2020 Rookie Check Up

Author: Chris Wolf (@CKWolf21)

As Dynasty players, we are obsessed with potential. We measure it in college performance, breakout age, workout measurables, draft stock and finally – usage. Let’s take a quick look at where some notable rookies have progressed from draft to training camp(ish) to actual gameday usage. Their stats through two weeks are listed below their names.

Joe Burrow – QB – CIN ($9.05M)

  • 509 Pass Yards
  • 3 TDs
  • 1 INT
  • 65 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD

Burrow has been running for his life behind a seemingly annual disappointment of an offensive line. A lesser rookie QB may have fared much worse with what he’s had to work with, but Burrow is an elite competitor. His pocket presence is miles ahead of where most rookies would be, and he has thus far proven that he has the ability to place the ball into tight windows of coverage.

His 97 attempts through two weeks is absolutely insane but their ground game’s ineptitude has led to Burrow putting the games on his back. He and A.J. Green look like they are worlds apart right now in the chemistry department, but he has shown a solid rapport with Tyler Boyd and his tight ends.

Justin Herbert – QB – LAC ($6.64M)

  • 311 Pass Yards
  • 1 TD
  • 1 INT
  • 18 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD

Herbert did not get into the game week 1 but we were able to get a glimpse of his talent this past Sunday. It was one of the strangest Sunday’s in recent memory so why not throw a rookie QB in against the reigning Super Bowl champs on a moment’s notice? The Chargers “leaned” on their impressive run game, but they did not shy away from calling the promising rookie’s number when they needed him.

His 33 pass attempts resulted in 22 completions, 1 passing score and an ill-advised INT that was thrown across his body. It was a solid debut for the big-armed rookie that hasn’t even taken reps with the first team offense.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire – RB – KC ($2.7M)

  • 176 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD
  • 6 Receptions
  • 32 Yards

CEH put on an absolute show on opening night against the Texans rushing 25 times for 138 yards and one TD. He usage shifted towards the receiving game in week two against the Chargers aggressive front. He saw 8 targets in week 2 compared to just 2 in week one. This was a likely mixture of Darrel Williams exiting the game and Mahomes playing mostly hurry-up in the second half. He will see better days on the ground but probably after next week when they clash with the Ravens.

Jonathan Taylor – RB – IND ($1.96M)

  • 123 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD
  • 8 Receptions
  • 76 Receiving Yards

Taylor was immediately put to test when Marlon Mack went down early in week one. He didn’t find much room to run against an underrated Jacksonville front seven, but he was able to secure all 6 of his targets for 67 yards. Week 2’s performance with 28 touches showed that he is the every down back that he was billed to be. He completely dominated the touches over Nyheim Hines (28-1) and he is locked into the RB1 situation for the rest of the season.

James Robinson – RB – JAX ($763K)

  • 164 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD
  • 4 Receptions
  • 46 Receiving Yards

Of course, we knew that at this point, James Robinson would have more rushing yards than Jonathan Taylor. With back to back games of exactly 16 carries each, Robinson has been given the workhorse role in this new look Jaguars offense. With 35 total touches through two weeks, he provides the usage you are looking for on your Dynasty Owner team to be a competent RB2 or Flex. The only true concern is game script going forward since the Jags figure to be playing catch up quite a bit in 2020.

J.K. Dobbins – RB – BAL ($1.4M)

  • 70 Rush Yards
  • 2 TDs
  • 1 Reception
  • 13 Receiving Yards

This one is a bit maddening. It would be scary if the Ravens unleashed Dobbins but this three headed monster that they have as a backfield rotation will truly limit his potential until he’s needed to take over a game. In week 1 he scored twice on seven touches. In week 2 he ran for 48 yards on only two carries and caught his only target for 13 yards. You can only hope that Baltimore is keeping their prized rookie fresh for the long haul but man, the possibilities in this offense.

Jerry Jeudy – WR- DEN ($3.79M)

  • 8 Receptions
  • 15 Targets
  • 118 Yards
  • 0 TDs

Jeudy has recorded 4 receptions in each of his first two games and has seen a team-high 15 targets. The targets should remain the same with Courtland Sutton now being out for the season. With Jeff Driskel stepping in for Drew Lock (shoulder), Jeudy’s usage did not take a hit. He and Noah Fant are destined to be the go-to recipients when the Broncos have to throw the ball. In this run-first offense, expectations should be tempered for Jeudy, but he is now the unquestioned WR1 on his team.

CeeDee Lamb – WR – DAL ($3.5M)

  • 11 Receptions
  • 15 Targets
  • 165 Yards
  • 0 TDs

Lamb looks like a true #1 receiver on a team that already has two #1 receivers. His physicality and body control are just ridiculous for someone at this stage of their professional career. His 9.7 yards after catch in week two demonstrates just how physical the former Oklahoma Sooner really is. He will maintain his role in the slot and his snaps are sure to keep increasing due to the loss of Blake Jarwin from week 1. You can safely play him as a solid flex option in this high-powered offense.

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Week 2 Recap: An Exciting, but Injury Filled Week

Author: Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

There was some exciting football in Week 2 of the NFL season. The crazy ending to the early Dallas-Atlanta game, the pair of FGs by Harrison Butker to tie the game then win it for Kansas City in the second set of games, followed by the goal line stand by Seattle to preserve a close victory over New England in the Sunday night game. There was even a late score in the Cleveland-Cincinnati game on Thursday night to make it a one possession game.

There were also a lot of injuries. A lot of injuries. Almost too many to keep track of and we aren’t even focusing on the defensive side of the ball here. The consensus top two RBs in Dynasty Owner – Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey got hurt and are out for the rest of the season and “multiple” weeks respectively. Denver had two key offensive players get injured as WR Courtland Sutton tore his ACL and is out for the rest of the 2020 season, while QB Drew Lock has a sprain shoulder and will be out at least a couple of weeks. Both had ADPs below 60 meaning they were drafted in the first five rounds on average. Not to mention Rams RB Cam Akers, 49ers RB Raheem Mostert, Colts WR Parris Campbell, Giants WR Sterling Shepard and Jets WR Breshard Perriman. All of those guys got hurt as well and will miss varying amounts of time.

This is our second regular season Dynasty Owner weekly recap article for 2020. Hopefully, it’ll be exciting and injury-free. Once again, we’ll name a Dynasty Owner Player of the Week and a Value Player of the Week, highlight a player at every position who should have been one of your Starters and one who should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad. We’ll also look at what happened in the Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week and take our weekly look at the Chase for the Ring standings.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points. For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of September 21st.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our second Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for 2020 is: Josh Allen

Two weeks and two QBs have been Player of the Week. That’s how it rolls in Dynasty Owner. This week, it’s Josh Allen who abused the Miami Dolphins defense for 50.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (417 passing yards, 4 passing TDs, 18 rushing yards). Allen completed passes to eight different players and four different guys caught TD passes. There were questions about his passing abilities, but he relied on them this week more than his legs. He had the fourth worst rushing performance of his career, but had more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than any single game in his career. Allen just inched out his first Player of the Week award over Dak Prescott who had 49.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and Aaron Jones, who had 47.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and had to settle for Value Player of the Week.

  • Week 2 Points: 50.7
  • 2020 Salary: $5,295,760
  • Cost per Point: $104,453

Congratulations Josh on winning the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor for the first time!

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The second Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week for 2020 is: Aaron Jones

For some players, a 47.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance would clearly be the best performance of their career. For Aaron Jones, it’s merely his best performance in 2020 as he had 51.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points back in Week 5 of the 2019 season. Jones had a pretty dominating performance this week with 3 touchdowns and a total of 236 yards on 22 touches for an average of 10.7 yards per touch. As mentioned previously, he had 47.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (168 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 4 receptions, 68 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). In a big scoring week, Jones almost had the biggest week and the most Dynasty Owner fantasy points. It wasn’t quite meant to be, but he was easily the best value and therefore, takes the award for Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week.

  • Week 2 Points: 47.6
  • 2020 Salary: $650,484
  • Cost per Point: $13,666

Congratulations Aaron on winning your first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor for the 2020 season and your third overall!

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been in one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 1. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Russell Wilson, Ezekiel Elliott, DeAndre Hopkins or Travis Kelce because all of them should always be in your Starting lineup. Instead, these are players who might be Free Agents or on your Bench or Practice Squad, but likely weren’t Starters in Week 2 when they should have been.

QB: Ryan Tannehill (TEN) – 37.2 points

Tannehill was the sixth best QB in Dynasty Owner this week with 37.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (239 passing yards, 4 passing TDs, 12 rushing yards) against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tannehill has played well in both of Tennessee’s games this year with no turnovers and 6 passing TDs. Despite his great end of the 2019 season and start of the 2020 season, Tannehill is only owned in 19% of Dynasty Owner leagues right now, because his $29.5 million salary makes him the 9th highest paid QB for the 2020 season. That matches his ranking as the 9th best QB in Dynasty Owner after the first two weeks of the season. Not sure how many Dynasty Owners can afford to add Tannehill to their team, but he’s playing well enough to be in the Starting lineup for those of you who already have him.

RB: James Robinson (JAX) – 23.0 points

Sure, he’s the starter in Jacksonville, but how many Dynasty Owners trusted James Robinson enough against the Titans defense to have him in their Starting lineup in Week 2? The undrafted rookie out of Illinois State had 23.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (102 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 3 receptions, 18 receiving yards) to rank as the 7th best RB for the week, behind some pretty solid early round Dynasty Owner draft picks (Aaron Jones, Alvin Kamara, Leonard Fournette, Nick Chubb, Christian McCaffrey and Kareem Hunt). Right now, he’s the #12 ranked RB in Dynasty Owner and with all of the RB injuries this past week, Robinson might find his way into the Starting lineup for more of his Dynasty Owners next week and beyond.

Honorable mention to Darrell Henderson. As the only Rams RB who wasn’t injured in Week 2, Henderson ended up carrying the load for his team and ended up with 20.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (81 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 2 receptions, 40 receiving yards). After the performance of Malcolm Brown in Week 1 in which Henderson only had 3 carries for 6 yards, not a lot of his Dynasty Owners likely had Henderson in their Starting lineup.

WR: Braxton Berrios (NYJ) – 17.9 points

Are you the Dynasty Owner with Berrios on your roster? He’s only owned in 1% of Dynasty Owner leagues, so that likely means only one of you actually owns him right now. Since it’s highly unlikely that Berrios was in the Starting lineup for that team, it’s safe to put Berrios on this list after his 17.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (6 receptions, 59 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). With Jamison Crowder out for the game and Breshard Perriman and Chris Hogan getting injured during it, Berrios was targeted 8 times (tied with Hogan for the team lead). With a low salary of just $644,602, he might be worth a flyer for any Dynasty Owners who have multiple injured WRs on their team. Since his salary is so low, adding him is advised, especially if Crowder misses any additional games.

Honorable mention to Keenan Cole of the Jacksonville Jaguars who had a TD reception for the second consecutive game. In Week 1, Cole had 15.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 47 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) which he promptly followed up with 17.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (6 receptions, 58 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). That makes him worthy of having been in your Starting lineup two weeks in a row and makes him the #17 WR in Dynasty Owner right now. Not bad for a guy who’s only owned in 13% of Dynasty Owner leagues. If you want to add him to your roster, it’s not a long term commitment as he is only signed to a one-year contract for $3.26 million.

TE: Jordan Reed (SF) – 24.0 points

There were several low-owned, low-salary TEs who took over in Week 2 for injured starters and performed extremely well. Dalton Schultz (owned in 36% of Dynasty Owner leagues; $728,090 salary) had 20.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (9 receptions, 88 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD, 1 fumble lost) in place of Blake Jarwin in Dallas. Mo Allie-Cox (owned in 21% of Dynasty Owner leagues; $660,000 salary) got 16.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions and 111 receiving yards) taking Jack Doyle’s starting TE spot in Indianapolis. Both of those were top 12 TE performances this week. However, neither one was as good as Jordan Reed (owned in 36% of Dynasty Owner leagues; $1.05 million salary) had for the San Francisco 49ers as the injury replacement for star TE George Kittle. Reed had 24.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (7 receptions, 50 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs) in the 49ers demolishing of the New York Jets. In a remarkably high-scoring week for TEs, both regular starters and injury replacements, Reed stood out just a little bit more than his fellow low-owned, low-salary TEs and should have been in your Starting lineup.

K: Randy Bullock (CIN) – 11.0 points

If you missed Thursday Night Football, forgot about it after Sunday’s games or just don’t like kickers and refuse to pay attention to them, you may have missed that Randy Bullock of the Bengals made all six of his kick attempts (3 PATs and 3 FGs) this week. None of the FGs were very long (27, 38 and 43 yards) but those points add up to 11.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That made him one of the top kickers in Week 2 and someone who should have been in the Starting lineup for his Dynasty Owners. He is under-owned as he’s only rostered in 59% of Dynasty Owner leagues despite a salary that ranks only 18 overall among kickers according to Spotrac (https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/average/kicker/#). Bullock didn’t have the most kicker points this week, that would have been Harrison Butker who got 17.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points because of the two 3-point clutch scoring bonuses. However, everyone who has Butker on their roster likely had him in their Starting lineup. That’s not the case for Bullock, even though he also would have been useful in your Starting lineup this week.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been one of your Starters but wasn’t, we have some players who probably were Starters, but were better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad in Week 2.

QB: Daniel Jones (NYG) – 8.2 points

A young quarterback struggles against the Chicago Bears defense. That hasn’t happened every year for the past couple of decades has it.  This week, it was Daniel Jones of the Giants who had a week to forget with only 8.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (241 passing yards, 21 rushing yards, 1 INT, 1 fumble lost). Not what his Dynasty Owners expected from a guy they drafted on average at the end of the fourth round (ADP 44.2). The injury to star RB Saquon Barkley didn’t help Jones at all and it might get tougher for him without Barkley and the running game to lean on. If you drafted Jones early in your Dynasty Owner draft, hopefully you picked up another starting QB because Jones should probably be riding the Bench most weeks this season.

RB: Sony Michel (NE) – 1.9 points

When James White was declared inactive prior to the Patriots game on Sunday night versus the Seahawks, Dynasty Owners with Sony Michel in their Starting lineup probably though Michel was in for some heavy usage and a better than average fantasy game. They were wrong. As usual, it’s nearly impossible to trust a New England RB for fantasy purposes because you never know what Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels are going to do on a game-by-game basis. Without White, Michel had just 7 carries for 19 yards (1.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and was only targeted once passing. In contrast, fellow New England RB Rex Burkhead had 10 touches (6 carries and 4 receptions), or three more than Michel. Michel now has fewer Dynasty Owner fantasy points on the season than Burkhead as well (12.1 for Burkhead vs. 11.6 for Michel). Michel probably shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup too much this season.

WR: Anthony Miller (CHI) and Will Fuller (HOU) – 0.0 points

While nobody of note who played in Week 1 had the dreaded Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), we had two likely Starting WRs who pulled off the feat in Week 2. Both Anthony Miller and Will Fuller who had 20.6 and 19.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points respectively in Week 1 failed to catch a pass in Week 2, while Fuller even had a rushing attempt but for zero yards. After Top 20 WR performance in Week 1, which made both of them players who should have been in your Starting lineup, they both did nothing in Week 2 and should have been on your Practice Squad.

TE: Rob Gronkowski (TB) – 0.0 points

Many people felt that Gronk was due for a big game after being held to just 3.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 versus New Orleans. Especially since Chris Godwin was out with a concussion. However, QB Tom Brady only targeted Gronk once all game and Gronk ended up with the dreaded Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). That’s not what Dynasty Owners were expecting to get for $9 million in salary (tied for 4th highest with Kyle Rudolph, who coincidentally had the same stat line as Gronk with 1 target for zero receptions). Gronk should have been on your Bench in Week 1 and Practice Squad in Week 2.

K: Matt Prater (DET) – 1.0 points

Prater had the lowest number of Dynasty Owner fantasy points of all kickers in Week 2 with 1.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points as he made all 3 of his PAT attempts but missed a 57-yard FG attempt at the end of the first half. There weren’t any huge easy missed kicks this week so even those kickers who missed a PAT or long FG this week are unlikely to be cut, but Prater probably should have been on your Dynasty Owner Bench or Practice Squad this week.

Dynasty Owner Matchups of the Week Recap

The Champ has been defeated again! This time it was Yorkshire Roses who improved their record to 2-0 with the 145.4-132.5 come from behind victory. Darren Waller outscored Emmanuel Sanders 28.3 to 2.8 on Monday Night Football to fuel the comeback for the Roses. Yorkshire Roses improve to 2-0 heading into a Week 3 clash against the only other team to beat New York’s Strongest, VIP Club Dub. New York’s Strongest falls to 0-2 and looks to rebound against yours truly in Week 3. Both of us will be without our first round draft pick RBs (Barkley for New York’s Strongest and McCaffrey for me). Don’t worry, it won’t be the Matchup of the Week.

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

We have a new leader at the top of the Chase for the Ring leaderboard after two weeks. Congratulations are in order for The Human Fund who scored 232.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 2. Combined with the 180.9 points from Week 1 which were good enough to put them in the Top 25, The Human Fund sits on top of the Leaderboard with 412.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Close behind in second place are All Might who scored 233.4 points this week.

Special shout-out to the guy who beat me for my Dynasty Owner league title last year, Tom Hamblett – Teddy MF’in Ruxpin, who sits in 7th place right now. Happy that I’m not in his league, or any of the leagues of the teams in the Top 10 this year.

Conclusions

That’s all for Week 2. No injuries occurred during the writing of this article. Let’s hope that Week 3 brings just as much exciting football and close games, but far fewer season-ending injuries.

Please read the recap every Tuesday and the preview articles which come out on Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have an article every Wednesday from one of our other Dynasty Owner writers: Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) or Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl). Follow all four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

Hopefully, you didn’t miss the weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. If so, then head over to YouTube or one of the many other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker) that you can watch or listen to it. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner YouTube page as well. You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner is over 500 subscribers on YouTube and gaining more every week. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league, overtake The Human Fund in the Chase for the Ring standings and join Eddie as a Chase for the Ring winner!

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Five Players to Target in Your Free Agent Auction for Week 3

Author: Jay Poundsee (@JaypoundsNFL)

In Fantasy Football there always seems to be players available on waivers every week regardless of how deep your league is. The free-agent auction here on dynasty owner operates a little different than most leagues, with the best comparison I can think of being A free agent auction budget. In Dynasty Owner you will place a bid of no less than 1,000,000 Dynasty Dollars on whichever player you desire that is not on a roster. The free-agent Auction processes bids on Wednesday, Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday at 5 am EST. There is no limit to how much dynasty owner currency you can acquire throughout the year as it comes down to how much you feel comfortable spending.

You can acquire dynasty dollars by winning them (The highest scorer of each league wins $2MM each week), trading for them, winning them against your opponent if you make a side bet in the sportsbook, or you can buy them where every $1 USD will get you $1,000,000 in dynasty dollars. Hopefully, this gives you a decent understanding of how the system works here on Dynasty Owner. If you need help with anything feel free to reach out via email (commish@dynastyowner.com).

Keelan Cole WR, Jaguars (1 yr. – $3,259,000)

At number one in my free-agent rankings this week I had an extremely tough time deciding who to put on top as three players stood out as season-long options with all seemingly having decent floors going forward. I ended up going with Keelan Cole in my first spot simply because he has played well through two weeks and looks to have the number 2 role locked up in Jacksonville. Cole is on a roster in just 13.4% of all Dynasty Owner leagues with a contract of 1 year $3,259,000, making him an appealing grab.

Minshew has seemed to lean on Cole this year as his number one guy with 11 catches 105 yards and 2 touchdowns over the first two weeks of the season. The Jaguars have a really bad defense and it seems they will throw the ball a ton this year. If you’re in a bad spot at receiver and need instant production…try to snag up Cole, he has a solid range of outcomes one being the Jags lead wide receiver. He has led the Jaguars in targets and touchdowns up to this point.

Dalton Schultz TE, Cowboys (2 yrs. – $728,000) and Drew Sample TE, Bengals (3 yrs – $1,376,574)

I am going to sneak in two tight-ends here as I have the two dead even going forward this season. I will start with Dalton Schultz owned in 36.1% of leagues with 2 years at $728,000 left on his current deal. This kid at 24 years old was handed the lead tight end role in Dallas on a moment’s notice and looked excellent while doing it. His first full game as a starter he totaled 9 catches for 88 yards, and he found the end-zone. If Schultz can put up points in the ballpark of these numbers weekly, he will be a great play going forward, it also helps that he is in a high-powered offense. My next player is another young tight end in Drew Sample.

Sample has 3 years left on his deal at $1,376,574 and is only owned in 15.5% of leagues. Sample didn’t quite put the yardage total up that we would like to see but the targets were there he finished with 7 catches for 45 yards and had a whopping 9 targets. Give him a little time to get into the game plan and the yards will come in an offense that just threw the ball 61 times Thursday.

Mike Davis RB, Panthers (1 yr. – $3,000,000)

Mike Davis slots in at 3 owned in just 24% of leagues he has a 1-year contract valued at $3,000,000. I would have put Davis higher, but he is likely only going to be an option for a few weeks going forward. Davis plays backup to McCaffrey in Carolina who went down with a high ankle sprain this Sunday and will likely miss 3-5 weeks according to what reports I have seen. Davis seems to be a solid option over the next few as the Panthers 3 down back totaling 8 catches for 74 yards out of the backfield that had McCaffrey most of the game. If your hurting at running back this week Davis is by far the most appealing option moving forward but beware you may need to pony up to get him with the big-time injuries, we have seen thus far.

Isaiah Ford WR, Dolphins (1 yr. – $750,000)

Isaiah Ford is owned in 30% of leagues and has a contract of 1 year $750,000. Ford will slot in at number 4 after a nice week against a really tough match-up in the Buffalo Bills. The Bills have one of if not the best cornerback groups in the NFL with Tre’Davious White leading the way. Ford was able to rack up 7 catches for 76 yards on 9 targets against the White led defense.

There was a ton of hype surrounding Ford’s teammate Preston Williams throughout the offseason, but let’s not forget he is a player that went undrafted and has only played 11 games in his career. The role we all thought Williams would have this season seems to be opening more by the week with the poor play of Williams through two weeks of this young season. Isaiah Ford stepped up big time for the dolphins Sunday and may be able to step up big for your Dynasty Owner teams throughout the season.

Jeff Driskel QB, Broncos (2 yrs. – $2,500,000)

I have a feeling the next position in my rankings will be a rarity that we may only see another time or two this season. A cheap starting quarterback on waivers is unheard of in Dynasty Owner, so be sure to act fast as he won’t be available long. Jeff Driskel is owned in 3.1% of leagues and has a contract with 2 years left at $2,500,000. Driskel played well Sunday in relief of Lock completing 18 of 24 passes for 256 yards 2 scores and a pick. Driskel almost led the Broncos to a comeback win on Sunday against a top 3 defense and looked impressive doing it. He seems as if he will be a viable fantasy starter when the Broncos have favorable matchups while Lock is out dealing with an injury.

As you can see there is still solid potential left on waivers here at Dynasty Owner. If you happen to be one of the owners facing big-time players to significant injury this is the time to spend your precious dynasty dollars and hope that these gems will hit providing your team with a little bit of comfort in the coming weeks. I also have one honorable mention that I did not have in my top 5 and would like to mention. Wayne Gallman RB, Giants is owned in 44% of leagues with a contract of $704,912 and 1 year remaining. I like Gallman over Dion Lewis but there happen to be quite a few rumors the Giants could sign a big-name free agent running back in the coming days keeping Gallman out of the top 5 this week. As always good luck on your chase for the ring!

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Week 2 Preview – Heavyweight Battle

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

This week, it’s one of the Dynasty Owner Chase for the Ring matchups we wanted to see in 2019 but didn’t. That’s right, last year’s Champ Eddie Driscoll and New York’s Strongest take on the team that stormed up the Standings in the final two weeks and had the most points in the playoff finals (Dan Clarke of Yorkshire Roses). They didn’t face each other last year because they were in different Dynasty Owner beta leagues, but now we have the opportunity in 2020 to see this heavyweight battle of two of the best Dynasty Owners from last year.

Every week of the regular season and playoffs, we’ll present a set of players at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup as well as one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. We won’t recommend a kicker to Start or Bench though and these won’t be the obvious choices for Starters, like go ahead and start Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey and Travis Kelce (as if you weren’t going to do that already if you have them). Instead, these will be guys to Start who might not be highly owned or who were drafted to be a backup. For the Bench or Practice Squad choices, we’ll find typical Starters who shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup for the week based on matchups or past performance against a team. We’ll also review my Week 1 recommendations and see how those players fared.

Finally, we will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the Match-up of the Week, we will look at the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce. If you want your Dynasty Owner team to be featured as the Match-up of the Week in the future, just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and maybe it’ll be your matchup highlighted.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of September 17th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 1 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Jimmy Garoppolo – 25.9 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Tarik Cohen – 6.7 (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: DeSean Jackson – 6.6 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Jordan Reed – 3.2 (Bad recommendation)

A poor start to the 2020 recommendations with just one Just Ok and three Bad recommendations. The Jimmy Garoppolo recommendation almost qualified as Good since he was tied for 13th best QB in Week 1, but instead he fell 1.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points short of Cam Newton for the 12th spot. Tarik Cohen was closer to being Just Ok than either Jackson or Reed as he was the #46 RB for the week – meaning he was a very low-end Bench option. Jackson and Reed were clear Practice Squad players.

Let’s try to do better in Week 2 with these four recommendations:

Mitchell Trubisky (QB – CHI): One great quarter (89 passing yards and 3 passing TDs plus 20 rushing yards) was all it took to make Trubisky the 5th best QB in Dynasty Owner last week with 34.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Even with his Top 5 performance, most Dynasty Owners with him on their roster (owned in 94% of Dynasty Owner leagues) probably aren’t thinking about making him their Starter, are they? They should since the Giants defense gave up 29.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (229 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 9 rushing yards, 1 fumble) to Ben Roethlisberger. Mitch’s status as a Dynasty Owner Starter isn’t going to last long, so ride him while he’s playing well.

Joshua Kelley (RB – LAC): The atmosphere for the Chargers first game at SoFi Stadium is going to be better than it was for their “home” games the past three years playing in front of more opposition fans at StubHub Center. Will that suddenly make Kelley worth being in your Starting lineup? No, but it was fun to type out. What makes him worthy of being a Starter this week is his play last week (12 carries for 60 rushing yards and a rushing TD) against the Bengals combined with the Chiefs poor performance stopping David Johnson of the Texans last week (19.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Chargers Coach Anthony Lynn has suggested that starting RB Austin Ekeler could see his pass-catching opportunities “limited”. Not sure who would pick up those additional opportunities, but with Justin Jackson looking increasingly unlikely to play in Week 2, Kelley is most likely to pick up some extra chances to touch the ball. That makes him someone to look at for your Week 2 Starting lineup, either as a RB2 or FLEX.

Tre’Quan Smith (WR – NO): Somebody in New Orleans is going to have to replace Michael Thomas who is likely out for Week 2 and a few more weeks with a high ankle sprain. It should be Smith who gets a good portion of the nearly 12 targets that Thomas averaged per game in 2019. He’s not available in many Dynasty Owner leagues (available in just 3%, likely because of his low $855,131 salary), but with injuries to several WRs last week, many Dynasty Owners are probably looking to their Practice Squad for those backups who they drafted late, hoping for a breakthrough. Smith has a great chance to do that this week against the Las Vegas Raiders who let Carolina Panthers WRs catch 16 passes for 211 yards last week. Move Smith off your Bench or Practice Squad and get him in your Starting lineup this week.

Logan Thomas (TE – WAS): Jordan Reed didn’t work out as the TE recommendation last week against the Arizona Cardinals, but let’s try again by picking the TE facing Arizona this week. Logan Thomas, come on down! After all, the Cardinals are just one season removed from allowing nearly 20 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to the opposing team’s TE. Thomas is a guy who you can still find (along with his $3,072,500 salary) in the Free Agent Auction in 31% of Dynasty Owner leagues, down from 71% last week. As the #7 TE last week, he was picked up by a lot of Dynasty Owners and you didn’t pick him up to have him sit on your Practice Squad, did you? Put Thomas in your Starting lineup and see if he can have another TE1 performance this week.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up are the Week 1 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations. How did they fare (Good, Bad or Just Ok)?

  • QB: Aaron Rodgers – 43.4 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Kareem Hunt – 11.1 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Amari Cooper – 18.1 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Evan Engram – 2.9 (Good recommendation)

Just like last year, my Bench recommendations were a little better, but the Rodgers recommendation was a huge mistake since he was Dynasty Owner Player of the Week. Kareem Hunt had only 11.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points but was the #29 ranked RB (but #81 ranked among players eligible to be in the FLEX lineup spot) so he should have been on the Bench, but just barely. Amari Cooper was a clear Starter as the 18th best WR for the week, while Evan Engram should have been on the Practice Squad with his #36 TE performance. Let’s see if we can do better with this set of players who should be sitting on the Bench or hanging out with the Practice Squad this week.

Carson Wentz (QB – PHI): The Philadelphia offensive line was truly offensive last week, allowing Wentz to get sacked eight times by the Football Team defense. This week, it’s Aaron Donald and the Rams defense who had three sacks of Dak Prescott in the Rams 20-17 victory over Dallas on Sunday night. Lane Johnson should be back this week to help shore up the offensive line, as will RB Miles Sanders who can help take pressure off Wentz with a good running game and receiver to dump off passes. Sure, the Rams defense allowed Cowboys WRs to 18 passes for 190 yards but remember WR isn’t exactly an Eagles position of strength and Prescott was just the #18 QB in Dynasty Owner in Week 1. Wentz struggles for the second week in a row and should be on your Dynasty Owner Bench again.

Melvin Gordon (RB – DEN): If Saquon Barkley only got 12.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points versus the Pittsburgh defense to finish as the #23 RB for Week 1, do you think Melvin Gordon will do better? Even with Phillip Lindsay possibly missing or being limited in Week 2 and Gordon getting more touches, it’s tough to recommend anything but sitting Gordon on the Bench despite his #16 RB rank in Week 1, ADP of 51 and $8 million salary. Dynasty Owners will have plenty of opportunities to start Gordon this season, just not this week.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): Just because I’m recommending that you start Logan Thomas doesn’t mean I think all players on the Football Team are advisable Starters this week in Dynasty Owner. Unlike Thomas, I think Terry McLaurin should be a Bench option at best. First, he has had less of a connection with Dwayne Haskins than other Football Team QBs in his pro career. He’s averaging 13.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 15 games as a pro, but only 10.45 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in games that Haskins has played the whole game. Second, he’s likely to be shadowed this week by Patrick Peterson who’s looking to be seen as one of the top shadow cornerbacks in the league again in 2020. Both of those factors lead to a Bench recommendation for McLaurin this week.

Noah Fant (TE – DEN): It worked last week so I’m going to use the TE facing the Steelers defense in this spot again in Week 2. Fant had a great Week 1 with 19.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 81 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) against the Titans on Monday night. He ranks as the 3rd best TE in Dynasty Owner after Week 1 and was drafted as a #1 TE with an ADP of 85.4 despite a salary of $3.15 million. Fant is a Bench recommendation for the same reasons as Giants TE Evan Engram was last week – the Steelers defense is really good in general and especially against TEs since they acquired Minkah Fitzpatrick from the Dolphins last year. Despite his performance last week, Bench Fant this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – New York’s Strongest vs. Yorkshire Roses

It’s time for our second Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2020 season. Both teams won their league in 2019, but that can’t happen in 2020 because they are in the same league!  And now in Week 2 of the 2020 season, they must play each other. Yorkshire Roses is looking to start the season 2-0 while New York’s Strongest is trying to avoid their second ever Dynasty Owner loss and an 0-2 start to the 2020 season.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, it looks like New York’s Strongest has a slight edge over Yorkshire Roses (130.5 to 124.1).

Let’s look each team’s Starters and see if New York’s Strongest earns the advantage over Yorkshire Roses from their Starting lineup:

New York’s Strongest definitely has the advantage in Starting lineups with a projected 121.5 to 110.3 lead. Pretty much all of their advantage is at RB as Saquon Barkley’s projection for 21.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points is almost twice the 11.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points projected for Devin Singletary. Everything else is pretty even.

On to the Bench where Dynasty Owners get 20% of their Bench scoring added to their overall point total. Each team has the following players on their Bench right now.

Yorkshire Roses has a significant advantage right now with the Bench scoring and is projected to outscore New York’s Strongest at almost every Bench position. However, their 23.8-point Bench points advantage (69.1 to 45.3) only cuts New York’s Strongest lead by 4.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

The projections have New York’s Strongest back in the winner’s circle this week, but nothing is official until Monday Night Football is over. Check out the Tuesday recap article to see who actually won, if either one or both teams make their 2020 season debut on the Chase for the Ring Leaderboard and most importantly, if your team was good enough to make it there as well.

Conclusion

Please read the preview article each week. Maybe your team will be featured in the Match-Up of the Week – it’s going to definitely be someone other than New York’s Strongest next week. If you want it to be your team that is featured, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and check out next week’s preview to see if your matchup was chosen. Remember that there will be a recap article coming out every Tuesday and a preview article posted every Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well. Follow all four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

There will also be a weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube and other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker). You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has crossed the 500 subscriber’s threshold on YouTube and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring! Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Don’t Tilt After One Week

Author: Matt “TheJerk” Morrison

Hey y’all. TheJerk here again.  Hope you had a great weekend watching what we’ve all missed for seven months. Today I’m going to go through all 32 teams and talk about one player’s performance on each team that shouldn’t cause you to overreact.

Chiefs

This season picked up right in the same place the Chiefs left off last season…dominating good football teams. A lot of fantasy (and real football) implications came from this game, but I would argue that none was bigger than Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s (CEH) debut performance. His night began modestly with back-to-back rushes to the left side, each for three yards. On the next drive, he took a one-yard rush to the right side.  So here we are, nearly a full quarter into the game and CEH has three carries for seven yards with zero targets. 

Were CEH owners concerned?  Probably some. Was Twitter concerned? Very. Was I concerned? Minimally, and the reason is SAMPLE SIZE.

Would I have liked to see CEH rip off the first carry of his career for a 65-yard touchdown? Of course, but I think seasoned dynasty players realize (that while possible) it is not likely. Would it have been nice to see a well-organized screen (the prettiest play in football) develop to CEH? Again, of course it would, but the early game script didn’t call for it. Well as most of you reading this know, those three lackluster plays are where CEH’s lack of success ended. On his fourth carry he broke away up the middle for an 18-yard run. I’m not going to recite the entire play-by-play of his night, but he was very effective from here on out. Continuously picking up 8-12-yard chunks. In total, he ended the game with 25 carries for 138 yards with one sensational 27-yard touchdown run. (I would have liked to see at least one of his goal line carries taken in, but Houston’s defense stepped up inside the five).

So why was I so long winded in laying out that for you? I did it to show how quickly people can tilt or overreact from a small sample of plays.  I literally read comments where people were saying that CEH is a bust and anyone that drafted him in the first or second round was wrong to do that. Now I’m sure some of these people don’t really believe what they’re saying and are trying to get others riled up, but that’s my point. Don’t listen to it. Don’t listen to the tilting when you know how small a sample it that is being analyzed. In the same way, don’t listen to the single game over hype that CEH is getting. The hype where people are proclaiming, he’s already heading to the HOF. That he’s a lock to win both the Rookie of the Year and MVP. This is what I say…

He had a great game.  No doubt about it. His vision to find lanes were top level in my opinion.  His cutting and agility were also top level. In summation, he’s showing us skills that we saw him show in college.  What I am more impressed with (and it’s something that he can’t even control) is his usage.  25 carries for a rookie back in his first game on a top three offence. That is valuable.  Zero targets are disappointing for sure, but those will come. My bottom line is this…had CEH come out and put up a line of 19 carries for 65 yards and no receptions, my opinion of him wouldn’t change much. I wouldn’t be declaring him a bust or be looking to trade him.  Seasons take time to build steam especially in this zero-game preseason. Don’t tilt based on one bad performance. Don’t tilt based on one good performance. There are things that you should tilt on, and I’ll discuss those at the end. For now, let’s go through every NFL team and I’ll give you one player performance from each team that you shouldn’t cause you to overreact. 

Texans

There were two players I was anxious to watch during this Thursday night game. I’ve already spent a great amount of time talking about the first and the second is David Johnson. DJ (having been traded for DeAndre Hopkins and carrying a 13-million-dollar salary) was under the microscope Week 1. Can he prove this trade was worth it for the Texans? Can he still produce at 28 years old? Can he produce one year removed from a season in which he looked run down?

He had many questions to answer and to be honest, this one game doesn’t answer any of them.  He had a good game.  He ran hard and he looked like he did three years ago.  He finished with 11 rushes for 77 yards and one touchdown including three receptions for 32 yards.  A solid game and one to be proud of, but I wouldn’t go out and sell my future for him.  Chances are the DJ owner will be looking for a large haul following this good game, but with a 13-million-dollar price tag I wouldn’t be a buyer.  Again, I think DJ should have a fine, high floor year, but the price to acquire him, given his salary, is most likely going to be too high.

Bills

Please, please don’t freak out about Devin Singletary.  I know the box score doesn’t look great.  I know what the big concern is, and I’m a little concerned too, but roll with him for a while before you give up.  Mr. Singletary posted nine rushes for 30 yards with five receptions for 23 yards and no touchdowns. Zack Moss is the obvious elephant in the room. They both ended with disappointing, but not disastrous fantasy results. The fact is this…Buffalo is going to be using a committee for their backfield. Both Singletary and Moss are above average players and, to be honest, they should both be used. This isn’t what Singletary owners want to hear (especially when you drafted him in the late second or early third). Here is some optimism…Singletary costs less than one million. Singletary is still going to be used in the passing game. Five receptions this week is behind only Hines (8), Carson (6) and Taylor (6). So yes, I think you’ve lost value on Singletary since the draft, but the answer is not to “tilt trade” him. Hang on for a while. Don’t let one game cloud your decisions.

Jets

Sam Darnold had a poor performance on Sunday.  He salvaged his day by completing a 69-yard touchdown to Jamison Crowder. A play, by the way, that was caught behind the line of scrimmage and involved two and a half-missed tackles. At any rate, Darnold completed a disappointing 21 of 34 passes. His final stat line was 215 yards with one touchdown and one INT. Not the worst performance, but not great either. There will be brighter days ahead for Darnold. Plus, with his salary being in the bottom half of all starting QB’s, he is still a value.  Let’s just hope the current coaching regime in NY doesn’t start to cause regression for him.

Dolphins

Miami played New England close for the entire game and while Mike Gesicki had a crucial 18-yard reception during their only touchdown drive, he was otherwise mostly silent. Three receptions for 30 yards is a disappointing stat line for a player of Gesicki’s athleticism.  I am unconcerned. There are not many quality receiving options in Miami, and I believe the 24-year-old TE will become more involved, especially with the news that DeVante Parker aggravated his hamstring.

Patriots

Cam Newton had a great game. Cam did something in one game that Tom Brady didn’t do in the last two seasons combined. That is, he rushed for 75 yards. Cam threw for 155 yards with 75 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns. A great fantasy performance and one that any owner is happy with.  My problem with Cam is not going to be performance. He will have a good season if he stays healthy. My issue is his value in Dynasty Owner format. Cam is getting paid almost nothing this year. If you want to own him and make a run for the championship now, I have no issue with it. (You may not find a better value at QB) Next year however, and the years to come are concerning.  If he puts up similar numbers throughout the entire season, he will get paid in 2021 and it will be north of 30 million.  In my eyes, I am not willing to sacrifice what it will take to acquire him, just to lose much of that value next year.

Example:

  • Team A Receives: Cam Newton
  • Team B Receives: Joshua Kelley, TJ Hockenson, 2021 2nd

I understand this trade is hard to consider in a vacuum without any team needs specified, but value wise, I would rather have Team B’s side. This is a reasonable trade that could very easily be offered and accepted. Bottom line: If you have Cam, congrats and sell high if possible. If you don’t have Cam, don’t sell your future for him.

Ravens

There’s no Raven’s player that I think is in danger of overreaction.  Maybe the closest player I can see would be J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins was involved but ended up having a good fantasy day because he converted two carries inside the five-yard line into touchdowns. This was notoriously Mark Ingram’s territory, so it is worth monitoring in the weeks to come.

Browns

I’m unconcerned about Nick Chubb.  He only rushed for 60 yards.  He was out touched by Hunt, and he lost a fumble.  All things considered; I chalk it up mostly to the Raven’s defense.  There will be better fantasy finishes ahead for the top three running back in terms of talent.

***Spoiler Alert***

Chubb’s QB is someone I have long term concerns for, and I’ll get to that later.

Jaguars

The Jags shocked me. It’s not necessarily that they beat the Colts. (I’ve been saying all offseason that Jacksonville will not be the worst team in the NFL) It was more about how they won. Every carry by a running back was taken by James Robinson. 16 carries for 62 yards to be exact. That stat line gave him the record for most rushing yards by an undrafted free agent in their debut game.  But this anti overreaction is not about Robinson. It’s about Chris Thompson.  Chris Thompson had zero rushes and only two receptions for 6 yards. How is that possible?  Thompson was sure to be the beneficiary of additional work after the departure of Leonard Fournette. I’ll be honest, the lack of usage is puzzling for me, but for now I’ll say that game script is the reason. The Jags did not need many passes to win this game as Gardner only attempted 20. Thompson is an above average receiving back and should be worked into the scheme more in the future especially as Jacksonville trails games throughout the season. Don’t give up on him yet.

Colts

I’m not in danger of overreacting about anyone from the Colts. Rivers is what we thought he would be…a high volume, sometimes very inaccurate gunslinger. Campbell and Hilton will go back and forth as the number one receiver on the team throughout the year. Neither of their stat lines surprised me. I would say the most surprising development for the Colts is the fact that the “one-two punch” we heard about from Frank Reich was not Mack and Taylor, but instead was Hines and Mack. That point is, however, moot with the season injuring Achilles tendon injury to Mack. Look for Taylor and Hines to shoulder the backfield.

Football Team

Don’t tilt over Antonio Gibson. Gibson put up nine rushes for 36 yards, and he added two receptions for eight yards. He is a rookie who was playing in his first game. In the same way that we shouldn’t have called CEH a bust if he had a poor performance on Thursday, we shouldn’t call Gibson a bust or move his value down at all. Give him time to develop and don’t shop him around for cheap. In fact, buy him low if his owner is panicking.

Eagles

Zach Ertz had a fine game. It wasn’t spectacular. It may not have been what you wanted, but it was serviceable.  Most importantly, it didn’t lose you the week. Just don’t look at Goedert’s box score or game film. Don’t do it…Well, if you own Ertz then you probably already know. While Ertz went for 3/18/1, Goedert went for 8/101/1. Pretty rough right? I say no. Sure; I agree that it would have been nice if Ertz would have received all of that work, but it’s not what’s happening in Philly. They have two above average tight ends and they use both of them. This just happens to be a week that was skewed in favor of Goedert. Don’t panic. Ertz had a good game and will continue to have good games. Stick with him.

Bears

Allen Robinson didn’t receive the volume he was expected to receive, or did he? Five receptions for 74 yards and no touchdowns. A solid outing. Nothing special. Robinson, however, did have nine targets. The volume was there, but the early season connection was off.  I have no concerns.

Lions

AP had a great game, but I don’t expect it to continue.  Peterson shouldn’t be dropped and deserves to be rostered in all leagues, but don’t get too attached to him.  I expect Swift to be the best running back on the team and take over lead duties eventually.  I have AP as a solid bench RB until then though.

Packers

Aaron Rodgers is owned in only one third of Dynasty Owner leagues.  That’s no surprise.  He added no offensive weapons in the offseason and his contract is 33.5 million for 4 years. (Quite a commitment). For those reasons, I don’t anticipate a big increase in ownership after Week 1.  Rodgers went 32/44 for 364 yards and four touchdowns. He will not have to pass the ball 44 times a game very often and there will no doubt be more of a focus on the ground game in the future. If you own him, congrats on being able to afford his contract and continue to start him. If you don’t own him, don’t rush to the wire to add him.

Vikings

The arguments I made against picking up Aaron Rodgers can also be applied to Kirk Cousins.  Cousins had a great game. (259/2/1) He also added an unexpected 34 yards rushing.  Both of his touchdowns came in the fourth quarter and one was in garbage time. Cousins costs 33 million for three years and is owned in zero Dynasty Owner leagues. It should stay that way.  The long-term commitment is not worth the occasional big games. Don’t be tempted.

Seahawks

Looks like we’re on a QB run here with the third in a row. Russell Wilson had a phenomenal game. This was quite possibly the best game Russell has ever played. He threw 35 times, completing 31 for 322/4/0. He had the same number of touchdowns as he did incompletions. Of those four incompletions, two were blatant drops by DK Metcalf, one was tipped as he threw and one was a poor pass. Russell made a single mistake…Amazing. Regardless, Russ is owned in 100% of leagues as he should be. The price to acquire him after Week 1 would be astronomical in terms of trade and salary commitment. For that reason, I predict Russell will be in the bottom 20% of players that are traded this year. If you own him, you don’t want to trade him. If you don’t have him, you probably don’t have enough (assets or cap space) to acquire him.

Falcons

Where do I begin here? Who do I talk about? How about Matt Ryan attempting 54 passes for 450 yards? How about the fact that three wideouts each had 12 targets, nine receptions and over 110 yards? I’m not a statistician, but I can guarantee you that has never happened in NFL history.

Nope, I’m going to talk about a tight end I was targeting in my DO drafts. Hayden Hurst. Hurst had a subpar game. Three receptions for 30 yards. The majority of the targets went to the aforementioned receivers. The usage will increase. I would tell you to stick with him, but with the scarcity at TE, you may not have any other options.

Raiders

Don’t panic on the Raider’s rookie receivers. (Edwards and Ruggs) Ruggs actually had a fine day by the box score, but he wasn’t involved much.  Edwards’ day was disappointing.  They will both get worked in slowly and will make more of an impact in the future. Store them both.

Panthers

DJ Moore will be fine.  He had a disappointing game, but those will happen. (4 for 54) Moore had a very healthy nine targets, but the in-game connection between him and Teddy was not apparent yet. Stay calm, it’s only one week.

Chargers

I think it’s clear (even from one game) that Austin Ekeler will not be the workhorse back for the Chargers. I’m not sure I expected him to be, but I am surprised by the carries and efficiency of Joshua Kelley. Kelley (12 for 60) scored the Chargers only touchdown. Most surprising is the fact that Ekeler only had one reception on one target. Game script was to blame, and it also seemed like the Chargers struggled at getting their passing game going. Ekeler will rebound.

Bengals

I’m not concerned about Joe Mixon’s poor performance on Sunday. (19 for 69 with one reception) Continue playing him with confidence.

Cardinals

Not much to overreact to here. Kyler was superb as expected. Drake had a solid game.  Hopkins is the man and the number one receiver like we knew he would be. The Cardinals beat a good team, and I look for that trend to continue.

49ers

I’m going to change the rules when it comes to the 49ers. I’m going to overreact…I missed the boat on Raheem Mostert. I respected the talent, but I wasn’t sure the efficiency and lack of volume would continue to provide high end fantasy performances. Mostert was the best-looking player for San Fran on Sunday. He was the most explosive player and received the most volume. Mostert will return value for where he was drafted this year especially given his current contract. (2.9 million) I’m second guessing my rank after one game. I would advocate attempting to trade for him if you can get away without overpaying.

Saints

It was brutal to watch, but I have zero concern about Michael Thomas this year. You should have none either.

Buccaneers

I was worried about Mike Evans coming into Sunday. I thought there was a good chance he wasn’t going to play and an even better chance he would be ineffective if he did. His hamstring strain was worth monitoring and plugging in a safer (earlier game) player would have been the smart move. Evans was also going to be opposed by Marshon Lattimore. Well, it didn’t seem like the hamstring inhibited Evans’ production. Marshon Lattimore, however, did inhibit him.  Evans was lined up against Lattimore 29 times in which he caught zero passes on two targets.  Evans did, partially, bail out Dynasty Owners with a two-yard touchdown reception. (His only reception of the game) Evans will look towards Week 2 with better and more opportunities.

Rams

Don’t fret over Cam Akers’ disappointing game. He is a rookie playing in his first game (notice the theme). Yes, he was very inefficient with 14 carries for 39 yards. Malcolm Brown looked good and will, no doubt, take the majority of the carries until he shows a drop-in production.  Hold onto Cam and start him on your bench for now.

Cowboys

Don’t put too much stock into Amari Cooper’s volume on Sunday night (14 targets for ten receptions) While I expect Cooper to be the #1 for the Cowboys year long, I don’t expect him to be the runaway #1. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Dallas and those mouths have a ton of talent. (Elliot, Cooper, Lamb, Gallup) Again, continue starting Cooper, but don’t expect ten reception nights every week.

Steelers

James Conner hurt a lot of Owners Monday night.  He hurt my All-Star League team. He hurt himself, but I believe the team when they say they don’t expect him to miss time. I’d be looking to buy on Conner if his Owner is panicking. But if you are his owner, you know better. We don’t sell low. Hang onto him and monitor his ankle in the coming weeks.

Giants

The Giants’ offensive line looked abysmal. They were getting “blown up” nearly every drop back and the rushing attempts were not any better. Saquon Barkley was held to six rushing yards on 15 carries. He also added six receptions for 60 yards which held his fantasy week (somewhat) intact. The O-line’s issues are concerning, but it’s not worth panicking over. Stand firm and start your stud.

Titans

Corey Davis had the big volume game that his Owners have been waiting for. He totaled seven receptions. This is only the second time in his career he’s had seven or more receptions and it’s something he didn’t do at all last year. Davis is owned in 74% of Dynasty Owner leagues as his yearly salary is 6.3 million. If you don’t own him, I wouldn’t be rushing out to pick him up. 

Broncos

Everything looked right on par for me as far as the Broncos go. Nearly every player received the amount of work I thought they would. I would say the most surprising outcome was Noah Fant (having five receptions for 81 yards and a touchdown). I believe the breakout is starting.  If you drafted Fant, congratulations. I think he will be well involved in the offense moving forward.  It remains to be seen how much of his volume will drop off when Cortland Sutton returns from injury. 

“So”, you’re asking yourself, “it sounds like you aren’t overreacting about any player.  Why didn’t you just write, ‘I have zero concerns about any player’”. Just because I am not overreacting, or tilting, that does not mean that I don’t have concerns. Here is a non-comprehensive list of a few players I am closely monitoring and am putting a high-risk label on…

  • Brandon Cooks (salary mixed with lack of recent production)
  • Ryan Fitzpatrick (poor play, possibility of being replaced)
  • Le’Veon Bell (usage, poor play, current injury, salary, apparent unrest with Adam Gase)
  • Mark Ingram (lack of usage, lack of usage around the goaline)
  • Baker Mayfield (inaccuracies continuing from last season, lack of connection with OBJ)

Once again, I’m not writing these players off as it was only one game.  However, most of them have lingering concerns from the previous year that hopefully won’t turn into trends. 

If you couldn’t tell after reading my 32 team write up, then I’ll tell you now. I am a patient man. 

I prefer to watch seasons develop and obtain as much information about a player or team that I can before making a regrettable, impulsive decision. I think that is a good quality to have in a fantasy owner, and even more so in a Dynasty Owner. Dynasty Owner is focused on building a team (a dynasty) for a lifetime. This single week is very minor in terms of your entire career at DO. Be patient, and don’t make a team altering decision based off of 60 minutes.  Let the season come to you and enjoy it.

Thanks for reading and I’ll see you all next time. Cheers!

Week 1 Recap: In the Books

Author: Steven Van Tassel (@SteveVT33)

Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season is in the books. Some people thought that it might not happen, but it did and for many people, it was spectacular. For others, it wasn’t so good, but they should be happy that football is back after months of uncertainty. For every 1-0 Dynasty Owner who’s crowing to his or her Twitter followers, friends, and league mates, there’s a Dynasty Owner sitting there with an 0-1 record and checking out their opponent’s team for Week 2.

This is our first regular season Dynasty Owner weekly recap article for 2020. For everyone back from the beta season, you know the drill. For everyone who is new or just didn’t read these recap articles last year, here’s what happens. We’ll name a Dynasty Owner Player of the Week and a Value Player of the Week, highlight a player at every position who should have been one of your Starters and one who should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad. We’ll also look at what happened in the Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. Finally, we debut a new feature with a weekly look at the Chase for the Ring standings.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points. For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of September 14th.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our first Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for 2020 is: Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers had himself quite a game on the road against a division foe in the Minnesota Vikings. Hopefully, you didn’t pay attention to any so-called analysts who suggested that you Bench Rodgers this week based on his 2019 performances against Minnesota. Last year, he was not very good in two starts against the Vikings (19.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 2 and 9.5 points in Week 16), but this year was a different story. Rodgers accumulated a Dynasty Owner leading 43.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (364 passing yards, 4 passing TDs plus 2 rushing yards). All of that adds up to the second Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor of his career.

Week 1 Points: 43.4

2020 Salary: $33,500,000

Cost per Point: $771,889

Congratulations Aaron on being the first Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for the 2020 season!

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week for 2020 is: Nyheim Hines

All off-season, the talk about the Indianapolis backfield centered on when Jonathan Taylor would overtake Marlon Mack as the lead RB. However, on the first drive of the season, Nyheim Hines was in the backfield on first and 10 from the Jacksonville 12 yard line and took the ball into the end zone for a TD. Hines ended up catching an 8 yard pass from Philip Rivers in the second quarter for another TD. Marlon Mack got hurt and Hines ended up as the leading rusher for the Colts with 28 yards on 7 carries. Overall, Hines had quite the day with 27.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (28 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 8 receptions, 45 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD, 24 return yards). That performance combined with his $796,137 salary was a good enough combination to make Hines the Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week.

Week 1 Points: 27.9

2020 Salary: $796,137

Cost per Point: $28,535

Congratulations Nyheim on winning the first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor for the 2020 season!

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been in one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 1. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Lamar Jackson, Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas or Travis Kelce because each one of them was the #1 player in Dynasty Owner at their respective position in 2019 and should always be a Starter. Instead, these are players who might be Free Agents or on your Bench or Practice Squad, but likely weren’t Starters in Week 1 when they should have been.

QB: Mitchell Trubisky (CHI) – 34.7 points

Even though he is rostered in a remarkably high 94% of Dynasty Owner leagues, I’ll venture to say that he wasn’t in the Starting lineup for a lot of those Dynasty Owners. And after three quarters, this seemed like the smart decision as Trubisky had just 153 passing yards and zero TDs. However, he threw for 89 yards and 3 TDs in the fourth quarter to lead the Bears to a 27-23 comeback victory over the Detroit Lions. All combined Trubisky had 34.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (242 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 26 rushing yards, 1 fumble). Out of those 34.7 points, 25.45 of them came in the fourth quarter, including the 3 point clutch scoring bonus that he got for the 27 yard TD pass to Anthony Miller with 1:54 left in the game.

RB: Malcolm Brown (LAR) – 26.0 points

With Coach Sean McVay talking about a three-back rotation as late as last Tuesday, Dynasty Owners with Malcolm Brown on their roster can be forgiven for not having him in their lineup as a Starter for Week 1. How were they to know that Brown would finish the Sunday Night Football game against the Dallas Cowboys with 26.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (79 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 3 receptions, 31 receiving yards)? Brown was a Top 5 RB this week and finished with more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than consensus first round draft picks like Alvin Kamara and Clyde Edwards-Helaire, both of whom had excellent games as well. Brown is 40% of the way to his 2019 Dynasty Owner fantasy points total of 65.1. Beware of reading too much into this performance, since Brown had 17.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in last year’s season opener, then just 47.8 points for the rest of the season.

WR: Robby Anderson (CAR) – 25.5 points

For this week, Anderson was the Carolina WR to own as he turned eight targets into 25.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6 receptions, 115 yards receiving, 1 receiving TD and 1 2-pt conversion). He had the same number of targets as Curtis Samuel and only one fewer than DJ Moore, but turned his targets into more receptions than either Samuel (5) or Moore (4). Most of his points came on a single play, the 75-yard TD reception in the fourth quarter, but that’s ok with the 53% of Dynasty Owners who have Anderson on their roster. With an ADP of 227.4, he was a late round, depth WR pick-up for most of his Dynasty Owners, most of whom probably kept him riding the Bench or even worse, sitting on the Practice Squad and not earning any points for his great performance.

TE: David Njoku (CLE) – 14.0 points

Even though he’s rostered in 92% of Dynasty Owner leagues, it’s doubtful that too many of those Dynasty Owners had faith that Njoku would outscore the likes of George Kittle, Darren Waller and Hunter Henry this week. Njoku also had one more target than his teammate Austin Hooper (3 targets vs. 2 for Hooper). Njoku had 14.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (3 receptions, 50 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) before spraining his MCL and having to go on Injured Reserve for at least three games.

Honorable mention to Logan Thomas of the Washington Football Team. Despite being named the starting TE for Washington, only 29% of Dynasty Owners took a chance on Thomas and his $3,072,500 salary for 2020. Thomas ended up as a TE1 for Week 1 with 13.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions, 37 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). He could be a top Free Agent Auction pickup on Wednesday with those stats if Dynasty Owners have more than $3 million in salary cap room or plans to release some underperforming injured player after Week 1.

K: Mason Crosby (GB) – 11.0 points Due to his $4.3 million annual salary and the fact that he only achieved double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points twice in 2019, Crosby is only owned in a remarkably low 21% of Dynasty Owner leagues. Dynasty Owners missed out on a chance for 11.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points from Crosby who kicked 5 PATs and made FGs of 31 and 43 yards in the Packers 43-34 victory over the Minnesota Vikings. He may get picked up in a few leagues by Dynasty Owners who have some salary cap room and had Austin Seibert on their roster since Seibert was released by Cleveland on Monday.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been one of your Starters but wasn’t, we have some players who probably were Starters, but were better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad in Week 1.

QB: Carson Wentz (PHI) – 15.7 points

For the most part, the top QBs had pretty good weeks. The guys who did the worst are highly owned, but likely not in many Dynasty Owner Starting lineup, such as Ryan Fitzpatrick (3.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) or Tyrod Taylor (11.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), or low ownership players like Jared Goff (16% ownership; 12.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Therefore, Carson Wentz gets the nod here based on his 15.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (270 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 2 rushing yards, 2 INT, 2 fumbles – 1 lost). Many of the Dynasty Owners with Wentz on their roster (79% ownership) may have started him against the Football Team and that decision didn’t pay off.

RB: Joe Mixon (CIN) – 5.1 points

That’s a bad week for the late first round, early second round draft pick (15.6 ADP). Mixon had plenty of touches (20), but not a lot of production with just 5.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (69 rushing yards, 1 reception, 2 receiving yards, 1 fumble lost).

Dishonorable Mention to Le’Veon Bell. Usually I try to exclude guys who get injured from this list, but Bell wasn’t doing much of anything for his Dynasty Owners before he got hurt in Week 1. He had only 6.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (14 rushing yards, 2 receptions, 32 receiving yards). Bell’s Dynasty Owners might be missing him for a couple of weeks due to a hamstring injury, and a few might even look to use their Amnesty Provision to get out from under his hefty contract ($13.125 million for three more years).

WR: Mecole Hardman (KC) – 2.1 points

Nobody of note who played in Week 1 had the dreaded Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), but Mecole Hardman came pretty close on Thursday night with only 2.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (1 reception, 6 receiving yards, 20 return yards). That’s not good for a guy who was likely drafted in the first ten rounds (ADP 114.4) of your draft. Don’t be surprised by this performance, he had five games in 2019 with fewer Dynasty Owner fantasy points, including a couple in which he only got any points because of his role in the return game.

TE: Evan Engram (NYG) – 2.9 points

Only 2.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions, 9 receiving yards) is definitely a disappointment from Engram. Engram is definitely a top second tier Dynasty Owner TE behind Travis Kelce, George Kittle and Mark Andrews, but he didn’t perform like one. It was for lack of trying to get him the ball by QB Daniel Jones who targeted Engram seven times in the Giants 26-16 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. All combined Giants TEs had just 8.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 39 receiving yards) – a sign that starting your TE against the Pittsburgh defense might be a bad idea this year.

K: Greg Zuerlein (DAL) – 2.0 points

This dishonor goes to Greg the Leg even though other kickers had fewer points and more misses (sorry to call you out Austin Seibert, but you did miss both of your kicks for Cleveland on Sunday and your job on Monday, and Stephen Gostkowski who finished with -1.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points after missing 3 FGs on Monday night). However, neither of those guys were the fourth kicker being drafted, on average, in Dynasty Owner. Zuerlein was and scored just 2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points as he made both PAT attempts and a 33 yard FG, but missed a 53 yard FG attempt.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week Recap

The Champ has been defeated! Anthony Huether and his VIP Club Dub team becomes the first Dynasty Owner to defeat Eddie Driscoll and New York’s Strongest.  VIP Club Dub jumped out to an early 84.7-15.6 lead on Thursday night behind Patrick Mahomes, David Johnson, Will Fuller and Travis Kelce and never looked back. Congratulations to Anthony for this historic victory and to Eddie on winning the Ring last year – you’re still the gold standard in Dynasty Owner and nobody can take that away from you.

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

Here it is – the first weekly 2020 Chase for the Ring leaderboard.  We have a clear leader at the top, the only team to score more than 200 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 with 235.3 points. Congratulations to The Swamp Donkeys!

Not surprisingly, VIP Club Dub had both the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week in Aaron Rodgers and his teammate Davante Adams, who had 41.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points himself this week. They also had Calvin Ridley (33.9 points), Christian McCaffrey (28.4 points), Chris Carson (24.6 points), Mark Andrews (22.8 points) and Robert Woods (17.9 points) in their Starting lineup. However, the Swamp Donkeys did not get the 3 point Coaches bonus as they left Raheem Mostert and his 25.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points on their Bench.

Conclusions

That’s all for Week 1. It’s on to Week 2 or as Bill Belichick would say “On to Cincinnati.”

Please read the recap every Tuesday and the preview articles which come out on Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well. Follow all four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

Hopefully, you didn’t miss the weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. If so, then head over to YouTube or one of the many other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker) that you can watch or listen to it.

The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner YouTube page as well. You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner just passed 500 subscribers on YouTube and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league, overtake the Swamp Donkeys in the Chase for the Ring standings and join Eddie as a Chase for the Ring winner!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

NFL Week 1 Preview – Here We Go!

Author: Steven Van Tassel (@SteveVT33)

Football is back! Things were looking bleak a few months ago when all sports were shut down, but the NBA, NHL and MLB are all playing right now and here comes the NFL! There will be fewer fans in the stands (if any at all in certain places), but football will be on your TV starting with Thursday Night Football between the defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs and the Houston Texans. And Dynasty Owner is back for its second season, the first one with 12-team leagues, but still with real NFL salaries and a hard $110 million salary cap. To all of the returning Dynasty Owners, welcome back and thanks for playing again and reading this preview. For the new Dynasty Owners, thanks for joining us and let’s go over how we do this weekly preview article.

Every week of the regular season and playoffs, we’ll present a set of players at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup as well as one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. We won’t recommend a kicker to Start or Bench though (you’re welcome to all of the people who hate kickers in fantasy football, particularly Kyle Webster). These won’t be the obvious choices for Starters, like go ahead and start Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas and Travis Kelce (as if you weren’t going to do that already if you have them), but guys who might not be highly owned or who were drafted to be a backup. For the Bench or Practice Squad choices, we’ll find typical Starters who shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup for the week based on matchups or past performance against a team. It’ll be a little bit harder without pre-season games to review, but we need to proceed without the benefit of that information.

Finally, we will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the Match-up of the Week, we will look at the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce. For the first week of the season, we have a special Match-Up of the Week planned.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of September 9th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

Usually, we look to see how my recommendations from the previous week worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok), but seeing as this is Week 1, we don’t have a previous week to review. Instead, let’s take a look at how my 2019 season predictions at each position so everyone can judge whether or not to pay attention to these recommendations. There were no Week 1 or Week 17 predictions, so we just have 15 weeks of predictions.

  • QB: Good – 5 weeks (33%); Bad – 7 weeks (47%); Just Ok – 3 weeks (20%)
  • RB: Good – 7 weeks (47%); Bad – 6 weeks (40%); Just Ok – 2 weeks (13%)
  • WR: Good – 7 weeks (47%); Bad – 6 weeks (40%); Just Ok – 2 weeks (13%)
  • TE: Good – 5 weeks (33%); Bad – 7 weeks (47%); Just Ok – 3 weeks (20%)
  • All: Good – 24 weeks (40%); Bad – 26 weeks (43%); Just Ok – 10 weeks (17%)

Overall, an average performance in 2019 with two more Bad recommendations than Good ones. In addition to the overall stats, let the record show that there were two weeks with four Good recommendations (Week 3 with Jacoby Brissett, Frank Gore, Nelson Agholor and Greg Olsen and Week 13 with Mitchell Trubisky, Derrius Guice, Cole Beasley and Jack Doyle). Let’s get off to a good start in 2020 with four good recommendations of players who should be Starters this week.

Jimmy Garoppolo (QB – SF): In both games last year against Arizona, Jimmy G had over 40.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. In Week 9, he had 41.1 points and in Week 11, it was 46.9 points. It’s true that several 49ers WRs are banged up right now, but he had his best week of the 2019 season at home against Arizona in Week 11 with his #1 receiving option in George Kittle out injured. Please look at the numbers and don’t discount this recommendation based on my past presidency in the Jimmy Garoppolo Fan Club.

Tarik Cohen (RB – CHI): David Montgomery’s status for the season opening game versus Detroit is unknown, but he did suffer a groin injury back on August 26th and was expected to miss 2-4 weeks. If he is out or plays a limited number of snaps, that means more Tarik Cohen for the Bears. Cohen did well in two games against the Lions in 2019 (21.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points combined) with one receiving TD. However, Montgomery also caught a receiving TD in one of the games against the Lions last year and they allowed eight receiving TDs to RBs in total all season (tied with Houston for the most in the NFL in 2019). Cohen could even pick up more rushing attempts this week with Montgomery’s injury. Cohen is a definite starter this week in either one of your RB spots or at the FLEX position.

DeSean Jackson (WR – PHI): With Alshon Jeffery and first round draft pick Jalen Reagor likely out for the Eagles Week 1 game against the Redskins, DeSean Jackson becomes the top WR in Philadelphia. And boy did Jackson love playing Week 1 versus his old football team last year. He had 35.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 (8 receptions, 154 yards, 2 receiving TDs) against them and could be in line for similar production in the 2020 season opener. He is only owned in 36% of Dynasty Owner leagues, but if you took a chance on Jackson and his $9.3 million salary, this is the week to put him in your Starting lineup and see if he’s still worth it.

Jordan Reed (TE – SF): After 65 games over six seasons in Washington before missing the entire 2019 season with concussion issues, Jordan Reed is now George Kittle’s backup in San Francisco. Reed will be reunited with Coach Kyle Shanahan who was his offensive coordinator in his rookie season in Washington, one in which he had 45 receptions for 499 yards and 3 TDs in just 9 games. Still, he’s a backup and only owned in 17% of Dynasty Owner leagues, why should Dynasty Owners go out and pick Reed up off the Free Agent Auction and insert him into their Starting Lineup or Bench? Answer: It’s all about the matchup against the Arizona Cardinals who had the worst defense in the NFL in 2019 against TEs. They allowed an average of 19.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to TEs last season. In Week 11, Kittle was out for the 49ers and Ross Dwelley scored 17.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions, 14 yards, 2 TDs) against the Cardinals. Plus the 49ers receiving corps are banged up and Kittle has been promoting the idea of using all four 49ers TEs at once (https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/49ers/george-kittle-wants-49ers-run-four-tight-end-sets-jordan-reed). Even if they just run a lot of two TE sets, Reed will be on the field a lot in Week 1. Obviously, you start Kittle this week, but feel comfortable putting Reed in your lineup as well.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Now it’s time to look at how my Bench recommendations from the previous week worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok), but again seeing as this is Week 1, we have to take a look at how my 2019 season predictions fared at each position. Everyone can judge whether or not to pay attention to these 2020 Bench recommendations based on my 2019 performance. There were no Week 1 or Week 17 predictions, so we just have 15 weeks of predictions.

  • QB: Good – 6 weeks (40%); Bad – 4 weeks (27%); Just Ok – 5 weeks (33%)
  • RB: Good – 5 weeks (33%); Bad – 6 weeks (40%); Just Ok – 4 weeks (27%)
  • WR: Good – 5 weeks (33%); Bad – 5 weeks (33%); Just Ok – 5 weeks (33%)
  • TE: Good – 9 weeks (60%); Bad – 4 weeks (27%); Just Ok – 2 weeks (13%)
  • All: Good – 25 weeks (42%); Bad – 19 weeks (32%); Just Ok – 16 weeks (27%)

My Bench predictions were a little better than my Starter predictions. Bench predictions for TEs were where I shined the most with 60% Good recommendations. Like my Starter recommendations, I also had two weeks with four Good Bench recommendations in 2019 (Week 7 with Kyler Murray, Kerryon Johnson, Terry McLaurin and Jared Cook and Week 12 with Aaron Rodgers, Josh Jacobs, Amari Cooper and Gerald Everett). Let’s see if we can get off to a good start in 2020 with four good recommendations of players who should be sitting on the Bench or hanging out with the Practice Squad this week.

Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB): Rodgers doesn’t really like playing at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. He’s played four games there since the stadium opened in 2016. In 2017, he broke his collarbone and the other three games haven’t been a whole lot better than that. He has averaged 14.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the three games he played at the stadium (not including 2017) with no more than 216 yards passing in a single game. He’s also had 1 TD pass twice and zero TD passes once. He did rush for a TD in 2016 when he scored 17.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. In 2018, it was 15.9 points and by last year, he was down to 9.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He is only rostered in 34% of Dynasty Owner leagues, but to those owners with him on their team, leave him on the Bench or Practice Squad this week.

Kareem Hunt (RB – CLE): With an ADP of 60.2, Dynasty Owners drafted Hunt to either start in one of their RB slots or at least in the FLEX position. Hunt only played in eight games and in only two of them did he score less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Week 16 against the Ravens was one of them. Hunt got most of his Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the receiving game last year (71.5 of out 99.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). The Ravens were one of the best teams in the NFL last year at stopping RBs from catching the football, allowing only 60 receptions for 454 yards and 1 receiving TD by a RB. Even though it’s a new coach and offensive coordinator in Cleveland, the Ravens defense should be tough again this year, so leave Hunt on your Bench this week on the road against Baltimore.

Amari Cooper (WR – DAL): The Cowboys face the Rams on the road in their first game of the 2020 season with Cooper having missed four straight practices before practicing in full on Wednesday. That’s a series of bad things for Amari Cooper’s Dynasty Owners. As I’ve noted before, Cooper has been a Bench option playing on the road in his career as a Cowboy – averaging only 9.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in eight road games in 2019 and 8.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per road game in four road games for the Cowboys in 2018. He’s also playing against a top cornerback in Jalen Ramsey and back in Week 12 of the 2019 when he played against another top CB on the road (Stephen Gilmore of the Patriots), he was on the Bench These Guys list and got a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Ramsey also held him to 2.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (1 reception for 19 yards) in Week 15 last year. All of that means Cooper should be on your Dynasty Owner Bench (or Practice Squad if you’re stacked at WR) to start the 2020 season.

Evan Engram (TE – NYG): As the sixth TE off the board on average in Dynasty Owner drafts (ADP 84.3), you didn’t draft Engram to have him on your Bench. However, he’s also not going to be playing the Pittsburgh Steelers defense every week like he is in Week 1. Last year, the Steelers defense was tied for 24th place in receptions allowed to TEs and 29th in yards allowed. They did allow 8 receiving TDs to TEs, but two of them came in Week 2 against Seattle before they acquired safety Minkah Fitzpatrick. In general, it’s probably a good idea to sit players going up against the Steelers defense, so get Engram out of your Starting lineup and on your Bench.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week – New York’s Strongest vs. VIP Club Dub

It’s time for our first Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2020 season. While all of the Week 1 Match-ups are compelling and worthy of previewing, there’s really only one team that has to be mentioned here and that’s 2019 Chase for the Ring winner Eddie Driscoll and New York’s Strongest. He’s still the only undefeated player in Dynasty Owner history (if you didn’t play in 2019, you don’t qualify for that honor) and while Eddie has more than one team, he helped put together a league of beta users from 2019 to see if he could knock off the “best of the best” in Dynasty Owner. Will Eddie continue his winning streak, or will Anthony Heuther and his VIP Club Dub squad be the first Dynasty Owner team to defeat New York’s Strongest? At first glance, based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, we see that VIP Club Dub is favored to win by 15.1 points (143.8 to 128.7).

So how is VIP Club Dub predicted to take down the Champ so decisively?  Let’s look each team’s Starters:

New York’s Strongest has the advantage at RB with Barkley and Gordon over Ingram and David Johnson, but VIP Club Dub overwhelms Eddie at TE by having Travis Kelce over T.J. Hockenson. That advantage gives VIP Club Dub an overall 8.9 point lead from his Starters.

On to the Bench where, as a reminder for new players, Dynasty Owners get 20% of their Bench scoring added to their overall point total. Each team has the following players on their Bench right now.

VIP Club Dub has a significant advantage right now with the Bench scoring and is projected to outscore New York’s Strongest at every position. The 31.5 point margin equals an extra 6.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for VIP Club Dub.

The projections have VIP Club Dub as the winner of this week’s Match-up of the Week, but nothing is official until Monday Night Football is over. Check out the Tuesday recap article to see who actually won and if your team was good enough to make it on to the first Chase for the Ring Leaderboard of 2020.

Conclusion

Please read the preview article each week, maybe your team will be featured in the Matchup of the Week. Remember that there will be a recap article coming out every Tuesday and a preview article posted every Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well. Follow all four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

There will also be a weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube and other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker). You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner is rapidly closing in on 500 subscribers on YouTube and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Roster Roundup – Round Eight: AFC West

Taking A Dive Into The Rosters From Around The League

Author: Chris Wolf

This time of year is typically the time when teams, trainers and agents hype up their players. We know how the world has changed in recent months and the NFL is no different in its approach to returning to “normalcy”. With the news of NFL staff and players testing positive for the Coronavirus, fantasy news is taking a backseat. As a result, fantasy players are missing out on the typical hyperbole surrounding pre-season roster news and notes.

In this series we will look at who’s who on rosters and how that may help in your drafts and early waivers.

Each week we will examine a division’s skill position current roster and predictive depth chart heading into training camp to see how that relates to their fantasy outlook.

Denver Broncos

HC: Vic Fangio

OC: Pat Shurmur

QB: Drew Lock, Jeff Driskel

RB: Melvin Gordon, Phillip Lindsay, Royce Freeman, Andrew Beck

WR: Cortland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, DaeSean Hamilton, Tim Patrick, KJ Hamler, Tyrie Cleveland

TE: Noah Fant, Nick Vannett, Albert Okwuegbunam, Jake Butt

This offense is very young. This defense is very experienced. If the two can come together, the Denver Broncos can make some noise in this division. Drew Lock flashed promise in his inaugural season as the Bronco’s signal-caller and brings excitement to this extremely young group. In his 5 career games, Lock posted 204 ypg in an offense that didn’t appear to be quite ready for him. His yards per attempt are sure to increase from 6.5 a clip and his 1.4 TD to 0.6 INT would extrapolate to 22.4/9.6 over a full season. That was without an improved offensive line and new weapons at RB, WR, and TE. Even though John Elway didn’t exactly give his then rookie a boost of confidence after going 4-1 to end the season, Lock is back as the starter and is in a fantastic position to prove that he was worth Denver’s no.42 overall pick in last year’s draft.

The running back position is deep and returns a good amount of game experience. Melvin Gordon is the new toy in Lock’s toy chest, and he should receive the bulk of the snaps. He is the best receiver in the backfield and after his notorious zero TD rookie season, he has scored at least eight rushing touchdowns over the last 4 years. If you listen to coach speak, Fangio designates both Gordon and Lindsay as equal starters, but reason would tell you the splits would favor the more productive Gordon. Lindsay is no slouch and he has flashed in his first two years in the league. In both years he ran for over 1,000 yards and recorded exactly 35 receptions in both years. The receptions may come down, but the yards don’t necessarily have to. This team wants to run the ball, but it has enough talent in the passing game to keep the defenses honest. It is within the realm of possibility that the team could support two 1,000-yard rushers in Gordon and Lindsay. The odd man out appears to be Royce Freeman. Freeman has seen more stacked boxes in the last two years than anyone else in football. He is a solid talent and a superior pass blocker to Lindsay so he may still have some value on your bench.

The 2020 draft was kind to Lock by granting him two dynamic receivers. Jerry Jeudy “fell” to pick number 15 where the Denver Broncos pounced and selected the best route runner to come out of college in years. Jeudy was running NFL caliber routes in Alabama embarrassing most of the competition along the way. He slots into the starting line up across from 2019 breakout Courtland Sutton. Sutton was near QB proof posting a 72/1112/6-line catching passes from the likes of Brandon Allen, Joe Flacco, and Drew Lock. After grading out as PFF’s #16 wide receiver, Sutton is a safe bet to lead this team once again in most receiving categories with a much-improved supporting cast around him.  DaeSean Hamilton (28rec/297yds/1TD) and Tim Patrick (16rec/218yds/0TD’s) return as rotational players in the group but the other rising rookie is KJ Hamler. Hamler’s second-round selection was overshadowed by Jeudy’s but do not let that dull the fact that he will be an important part of this offense. The Penn State product is a smaller statured player, but he is the definition of dynamic. He is a slippery route runner that can turn a defender around and then run past his teammates. Sutton and Jeudy will be the volume play but Hamler will take the lid off defenses. Noah Fant was a pre-draft darling this fantasy season. He will get the snaps to keep him on the field due to his above-average blocking and route running. He is not the most polished route runner where he takes some time getting out of his breaks, but he can run past 90% of the linebackers on any given Thursday, Sunday, or Monday. His upper-level speed for a TE will make him an intriguing fantasy TE play in 2020. His rookie line mate Albert Okwuegbunam is a sure-handed possession type receiving TE who has been used to get the sure completions instead of big explosive plays. His big frame will be a welcome addition for Lock when he needs to find his chain moving target.

Kansas City Chiefs

HC: Andy Reid

OC: Eric Bienemy

QB: Patrick Mahomes, Chad Henne

RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Darrel Williams, Darwin Thompson, Anthony Sherman

WR: Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman, Demarcus Robinson, Byron Pringle, Marcus Kemp

TE: Travis Kelce, Nick Keizer, Ricky Seals-Jones, Deon Yelder

The Super Bowl champs return for another run at the title and still have a lot of kept cogs in place. On offense that specifically means all-world QB Patrick Mahomes, the elite TE Travis Kelce, and the self-proclaimed fastest man in the NFL-Tyreek Hill. Sprinkle in one of the best running backs in the 2020 draft and you have the makings of yet another elite Kansas City offense.

Mahomes struck gold in 2020 with his 10yr $450million salary to pave the way for many championship runs to come. Still only 24 years old and only 2 full years of experience under his belt, Mahomes is already in the conversation of greatness. Go back and look at his stats and you will see that he never really had a bad game. Sure, there were “okay” games in there but never a bad one. In his 31 career starts, he has amassed 9412 yards, 76 TD’s to just 19 INT’s. His adjusted completion percentage was good enough for 6th in 2019 and 5th in 2018 among QB’s that started at least 10 games. His overall passing grade (PFF) was 6th in 2019 and 2nd in 2018. To sum it up, 2018 was clearly his better statistical season (he also played 2.5 more games) but his 2019 efficiency rate was higher, and he just happened to lead his team to the championship podium.

The nearly Super Bowl MVP Damien Williams has decided to opt-out of the 2020 season due to COVID-19. In comes 1st round pick, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, the dynamic pass-catching running back out of national champion LSU. CEH garnered first-team All-ACC accolades after rushing for 1,414 yards and 16 TD’s during his breakout junior year. He will not kill you with straight-line speed evidenced by his 4.60 40 yd time, but he may make you miss in space thanks to his fantastic balance and footwork. His backfield mate, Darrel Williams is the better pass-blocking back and the more experienced of the two. He figures to work alongside CEH in the early parts of the season to allow the rookie time to acclimate to the NFL. Last year’s sleeper darling, Darwin Thompson was good enough to be active over LeSean McCoy in the Super Bowl as well as being kept as the third man in this backfield.

The freak himself, Tyreek Hill will enter this season a more rounded NFL receiver. Opposing teams now must defend more than just a straight-line burner, reportedly he spent the offseason with a receiving coach to work on the intricacies of the position. He seemed to adjust during the playoffs and gained steam as the final tournament wore on. The Texans did everything legal in football to Michael Jordan him out of the game plan with him coming away with 3 catches for 41 yards on four targets in the Divisional round. He followed that up next week with a

 7-67-2 TD’s performance against the Titans and then 9-105 in the Super Bowl. He suffered through multiple injuries in 2019 but did not have any off-field issues which was positive for the 26-year-old. He will give you more non-WR1 weeks than live up to his draft capital, but he is an elite weapon that can score as much as two WR’s in any given week.

Sammy Watkins is the number 2 WR and the 27-year-old former 1st rounder has had an interesting career. Entering his 7th season, he has flashed brilliance at times while playing for three different teams, but consistency has always eluded him. Not being “the no.1 guy” has assuredly helped but he works more into a receiving rotation in the WR corps and that may just be what suits him best. Mecole Hardman is the young dynamo speedster that was used as a situational mismatch in his rookie year. Like Hill early in his career, his game is built on speed and not volume. He is a true weapon in the return game as well as downfield evidenced by his 26-538-6 td stat line in 2019. Demarcus Robinson rounds out the top four receivers of this exciting group. Robinson had two solid games filling in for Hill last season and returns to the team on a 1 year $2.3million contract as a coaching staff’s favorite.

The actual number 1 receiving option in this offense is TE Travis Kelce. Out of the top four receivers mentioned, Kelce had 49% of the team’s target share when comparing the five of them. That is high volume for the tight end position. Kelce is a unicorn and his game changing ability has been demonstrated time and again as he always appears to come up big just when the chiefs need him. He is a sure-fire top 2 TE in the league and is not going anywhere with his 4 yr $57 million salary. There isn’t much behind him on the depth chart nor does there have to be for the way this offense operates. If Kelce is viewed as a number one receiver and not a $14 million TE, his Dynasty Owner salary becomes that much more palatable.

Las Vegas Raiders

HC: Jon Gruden

OC: Greg Olson

QB: Derek Carr, Marcus Mariota, Nathan Peterman

RB: Josh Jacobs, Jalen Richard, Devontae Booker, Alec Ingold

WR: Henry Ruggs III, Hunter Renfrow, Bryan Edwards, Nelson Agholor, Zay Jones, Rico Gaffer

TE: Darren Waller, Foster Moreau, Jason Witten, Derek Carrier

Chucky is back and the black and silver have a different look to their passing game this year. Gruden is exceptional at scripting his plays and allowing the offensive momentum to stack series by series. The knock on him is in-game adjustments if something was to go completely awry. He and GM Mike Mayock went out and fortified their back-up QB position with former no.2 overall pick Marcus Mariota (currently on IR) and kept the great Nathan Peterman on the roster who is now serving as the direct back-up to Carr. Carr is not as conservative as he is efficient, especially since Gruden came to town. He is the epitome of a “Steady Eddie” QB that will not lose you many fantasy matchups, but he also won’t win you many either. He rarely misses any games (2 out of 96) he always hovers around 4,000 yards a season and recently right around 20 TD’s. He is a much better real-life QB rather than a fantasy one. Hopefully, you will not be relying on him for any other reason than a bye week.

For many, Josh Jacobs ($2.98m) was the number one back in the NFL draft last year. He did not have a bad year by any stretch, in his 13 games played he totaled 1150 yards and 7 TD’s. The mini let down was his use in the passing games tallying only 20 receptions. The Raiders claimed to want to get him more involved but the consistent addition of pass-catching backs to the roster makes you take pause. He is a clear bet to receive over 275 touches in both the run and pass game and is a locked-in solid starter for your team. His range of outcomes could place him anywhere in the RB5-RB14 range this year. Jalen Richard returns to his same expected role of a breather back that is used in the hurry-up as well and won’t add any stand-alone value as long as Jacobs is upright. Booker is the third back that is also in the third-down-back-mold that totaled 9 rushing yards in 16 games last year. Jacobs offers elite volume for your team and he should eat this year.

The Receiving corps got some upgrades this year and it’s something to be excited about. Ruggs was taken at #12 overall and Gruden’s selection of him would make Al Davis smile from ear to ear. Gruden covets speed at the Z position and Ruggs has speed to burn. He only logged 98 career catches in the crowded Alabama passing attack, but he did a lot with a little. His 4.27 speed will bring even more heat to the desert when Las Vegas opens Allegiant Stadium.  Lining up across from him will be fellow rookie Bryan Edwards ($1.17m) who is quickly becoming “Carr’s guy”. Edwards had a stellar four-year career at South Carolina while logging the third-most receptions in SEC history with 324. He is a sure-handed receiver with nice hands that do not allow the ball to come to his body. He impressed so much with his after the catch ability that he was also utilized in the screen game as well as getting backfield snaps in college.

Renfrow ($708k) had put together a nice rookie season with 49 grabs on 71 targets for 605yds and 4 TD’s. He is an ideal complement to the two rookies who will be starting outside and the three of them will make for an interesting trio to watch develop over the years. At TE, Darren Waller returns and looks to follow up on his 2019 Cinderella season. Waller hung 90 catches on 1145 yards on the season but with just 3 TD’s. He is an athletic freak out of GA Tech that took a few years to come around, but he finally popped in his age 26 season as the team’s number one target in the passing game. Joining him is the one-foot-in-the-broadcasting-booth veteran Jason Witten. Witten missed playing the game so much in 2018, he traded his toupee for a helmet and vacated his position calling games. He was knowingly brought in for his locker room leadership and we should all be spared of watching the once stud TE lumber around the field.

Los Angeles Chargers

HC:  Anthony Lynn

OC: Shane Steichen

QB: Tyrod Taylor, Justin Herbert, Easton Stick

RB: Austin Ekeler, Justin Jackson, Joshua Kelley

WR: Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Jaylen Guyton, KJ Hill, Joe Reed, Jason Moore

TE: Hunter Henry, Virgil Green, Stephen Anderson, Donald Parham

This team was built for defense and it shows on offense. Head Coach Anthony Lynn wants to run the ball in the worst way to set up the intermediate passing attack. They did make some changes on the offensive line, but the issue is these are a lot of “name guys” along the offensive front and their grades do not exactly spell production. Tyrod Taylor is a well-respected player that is a bargain as a QB2-3 at just $5.5million.  Although he is just a 2020 placeholder for Justin Herbert, Taylor offers solid rushing ability and an underrated deep ball touch. Herbert is the future leader of this franchise and it would probably do him best to learn for the entire season ala Mahomes and Alex Smith in 2017. Herbert is a big-armed guy that can also move when needed as evidenced by his 4.68 speed at 6’6” 236lbs. Herbert has elite arm talent but will need to clean up his fumbling issue that plagued him in his four years at Oregon.

This backfield timeshare will be interesting to watch unfold. As a fantasy community we view Austin Ekeler as the clear-cut starter, and he is being drafted as the workhorse back. But those closer to the situation, especially the beat writers are alluding to a much more three headed attack approach as opposed to a bellcow and two backups. Ekeler should absolutely be the more valuable back to have rostered especially for his ability to vacuum up almost any incoming pass. But I would not dismiss Justin Jackson and Joshua Kelley from having a bigger role than what we are sensing. Jackson is one of those do-it-all guys that coaching staffs love and Kelley has been labeled as a “violent runner” by his defensive teammates. All three can play on passing downs but that’s where Ekeler shines. Hovering around 550 yards rushing for each of the last two years, he took a massive leap forward in 2019 going from 53 targets to 108 resulting in 92 catches for 993 yards and 8 TD’s. Those are WR1 numbers that you are getting from a running back.

Keenan Allen ($20m) returns with a chip on his shoulder in that he feels he is not viewed as elite by the public and media. He picked Twitter fights with more than one wide receiver striving to prove his point. Whether he is elite, or not Allen has put together a strong resume especially since returning from back to back injury plagued seasons. He has worn the “injury” tag for the last few years because he had two freak injuries in consecutive years (2015 lacerated kidney, 2016 torn ACL). Since then he has put together 3 straight campaigns averaging 6 touchdowns, 1263 yards, and 101 receptions while playing in every game. Those numbers are solid if not elite. Mike Williams ($4.9m) is the big bodied down field receiver just starting to come into his own. He has been dinged up, often carrying the questionable tag but he is a beast when he’s healthy. He hasn’t quite been a volume receiver as of yet and that doesn’t appear to change in 2020 but hopefully, he can return to his TD scoring ways of 2018 where he cashed in 43 receptions for 10 touchdowns. That success rate was surely due for regression, but it appears the regression gods went a bit too far by only granting him 2 touchdowns on 49 receptions. When going three wide, Allen will find his home in the slot opening the outside for second year player Jalen Guyton. Guyton ($540k) brings another dimension to the receiving trio by offering his 4.37 forty speed on the outside. Guyton was a former 4-star recruit that had two total targets and zero receptions in his rookie year. Joe Reed and KJ Hill are promising young talents with little fantasy value in this run first team.

Hunter Henry ($10.6m) will be playing under the franchise tag for the 2020 season and both sides have shown real interest in continuing their relationship after this year. The 25-year-old Henry is a fine tight end that has seen volume targets that have increased every year, but he has a hard time staying healthy. He has yet to play a complete season, but he claims this year is the best he’s felt so far.  His reception totals have gone from 36 to 45 to 55 in the last few seasons so there’s hope for a 50-60 catch season if the trend were to continue. Behind him is Virgil Green who is a fine #2 TE in real life football but offers zero fantasy appeal.

That wraps up our 8-part Roster Roundup series. We hope you enjoyed it! Now to enjoy some football!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Roster Roundup – Round Seven: NFC West

Taking A Dive Into The Rosters From Around The League

Author: Chris Wolf

This time of year is typically the time when teams, trainers and agents hype up their players. We know how the world has changed in recent months and the NFL is no different in its approach to returning to “normalcy”. With the news of NFL staff and players testing positive for the Coronavirus, fantasy news is taking a backseat. As a result, fantasy players are missing out on the typical hyperbole surrounding pre-season roster news and notes.

In this series we will look at who’s who on rosters and how that may help in your drafts and early waivers.

Each week we will examine a division’s skill position current roster and predictive depth chart heading into training camp to see how that relates to their fantasy outlook.

Arizona Cardinals

HC: Kliff Kingsbury

OC: Kliff Kingsbury

QB: Kyler Murray, Brett Hundley, Chris Streveler

RB: Kenyan Drake, Chase Edmonds, Eno Benjamin

WR: Larry Fitzgerald, DeAndre Hopkins, Christian Kirk, Andy Isabella, KeeSean Johnson, Trent Sherfield

TE: Maxx Williams, Dan Arnold, Darrell Daniels

Coach Kliff Kingsbury returns to what should be a much-improved offense. All eyes were on Arizona to showcase Kingsbury’s spread offense in 2019 but finished with the league’s 23rd ranked offense (per PFF). 2020 looks to be improved with a revamped offensive line that might be a better fit for the wider splits necessary for the quicker pass sets. Kyler Murray is an exciting young play caller that has a solid arm and athletic wheels. The questions about his size have been put to rest but his main drawback was his tendency to hold the ball too long in this quick tempo attack. He was sacked a league best 48 times while being charged with 23 of them as self-induced.  Murray is known to be a smart competitor and will surely progress through his reads much quicker in his sophomore year. His 20/3722/12 was a good indication of his passing chops while he was also called upon to use his sub 4.4 speed on the 65 designed runs called for him. He finished with 93 total rushes for 544 and 4 scores. He has been a very highly targeted pick in Dynasty Owner drafts due to his dual-threat ability and an $8.8 million salary.

Kenyan Drake was stranded on the Island of Misfit Toys in the beginning portion of the 2019 season until Miami traded Drake to the Cardinals in late October for a conditional 6th round pick. The 2016 3rd round selection out of Alabama never looked comfortable in either regime in South Beach but seems to be an ideal fit in this wide-open offense where he is able to work in space. Despite him ending camp in a walking boot, Drake has been a reliable player playing 62 out of a possible 64 games. Never having more than 170 NFL carries in a season, the 26-year-old is a solid bet to return top 12ish RB numbers if he continues to be the lead dog. His challenger is Chase Edmonds who is the clear number 2 that might be a number 1 on some NFL teams. Remember back to the first week of October and David Johnson was active/not active and Arizona unleashed Edmonds for 126 yards and 3 touchdowns. Edmonds looked to be on the road to fantasy stardom, but he got dinged up in that game and with two injured running backs, GM Steve Keim was forced to make the trade for Drake. Edmonds is a great depth piece with league winning potential if anything were to cause Drake to miss time. In just his second year, his $728k price tag is very intriguing. Eno Benjamin was a second-round selection in this year’s draft that has carved out a role for himself on special teams allowing him to stay on as the no.3 back to both Drake and Edmonds.

On paper this receiver group looks like fantasy gold. There is the sure-handed new-comer Deandre Hopkins that was acquired in a laughable trade, the legend that is Larry Fitzgerald who enters his 17th season, former 2nd round potential breakout Christian Kirk and the speed demon out of UMASS, Andy Isabella who was also a 2nd round selection. Murray has plenty of weapons to work with and he himself has predicted his top three receivers to all eclipse the 1,000-yard mark this season. Although not probable since no Cardinal receiver broke the 1,000-yard milestone last year, it speaks volumes to the confidence this QB has entering 2020. The TE position is not exactly a prominent position in Kingsbury’s scheme, although it does hold some real-life value. Incumbent starter Maxx Williams appears to have been edged out by new TE Dan Arnold in the media but remains at the top of the depth chart. Arnold is a 6’6” 220lb big receiver that’s listed as a TE who is a sure handed third down and red zone threat for Murray’s Cardinals. Although he might not provide much for fantasy production, he is someone to keep in mind at just $615k.

Los Angeles Rams

HC: Sean McVay

OC: Kevin O’Connell

QB: Jared Goff, John Wolford, Bryce Perkins

RB: Cam Akers, Malcolm Brown, Darrell Henderson, Xavier Jones

WR: Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp, Josh Reynolds, Van Jefferson, Trishton Jackson, Nsimba Webster

TE: Tyler Higbee, Gerald Everett, Brycen Hopkins, Johnny Mundt

In 2018 wonder boy Sean McVay caught the NFL with its pants down and the team rode it all the way to the Super Bowl. In 2019, NFL defenses caught up to the Ram’s offense and it seemed that the adjustments were very slow to develop for McVay and company. Goff was rewarded for his 2018 play with a 4 year $134 million which added to the odd salary situation this team has found itself in. With a lack of quality depth and the non-investment in the offensive line, a subpar front seven except for Aaron Donald and the odd handling of Todd Gurley, Clay Matthews and Brandon Cooks’ contracts, Los Angeles has yet to find its way out the murkiness that is their salary cap conundrum. 

Goff is not an elite NFL talent, but he is a much better QB than he was given credit for in his “down’ 2019. I’m sure Goff would like to forget his 78-yard performance against San Francisco in week 6, his 173 for zero TD’s against Chicago in week 11 and his week 12 line of 0/212/2 against Baltimore on Monday Night. He took a step backwards in almost every statistical category, but you have to think, how much of that can actually be attributed to his play. The O-Line was one of the most porous in the league, the running game was Jekyll and Hyde all season long and the defense found it difficult to keep points off the opposing team’s scoreboard. 2020’s Rams offseason chatter appears to continue with more two tight end looks as they began to have success with at the end of last season and with a renewed focus on the run game.

Cam Akers enters as the expected leader in backfield touches with Darrell Henderson and veteran Malcom Brown chipping in situationally.  Brown may get the ceremonial “start” in the beginning and if Henderson’s hamstring checks out, he’ll get his touches, but Akers should prove to be the three down talent that is much needed for this team. Akers could not have had a worse offensive line than he did at Florida State and hopefully, the Rams O-Line won’t have him running for his life. Akers is a very talented runner that you must be patient within his rookie campaign. The other backs will get theirs but Akers’ talent as a runner and receiver will prove it hard to keep him off the field.

Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp are the 1 and 1a receiving duo that many are excited to see put up consistent fantasy points this season. Woods is the unquestioned leader and is the more consistent of the two but Kupp’s ceiling is higher at this stage of their careers. The younger Kupp demolished Cincinnati in the London game but then only put together 239 total yards over a six-game pace. This was absolutely maddening for fantasy players that rostered Kupp to only hear McVay site alignment changes and personnel adjustment as the cause. Woods’ $6.8 million cap makes for a solid potential WR1 and Kupp’s $958k salary is extremely appetizing. Behind them on the depth chart are Josh Reynolds and Van Jefferson. Reynolds figures to be the WR3 to start the year and Van Jefferson is a solid dynasty hold for when they move on from either Kupp or Woods in two years. The tight end group has two starters both capable of being TE1’s on most NFL teams. Tyler Higbee ($7.25m) has a year of NFL experience on Gerald Everett but both decided to have their own breakout seasons in 2019. Although Higbee is the one everyone has talked about, it was actually Everett who started to shine first. Everett’s first nine games boasted a stat line of 37/408/2 until a knee injury sapped him of some of his athleticism. Higbee then cut into both his and Kupp’s target share and is now considered a top 8 TE in fantasy. Both should be rostered but at $1.5 million, Everett is a very interesting stash.

San Francisco 49ers

HC: Kyle Shanahan

OC: Kyle Shanahan

QB: Jimmy Garoppolo, Nick Mullens, CJ Bethard

RB: Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman, Jerick McKinnon, Jeffery Wilson,

Kyle Juszczyk

WR: Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, Kendrick Bourne, Richie James, Dante Pettis, Trent Taylor

TE: George Kittle, Jordan Reed, Charlie Woerner, Ross Dwelley

The Super Bowl silver medalists return most of their key personnel to make another run at the Lombardi Trophy in 2020. Shannan has done a terrific job at optimizing his player’s skills to his scheme and GM John Lynch has helped him by stocking the cupboard with quality talent. Jimmy Garoppolo returns under center and is the unquestioned starter after a brief 48-hour flirtation with Tom Brady. Garoppolo might not go out and put the team on his back and win you games on talent alone but he is a respectable quarterback that won’t cause you to lose many either. Whether he is a product of Shannan’s system or he is actually a good QB in the NFL is debatable, he took the team to the Super Bowl behind an absolutely dominant run game. Shanahan veered from his traditional outside zone scheme and incorporated way more counters and power run elements than ever before. Raheem Mostert shined down the stretch and transitioned his 5-team journeyman career into being a revered name in fantasy circles. The 28-year-old parlayed 137 attempts into 772 yards while tallying 8 scores. Known for his speed and vision, his 3.72 yards after contact was good for a top 16 ranking in the league. Tevin Coleman is the “bigger-bodied” part of this committee that will most absurdly siphon starts from Moestert throughout the season. Coleman is not an especially special talent, but he is a Shannan favorite that knows his system back to front. Jerrick McKinney hasn’t played the game in 3 years but is now expected to be inserted in as a speedy change-of-pace satellite back. Jeff Wilson is a special teamer and occasional touchdown vulture that may break your heart if you roster Mostert or Coleman.

George Kittle is the unquestioned No.1 receiver on this team but San Francisco boasts some quality young talent at the wide receiver position.  Led by the physical Deebo Samuel ($1.8m), this young group offers a lot of potential if they can just stay out of the trainer’s room. Riddled with training camp injuries, the early season picture may not be as bad as once believed. Samuel is looking good in his recovery from his Jones fracture and Richie James looks like he too will be available soon. Reports have come out that Aiyuk was having a fantastic early camp and established a solid rapport with Garoppolo before being temporarily sidelined due to a hamstring strain. His game likens Samuels’ but with a bit deeper threat potential. Together, they should make for a solid complement to Kittle. Kendrick Bourne is in his last year of his contract ($3.26m) and the intriguing Jalen Hurd continues to be a dynasty stash after losing out on two straight seasons.

Kittle comes in at a $15 million salary but it is hard to find a player that is more well-rounded. His overall skill set allows him to be on the field in all situations which is exactly what you crave from your TE position. A breakdown of his total snaps illustrates just how valuable he is to this franchise:

  • Passing Snaps= 498
  • Rushing Snaps= 477
  • Backfield Snaps= 25
  • Inline Snaps= 728
  • Slot Snaps= 131
  • Wideout Snaps= 91

This is a fantasy dream for this position and is well worth the investment. Jordan Reed is the other TE of note that adds a veteran depth piece that can also line up all over the field and create mismatch problems for defenses.

Seattle Seahawks

HC: Pete Carroll

OC: Brian Schottenheimer

QB: Russell Wilson, Geno Smith

RB: Chris Carson, Carlos Hyde, Rashaad Penny, DeeJay Dallas. Travis Homer

WR: Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf, Philip Dorsett, David Moore, Freddie Swain, Josh Gordon

TE: Will Dissly, Greg Olsen, Luke Wilson, Colby Parkinson

The $35 million per year Russel Wilson enters his age 31 season and might have the best overall receiving talent around him. The annoyingly run first team has the ability to compete with the upper half of the league in the passing game for the first time in years. Wilson’s stud plays come from plays that are outside designed plays where his athleticism allows him to buy time where he’s able to drop dimes in his receiver’s hands. He has a well-balanced receiving corps with a fine mix of down field threats and physical route runners. He is undoubtedly a high end QB1 that has the ability to be the overall QB1 in any given year.

The aforementioned run game is the meat and potatoes of this offensive scheme. The O-Line is not especially dominant, but they do their job well enough by wearing you down by sheer volume of run plays. Chris Carson is the leader in this backfield and will not only make you miss in space, but he will also run you over if given the chance. The former 7th rounder is just 25 years old and has declared himself to be 100% healed from his fractured hip. He projects to be a high volume back and barring injury, could see 250-270 carries as the near workhorse back. If you can handle his fumbles (7, losing 4 in 2019) his $616k salary is a steal for this volume back that would make a fine RB2. Backing him up will be Carlos Hyde that had a bit of a resurgence last year in Houston. Hyde is more than a placeholder for Rashaad Penny to back up Carson, he should certainly be involved in rotating series as Seattle is known to do. Rookie DeeJay Dallas and Travis Homer are both solid pass catchers that should see the field in hurry up and passing down situations.

Leading the WR’s are Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf. Lockett was setting fantasy on fire before being limited by an injury. His 82/1057/8 stats don’t demonstrate how boom or bust he was but there were several games where he just didn’t show up. His injury limitations enabled rookie DK Metcalf to show how he can be an Alpha receiver and lead this team as the WR1. At 6’4” 229lbs, the former 2nd rounder has drawn comparisons to Dez Bryant because of his domination at the catch point but his 4.33 40 time puts him in a completely separate class. Metcalf looked like a man amongst boys at times and is a sure-fire starter for your fantasy team. Philip Dorsett is asked to run a simpler route tree then he did in New England which is a positive sign for this speedy deep threat. Dave Moore returns as a sure-handed route runner and Josh Gordon returns to ignite everyone’s memories from his last productive season in 2013.

Will Dissly returns as Wilson’s favorite seem-stretching target 10 months removed from his Achilles tear. Before his injury in November he was producing low end TE1 numbers converting 27 targets to 23 catches for 262 yards and 4 touchdowns. The third-year player will be a co-starter with the newly signed Greg Olsen. Olsen comes into his age 35 season after four years in Chicago and 9 years in Carolina. He will reportedly be a big part of this offense and could offer some sneaky good fantasy weeks. At 35 years old and a $7 million salary, he figures to be widely available if you are in a pinch for a TE. 

We hope that you enjoyed this article. Check back in a few days for the AFC West roundup!

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Breaking Down A Real Dynasty Owner Draft Strategy by Round

Author: Jay Poundsee

Heading into my first dynasty owner draft, I felt nervous even being what most consider a pretty avid Fantasy Football player/nerd depending on who you have the pleasure of speaking too. I can sit and talk football or even better fantasy football all day every day, just ask my fiancée shell surely to agree. I had done plenty of mocks heading up to my first ever draft and felt I was as prepared as I could be heading into a format like this. After all, I have read every article Steve Van Tassel has written as well as listened to every podcast I could find with Steve and Tim. I brought my assistant fantasy manager (my 9-year-old son Bentley) up to speed and we were ready to find out our draft position. After hours of anxiously waiting, we finally get word from the guys at dynasty owner 3rd overall it is.

I was not thrilled with 3rd as I knew I would more than likely face the daunting task of drafting or passing on Patrick Mahomes, whose salary skyrockets to around $45 million next season. The thought of trying to build a team with his salary still gives me nightmares but at the end of the day someone must do it, luckily it was not me as the team before me took him. Though it would be a fascinating challenge to try to build around and win with Mahomes on my roster I was thankful the opportunity did not present itself. In Dynasty Owner it seems the draft can go many ways and it is a format where it is imperative to let the draft come to you. I thought I went in with a plan and that plan was in shreds before I even had the chance to pick.

ROUNDS 1-3

Rounds 1-3 are where you set the tone for your team going forward, meaning if you take Michael Thomas ($19,250,000) or Zeke ($15,000,000) you need to start thinking younger and cheaper moving forward. The first 2 picks went Lamar Jackson and Mahomes leaving me non-other than Christian McCaffery at ($4,000,000) with a new contract looming. The thought of having to budget after taking my first player was one, I was not fond of, but when its CMC you take him and let him carry you to a championship. The rest of round one was a good mix of Quarterbacks and Running backs with no Receivers or tight ends taken. Interestingly, only one team spent over 9 million in the first. We started out round two with a nice mix of younger cheap players, as well as a few expensive veterans. Michael Thomas ($19,250,000) went at 13, followed by Joe Burrow ($9,047,543) and Miles Sanders at ($1,337,544).

The end of the second round I watched Deandre Hopkins ($16,200,000) go the pick just ahead of me. At this point my plan was just draft well enough to be able to compete while McCaffery is in his prime, as well as keep him and resign my rookies next year. Staring me in the face was Joe Mixon ($1,362,544) with only one year left or the love of Tim’s life D.J. Moore ($2,792,829). It was my first tough decision of the draft and being a firm believer in Running backs win championships, I went with Mixon. Joe Mixon worries me as well with this being the final year of his contract, in what is sure to be an improved offense he is a sure bet to get paid. Cincinnati also gets last years, their 2019 first round left tackle, Jonah Williams back, which can only help Mixon produce this season. I took my first quarterback, New York Giants Quarterback Daniel Jones ($6,416,014) in the third round. Jones flashed real potential last season as a rookie on a pretty bad football team, so I was okay with him being my QB1 needing as much flexibility as possible to retain Mixon and CMC next season. 

I knew from all my mock drafts not getting at least one Quarterback on a rookie deal would put me into a cap nightmare moving forward. I would, no doubt, must amnesty one to have any type of flexibility going into next season. At this point I had no clue where to go next with 2 of my 3 most important pieces going into a contract year. I decided to try to just let the draft come to me as best as I could.

Rounds 4-7

I knew my 4th round pick was going to be crucial to how the rest of this draft would play out for me. I watched the 2 players I was hoping would fall to me Deandre Swift ($2,124,728) and Calvin Ridley ($2,725,178) get sniped just picks ahead of me. As it becomes my selection, I look at my screen and laugh as I see another potential top 5 running back staring me in the face, Kareem Hunt at ($3,259,000) and the kicker 1 year left on his contract just like my other guys. I looked over at my son, who I knew would have no idea what I was talking about, I said “Son I think I found an odd strategy that just might work.” He got excited and said, “let’s try it Dad.” I smashed draft on Kareem Hunt and had a somewhat clear plan.

The rest of the draft I was going to spend good money to lock down a few solid wide receivers and target players on 1-year deals with high upside. This will free up cap space for next season and give me options of who to keep and who to let go based on performance and outlook this off season in my running back room. Example, if Pittsburgh lets James Connor walk at the end of the year and signs Hunt, then Hunt becomes a no brainier to keep next season. If he flops this year or stays behind Chubb, I just opened cap space for CMC or Mixon’s new deals. When it came time to pick again, I felt like a kindergartner at snack time I was so excited. Julio Jones at a hefty$22,000,000 fell right into my lap. I had zero issue spending big to pair Julio with the CMC, Mixon, Jones, and Hunt, giving me a great core to compete this year. The 6th was what seemed another no brainer for me with Leonard Fournette ($6,787,711) and 1 year remaining (see a trend?). Taking Fournette at this pick was simple because it gave me potentially 4 stud Running backs this season as well as my pick of the litter with these four going into next season with them all on expiring contracts. As my 7th pick was approaching quickly, I noticed almost all the young cheap signal callers were gone, so I decided to reach and go with Sam Darnold ($7,561,929).

I know Darnold is not an attractive pick here, but he has flashed some positive potential and the Jets played considerably better when Darnold was on the field last season vs. when he was out with mono. Pair that with an upgraded line and receiving core it may lead to a solid year from the Jets QB. At this point I am feeling good with where my team is but knew I would need another wide-out plus some younger depth due to Julio’s age and huge contract (amnesty candidate). Also, if I have learned one sneaky good piece of advice it’s don’t be scared of an aging contract who can help win now like Julio Jones, because the amnesty provision is there when needed.

Rounds 8-13

I have to say, I have never gone into the 8th round of a fantasy football draft as anxious as I was in my Dynasty Owner draft. I watched Tyler Lockett ($10,250,000), CeeDee Lamb ($3,502,503), and Justin Jefferson $3,280,701 come off the draft board praying it was not the start of a receiver run before my next selection. Luckily, Devante Parker ($7,625,000), who I am extremely high on, was available and I do not think I could have hit draft fast enough. This gave me what I feel is a very solid floor at the two premier positions in Fantasy Football with CMC, Mixon, Julio, and Parker on top of a ton of cap space still available if I really wanted to spice things up. In the following rounds I really wanted to start adding some young talent with promising careers to my roster, so I went with one of my favorite rookies in Michael Pittman Jr. ($2,153,212). I love Pittman’s situation in Indy with him set to take on a big role this year and replace the oft-injured T.Y. Hilton full time as soon as next season. On the clock with the 118th pick, I selected the man with tree trunks for legs, A.J. Dillion ($1,321,458) running back for the Green Bay Packers. While Aaron Rodgers may not be a fan of the pick, I absolutely love Dillion as a prospect, as a pure between the tackles, old school goal line runner and feel he will have long term success in his career. Dillon has the chance to be a successful Ron Dayne.

In most fantasy drafts as well as this one, I almost always find myself waiting until later in the draft to shoot for the typical breakout tight end season we tend to see every year. One of my breakout candidates this year is Dallas Goedert ($1,406,068) with the horrible injury luck of the Eagles, it seems Philly’s tight ends are due for an even bigger year than originally expected. Alshon Jeffery seems to be starting this season on the PUP list and Desean Jackson may want to consider signing on with bubble wrap at this point; he is so fragile. I see Philly running a ton of 12 personal this season with their number 1 wide-out being a rookie in a shortened off season. This spells big things to come for Dallas Goedert and Philly’s tight end room. At pick number 142 sat The Running Back One for 3 weeks of last season (when Kamara went down) none other than Latavius Murray ($3,600,000). I find Murray to be a great upside piece for my roster especially if Alvin Kamara goes down. He is also someone who will always help with the 20% bench scoring feature here on Dynasty Owner with some standalone value. Round 13 came and I had two things on my mind Talent and cap flexibility. Anthony Miller ($1,338,425) was the selection, I have heard reports on how Miller relied heavily on pure talent in college and his rookie season, and that last year was a bit of a wake up call for him on how important attention to detail and putting in work off the field is. Needless to say it sounds like it’s a make it or break it year for Miller and those are pieces I love on my team, especially with only one year remaining giving me the ability to cut ties freely if needed this off season.

Rounds 14-18

Once you get to this point in most drafts, you are simply looking for two things, depth, and upside. The thing is this is not most drafts. There are so many ways your draft can go at this point from needing to find no-name super cheap players to even out your top-heavy cap or having plenty of room and zero worries. I was here thinking I need to find guys on 1 or 2-year deals who can produce now giving me the flexibility I need going forward. With pick number 166 I took a flier on Justin Jackson ($5,700,000). The kid has seemed to flash greatness at times averaging 6.9 yards per carry last season. I followed that up with Sammy Watkins ($9,000,000) for bench scoring, bye weeks, and cap space next season. Watkins happens to play with a quarterback named Mahomes, so I had no issue taking a chance this late on a piece of Andy Reid’s offense. This is where things started to dry up in the draft knowing I could not spend big unless they were on a one-year deal because of the need to keep as many running backs as possible next season.

My plan was to look for a few handcuffs for my players in the next few rounds. I am not typically a fan of my own handcuffs, but with Covid-19 going nowhere I feel it is necessary this season and possibly next. I took Russel Gauge ($654,049) as a potential handcuff for Julio Jones. I know Gauge would not be the direct beneficiary as that goes to Calvin Ridley, but Gauge would become an easy start each week in Dirk Koetter’s pass happy offense with Julio or Ridley going down. Ryquell Armstead was my next selection as Fournette’s handcuff. I felt he was an easy choice here as there seems to be little competition for Armstead as the Jaguars backup. Chris Thompson is there but outside of a few passing situations he does not worry me even having the shower narrative with his old coach Jay Gruden. In the 18th round I selected rookie running back for the Miami Dolphins Malcom Perry ($842,622). Perry is nothing more than a practice squad player that I hope will pan out over his rookie deal in a young talented offense.

Rounds 18-25

I will do my best not to bore you with the bottom rounds as there is not a whole lot of strategy involved, aside from finding players you feel are talented. There are a few curve balls in this format if you have cap space as players like Marvin Jones ($8,000,000), Carson Wentz ($32,000,000) and Matt Ryan ($30,000,000) were never even drafted. Quintez Cephus ($734,822) was the player I took next. I find Cephus extremely intriguing over a singular statement. The statement came from Detroit Lions corner back Jeff Okudah where Okudah was asked who the best receiver he has ever faced, Okudah replied “Quintez Cephus” being a Buckeyes fan that is enough for me to take a flier.  I selected tight end Will Dissly ($777,568) at my next spot. Dissly has had a few disappointing injuries the past 2 seasons but when healthy he has showed promise and Russel Wilson seems to love the guy. He also seems to be superhuman with how quickly he recovers from significant injuries. Famous Jameis Winston was the next pick for me. I love the thought of Winston working with Sean Payton and Drew Brees and potentially taking over. He also had Lasik eye surgery this season which may be the cause of some of the mind-numbing interceptions he has thrown throughout his career.

I wanted to take a kicker earlier than normal in this format because I wanted to make sure I got solid production without having to spend a few million. Greg Joseph ($660,000) was the pick. I am a big fan of the Titans offense going into this season. The Titans were one of the most efficient teams in NFL history on offense last season when Tannehill took over which will hopefully lead to easy freebies for my kicker with him at the helm for the foreseeable future. Jared Cook ($7,500,000) was still on the board at pick number 267 which was extremely surprising to me. With only 1 year left on his contract in a particularly good offense, I figured it was a win win with production and free cap space next year. With my final two selections of my very first Dynasty Owner draft, I took two more kickers. Brett Maher ($750,000) for the New York Jets and Matt Prater ($3,800,000). Prater was a bit more than I planned to spend on a kicker, but he plays for a good offense. I remember reading an article by Steve Van Tassel, who mentioned how important having 3 kickers was in Dynasty Owner. The reason for this is because of the 20 percent bench scoring each week, if you only have 2 kickers you will take 2 big fat ZEROs on your bench for bye weeks.

Summary and Free Agent Pickups

After the draft I was looking over my team, deciding how to spend the rest of my cap space in a responsible manner. I knew anyone I picked up had to be on a one-year deal, so I am not on the hook past this season, after all they were not drafted. Corey Davis ($6,348,672) was available and I needed more potential production at receiver, so I placed a bid and got him. Shortly after the guys from Dynasty Owner announced $2 Million in extra cap space so I placed a bid for Marvin Jones and his 1 year $8,000,000 salary. I knew Jones if healthy would offer me that extra upside and depth I need at wide out. I was surprised that I was able to pick up a player with the upside of Marvin Jones in a potential top 10 offense with the Detroit Lions for the minimum bid of 1,000,000 Dynasty Dollars. My overall draft experience here on dynasty owner was nothing short of phenomenal and addicting. There are so many different strategies to go with and most happen on the fly while drafting which makes it a lot of fun.

The strategy I went with in my draft was too get uber talented players with 1 year left on their deals in return my team only has $53,000,000 in cap space committed next season giving me plenty of freedom to do what I want next off season on top of signing my rookies. Overall, I have to say I am hooked on the in-depth year-round strategy this format takes to succeed and cannot wait for future seasons to see how my team performs, as well as running a few more teams. I hope this article helps you get a sense of what the draft process is like and gives you a somewhat in-depth look at the problems and thought process you will face in your upcoming drafts. One last takeaway from my draft and the research I have done recently for articles is that I have never seen such differences in where players are drafted as well as surprises on a draft-by-draft basis than you will find here at Dynasty Owner.  As always good luck on your Chase for The Ring!

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