Free Agent Market Values: Lower Salary TEs

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

It’s the final article in this series about free agent market values, which can mean only one thing. The start of NFL free agent contract signings is coming very soon!

Teams have until tomorrow (Tuesday, March 8th) to place the franchise or transition tag label on their own players. The Kansas City Chiefs did it already with offensive tackle Orlando Brown (1 year, $16.5 million), but other teams may do it soon as well. After that, it’s a couple of days off but starting next Monday (March 14th), player agents can begin negotiations with teams regarding their free agent clients and the signings will begin at 4 PM on Wednesday, March 16th. This is conveniently timed with the Wednesday Dynasty Owner Livestream so clear your calendar for that time.

The 2022 Dynasty Owner season doesn’t start until Friday, March 18th giving Dynasty Owners a day and a half to process free agent moves before those contracts take effect on the Dynasty Owner platform. And with the recent decision to allow more time for Dynasty Owners to decide what to do with free agents who get new contracts, it’ll still be a frenzy of trades, free drops and Free Agent Auction bids, but stretched out over a longer period of time.

As for this article, the title is somewhat misleading. It says “lower”, not “low” on purpose. The five TEs listed all have market values of less than $8 million per season. However, four out of the five TEs have market values that aren’t much lower than the fifth guy in the high salary TE range (C.J. Uzomah at $8.23 million). With 10 TEs with market values, the difference between the fifth TE and the sixth TE was only around $620,000, less than it was for RBs (about $1.48 million) and WRs (about $2.05 million).

Interesting, three of these players were first round draft picks back in 2017 who had their fifth year option picked up for the 2021 season. They are now hitting the open market for the first time in their careers. All three had identical $6.013 million salaries in 2021, but their salaries could be much different in 2022. Two are expected to get small salary increases, but one could have the franchise or transition tag placed and receive a pretty hefty increase, although only for one season. The third TE is expected to have his annual salary trimmed by nearly $3.8 million.

Any 2022 signed contracts mentioned are either listed under Yearly Salary Breakdown or posted in the Contract section on the player’s profile if it hasn’t taken effect yet. Dynasty Owners can start planning for all free agent contracts using the anticipated free agent market values from Spotrac (https://www.spotrac.com/). However, before we can get to reviewing the market values for these five TEs, let’s review how players score Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, all statistics and 2021 position ranks were current as of the morning of March 7th. Spotrac has market values available for select players at https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/free-agents/.

TEs Who Are Going to Get Paid Between $6 and $8 Million Per Year

There were quite a few TEs in the $6 million to $8 million salary range on Dynasty Owner in 2021. They ranged from a pair of Top 20 TEs near the high end of the range (Darren Waller and Tyler Higbee) to a TE rostered in zero Dynasty Owner leagues who is mostly known as a blocker and only scored 1.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in five games played (Nick Boyle). In between, there are a couple of TEs who ranked just outside of the Top 20 and a couple more high-priced veterans. It’s quite the hodgepodge of players.   

The player with the highest market value in this group is actually someone who’s salary is projected to drop for 2022. It’s Zach Ertz.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
TE531$8,500,000$7,612,050– $887,950

Ertz’s market value is projected at 2 years and $15,224,100, or $7,612,050 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Ertz on their roster currently should expect to receive a savings of just under $900,000 in salary if they keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Hold if you plan on being a contender. Trade if you’re rebuilding.

Originally, I was going to suggest trading Ertz, but the more I think about it and look at his numbers, the more I move towards holding him. Unless you’re in a rebuild as your team needs younger talent and he’s 31 years old.

Consistency is the name of the game for Ertz. For his career, he’s averaged 4.7 receptions per game for 51 receiving yards. That’s 9.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, which puts him as a low-end TE1 for your team. In 11 games in Arizona in 2021, he had 56 receptions for 574 yards (5.1 receptions for 52.2 yards per game). In eight games with Kyler Murray at QB for Arizona, Ertz had 41 receptions (5.1 per game), 413 receiving yards (51.6 per game) and 1 TD. Overall, he had 88.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, or 11.1 points per game with only one TD. Take out the TD and his per game average is 10.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, which is pretty much his career average.

As I’ve stated before, if I’m paying top dollar for a TE, then I want him in my lineup every week. Ertz is that type of TE and at around $7.6 million per season for only two seasons, he’d be at the low end of the Top 12 TEs in average annual salary. It’s a reasonable amount to pay for him at his age and for the consistent production he can bring to your Dynasty Owner team.

Next on the list is Maxx Williams, the TE who Ertz replaced in Arizona.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
TE5627$3,500,000$6,689,191+ $3,189,191

Williams’ market value is projected at 3 years and $20,067,573, or $6,689,191 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Williams on their roster currently should expect to have to find $3.19 million more in salary cap to keep him on their team.  What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Drop him for free after trying to trade him, but not having any success

At his current $3.5 million salary, Williams is only rostered in 16.35% of Dynasty Owner leagues. The season-ending knee injury he suffered in the fifth game of the 2021 season curtailed a fine year with 16 receptions for 193 receiving yards and a touchdown (41.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). He had two games with double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points, one more than he had in his first two seasons in Arizona (25 games). Similar to C.J. Uzomah, did Williams finally find his groove and can be expected to perform like this in the future?

The short answer is No. The long answer is also No and good luck if you believe that or want to find another Dynasty Owner who does. While he earned his Dynasty Owner salary in those two double-digit point games early in 2021, he wasn’t worth having on your roster at $3.5 million and definitely isn’t at more.

Evan Engram is the third TE in this salary range, but in reality, he’s tied with David Njoku who’s ranked fourth. Unless Njoku get the franchise tag from the Browns, don’t be surprised if both of them sign identical contract after playing on their $6.013 million fifth year options in 2021. We’ll tackle Engram first as he has the slightly higher market value.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
TE2327$6,013,000$6,753,911+ $740,911

Engram’s market value is projected at 4 years and $27,015,644, or $6,753,911 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Those figures are flat out stunning to me. Dynasty Owners with Engram on their roster currently should expect to have to find only $740,911 more to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him

Engram hasn’t panned out for the Giants after being a first round draft pick (#23) in the 2017 NFL Draft. The Giants exercised their fifth year option for $6.013 million on Engram for 2021 and he rewarded them arguably his worst season statistically. He averaged a career-worst 8.9 yards per reception, a career-low 408 receiving yards and only 46 receptions, third worst after the 2019 and 2018 seasons in which he had 44 receptions in 8 games (2019) and 45 receptions in 11 games (2018). In contrast, he played in 15 games in 2021 when he scored 101.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6.8 points per game) with only five games of more than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

It’s amazing that he could have his worst year and likely get a larger contract in free agency. Can Engram salvage his first round potential in New York under new coach Brian Daboll, or with another team? It’s possible, but if I was one of the Dynasty Owners with Engram on my roster (he is currently on a roster in 84.28% of Dynasty Owner leagues), I’d be happy to get rid of him in any manner that I could (free drop or trade). With that high of a roster percentage, it’s logical to assume that Engram can be traded, and his Dynasty Owners won’t need to utilize the free drop from the contract change.

If you look quickly, you might think that I copied the same data in the chart below for David Njoku as for Evan Engram. They are that close in almost every measure.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
TE2225$6,013,000$6,733,392+ $720,392

Njoku’s market value is projected at 4 years and $26,933,568, or $6,733,392 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Njoku on their roster currently should expect to have to find only $720,392 more to keep him on their team.  What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Hold him and see what his contract ends up being, especially if he gets the franchise or transition tag

Same as Engram, Njoku hasn’t panned out for the Browns after being a first round draft pick (#29) in the 2017 NFL Draft. However, he is in a much more interesting contract position as there are reports that the Browns may use their franchise or transition tag on Njoku. The franchise tag would give Njoku a contract of likely $10.93 million, while the transition tag would yield a $9.33 million salary. Both are much higher than his projected market value.

Njoku’s stats are nothing to get excited about over his career, but they do show improvement over the past three years from an average of 3.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in 2019 to 4.0 points per game in 2020 to 6.7 points per game in 2021 with a TE22 finish. He will obviously have to improve to be worth any projected new contract.

Truthfully, I like Njoku more than Engram. Part of it is my Miami Hurricanes’ bias, part is that he is nearly full two years younger than Engram and the rest is that he has been improving whereas Engram has not. A one-year franchise or transition deal with Cleveland would have me lean towards keeping Njoku and seeing what happens. A longer deal with Cleveland or elsewhere also leaves me leaning towards keeping him, but not rejecting a good trade offer.

Our Final TE Who Is Expected to Get Just Over $2 Million per Year

The jump from $6 to $8 million contracts to just over $2 million is pretty abrupt, but that’s all we have to discuss. There are no TEs with a market value between $3 million and $6 million and only one in this over $2 million salary range. There will likely be a few veteran TEs who join the $3 million to $6 million range with newly extended Ian Thomas ($5.5 million per year), T.J. Hockenson ($4,955,306 per year) and Noah Fant ($3,147,680) among others. However, no TE has a Spotrac market value projected in that range.

Instead, we have one final TE with a market value just north of $2 million per year. It’s O.J. Howard, the third first round draft pick from the 2017 NFL Draft who made $6.013 million in 2021.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
TE6627$6,013,000$2,215,824– $3,797,176

Howard’s market value is projected at 1 year and $2,215,824 for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Howard on their roster currently should expect to receive a savings of almost $3.8 million in salary if they keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Hold him

Howard was the first TE selected in that 2017 NFL draft as he was the #19 pick. He has been the least productive of the three TEs and was only the third best TE in Tampa Bay in 2021. He played in all 17 games in 2021, but only managed to score 33.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (14 receptions, 135 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). That’s less than 2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. After Tampa Bay’s Week 9 bye, he had two targets and one reception for 10 yards (2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). He hasn’t done much for his Dynasty Owners in prior seasons either with a TE31 finish when he averaged 5.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in 2019 being his best season.

Why the hold then? It’s not outrageous to think that he could put together a decent season and just over $2.2 million isn’t a lot to pay for a 27-year old TE. If you’re contending, this is the type of move that helps your team get better if he plays well. If he doesn’t, trade him to someone who’s rebuilding for a high-salary player who might help you win. If you’re rebuilding and he plays well, you can move him for a draft pick. If he doesn’t play well, then he helps your team by not scoring points and maybe you get a better 2023 draft position. Then you drop him next off-season. Either way, he’s worth a roster spot at $2.2 million, while he wasn’t worth one at his level of production for $6.013 million.

Conclusion

As previewed at the beginning of this article, the lower salary TEs title was a little misleading as four out of the five TEs listed are expected to sign contracts worth over $15 million in total and over $6.7 million per year. That’s considerably higher than the low salary RBs and even higher than all but one of the high salary RBs. The TE market values are similar to a few of the lower salary WRs, such as A.J. Green, Cedrick Wilson, T.Y. Hilton and Braxton Berrios. However, they are a step below the market values for the five high salary free agent TEs.

The recommendations were also more varied here than in other articles. Only one is someone who Dynasty Owners will likely be dropping in droves during the Dynasty Owner off-season, while the rest have value. Whether that value is to their current Dynasty Owner, or to another team is something that we’ll find out soon.

Speaking of soon, the weekly Dynasty Owner livestream with myself and Tim Peffer is coming up soon – Wednesday at 4 PM (Eastern). Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button. You can also listen to it afterwards wherever you get your podcasts.

Please read all of the off-season articles from our Dynasty Owner team as well. On Mondays, I write about players, salaries and contracts to help new and returning Dynasty Owners navigate how to play our unique game. Jay Pounds is writing about everything on rebuilding your Dynasty Owner roster on Tuesday. Nate Christian is back for 2022 and will do prospect previews every Thursday. Finally, Friday is Free Agent Friday with articles from Matt Morrison – The Jerk.

Thanks for reading and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Monday Night Football Preview: Week 17

Browns vs Steelers

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Dynasty Owners, it’s Championship Week! Welcome back to the 17th week of the Monday Night Football preview. It is crazy to think about the fact that we only have one game and one week left of the 2021 NFL season. This season has flown by like a summer break back in high school. Before we jump into this week’s fantastic matchup, let’s hit last week’s game between the short-handed New Orleans Saints and the Miami Dolphins, though it wasn’t much of a game. In the Week 16 preview, I placed my almost weekly curse on Tre‘Quan Smith who returned from injury to receive zero targets during the contest from rookie quarterback Ian Book who happened to make his NFL debut. I blame my selection on too much faith in Sean Payton. I am kidding as I have had a weird knack for selecting players who get absolutely shut down as my Value of the Game this season. Let’s see if we can avoid a curse by selecting someone who is a pretty sure bet this week. Stay tuned to see who that is!

What to Watch For

In my favorite Monday night matchup this season, we have Big Ben’s home finale for my beloved Pittsburgh Steelers facing off against Baker Mayfield and the rival Cleveland Browns. I am extremely excited for this match-up simply because it’s good old fashion AFC North football, a slugfest if you will! I am expecting the game to feature much more scoring simply because it’s Ben Roethlisberger’s last game at Heinz Field. I see no scenario where the Steelers don’t play well on offense. It’s a storybook ending in the making of sorts as Big Ben has thoroughly dominated the Browns throughout his excellent career! As for the Browns’ side of the ball I am expecting a tough contest for about two quarters until Baker decides to take over the game over in only ways Baker Mayfield can (three and outs and turnovers). Some of that is a bit of a joke, but as soon as the Browns are forced away from the run game, I foresee the same problems we have seen all year long from the Browns. The other thing I will be watching for the Browns is the return of Kareem Hunt and how much he will be able to impact the short passing game. If Hunt has some sort of setback and is unable to go, I expect to see Chubb early and often as he has been the bread and butter for the Browns this season. Love him or Hate him Big Ben has been a generational quarterback for one of the great NFL franchises and it will be an odd sight for Steeler Nation come the start of the 2022 season!

Jay’s Monday Night Prediction

 
Cleveland Browns 14    Pittsburgh Steelers 31

Over/Under Projections

Browns

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Baker MayfieldQB$8,170,74520.7Under
Nick ChubbRB$1,845,77414.2Over
Kareem HuntRB$6,000,00011.2Under
Jarvis LandryWR$15,100,00011.5Under
Austin HooperTE$10,500,0007.1Over

Steelers

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Ben RoethlisbergerQB$14,000,00021.8Over
Najee HarrisRB$3,261,86217.7Over
Diontae JohnsonWR$1,070,24115.7Over
Chase ClaypoolWR$1,654,15612.6Over
Pat FreiermuthTE$1,507,0459.0Over

Jay’s Dynasty Owner Championship Match-ups of the Week

Game 1 – League #35691

Orange Crush – Chris Boswell on Bench left to play

Orange Crush has got to be elated with a great chance he will slay the dragon of his league. Orange Crush has the better record, but their opponent juan blanco is the Number 4 team in Chase for the Ring. There is no way Orange Crush doesn’t know what they are up against in the Championship match. If I were Orange Crush, I would head into tonight’s matchup feeling extremely confident knowing a Championship is within reach and it’s Baker Mayfield who must beat me, not Joe Burrow. Barring the greatest Baker Mayfield performance ever, Congrats on the League #35691 Championship Orange Crush!

juan blanco – Baker Mayfield on Bench left to play

juan blanco are the Number 4 contender in Dynasty Owner’s Chase for the Ring and not in a good spot to remain there heading into the last game of the Dynasty Owner season. As we saw last week with Havana Club 79 just because you scored a ton of points does not mean your team is safe in the Chase standings. juan blanco is facing a potential exit from the Chase standings, and it will all come down to a benched Baker Mayfield. If you have read any of my articles this season you will know I have zero faith in Baker getting anything done. Great run this season juan blanco but I feel they will end up a hair short of their goal!

Game 2 – League #28287

Blaze’s Backyard Burners – Najee Harris in Starting lineup left to play

Blaze’s Backyard Burners started the Championship game as the Number 7 contender in the Chase for the Ring. They are trailing in their League #28287 Championship game, but fortunately have Najee Harris left to play in their Starting lineup. While I’m a Steelers’ super fan and think Harris will have a great game and exceed his projection of 17.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, I don’t think Harris has a game with more than 31.75 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in him this week. I’m rooting for Harris to do that well and for Blaze’s Backyard Burners to win, but think it’s unlikely to happen.

Orange Crush – No players in Starting lineup or on Bench left to play

Orange Crush has a great opportunity to be a double Dynasty Owner Champion and knock off two Top 10 Chase teams in the process. This Orange Crush team currently sits in 20th place and holds a significant lead, but has no players left to play. However, their lead should hold up and Orange Crush will likely win two Championships this season.

Value of the Game

In tonight’s matchup I have one of my favorite players in the NFL as the Value of the Game – Diontae Johnson. Johnson has been fantastic throughout his short Steelers’ career and has been the Value of the Game many times already due to his cheap salary paired with his excellent production. Johnson has regularly seen 10 plus targets per game throughout this season and I see no reason this Week 17 match-up against the Browns will be any different. I am sure I am extremely biased on this choice as zero Browns players caught my attention when it came to winning the award. My biggest worry with this selection is the fact I picked Johnson earlier in the year and the curse was in full affect as he only managed 11.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Bears back in Week 9.

Winner – Diontae Johnson

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Diontae Johnson686120.6

Since it’s Championship Week, this is my last Monday Night Football preview of the season. Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction Targets of the Year article and video that is coming later on in the week. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s Chase for the Ring recap article on Tuesday and Week 17 recap article video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison who will have an article and video at the end of the week. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you all for reading and hopefully tonight’s game will be a good one with all these projections coming true. Stay safe and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Week 17 Preview – There Can Only Be One

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

The old expression “Two’s Company, Three’s A Crowd” is an appropriate analogy for how to look at the situation at the top of Dynasty Owner right now. However, in the end, there can only be one team that reigns supreme in every single League and definitely only one team that wins the Chase for the Ring.

In the “Two’s Company” section, we have two undefeated teams looking to become the first ones since the inaugural season of Dynasty Owner in 2019. The rules were different back in the inaugural season. The leagues were only ten teams, there was no FLEX position, and only 20% of Bench points were added to your final score. The salary rules were different as well with a salary cap plus luxury taxes, and weekly salary charges, that I don’t recall completely. Let’s just say, it was different than the Dynasty Owner we all know and love today. Those teams are:

Team NameLeagueChase Position
DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew)274583rd
Detroit’s Finest747339th

In addition to the two undefeated teams, there are also two teams who will battle each other this week in every League for the right to become their League Champion.

In the “Three’s A Crowd” section, we have three main contenders for the Ring. Unless something completely unexpected happens, the winner of the Chase for the Ring will be one of the three teams at the top of the standings right now. Those teams are:

Sorry juan blanco, ODBs, Richie Incognito, Detroit’s Finest and everyone else on the Championship Contenders list below the #3 spot. I just don’t see all three of these top teams losing this week and everyone else is too far behind on points to make up. Detroit’s Finest may end up defeating their Week 17 opponent (kmvy) and be the only remaining undefeated team, but still not win the Chase for the Ring. Same for DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew), although hey have a better chance to win the Ring if they can win this week.

While going undefeated is a major accomplishment, it’s still all about winning the Ring, so that’s going to be the focus of our Match-ups of the Week. No suggestions needed. We are going to profile the top three teams in the Chase for the Ring and see who’s in the best position to be the last team standing. After reading and looking at the match-ups, let me know on Twitter (@SteveVT33) who you think will be the “one”.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of New Year’s Eve (December 31st).

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s look at how my Week 16 recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I predicted performances worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup for these four players for the Week 16 playoff semi-finals and totally brought it for the most important week of the year (until this week). For the first time in the 2021 season, I avoided making a Bad recommendation and even recommended a player who finished with the most Dynasty Owner fantasy points at his position.

QB: Russell Wilson – 22.3 (Good recommendation)

RB: Justin Jackson – 33.2 (Good recommendation)

WR: Laquon Treadwell – 9.4 (Just Ok recommendation)

TE: C.J. Uzomah – 8.6 (Just Ok recommendation)

First, we have the Justin Jackson recommendation. It was the first Good RB recommendation for the season and Jackson finished the week as the RB1. One. Can’t do much better than that or pick a better time than the playoffs to do it. Russell Wilson was QB10 for the week, so a low-end Starter and therefore, a Good recommendation. C.J. Uzomah ended up with 8.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points as the TE18 for the week, but less than 1.0 point from being in the Top 12 TEs. That makes his recommendation Just Ok. Laquon Treadwell was the worst recommendation for the week and that’s a pretty good week when 9.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and a Just Ok recommendation is the worst one. Right now, it’s two Good, three Just Ok and three Bad Starting lineup recommendations for the playoffs. Here are four players (just one per position) who hopefully push my Good Starting lineup recommendations for the playoffs ahead of my Bad ones.

Justin Fields (QB – CHI): After starting off the season very poorly, most of the five rookie QBs have gotten a little bit better over the course of the 2021 season. Mac Jones started the season off playing well and was the clear top rookie QB, but poor performances in two out of his last three games have closed the gap. Zach Wilson has scored double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points in each of his past four games, after only doing it twice in his first seven games. Before missing Week 16 due to injury, Justin Fields had consecutive games with 21.6 and 19.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Fields also had consecutive games with 25.0 and 28.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points before getting injured in Week 11 against Baltimore. When healthy, Fields has played well recently, and those games referenced above average out to 23.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. The key word is “healthy” as Fields practiced on Wednesday and Thursday, but was limited. If Fields returns to play and is healthy, he should continue to do well against the New York Giants. He’s a good player to have in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup, but only if he’s healthy enough to play.

Boston Scott (RB – PHI): Third time is a charm for Boston Scott in this spot – am I right? It’s time for one more Good RB recommendation to close out the season. The first time that Scott was here, he scored 4.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 9, while Jordan Howard had 13.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, including a TD. Then in Week 13 with the Eagles playing the Jets, he didn’t practice all week with a non-COVID illness, but was listed as questionable and ended up being active. He only played three snaps on offense and had only 0.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points while Miles Sanders had 120 rushing yards and 19.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Sanders is supposed to be out for Week 17 and Howard is questionable with a stinger injury. It may be just Scott and Kenneth Gainwell who is limited in practice with a minor ankle injury. The Eagles are the top rushing team in the NFL and average 163.2 rushing yards per game. Jalen Hurts and other non-QBs, but mostly Hurts, account for about 50 yards per game, but 111.3 rushing yards by RBs will still be good enough against a banged-up Washington Football Team defense. Boston Scott should perform well enough this week to use in your Starting lineup and not make me regret picking him to fail for a third time. He won’t be the RB1 for the week like last week’s recommendation (Justin Jackson), but good enough for your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup.

Michael Gallup (WR – DAL): Gallup hasn’t been too bad this season as he has 78.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in eight games (9.9 points per game). That makes him the WR86 for the season. Even if he played in all 15 games with the same production, he would have 147.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, sandwiched between Marvin Jones and DeAndre Hopkins, and be just outside of a FLEX play at WR36. He’s been targeted plenty with 58 targets in eight games (7.25 targets per game). The main reason for Gallup’s low Dynasty Owner fantasy points total is that he only has 1 TD on the season. The Arizona defense has allowed 21 TD receptions to WRs, including eight in the past four weeks since their bye (10 passing TD overall). Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has thrown 29 TDs this season to rank ninth in the NFL. However, all but one of the players ahead of him have played in all 15 games, while Prescott missed Week 8 versus Minnesota. It should be a multi-TD pass week for Prescott and Gallup should have one of them to go with his average game of receptions and receiving yards. That is worth a spot in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup.

Gerald Everett (TE – SEA): This recommendation was foreshadowed in the Week 16 recap article when I broke down how well Gerald Everett performs with Russell Wilson at QB for Seattle. If you don’t want to click the link and read the whole analysis, the basics are that Everett is much better with Wilson at QB this season. He averages almost 9.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game (93.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in ten games) with Wilson at QB, while his overall average for the season is 8.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Everett has scored 10.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points in seven out of the ten games that he has played with Wilson at QB. That’s enough points to be ranked in the Top 12 TEs for the week and why Everett should be in your Starting lineup for the Dynasty Owner playoff finals.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Through the Dynasty Owner regular season, I had as many Good as Bad Bench recommendations, which continued in the first round of the playoffs with two Good and two Bad recommendations. In the Week 16 playoff semi-finals, the trend continued because of these selections. 

QB: Kirk Cousins –  18.4 (Just Ok recommendation)

RB: Joe Mixon – 31.5 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Hunter Renfrow – 13.2 (Just Ok recommendation)

TE: Mike Gesicki – 5.2 (Good recommendation)

Another Bad Bench RB recommendation with Joe Mixon finishing just behind Justin Jackson with 31.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. It took until Monday night for the Good recommendation to come through as Dolphins TE Mike Gesicki only had 5.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Kirk Cousins was in the middle of the pack in QB scoring so that recommendation was Just Ok, while Hunter Renfrow had an early TD but not much else. His 13.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points made for a second Just Ok recommendation this week. Here are four players (only one per position) who can break the tie and hopefully push my Good Bench recommendations for the playoffs ahead of the Bad ones.

Justin Herbert (QB – LAC): Almost all of the top QBs in Dynasty Owner have matchups in Week 17 against opponents who give up a lot of fantasy points to QBs. The exception to this is definitely Justin Herbert who has to go up against the Denver Broncos, which is why Herbert makes his first appearance here since back in Week 1. In three career games against Denver, Herbert has averaged only 24.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. That’s pretty good, but 4.5 points below his career average of 29.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. In no single game against Denver has Herbert reached that average. In those three games, he has thrown six TD passes, but also four INTs. He has 58 TD passes and only 20 INTs against the rest of the league. In his first game versus Denver this season, he had 25.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but 10.4 of those points (61 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 13 rushing yards) came on the final drive of the fourth quarter with the Chargers losing 28-7. Those points count, but it shows that Denver had held Herbert down offensively for most of the game. Dynasty Owner teams in the playoff finals are likely to have one of the top QBs with a better matchup than Herbert and advised to leave him on their Bench.

Alvin Kamara (RB – NO): It’s not going to get worse for the New Orleans Saints offense than it did last week against Miami with rookie QB Ian Book behind center. They only ran 51 plays for 164 total yards of offense. Kamara was about one-third of the Saints’ offense as he had 17 opportunities (13 carries and 4 targets) and 59 yards of offense (52 yards rushing and 7 yards receiving). However, they weren’t much better the week before with Taysom Hill at QB, only running 60 plays for 212 total yards of offense. Kamara had slightly worse numbers with 17 opportunities (11 carries and 6 targets) and 31 yards of offense (18 yards rushing and 13 yards passing). The Saints are going up against the Carolina Panthers who held him to only 30 yards of offense (5 yards rushing and 25 yards receiving) on 14 opportunities (8 carries and 6 targets). Even with a decent number of opportunities, Kamara hasn’t made much happen in his past two games (13.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points combined) or in that previous match-up against Carolina (7.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). That’s not good enough to be in the Starting lineup for anyone competing for a Dynasty Owner League Championship.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): It’s been a tale of two seasons for the Football Team and WR Terry McLaurin. In the first half of the season, the Football Team went 2-6, but he scored 125.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, an average of 15.7 points per game.  Despite losing their past three games and getting completely blown out by Dallas last week, the Football Team has been better in the second half with a 4-3 record. However, McLaurin has done worse. He has scored just 61.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in seven games (8.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game on average). Quarterback issues have been a primary culprit as the Football Team has used three of them over the past three game losing streak with those QBs combining for 557 yards passing, 3 passing TDs, 18 rushing yards, 3 INTs and 3 fumbles, 2 lost. That’s only 33.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points combined spread across three games. Not surprisingly, McLaurin has suffered tremendously with only 5 receptions for 91 yards in those three games (14.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). In a bit of strange NFL scheduling, the Football Team has only faced two opponents in that time, Dallas twice and Philadelphia. They face Philadelphia again this week and while it won’t be Garrett Gilbert at QB again, Taylor Heinicke will start, but Kyle Allen will “probably” play according to coach Ron Rivera. That doesn’t seem like a recipe for QB success, which means McLaurin is likely to struggle once again. He’s the WR25 on the season and likely a WR2 or FLEX position Starter normally, but I’d leave him on the Bench for the playoff finals.

Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL): Pitts is currently the TE5 for the Dynasty Owner season with 164.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That’s just under 11.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. It’s impressive that he has done this as a rookie and scoring only one TD. The Falcons play the Bills this week and Buffalo holds opposing TEs to 3.2 receptions for 34.9 receiving yards. Opposing TEs have also only scored three TDs against the Bills and none since Nick Vannett of New Orleans caught one in Week 12. The Bills held another Top 10 TE (Hunter Henry of New England) to only 1.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (1 reception for 9 receiving yards) last week and are likely to do the same to Pitts this week. Pitts hasn’t caught fewer than two passes in any game so far in 2021 so he is likely to do better than Henry did last week, but don’t expect a double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy point game. He’s better suited to be on your Bench this week.

Dynasty Owner Playoff Championship Match-up of the Week #1 – SKOL Vikings vs. Jhausdawg

The leader in the Chase for the Ring (SKOL Vikings) are the featured team in our first Match-up of the Week. The formula for SKOL Vikings to capture the Ring is simple, win and don’t get outscored by The Road Warriors by over 35.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, or by DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) by over 41.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. If SKOL Vikings get their season-long average of 174.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, they should be fine. However, in a bit of gamesmanship, they aren’t setting their Starting lineup and Bench until later on in the week to avoid letting their opponents know who they are going up against. As I said in the Livestream on Wednesday, I don’t get it, but it doesn’t matter whether or not I get it.

The only team that can stop SKOL Vikings from winning their League are Jhausdawg. Jhausdawg finished the regular season in third place with a 9-5 record. They averaged 129.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in the regular season and had about that many points in each of their two playoffs games (124.78 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the first round and 136.18 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the playoff semi-finals). They are ranked 282nd in the Chase for the Ring. Jhausdawg cannot be just average this week to have a chance to pull off the upset of the top team in Dynasty Owner and retain the League #31927 Championship.

SKOL Vikings only lost once in the regular season, a close defeat back in Week 2 to Scubon1c Plagu3 by score of 154.6-151.7. They played Jhausdawg twice in the regular season and took the first match-up by nearly 100.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but the second contest by less than 15.0 points. It’s difficult for NFL teams to beat their division rivals three times in the course of a season, but is the same thing true in Dynasty Owner? We’ll find out.

Based on their current lineup, Jhausdawg is projected to score a few points above their weekly average. SKOL Vikings isn’t tipping their hand about their lineup, but my best guess is that they would be projected to score 181.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week with a full Starting lineup and Bench. I won’t give away my exact lineup predictions. My projected lineup would give SKOL Vikings an advantage of just under 44.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Both teams should have a Pittsburgh WR playing on Monday Night Football with Jhausdawg having Chase Claypool and SKOL Vikings having Diontae Johnson. Whether Claypool and Johnson will be in the Starting lineup or Bench is to be determined. If this match-up comes down to Monday night, it will be to the advantage of SKOL Vikings with the steady and higher ranked Johnson over the volatile, but potentially explosive Claypool.

Good luck to both teams in your attempt to win your League Championship and to SKOL Vikings in your quest to win the Ring.

Dynasty Owner Playoff Championship Match-up of the Week #2 – The Road Warriors vs. DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew)

Our second Playoff Match-up of the Week is the heavyweight match-up of the week, possibly the season and maybe even in all of Dynasty Owner history. We have the second place team in the Chase for the Ring standings, but one that finished in third place in League #27449. They face off against DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) the top team in the league who finished in 54th place on the regular season leaderboard and has moved up to 42nd place currently. There is also another DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) team in third place in the Chase for the Ring standings who will be featured in the third Match-up of the Week.

The main reason why The Road Warriors finished in third place in the league is that they lost both regular season match-ups against DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew). The second loss in Week 14 gave The Road Warriors a 10-4 record, one game behind Who Dat Nation who finished 11-3. The loss forced The Road Warriors to have to play in the first round of the playoffs. The Road Warriors are looking for revenge and their first victory in the 2021 season against DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew).

The Road Warriors are projected to defeat DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) and capture the League #27449 Championship by 18.03 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (185.08 to 167.05). Both of these lineups look set, barring an injury, or positive COVID test or exposure. One exception may be that DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) has Lamar Jackson as their Bench QB now. That may change as Jackson practiced on Wednesday, but not Thursday. In case Jackson isn’t ready to play, DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) has applied the rare double handcuff with both Tyler Huntley and Josh Johnson on their roster. Huntley was picked up off the Free Agent Auction in early September, while Johnson joined the team right before last week’s game. There could be switches between the Starting lineup and Bench as well, of course, but the potential for substituting either Huntley or Johnson for Jackson is the most likely and meaningful change.

The Road Warriors have the advantage in both their Starting lineup and Bench. The position that they enjoy the biggest advantage is at TE with Travis Kelce as their Starter and Dalton Schultz on the Bench. DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) counters with Tyler Higbee in their Starting lineup and Josiah Deguara on their Bench.

The Road Warriors hope to have a big lead at the end of the Sunday games as DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) has two RBs playing on Monday Night Football in Nick Chubb and Najee Harris. The Road Warriors hope that my Bench recommendation of Justin Herbert is incorrect as he is currently their Starting QB over Kyler Murray.

Good luck to both teams in your attempt to win your League Championship and to overtake SKOL Vikings and win the Ring.

Dynasty Owner Playoff Championship Match-up of the Week #3 – DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) vs. Boomer1977

The third and final Playoff Match-up of the Week also features DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew). However, in this league (#27458), they are the team ranked near the top in the Chase for the Ring and heavily favored to win. A victory by the third ranked team in the Chase for the Ring, DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew), over Boomer1977 would keep the perfect season intact for them. Boomer1977 was one of four teams in the league to finish at 9-5 but as the 9-5 team with the most points in the regular season (1,926.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), they earned the #2 seed in the league.

While DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) won both regular season match-ups, they beat Boomer1977 by less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 (163.18 to 153.2). Boomer1977 are currently ranked 224th in the Chase for the Ring after finishing the regular season in 382nd place. They did score a season high 208.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 13 and will need a similar performance to knock off DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) in Week 17.

This match-up is projected to be the biggest mismatch of our three Match-ups of the Week with DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) projected to win by 57.27 Dynasty Owner fantasy points over Boomer1977. DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) has the advantage throughout both teams’ Starting lineups along with an advantage for most of the Bench. Only at Bench TE (Zach Ertz over Dawson Knox) and kicker (Robbie Gould over Michael Badgley) does Boomer1977 have the slightest of advantages in the projections.

The game that Boomer1977 needs to turn into a high-scoring affair is the Broncos vs. Chargers as they have three Starters (Justin Herbert, Javonte Williams and Keenan Allen) plus two Bench players (Melvin Gordon and Josh Palmer). The only player in the Starting lineup on either of those teams for DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) is Austin Ekeler. They also have Chargers WR Mike Williams, but he is currently on the Practice Squad.

If this game is close after the Sunday night game is over, then Boomer1977 will have the opportunity for an upset with Steelers WR Diontae Johnson in their Starting lineup against Steelers RB Najee Harris in the Starting lineup at the FLEX position for DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew). Based on the projections that is an unlikely outcome, but stranger things have happened in fantasy football in 2021.

Good luck to both teams in your attempt to win your League Championship and to DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) in your quest to overtake SKOL Vikings and win the Ring.

Conclusion

This is the end – the final week of the 2021 Dynasty Owner season. After Monday Night Football is finished, we will have only one team at the top of the Chase for the Ring standings, and they will be our new Champion. Good luck to all three teams in contention, to Detroit’s Finest on staying undefeated and to everyone trying to win their League Championship.

There will also be only one team per League that will finish as the winner of the third place game and also only one winner of the Loser’s bracket tournament in each League. Good luck to all of the teams competing in one of those games as well.

There is also only one weekly recap column left for the 2021 Dynasty Owner season and just one Monday Night Football preview article left from Jay Pounds as well. No more weekly Free Agent Auction targets or weekly articles from Matt Morrison – The Jerk. Don’t worry, they aren’t going away. We’ll all be back soon with off-season content to keep Dynasty Owners active and engaged throughout the NFL playoffs, free agency, the NFL draft, organized team practice activities (OTAs), training camps, and pre-season games until the 2022 Dynasty Owner season starts.

The one and only weekly Dynasty Owner livestream will continue during the off-season on Wednesdays at 4 PM (Eastern) with myself, Tim Peffer and hopefully plenty of guests. Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of the Dynasty Owner team of writers plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Monday Night Football Preview: Week 16

Dolphins vs Saints

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Welcome back to the Week 16 edition of the Monday Night Football preview. In Week 15, the NFL had to move three games to either Monday afternoon or Tuesday and it certainly made for a crazy week of playoffs on Dynasty Owner. In the Browns vs Raiders matchup, I had Hunter Renfrow as my Value of the Game pick, and it turns out he can have a rough outing after all. Foster Moreau combined his cheap salary of $752,098 with 7 catches for 65 yards (13.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) making him the Value of the Game by a longshot. In the originally scheduled Monday night game, we had the Bears and Vikings face off. In this matchup, I had Darnell Mooney as my Value of the Game and he did not let me down finishing with 11.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 63 receiving yards, 3 rushing yards) which was good enough to win Value of the Game. In the last 2 match-ups, we had the Seahawks vs Rams and the Football Team vs the Eagles. In the first matchup, I selected DK Metcalf and it was his teammate DeeJay Dallas who took home the award with 14.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (41 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 3 receptions, 11 receiving yards) for $947,350 in salary to win over Rams WR Ben Skowronek who had 8.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions for 42 receiving yards) for only $891,131 in salary. In the other Tuesday matchup, I selected Antonio Gibson, but it was Philadelphia QB Jalen Hurts who took home the gold with 29.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for a salary of only $1,506,292.

What to Watch For

In tonight’s matchup between the Saints and the Dolphins there are a few things we should all be watching with both teams looking to sneak into the playoffs. On the Dolphins side of the ball, I will be watching to see if Duke Johnson can show any resemblance of last week against a nasty Saints run defense. Let’s not forget to mention this Saints defense has made Tom Brady look rather pedestrian since Brady moved to the Sunshine State. On Saints side of things, there are more than a few things to watch for but none more important than the Saints having to rely on rookie Ian Book this week. As you can see these NFL teams are struggling to stay healthy and it will be interesting to see if the Saints can fend off the Covid bug, or if it will cost them a playoff appearance. This is a huge matchup for both teams who are trying to secure a playoff berth.

Jay’s Monday Night Prediction

 
Miami Dolphins 24    New Orleans Saints 20

Over/Under Projections

Dolphins

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Tua TagovailoaQB$7,568,85922.3Over
Duke JohnsonRB$5,203,3334.1Over
DeVante ParkerWR$7,625,00011.3Over
Jaylen WaddleWR$6,771,49813.5Over
Mike GesickiTE$1,652,98111.5Under

Saints

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Ian BookQB$1,038,39615.9Over
Alvin KamaraRB$15,000,00022.1Over
Marquez CallawayWR$765,0009.0Under
Tre’Quan SmithWR$855,1318.8Over
Nick VannettTE$2,666,6670.7Over

Jay’s Dynasty Owner Playoff Game of the Week

This week, I am picking one game with a Chase for the Ring contender that is close in score and will be decided during Monday Night Football. If you happen to find yourself in this situation on Sunday night, please get ahold of me on Twitter (@jaypoundsnfl) and I will gladly feature your game here.

League #31820

Havana Club 79 – Tua Tagovailoa on Bench left to play

Havana Club 79 is the Number 4 team in all of Dynasty Owner and is somewhat of a long shot to survive this week’s matchup. Havana Club 79 comes into Monday night trailing by just under 7 points, but the big issue is his only player, Tua Tagovailoa remains on the Bench meaning Tua will need to score over 27.5 points for Havana Club 79 to pull out a victory. If Havana Club ends up losing the blame will be easy as Matthew Stafford, Tyreek Hill, and Jonathan Taylor all had below average weeks by their standards. Will the first of our Chase for the Ring contestants lose? It will take a massive day from Tua, but I am predicting he gets it done and Havana Club 79 moves on.

Inter Miami CF – Mike Gesicki on Bench left to play

Inter Miami CF is playing the part of David attempting to slay Goliath and doing a fantastic job. Inter Miami CF is heading into tonight feeling confident as many are expecting this Saints defense to shut down whoever they are playing, but they aren’t quite as good against other teams as they are against Tom Brady for some reason. I do expect the Saints to play well on defense, but the Dolphins are one of the hottest teams in football right now and certainly won’t go easy. If Inter Miami CF wants a worry-free night, they just needs to see Tua come out and struggle which is certainly possible, or have him throw a lot of receptions to Mike Gesicki who is on the Bench for Inter Miami CF. As I said earlier, I am going with Havana Club 79 but that could be considered a bold prediction.

Value of the Game

In this weeks Value of the Game, I had a very tough time choosing as both Saints receivers, along with their starting QB for the week being on extremely cheap salaries. I initially thought about putting Ian Book in the Value of the Game spot but the performance by Jake Fromm of the New York Giants yesterday was extremely discouraging for someone wanting to select Book to do well later in the week. Even with that said it makes any Saints receivers a sketchy choice as well but one I am going to have to deal with. Sometimes everyone else is just too expensive and you must pick your shot. It’s another thing that makes Dynasty Owner so much fun!

Winner – Tre’Quan Smith

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Tre’Quan Smith561117.1

Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction article and video that will be released on Tuesday afternoon before Free Agent Auction bids are processed on Wednesday at 5 AM. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly Tuesday recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you all for reading and hopefully tonight’s game will be a good one with all these projections coming true. Stay safe and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Week 16 Preview – Anybody Can Win

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

At this point of the season, any team can defeat their opponent. It’s true in the NFL. Just look at what happened last week when a Detroit Lions team with 11 losses on the season defeated a 10-win Arizona Cardinals team pretty handily. It wasn’t nearly as big of an upset, but on Sunday night, the New Orleans Saints team who were 6-7 and in need of victories to make a playoff run shut out the defending Super Bowl Champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buccaneers are still three games ahead of the Saints in the NFC South and nearly a lock to win the division and make the playoffs, while the Saints are still not in the playoffs right now.

It’s a little different in Dynasty Owner as all of the teams playing each other this week have either won a playoff game, or were good enough to secure a first round bye. In theory, they should be closer in talent, and it won’t be surprising if a lower seed comes up and defeats one of the teams that had a bye in Week 15. There are plenty of Dynasty Owner leagues in which a #6 seed beat the #3 seed and advanced to play against the #1 seed this week. Remember, that the semi-finals are reseeded, so the lowest ranked team that won in the first round faces off against the #1 seed. It didn’t happen in one of our Match-ups of the Week in the first round as The Road Warriors defeated Ruff Ryders Inc. However, in League #34636 that featured our other Match-up of the Week between Goff Balls and Super Mario Bros., the #6 seed team (Taylor Park Boys) defeated the #3 seed (Laxbro) by almost 67.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

It also happened in two of my Dynasty Owner leagues, but not in the “Polian” League (League #76065) as Quaranteam didn’t get the job done against my Vantastics (sorry to rub it in Nick). I’m sure many of you are in a league that had a #6 seed upset a #3 seed and advance to the playoff semi-finals this week. While most of those wins can be classified as upsets, all of the teams remaining in the Dynasty Owner playoffs were at least in the top half of their league and playing a team that didn’t secure a first round bye.

In fact, both of the remaining undefeated teams in Dynasty Owner get to face off against a #6 seed in their league semi-finals with their undefeated season and chance to win the Chase for the Ring on the line.

Team NameLeagueChase Position
DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew)274583rd
Detroit’s Finest7473311th

DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew) goes up against Deep Snap Gurus in League #27458, while Detroit’s Finest has a playoff semi-finals match-up against Ciricmc17 in League #74733. Deep Snap Guru sent Beer Bellies packing in the first round, while Ciricmc17 beat Thunderkatz.

For the Match-ups of the Week, we have a pair of games with Top 10 teams in the Chase for the Ring who are either facing a team who beat them in the regular season or one who is favored to beat them this week. Just like the title of the article says, “Anybody Can Win”. Neither one of the opponents is a #6 seed, but one could end up facing a #6 seed in their League Championship game in Week 17. Neither of these match-ups was suggested, but I’m still willing to take a suggestion for next week via Twitter (@SteveVT33).

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of Christmas Eve (December 24th).

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s look at how my Week 15 recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I predicted performances worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup for these four players for the first round of the playoffs and things didn’t go so well. Only one Just Ok recommendation and three Bad recommendations to start off the playoffs. It would have been a likely first round playoff loss with those results.

QB: Trevor Lawrence – 12.6 (Bad recommendation)

RB: Rhamondre Stevenson – 4.0 (Bad recommendation)

WR: A.J. Green – 10.4 (Just Ok recommendation)

TE: Ricky Seals-Jones – 6.9 (Bad recommendation)

The only Just Ok recommendation was A.J. Green at WR as he scored 10.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to rank just outside of the Top 24 WRs for the week. A couple of additional points and it would have been Good. Rhamondre Stevenson never really got going against Indianapolis and his 4.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points made for a Bad recommendation. Both Trevor Lawrence and Ricky Seals-Jones were low-end Bench options, although Lawrence wasn’t far off from being in the middle. Since these were Starter recommendations, both of them were Bad. Just like anybody can win, anybody can turn in a weekly performance worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup. Here are four players who I think will do so in Week 16.

Russell Wilson (QB – SEA): As the third most expensive player in Dynasty Owner with a salary of $35 million per year, Russell Wilson should be a week in and week out Starter for his Dynasty Owners. Unfortunately, he hasn’t been one since returning from the injury to the middle finger on his throwing hand. It’s not that he’s been bad every game, it’s just that it’s been difficult to predict how well he’s going to perform on a given week. In six games since the Seahawks bye week and his return to the lineup, Wilson has three games with over 200 passing yards, 2 passing TDs and over 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (24.6 points on average). Those games came against teams in the bottom third in fantasy points allowed to QBs (Washington and San Francisco) plus Houston. The other three games against better defenses (Arizona, Green Bay and the Los Angeles Rams) are when he has struggled. In those three games, he is averaging only 6.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game with an average of less than 175 passing yards per game, zero TDs and five turnovers (3 INTs and 2 lost fumbles). Fortunately for his Dynasty Owners, Wilson gets to play Chicago this week and the Bears have allowed the fifth most fantasy points to QBs. If Wilson is your Dynasty Owner QB, hopefully you survived his 4.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy point effort last week in the first round of the playoffs. Don’t let that deter you at all from getting him into your Starting lineup this week.

Justin Jackson (RB – LAC): With Austin Ekeler on the COVID-19 reserve list and saying himself that it’s not looking good for Sunday’s game, the next man up for the Chargers is Justin Jackson. Jackson played very well last week against Kansas City with 13 carries for 86 yards plus one reception for 13 receiving yards (10.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). He also gets to face the Houston Texans this week and the Texans are allowing 145.0 rushing yards per game. The last three lead RBs who have played Houston (James Robinson, Rashaad Penny and Jonathan Taylor) have averaged 127.3 rushing yards and almost 24.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. While Robinson and Taylor are two of the best RBs in the NFL, Penny had a career game with 137 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs and 28.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Dynasty Owners with Jackson on their roster should make sure that they get him in their Starting lineup.

Laquon Treadwell (WR – JAC): One thing that was likely lost about the Jets-Dolphins game with all of the talk about Duke Johnson was that the Jets gave up 16.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions, 68 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) to the top WR for the Dolphins, DeVante Parker. Believe it or not, but the top WR for the Jacksonville Jaguars right now is Laquon Treadwell. Marvin Jones, Laviska Shenault and Jamal Agnew have all scored more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than Treadwell, but in the past four games with Agnew out on Injured Reserve, the Jaguars’ leading receiver has been Treadwell. He has more Dynasty Owner fantasy points (42.0), receptions (18) and receiving yards (240) and is tied with Shenault for the most targets (28). None of them has a TD reception in that time as QB Trevor Lawrence has only thrown one (to WR Tavon Austin), but Lawrence is due to throw at least one against the Jets who have allowed 22 passing TDs on the season. Lawrence can’t play against the QB taken after him in the 2021 NFL draft (Zach Wilson) and not throw a TD pass, can he? It’s one of the only reasons to watch the Jaguars-Jets game, unless you have players in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup playing. Treadwell should be one of those guys if you’re one of the Dynasty Owners in 39.05% of leagues who have him on your roster.

C.J. Uzomah (TE – CIN): Remember when he was a fantasy relevant TE? It was way back in Week 7 when he scored 24.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Baltimore Ravens. The same Baltimore Ravens who are the Bengals’ opponent this week. He had two TDs that week. One was a 55-yard reception and the other one went for 32 yards. Those were his last two TDs of the season and since that game, he has averaged only 5.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. That’s not exactly a vote of confidence for picking him to be in your Starting lineup. However, not only did Uzomah play well against the Ravens’ defense back in Week 7, but the Ravens have been extremely poor at stopping TEs for the past month. In the last four weeks, they have given up an average of 14.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to the TEs on the opposing team. The Packers trio of Marcedes Lewis, Josiah Deguara and Tyler Davis had 7 receptions for 78 receiving yards (14.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) against them and Austin Hooper had 5 receptions for 30 receiving yards and a TD (14.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) the week before. I’m not saying Uzomah is going to have two more long TD catches, but I think he’ll do well enough to be worth having in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Through the Dynasty Owner regular season, I had as many Good as Bad Bench recommendations. In the first round of the playoffs, this continued with two Good and two Bad recommendations. Let’s check out who I selected and how they did in Week 15.

QB: Dak Prescott – 13.7 (Good recommendation)

RB: Ezekiel Elliott – 16.2 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Michael Pittman – 1.7 (Good recommendation)

TE: Dallas Goedert – 20.5 (Bad recommendation)

Not surprisingly, the Good recommendations were at QB and WR, while the Bad ones were at RB and TE. That’s how it’s been for most of the season as I have had eight Good Bench QB and WR recommendations and only three Good RB and TE ones. Dak Prescott wasn’t very good with just 13.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That made him the QB18 for the week and a Good recommendation. Michael Pittman was ejected from the Colts-Patriots game after scoring just 1.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, so that was another Good Bench recommendation. Dallas Goedert was TE5 with 20.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and Ezekiel Elliott was a top 12 RB so both of those recommendations were Bad. Here are four Bench recommendations for the Dynasty Owner playoff semi-finals (Week 16).

Kirk Cousins (QB – MIN): It used to be a fun thing to note how nobody had Kirk Cousins on their Dynasty Owner roster because of his $33 million contract and middle of the pack QB production. In 2019, he was QB15 and was on very few Dynasty Owners rosters. He improved to QB10 last season, but really started to gain a spot on more rosters this season as Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson got higher paying contracts than his in the off-season. He’s up to a record high of being on nearly one-quarter of Dynasty Owner rosters (24.85%) and is QB7 this year. However, he still has his bad weeks with five games of fewer than 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points on the season, including the past two weeks. This week will make it three in a row as he has to face a Los Angeles Rams defense that hasn’t allowed a passing TD over the past three weeks and has given up only 14 all season. Only the Buffalo Bills have allowed fewer passing TDs with 11. It all adds up to a bad week for Cousins and a reminder to the Dynasty Owners with him on their roster why there isn’t that much competition for his services in our game. Hopefully you have another QB to put in your Starting lineup and leave Cousins on the Bench.

Joe Mixon (RB – CIN): While Mixon is the overall RB5 for the 2020 season and is averaging 17.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and 78.1 rushing yards per game. However, over the past three games, he has only scored 24.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (8.1 points per game) and rushed for 170 yards (56.7 yards per game). In the Bengals’ first game of the season against the Ravens, Mixon only had 59 rushing yards, but scored a TD for 11.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. It was only the second time he has scored a TD in eight career games against the Ravens. Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow had a career high 416 passing yards in the first game against the Ravens this season, the Ravens’ secondary has three key players out with injuries and is the second worst in passing yards allowed per game (264.9 yards per game). The weather looks good for the game, so there’s no reason why the Bengals won’t air it out and limit Mixon’s rushing attempts. Mixon doesn’t do much in the passing game for the Bengals, averaging just over 2 receptions for 14.6 receiving yards per game. With the Bengals likely to pass a lot, leave Mixon on your Dynasty Owner Bench this week.

Hunter Renfrow (WR – LV): It says a lot about how Hunter Renfrow has played this season that we’re at the point where he can appear on this list and is in the conversation for Value Player of the Year. He started off the 2021 season pretty well with double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points in eight out of his first ten games. With all of the upheaval in Las Vegas, he and Derek Carr kept going every week and when Darren Waller went out with knee and back injuries, Renfrow became a target magnet for Carr’s passes. Renfrow had 33 targets in the last three weeks of the Dynasty Owner regular season and scored an average of 23.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. However, that ended in the first round of the Dynasty Owner playoffs as the Browns’ defense held Renfrow in check with just 3 receptions for 32 receiving yards. He also had 31 punt return yards and two fumbles for a total of 5.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. This week, he faces a team that knows him well and has held him to under 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in four out of the five games that he has played against them in his career. Don’t worry about him getting a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). That’s highly unlikely to happen, but if history is any guide, he won’t have more than 7.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points since his average is 6.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points the past two years with a high of 6.7 points. Keep those points and Renfrow on your Dynasty Owner Bench this week.

Mike Gesicki (TE – MIA): In contrast to Hunter Renfrow, Mike Gesicki is no stranger to this spot as he has appeared here twice before. Once it was a Good recommendation as he had a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 versus New England. The second time was Bad as he had 21.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 7 against Atlanta. This week, Gesicki and the Dolphins face off against the New Orleans Saints. The Saints defense does a good job against opposing TEs and has only allowed them to score three TDs this season. Last week, the G.O.A.T. targeted Rob Gronkowski a game high 11 times with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans leaving with injuries. Despite all of the targets, Gronkowski only had 4.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions for 29 receiving yards). While Gesicki is the TE7 on the season and has been pretty steady with 10.0 more Dynasty Owner fantasy points on six occasions, this week won’t be one of them. Keep Gesicki on your Dynasty Owner Bench for Monday Night Football.

Dynasty Owner Playoff Semi-Final Match-up of the Week #1 – Havana Club 79 vs. Inter Miami CF

In the first Playoff Semi-Final Match-up of the Week, we have the #4 team in the Chase for the Ring standings facing off against one of only two teams to defeat them in the regular season. It’s Havana Club 79 vs. Inter Miami CF in a League #31820 semi-final that strikes me as having a South Florida connection. Havana Club 79 is looking to avenge a Week 7 game loss by a score of 185.0 to 156.15 to Inter Miami CF. However, a lot has changed since then for both teams and one major change was a trade between the two teams that occurred a few weeks after that match-up.

In the trade that occurred before the start of Week 11, Inter Miami CF traded Jonathan Taylor and K.J. Osborn to Havana Club 79 for a quartet of players (Deebo Samuel, Cam Akers, Travis Etienne and Elijah Mitchell). Both teams were 8-2 at the time and likely to make the playoffs, but Havana Club 79 was in fifth place in the Chase for the Ring and clearly looking to move up. I haven’t spoken to either team about their motivation for the trade, but I can only guess that Inter Miami CF was looking more towards the future by getting both Akers and Etienne who are out for the rest of the 2021 season, while not completely mortgaging the present by acquiring Samuel and Mitchell. Both 49ers were having good seasons, but Samuel hadn’t blossomed into the weapon he’s been in the running game at that time and Mitchell was back from his first injury of the season.

Now, in the playoff semi-finals, the trade partners meet again. Havana Club 79 has clearly been bolstered by the acquisition of Taylor and has Ring aspirations with this team. On the other hand, Inter Miami CF has a weakened backfield now that Mitchell has been out for the past three weeks, but they managed to win a close game in the first round of the playoffs by a score of 133.19 to 126.4 over How I Metcalf your mother.

With Deebo Samuel having played on Thursday night, Inter Miami CF has already banked 26.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but are an underdog by 11.42 points according to the projections. They are missing a backup QB as Taysom Hill is out for the Saints’ game on Monday night and already got a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) from Bench RB Jordan Wilkins.

If Dynasty Owner was a traditional fantasy football league with no Bench scoring, then Inter Miami CF would be in better position as Havana Club 79 only has a 0.33 point advantage from the Starting lineups. However, Havana Club 79 has a full Bench, bolstered by the presence of RBs Najee Harris and Alexander Mattison. Right now, Havana Club 79 has Tyreek Hill on their Practice Squad, but would likely call him up if he is activated off the COVID-19 reserve list by Sunday. Inter Miami CF may have D’Andre Swift back for this week and could use him as a boost to their Starting lineup.

Right now, both teams have no players in their Starting lineup playing on Monday, so this match-up will be largely determined by Sunday night. A potential match-up in the finals looms against the #1 seed in the League (FC Pinar DR) if they can get past juan blanco (who has a team in another league ranked #5 in the Chase for the Ring). FC Pinar DR swept the regular season with two victories over Havana Club 79 and one over Inter Miami CF.

Dynasty Owner Playoff Semi-Final Match-up of the Week #2 – SKOL Vikings vs. DC Dawgs

Our second Playoff Match-up of the Week is from League #31831 and has the Chase for the Ring contender as the underdog in the match-up. That’s right! SKOL Vikings are an underdog by 6.79 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to DC Dawgs. This isn’t the #1 SKOL Vikings team, instead it’s the team that was in 6th place after the first round of the playoffs. It’s kind of like the Jan Brady to the Marcia Brady that is the League #31927 SKOL Vikings team. I’m sure that Jeff, the owner of SKOL Vikings, loves both of these teams and all of his other Dynasty Owner teams equally, but only one can be Marcia.

This SKOL Vikings team, like the League #31927 squad, has Dalvin Cook on their roster, but Cook is out for Week 16 and possibly the Week 17 playoff finals as he tested positive for COVID-19. Cook is unvaccinated, so he has to miss at least 10 days. He may return one day prior to the Vikings’ Week 17 game against the Carolina Panthers, but it’s not guaranteed right now. This could be a problem against the DC Dawgs who are currently in 516th place in the Chase for the Ring.

Back in Week 10 with a healthy Cook in their lineup, SKOL Vikings lost to DC Dawgs 138.0 to 130.1. DC Dawgs have been active on the Free Agent Auction in anticipation of this match-up. They dropped two injured RBs (Tarik Cohen and Carlos Hyde) plus a backup who recently returned from injury (Damien Williams) and replaced them with Rex Burkhead and Brandon Bolden. Both Burkhead and Bolden are on the Bench for DC Dawgs, but their presence is likely to generate additional points that DC Dawgs might need to win.

Just like Inter Miami CF in our first match-up, DC Dawgs have already gotten 26.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points from Deebo Samuel on Thursday night. Bench RB D’Onta Foreman only had 7.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points which accounts for the 1.93 points for SKOL Vikings. While it says that SKOL Vikings has 13 players left to play, they have Tyler Lockett in their Starting lineup, but he is still listed as Out despite being removed from the COVID-19 reserve list.

We won’t have to wait until Monday night to find out who is victorious as neither team has anyone in their Starting lineup or on their Bench from the Saints or Dolphins. By the end of the Packers-Browns game on Saturday, we may have a better sense of which team will win as DC Dawgs has a QB-RB-WR stack from the Packers of Aaron Rodgers, A.J. Dillon and Davante Adams, plus Mason Crosby as their Bench kicker (and Austin Hooper from the Browns as their Bench TE). A big game from those players on Saturday afternoon could mean good things for the DC Dawgs. We can’t call it an upset since DC Dawgs are favored, despite the huge gap in Chase for the Ring position.

Conclusion

This week could see any of the four teams remaining in the playoffs in each Dynasty Owner league win and advance to the League Championship game. There will be upsets, some Top 25 Chase for the Ring teams will lose and drop off the Championship Contenders leaderboard and maybe even one of our two remaining undefeated teams will get beat by a #6 seed. Anybody can win in the NFL, just ask the Arizona Cardinals that question, and any of the lower seeded teams remaining in the Dynasty Owner playoffs could pull off an upset victory too.

For everyone who wins and advances in the playoffs (and Loser’s bracket tournament), it’s on to Week 17 and the final week of the Dynasty Owner season. There’s a third place game as well, but nobody wants to be there, so we don’t mention it.

Please read my weekly preview article each and every week. With numerous players out due to COVID, it might help you set your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup or decide who should be on your Bench. While some Dynasty Owners may heed my advice, others might disagree, or not have a better option for their Starting lineup and choose to ignore a Bench recommendation. Other Dynasty Owners may not need Starting lineup help as they have a stud player at a position who isn’t moving to the Bench unless he’s out. Hopefully, your choices for your Starting lineup and Bench are the best ones you can make, and your team wins this week to move on to the Championship game.

In addition to this weekly preview article, Dynasty Owner has plenty of other great content coming up next week. On Monday, Jay Pounds will preview the Monday Night Football game from the Dynasty Owner perspective. Tuesday has a double shot of Dynasty Owner content with my Week 16 recap article and Jay’s final Free Agent Auction targets article and video of the season. On Wednesday, Matt Morrison – The Jerk announces the winners of the Value Player of the Year at each position and overall Value Player of the Year. There are no more Thursday Night Football games, so no Thursday Night Football preview from Matt until the 2022 season.

Don’t forget about the weekly Dynasty Owner livestream on Wednesday at 4 PM (Eastern) with myself and Tim Peffer. Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of the Dynasty Owner team of writers plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Thursday Night Football: Week 16

49ers vs Titans

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Tonight, we have a very fine Thursday Night Game that has major playoff implications. For starters, the 49ers are 8-6 while the Titans are 9-5. The 49ers are currently the 6th seed in the NFC as they have won five out of their last six games. They look to be in a solid spot to make the playoffs, but winning the division looks doubtful. Teams knocking on their door for a wild card spot are the Vikings, Eagles and Saints.

The Titans are in quite a different situation. They are currently the leaders in the AFC South.  They hold a single game lead over the Colts. They are also in the driver’s seat for the tiebreaker as they have already won the season series 2-0. The Titans are the 3rd seed in the AFC and are still able to capture the two or even the one seed depending on how the Patriots and Chiefs end the season.

This game should be a quick one as far as time goes. There will be plenty of rushing attempts as both teams rank in the Top 5 for rushing percentage. Despite the high probability of this being a game with long drawn out drives, Vegas has given it a mediocre over/under of 44.5. This isn’t a terrible implied point total for each team, but it doesn’t exactly stand out as a game that could turn into a shootout. Regardless, there will be several high quality fantasy options that I would love to start in this game.

Value of the Game Recap

Last week I had Jalen Guyton as my Value of the Game (VOTG). Not only was he the game’s greatest value, but he outperformed my expectations. In last week’s article, I mentioned that a single catch that goes for a touchdown would likely be enough to make Guyton the VOTG. Well, that wasn’t too far off from happening. Justin Herbert connected with Guyton on a short second quarter touchdown. Here is how my projection matched up with the actual outcome…

Week 15 ProjectionSalaryReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Jalen Guyton$540,00026408.4

And here is how Guyton’s actual day ended…

Week 15 ActualSalaryReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Jalen Guyton$540,00021019.0

Those 9.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points combined with a salary of $540,000 makes Guyton the Week 15 Thursday Night Football Value of the Game

Starters

All the players on this list are ones that I would be very comfortable starting in my Dynasty Owner playoffs this week.

Jimmy Garoppolo ($27,500,000)

Jeff Wilson Jr. ($2,050,000)

D’Onta Foreman ($920,000)

Deebo Samuel ($1,811,869)

Brandon Aiyuk ($3,132,835)

George Kittle ($15,000,000)

Bench

Ryan Tannehill ($29,500,000)

Dontrell Hilliard ($920,000)

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine ($610,000)

Value of the Game

The VOTG for this week is not the easiest choice. I had the choices narrowed down to D’Onta Foreman and Deebo Samuel. Foreman should be the leading rusher and most likely player to score a rushing touchdown for the Titans tonight. On the other hand, Deebo has been one of the most electric and versatile players in the league all year, but especially over the past month. The decision, as always, comes down to salary.

In the end, Foreman’s salary is just too cheap to ignore. Deebo would have to double Foreman’s Dynasty Owner fantasy point total in order for him to be a bigger value, and I don’t see that happening. D’Onta Foreman is my Week 16 Thursday Night Football Value of the Game.

Week 16 ProjectionSalaryRushing AttemptsRushing YardsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
D’Onta Foreman$920,0001972113115.5

This will be my final Thursday Night Football article of the year as this is the final week with a Thursday Night game. It has been an absolute pleasure to bring you these pre-game articles. I look forward to doing it again next year.

Thank you all for reading. Take care and be safe.

TheJerk

Monday and Tuesday Night Football Previews: Week 15

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Dynasty Owners! Welcome to the wildest Monday/Tuesday article of the season where we have four games to cover in a short amount of time. Due to the fact there are so many games I will keep this intro short and sweet. The Dynasty Owner playoffs have arrived just in time for a massive Covid outbreak throughout the NFL, which is why we are seeing four games this late in the week. If I were going to describe this season in one word the word would be an easy choice, mayhem. I am honestly at a point with all the injuries, insane outcomes, and a Covid outbreaks that I am officially declaring this season much crazier than 2020. I honestly feel like the 2021 season pulled the hold my beer card when compared to the 2020 season. Enough of the jibber jabber, let’s dive into these four late week games!

Raiders vs Browns

I usually start each game off with things that I am watching for and to be honest I am not quite sure with this one. If I knew for sure who was playing, I would be watching to see how Baker performs with the playoffs on the line, but it’s uncertain that he will even play this week and looks as if the Browns will roll with Nick Mullens at the quarterback position. The Browns vs Raiders should be a low scoring contest because of the number of key players out for both teams on the offensive side of the ball. The only real difference between the two teams is the fact the Browns are dealing with Covid, while the Raiders have a few key guys out with injuries. I’m looking at you Darren Waller. Regardless of how things play out, it’s better than having no football at all, I just hope it doesn’t hurt too many of your playoff runs.

Jay’s Raiders vs Browns Prediction

 
Las Vegas Raiders 17    Cleveland Browns 13

Over/Under Projections

Raiders

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Derek CarrQB$25,000,00022.7Under
Josh JacobsRB$2,983,35015.8Over
Hunter RenfrowWR$708,98716.5Over
Zay JonesWR$2,500,0006.1Over
Foster MoreauTE$752,0987.6Over

Browns

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Nick MullensQB$970,00016.5Under
Nick ChubbRB$1,845,77416.9Over
Donovan Peoples-JonesWR$870,4027.9Over
Rashard HigginsWR$2,377,5004.9Over
David NjokuTE$6,013,0007.9Under

Value of the Game – Raiders vs Browns

If you have been an avid reader this season, you will remember back a month or two ago when I selected Hunter Renfrow and thought, he was a somewhat risky pick for Value of the Game. Fast forward in time to the present and Renfrow is an absolute no brainer for the pick. Over the past three weeks, Renfrow has absolutely balled out hitting the century yardage mark in all three outings and adding a touchdown in one of them. Hunter Renfrow for Value of the Game has a nice ring to it if I do say so myself.

Winner – Hunter Renfrow

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Hunter Renfrow9106019.6

Vikings vs Bears

This matchup is what I am calling the O.G. Monday Night Football game. In our original Monday night matchup, we have a fun divisional matchup which should feature more than a couple splash plays. The Bears and the Vikings have been questionable to say the least on the defensive side of the ball all season long and it gets no easier for either team in tonight’s matchup. The biggest thing I will be looking for on the Vikings side of the ball is if Justin Jefferson can continue his dominant run that started when Adam Thielen went down with an injury. On the other side of the ball, I will be watching one player as well and that is none other than the former Buckeye Justin Fields. Justin Fields has been red hot in terms of fantasy scoring when he finishes the game over the past month, and I will be looking for more of the same tonight.

Jay’s Vikings vs Bears Prediction

 
Minnesota Vikings 27   Chicago Bears 20

Over/Under Projections

Vikings

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Kirk CousinsQB$33,000,00024.9Over
Dalvin CookRB$12,600,00021.2Under
Justin JeffersonWR$3,280,70118.9Over
K.J. OsbornWR$890,69311.7Over
Tyler ConklinTE$685,2589.2Over

Bears

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Justin FieldsQB$4,717,98922.5Over
David MontgomeryRB$1,003,84515.6Over
Jakeem GrantWR$2,300,0005.3Over
Darnell MooneyWR$894,26311.4Over
Cole KmetTE$1,894,4447.8Under

Value of the Game – Vikings vs Bears

In our second matchup on this beautiful Monday night, I have Darnell Mooney as my Value of the Game. When Justin Fields has played, Mooney has been his favorite target by a significant margin, and I see no reason that changes against a suspect Vikings defense. I am looking for Mooney to see right around double-digit targets and pulling in around half of them while hitting on at least one big time play at some point. The Fields and Mooney connection is here to stay folks!

Winner – Darnell Mooney

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Darnell Mooney568117.8

Seahawks vs Rams

Up next, we have our third matchup in what has been the craziest start to a fantasy playoff we have ever seen. In the second divisional matchup of the late week, we have the Seahawks traveling to Hollywood to take on the Rams. In this matchup, I will be watching for a couple of things but none more important than how the Rams respond after a massive win over the Arizona Cardinals last week. The Rams must capitalize on the Cardinals’ massive slip up against the Detroit Lions yesterday. On the other side of the ball, we have the Seahawks who are playing for pride at this point in their disappointing 2021 season. The main thing I will be watching for from the Seahawks is to see if Russell Wilson can get back to playing the way we’ve become accustomed. If that happens to be the case, we should see DK Metcalf get going as well.

Jay’s Seahawks vs Rams Prediction

 
Seattle Seahawks 21    Los Angeles Rams 31

Over/Under Projections

Seahawks

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Russell WilsonQB$35,000,00024.0Under
Rashaad PennyRB$2,961,36010.9Over
D’Wayne EskridgeWR$1,488,3764.8Over
DK MetcalfWR$1,146,51316.3Over
Gerald EverettTE$6,000,0008.0Under

Rams

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Matthew StaffordQB$27,000,00028.6Under
Darrell HendersonRB$1,053,00112.8Over
Cooper KuppWR$15,750,00023.2Over
Odell BeckhamWR$1,250,00012.5Over
Brycen HopkinsTE$987,0330.0Over

Value of the Game – Seahawks vs Rams

As I mentioned earlier in this segment, if Russ gets to cooking, we should see a big day from DK Metcalf. Metcalf has not had a great season by his standards but there is still time to salvage and help Dynasty Owners with him on their rosters to make deep runs in the Dynasty Owner playoffs. Traditionally Metcalf struggles against Jalen Ramsey, but he exploded against him earlier in the season and I am thinking we should see more of the same from the track star at the receiver position.

Winner – DK Metcalf

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
DK Metcalf486118.6

Football Team vs Eagles

Finally, we have our fourth matchup on the list featuring our third and final divisional matchup between the Washington Football Team and the Philadelphia Eagles. In this matchup, I will be watching for multiple things but let’s start on the Football Team’s side first. The Football Team will be without its top two quarterbacks in this matchup and will likely have to depend heavily on Antonio Gibson if they want any chance at escaping with a win. Gibson has shown the ability to dominate a game this season, now it’s just a matter of him getting the touches and repeating the performance. I am not expecting much from the passing game without their top two signal callers and a banged-up McLaurin. On the Eagles side of the ball, there are two things that stick out to me, and both have to do with player health. I am curious to see how Jalen Hurts and Miles Sanders play after being banged up in recent weeks. If Hurts and Sanders can stay healthy, they could prove to be a deadly backfield combination.

Jay’s Football Team vs Eagles Prediction

 
Washington Football Team 13    Philadelphia Eagles 24

Over/Under Projections

Football Team

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Garrett GilbertQB$920,0000.0Over
Antonio GibsonRB$1,233,15916.9Over
Terry McLaurinWR$961,91816.1Under
Cam SimsWR$2,133,0003.7Over
Ricky Seals-JonesTE$990,0007.2Over

Eagles

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Jalen HurtsQB$1,506,29224.7Over
Miles SandersRB$1,337,54413.4Over
DeVonta SmithWR$5,035,34813.9Over
Jalen ReagorWR$3,317,6696.5Under
Dallas GoedertTE$1,406,06810.8Over

Value of the Game – Football Team vs Eagles

My fourth Value of the Game pick is none other than Antonio Gibson. A couple weeks back we saw Gibson have the game fantasy managers have been waiting for and I would not be surprised if we see a repeat performance Tuesday, especially in terms of volume. As I mentioned earlier, the Football Team is without its top two quarterbacks, and it would be an absolute travesty if we don’t see more than 20 touches out of Gibson in this situation. Ultimately, Gibson gets the work and the Value of the Game award!

Winner – Antonio Gibson

Jay’s Projected Stat LineRushing AttemptsRushing YardsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Antonio Gibson18112432118.6

Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction article and video that will be released this week on Wednesday afternoon before Free Agent Auction bids are processed on Thursday at 5 AM. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s weekly article that will be published on Tuesday and his video that will be posted on Wednesday, plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you all for reading and hopefully tonight’s game will be a good one with all these projections coming true. Stay safe and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Thursday Night Football: Week 15

Chiefs vs Chargers

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

There hasn’t been a Thursday Night game that I have been more excited for all season. Not only should this be a fantastic real life football game, but it has major fantasy implications because it is the first game of the Dynasty Owner playoffs. I will get into this more later, but there aren’t many offensive players from each team that I would not want to start. Before I get too excited about Week 15, let me recap the Value of the Game (VOTG) from last week.

Value of the Game Recap

Last week I wrote my article with the thought that there was virtually no chance Dalvin Cook would suit up. That was ultimately a wrong assumption and one that affected my VOTG. I picked Alexander Mattison to be that player. Unfortunately for everyone who has Mattison on their Dynasty Owner roster, he was a non-factor in this game as he only had six rushing attempts and zero receptions. By contrast, Cook played and had his best fantasy performance of the season to the tune of 41.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Instead, the night’s biggest value was K.J. Osborn. Osborn was given increased usage due to Adam Thielen’s ankle injury.  Osborn and Kirk Cousins connected on a 62 yard touchdown early in the fourth quarter. That all but guaranteed he would be the Value of the Game as he has a salary of $890,693.

Week 14 ActualSalaryReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
K.J. Osborn$890,693383117.3

What To Watch For

As I mentioned earlier, I want just about every offensive piece that I can get in this game. The hope for all Dynasty Owners with a player in this game is that it turns into a shootout and the game gets out of hand early. Both teams scoring at least four touchdowns is not out of the realm of possibility. I look for both Justin Herbert and Patrick Mahomes to have multiple touchdowns. I look for the game’s top receiving options (Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce) to all have over five receptions. Finally, I look for neither defense being able to be on the field continuously. I think scores will happen early and often tonight which will only provide little rest for both defenses.

A current line of Chiefs -3 seems a little generous to me especially with them being on the road. I would pick the Chargers to cover the spread. What I don’t think is generous is the number of points Vegas assigned to the over/under. It is currently at 52. I like this game to go over and be closer to the 54-55 point range. Like most of you reading, I hope this doesn’t turn into a defensive struggle as I have several high profile players in this game.

Starters

I would be comfortable starting every player on this list.  There aren’t many players left off…

Justin Herbert ($6,644,688)

Patrick Mahomes ($45,000,000)

Austin Ekeler ($6,125,000)

Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($2,705,393)

Darrel Williams ($1,600,000)

Keenan Allen ($20,025,000)

Mike Williams ($15,680,000)

Tyreek Hill ($18,000,000)

Jared Cook ($4,500,000)

Travis Kelce ($14,312,500)

Bench

Jalen Guyton ($540,000)

Mecole Hardman ($1,248,763)

As you can see, I am confident there will be a lot of scoring and moving the ball down the field tonight. The only players who I would not consider starting are the third receiving options for each team.

Value of the Game

I struggle with this prediction more than any other that I have done this year.  The struggle isn’t because of a lack of talent to project scoring. Rather, the struggle comes from a lack of cheap salary options in this game. With great weapons come great salaries. For this reason, I will once again be taking a Bench player as my VOTG. While I am not predicting it, all it would take is a single play from Jalen Guyton to make him the best value. Because of his low salary, virtually any touchdown or big play will give him the title for the matchup. Here is how I think his night will end up…

Week 15 ProjectionSalaryReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Jalen Guyton$540,00026408.4

There’s no doubt that this isn’t the sexiest prediction I’ve ever made for Thursday Night Football, but if it hits, it will give Guyton the VOTG. This is what a salary of $540,000 does for an explosive player.

Thank you all for reading.  Take care and be safe.

TheJerk

Monday Night Football Preview: Week 14

Rams vs Cardinals

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

It’s the end of another fantastic week here on Dynasty Owner and with that we inch closer to crowning our new Chase for the Ring champion! I honestly don’t think I remember a season that has went by quicker than this year and we are even getting a bonus week. Unless it’s just my mind playing tricks on me after getting just about every bad break imaginable in fantasy football this season. It has been a wild year filled with injuries and strange outcomes, but the ride isn’t over just yet and the playoffs officially start after tonight’s game.

Before we jump into Monday Night Football game, let’s touch on last week briefly. As I mentioned last week, my Value of the Game picks have been somewhat of a curse on the picked player and instead of proving that theory wrong, I only strengthened it. I chose Jakobi Meyers as my Value of the Game and boy was I wrong with Meyers finishing the contest without even seeing a target come his way. Great pick by me……. Not!!! In my defense, I am not much of a weather watcher and had no idea the game would be held in such brutal conditions. Instead of Meyers making me look smart, someone I wouldn’t had considered, Damien Harris won the award. I stayed away from Harris due to his lack of work in the passing game and he certainly overcame that to finish on top.

What to Watch For

Finally, we have back-to-back big time Monday night football games. In tonight’s matchup between division rivals, we have the Odell Beckham Jr (OBJ) Rams vs the Arizona Cardinals, in a game that the Cardinals can all but secure a division title with a win. The Rams who were on the verge of being out of the playoff picture a few weeks back have gained some ground with only six teams in the NFC having a record above .500 after Sunday’s games. In tonight’s game I will be watching for a couple of things on each side of the ball. Let’s start with the Red Birds. The main thing I want to see when the Cardinals take the field is the health of DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins has not had the type of year we are used to seeing though some of it is due to injury, however it is imperative Nuke is healthy for the playoffs. The other big thing I am looking for with the Cardinals is if they can make a huge statement and virtually secure the division on top of a potential Number 1 seed in the NFC. On the other side of the ball, we have Hollywood and there will be many things worth watching but luckily for you I won’t name all of them. First, let’s talk about the elephant in the Rams room, OBJ. The Rams offense has not seemed the same since OBJ came to town but that also has a lot to do with Robert Woods being out for the year. Woods is excellent at things that do not show up in the stat sheet while his replacement (OBJ) doesn’t seem to want to get his hands dirty most days. I still don’t think he is to blame, yet. I am curious to see if OBJ can find his way in this offense and start making more positive plays for an offense that will no doubt need him come playoffs. The last thing I will be watching for with the Rams is the health of Matthew Stafford. I know Stafford can and will play through just about any injury imaginable but I’m not sure this team can accomplish its goals without a near 100% Matthew Stafford.

Jay’s Monday Night Prediction

 
Los Angeles Rams 28    Arizona Cardinals 31

Over/Under Projections

Rams

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Matthew StaffordQB$27,000,00027.3Over
Sony MichelRB$2,406,67415.8Under
Cooper KuppWR$15,750,00023.3Over
Odell Beckham Jr.WR$1,250,00013.1Over
Tyler HigbeeTE$7,250,00010.2Over

Cardinals

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Kyler MurrayQB$8,914,50428.7Over
James ConnerRB$1,750,00011.5Over
DeAndre HopkinsWR$27,500,00014.7Over
Christian KirkWR$1,473,71711.4Under
Zach ErtzTE$8,500,00010.4Over

Jay’s Dynasty Owner Games of the Week

Each week I will pick two games that are close in score and will likely be decided during Monday Night Football. If you happen to find yourself in this situation on Sunday night, please get ahold of me on Twitter (@jaypoundsnfl) and I will gladly feature your game here.

Game 1 – League #76062

Another Won – No one left in Starting lineup or Bench to play

Another Won has our 13th ranked Chase for the Ring contender on the ropes heading into tonight’s game. Another Won is projected to lose by just over 7 points and has no players left to play but they are in a not so decent spot even with a nearly 30-point lead built. The problem with this 30-point lead is the fact that John Boy’s Bolts has two excellent fantasy studs left to play, Cooper Kupp and James Conner. No matter the outcome it was certainly a valiant effort by Another Won. If tonight’s game is somehow a defensive matchup, Another Won should win the matchup, if it’s not, it likely won’t be as close as the predictions say. Unfortunately for Another Won, they may end up missing the playoffs with an 8-6 record if both of the 7-6 teams in their league win their games.

John Boy’s Bolts – James Conner and Cooper Kupp in Starting lineup and A.J. Green on Bench left to play

As I mentioned earlier John Boy’s Bolts is Dynasty Owner’s 13th ranked contender in Chase for the Ring and I would like to say congratulations, that is tough to do this late in the season. John Boy’s Bolts has got to feel great heading into tonight’s matchup with the Number 1 receiver in Dynasty Owner, Cooper Kupp yet to play! If Kupp or James Conner have a big game, this matchup could be over relatively fast and let’s be honest, Cooper Kupp can put up 30 points in his sleep.

Game 2 – League # 27466

Just Win Baby – Cooper Kupp in Starting lineup left to play

Unlike the first matchup we covered, we may see the Chase for the Ring contender lose in this one. Just Win Baby is down by just under 29 points and has that bad man we just talked about; Cooper Kupp left to play. If I am Just Win Baby, I am feeling great heading into tonight’s matchup with how consistent Cooper Kupp has been this season. Beating a Chase for the Ring contender is always great bragging rights and in my opinion, this owner will get just that when all is said and done. They will also clinch a playoff berth with a victory.

Little Donny Foundation – No one left in Starting lineup or Bench to play

The Little Donny Foundation may be crumbling at the knees when looking at their match-up. If Little Donny Foundation is looking for someone or something to place the blame of this loss on, they won’t have to look far as their running back depth virtually caused this loss, if it happens of course. All of that said Little Donny Foundation is one subpar Cooper Kupp performance away from escaping with a massive victory.

Value of the Game

If are familiar with my newfound curse on the player selected to win the Value of the Game, you will likely smile when you read my answer. You see what I did here was place my curse on a man who is already cursed in hopes of reversing my curse. Make sense? The one thing I didn’t think through with all of this was that I would have to publicly choose Odell Beckham Jr. to play well and/or win something, potentially a career ending decision (I’m looking at you John Dorsey). All jokes aside this was a weird week to pick from as many of the starting players have higher salaries. I am sure you’re wondering why it matters since all of them have higher salaries and the reason is because someone like Ben Skowronek is bound to make at least one catch and with a cheap enough salary ($891,131), it puts him in position to potentially win Value of the Game.

Winner – Odell Beckham Jr.

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Odell Beckham Jr.572118.2

Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction article and video that will be released on Tuesday afternoon before Free Agent Auction bids are processed on Wednesday at 5 AM. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly Tuesday recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you all for reading and hopefully tonight’s game will be a good one with all these projections coming true. Stay safe and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Week 14 Preview – Freeze

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

The Dynasty Owner trade freeze is almost here. In fact, it’s already here if you wanted to trade for someone on the Vikings or Steelers, like Chase Claypool because you’re Jay Pounds and a huge fan of his first down celebrations. Jay is a huge Steelers fan and tried to trade with me for Claypool in a league, but I’m not sure about his position on Claypool’s first down celebrations. Because both teams played last night, any trades involving a Vikings or Steelers players agreed to now, later on this week, next week, etc., won’t take effect until the Tuesday after the Week 17 games are over (January 4th). The trade freeze on all of the players on the other 30 NFL teams starts on Sunday at 1 PM (Eastern). Don’t forget that trades need to be accepted 24 hours before they are processed so the real deadline for accepting trades is basically Noon (Eastern) on Saturday.

In contrast to last season, there is no more Free Agent Auction freeze. That’s good news if you have a player get hurt, want a replacement and have salary cap room. It’s also good news for Jay Pounds and everyone who reads his weekly Free Agent Auction article or watches his weekly video since it means he has three more of them coming. Dynasty Owners who played last season voted to eliminate the Free Agent freeze for this season.

I’m in the minority on this as I liked the Free Agent freeze. I never cared for the fact that fantasy teams could make the playoffs with one team, then add a player for the playoffs and maybe win with him in their lineup. It happens frequently in my long-time redraft league and I’m not a fan of it. I think you should play in the playoffs with the players on your roster at the end of the regular season. If you want a player for the playoffs, pick him up before the end of the regular season.

While NFL teams can add players during the playoffs, it’s extremely rare that someone who wasn’t on a team’s roster during the season comes in and contributes during the playoffs. I said extremely rare as it happened last year when undrafted rookie offensive lineman Blake Hance was signed by the Browns off the Jets’ practice squad the day before the final game of the regular season. Hance ended up being activated for the Browns’ playoff game the following week against Pittsburgh and entered the game in the fourth quarter. According to QB Baker Mayfield, he introduced himself to Hance in the locker room before the game.

Hance was a lineman not a position player and I’m not sure I recall an instance of a position player being added to a team’s roster after the regular season and contributing to his team during the playoffs. Maybe some reading this article remembers it happening, but I don’t. Since it doesn’t happen in the NFL, then it should happen in Dynasty Owner since we are trying to replicate the experience of being a NFL General Manager or Owner.

Even though I personally didn’t support the change, there’s no more Free Agent Auction freeze in Dynasty Owner. Go ahead make those bids next week and maybe use a player who you pick up will be in your Starting lineup or on your Bench during your playoff run. Maybe I’ll even do it myself.

So far, one of the two teams in our Week 14 Match-up of the Week has picked up a player off the Free Agent Auction this week, but no trades yet. There could be a trade or more Free Agent additions coming though since whoever wins will be guaranteed a spot in their League playoffs. Once they are in the playoffs, they might continue with the free agent additions since it’s now allowed.

There weren’t any suggestions for this week, but they are always welcome. If you want your team or a team in your League to appear in the future, then send me a tweet (@SteveVT33).

The countdown of undefeated teams started in Week 11 with five teams, and we have lost one per week since then. That continued in Week 13 when the last of the undefeated teams outside of the Top 25 in the Chase for the Ring, The HipHopOpatomus from League #70068, lost. There are now only two remaining undefeated Dynasty Owner teams:

Team NameLeagueChase Position
DynastyTradeSchool (Mad Minshew)274583rd
Detroit’s Finest7473315th

Check back here next week and see if both of them are still undefeated.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of December 10th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s look at how my Week 13 recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I predicted performances worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup for these four players last week. In an exact repeat of Week 12, I had one Good recommendation and two Bad recommendations from the same positions and the point totals weren’t much different either. Here’s how my Week 13 recommendations did:

QB: Taylor Heinicke – 19.8 (Just Ok recommendation)

RB: Boston Scott – 0.0 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Van Jefferson – 16.1 (Good recommendation)

TE: Brevin Jordan – 2.7 (Bad recommendation)

Van Jefferson had 16.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, enough to make him a Top 24 WR for the week and my recommendation of him was a Good one. Taylor Heinicke was just outside of the Top 12 QBs with 19.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, so that recommendation was Just Ok. The entire Texans offense didn’t do much in Week 13 and that includes Brevin Jordan who had only 2.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Recommending him as a Starter was Bad and he should have been on your Bench. Finally, we have Boston Scott who was active, but didn’t play and so his Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) was clearly a Bad recommendation. There is only one week left in the Dynasty Owner regular season so it’s important to make good Start-Bench recommendations. Here are some players who should be in your Week 14 Dynasty Owner Starting lineup.

Taysom Hill (QB – NO): In his first game as the Saints’ starting QB, Taysom Hill played poorly, but still produced 25.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (264 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 101 rushing yards, 4 INTs). The Dallas Cowboys held the New Orleans offense to only 17 points, but the Saints get to face the New York Jets this week. The Jets are allowing a league worst 30.6 points per game and 396.8 yards of total offense per game. Gardner Minshew led the Eagles to 33 points and 24.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in his first start of the 2021 season last week against the Jets. That made Minshew the QB11 for the week. The Jets defense has given up an average of 23.65 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to QBs all season and 26.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points since their Week 6 bye. The Jets defense has not improved this season and won’t keep Hill from being a top 12 QB and worthy of a spot in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup.

JaMycal Hasty (RB – SF): JaMycal Hasty was the last man standing in the 49ers backfield last week. Both Elijah Mitchell and Jeffery Wilson were injured in last week’s game and the team signed Brian Hill to the practice squad on Wednesday, which isn’t a great sign about their availability for Week 14. Mitchell hasn’t practiced since suffering a concussion, while Wilson did finally practice on Thursday. Even if Wilson is healthy enough to play, Hasty should at least serve as the backup and third down back against Cincinnati. Third down back is a good spot against the Bengals who have allowed the most receptions by RBs in the NFL with 88 (7.3 per game). The 49ers utilized Deebo Samuel as part of their seventh ranked ground game (125.9 rushing yards per game) a lot recently before he was hurt in Week 12 and all of those opportunities should be available for Hasty as well. Hasty should get enough carries and receptions to make him worth having in your Starting lineup this week.

Tre’Quan Smith (WR – NO): All of the reasons for choosing Taysom Hill as a Starting QB this week are valid for choosing a Saints WR here. The question was – which Saints WR to choose? None of them are ranked in the top 24 WRs with Deonte Harris the highest ranked and in a tie with Marvin Jones as WR42. Harris is the Saints’ leading WR in terms of receptions (31) and receiving yards (523) and was the Value Player of the Week last week with 20.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but he’s suspended now. Marquez Callaway is the leader in targets (55) and TDs (6), but only had 2.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week (1 reception for 13 yards) and didn’t play much last year with Hill at QB because Michael Thomas was healthy for those games. In contrast, Tre’Quan Smith averaged 6.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the four games that Hill started in 2020 and even though he only had 3.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions for 15 yards), he was targeted seven times. Smith should see enough targets this week to score the Dynasty Owner fantasy points that his Dynasty Owners want in a Starting WR.

Austin Hooper (TE – CLE): Even though Hooper was held without a catch when the Browns played the Ravens just two weeks ago, Cleveland TEs ended up with 6 receptions for 85 receiving yards and a TD (20.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). However, Harrison Bryant has an ankle injury and is likely to be out, while David Njoku is on the COVID list and has already been ruled out. Neither one has been officially ruled as out. That leaves only Hooper and rookie Miller Forristall, who was promoted to the active roster on Tuesday and has yet to play a snap on offense this season. The three Cleveland TEs are averaging around nine targets, six receptions and 73 receiving yards per game. Hooper is likely to get most of, if not all, of the TE targets and if it’s an average Cleveland TE game, that’s 13.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6 receptions for 73 yards) even if he doesn’t score a TD. That will be enough Dynasty Owner fantasy points to make Hooper a top 12 TE in Week 14, so he should be in your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Just like Week 12, the Week 13 Bench recommendations were better than the Starting lineup recommendations. I had two Good and two Bad recommendations and didn’t recommend the Player of the Week as a Bench option like I did in Week 12. That’s a positive development, so let’s find out how each of my picks did.

QB: Josh Allen – 14.1 (Good recommendation)

RB: Saquon Barkley – 13.4 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Kendrick Bourne – 0.3 (Good recommendation)

TE: T.J. Hockenson – 14.9 (Bad recommendation)

For each of the past two weeks, I’ve chosen a player on the Patriots to Bench (Hunter Henry two weeks ago and Kendrick Bourne last week) and both recommendations were Good. The Bourne recommendation was especially Good as he had zero receptions and just one rushing attempt for three yards. In the same game, Josh Allen only scored 14.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and was the QB21 for the week, so that recommendation was also Good. High winds equals poor passing, welcome to Fantasy Football Analyst 101. Saquon Barkley was in the Top 24 RBs for the week, so that was a Bad recommendation. Not as Bad as Leonard Fournette the week before, but still Bad. Finally, T.J. Hockenson had a fine game in the Lions’ first victory with 14.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, making that another Bad recommendation. Two Good and two Bad recommendations is an above average Bench recommendation week that I’ll try to match or improve upon in Week 14 with these selections.

Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL): When the 2021 schedule came out, lots of people were critical about the scheduling for the Browns as they had to play Baltimore in Week 12, then have a bye in Week 13 and play Baltimore again in Week 14. However, I wonder if the Browns and their fans are looking forward to their second straight game as a chance to get revenge for their 16-10 loss two weeks ago. Even though the Ravens won, Lamar Jackson had a poor game with 4 INTs and only 9.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (165 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 4 INTs, 68 rushing yards). It was his worst performance of the season in terms of Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but he’s struggled with turnovers all season. Jackson has played in 11 games, but thrown 13 INTs and fumbled six times (losing two). He’s the QB7 on the season and averaging 27.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. However, if you remove his one amazing performance against Indianapolis in Week 5 when he scored 63.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, his average drops down to 23.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game and he drops out of the top 12 QBs. Usually, Jackson does better in his second game of the year against Cleveland, but this Browns’ defense is better than they have been in the past. While Jackson will likely have more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than in their first game match-up, I think he’ll still finish outside of the top 12 QBs for the week and is better suited for your Dynasty Owner Bench.

James Robinson (RB – JAC): The question in regard to James Robinson’s fantasy production in Week 14 comes down to whether or not his Dynasty Owners trust Urban Meyer to give Robinson the ball more than he did in Week 13. I’m not sure about that happening based on Meyer’s track record this season. Robinson received 19+ touches for four consecutive weeks (Weeks 3-6), then Jacksonville had a bye week, followed by Robinson getting hurt after only five touches in Week 8. He sat out Week 9 and since coming back in Week 10, he has only gotten more than 19 touches once (Week 12 versus Atlanta) and averaged just 10.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Last year, Robinson had 23.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in his first game against Tennessee with 19 touches, but was held to 12.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the second game on only three fewer touches. I see the same pattern in 2021 as Robinson had 19 touches in Week 5 versus Tennessee for 23.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. While Meyer is saying the right things in response to criticism about his usage of Robinson, I’m not confident that he will actually do the right thing, so I’d leave Robinson on your Dynasty Owner Bench this week.

Brandin Cooks (WR – HOU): Since their Week 10 bye, it’s been a struggle offensively for the Houston Texans. They have scored only 36 points in three games (12.0 points per game) with just two passing TDs against the Jets. They have thrown for a total of 359 yards in those three games. Davis Mills will start, but hasn’t been great this season with only three games games of 200 or more yards in six starts. Poor QB play hasn’t stopped Brandin Cooks from being the overall WR24 this season, but it has made him inconsistent with five games of less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. The Texans’ Week 14 opponent, the Seattle Seahawks, have allowed only seven receiving TDs to WRs this season and none since their Week 9 bye (they have allowed 4 passing to TEs and 1 to a RB in that time though). This leaves me not optimistic about Cooks’ chances to get into the end zone or produce enough Dynasty Owner fantasy points to be in your Starting lineup. Leave Cooks on your Bench this week.

Zach Ertz (TE – ARI): This is a tough week to recommend having a top TE on your Bench as three of the four teams on bye (Miami, New England and Philadelphia) have a top 12 TE. Both Tyler Conklin from Minnesota and Pat Freiermuth from Pittsburgh played on Thursday night, leaving even fewer options at my disposal. With my excuses out of the way, Zach Ertz from Arizona is my Bench selection this week. Ertz has played six games for the Cardinals and averaged 11.55 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game (69.3 total points). However, only three of those games have come with Kyler Murray at QB and his per game average is actually lower in those games (8.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) than when Colt McCoy is at QB (14.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). The only two games that Ertz has gotten over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in his tenure with the Cardinals were games in which he had a TD reception. The Rams are the Cardinals’ opponent this week and they have allowed only four TD receptions to TEs this season, including one by Cardinals TE Maxx Williams back in Week 4. Ertz is TE11 on the Dynasty Owner season, but with Mike Gesicki, Hunter Henry and Dallas Goedert on bye, Darren Waller out with an injury, and T.J. Hockenson likely out, Ertz suddenly jumps up to TE6. Even with that ranking, he should be on your Dynasty Owner Bench this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – Doobey’s Misfits vs. Cmans Crew

For our final Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the regular season, I wanted to find a game in which the winner makes the playoffs, and the loser is out. It took plenty of time and research, but I finally found one in League #61834 between Doobey’s Misfits and Cmans Crew. Both teams are 7-6 right now and in sixth place (Cmans Crew) and seventh place (Doobey’s Misfits) in their League standings.

A win puts the winning team in the playoffs as either the fifth or sixth seed, while a loss doesn’t necessarily mean that the losing team is out, but with the point advantage that Team Tcare has over both teams, it’s extremely unlikely that Team Tcare doesn’t make it into the playoffs. If Team Tcare loses, then the winner of the Doobey’s Misfits-Cmans Crew game will have a 8-6 record and be the fifth seed, while Team Tcare will be 7-7 and the sixth seed.

The top four seeds are set, but the order is yet to be determined as there is a 10-3 team (Faulty Niners) and three 9-4 teams (Burrows before hoes, FitzMagic and Westerweyhe 49ers). This is not the Burrows before hoes team that is in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring, but this one is still in 152nd place and need a victory in Week 14 to clinch a first round bye. Tough league when you’re that high up in the Chase for the Ring and fighting for a bye week.

In a change from the usual, I’m putting in the current box score after the Thursday Night Football game. The Steelers tandem of Najee Harris and Diontae Johnson in Starting lineup for Cmans Crew scored 40.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, slightly higher than projected (33.6 points) and has shrunk the deficit for Cmans Crew who still has Tevin Coleman, Mike Williams and Tristan Vizcaino in their Starting lineup. Williams might play, but Coleman has been ruled out and Vizcaino is on the Chargers’ practice squad. Some lineup changes by Cmans Crew could make them the favorite over Doobey’s Misfits.

Doobey’s Misfits is fielding a full Starting lineup and Bench which is giving them a projected advantage of 7.04 points (131.15 to 124.11). However, either team could take this match-up, qualify for the playoffs and maybe make a run at the inaugural League championship. With several players on the Rams and Cardinals in Starting lineups (Sony Michel, D’Andre Hopkins and Tyler Higbee for Doobey’s Misfits and Matthew Stafford for Cmans Crew), it’ll probably come down to Monday Night Football before the winner is determined. Good luck to both teams this week and to the winner in the playoffs!

Conclusion

Once Week 14 is finished, the Dynasty Owner regular season will be over, and the Playoffs (and Loser’s bracket tournament) begin. Everyone needs to set their Starting lineup and Bench as best as they can this week as while your team might not be in contention for the playoffs, they could be playing a team that is trying to make it or working to earn a first round playoff bye. It’s important that the teams  who make the playoffs earn it and don’t get in just because their opponent didn’t set their lineup.

Please read my weekly preview article each and every week. It might help you set your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup or decide who should be on your Bench. While some Dynasty Owners may heed my advice, others might disagree, or not have a better option for their Starting lineup and choose to ignore a Bench recommendation. Other Dynasty Owners may not need Starting lineup help as they have a stud player at a position who isn’t moving to the Bench unless he’s injured or on bye. Hopefully, your choices for your Starting lineup and Bench are the best ones you can make, and your team wins in its regular season finale.

In addition to this weekly preview article, Dynasty Owner has plenty of other great content to help your team win. On Monday, Jay Pounds will preview the Monday Night Football matchup from the Dynasty Owner perspective. Tuesday has a double shot of Dynasty Owner content with my Week 14 recap article and Jay’s Free Agent Auction targets article and video. Wednesdays is when Matt Morrison – The Jerk will dive into a topic of his choosing with an article and a video. On Thursday, Matt will be back with his Thursday Night Football preview article for the first week of the Dynasty Owner playoffs.

Don’t forget about the weekly Dynasty Owner livestream on Wednesday with myself, Tim Peffer, and Dr. Cousin Justin. The injury updates from Dr. Cousin Justin can be crucial at this time of the fantasy football year. If there is a particular injured player who you are interested in learning more about during the livestream, drop me a line on Twitter (@SteveVT33) and I’ll put it on the list for Cousin Justin to research. Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of the Dynasty Owner team of writers plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner