$688,497
  6. Dyami Brown (WR – WAS) 3 years/$1,236,000
  7. Laviska Shenault (WR – JAX) 2 years/$1,924,017
  8. Terrace Marshall (WR – CAR) 3 years/$1,432,372

The Players to Hold list is rather bland if I am being honest, but there are a few intriguing pieces. My favorite player here is Kenneth Gainwell and while he won’t net much in a trade right now that could change come a few weeks into the season. The Eagles don’t seem to have a clear-cut top running back, despite the presence of Miles Sanders and if Gainwell can ball out during camp and pre-season, he could lock up the top spot and be worth a ton in trade value.

Terrace Marshall is another player who intrigues me as I can see a clear path to him getting playing time. Marshall should already be locked in as the Number 3 receiver in Carolina but if Robbie Anderson still hates Baker Mayfield (or vice versa), there is a real possibility that Marshall moves into the Number 2 slot. Marshall struggled his rookie year, but he does have the talent to succeed in the NFL.

The last player I want to talk about is Laviska Shenault. Shenault is going for next to nothing right now in trades, but with a new capable coach in town, I am excited to see how Shenault is involved. If Shenault were to come out and play well the first few weeks, I would try to move him then.

Players to Cut

  1. Chris Carson (RB – Free Agent)
  2. Malcom Brown (RB – NO) – Listed as Free Agent, but signed for 1 year/$1,188,000
  3. La’Mical Perine (RB – NYJ) 2 years/$1,010,086
  4. Mike Boone (RB – DEN) 1 year/$1,925,000
  5. Kylen Granson (TE – IND) 3 years/$1,046,592
  6. Mo Alie-Cox (TE – IND) 3 years/$5,850,000

The Players to Cut list finally has some big names and unfortunately for one, his career was cut short because of an injury. Chris Carson was a lot of fun for many years, but as fantasy managers sometimes we must let go. The huge disappointment on this list is Dynasty Owner darling Kylen Granson who unfortunately has not panned out.

Current Draft Picks

2023 – 1st, 2nd, 3rd

2024 – 1st, 2nd, 3rd

2025 – 1st, 2nd, 3rd

2026 – 1st, 2nd, 3rd

Dynasty Dollars and Amnesty Provisions

Dynasty Dollars = $10 million

Amnesty Provisions = 2

My Thoughts

As I said earlier in the article whoever purchases this team has their work cut out for them. I can honestly see this being one of the longer, yet more rewarding teams to buy as an orphan and rebuild to Championship glory. The last thing I want to talk about today is that I can see a few different ways to go about rebuilding this team and the best one may be to trade everyone including the Building Blocks and try to build it back up the right way. What do I mean by the right way you ask? What I mean by this is the fact that you won’t have to build around several expensive players eating up most of your cap space. If you do buy this team, I would love to hear about it and cover the future moves you make.

Thank you all for reading and be sure to check out our other articles by Steve, Matt, and Nate. Stay safe out there and good luck on your 2022 Chase for the Ring!