Playoff Finals Preview – Who’s Going to Win the Ring?

Author: Steven Van Tassell

It’s League Championship week and the end of the first Dynasty Owner Chase for the Ring. Everyone who made it this far still has a chance to win the Ring, but they first need to win their League to stake their claim. We have a favorite in our #1 team (New York’s Strongest), but will they be able to run the table with an undefeated season, League Championship and victory in the Chase for the Ring?

Who else are potential contenders for the Ring? What are their chances of winning? Which player or players can provide those teams with an advantage over the competition in the Chase or does everyone in the Top 10 in the Chase for the Ring have the same players?

We’ll answer those questions and more in our final Dynasty Owner preview article of the season. In a change from normal, we will be taking a quick look at the Top 10 teams in the Chase for the Ring and assessing their chances at winning it. We’ll also so our usual thing and pick some players who should be in your Active lineup for the League Championship games and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, we’ll look at last week and see how my playoff semi-finals recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I recommended having the following players Active last week:

  • QB: Tom Brady – 18.2 points (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Kenyan Drake – 41.6 points (Good recommendation)
  • WR: Danny Amendola – 18.2 points (Good recommendation)
  • TE: Ian Thomas – 4.3 points (Bad recommendation)

Overall, a decent set of recommendations. Kenyan Drake was the Value Player of the Week and a match-up winner for his Dynasty Owners, while Amendola was a Top 20 WR. Brady had a similar number of points as a lot of QBs last week, while Thomas didn’t perform up to the level predicted. These predictions are critical for the Championship game in everyone’s league. Let’s see if we can have four good recommendations of players who should be Active this week.

Mitchell Trubisky (QB – CHI): Despite averaging 25.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in his past six games and 28.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in his past four games, Trubisky is still outside the Top 20 QBs for the season. He’s almost universally rostered (93%) so there have to be some Dynasty Owners in their League Championship game with him on the roster. Have you made it this far without the benefit of having Lamar Jackson on your team? If so and Trubisky is on your roster, consider making him Active for the Bears match-up against the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.

Ronald Jones II (RB – TB): While Jones appears to be in a timeshare with Peyton Barber, Jones is the Tampa Bay RB who catches more passes. Injuries to the top two Tampa Bay WRs (Mike Evans and Chris Godwin) may lead Jameis Winston to throw more passes Jones’ way in the Buccaneers game against the Texans. The Texans defense has struggled since J.J. Watt got injured and has allowed an average of 21.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to RBs over the past five weeks. If you need a replacement for Dalvin Cook or an underperforming RB, feel comfortable putting Jones in your Active lineup.

Tyler Boyd (WR – CIN): In three games against pass defenses in the bottom 10 in the NFL (Arizona, Oakland and Seattle), Boyd has averaged 14.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. If we take out the Oakland game when Ryan Finley, not Andy Dalton, was at QB, it rises to 21.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. The Dolphins are the 24th ranked pass defense in the NFL and Dalton is back at QB for the Bengals. The leading WR against the Dolphins in the past five weeks is averaging 28.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That’s Boyd this week, so you should get him in your Active lineup.

Jacob Hollister (TE – SEA): Hollister was a trendy pick-up back a few weeks ago after he put up consecutive 20.0+ Dynasty Owner fantasy point performances against the Buccaneers and 49ers. However, he has faded in the past couple of weeks since Seattle’s bye and averaged only 6.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points the past four weeks. Now, he gets to play against the worst defense in the NFL against TEs in the Arizona Cardinals. Back in Week 4, Seattle TE Will Dissly scored 17.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Cardinals. He’s injured now and Hollister will be the beneficiary of the Cardinals’ inability to cover TEs. Hollister is rostered in over half (52%) of Dynasty Owner leagues and his Owners should feel comfortable having him Active this week.

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok) in the playoff semi-finals when I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Aaron Rodgers – 18.5 points (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Dalvin Cook – 7.3 points (Good recommendation)
  • WR: John Brown – 16.9 points (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Austin Hooper – 5.0 points (Good recommendation)

Same record for my Bench recommendations as the Active ones – two Good, one Just Ok and one Bad. It’s critical for everyone in their League Championship and the Chase for the Ring to Bench those guys who aren’t going to perform well this week. Hopefully all four of this week’s Bench recommendations are Good ones.  Here are some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use or have been using in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench during the playoff finals.

Kyler Murray (QB – ARI): Murray has struggled in the three games since the Cardinals Week 12 bye – averaging just 15.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Even with those struggles, he’s still the #8 QB in Dynasty Owner. All of the past three games were at home and this week, he faces Seattle on the road in a tough environment. Seattle has something to play for as they need a victory to stay in first place in the NFC West. In the Cardinals first game against the Seahawks, Murray didn’t throw a TD pass and only had 17.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He’ll struggle again this week so leave him on your Bench.

Le’Veon Bell (RB – NYJ): Some analysts might pick Bell as a player to be Active since he’s back playing against the Steelers in a “revenge” game. Those analysts are ignoring the reality of Bell’s performance all season long and recently against much weaker competition than Pittsburgh. Bell has averaged a solid, but not spectacular 14.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game this season. However, he hasn’t taken advantage of playing against some really poor run defenses (Cincinnati, Miami, New York Giants, Washington) in the past couple of weeks with only a slight improvement in points – 16.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Pittsburgh is a lot better than all of those teams, so if you have better options, then Bench Bell in your League Championship game.

Julian Edelman (WR – NE): Edelman had his worst week of the season in the playoff semi-finals putting up only 2.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Bengals. His second worst week was way back in Week 4 when he was limited to just 6.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points by the Bills. The Patriots are playing the Bills once again this week. Edelman is dealing with an injury, definitely played hurt last week and has been limited in practice this week. Edelman helped get you to the Dynasty Owner playoffs as the #5 WR for only $5.5 million in annual salary, but since he is injured and playing the Bills, you should keep him on your Bench.

Tyler Higbee (TE – LAR): Higbee just climbed into the Top 10 TEs after his performance the past three weeks and is rostered in 37% of Dynasty Owner leagues – up from 11% back in Week 13 when he started on his roll of great games. If you’re one of those Owners who has been rolling with Higbee the past couple of weeks – Congratulations! However, having him Active this week based on his prior three weeks would be a mistake. First, he’s not playing the Cardinals or Seattle this week, he’s facing the 49ers who rank second in fantasy points allowed to TEs according to Pro Football Reference. Second, the 49ers held Higbee and Gerald Everett to only 8.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points combined back in Week 6. Finally, Higbee has had the TE position pretty much to himself as Everett was out the past three weeks. Everett is back this week and the two might split time and receptions so sitting Higbee on the Bench is the right move.

Chase for the Ring – Top 10 Contenders

For the Finals, we are changing things up and looking at the Top 10 Contenders in the Chase for the Ring. We’ll go in reverse order and look at the exclusive Dynasty Owner score projections for their League Championship game, highlight a key player or players they need to win their game and keep their Ring hopes alive and rate their chances of winning the Chase for the Ring.

Surprisingly, the current Active lineups (minus kickers) for the Top 10 Contenders very considerably and feature 34 separate players. The most owned players are Christian McCaffrey and Michael Thomas (6 teams each), followed by Travis Kelce (4 teams). Nobody else, including #1 overall Dynasty Owner player Lamar Jackson, is Active for more than three teams in the Top 10. The updated Chase for the Ring standings are as follows:

Number 10 – Yorkshire Roses (2012 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

The European-based Yorkshire Roses hold the #10 spot in the Chase after finishing with a 9-5 record and in 18th place in the Chase regular season. They have made quite a move in just one week to crack the Top 10. They are 219 Dynasty Owner fantasy points out of first place, 34 points out of ninth place and need pretty much all of the Contenders ahead of them to lose to be fitted for the Ring. They have a match-up against Whodey & the Blowfish that they are expected to win by a tight margin of 133.5-126.1.

  • The good news is that they have three players (Saquon Barkley, Kenny Golladay and Carlos Hyde) who aren’t Active for any other Top 10 team. Hyde, in particular, will be critical for Yorkshire Roses hopes to win their League Championship and stay in the Chase for the Ring. Hyde will need to better his best game of the season (18.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week) for the Roses to move up the Chase standings.

Number 10 – Yorkshire Roses (2012 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

The European-based Yorkshire Roses hold the #10 spot in the Chase after finishing with a 9-5 record and in 18th place in the Chase regular season. They have made quite a move in just one week to crack the Top 10. They are 219 Dynasty Owner fantasy points out of first place, 34 points out of ninth place and need pretty much all of the Contenders ahead of them to lose to be fitted for the Ring. They have a match-up against Whodey & the Blowfish that they are expected to win by a tight margin of 133.5-126.1.

  • The good news is that they have three players (Saquon Barkley, Kenny Golladay and Carlos Hyde) who aren’t Active for any other Top 10 team. Hyde, in particular, will be critical for Yorkshire Roses hopes to win their League Championship and stay in the Chase for the Ring. Hyde will need to better his best game of the season (18.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week) for the Roses to move up the Chase standings.

Number 8 – Up Country Degens (2049 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

Up Country Degens hold the #8 spot in the Chase, just as they did at the end of the regular season, in which they finished with a 12-2 record. They are 182 Dynasty Owner fantasy points out of first place, but just 13 points out of seventh place. Up Country Degens also need most (if not all) of the Contenders ahead of them to lose plus roll up some points. They face Alex’s Team in their League Championship and are projected to win by single digits – 138.5-130.3.

  • Carson Wentz is the Up Country Degens’ QB right now over Kyler Murray. A good game by Wentz will help the Degens win and move up in the Chase standings as no other Contenders have him as their Active QB. They are also the only Contenders with Stefon Diggs Active.

Number 7 – Puck Fittsburgh (2062 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

Podcast regular Puck Fittsburgh holds down the #7 spot in the Chase, moving up from 9th in the regular season. They finished the regular season with a 10-4 record, but have to face their League regular season champ, the Day Drinkers who are #13 in the Chase for the Ring, to keep their Ring hopes alive. They are 169 Dynasty Owner fantasy points out of first place and 25 points behind the #6 team, so plenty of help is needed for them to win the Ring. However, it’s not outside the realm of possibility. In their League Championship game, Puck Fittsburgh is expected to handle the Day Drinkers pretty handily by a 137.1-119.6 margin.

  • They are the only Contender with both Drew Brees and Leonard Fournette Active. When the season started, I doubt Puck Fittsburgh planned on having Breshard Perriman Active over Julian Edelman at WR in the Championship game. That’s what he’s going with right now. Good performances by Brees, Fournette and Perriman will help Puck Fittsburgh win their League Championship and maybe the Ring.

Number 6 – Run CMC (2087 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

The only team to move down in the Chase for the Ring standings after the semi-finals was Run CMC. They are in the #6 spot in the Chase after finishing in 5th in the regular season with a 13-1 record. They are 144 Dynasty Owner fantasy points out of first place in the Chase for the Ring and get to face K-Hunta’z Gunna’z in their League Championship game. They need a better performance this week and losses by the top five teams in the Chase to win the Ring. Run CMC is supposed to win a close game versus K-Hunta’z Gunna’z by a 141.8-133.6 margin.

  • Run CMC obviously has Christian McCaffrey at RB, but is trotting out an interesting WR corps of Robert Woods and Breshard Perriman for their League Championship. Only Run CMC has Woods in their Active lineup among Top 10 Chase teams and he could be a difference maker.

Number 5 – Young Gunz (2112 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

The Young Gunz finished the regular season with a 12-2 record and were the team that moved ahead of Run CMC after the playoff semi-finals. Currently, they occupy the #5 spot and are 119 Dynasty Owner fantasy points out of first place in the Chase for the Ring. They face Bye Week in their League Championship game, but are a slight underdog and expected to lose 130.6-126.4. They will need to win their League first if they want to keep their slim chances alive to win the Ring.

  • The loss of Chris Godwin leaves the Young Gunz relying on either Terry McLaurin or Dede Westbrook as their second Active WR. Whoever they choice to make Active could be the difference maker in the Chase for the Young Gunz since no other Contenders has either in their Active lineup.

Number 4 – Recyclers (2139 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

Recyclers are the #4 seed in the Chase for the Ring and only 92 points behind the top seed, but just two points out of third place.  Jumping over one team and hoping the Top 2 teams lose doesn’t seem too unlikely so the Recyclers appear to have a slight chance at the Ring. They breezed through the regular season with a 13-1 record and face a slightly depleted TE Ertz When Eifert team in their League Championship game. Recyclers are projected to win by a 141.0-130.8 margin, but could face a closer game if TE Ertz When Eifert can find an adequate replacement RB for Josh Jacobs.

  • Amari Cooper and Tyler Higbee are two players who are Active for Recyclers but nobody else in the Top 10 of the Chase for the Ring. Solid performances by both of them would go a long way towards a League Championship victory and then seeing what happens to the teams above them in the Chase.

Number 3 – Haddonfield Shapes (2141 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

Haddonfield Shapes are the team holding the #3 spot in the Chase for the Ring. They are 90 points behind the top seed, but just two points ahead of Recyclers. They finished the regular season 12-2 and get to face Ambassador Millerr in their League Championship game. They are expected to win 133.7-123.5 but if the projections are correct, they will fall behind the Recyclers and reduce their chances to win the Ring.

  • Julian Edelman currently occupies one of the Active WR spots for Haddonfield Shapes and will be a key player for them this week. They are the only Contender with Edelman Active and a more typical Edelman performance than what we saw last week could keep them ahead of the Recyclers in the Chase. They also have Aaron Jones in their Active lineup – the only Top 10 team with him Active at RB.

Number 2 – Florida Storm (2170 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

Florida Storm only finished the regular season with a 11-3 record, but are the #2 seed in the Chase for the Ring. They are 61 points behind the top seed and 29 points ahead of Haddonfield Shapes, so they likely need a loss by the top team to be fitted for the Ring. They match up against the Flying Pigs in their League Championship game and are expected to win handily by a 150.2-114.6 margin.

  • They have both Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins Active and is one of only two teams in the Top 10 with a QB-WR stack (Puck Fittsburgh is the other one with Drew Brees and Michael Thomas). Zach Ertz is the Active TE for the Florida Storm and no other Top 10 team. As a result, a 30.0+ Dynasty Owner fantasy point game by Ertz like he has done twice this season could be what Florida Storm needs to win the Ring. Of course, a game like his last one versus Dallas (5.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) would hurt those chances tremendously.

Number 1 – New York’s Strongest (2231 Dynasty Owner fantasy points)

New York’s Strongest is certainly the favorite in the Chase for the Ring after an undefeated regular season and with a 60 point lead over Florida Storm. Their opponent is Budney who has suffered several injuries in the past few weeks (Chris Godwin, Josh Jacobs, Ryan Griffin) and is operating at less than full strength. As a result, New York’s Strongest are expected to win 151.2-115.2 over Budney to clinch their League Championship and a likely Ring ceremony with visits to Chipotle and the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton sometime next year.

  • Nothing fancy here. New York’s Strongest has relied on the top QB, RB, WR and TE (Lamar Jackson, Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas and Travis Kelce) to lead them to the top spot in the Chase and just need them to perform at their usual level to win the Ring. They are the only Contender with all four of them on their team.

New York’s Strongest should hold on and win the Ring. They have one of the least competitive League Championship games and a 60 point advantage in the Chase. I fully expect Eddie to complete his perfect season and earn the Ring and everything that goes along with it. We’ll find out on Tuesday in our recap article.

Don’t miss the last recap article of the Dynasty Owner season to find out who wins the Ring and is named the best Dynasty Owner!

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Playoff Semi-Finals Preview

Author: Steven Van Tassell

It’s finally time for the first Dynasty Owner playoffs! Congratulations to all of the Dynasty Owners who made it this far. Half of you will be eliminated from the playoffs as well as the Chase for the Ring, while the other half will move on to the Finals and remain in contention for the Ring and a lot of Dynasty Dollars. No more facing off against inactive teams who aren’t setting their best lineup. It’s the best versus the best in every league facing off to see who’s really the Best. And to illustrate that, we have a great Match-up of the Week on tap. Two teams with legitimate aspirations to win the Chase for the Ring will square off in a playoff Elimination game.

This is our fifteenth Dynasty Owner game preview article and the first one for the playoffs. As usual, we’ll take a look at our Match-up of the Week, highlight some interesting lineup decisions for each team and make a prediction on the winner and final score. We’ll also pick some players who should be in your Active lineup for the first week of the playoffs and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, we’ll look at last week and see how my recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I recommended having the following players Active in Week 14:

  • QB: Jacoby Brissett – 29.2 points (Good recommendation)
  • RB: Devonta Freeman – 19.4 points (Good recommendation)
  • WR: Dede Westbrook – 8.5 points (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Mike Gesicki – 1.6 points (Bad recommendation)

Back to normal with two Good and two Bad recommendations after last week’s perfect set. These predictions are more important now. Let’s see if we can have a repeat performance of Week 13 with my recommendations of players who should be Active in the semi-finals of the Dynasty Owner playoffs.

Tom Brady (QB – NE)

Even though he’s the G.O.A.T., Brady is just the #14 ranked QB in Dynasty Owner this season, meaning that he’s not an automatic Active player. With the Patriots offense not clicking on all cylinders the past few weeks, Brady has been mediocre and averaging only 18.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points since the Patriots Week 10 bye. However, Brady and the Patriots are mad that they lost to the Chiefs last week and get a break this week as they are facing the Cincinnati Bengals. Brady has thrown an average of 40 passes per game this year and even though the Bengals run defense is the worst in the NFL, Brady will probably still pass a lot. And probably throw for at least 2 TDs. And stay in and play the entire game and continue to rack up fantasy points, even if the game is out of reach. Put Brady in your Active lineup this week.

Kenyan Drake (RB – ARI)

In five games with the Cardinals, Drake has averaged 17.2 touches per game. Even with both David Johnson and Chase Edmond back in action last week, he got 14 touches. He plays this week against a Browns defense fresh off allowing Joe Mixon to get a season-high 29.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (146 yards rushing, 3 receptions, 40 yards receiving, 1 rushing TD). Drake won’t do as well as Mixon did, but should still have a good enough day that he should be in your Active lineup.

Danny Amendola (WR – DET)

Detroit is down to only three WRs on their roster right now after placing Marvin Jones on IR. Last week, they put TE T.J. Hockenson on IR. Somebody besides Kenny Golladay has to catch passes for the Lions this week, right? So, why not Amendola? Their depleted receiving corps also gets to play against one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are allowing an average of 278.8 yards passing per game. Amendola has eight targets in each of the past two games from rookie QB David Blough. Amendola should be Active this week, even though he is currently rostered in only one Dynasty Owner league (2% ownership).

Ian Thomas (TE – CAR)

Ever since Greg Olsen left the Panthers game with Washington in Week 13; Thomas has caught 9 passes for 81 yards and a TD (23.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Olsen needs to pass the NFL concussion protocol to play, leaving the opportunity for Thomas to step up once again against Seattle. Seattle has been pretty bad against TEs all season and given up an average of 21.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to TEs since their bye week. Thomas probably won’t get that many points, but he’ll get enough to warrant being Active.

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok) for Week 14 when I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Kyler Murray – 11.9 points (Good recommendation)
  • RB: Todd Gurley – 21.3 points (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Tyler Lockett – 8.3 points (Good recommendation)
  • TE: Mark Andrews – 2.4 points (Good recommendation)

Another week in which I did better with my Bench recommendations as three of them were Good and only recommending Todd Gurley be benched was bad. Hopefully this week’s Bench recommendations are just as good or even better since it’s the playoffs. Here are some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use or have been using in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench during the playoff semi-finals.

Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB)

Just looking at the overall picture, Rodgers should be Active as he’s the #6 rated QB in Dynasty Owner, averaging 24.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. However, a look at his week-by-week performance shows that he’s more likely to score less than 20 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (8 times) than over that (5 times). He’s scored less than 20 points in four out of the last five weeks and only averaged 18.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points during that time.  Bench Rodgers this week.

Dalvin Cook (RB – MIN)

This is a tough one to pick, but here goes. Cook has been good, but not great recently. He’s averaging 14.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game over the past three weeks after averaging 24.8 per game in the first ten weeks. The Chargers have held opposing RBs to less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in each of the past two games. As the #2 RB in Dynasty Owner, it would be extremely difficult for his Owners who are in the playoffs to Bench Cook this week. However, he’s likely to not reach his projection of 20.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and may be worth sitting on the Bench if his Dynasty Owners have better options.

John Brown (WR – BUF)

Brown was doing well in the first ten games of the regular season, averaging 16.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. His production has slipped in the past three games to an average of just 10.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. However, he got 8.8 of those points from a trick play TD pass on Thanksgiving against the Cowboys and only has caught 8 passes for 91 yards the past three weeks. This week, he has to face the Pittsburgh Steelers defense that has held opponents to under 200 yards passing in eight of the past ten games. It’ll be tough for Brown to put up too many points this week, so leave him on your Bench.

Austin Hooper (TE – ATL)

We are dealing with a limited number of healthy Top 10 TEs this week with Jared Cook and Greg Olsen both hurt and unclear on whether or not they are going to play. Therefore, the only logical choice is to pick Hooper since he’s facing the defense that has allowed the fewest yards to TEs this season (San Francisco). Hooper is also still working his way back from a sprained MCL and didn’t have a great game last week with only 5.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions, 32 yards). Bench Hooper this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-Up of the Week

Day Drinkers vs. The Replacements

It’s time for our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week and it’s a good one. We have the only playoff semi-final elimination match-up featuring two teams in the Chase for the Ring. In one corner, we have Day Drinkers who finished in first place in their league with a 12-2 record and are in 17th place in the Chase. They are matched up against The Replacements who finished in fourth place in their league with an 8-6 record, but scored more points than the Day Drinkers and sit in 12th place in the Chase. For one of them, their league title hopes and quest for the Ring ends this week.

Some quick thoughts about this match-up:

  • The Day Drinkers have a big decision to make at WR. Right now, they are starting Tyler Lockett over Anthony Miller. Lockett is projected to score more points than Miller (14.0 vs. 10.6), but Miller has been playing better than Lockett recently. Lockett has averaged just 4.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in his past three games, while Miller is averaging 16.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points during that time. However, Miller put up a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) back in Week 1 against Green Bay at home and just 3.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last year in his only appearance against the Packers. One benefit of playing Lockett for the Day Drinkers is that Russell Wilson is The Replacements’ starting QB and any Wilson to Lockett completions will be an advantage in points for the Day Drinkers. We’ll find out if the Day Drinkers make the correct decision on Sunday.
  • Both teams have a vested interest in the Thursday Night Football game with Lamar Jackson at QB for the Day Drinkers and Mark Ingram at RB for The Replacements. There’s always a chance that The Replacements go with Josh Jacobs in place of Ingram now that Jacobs is healthy and supposed to play this week. The Jets allow the second fewest yards per game rushing, but if Baltimore gets out to an early lead, they could use Ingram and the running game a lot. A tough decision for The Replacements.
  • It should be all over by Sunday night as only The Replacements have a player going on Monday night and it’s his Bench TE (Jared Cook). Unless the margin is really close, we should have a winner before Monday Night Football.

The exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections based on the current lineup for each team has The Replacements winning by a 139.4-128.7 margin. These playoff match-ups are tough to predict as both teams have plenty of really good players in their Active lineup and on the Bench. Even though The Replacements are the fourth seed in the playoffs, this isn’t an upset.

Final Score Prediction: The Replacements 145.8 vs. Day Drinkers 135.3

My regular season prediction record was 10-6 after a sweep of the three Match-ups last week. Check out the Playoffs Semi-Finals Recap article next week to find out which team advances to their league title game and kept their Chase for the Ring chances alive.

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Week 13 Preview: Giving Thanks

Author: Steven Van Tassell

Happy Thanksgiving to all of my fellow Dynasty Owners! I know we are all thankful to be playing Dynasty Owner. Special thanks to the O.G. Dynasty Owner Paul for creating and developing the game. Thanks to Tim for keeping the game going, communicating with the developers and being super responsive to requests and comments. And thanks to Don for his help posting these articles on the blog and Twitter. I’m thankful for the opportunity to work for Dynasty Owner and with all three of them.

In our Match-up of the Week, we have a team (Up Country Degens) who are thankful that they are guaranteed a spot in their league’s playoffs and a chance to continue on in the Chase for the Ring. Alex’s Team won’t win the Ring, but they need a victory to remain in second place and possibly lock up a playoff berth.

This is our thirteenth Dynasty Owner game preview article. We will analyze each team’s starters and bench in the Match-up of the Week to see if any switches are needed, highlight other things of interest and importance and make a prediction on the winner and final score. We’ll also pick some players who should be in your Active lineup and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations. All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, we’ll look at last week and see how my recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I recommended having the following players Active in Week 12:

  • QB: Jeff Driskel – 12.7 points (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Jaylen Samuels – 6.2 points (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Russell Gage – 15.6 points (Just Ok recommendation)
  • TE: Dallas Goedert – 7.2 points (Just Ok recommendation)

Definitely not as good as last week and back to normal with two Just Ok and two Bad recommendations. Both Gage and Goedert were low end Active players in Week 12 as Gage finished as the #17 WR and Goedert was the #10 TE. However, there were other players who I could have been recommended that did better.  Let’s see if we can have a better set of recommendations of players who should be Active in Week 13.

Mitchell Trubisky (QB – CHI): His “hip” injury seems like a long time ago. Trubisky had his fourth best performance of the year last week against the New York Giants with 21.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Even including the game against the Rams in which he got “injured”, Trubisky is averaging 20.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points over his past three games, including a 26.5 point effort in Week 10 versus Detroit. Just last year, Trubisky had his best performance as a pro with 44.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Detroit. Thankfully for him, he gets to face the Lions defense again on Thanksgiving. Trubisky has put the embarrassing benching at the end of the Rams game behind him and Dynasty Owners should get him off the Bench this week and into their Active lineup.

Derrius Guice (RB – WAS): Carolina is allowing an average of 127 yards per game rushing and 19 rushing TDs on the season, nearly 2 rushing TDs per game. With Bill Callahan as Head Coach, the Redskins have said they want to emphasize the run. Guice split carries with Adrian Peterson the past three weeks, but since the Redskins aren’t making the playoffs, it’s time for them to see what Guice can do against the porous Carolina rushing defense. Make Guice Active this week.

Cole Beasley (WR – BUF): In the six games since Buffalo’s bye, Beasley has been averaging 12.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. While he hasn’t scored 20.0 or more points yet in 2019, he does have more than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in seven games, including a season high of 19.6 points last week versus Denver. Dallas allowed 17.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to Julian Edelman last week and while Beasley isn’t Edelman, they both play the slot receiver position. Bonus points for Beasley who is back playing against the Cowboys. Put Beasley in your Active lineup and be thankful that you did.

Jack Doyle (TE – IND): The season-ending injury to fellow Colts TE Eric Ebron will give Doyle’s fantasy value a boost for the remainder of the season. Doyle is the #19 ranked TE in Dynasty Owner and Ebron is #15. In the Colts previous match-up versus Tennessee back in Week 2, they combined for 15.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 46 yards receiving, 1 receiving TD). If you combined them for the season, they would be the #2 ranked TE with an average of 14.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Doyle won’t be ranked that high for the rest of the season, but he should be a Top 10 TE this week and in future weeks, so get him in your Active lineup.

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok) for Week 12 when I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Aaron Rodgers – 11.5 points (Good recommendation)
  • RB: Josh Jacobs – 4.6 points (Good recommendation)
  • WR: Amari Cooper – 0.0 points (Good recommendation)
  • TE: Gerald Everett – 4.3 points (Good recommendation)

Best week of the season for Bench recommendations with all four being Good. Thanks to all four players for not playing well last week. Hope everyone who read the Week 12 preview heeded my advice and Benched all four of those guys. Let’s see if we can do it again! Here are some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use or have been using in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench in Week 13.

Jameis Winston (QB – TB): Winston has thrown 20 INTs this season, 6 more than the next closest QB (Philip Rivers). He’s also fumbled 11 times and lost 4 of them. Despite all of the turnovers, he’s still #8 QB in Dynasty Owner because he’s thrown for over 300 yards in each of the last six games and averaged 24.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the five games since the Buccaneers bye week. The Jacksonville defense hasn’t been great recently, but a lot of the fantasy points they have given up to QBs in the past couple of weeks have been on the ground. They are giving up 21.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game passing the past three weeks with just one INT. That will change against Winston who might not have to pass as much as usual since Jacksonville is one of the worst defenses in the league against the run. Even if Tampa Bay doesn’t pass as much as usual, he’ll probably throw at least one INT, so Bench Winston this week.

Leonard Fournette (RB – JAX): Tampa Bay is second best rushing defense in the NFL, allowing only 78.7 yards per game on ground. Fournette averages 16.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game at home in Jacksonville this season, below the 21.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points he averages on the road or at neutral sites. The Buccaneers have held other top RBs to single digit points this season, including Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey. They will do it again, so Bench Fournette this week.

Kenny Golladay (WR – DET): Regardless of whether it’s Jeff Driskel or undrafted rookie David Blough at QB on Thanksgiving, having Golladay in your Active lineup is not something Dynasty Owners want to do this week. While Driskel has been good at QB overall, Golladay has seen a decline in targets from 7.8 per game with Matthew Stafford at QB to 6.0 per game with Driskel. He had four 100+ yard receiving games in eight games with Stafford and none in three games with Driskel. And most importantly, Golladay is averaging 9.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game with Driskel compared to 17.3 with Stafford. Driskel is still day-to-day, but the outlook is worse if Blough is at QB on Thanksgiving so keep Golladay on your Bench.

Darren Fells (TE – HOU): In each of the past three games, Fells has caught one pass. Fortunately for his Dynasty Owners, one of them was for a TD, but he’s still averaging only 4.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in that time frame. In the eight games prior, he averaged 9.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Fellow Texans TE Jordan Akins has caught more passes in two of the past three games. Both of them get to face a New England defense that allows an average of only 3.8 receptions by TEs per game. That’s not a lot of receptions to go around for Fells and Akins, so leave Fells on the Bench this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-Up of the Week –

Up Country Degens (Kevin L) vs. Alex’s Team (Alex C)

It’s time for our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. We have the first place Up Country Degens facing off against Alex’s Team. Up Country Degens are thankful that they are 10-2 so far this season and have clinched a spot in the playoffs, while Alex’s Team sits in second place in their league at 8-4 but needs a win and a lot of points to stay there. Up Country Degens don’t need a win, but they need to keep scoring as they are in 15th place in the Chase for the Ring.

Some quick thoughts about the match-up:

  • Alex’s Team has five Top 20 RBs, but he can only have two Active and two on his Bench. I bet Alex would love a FLEX spot next year! Tough decisions abound for Alex as he’s starting Todd Gurley and Ezekiel Elliott right now with Le’Veon Bell and Derrick Henry on the Bench (he also has Joe Mixon on his Practice Squad). Bell could have a monster game against the Bengals, but would you Bench Elliott or Gurley? I’d put Bell in and Gurley on the Bench. We’ll see if Alex changes and what happens.
  • Up Country Degens don’t have the depth that Alex’s Team does at RB, but they do have the #1 guy in Christian McCaffrey. After that, it’s a tough call for Kevin on who else to start at RB – James White, Austin Ekeler, Damien Williams or maybe promote Benny Snell from the Practice Squad. It’s Ekeler right now, but Kevin has until Sunday to decide for good on who to play.
  • Kevin also has a tough decision at TE with three Top 12 players (Darren Waller, Gerald Everett and Evan Engram) all playing teams who don’t defend TEs well. The decision might come down to Engram’s health as he’s facing Green Bay, while Everett has a good match-up against Arizona. Waller should probably stay Active regardless. Good thing he has until Sunday to make up his mind on this one as well.
  • Alex still has Keenan Allen on his Practice Squad, probably because he was on bye last week. Moving him into his Active lineup would be advised, bumping Michael Gallup to the Bench and Curtis Samuel to the Practice Squad. That’s an extra 3.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for Alex’s Team based on projections.

The exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections based on the current lineup for each team has Up Country Degens winning a high scoring game by a margin of 143.0-130.8. Both teams are at full strength with good players in their Active lineups and on the Bench, so a shoot-out is inevitable. I’m predicting a mild upset as both teams score lots of points, but Alex’s Team hangs on to win after going up big on Thanksgiving.

Final score prediction: Up Country Degens 153.4 vs. Alex’s Team 161.7

My prediction record is 7-5 for the season after a correct prediction in Week 12. Will Alex win to give me another victory and a three-game winning streak? Check out the Week 13 Recap article next week to find out who won the Match-up of the Week. Happy Thanksgiving!

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Week 12 Preview: Playoff Push

Author: Steven Van Tassell

It’s Week 12, the final bye week of the NFL season and the start of the NFL and fantasy football playoff push. In the NFL, some teams are cruising towards a playoff spot but still need to keep win to secure home field advantage (New England and San Francisco), while others are fighting for their playoffs lives after tough starts to the season (Cleveland) and need to keep winning just to make the playoffs.

It’s the same in Dynasty Owner. The are undefeated teams (New York’s Strongest and Recyclers) who are going to make their league playoffs, but still need to win and put up big point totals to stay in the Chase for the Ring. Then there’s The Replacements, the #9 team in the Chase, and one of the teams featured in the Match-up of the Week. They only have a 6-5 record with some tough losses and two other top teams in their league in the Chase for the Ring (Day Drinkers and Puck Fittsburgh). Right now, The Replacements need to keep winning to even make the playoffs since they are in fifth place in their league.

This is our twelfth Dynasty Owner game preview article. We will analyze each team’s starters and bench in the Match-up of the Week to see if any switches are needed, highlight other things of interest and importance and make a prediction on the winner and final score. We’ll also pick some players who should be in your Active lineup and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, we’ll look at last week and see how my recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I recommended having the following players Active in Week 11:

  • QB: Derek Carr – 23.7 points (Just OK Recommendation)
  • RB: Joe Mixon – 17.3 points (Good Recommendation)
  • WR: Deebo Samuel – 21.4 points (Good Recommendation)
  • TE: Jared Cook – 11.3 points (Just OK Recommendation)

Much better than normal on the Active recommendations with two Good and two Just OK. The Just OK recommendations were both pretty close to being good as both Carr and Cook barely fell out of the top 10 performers at their respective positions in Week 11. Let’s try to duplicate last week with some recommendations of players who should be Active in Week 12.

Jeff Driskel (QB – DET): In two games as the Lions starter, Driskel has accumulated a total of 55.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. This week, he’s playing against the Redskins defense that just allowed Jets QB Sam Darnold to throw 4 TD passes last week (good for 34.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). He’s only owned in 6.5% of Dynasty Owner leagues and his salary is just $43,795 per week so if you’re missing Patrick Mahomes or Kyler Murray this week and need an Active QB, go out and get Driskel.

Jaylen Samuels (RB – PIT): The Steelers need to win to maintain their playoff chances, but are likely to be without the services of James Conner for their game this week against the Bengals. Conner played part of last week’s game, but missed the two previous games. It’ll be Jaylen Samuels as the lead RB again and he has averaged 13.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the past three games. He also scored 23.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the last Steelers-Bengals game. Josh Jacobs had over 100 yards rushing and 14.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week against the porous Bengals run defense. Samuels should be Active this week for his Dynasty Owners.

Russell Gage (WR – ATL): Gage is rostered in only 2% of Dynasty Owner leagues and it should be more since his annual salary is only $654,049 per year for the next three years. Since the trade of Mohammed Sanu to the Patriots, he’s been the #3 WR in Atlanta and averaged six targets and 8.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. His involvement should continue to increase without TE Austin Hooper as well. This week, the Falcons face off against the dreadful Tampa Bay defense that has allowed multiple TDs to WRs in each of its past four games. Gage has a good chance to catch his first TD pass this week, so make him Active.

Dallas Goedert (TE – PHI): Tight end is a thin position this week with multiple top TEs out due to injuries (Austin Hooper and Will Dissly) or bye weeks (Travis Kelce and Hunter Henry). Goedert has averaged 11.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per week over the past five weeks. The Eagles need wins to stay in the playoff chase, but are thin at WR with DeSean Jackson out and Alshon Jeffrey only just returning to practice after missing last week’s game. Goedert will only need to score 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to be a Top 10 TE and the Seattle defense has been poor against some other good TEs, allowing Gerald Everett to score 20.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and Austin Hooper to score 18.5 against them. Goedert should be able to reach his average for the past couple of weeks and should be in your Active lineup.

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok) for Week 11 when I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Carson Wentz – 14.4 points (Good Recommendation)
  • RB: Todd Gurley – 19.3 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • WR: Stefon Diggs – 23.1 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • TE: Zach Ertz – 18.4 points (Bad Recommendation)

Week 11 was worse than usual with only one Good recommendation and three Bad ones. All of players who ended up as Bad recommendations finished the week in the Top 10 players at their respective positions. Let’s try to do better this week with some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use or have been using in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench.

Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB): The winner of the Green Bay-San Francisco game will have the advantage in the race for home field throughout the NFC playoffs. The top paid QB in Dynasty Owner, Aaron Rodgers, has been held under 20 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in six out of ten games this season, including his last two games before their Week 11 bye. He only scored 12.4 points versus Carolina and 16.6 versus the Chargers in his last two outings. And neither one of those defenses is as good as a San Francisco defense that is only allowing an average of 173.5 passing yards per game. Kyler Murray did score 32.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against them last week, but 12.7 of those points came on the ground (67 yards rushing and 1 rushing TD). Bench Rodgers against San Francisco and find another QB to make Active this week.

Josh Jacobs (RB – OAK): If at first you don’t succeed, try try again. That’s my mantra with this pick since I picked Jacobs as my Bench RB back in Week 9 and he burned me by scoring 26.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Here’s the argument for leaving the #8 RB in Dynasty Owner on the Bench. He scores over three-quarters of his Dynasty Owner fantasy points on the ground and the Jets have held opponents’ RB to an average of 46 yards per game over the past four weeks. The last time an opponent ran for over 100 yards against the Jets defense was Ezekiel Elliott back in Week 6. Dynasty Owners have a lot of other RBs with good match-ups this week that they can make Active, while leaving Jacobs on the Bench.

Amari Cooper (WR – DAL): Benching the #4 WR in Dynasty Owner might be tough to do, but it’s the correct call this week. Cooper is matching up against the Patriots secondary which has been outstanding all season. In particular, Patriots CB Stephon Gilmore should shadow Cooper and opposing WRs are averaging only 3.3 receptions for 33.1 yards per game against him. It’s also a road game for Cooper and the Cowboys and Cooper only averages 10.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per road game this season. This is after averaging just 8.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per road game in four road games for the Cowboys last year. That’s not enough points to be Active, so leave him on your Bench this week.

Gerald Everett (TE – LAR): The whole Rams passing game struggled last week, including Everett who only caught 1 pass for 20 yards (3.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). As a result, the Rams find themselves right in the middle of the Wild Card race with the playoff-bound Ravens coming to Los Angeles on Monday night. If the Ravens defense plays as well against the Rams as they did against the Texans, it’ll be another poor performance for Everett. The Ravens held Darren Fells and Jordan Akins to a combined 5.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week (2 receptions for 33 yards). The Ravens have also only allowed two TDs to TEs this season. Even though it’s a thin week at TE, Dynasty Owners can find a better option to have Active than Everett.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week

The Replacements (Dustin S) vs. Ballad of RickyBobby (Bill J)

It’s time for our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. The Replacements are chasing two things right now – a playoff spot and the Ring. While they sit in 9th place in the Chase for the Ring, only 86 points behind New York’s Strongest, they still need to win their league to win the Ring. The problem is that right now, they aren’t even a playoff team in their own league. The Replacements are sitting in fifth place with a 6-5 record on the season. To say this is a must-win for The Replacements is an understatement.

Their opponent, Ballad of RickyBobby, have just a 4-7 record on the season, but are looking at this week as their own personal playoffs and relish the chance to be a spoiler.

Some quick thoughts about the match-up:

  • The Replacements have two of my recommended Bench players (Josh Jacobs and Amari Cooper) in their Active lineup right now. But, do they have any viable “replacements” for them?
  • Mark Ingram might be a better bet than Josh Jacobs in the second RB spot behind Christian McCaffrey for Dustin. He doesn’t lack for options to replace Cooper as between his Bench and Practice Squad, he’s got seven other WRs not on bye. Curtis Samuel, who is currently on the Practice Squad, could be promoted to Active with Cooper taking Zach Pascal’s spot on the Bench if Dustin agrees with my analysis on Cooper and wants to Bench him.
  • It’s a thin week at TE but is it that thin that the Ballad of RickyBobby needs to have O.J. Howard in his Active lineup with Hayden Hurst on the Bench? With no extra TE on the Practice Squad to switch, Bill should look at his league’s Free Agent Auction to see if widely available TEs such as Ryan Griffin (available in 89% of Dynasty Owner leagues) or Jacob Hollister (available in 57% of Dynasty Owner leagues) are there for him to grab. Both are on one-year deals and he’ll only need to pay their salary for three weeks, so it’s a potential low-risk, high-reward roster move for Bill.
  • Bill needs to jump out to a big lead in the early Sunday games and hope to hang on after his Active lineup is finished scoring. That’s because Dustin has two players in his Active lineup playing Sunday night and his kicker playing on Monday night.

The exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections based on the current lineup for each team has The Replacements winning by a margin of 131.4-100.6. It’ll be closer than that as The Replacements will win, but they may be fighting for their Dynasty Owner playoff lives and praying for more scoring in both the Sunday Night and Monday Night Football games.

Final Score Prediction: The Replacements 120.6 vs. Ballad of RickyBobby 99.7

My prediction record is 6-5 for the season after a correct prediction in Week 11. Will it be another victory and a two-game winning streak or a loss that will send my record back to .500? Check out the Week 12 Recap article next week to find out who won the Match-up of the Week.

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Week 11 Preview: Tough Week

Author: Steven Van Tassell

Week 11 is a tough one. It’s tough for those of us who don’t lie winter as it’s mid-November and the weather is cold in much of the U.S. It was tough to decide on some of the players to recommend as Active and some who should be on the Bench. And one as one of the top teams in Dynasty Owner featured in the Match-up of the Week tries to do something difficult (some might say tough) and stay undefeated and in the Chase for the Ring.

This is our eleventh Dynasty Owner game preview article. Many of you are still new to Dynasty Owner, so let’s review what you’re going to read. We will pick a Match-up of the Week and analyze each team’s starters and bench to see if any switches are needed, highlight other things of interest and importance and make a prediction on the winner and final score. We’ll also pick some players who should be in your Active lineup and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations. All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, we’ll look at last week and see how my recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I recommended having the following players Active in Week 10:

  • QB: Jimmy Garoppolo – 11.5 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • RB: Ronald Jones II – 21.6 points (Good Recommendation)
  • WR: Zach Pascal – 4.6 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • TE: Mike Gesicki – 2.8 points (Bad Recommendation)

A pretty typical performance with only one Good and three Bad recommendations. On the positive side, the Ronald Jones recommendation was spot on as he was the sixth best RB of the week. However, the Bad recommendations were pretty off-base, particularly the choices of Pascal and Gesicki, who fumbled on the Dolphins’ first possession. Let’s try again as here are some recommendations of players who should be Active in Week 11.

Derek Carr (QB – OAK): Carr is averaging 24.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in the four games since returning from the Raiders’ bye week. He’s thrown for at least 1 TD in all four of those games as well. And here comes a Bengals defense to Oakland that’s not tough at all, allowing an average of 28.8 points per game. Expect Carr to throw for at least 250 yards and a TD, which is a minimum of 18.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Carr is your #18 ranked Dynasty Owner QB and only rostered in 41% of Dynasty Owner leagues, but if you have him, he should be in your Active lineup this week.

Joe Mixon (RB – CIN): After underperforming for most of the year, Mixon has put together back-to-back good fantasy weeks, averaging 18.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in his past two games. He ran for 114 yards last week versus Baltimore, his first game over 100 yards all season. He plays an Oakland defense that is allowing an average of 98.4 yards per game on the ground. The Bengals are still going with rookie Ryan Finley at QB, so they should lean on the run again this week, which is good for Mixon. He’s rostered in 100% of Dynasty Owner leagues, so if you’ve got him, this is the week to make him Active.

Deebo Samuel (WR – SF): Two weeks ago, against Arizona, Samuel caught four passes for 40 yards and scored 8.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He was third on the team in targets just behind Emmanuel Sanders and George Kittle. Then last week, without Kittle for the entire game and Sanders for most of it, Samuel led the 49ers with 19.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (8 receptions for 112 yards). With both Sanders and Kittle not practicing yet this week, the 49ers might be without its top two receivers and have to lean on Samuel. That’s good for Dynasty Owners with Samuel on their roster and means he should be in your Active lineup this week.

Jared Cook (TE – NO): Tampa Bay has been bad against opposing TEs this year, allowing an average of 15.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to the opponent’s top TE. In his return from an ankle injury, Cook was targeted 10 times by Drew Brees and scored 13.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6 receptions for 74 yards). That was his best game since he garnered 14.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points back in Week 5 against…Tampa Bay. It’s an ideal match-up for Cook and time to put him into your Active lineup.

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok) for Week 10 when I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Dak Prescott – 35.9 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • RB: Derrick Henry – 35.1 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • WR: Tyler Boyd – 12.2 points (Just Ok Recommendation)
  • TE: Jimmy Graham – 7.9 points (Just Ok Recommendation)

Not a great week with two Just Ok and two Bad recommendations for players to Bench. The Bad recommendations were particularly bad as both Dak Prescott and Derrick Henry had great games, scoring over 35.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Let’s try again with some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use or have been using in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench in Week 11.

Carson Wentz (QB – PHI): Wentz is the #13 ranked QB in Dynasty Owner. Since #9 QB Kirk Cousins is only rostered in 4% of Dynasty Owner leagues, #8 QB Matthew Stafford is injured, and top 10 QBs Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers are on bye, Wentz is a likely Active QB option for many Dynasty Owners. Don’t do it. He got a tough match-up against the Patriots defense that has been really, really good for most this season. The Patriots defense is likely still steaming about allowing Lamar Jackson to beat them two weeks ago and with a bye week to game plan against Wentz and the Eagles, my gut says they will make it tough for Wentz to perform well. Find a QB not playing the Patriots this week to make Active and leave Wentz on the Bench.

Todd Gurley (RB – LAR): While Gurley isn’t a Top 20 RB in Dynasty Owner right now (he’s #25), he was definitely drafted by his Dynasty Owners to be Active every week. Gurley has been averaging only 9.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per week since he missed Week 6 against the 49ers. The Bears rushing defense isn’t too tough, but they did hold the Lions to only 61 yards rushing by RBs last week and the Chargers to only 36 yards three weeks ago. Gurley needs to score his fantasy points on the ground as he only has one reception in his past four games. He’ll probably keep up the streak of poor performances in Week 11, so keep him on the Bench.

Stefon Diggs (WR – MIN): In two games without Adam Thielen starting opposite him, Diggs has scored a total of 10.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. There’s a chance that Thielen plays this week against Denver according to Vikings Head Coach Mike Zimmer, which might help improve Diggs’ fantasy outlook, but don’t count on it. The Vikings should lean on their running game against Denver which would limit Diggs’ targets. Play it safe and Bench Diggs this week.

Zach Ertz (TE – BAL): Ertz had a great Week 9 against the Bears, before the Eagles bye week, scoring 25.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That performance moved him up to the #6 TE in Dynasty Owner. However, in a recent three game span before the Bears game, Ertz averaged only 5.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. The Eagles play the Patriots this week and the Patriots held Ravens TE Mark Andrews to just 4.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in their first loss of the season two weeks ago. Expect the Patriots defense to hold down Ertz, so sit him on your Bench and make another TE Active this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week

New York’s Strongest (Eddie Driscoll) vs. The Miracle Metcalfs (Andrew Wade)

It’s time for our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. We have the undefeated and fourth ranked team in the Chase for the Ring (New York’s Strongest) facing off against The Miracle Metcalfs. It’s tough to go undefeated in fantasy football and New York’s Strongest has a chance to do so in the first season of Dynasty Owner. The Miracle Metcalfs have a .500 record, but the #1 overall player in Dynasty Owner in Russell Wilson is out on bye for them this week. That’s a tough break for The Miracle Metcalfs.

Some quick thoughts about the match-up:

  • New York’s Strongest is sure living up to their name as they have a strong Active lineup, including the #1 RB (Christian McCaffrey) and #1 WR (Michael Thomas), plus the #2 QB (Lamar Jackson), #2 RB (Dalvin Cook), and #2 TE (Travis Kelce). Even Julian Edelman and Greg Zuerlein are ranked in the Top 10 at their respective positions. Unless a couple of them have a bad week, Eddie will be tough to beat this week and for the rest of the season.
  • Russell Wilson needs to be Benched or hopefully put on the Practice Squad for this week only to help The Miracle Metcalfs compete at their best. They have Baker Mayfield on their Practice Squad right now, so Andrew does have enough QBs to make it work.
  • Josh Allen is projected to score 22.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week, but he put up 27.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the Bills first meeting against the Dolphins and 27.1 points versus the Browns last week, so I’m thinking he will exceed that projection. There’s still plenty of time for Andrew to get Allen into his Active lineup this week and hope he can produce a Dynasty Owner Player of the Week caliber game for The Miracle Metcalfs.
  • Eddie is trying to do something extremely tough – go undefeated in fantasy football. How many people do you know who have gone an entire fantasy season undefeated? Nobody has done it in my 20-year re-draft league, and I know only one person who has ever done it.

The exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections based on the best lineup for each team has New York’s Strongest winning by a margin of 159.1-118.4. It’ll be tough for New York’s Strongest to win by over 40 points as his projected score of 159.1 is 15.5 points higher than his average of 143.6 points per week. I’ll go with Eddie having an “average” week, but still defeating The Miracle Metcalfs by a solid margin to keep his undefeated season alive and continue on in his Chase for the Ring.

Final score prediction: New York’s Strongest 143.6 vs. The Miracle Metcalfs 123.2

My prediction record is 5-5 for the season after a loss in Week 10 ended my three game winning streak. Can I predict the victor of this week’s game and move back to above .500 for the season? Check out the Week 11 Recap article next week to find out who won the Match-up of the Week.

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Week 9 Preview: Bench is Better?

Author: Steven Van Tassell

It’s Week 9 and time when a lot of Dynasty Owners are going to find out how good their Bench is because, for many of them, players usually on the Bench will have to be Active this week. We have bye weeks for four teams including two teams (Rams and Saints) with a lot of top Active fantasy players, plus a couple of usual Active players on rosters of the other two teams on bye (Bengals and Falcons). For some Dynasty Owners, it might be a battle to see if their Bench masquerading as their Active lineup can play better than their opponent.

This is our ninth Dynasty Owner game preview article, the third in a row with an undefeated team looking to stay undefeated and the second in a row in which the undefeated team is playing an opponent with a losing record. As usual, we will analyze each team’s starters and bench to see if any switches are needed, highlight other things of interest and importance and make a prediction on the winner and final score. We’ll also pick some players who should be in your Active lineup and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, let’s look at last week and see how my recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I recommended having the following players Active in Week 8:

  • QB: Teddy Bridgewater – -0.2 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • RB: Benny Snell Jr. – 1.3 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • WR: Corey Davis – 2.9 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • TE: Jonnu Smith – 19.8 points (Good Recommendation)

Once again, three out of four players who I recommended be Active would have been better off on the Bench. Even disregarding the Teddy Bridgewater choice, which was submitted before the Saints announced that Drew Brees would be back at QB last week, these were still poor recommendations. I promise to try and do better with my recommendations of players who should be Active in Week 9.

Matthew Stafford (QB – DET): Are you one of the few Dynasty Owners who has Stafford on your roster? There’s not a lot of you as he’s only rostered in 2% of Dynasty Owner leagues. If you have him, you should make him Active and probably should have made him Active the past two weeks when he’s averaged 36.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and moved up to become the 8th rated QB in Dynasty Owner. This week, he gets to face an Oakland defense that allows an average of 32.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per week to QBs, including four weeks with 30+ points. The fewest points they have allowed this season is 16.3 so the floor for Stafford is pretty high and 30+ is pretty likely. If you need a QB because Goff, Brees or Ryan are on bye and have room for his $27 million annual salary, then pick up Stafford and make him Active.

Tarik Cohen (RB – CHI): Cohen is basically a pass catching RB. He has 56.4 out of his 66.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points as a receiver this year. The Eagles defense has allowed an average of 7.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points on receiving alone to pass catching RBs with three of them scoring more than 10 points. Cohen will make it four, so be comfortable with putting him in your Active lineup.

D.K. Metcalf (WR – SEA): Metcalf has been targeted in the red zone 11 times this season so far, tied for fifth most in the NFL. Last week, he turned both of his red zone targets into TDs. His overall targets are also on the upswing since the injury to starting TE Will Dissly. Metcalf is averaging 10.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, which is good for 32nd among WRs. This week, he faces the Buccaneers defense that has allowed eight red zone receiving TDs in the past three weeks (six of them from WRs). Expect Metcalf to catch at least one red zone TD this week and make him Active.

T.J. Hockenson (TE – DET): The Raiders have allowed six TDs to opposing TEs this season which bodes well for Hockenson’s chances of reaching the end zone in Week 9. Only Arizona is worse, but they play George Kittle and the 49ers and Kittle should be Active every week. Hockenson has only scored 29.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (an average of just 5.0 points per game) since Week 1 when he had 25.1 points against the Cardinals. Many of his Dynasty Owners are likely to have him on the Bench based on his recent form. Because the Lions are playing the Raiders and Stafford is projected to have a good game, Dynasty Owners should put Hockenson in their Active lineup.

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). Last week, I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Kyler Murray – 11.3 points (Good recommendation)
  • RB: Nick Chubb – 10.8 points (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Courtland Sutton – 10.2 points (Just Ok recommendation)
  • TE: Greg Olsen – 3.3 points (Good recommendation)

Once again, I’m better at projecting who should sit on the Bench as opposed to be Active with two Good and two Just Ok Bench recommendations. Here are some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use or have been using in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench in Week 9.

Kyler Murray (QB – ARI): Once again, Murray is the pick here for a QB to Bench. It was a good recommendation last week as he had no touchdowns and only scored 11.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Saints, coming on the heels of a no touchdown, 8.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy point outing in his previous game versus the Giants. He’s still the 11th ranked QB in Dynasty Owner, so many of you who own him are thinking that he should be Active. Not with the very good 49ers defense coming to the desert. Murray should be on the Bench this week.

Josh Jacobs (RB – OAK): None of the top RBs have tough match-ups this week, so because I have to pick someone, it’s Jacobs. He’s not a great receiver out of the backfield as three-quarters of his Dynasty Owner fantasy points have come on the ground. The Lions defense held Saquon Barkley to only 64 yards rushing on 19 attempts last week, so it’s possible that they hold Jacobs down this week enough that his Dynasty Owners will wish they left him on the Bench.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): Just because he’s ranked in the Top 20 of Dynasty Owner WRs doesn’t mean you have to start Terry McLaurin. First, he’s only scored a total of 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the past two weeks. Second, Dwayne Haskins is scheduled to start for Washington and in the second half last week when Haskins played against the Vikings, McLaurin was only targeted once by Haskins (and it was an INT). Third, in the other game McLaurin played without Case Keenum (Colt McCoy started), he only scored 8.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Patriots. I could continue, but you get the idea. McLaurin should be on the Bench this week.

Mark Andrews (TE – BAL): Andrews has been really good in his rookie season, as in the 5th best TE in Dynasty Owner so far. He is scoring an average of 13.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. However, he’s got to face the Patriots defense that has allowed only 42.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to TEs all season (an average of just 5.3 points per game) and just one TD. Something’s got to give this week and it’ll be Andrews’ performance. Bench him because of the match-up and find another TE to put in your Active lineup.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week –

Recyclers (Chuck) vs. Pkoy (Pat)

It’s time for our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. We’ve got another undefeated team (Recyclers) looking to stay that way and playing with fire by allowing themselves to be Match-up of the Week. Standing in the way of a 9-0 record for the Recyclers is Pkoy with a record of 2-6.

Some quick thoughts about the match-up:

· The Recyclers are strongly considering a switch at RB with Derrick Henry moving from the Bench to Active and Jamaal Williams heading to the Bench. Chuck said he was thinking of making a change at RB2 and didn’t explicitly say Williams was going to the Bench, but it’s a safe assumption he wasn’t talking about Christian McCaffrey. Using the Dynasty Owner projections, this isn’t much of an upgrade, but it’s a good move and one that he should make.

  • It’s only a few hours until Thursday Night Football and Pkoy still hasn’t moved Dante Pettis out of his Active lineup. He’s got Davante Adams sitting on the Bench. Since Adams returned to practice on Thursday for the first time in over a month, it’s time to get Adams back in the Active lineup and send Pettis back to the Bench where he belongs.
  • Pat has two New England Patriots RBs on his roster, but is only starting one of them (Sony Michel). Choosing which New England RB is likely to score more points is always a dicey proposition. White has been the more consistent RB with at least 11.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, but no more than 13.8 in any single game. White is likely to provide the same production versus the Ravens on Sunday night, while Michel could bust like he did in Week 1 (1.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points versus the Steelers) or boom like he did in Week 7 versus the Jets (22.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.
  • Pat also has a tough decision at QB. Starting Carson Wentz over the G.O.A.T. is a not a bad decision, even though the G.O.A.T. is projected to outscore Wentz 25.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to 23.2. Overall, they have both played about equal this season as Wentz is averaging 22.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, while Brady is averaging 24.6. Regardless of who is Active and who is on the Bench, both should be solid performers for Pkoy this week.
  • Both owners will probably be tuning into Monday Night Football to see if Amari Cooper can put the Recyclers over the top for the week. Cooper is the only player on either roster playing on Monday night and while the match-up is projected to be over by then, I wouldn’t count on it.
  • Despite all of the players on bye this week, only Austin Hooper of the Falcons is appearing on one of the team’s Bench. Pkoy is missing a kicker on his Bench as well, which should even out the Recyclers’ missing points from Hooper.
  • The Recyclers have a decent team name, but a great logo. It’s might be hard to see, but it’s Ric Flair looking like he’s ready to give a big WOOOO!!!!

The exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections based on their current lineups has the Recyclers staying undefeated by a healthy margin of 124.3-97.4. The Recyclers Active lineup at the time of this article provides the entire margin of victory as Bench scoring is tied with both teams getting 16.1 Bench points. Nothing fancy here, as I predict the Recyclers continue to stay undefeated, even accounting for Adams in place of Pettis in Pkoy’s Active lineup.

Final score prediction: Recyclers 120.2 vs. Pkoy 110.6

My prediction record is 4-4 for the season with two wins in a row. Can I make it three straight and have a winning record for the first time this season? Check out the Week 9 Recap article next week to find out who won the Match-up of the Week.

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Week 8 Preview: Mismatch or Upset?

Author: Steven Van Tassell

It’s Week 8 and time for a playoff push for many Dynasty Owners. With only seven weeks remaining in the regular season, Dynasty Owners are looking hard at their teams and trying to decide if they are in playoff contention or in rebuilding mode. Only Baltimore and Dallas are on bye this week, so many Dynasty Owner rosters are at full strength. That could be good for Dynasty Owners at the top of the standings who have their regular Active lineup and Bench at maximum power so they can continue to crush the competition. Or, it could mean those teams at the bottom of the standings don’t have to worry about missing players, so they have enough firepower to pull off an upset this week and stay in playoff contention.

This is our eighth Dynasty Owner game preview article. At first look, we have a Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week that looks like it could be a mismatch, but might really be an upset in the making. To see which it is, we will analyze each team’s starters and bench to see if any switches are needed, highlight other things of interest and importance and make a prediction on the winner and final score. We’ll also pick some players who should be in your Active lineup and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, let’s look at last week and see how my recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). Because they were playing the Redskins and Dolphins, I recommended having the following 49ers and Bills players Active in Week 7:

  • QB: Jimmy Garoppolo – 5.6 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • RB: Tevin Coleman – 8.1 points (Bad Recommendation)
  • WR: John Brown – 19.3 points (Good Recommendation)
  • TE: Dawson Knox – 4.2 points (Bad Recommendation)

Even though all of the players I chose were playing two of the worst defenses in the NFL, I still managed to miss on three out of four recommendations. Thanks to John Brown for bailing me out! Crummy field conditions due to a steady day-long rain in the Washington, DC region didn’t help Garoppolo and Coleman, but that’s no excuse. I’ll have to do better with my recommendations of players who should be Active in Week 8.

Teddy Bridgewater (QB – NO): Bridgewater is a one-week Active stop-gap at QB if you own him as Drew Brees is expected back soon. For the 28% of Dynasty Owners who have him on their rosters, he’s someone you can make Active and feel good that he’s going to perform well. Bridgewater has thrown for more than 200 yards in each of his last three games and has avoided turnovers since he replaced Brees with only three (2 INTs, 1 fumble). This week, he gets to play the terrible Arizona defense that is allowing an average of 285.6 yards passing per game, including 356 yards passing and 4 TDs to Matt Ryan two weeks ago (42.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Teddy gets it done in his last start for the Saints, so he should be Active.

Benny Snell Jr. (RB – PIT): Snell has only scored 12.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points all season, but 9.9 of them came in Pittsburgh’s last game versus the Chargers. He is rostered in 39% of Dynasty Owner leagues so he’s pretty available if you need an RB this week and I doubt many of his Dynasty Owners plan on having him Active. They should as both James Conner and Jaylen Samuels are banged up and Pittsburgh is going up against the Dolphins defense on Monday night. That’s the same Dolphins defense that allowed 100 yards rushing to Cowboys backup RB Tony Pollard in Week 3 and over 100 yards rushing to every opponent except the Chargers. Pittsburgh figures to be up big at the end of this one and Snell could be the RB to carry the load in garbage time, so make him Active.

Corey Davis (WR – TEN): Davis broke out for his second 20 Dynasty Owner fantasy point outing last week, catching 6 passes for 80 yards and a touchdown from new Titans starting QB Ryan Tannehill. This week, Tannehill and Davis get to face the Buccaneers defense that has given up 20 or more points in every game this season. They have also allowed three WRs to catch over 100 yards in passes in a single game. Davis has the best chance to accomplish this feat for the Titans and that’s why he should be Active.

Jonnu Smith (TE – TEN): The Buccaneers defense is awful defending TEs this year, only Arizona is worse. Starting Titans TE Delanie Walker got injured last week against the Chargers, is questionable and didn’t practice on Wednesday so Smith has a good chance to play a lot of snaps this week. Last week, he had his best game of the season with 9.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (3 receptions for 64 yards) and he’s likely to do better this week. He’s also widely available if you need an Active TE to replace Mark Andrews or Jason Witten, since he’s only owned in 22% of Dynasty Owner leagues.

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). Last week, I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Kyler Murray – 8.0 points (Good Recommendation)
  • RB: Kerryon Johnson – 2.3 points (Good Recommendation)
  • WR: Terry McLaurin – 2.1 points (Good Recommendation)
  • TE: Jared Cook – 0.0 points (Good Recommendation)

Perfection! Four recommendations and every single one of them was good. My Bench recommendations seem to be better than my Active ones so far this season. Kerryon Johnson got injured early in the game and Jared Cook was inactive (Full Disclosure: The article was written and submitted before that announcement), which helped, but I still nailed the Murray and McLaurin Bench recommendations. Here are some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use or have been using in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench in Week 8.

Carson Wentz (QB – PHI): Wentz is coming off his worst performance of the season (7.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points vs. Dallas) and here comes the Buffalo defense. Buffalo’s defense is only allowing an average of 14.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to QBs. Wentz is the 10th best QB in Dynasty Owner and was drafted high (ADP 31), so he should be Active based on those metrics, but his Dynasty Owners should leave him on the Bench.

Nick Chubb (RB – CLE): Dynasty Owners drafted Chubb as ADP 16 to make him Active every week. However, the Browns are playing the Patriots defense that has two shutouts already this season and not given up more than 14 points to any team. So, they are hard to score against. They held the best RB they have faced (Le’Veon Bell) to 35 yards rushing and 70 yards rushing in the two games he played against them. This is no knock on Chubb, it’s just that the Patriots defense is playing so well that Dynasty Owners should Bench anyone playing against them – even Chubb.

Courtland Sutton (WR – DEN): The trade of Emmanuel Sanders to the San Francisco 49ers should improve Sutton’s fantasy stats as he’s the likely beneficiary of additional targets that would have gone to Sanders. However, now Sutton is the clear #1 WR in Denver (and the 10th best WR in Dynasty Owner) and teams will be game planning to stop him. Indianapolis hasn’t done a great job defending some of the top WRs in the NFL this season, allowing more than 100 yards receiving to DeAndre Hopkins, Julio Jones and Keenan Allen. However, Joe Flacco isn’t Deshaun Watson, Matt Ryan or Philip Rivers. The Indianapolis defense did hold down the Raiders and Titans top QB-WR combo and the Broncos combo of Flacco and Sutton is more like those teams. Bench Sutton for better options this week.

Greg Olsen (TE – CAR): If you are a Dynasty Owner who is paying Olsen’s $8.55 million annual salary, then you are likely making him Active every week. Hopefully you have a good backup TE because Olsen should be on your Bench this week against the 49ers. The 49ers defense has allowed only one TE to reach the end zone this season and no TE has gotten more than 32 yards receiving against them. While Olsen is the 10th highest scoring TE in Dynasty Owner, he’s had four games (out of six) in which he’s scored less than 10 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He’ll make it five out of seven, so you should leave him on the Bench.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – Mafia Power 83 (Bruno Goncalves) vs. Miami Gladiators (Brian Auricchio)

It’s time for our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. Once again, we’ll be looking at a match-up with an undefeated team (Mafia Power 83). In a twist compared to last week, Mafia Power 83’s opponent, the Miami Gladiators, sits below .500 with a 3-4 record. A mismatch, you might be thinking, but then a quick look at the rosters reveal that the Miami Gladiators have a solid Active lineup featuring Dalvin Cook, Julian Edelman and Cooper Kupp. The Gladiators have scored 871.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this season, while the undefeated Mafia Power 83 has scored only slightly more at 874.8. Suddenly, we have the possibility of an upset on our hands.

Some quick thoughts about the match-up:

  • Each team will have a full Active lineup and Bench to score them points. Only Mark Ingram is on bye this week and he’s safely hidden away on Mafia Power 83’s Practice Squad. No bye week excuses for either owner.
  • No real issues with either team’s Active lineup. Todd Gurley and his arthritic knee is always worrisome, but neither RB on Mafia Power 83’s Bench (Jamaal Williams and LeSean McCoy) are better than Gurley. Plus, Gurley and the Rams are playing the Bengals this week. Jared Cook of the Miami Gladiators is facing off against the Arizona Cardinals who have been awful for most of the season against TEs. However, George Kittle is Brian’s Active TE and it’s difficult to recommend benching him for Cook.
  • The Miami Gladiators have a Rams stack at QB-WR with Jared Goff and Cooper Kupp. If they connect for a TD this week, it’ll be 12 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for the Gladiators. Mafia Power 83 does have Jacoby Brissett on his Bench throwing to T.Y. Hilton in his Active lineup, but Bruno is unlikely to Bench Russell Wilson, who is the top scorer in Dynasty Owner after seven weeks.
  • No reason to watch Monday Night Football this week for either owner as neither has a player in their Active lineup or Bench from either Pittsburgh or the Dolphins. With the Miami Gladiators name, it’s possible that Brian is a Dolphins fan (my condolences if this is true) and will be watching.
  • Finally, we have some creative team names after a few weeks of teams with the name of their owner (Benjamin Schmitke, TWilliams, etc.). It’s hard to choose which one is better, so we’ll happily call it a tie.

The exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections based on their current lineups has the Miami Gladiators pulling off the upset of the undefeated Mafia Power 83 by a razor-thin margin of 130.5-129.3. It’s close if you only examine their Active lineups as well (a 114.4-113.3 margin for the Miami Gladiators).

The closest Match-up of the Week came in Week 2 as Teddy MF’in Ruxpin prevailed over Papagiorgio by just 4.3 points, but records were made to be broken and I think this Match-up breaks that record. The Miami Gladiators pull an upset with a close victory and stop Mafia Power 83’s undefeated season.

Final score prediction: Miami Gladiators 143.6 vs. Mafia Power 83 141.3

My prediction record is still below .500 at 3-4 for the season, so Mafia Power 83 probably isn’t sweating too much. Check out the Week 8 Recap article next Tuesday to find out who won the Match-up of the Week.

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Week 7 Preview: Heavyweight Match-Up

Author: Steven Van Tassell

It’s Week 7 – the halfway point of the regular season of the inaugural season of Dynasty Owner! Four teams are on bye this week (Carolina, Cleveland, Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay) as roster depth continues to be a factor for Dynasty Owners. Christian McCaffrey is the heavyweight champion RB right now and his owners will need a big game from his replacement as they hope to win without him. The same holds true for Chris Godwin owners as he’s the top WR in Dynasty Owner, but on bye as well this week.

This is our seventh Dynasty Owner game preview article and this one is a heavyweight battle between two stacked teams – one based in the U.S. and another based in Europe. Sort of a Joe Louis versus Max Schmeling fight to continue our boxing theme this week. In our look at the Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week, we will analyze each team’s starters and bench to see if any switches are needed, highlight other things of interest and importance and make a prediction on the winner and final score. We’ll also pick some players who should be in your Active lineup and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, let’s look at last week and see how my recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I recommended having the following players Active in Week 6:

  • QB: Gardner Minshew – 5.3 points (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Kenyan Drake – 13.3 points (Just OK recommendation)
  • WR: Michael Gallup – 8.8 points (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Geoff Swaim – 1.5 points (Bad recommendation)

Another terrible week for Active recommendations with no good ones and one just ok recommendation. The Jacksonville stack of Minshew and Swaim really didn’t pay off as they combined for only 6.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. I’ll have to do better with my recommendations of players who should be Active in Week 7, so the recommendations are stacked with 49ers and Bills players who go up against the Redskins and Dolphins defenses.

Jimmy Garoppolo (QB – SF): This one is probably not even fair since he’s playing the Redskins, but since Jimmy G is the 24th ranked QB in Dynasty Owner, he’s not supposed to be Active this week. However, he’s playing the Redskins defense that is giving up an average of 26.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game with three QBs (Carson Wentz, Dak Prescott and The G.O.A.T., Tom Brady) getting more than 30 points against them. Jimmy is averaging only 17.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, but he’ll exceed that comfortably this week and should be Active.

Tevin Coleman (RB – SF): Coleman averages 12.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per week, but is only the 47th ranked RB since he missed two weeks due to injury and the 49ers have already had their bye week. While he’s still splitting carries with Matt Breida, Coleman plays more, and those extra carries will help him gather up points at the expense of the Redskins defense that has let four RBs score in its last five games.

John Brown (WR – BUF): Brown has probably flown under the radar a little bit as he’s only scored one TD this season so far. However, he’s averaging 14.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game and here comes the Miami Dolphins defense to upstate New York. The Dolphins’ best cornerback, Xavien Howard, is out with a knee injury and without him last week, Terry McLaurin of the Redskins had 100 yards receiving and 26.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Brown should have at least that many yards and a TD reception, so make him Active.

Dawson Knox (TE – BUF): The Giants and Evan Engram play the Cardinals this week, but he should be Active if he’s healthy anyway, so he can’t be the choice. Even though going deep didn’t work last week, I’ll try again with Dawson Knox. Knox is only averaging 6.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, but he’s playing the Dolphins so why not? The Dolphins allowed Mark Andrews to catch 8 passes for 108 yards and a TD in Week 1 and since then, they haven’t faced many top TEs. If you need a bye week replacement for Greg Olsen or are rostering O.J. Howard and can’t play him this week (or any other week), look no further than Knox as your Active TE for this week.

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). Last week, I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Jameis Winston – 15.1 points (Just OK recommendation)
  • RB: Matt Breida – 10.3 points (Just OK recommendation)
  • WR: Mike Evans – 20.6 points (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Jason Witten – 10.7 points (Just OK recommendation)

A slightly below average week with three Just Ok recommendations and one Bad recommendation. Jameis Winston had to hit the 4 point bonus for 400 yards to offset his 6 turnovers (5 INTs and 1 lost fumble) and become Just Ok instead of Good. Here are some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use or have been using in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench in Week 7.

Kyler Murray (QB – ARI): A tough week to choose a quality QB to send to the Bench, but one needs to be chosen, so it’s going to be Murray. Why Murray who is coming off his best week in which he scored 39.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points? First of all, it was against the dreadful Falcons defense and the Giants are better. The G-Men held the G.O.A.T. to only 23.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in their last game and are rested with 10 days off since they played the Patriots. Second, he’s playing on the road and has exactly zero TD passes in two road games. Third, the rest of the top QBs have better match-ups and are likely to score more than Murray. Bench Murray even though he’ll do well – just not as well as other QBs who should be Active.

Kerryon Johnson (RB – DET): The Lions are facing an elite Vikings run defense that has only given up more than 100 yards rushing and allowed 1 RB rushing TD this season (Aaron Jones in Week 2). While Johnson is averaging 13.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per week, he has only rushed for more than 50 yards once this season (Week 4 vs. Kansas City). Johnson is unlikely to reach his average against the Vikings, so his Dynasty Owners should find a spot on their Bench for him.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): The 49ers defense is on a roll and holding their opponent’s top receivers down seemingly every single week. None of the Rams top receivers (Brandin Cooks, Cooper Kupp or Robert Woods) had more than eight Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week and the 49ers held Jared Goff to only 78 yards passing total for the entire game. While McLaurin had 26.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week and is averaging 18.8 points per game, he only got 8.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Patriots in Week 5. McLaurin has been a worthy starter for most of the year on a terrible Redskins team, but his Dynasty Owners should keep him on the Bench this week.

Jared Cook (TE – NO): Cook has been on a bit of a roll the past two weeks with 12.7 and 14.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points the past two weeks. However, if you look past just the points, you’ll see that he had a TD both weeks and still hasn’t caught more than four passes or gotten over 41 yards in a single game so far this season. With those kinds of numbers, he needs a TD to be Active and I don’t think he’s getting one against the Bears defense that has only allowed one TD to a TE all season. Bench Cook if you own him.

Dynasty Owner Match-Up of the Week –

Benjamin Schmitke (Benjamin Schmitke) vs. German Ballers (Christian Pfeifer)

It’s time for our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. At this point in the season, it’s not easy to be undefeated and for this match-up, we have a 6-0 team in Benjamin Schmitke battling against another top team in his division, the German Ballers, who are 4-2. Both teams score a lot. Benjamin Schmitke is averaging 141.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game and the German Ballers are balling at an average of 131.8, so it should be a shoot-out.

Some quick thoughts about the match-up:

  • The bye week problems for most Dynasty Owners won’t really impact this match-up. Despite four teams on bye, Benjamin Schmitke has no bye week issues in either his Active lineup, Bench or Practice Squad. He’s at full strength in his quest to go undefeated. The German Ballers only have minimal bye week issues as their back-up QB is Mason Rudolph of the Steelers and Christian doesn’t have another QB on the Practice Squad to substitute in Rudolph’s place.
  • Benjamin has the top scorer in all of Dynasty Owner, Russell Wilson, on his Bench. That’s what happens when you have the second highest scoring player in Patrick Mahomes at QB as well. Might Benjamin switch it up and go with Wilson over Mahomes? The projections say No as Mahomes is projected to score 32.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points versus 27.5 for Wilson, but I think a switch could be warranted. Mahomes is “only” averaging 24.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game over his last three games (compared to 31.1 for Wilson) and Mahomes has to go against the Broncos defense on the road on Thursday. It’s always tough to play on Thursday on the road. This is a decision, but a good one for Benjamin.
  • As one of our excellent European Dynasty Owners, it’s tough for Christian to watch the late Sunday games. Good thing that the German Ballers have all of their Active lineup playing at 1 PM (Eastern), 7 PM (Central European Time). Christian can sit back after dinner, have a pint of his favorite German beer (Spaten Oktoberfest perhaps) and watch his players go at it. Prost!
  • In contrast, Benjamin has to keep track of players on Thursday night, in the early Sunday games and Monday night. He’ll jump out to a lead on Thursday Night behind Mahomes and Harrison Butker, but will he be staying up late to see if James White can push his team over the top to victory on Monday?

The exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections based on their current lineups has Benjamin Schmitke defeating the German Ballers by a margin of 135.2-128.1. The margin of victory is entirely due to Benjamin’s Bench, which is projected to outscore the Ballers by a margin of 18.6-11.7. I’m going against the projections and predicting a close victory for the German Ballers. It’ll go to the judges’ cards, but Christian wins by split decision as Mahomes’ projections appear to be over-inflated.

Final score prediction: Benjamin Schmitke 130.5 vs. German Ballers 132.3

My prediction record is below .500 at 2-4 for the season, so don’t celebrate with your newly won Heavyweight title belt just yet Christian. Check out the Week 7 Recap article on Tuesday to find out who won the Match-up of the Week.

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Week 6 Preview: Look Out, Here Comes the 5-0

Author: Steven Van Tassell

It’s Week 6 and four teams are on bye this week (Buffalo, Chicago, Indianapolis and Oakland) so roster depth is coming into play for Dynasty Owners. While there aren’t a ton of stud players on those four rosters, some Dynasty Owners are looking to replace Josh Allen, Marlon Mack and others this week. Hopefully you’ve got a good Bench and Practice Squad or plenty of Dynasty Dollars to bid on Free Agents (you can buy more Dynasty Dollars via credit card now). If you’re like the Patriots, 49ers and the Dynasty Owners in the Match-up of the Week, then you’re playing to stay perfect.

This is our sixth Dynasty Owner game preview article and this one is much better than the Dolphins-Redskins game down in Miami. Our Match-up of the Week pits two undefeated 5-0 teams looking to stay perfect in the inaugural season of Dynasty Owner. We’ll also pick some players who should be in your Active lineup and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations. In our look at our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week, we analyze each team’s starters and bench to see if any switches are needed, highlight other things of interest and importance and make a prediction on the winner and final score.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, let’s look at last week and see how my recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I recommended having the following players Active in Week 5:

  • QB: Jimmy Garoppolo – 19.8 points (Just OK recommendation)
  • RB: Jaylen Samuels – 1.5 points (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Geronimo Allison – 4.8 points (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Tyler Eifert – 3.4 points (Bad recommendation)

A terrible week for Active recommendations with no good ones and one just ok recommendation. I’ll have to do better with my recommendations of players who should be Active in Week 6.

Gardner Minshew (QB – JAX): Minshew Mania is finally coming to the Dynasty Owner preview article! How could it be Week 6 and I’ve yet to suggest making Minshew Active in Dynasty Owner? He has been consistently good so far, scoring 20+ Dynasty Owner fantasy points in four out of five games (and 17.3 in the fifth game), but never more than 26.9 points. Even with those point totals, he sits just outside of the Top 10 QBs in 12th place, so he qualifies as someone who shouldn’t be starting in Dynasty Owner on a weekly basis. And he’s playing a Saints defense that has allowed almost 30 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to QBs. That’s enough to suggest making Minshew Active.

Kenyan Drake (RB – MIA): Miami plays Washington this week in what many are calling the Tank Bowl. Even if the ownership and front offices are tanking, the players won’t be and one player who should do well in this matchup is Kenyan Drake. Washington has given up, on average, 110.8 yards per game rushing to RBs. Since Drake is the Dolphins starting RB, he should get the lion’s share of those rushing yards and be worthy of being in your Active lineup this week (and probably only this week).

Michael Gallup (WR – DAL): The clear #2 WR in Dallas has flown under the radar a bit this year due to missing two games due to injury. In the three games he’s played in, he’s averaging under just 20 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, with a 24.3 point game last week versus Green Bay. The Cowboys play the Jets this week and the Jets defense has been terrible all season. All of his Dynasty Owners should have Gallup in their Active lineup.

Geoff Swaim (TE – JAX): Austin Hooper plays the Cardinals this week, but he’s the #1 rated TE in Dynasty Owner so I can’t use him here. I’ll go deep and pick Geoff Swaim of Jacksonville since I’m already touting Minshew to be Active. Starting TE James O’Shaughnessy is out for the rest of the year with an ACL injury, so Swaim should inherit most of his production, which was good enough to make him the 13th best Dynasty Owner TE through five games. O’Shaughnessy was consistently average with no more than 10 points per game, but no less than seven. Add Swaim’s average of 3.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to O’Shaughnessy’s 8.3 average and you’ve got almost 12 points this week and a spot in some Active lineups.

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). Last week, I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Matt Ryan – 41.2 points (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Josh Jacobs – 34.3 points (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Sammy Watkins – 0.0 points (Good recommendation)
  • TE: Delanie Walker – 2.0 points (Good recommendation)

An average week with two Good recommendations and two Bad ones. Both of the Bad recommendations were really bad as Matt Ryan and Josh Jacobs were among the top fantasy players last week. My good recommendations were very good as hopefully people heeded them and kept Watkins and Walker on their Bench. Here are some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench in Week 6.

Jameis Winston (QB – TB): In Week 2 against Carolina, Winston only had 17.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (208 yards passing, 1 passing TD, 9 yards rushing) without a turnover. The Carolina defense has averaged 4 sacks per game and forced 7 turnovers (3 INTs, 4 fumbles) in the past three games since their game against the Bucs. Winston is the 9th rated QB in Dynasty Owner but has backups playing at both right tackle and right guard this week in London. Sounds like a recipe for multiple turnovers by Winston and a spot on the Bench in Dynasty Owner.

Matt Breida (RB – SF): The loss of fullback Kyle Juszczyk will impact the 49ers running game. This loss, combined with splitting carries with Tevin Coleman, leaves Breida as a Bench recommendation. We’ve seen how the loss of James Develin has hurt Sony Michel in fantasy and Breida could end up suffering the same decline in production. Almost half of his 29.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points came on a single play, the 83 yard TD run, which occurred while Juszczyk was still in the game. He also had only 11 carries versus 16 for Coleman, meaning he might be on the lower end of the time share at RB again this week. Be safe and leave Breida on the Bench this week.

Mike Evans (WR – TB): This is a Bench stack with Winston. Even though he was the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week back in Week 3, he’s averaged only 8.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the other four games, including his zero point performance last week. He exceeded that average with 10.1 points (4 receptions and 61 yards) in Week 2 against Carolina, but not by much. History is working against Evans as well as he hasn’t scored a TD against Carolina since the 2016 season and hasn’t gotten over 100 yards receiving against them since December of 2017. Those who don’t know history are destined to repeat it (thank you Edmund Burke for the quote). Don’t be that guy – keep Evans on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Jason Witten (TE – DAL): I could have picked on Delanie Walker for the third consecutive week, but decided that was piling on, so Witten is the choice. He’s the 12th rated TE, but most of his points came in the first two weeks when he scored TDs. Witten has caught either 3 or 4 passes every week so far this season, so he has a decent floor of about 5-6 points per week. However, his ceiling isn’t much higher and he’s too touchdown dependent to be worth a spot in your Active lineup.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – A Team Has No Name (Daniel Rivera) vs. Brandon Dunn (Brandon Dunn)

It’s time for our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. At this point in the season, it’s not easy to be undefeated, never mind have two undefeated teams in one league, but that’s what we have in this week’s match-up. Both Daniel Rivera and Brandon Dunn have put together undefeated seasons so far, but unfortunately for one of them, the dream of a perfect season ends this week. Let’s find out who’s going to stay undefeated!

Some quick thoughts about the match-up:

  • A Team Has No Name has a bye week problem with two players on bye (Allen Robinson and Eric Ebron) on their Bench right now. There’s no TE to be found on their Practice Squad so it looks like that’s a zero inn that spot for his Bench. However, Daniel does have A.J. Brown on the Practice Squad at WR and should put him in Robinson’s spot. In contrast, he has a good batch of RBs in Derrick Henry and Aaron Jones in his Active lineup with James White and Mark Ingram on the Bench.
  • Brandon Dunn has a really solid set of WRs in Michael Thomas, Cooper Kupp, Adam Thielen and D.J. Chark. Right now, Thielen and Chark are on his Bench, but they could probably start for a bunch of teams in his league.
  • The game could come down to Monday Night as Daniel has Aaron Jones. If A Team Has No Name is within striking distance after Sunday’s games, it could come down to Monday night to decide who stays undefeated.

The exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections based on their current lineups gives Brandon the victory over Daniel by a margin of 123.9-113.5. Brandon’s Bench scoring gives him most of the margin of victory (14.8 Bench points for Brandon vs. 7.2 Bench points for Daniel). Even if Daniel moves some players off of his Practice Squad by Sunday, I predict it’ll be a victory for Brandon. The strength of Brandon’s receiving corps will help him win by more than predicted.

Final score prediction: Brandon Dunn 148.6 vs. A Team Has No Name 109.3

With my prediction record standing at 2-3 for the season, I need a Brandon victory to even my record to .500. Check out the Week 6 Recap article on Tuesday to find out who remained undefeated.

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Week 5 Preview: Battle of Undefeated Brothers

Author: Steven Van Tassell

It’s Week 5 and we are well on our way into the of the first season of Dynasty Owner. Bye weeks are continuing with Kenny Golladay and Kerryon Johnson of the Detroit Lions as the biggest names on bye this week. If you’ve got one of them, hopefully you’ve got a solid replacement on the Bench or Practice Squad. The Miami Dolphins are also on bye, but I hope for your Dynasty Owner team’s sake that you haven’t been using any Dolphins players in either your Active lineup or on the Bench.

This is our fifth Dynasty Owner game preview article and in this one, we have a battle of undefeated brothers to analyze. We’ll also continue to pick some players who should be in your Active lineup and some who you should Bench, as well as review last week’s recommendations. In our look at our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week, we analyze each team’s starters and bench to see if any switches are needed, highlight other things of interest and importance, such as the creativity of the team names, and make a prediction on the winner and final score to find out which brother will reign supreme in the Battle of Undefeated Brothers.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

Activate These Guys

First, let’s look at last week and see how my recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I recommended having the following players Active in Week 4:

  • QB: Jacoby Brissett – 30.2 points (Good recommendation)
  • RB: Justin Jackson – 0.0 points (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Adam Humphries – 3.5 points (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Will Dissly – 17.7 points (Good recommendation)

Two good and two bad recommendations for a .500 record last week. In all fairness, the Justin Jackson pick shouldn’t count against my record as I picked him before he strained his calf in practice on Thursday and he ended up being inactive. With that said, let’s see if I can do better with my recommendations of some players who should be Active in Week 5.

Jimmy Garoppolo (QB – SF): I could have taken Jacoby Brissett for the third consecutive week, but he’s currently the 7th rated QB in Dynasty Owner, so I need to look elsewhere. Why not choose another one of the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady’s former backups in Jimmy Garoppolo? Jimmy G has one good game (30.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 2 versus Cincinnati) and two poor games (13.1 points in Week 1 versus Tampa Bay and 13.2 points in Week 3 versus Pittsburgh). Cleveland might still be without both of their starting cornerbacks this week and has let up 30 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points twice already this season. Jimmy will make it three, so you’ll want him Active this week.

Jaylen Samuels (RB – PIT): Even if James Conner plays this week, I think Samuels should be Active for his Dynasty Owners. Samuels operated out of the Wildcat against the Bengals last week and had 23.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. The Ravens defense isn’t the usual Ravens defense as they gave up almost 200 yards rushing to Cleveland last week and let LeSean McCoy score two TDs (1 rushing and 1 receiving) the week before. Make Samuels Active this week.

Geronimo Allison (WR – GB): Green Bay is likely to be without the services of top WR Davante Adams in their Week 5 game against the Dallas Cowboys. This gives all of the other Packers’ WRs a chance to shine. Allison should move into the starting lineup and therefore, is the most likely to break out for a good game and be worthy of being Active. He had 14.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week against the Eagles and he’ll put up at least that many points this week against another NFC East opponent.

Tyler Eifert (TE – CIN): I repeat what I wrote last week – Death, taxes and start your TE if they are playing Arizona. Those are the three guarantees in life in 2019. Even though Eifert hasn’t been setting the Dynasty Owner world on fire (25.1 points, good for 24th place among all TEs), I’m going with him since he’s playing Arizona. The Arizona defense has allowed an average of 23.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to TEs this season with the 17.7 points produced in Week 4 by Will Dissly, the least amount they have given up all season. Come on Tyler don’t let me down!

Bench These Guys

Now, let’s look at last week and see how my Bench recommendations worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). Last week, I recommended having the following players on the Bench:

  • QB: Baker Mayfield – 21.2 points (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Sony Michel – 6.3 points (Good recommendation)
  • WR: Stefon Diggs – 14.8 points (Just OK recommendation)
  • TE: O.J. Howard – 6.3 points (Good recommendation)

Two Good recommendations and a Just Ok one – acceptable, but not great. My Bad recommendation came on my second choice in Baker Mayfield, although my first choice (Carson Wentz) wouldn’t have been Good either. Two above average weeks in a row on the Bench selections is the start of a good trend. Here are some players who Dynasty Owners drafted to use in their Active lineup, but would be better if they sat on the Bench in Week 5.

Matt Ryan (QB – ATL): Tough week to pick a QB for the Bench as most of the top QBs have good matchups, so Matt Ryan is the pick since he’s going up against the Texans defense that held Carolina to 16 points last week and QB Kyle Allen to only 2.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Admittedly, Ryan is much better than Allen, but the Houston defense has played well at home. Bench Ryan if you have a better option.

Josh Jacobs (RB – OAK): As the 21st rated RB in Dynasty Owner, he’s technically outside of being an automatic Active player in a 10-team Dynasty Owner league. However, since Kerryon Johnson is 20th and on bye this week, Jacobs is technically 20th best and should be Active. Don’t make that mistake. The Raiders are flying across the Atlantic to play the Bears in London this week. Jet lag plus a stout Bears defense that has allowed only 45 points and one rushing TD this season equals the Bench for Jacobs.

Sammy Watkins (WR – KC): Picking a Kansas City WR to Bench with Patrick Mahomes at QB seems like a foolish idea, but here goes. Since his 46.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance in Week 1, Watkins has averaged just 8.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points with a high of 10.9. Those are Bench numbers. Believe it or not, the Colts passing defense is pretty good and could hold Watkins and his fellow Kansas City WRs down this week, so Dynasty Owners should Bench Watkins this week.

Delanie Walker (TE – TEN): Walker had a poor Week 4 performance against Atlanta with just 0.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (1 reception, 4 yards, 1 fumble – not lost), even though the Titans passing game had over 200 yards and 3 TDs. This week, the matchup is even tougher with the Bills defense that held the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady to just 150 yards passing in Week 4. Walker is the 9th best TE in Dynasty Owner right now, but his owners should Bench him for a better option this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – Twilliams (Tyler Williams) vs. Darnold’s Dudes (Alex Williams)

It’s time for our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. This week is a very compelling match-up of two brothers, both with undefeated records putting up the most points in their league. Younger brother Tyler vs. older brother Alex, #1 vs. #2 in the league for family and Dynasty Owner bragging rights!

Some quick thoughts about the match-up:

  • Darnold’s Dudes are really hurting at QB with Kyle Allen and Taysom Hill. Alex drafted Cam Newton and Sam Darnold, but both of them have been out the past couple of weeks. Darnold might be back for Week 5, but will he have the stamina to start and produce against the Eagles? Alex may have to find out as Kyle Allen has a tough match-up against Jacksonville and Taysom Hill isn’t a starting QB, but a glorified gadget player. The projections say have Allen Active with Darnold on the Bench. Regardless, Alex is giving up almost ten points to his brother at QB alone.
  • That’s because, in contrast, Tyler has two solid options at QB. The closest call for players who should be switched from Active to the Bench for this match-up might be at QB for Tyler. He could have Jared Goff Active over Dak Prescott, even though Prescott is projected to outscore Goff by a small margin (25.0 for Prescott vs. 24.1 for Goff). Regardless of who he chooses to start, Tyler has a huge advantage at QB in the battle for brother supremacy.
  • Alex went for rookie TEs with T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant on his team. With no other options on his Practice Squad, it looks like Fant will be Active, Hockenson will be on the Bench giving Alex a zero at that spot.
  • Tyler has put up 560.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in just four weeks – an average of over 140 per week. That’s what happens when you have two Players of the Week (Dak Prescott – Week 1 and Mike Evans – Week 3) on your roster. Alex isn’t too far behind his younger brother with 546.9 points.
  • Alex has the advantage in team name with Darnold’s Dudes since Tyler has apparently been too focused on creating a monster team to bother changing his team name.

The exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections gives Tyler the victory over Alex by a margin of 131.7-122.6. I agree that Tyler is going to be the undefeated Williams brother at the end of Week 5, but the game will be closer than anticipated with Tyler’s QBs providing the margin of victory.

Final score prediction: Twilliams 135.2 vs. Darnold’s Dudes 130.1

I wouldn’t celebrate yet if I’m Tyler since my prediction record is 1-3 so far this season. Check out the Week 5 Recap article to see if I improve to 2-3 or start the inaugural Dynasty Owner season with a 1-4 prediction record.

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

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