Monday Night Football Preview: Week 3

Eagles vs Cowboys

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

It is honestly hard to believe it is already Monday Night Football for Week 3 but regardless of if I believe it or not, the end of Week 3 is near.  In Week 2 we had the Lions vs Packers for our Monday Night Football game and I had Marquez Valdes-Scantling (MVS) as my Value of the Game. As we all know football is a game of inches. I say this because MVS had a few chances to make big plays and finish as the Value of the Game, but the former MVP Aaron Rodgers missed him on a couple occasions leading Rodgers to apologize to the young speedster after the game. Hey Aaron Rodgers! If you are reading this, I feel I could use an apology as well as I looked horribly wrong with my Value of the Game prediction last Monday night because of those missed opportunities. While I had the position right for Value of the Game, I happened to be looking on the wrong team. Quintez Cephus was the real Value of the Game for Monday Night Football in Week 2 finishing with 4 catches for 63 yards and a touchdown, all on a salary of just $899,822. Enough of last week, let’s move on to why you are all reading this to begin with!

What to Watch For

In this week’s Monday night contest, we have a heated rivalry out of the NFC East with the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys on prime-time television. In this week’s matchup, I am watching for a couple different things but none more important than the Cowboys defense. The Cowboys defense has highly exceeded expectations in this young season, and I am very interested to see how they look against Jalen Hurts and his ability to extend plays outside of the pocket. If the Cowboys come out and have another solid defensive performance, they just may be a playoff squad this season.  On the other side of the ball, we have the Eagles being led by the previously mentioned Jalen Hurts, who I will be watching with a close eye later tonight. Hurts struggled with accuracy at times last season and has seemed to be improved in that area of his game thus far this season. Will Hurts continue his improvement as a passer or will he show us he has just had an easy matchup to start the season against the Falcons? The last couple things I will be watching for: how Amari Cooper plays after being banged up last week; how does the Cowboys run game shake out with Tony Pollard continuing to impress; and how each of these offensive lines look after being banged up and missing pieces. And by missing pieces I mean Cowboys’ offensive lineman La’el Collins trying to bribe drug test collectors.

Jay’s Monday Night Prediction

In tonight’s game I think we will see the defenses take somewhat of a backseat as the offenses take turns trading shots with the Eagles ultimately coming out on top.

Eagles 30Cowboys 24

Over/Under Projections

Cowboys

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Dak PrescottQB$40,000,00030.0Over
Ezekiel ElliottRB$15,000,00016.9Under
Tony PollardRB$796,9459.7Over
CeeDee LambWR$3,502,50318.5Over
Amari CooperWR$20,000,00017.9Over
Dalton SchultzTE$728,0906.9Under

Eagles

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Jalen HurtsQB$1,506,29226.9Over
Miles SandersRB$1,337,54415.8Over
Kenneth GainwellRB$953,8828.3Over
DeVonta SmithWR$5,035,34814.6Over
Jalen ReagorWR$3,317,66910.0Over
Dallas GoedertTE$1,406,0688.6Over

In this Monday night matchup, I am expecting a tough division game and I do not mean defensive tough. I am expecting to see a few lead changes and the Eagles running game with Hurts, Sanders, and Gainwell proving to be too much in the end. In Week 2, each of these teams struggled to get going offensively with neither scoring over 20 points. Look for both offenses to come out on fire while putting up points rather quickly tonight.

Jay’s Dynasty Owner Games of the Week

Each week I will pick two games that are close in score and will likely be decided during Monday Night Football. If you happen to find yourself in this situation on Sunday night, please get ahold of me on Twitter (@jaypoundsnfl) and I will gladly feature your game here.

Game 1 – League #27446

Horny Toads – Dallas Goedert and Greg Zuerlein in Starting lineup left to play

Looking at Horny Toads starting lineup I would have expected a higher total score but that highlights the importance of having a high scoring quarterback each week. Horny Toads had every single player aside from Tyler Lockett score double digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week, yet only has a total of 111.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for the week with Dallas Goedert and his kicker yet to go. Ultimately, I don’t see the horny fella pulling off this upset with Pollard being too much in the opposing lineup. If Horny Toads are unable to pull off the victory this week, the blame will fall squarely on the shoulders of Kyler Murray and Tyler Lockett.

Fields of Dreams – Tony Pollard in Starting lineup left to play

Fields of Dreams is making his 2nd appearance in the first three weeks of the season in this section. Fields of Dreams should be feeling comfortable heading into tonight’s game with a 9.5-point lead and Tony Pollard yet to go. The Cowboys have been utilizing Pollard much more as of late and I expect it to be no different this week. If Fields of Dreams does lose this matchup in a close game, they will only be able to blame themselves as they left two bench spots open this week (RB and kicker).

Game 2 – League #28278

Turn Down for Watt – Kenneth Gainwell in Starting lineup left to play

Turn Down must be feeling pretty good heading into tonight’s game only needing 6.6 points from Kenneth Gainwell to come away with the win. When looking at the matchup, Turn Down is probably feeling a little lucky with his opponent leaving two Bench spots open this week. Turn Down had a huge performance from Matthew Stafford (41.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and a nice performance from Cordarrelle Patterson (17.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) to help put them in position to win on Monday Night Football.

Donkey Punchers – No players left to play

If I were the Donkey Punchers owner, I would be extremely nervous heading into tonight’s game and would not be counting on a victory this week. The Eagles have seemed to love Gainwell thus far and I would imagine we will see him get a solid amount of work again tonight resulting in a loss for Donkey Punchers. If this ends up coming down to just a couple points, Donkey Punchers will only be able to blame themselves for not having enough depth to fill out their Bench leaving two spots open (Tight End and kicker).

I chose both games to highlight the importance of Bench scoring and making sure to set your Bench lineup in Dynasty Owner!

Value of the Game

At last, we have what I am going to assume is everyone’s favorite, the Value of the Game. Last week, I missed bad with Marquez Valdes-Scantling who did absolutely nothing and will look to redeem myself here in Week 3.

In this week’s edition, I will be going with none other than Jalen Hurts, Quarterback for the Philadelphia Eagles. While I did not think Hurts was horrible last week, he certainly did not play his best and will be looking to bounce back against the Cowboys defense tonight. At a salary of just $1,506,292 Hurts is setup well to hit as tonight’s Value of the Game. As we should all be used to by now, I am expecting Hurts to make big plays with his legs and arm which will help him fend off the likes of CeeDee Lamb as value of the game. I have Hurts in the range of 250 passing yards and 100 rushing yards to finish with the stat line below.

Winner – Jalen Hurts

Jay’s Projected Stat LinePassing AttemptsPassing CompletionsPassing YardsPassing TDsRushing AttemptsRushing YardsRushing TDsDOFP
Jalen Hurts25332422968136.9

Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction article and video that will be released on Tuesday afternoon before Free Agent Auction bids are processed on Wednesday at 5 AM. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly Tuesday recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

I hope everyone is having a better start to the season than I am as I have too many shares of Amari Cooper who killed me in Week 2 and DeAndre Hopkins and A.J. Brown who have been banged up over the past two weeks. Thank you all for reading this week’s Monday Night Preview and as always good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Week 3 Preview – Changing of the Guard

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

This week’s Thursday night game was decidedly less exciting than the past two weeks, but it did feature something that both of those games lacked. That’s right a rookie QB making his first NFL start. Washington Football Team QB Taylor Heinicke was making his first regular season start last week, but don’t forget that he started the Football Team’s playoff game against Tampa Bay last year. Last night, it was Davis Mills taking over for Tyrod Taylor as Houston’s QB and you have to think that with Deshaun Watson’s “issues” and desire to never play for the Texans again that we might have seen the change to a new QB of the future for Houston.

The same thing is possible for the Chicago Bears with Justin Fields starting at QB this Sunday in place of an injured Andy Dalton. Sure, Bears’ Head Coach Matt Nagy said that Dalton is the starter once he’s healthy, but Anthony Lynn said the same thing last year when Justin Herbert took over at QB for the Chargers in place of an injured Tyrod Taylor. Lynn said this after Justin Herbert’s first NFL start back in Week 2 of the 2020 season, “…the veteran quarterback right now gives us the best chance to win.” He also said “If Tyrod Taylor is 100%, then he is our quarterback”. In case you forgot, Taylor never played another snap for the Chargers and signed with the Texans in the off-season. Don’t be surprised if the same thing happens with Dalton and the Bears. If I was a Bears fan, I’d be praying for the same thing that happened with Herbert to happen again with Fields.

There’s also a potential changing of the guard in Dynasty Owner. Into the Top 25 in the Chase for the Ring in 2021 are newcomers like Crow Valley Corvids (currently in 1st place), The Road Warriors (2nd place), Foxborokid (6th place) and many others. Out are Barbee Kilgore (1st place in 2020), Quaranteed for Greatness (2nd place in 2020), The Human Fund (5th place in 2020) and most of the other teams who finished last season in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring.

The good news for those teams from 2020 who aren’t on the Chase leaderboard is that they still have a dozen Dynasty Owner regular season games plus the playoffs to right the ship, win their League and maybe find their way back. We’ll highlight a game in our Match-up of the Week between one of the new teams trying to take over the Chase standings and a member of the old guard who wants to hold on to their spot.

Thanks for reading my weekly preview article. Every week of the 14-game Dynasty Owner regular season and three game playoffs, I’ll present a player at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup. After that, I’ll name one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. These won’t be the obvious choices for Starters either. No recommendations to go ahead and start Patrick Mahomes, Derrick Henry, Davante Adams and Travis Kelce. I also won’t have “sleepers” like Matthew Stafford. He is the QB11 right now in Dynasty Owner. He should be a Starter and is definitely not a “sleeper”. Highly drafted players who may have had a bad first two weeks, such as Josh Allen or Antonio Gibson, won’t be mentioned either. Nope, I’m going to recommend you Start players who were drafted to be on your Bench or Practice Squad. For the Bench recommendations, I’ll suggest players drafted to be Starters or who have had a great first two weeks and their current ranking says they should be in your Starting lineup, but who shouldn’t be in there this week based on matchups, past performance against a team or something else.

Finally, I will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. Again, this week’s matchup was mentioned in the chat during the Wednesday afternoon live Dynasty Owner podcast with me and Tim Peffer. If you didn’t see the Wednesday live podcast, or Tim and Seth live on Thursday, you can check both of those videos out on the Dynasty Owner YouTube anytime.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of September 24th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

As always, let’s take a quick look at how my recommendations from the previous week fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I predicted good performances worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup for these four guys in Week 2, so let’s see how they did.

QB: Ben Roethlisberger – 16.7 (Bad recommendation)

RB: James Conner – 2.6 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Jarvis Landry – 1.9 (Bad recommendation)

TE: Jared Cook – 5.8 (Bad recommendation)

That didn’t go slow well, did it? Out of the four recommendations, all were Bad with only QB Ben Roethlisberger having double-digit points and even being close to a decent option for your Bench. He was QB23 in Dynasty Owner for Week 2 and finished with fewer Dynasty Owner fantasy points than a couple of QBs who got injured (Tyrod Taylor and Carson Wentz). The rest didn’t do much either, but Jarvis Landry had potential before he sprained his MCL early in the Browns’ game. It’s the changing of the week now to Week 3. The only way that I can go is up with these recommendations:

Ryan Tannehill (QB – TEN): As the QB26 right now in Dynasty Owner and the 20th QB off the board on average in Dynasty Owner start-up drafts (ADP 119.4), Ryan Tannehill definitely qualifies as someone who should probably be on your Bench this week. He’s not a “sleeper” like some people are calling Matthew Stafford. Tannehill’s history against Indianapolis (average of 18.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in three starts as Titans QB) doesn’t scream “Start me” either. However, I have to think better games are coming for Tannehill and the Titans passing offense. So far in 2021, Indianapolis has allowed the top two opposition WRs to score a combined 90.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in just two games. Admittedly, those were great WR pairs (Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf for Seattle; Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp for the Rams), but you know what Tannehill has as well. A pair of great WRs in A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. In total, the Indianapolis defense has allowed opposition QBs to throw 24 completions for 407 yards and 5 TDs to their WRs. If you take half of those stats for Tannehill and round down, it’s 203 passing yards and 2 passing TDs (22.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). That’s a good start towards a Top 12 QB performance, so put Tannehill in your Starting lineup.

James White (RB – NE): Technically, James White shouldn’t be eligible, but unless you have James White on your roster, you probably aren’t aware that he’s the RB15 in Dynasty Owner after the first two weeks of the 2021 NFL season. He leads the Patriots in receptions (12) and receiving yards (94) as well. Rookie QBs need reliable players to throw short passes to and if you look up reliable in the dictionary, you’ll see James White’s picture. Not sure if they still have dictionaries anymore, but look around and maybe you’ll find one in the library. White doesn’t run the ball much as he only has nine carries for 32 yards, but since Dynasty Owner is full PPR (one point per reception), it’s fine since White gets the vast majority of his fantasy points in the receiving game (80% in 2020 and 83% in 2019). He averaged 13.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in 2019 with the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady under center for New England. We’re pretending the 2020 season with Cam Newton didn’t happen. Mac Jones isn’t Brady, but he’s been fine and the best of the rookie QBs so far. That’s because of his reliance on White. An average week for White would be six receptions for 47 yards, which is 10.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. I think he’ll do better than that and be worthy of inclusion in your Starting lineup.

Hunter Renfrow (WR – LV): After the first two weeks of the season, Renfrow is the leading WR for Las Vegas with 11 receptions and ranked second in receiving yards behind Henry Ruggs with 127. He’s also chipped in 36 punt return yards, good for 0.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He also led the Raiders WRs in receptions last year with 56 for 656 receiving yards and two receiving TDs to finish as the WR57 in Dynasty Owner. That’s pretty solid production for only $708,987 in salary and about $100,000 less than a 2021 undrafted rookie free agent. That’s Bench WR production, but with fellow Raiders WR Henry Ruggs and Bryan Edwards likely to be defended by the Dolphins top CBs Xavien Howard and Byron Jones, I believe that Raiders QB Derek Carr will continue to target Renfrow when Darren Waller isn’t open, as he has already done 16 times this season. Derek Carr has attempted 93 passes against only 46 rushing attempts, probably because Raiders RBs are averaging only 2.4 yards per carry (36 carries for 86 yards). Renfrow is still waiting to score his first TD in Las Vegas, and this could be the week, so get him in your Starting lineup.

Austin Hooper (TE – CLE): Hooper is arguably the top available Cleveland pass catcher this week. Odell Beckham Jr. is expected to play, but how much is an open question because he hasn’t played in a NFL game since last October. As a result, I wouldn’t rely on OBJ. Because of Hooper’s $10.5 million salary and the fact that he finished 2020 as the TE21 in Dynasty Owner, he is only rostered in 37.9% of Dynasty Owner leagues. While the Bears are in the bottom third in terms of fantasy points allowed to TEs, it’s because Bengals QB Joe Burrow only targeted TE C.J. Uzomah twice in last week’s game against them. Back in Week 1, the Bears defense gave up 11.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions for 68 yards) to Rams TE Tyler Higbee which put Higbee in the Top 10 TEs after the first game. Finally, Jarvis Landry missed the Browns’ Week 16 game last year and guess who was the Browns’ leading receiver in that game? It was Hooper who was targeted a whopping 15 times and scored 14.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (7 receptions for 71 yards). If you happen to be one of those Dynasty Owners with Hooper on your roster, get him in your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Now it’s the time to look at how my Bench recommendations from Week 2 worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). In Week 1, I was a perfect 4 for 4 with all Good Bench recommendations. Did I do it again in Week 2?

QB: Jameis Winston – 7.4 (Good recommendation)

RB: Josh Jacobs – DNP (N/A recommendation)

WR: Corey Davis – 2.8 (Good recommendation)

TE: Kyle Pitts – 12.3 (Bad recommendation)

I feel like the villains in Scooby Doo saying, “if it wasn’t for that meddling Kyle Pitts” Here’s a great YouTube video if you’re not familiar with what I just wrote. Without the Pitts recommendation which was Bad because he had 12.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and finished among the top 10 TEs for the week, I’d still have a perfect Bench recommendation record. Guess I should have gone with Tyler Higbee (1.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) or George Kittle (4.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) instead. The Jameis Winston and Corey Davis Bench recommendations were both stellar as neither one did much in Week 2 after huge performances in Week 1. At the time of publication last week, Josh Jacobs hadn’t been ruled out for the week, so that pick doesn’t count.

Let’s see if I can keep up the good week with these four recommended Bench players for Week 3.

Tom Brady (QB – TB): With a near perfect Bench recommendation record on the line, picking the G.O.A.T. is likely not the smartest move, but I’m making it anyways. The basis is basically that the Buccaneers are playing against the Rams this week and the Rams have a really good defense. The Rams held Brady to only 16.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (216 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 2 INTs) in Week 11 of last year. That was his third worst performance of the 2020 season behind 1.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 9 against New Orleans and 10.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 2 against Carolina. Even the G.O.A.T. has a bad game every once in a while. I know the G.O.A.T. is likely super focused on the Rams, you can’t tell me that he isn’t thinking just a little bit about the Buccaneers’ Week 4 matchup against the New England Patriots. The news stories with comments from his trainer and Dad have already started and I think the G.O.A.T. might overlook the Rams and need to be on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Alvin Kamara (RB – NO): The Saints play New England this week and Bill Belichick loves to take away the best offensive player on the opposition team. That’s clearly Alvin Kamara for the Saints, so guess who the Patriots defense is going to focus on? The Patriots defense has allowed only two TDs so far this season (1 rushing, 1 passing) and neither were scored by a RB. Kamara does a lot of his damage receiving out of the backfield and in the first two games of the season, New England has allowed all RBs to catch only 9 passes for 80 receiving yards. They definitely weren’t focused on stopping Myles Gaskin (12.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) who finished as a low end RB2 in Week 1 or the Jets trio of RBs (a combined 18.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). The Saints offense had a terrible game last week with only 128 yards of total offense and Kamara only scored 7.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 rushing yards, 4 receptions, 25 receiving yards). The Patriots likely won’t keep Kamara from catching the ball at all, but they can limit his touches and possibly keep him under 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, which would put him RB30 territory and worth a spot on the Bench.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): Opposition starting WRs are averaging only 10.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game against the Buffalo Bills defense. Those WRs aren’t slouches either as it includes the Steelers trio of Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool and JuJu Smith-Schuster and the Dolphins pair of Jaylen Waddle and Davante Parker. Johnson, Claypool and Smith-Schuster were all top 24 WRs in 2020 and Parker was the WR40. Waddle is a rookie, but was the #6 overall pick in the 2021 NFL draft. If the Bills were able to hold down multiple WRs from those two teams, how is Terry McLaurin going to do as really the only WR worth guarding on the Washington Football Team? McLaurin has more receptions and receiving yards (15 receptions for 169 yards) than all of the other Washington WRs combined this season (14 receptions for 103 yards). The Steelers and Dolphins targeted their WR a combined 52 times in the first two games with just 31 receptions and 255 receiving yards to show for it. That’s the fifth most targets and fifth fewest amount of receiving yards. Not a great combination for McLaurin, so put him on your Dynasty Owner Bench and find a better option at WR.

Mark Andrews (TE – BAL): Andrews hasn’t been very good this year so far. He has only produced 15.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to rank as the TE16 after two games. Six other Ravens players have scored more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than Andrews so far this season. The appealing thing about Andrews has always been his low salary ($863,290) and the fact that he scores a lot of TDs (10 in 2019 and 7 in 2020). So far, zero TDs through two games this season and his salary goes up to $14 million a year in 2022. However, his salary doesn’t matter in terms of whether or not to start him this week against the Detroit Lions. What matters more is that the Ravens have run the ball 75 times in two games for 440 yards (5.9 yards per carry), while the Lions have allowed an average of 113.5 rushing yards per game. The Ravens will likely try to run as much as they can, limiting the number of targets and TD opportunities that Andrews can expect to get again this week. Even though he’s the TE16 right now, he was drafted to be a Starter (ADP 52.7) and most Dynasty Owners will want to have him in their Starting lineup this week. Hopefully you have someone else you can plug in as your Starting TE and leave Andrews on the Bench.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – The Road Warriors vs. Dynasty Trade School (Mad Minshew)

It’s time for the third Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week of the 2021 season. The first two match-ups have been really good and the third one looks to be right in line as well. Our Week 1 game came down to Monday Night Football with Dan’s Dynasty taking down the 2020 Chase for the Ring Championship team Barbee Kilgore by 2.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Week 2 also came down to Monday night and saw Scubon1c Plagu3 outlast SKOL Vikings by just 2.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

The predictions are showing that the Week 3 Match-up between The Road Warriors and Dynasty Trade School (Mad Minshew) in League #27449 should be almost as close. The Road Warriors are in second place right now in the 2021 Chase for the Ring, while the Dynasty Owner running the Dynasty Trade School (Mad Minshew) team knows how to get to the top of the Chase standings as he finished in third place last year with another team (Mad Minshew’s Moustache in League #27458). Both teams are 2-0 in League play and the top spot in League #27449 is on the line.

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The Road Warriors are favored to win by a high-scoring game befitting these two top teams by a score of 174.3 to 171.2. Unless one of them makes a lineup change, this Match-up will be over on Sunday night as neither team has any Cowboys or Eagles players in their Starting lineup or on the Bench right now. Everyone can look on Monday to see what happened if one of them is still on the Chase leaderboard or just wait for the Tuesday recap article to see who won and went to 3-0 on the season.

Conclusion

Please read my weekly preview article each and every week to see who should be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup and who should be on your Bench. If you have one of the players mentioned, hopefully it will assist you with your lineup decisions. While some Dynasty Owners may heed my advice, others might disagree, or not have a better option for their Starting lineup and choose to ignore a Bench recommendation. Other Dynasty Owners may not need Starting lineup help as they have a stud player at a position who isn’t moving to the Bench unless he’s injured or on bye. Hopefully, the choices for your Starting lineup and Bench are solid, your team wins its game, and you stay in contention for the playoffs and the Chase for the Ring.

In addition to this weekly preview article, Dynasty Owner has plenty of other great content to help you win your League Championship and maybe the Chase for the Ring. Our in-season publication schedule is as follows. On Monday, Jay Pounds will preview the Monday Night Football matchup from the Dynasty Owner perspective. Tuesday has a double shot of Dynasty Owner content with my Week 3 recap article and Jay’s Free Agent Auction targets article and video. Wednesdays is when Matt Morrison – The Jerk will dive into a topic of his choosing with an article and a video, while the next day, he’ll have an article previewing the Thursday Night Football game to start Week 4. Don’t forget about the Dynasty Owner livestream on Wednesday with myself, Jay Pounds and Tim Peffer as well as the free flowing fun that is Seth and Tim chatting together live on Thursdays at 1 PM. Set those timers so you don’t miss either one of those broadcasts.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of the Dynasty Owner team of writers plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Thursday Night Football: Week 3

Panthers vs Texans

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Hello Dynasty Owners. Welcome to Week 3 and Thursday Night Football. Before the season started, I looked at every Thursday night matchup just to get an idea of what matchups will be the most exciting. This matchup didn’t fit that description. Rather, I thought there was a decent chance both the Panthers and Texans would be winless. As it turns out, neither are winless and the Panthers are actually undefeated. The Jets’ matchup was not a surprise win, but them beating the Saints was unbelievable. I really like watching this new Panthers team with Sam Darnold as the leader.

Value Of The Game Recap

Last week I broke down a match-up between the New York Giants and the Washington Football Team. The Football Team came out with the win. In that matchup, I predicted Antonio Gibson would be the “Value of the Game.” The sad reality is that Gibson had a poor performance that mainly stemmed from the fact he had only two receptions for four yards. He also had zero touchdowns. Gibson wasn’t even close to the “Value of the Game” with 9.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Instead, that honor goes to his teammate, Terry McLaurin. Terry was an absolute superstar with Taylor Heinicke delivering the passes. McLaurin had 11 receptions for 107 yards and one touchdown. Truly an amazing game. This was good for 27.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That output combined with a salary of $961,918 makes McLaurin the Week 2 Thursday Night Football Value of the Game.

What To Watch For

The main thing I’m looking for in this matchup is if Sam Darnold continues to play like a MVP candidate. Darnold currently has four total touchdowns combined with a completion percentage of 68.5 percent. I see no reason why this success cannot continue into this game. This is also one of the few games throughout the season where I would feel comfortable sliding Darnold into my Starting lineup. Obviously this decision depends on your other quarterback options, but I would consider it.

Starters

All the players that I include in this list are players who I think should be started in most, if not all, Dynasty Owner leagues. They are:

Christian McCaffrey ($16,015,875)

D.J. Moore ($2,792,829)

Robby Anderson ($10,000,000)

Brandin Cooks ($16,200,000)

Bench Players

After the starters come the Bench players. In Dynasty Owner, players that are on your Bench count towards your overall team total. Those players receive 25 percent of their fantasy points. Here are the players that I’m not confident enough to start, but should be on your Bench.

Sam Darnold ($7,561,929)

Mark Ingram ($2,500,000)

David Johnson ($5,000,000)

Philip Lindsay ($3,250,000)

Terrace Marshall Jr. ($1,432,372)

Dan Arnold ($3,000,000)

Value Of The Game

My Value of the Game is the cheapest starter who I listed. That player is D.J. Moore. Moore has had a hot start to his 2021 season. This is something that Dynasty Owners, especially Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer, have been waiting on for quite a while. Not only is the high reception total happening (7 per game), but he has been posting high yardage numbers (79.5 per game) with a single touchdown. The Texans look to be a rock solid matchup against the Panthers’ weapons. I do believe that we are starting to witness the beginning of the D.J. Moore breakout, and I can’t wait to see it. Here are my predictions for Moore tonight…

Week 3 ProjectionsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
D.J. Moore794122.4

This reception and yardage total put him pretty much on track with his yearly average so far. I do think he gets in the endzone in this game as well. I have the Panthers easily beating the Texans by eight points in this game. Start Moore with confidence.

This prediction combined with his very cheap salary of $2,792,829 makes D.J. Moore my Week 3 Value of the Game.

Thank you all, and I will see you next week. Take care and be safe.

TheJerk

Monday Night Football Preview: Week 2

Lions vs Packers

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

As Week 2 starts to wind down I am sitting here watching the fantastic Chiefs vs Ravens game while having a drink and soaking it all in. Week 2 was beyond wild, and I can only imagine more of the same is in store for Monday Night Football. Lamar Jackson flips into the end zone for a go-ahead TD just after typing that last sentence.

In last week’s Monday Night Football game, I pegged Lamar Jackson as the Value of the Game, and it turns out I was too optimistic about him as he only put up 19.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points when I pegged him for 34.9 points. While I did come close on a lot of Jackson’s stat line, I was expecting him to do quite a bit more in the redzone and had him accounting for 2 TDs instead of just one. He also missed gaining 100 yards by a little bit (14 yards) and missed the 100 yards rushing bonus. He also had three fumbles (2 lost) that I didn’t factor in. Ty’Son Williams was the ultimate value in last week’s game finishing with 18.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points on a salary of only $660,000.

What to Watch For

I am pretty sure everyone can guess what I am watching for in tonight’s game because you are likely watching for the same thing. In Week 1, last year’s MVP Aaron Rodgers looked like he did not want to be playing football for the Green Bay Packers anymore. Rodgers showed terrible body language all day last Sunday and there is no way his teammates did not take notice. Rodgers is one of the best quarterbacks to ever pick up a ball and if there is anyone I feel can turn on the proverbial switch as we say, it is Rodgers. I am more curious to see how his teammates respond to his poor play and body language come Monday night. Aaron Rodgers was so bad in Week 1 he had only 0.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

In Week 2, Aaron Rodgers and company get a friendly matchup with the Detroit Lions defense which has to be a welcoming site for the Green and Yellow. If the Packers struggle tonight against the Lions, there will be plenty of questions to answer in Green Bay, Wisconsin come Tuesday morning. The Lions come to town after an exciting Week one game with the 49ers which ultimately led to a loss for the team from Mo-Town. From a Lions perspective I am looking to see if they can be competitive for an entire game or if they are going to be a team who has a few scoring outbursts throughout this season. The last couple things I am looking at for the Lions is to see how their running back room continues to play out as far as a split between Jamal Williams and D’Andre Swift. Finally, I am excited to see how this young Lions receiving room will play with Tyrell Williams ruled out for the contest.

Jay’s Monday Night Prediction

I like the Green Bay Packers in tonight’s game and think the final score will be:

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3823

Over/Under Projections

Lions

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Jared GoffQB$33,500,00020.5Over
D’Andre SwiftRB$2,134,72816.6Over
Jamaal WilliamsRB$3,000,0009.1Over
Quintez CephusWR$899,8228.3Over
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR$1,066,3138.0Under
T.J. HockensonTE$4,955,30614.0Over

Packers

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Aaron RodgersQB$33,500,00032.2Over
Aaron JonesRB$12,000,00019.6Over
A.J. DillonRB$1,321,4588.7Under
Davante AdamsWR$14,500,00022.4Over
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR$669,38810.2Over
Robert TonyanTE$3,384,00011.1Under

I am expecting this to be a revenge game of sorts for Aaron Rodgers and the only reason he is getting revenge on the Lions is because that’s who is on the schedule after a horrible game last week. If Rodgers comes out and looks the way he did last week against the Saints, we may end up seeing Jordan Love at quarterback for the foreseeable future for the Packers. A bad game is one thing but last Sunday seemed to be more than that in my opinion. The Lions showed they will not quit under coach Dan Campbell last week against the 49ers and expect more of the same fight out of them this week, though I don’t think the final score will be all that close. I see the Lions as a team who gets beat up early in games but also a team who will fight hard enough to get back into games when teams take their foot off the gas pedal. The Packers will not be one of those teams after last week as they have something to prove. Look for a big-time bounce back for the Packers Big Three – Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, and Davante Adams.

Jay’s Dynasty Owner Games of the Week

Each week I will pick two games that are close in score and will likely be decided during Monday Night Football. If you happen to find yourself in this situation on Sunday night, please get ahold of me on Twitter (@jaypoundsnfl) and I will gladly feature your game here.

Game 1 – League #27446

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Fields of Dreams (Austin Seibert on Bench left to play) – Clinging to an 8.3-point lead heading into Monday night, Fields of Dreams has only Lions’ kicker Austin Siebert left to play on their Bench, meaning they will only get 25% of whatever Seibert scores. Fields of Dreams has a slim chance to win this week, but sometimes that is all you need in fantasy. Fields of Dreams pulls out the victory by a point or two.

SKOL Vikings (Robert Tonyan as a Starter left to play) – Ironically it comes down to a Packers player for the Vikings manager to win the game on a Monday Night comeback. SKOL has the Packers TE Robert Tonyan left to play for their team, and I don’t expect them to be happy about the Packers player who they secretly cheer for after Tonyan fails to hit his projected total leaving SKOL Vikings on the wrong end of things…. Just like my Steelers against Derek Carr and SKOL’s Vikings against the Cardinals.

Game 2 – League #31625

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Bloated Sack of Protoplasm (D’Andre Swift as a Starter and Austin Siebert on Bench left to play) – Ultimately this loss for Bloated will fall on Jameis Winston, who only scored them 7.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, and the Saints offense who looked every bit as inept as the Packers did in Week 1. Bloated has a great shot to pull out the win on Monday night with D’Andre Swift yet to play. After the games we saw Aaron Rodgers and Swift have in Week 1, it will not surprise me if I end up wrong on this prediction.  Bloated ends up losing as Rodgers balls out on the Lions defense.

Joeybertino (Aaron Rodgers as a Starter left to play) – As I said earlier, I think this is a revenge game of sorts for Rodgers and I feel Joeybertino will end up happy as Rodgers rights his wrongs against a bad Lions defense. I will offer up a little insider advice on this one for our user Joeybertino. If Rodgers has another terrible week, use your Amnesty Provision and pick up either Derek Carr or Ryan Tannehill (they are free agents in your League, I looked) to attempt to save your season after an 0-2 start on the back of the 2020 NFL MVP.

Value of the Game

Finally, we have our weekly Jay’s Value of the Game, brought to you by Dynasty Owner. Yea that was supposed to sound like a sponsor. In this week’s contest I have my Value of the Game as the man with two last names – Marquez Valdes-Scantling. MVS comes in at a salary south of $700,000 meaning if he has a couple catches and finds the end zone he is going to be tough to compete with in terms of Dynasty Dollars per point value. I am looking for MVS to have a much better day than a few short catches and a touchdown as I have him grabbing 3 short catches and a bomb for a touchdown leaving him with the stat line below.

Winner – Marquez Valdes Scantling

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Marquez Valdes-Scantling4120122.0

I also considered Swift and Cephus as my Value of the Game but the upside and cheap salary of MVS was too much to pass up.

Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction article and video that will be released on Tuesday afternoon before Free Agent Auction bids are processed on Wednesday at 5 AM. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly Tuesday recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

I hope everyone had a great Week 2! Thank you for reading and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Week 2 Preview – Cliffhangers

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Week 2 got off to an exciting start last night with another game-winning field goal to end the Thursday night game. This time, it was by Dustin Hopkins (who gets an extra 3 clutch points for his Dynasty Owners with that kick). His 43 yard FG with no time remaining in regulation gave the Washington Football Team a 30-29 victory over the New York Giants. Two weeks and two game-winning FGs on Thursday night plus the wild ending to Monday Night Football. Quite the start to the 2021 season!

I doubt that anyone could have predicted those cliffhanger results and that our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for Week 1 would come down to a clutch FG in the fourth quarter of the Monday Night Football game. That’s what makes the NFL and fantasy football so much fun (at least if your team wins). Unlike those games, I won’t make you wait until the end of this article to find out how my recommendations fared and who I’m recommending this week.

Thanks for reading my weekly preview article. Every week of the 14-game Dynasty Owner regular season and three-game playoffs, I’ll present a player at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup. After that, I’ll name one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. These won’t be the obvious choices for Starters either. No recommendations to go ahead and start Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey, Davante Adams, and Travis Kelce. Highly drafted players who may have had a bad Week 1 as a Starter likely won’t be mentioned either. Nope, I’m going to recommend you Start players who were drafted to be on your Bench or Practice Squad. For the Bench recommendations, I’ll suggest players drafted to be Starters or who had a great Week 1 performance, but who shouldn’t be in there for this week based on matchups, past performance against a team or something else.

Finally, I will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. This week’s matchup was mentioned in the chat during the Thursday Dynasty Owner podcast with Tim and Seth and I was immediately intrigued because it has two teams in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring after Week 1. If you didn’t see Tim and Seth live, you can check it out on the Dynasty Owner YouTube anytime.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of September 17th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

The first thing in the preview article every week will be to take a quick look at how my recommendations from the previous week fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I went out on a cliff and predicted good performances by these four guys, so let’s see how I did. My Week 1 recommendations were as follows:

QB: Matthew Stafford – 34.5 (Good recommendation)

RB: Phillip Lindsay – 8.5 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Sammy Watkins – 13.6 (Just Ok recommendation)

TE: Anthony Firkser – 4.9 (Bad recommendation)

A slightly below average Week 1 with only one Good recommendation and one Just Ok plus two Bad recommendations. This is still better than my 2020 recommendation average, so I’ll take it. While 34.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points is a lot, it was only good enough to make Stafford the QB10, however the difference between QB10 and QB13 (the top Bench QB) was 7.4 points, so Stafford definitely should have been a Starter. Sammy Watkins was Just Ok because he was WR40 and would have been fine to have in your FLEX spot since the WR24 (Jaylen Waddle) only had 2.5 more Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Phillip Lindsay was well outside of the Top 24 RBs and Anthony Firkser shouldn’t have even been on your Bench with his 4.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy point output in Week 1. Both of those recommendations were bad. Let’s try to improve on this performance in Week 2 with these recommendations:

Ben Roethlisberger (QB – PIT): Big Ben and the Steelers had a tough matchup in Week 1 against the Buffalo Bills. As a team, it was great as they defeated Buffalo on the road, but for Big Ben, it was a pretty average performance as he scored only 14.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (188 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 5 rushing yards, 1 fumble). However, the Steelers are back at Heinz Field this week and Big Ben was better at home than on the road in 2020. He averaged 26.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per home game versus only 21.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per road game last year. The Raiders defense has to face the Steelers under a less than ideal situation. They had an overtime Monday Night Football game in Las Vegas and have to travel to the East Coast to play a Sunday 1 PM game. Not a great situation and they could be gassed before the game is over.  Big Ben will have a solid game for this (and other reasons) and be worthy of inclusion in your Starting lineup this week.

James Conner (RB – ARI): If you looked at just Dynasty Owner fantasy points, Chase Edmonds was the Arizona RB to have on your roster in Week 1 as he scored 14.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points compared to only 5.3 for James Conner. However, both players had 16 touches in the Cardinals’ Week 1 victory over Tennessee. That’s good news for everyone who has Conner on their Dynasty Owner roster as they generally picked up Conner three rounds after Edmonds was drafted (ADP 110.2 for Conner vs. 75.9 for Edmonds). Part of that is the $1 million difference in salary, but more is because people thought Edmonds was the starter and Conner was his backup. It was a 50-50 split in Week 1, sparking hope that Conner could be a solid producer for his Dynasty Owners. Conner had more rushing attempts than Edmonds (16 to 12) and the Cardinals get to face the Minnesota defense that allowed Joe Mixon of the Cincinnati Bengals to rush for 127 yards on 29 carries plus a TD in Week 1. The over/under of 50.5 points suggests a lot of scoring and yardage in this game. That combined with his Week 1 usage are positives for Conner so get him into your Starting lineup this week.

Jarvis Landry (WR – CLE): No Odell Beckham Jr. (OBJ) again this week for the Browns, so expect plenty of work for the team’s real WR1 – Jarvis Landry. Last week without OBJ in the Browns’ lineup, Landry had 19.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points versus Kansas City. The Browns face the Houston Texans this week, a team that allowed Jacksonville to throw for 332 yards in Week 1. Beyond recommending that Dynasty Owners who have Landry rostered (52.7% of Dynasty Owner leagues), I’m also recommending if Jarvis Landry is available in your league, and you have OBJ on your Dynasty Owner roster (76.9% of Dynasty Owner leagues) you should use your Amnesty Provision (only $5 million Dynasty Dollars) to drop OBJ to pick up Landry. You’ll get a better and more durable player (Landry has missed only one game in seven full NFL seasons) plus save $2.9 million in salary cap room. OBJ’s salary is $18 million per year for three more years, while Landry will cost $15.1 million for two more years. When both of them were in the lineup, OBJ was slightly better in 2020 (14.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for Beckham versus 11.9 points for Landry), but OBJ is out again this week and Landry averaged 13.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in the nine games that he played in 2020 with OBJ out. I don’t have the percentage of Dynasty Owners who started Landry in Week 1, but on CBS Sports, Landry was rostered in 83% of leagues in Week 1, but only started in 18%. For Week 2, he’s starting in 55% which is still far too low. Same on Sleeper as he was rostered in 88% of leagues but only started in 42% last week. If you are spending $15.1 million to have Landry on your roster, you need to get him in your Starting lineup this week.

Jared Cook (TE – LAC): Cook was targeted eight times by Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert in Week 1. That puts him in a tie for third in TE targets behind only Darren Waller and T.J. Hockenson. One of the players he is tied with is Rob Gronkowski who was targeted eight times and scored 29.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (8 receptions, 90 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs) for Tampa Bay against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1. The Chargers’ opponent this week is the Dallas Cowboys. I’m not saying Cook will have two TDs and 29.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week, but I think he can improve on the 10.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions for 56 yards) that he had in Week 1. That put him into a tie for TE13 with David Njoku and since Cook was the 22nd TE off the board on average (ADP 182.8) in Dynasty Owner start-up drafts, I’m thinking most of his Dynasty Owners still consider him a Bench guy. Not against the Dallas Cowboys defense in a game that’s projected to be the highest scoring game of the week. Cook should be in your Starting lineup this week.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Now it’s the time to look at how my Bench recommendations from Week 1 worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). In 2019, my Starter and Bench recommendations were about as likely to be Good as Bad, while in 2020, my Bench recommendations were much better than my Starting ones, but not as good as in 2019. How did the guys I bet against and say you should have on your Bench fare in Week 1?

QB: Justin Herbert – 17.7 (Good recommendation)

RB: Saquon Barkley – 3.7 (Good recommendation)

WR: Allen Robinson – 9.5 (Good recommendation)

TE: Mike Gesicki – 0.0 (Good recommendation)

To quote Larry David, “pretty, pretty, pretty good”. Actually, pretty outstanding as most of these guys should have been on your Practice Squad last week, especially Gesicki who put up a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and Saquon Barkley who was the RB54. Herbert was QB25 so he could have been ok as your Bench QB, but not as your Starter, and Robinson was WR62, so he was about the same as Herbert.

This was my first week with four Good Bench recommendations since Week 12 of 2019 when I said to Bench Aaron Rodgers, Josh Jacobs, Amari Cooper and Gerald Everett. All of those guys are still active, maybe I should use them this week? Probably not, but let’s see who the recommended Bench players are for Week 2.

Jameis Winston (QB – NO): There is no reason for any Dynasty Owners to believe that Jameis Winston will throw five TDs on just 20 passing attempts again this week. I would also bet that it’ll never happen again in his NFL career. While Winston did just that in Week 1 and scored his Dynasty Owners 41.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, it’s just not in Winston’s DNA. You know what is in his DNA, average performances against the Carolina Panthers. In nine career games against Carolina, Winston is averaging only 274.1 passing yards and 1 passing TD (along with 1.56 INTs) per game. If we round down to 1 INT this week, those averages translate into only 16.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. The Carolina defense, regardless of who was playing for it, seemed to have Winston’s number when he was on Tampa Bay as he hasn’t thrown more than 2 TDs against the Panthers in his career and only thrown two TD twice (the same number of times that he has thrown zero TDs against them). Don’t bet on New Orleans Jameis reversing those trends started by Tampa Bay Jameis and Bench him this week.

Josh Jacobs (RB – LV): After the introduction to this section, you probably weren’t expecting Jacobs to be here, but he is. It’s not just because of Week 12 in 2019 because I also recommended having Jacobs on the Bench two other times then and was incorrect both times. It’s the fact that twelve non-QBs had two TDs in Week 1 and the player with the fewest Dynasty Owner fantasy points out of those players was Jacobs (17.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Take away the two TDs and he’s at 5.0 points for the week. In addition, he had the same number of touches (11) as Kenyan Drake and missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday. If he doesn’t play on Sunday, then he’s obviously not in your Starting lineup or on your Bench, but what if he’s questionable again like last week?  The Steelers defense held Devin Singletary to 9.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 (72 rushing yards, 3 receptions, 8 receiving yards, 2 fumbles) and it seems likely that Jacobs will put up similar numbers this week. Scoring less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points would definitely make him a Bench RB option. That’s my prediction for Jacobs so make sure he’s there.

Corey Davis (WR – NYJ): Davis’ inclusion on this list is not his fault. Blame the fact that Bill Belichick defenses always seem to give rookie QBs fits in their first start. The Jets QB this week will be rookie Zach Wilson. After scoring 26.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 97 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs) in Week 1, Dynasty Owners with Davis on their roster are likely putting him in as a Starter, but because of Wilson, they should really have him on the Bench. In 2020, the Patriots faced two rookie QBs (Justin Herbert and Tua Tagavailoa) and in those games, Herbert had 209 passing yards and Tua had only 145 passing yards. The leading WR for each team in those games scored less than 11.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (9.8 for Keenan Allen and 10.6 points for Lynn Bowden). Davis is also probably the Jets best offensive weapon right now and Belichick focuses on stopping that player from the opposition team every week. Play it safe with Davis and leave him on your Bench.

Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL): Dynasty Owners didn’t draft Pitts as the second TE off the board (ADP 31.5) ahead of even Darren Waller (ADP 31.7) to have him on the Bench. Pitts was fine in Week 1 with 7.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions for 31 yards) and a team leading eight targets (tied with Calvin Ridley).  None of the WRs other than Ridley had a target in Week 1, and you have to think Falcons Coach Arthur Smith will try to rectify that in Week 2 against Tampa  Bay. The Cowboys targeted their WRs 42 times in Week 1 against Tampa Bay and only threw 9 passes to TEs. The Falcons are extremely unlikely to target Ridley, Gage and Olamide Zaccheaus that much. However, if they try to get the ball more to Gage and Zaccheaus in Week 2 than they did in Week 1, the likely players to get reduced targets are probably the Falcons TEs. Will Pitts be a great TE in the long run? Much more likely than not. Should you have him in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup this week? No – put him on your Bench.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – SKOL Vikings vs. Scubon1c Plagu3

It’s time for the second Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2021 season. Week 1 is always easy as we profile the previous year Chase for the Ring winner, but who to highlight in Week 2 is more challenging. A rivalry game would be nice as would a match-up featuring two teams in the Chase for the Ring. Fortunately, due to a comment during Thursday’s livestream, I found out about a match-up that fits the latter criteria.

In League #31927, the top two teams in the Standings are Scubon1c Plague3 and SKOL Vikings with 199.5 and 198.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points respectively. This places both teams in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring after Week 1 with Scubon1c Plague3 in 19th place and SKOL Vikings in 21st place. Imagine being in 21st place in the Chase and in 2nd place in your own league. That’s the situation that SKOL Vikings are in. Let’s see who’s favored in this Chase for the Ring battle.

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Fortunately for SKOL Vikings, they are favored to win by a score of 177.8 to 169.6. Both teams are supposed to score a lot of points this week, but only one of them is going to win. If they both score that many points, both teams will probably still be in the Top 50 of the Chase for the Ring and if they do as well as they did last week, both could even still be in the Top 25, even with one of them having a 1-1 record.

We got the Chase for the Ring part, but this is also a rivalry game. I looked closely at the Scubon1c Plague3 logo on Dynasty Owner and noticed that the people in the picture are wearing Green Bay Packers jerseys. Now it’s also Packers vs. Vikings for the top spot in League #31927.

The game might be another Match-up of the Week cliffhanger and come down to Monday Night Football. That’s what happened in Week 1 when Dan’s Dynasty upset Barbee Kilgore. Both Scubon1c Plague3 and SKOL Vikings have a player in their Starting lineup right now who plays on Monday night (D’Andre Swift for Scubon1c Plague3 and Davante Adams for SKOL Vikings), so we might have another close match-up that goes down to the wire. Check out the Tuesday recap article to see who won and if either team is still on the 2021 Chase for the Ring Leaderboard.

Conclusion

Please read my weekly preview article each and every week to see who should be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup and who should be on your Bench. If you have one of the players mentioned, hopefully it will assist you with your lineup decisions. While some Dynasty Owners may heed my advice, others might disagree, or not have a better option for their Starting lineup and choose to ignore a Bench recommendation. Other Dynasty Owners may not need Starting lineup help as they have a stud player at a position who isn’t moving to the Bench unless he’s injured or on bye. Hopefully, your choices are solid, and your Dynasty Owner game isn’t a cliffhanger this week.

In addition to this weekly preview article, Dynasty Owner has plenty of other great content to help you win your League Championship and maybe the Chase for the Ring. Our in-season publication schedule is as follows. On Monday, Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl) will preview the Monday Night Football matchup from the Dynasty Owner perspective. Tuesday has a double shot of Dynasty Owner content with my Week 2 recap article and Jay’s Free Agent Auction targets article and video. Wednesdays is when Matt Morrison – The Jerk will dive into a topic of his choosing with an article and a video, while the next day, he’ll have an article previewing the Thursday Night Football game to start Week 3. Don’t forget about the Dynasty Owner livestream on Wednesday with myself and Tim Peffer as well as the free flowing fun that is Seth and Tim chatting together live on Thursdays at 1 PM. Set those timers so you don’t miss either one of those broadcasts.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of the Dynasty Owner team of writers plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Thursday Night Football: Week 2

Giants vs Football Team

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Hello all, and welcome to Week 2 of Thursday Night Football. We were graced with one of the best games of the week last Thursday as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Dallas Cowboys. The deciding play was a game winning kick, which was a clutch score and worth an extra 3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for Ryan Succop under the Dynasty Owner scoring system. This week, we will have a more modest competition in my opinion. That game will be played by the New York Giants and Washington Football Team. Before I talk about this matchup, let me recap last week.

Value of the Game Recap

My Value of the Game for Week 1 was CeeDee Lamb. I projected that Lamb would have a stat line of 7 receptions, 87 yards, and one touchdown. That projection had him pegged for 21.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. As it turns out, Lamb exceeded my expectations, and he posted a sensational line of 7 receptions, 104 yards and one touchdown (plus 12 return yards). That equals 23.7 fantasy points. While this performance certainly should qualify him for a top Value of the Game, he was not the highest value to be found. The number one value went to Antonio Brown. Brown had the exact same number of Dynasty Owner fantasy points as Lamb (23.7), but his salary is roughly $500,000 less than Lamb. This makes him a better value and Week 1’s official “Value of the Game.”

What To Watch For

I am looking for two things while I watch this game tonight. First, I want to see how both teams respond after their Week 1 losses. The Football Team was a little closer to victory as they were winning up until the 4th quarter. I also want to see how Taylor Heinicke comes in and plays in his first 2021 start. Unfortunately, Ryan Fitzpatrick went down to a hip injury after completing only three passes on Sunday. He was ruled out rather quickly, and it was later announced that Fitz will miss at least three weeks after going on the injured reserve. This is obviously a very unfortunate circumstance for Fitz, but that brings a great opportunity for Heinicke.

Starters

Unlike last week, there are very few players who qualify as locked in Starters for the Thursday Night Game. These players include:

Saquon Barkley ($7,798,688)

Antonio Gibson ($1,233,159)

Kenny Golladay ($18,000,000)

Terry McLaurin ($961,918)

These are the only four that I would say need to be started under any circumstance. 

Bench Players

There are also a few players I wouldn’t mind having on my Bench tonight.  They are:

Daniel Jones ($6,416,014)

Taylor Heinicke ($2,375,000)

J.D. McKissic ($1,635,000)

Sterling Shepard ($10,250,000)

Logan Thomas ($3,072,500)

Sterling Shepard and Logan Thomas may have cracked your Starting lineup, and that’s okay. I would prefer not to start either, but I can understand if you are thin at either position and need the start. I can understand Thomas a little more than Shepard due to the fact that it isn’t easy to find a capable tight end these days.

Value Of The Game

As I stated in the opening of this article, CeeDee Lamb was my Value of the Game last week.  He did not disappoint as he put up 23.7 fantasy points despite a low salary of $3,502,503. 

Tonight, I will be taking Antonio Gibson as my “Value of the Game.” Gibson enters Week 2 with an injury designation (a shoulder injury). The expectation is that he will play, and he will have no limitations. Gibson looks to pick apart a Giants’ rush defense that gave up 165 rushing yards to the Broncos. Gibson had a lackluster Week 1 performance to the tune of 9.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Two fumbles (one being lost) certainly didn’t help matters. He will shoulder the majority of the running back workload tonight, and will be a Top 10 running back this week. Combine that with a salary of $1,233,159, and you have yourself a “Value of the Game.”  Here are my projected stats and Dynasty Owner fantasy points (DOFP) for Gibson in Week 2:

Week 2 ProjectionsRushing AttemptsRushing YardsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Antonio Gibson1876456123.2

Thank you all.  Happy football watching, and I will see you next week.  Take care and be safe.

TheJerk

Monday Night Football Preview: Week 1

Ravens vs Raiders

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Dynasty Owners we have made it to the first Monday Night Football game! Since you are here reading what I have written, it’s apparent Hank Williams Jr was right when he said “All my rowdy friends are here on Monday night” …. “Are you ready for some football”. I am excited to be the one presenting you the Monday Night Football preview for Dynasty Owner. Be sure to check out Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Thursday Night Football game preview this week as well.

In tonight’s game, we have the Baltimore Ravens heading to the new black hole in Las Vegas to face the Raiders. The Ravens will be at a slight disadvantage as the fans will finally get to break in their new stadium, even though it was built and played in over a year ago. In this preview article, I will cover the over/under for the top players in the matchup, preview the game giving you my final score prediction, and showcase two Dynasty Owner games in which the final outcome will likely hinge on what happens tonight.

Enough me explaining, let’s jump right into things!

What to Watch For

In this matchup, there are a few things that grab my attention right off the bat, but none more than how effective can the Baltimore Ravens’ running game be without J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards. The Ravens backfield suffered three devastating season ending injuries (Dobbins, Edwards and Justice Hill) before they even played a meaningful snap this season. Talk about bad luck! Can Lamar Jackson continue to thrive rushing the ball without any of his top backs?

I am also extremely intrigued to see the Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver room on the field. The Raiders top two receivers – Bryan Edwards and Henry Ruggs – struggled horribly in their rookie campaigns and the Raiders need at least one to perform at a well above average level if they want to consistently score points. Let’s take a quick look at the stats for Ruggs and Edwards from the 2020 season. Neither one had a great season, and both scored few Dynasty Owner fantasy points (DOFP):

PlayerGamesTargetsReceptionsYardsTDsDOFPRank
Henry Ruggs134326452288.6WR88
Bryan Edwards121511193136.3WR138

As you can see, the pair put up disappointing numbers for as hyped as they were going into the season, especially for Ruggs with the first-round draft capital. I am expecting both Ruggs and Edwards to take a step forward this season but do not expect Edwards to have a good enough year to keep the Number 2 role with Vegas come 2022.

The last thing I am looking for in this game is to see how the Raiders utilize their running game with newly acquired Kenyan Drake. I am still expecting Josh Jacobs to see the bulk of the carries with Drake being more of a 3rd down back and someone who can give Jacobs a breather. One thing to note even though it’s probably too late to matter for most Dynasty Owners for lineup setting purposes. Josh Jacobs will likely be a game time decision for this contest because of an illness. If Jacobs does miss the game or isn’t quite as effective, Drake could be in line for a big workload.

Jay’s Monday Night Predictions

Logo of the Baltimore RavensLogo of the Las Vegas Raiders
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Over/Under Projections

QBs

PlayerTeamSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Lamar JacksonBAL$2,367,91227.8Over
Derek CarrLV$25,000,00022.4Over

RBs

PlayerTeamSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Ty’Son WilliamsBAL$660,00011.7Just Over
Josh JacobsLV$2,983,35012.6Over
Kenyan DrakeLV$5,500,0009.8Under*

* Over if Jacobs doesn’t play

WRs

PlayerTeamSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Sammy WatkinsBAL$5,000,00011.7Under
Marquise BrownBAL$2,946,83513.8Under
Bryan EdwardsLV$1,173,11312.5Under
Henry RuggsLV$4,167,90611.1Over

TEs

PlayerTeamSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Mark AndrewsBAL$863,29014.5Over
Darren WallerLV$7,450,00016.2Over

Overall, I am expecting this to be a good game up until the end when Jackson wears the Raiders defense out with his legs and starts to take over. While I do feel we will see Jackson has improved some as a passer, the overall stats won’t come until the running game around him gains some traction. In the Gruden era, the Raiders always seem to play tough against good opponents and while I am expecting more of the same tonight, I do feel the Ravens will end up victorious. The Raiders will need a steady presence at receiver to win this game and prove me wrong, or Darren Waller will need to go absolutely nuts.

Jay’s Dynasty Owner Games of the Week

Each week I will pick two games that are close in score and will likely be decided during Monday Night Football. If you happen to find yourself in this situation on Sunday nights, please get ahold of me on Twitter (@jaypoundsnfl) and I will gladly feature your game here.

Game 1 – League #78747

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Left to Play: Kenyan Drake and Bryan Edwards (Bench)

I chose this game because I just love when I get the chance to highlight how important Bench scoring can really be and I feel a lot of us overlook it, myself included. In Dynasty Owner, each team gets 25% of its total Bench score added on to their total score every week, making depth a bigger part of the game.

Herbie: Fully Loaded has Kenyan Drake and Bryan Edwards on their Bench and will need to get 20 points combined from them to pull off a 135.4-135.4 tie. If Jacobs ends up missing the game, or is not as effective as usual, I see Herbie pulling off the rare come from behind Monday Night Bench scoring victory. If Jacobs does play, I think Packer H8ter will take this week by the narrowest of margins.

Game 2 – League #31822

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Left to Play: Lamar Jackson and Mark Andrews (Starters) and Kenyan Drake (Bench)

The two Dynasty Owners in this matchup have got to be feeling a bit nervous with the final projected score expected to be 130.2 to 131 in favor of Perkalicious. As we all know, projections usually don’t mean a whole lot in fantasy football. As I have mentioned earlier, Jacobs may miss the game and if he does it favors Perkalicious quite a bit with Drake ready to go for his squad on the Bench. I am going to go against the projections and take KRALJ_SMECA as the winner of this matchup after Jackson and Andrews score above what they are supposed to for their team.

Value of the Game

Hold your horse’s folks before we get out of here, we must give out what Matt “The Jerk” has turned into a Dynasty Owner tradition in his most recent Thursday night preview article with the Value of the Game award. In this game, there are only two players who came to mind. No, one is not Darren Waller, even though he is a great value at the tight end position for only $7,450,000 against the cap. The two that came to mind are Lamar Jackson and Mark Andrews with the Value of the Game ultimately being Lamar Jackson. I know I know quarterbacks win all the awards in football but Jackson as we all know is different because of his legs which is a huge part of what makes him my Value of the Game.

Winner – Lamar Jackson

Jay’s Projected Stat LinePassing AttemptsPassing CompletionsPassing YardsRushing AttemptsRushing YardsTDsDOFP
Lamar Jackson182721312102234.9

Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction article and video that will be released on Tuesday afternoon before Free Agent Auction bids are processed on Wednesday at 5 AM. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly Tuesday recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you all for reading and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Week 1 Preview – Back in Action

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

It’s finally time for some regular season NFL football in 2021. The NFL is back already with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beating the Dallas Cowboys by a score of 31-29 on a game winning field goal with seven seconds left on the clock.  The field goal was setup by the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady who drove the defending Super Bowl Champions 57 yards down the field on 11 plays in just 1:22. Sound familiar?

Now that it’s Friday, we have Sunday and 14 games to look forward to plus Monday Night Football from Las Vegas. Dynasty Owner is also back in action and bigger than ever in 2021. We have more leagues, more Bench scoring (25% this season versus 20% in 2020), and a higher salary cap of $127.75 million, which is good because a lot of players got some pretty big raises during the 2020 season or in the off-season. Thanks to all of the returning Dynasty Owners who are back to test themselves again for the 2021 season. And a hearty welcome to all new Dynasty Owners who are hopefully looking forward to how to play fantasy football Dynasty Owner style.

Thanks for reading my weekly preview article. Every week of the 14-game Dynasty Owner regular season and three game playoffs, I’ll present a player at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup. After that, I’ll name one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. These won’t be the obvious choices for Starters either. No recommendations to go ahead and start Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey, Davante Adams and Travis Kelce. Players projected to be in the Top 12 QBs or TEs for the week, or Top 24 RBs or WRs, likely won’t be mentioned either. Nope, I’m going to recommend you Start players who were drafted to be on your Bench or Practice Squad. For the Bench recommendations, I’ll suggest players drafted to be Starters, but who shouldn’t be in there for the week based on matchups, past performance against a team or something else.

Finally, I will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the first Match-up of the Week for 2021, it’s time to check in with 2020 Chase for the Ring Winner Viktor Kilgore. I’ll look at how his Ring winning Barbee Kilgore team from League #35395 matches up in Week 1 of 2021. Do the Dynasty Owner projections have him starting his title defense with a victory or defeat?

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of September 10th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

Every week but Week 1, we will look to see how my recommendations from the previous week worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). In Week 1, we don’t have a previous week to review. Back in Week 1 of 2020, I reviewed my 2019 recommendations to see how well I did. The review found that I had almost an even percentage of Good recommendations (40%) as Bad ones (43%) with the remaining judged to be Just Ok (17%). 

The 2020 season was not as good on the recommendation front as 2019 and was pretty bad across the board at all positions. Out of 62 recommendation in total (4 per week for 16 weeks minus the two recommendations that were rendered “not applicable” as the player recommended did not play that week), only nine (15%) were rated as Good. Over half (53%) were Bad while one-third (32%) were Just Ok. In terms of position, my RB recommendation were the best of a bad lot with only one-third (33%) rated as Bad. In contrast, over two-thirds (69%) of my TE recommendation were Bad.

QB: Good – 2 picks (13%); Bad – 8 picks (50%); Just Ok – 6 picks (38%)

RB: Good – 3 picks (20%); Bad – 5 picks (33%); Just Ok – 7 picks (47%)

WR: Good – 1 pick (7%); Bad – 9 picks (60%); Just Ok – 5 picks (33%)

TE: Good – 3 picks (19%); Bad – 11 picks (69%); Just Ok – 2 picks (13%)

All: Good – 9 picks (15%); Bad – 33 picks (53%); Just Ok – 20 picks (32%)

My best week was Week 4 when none of my recommendations (Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ronald Jones, Cole Beasley, and Dalton Schultz) were judged to be Bad. In contrast, I had two weeks (Weeks 9 and 11) when all four recommendations were Bad.

This year is bound to be better, so let’s see what players I’m recommending you get into your Starting lineup this week.

Matthew Stafford (QB – LAR): Last season with Jared Goff at QB, the Rams passed an average of 36.9 times per game. Now that Coach Sean McVay actually has a QB who he likes under center, don’t you think he passes the ball even more? Especially with top RB Cam Akers out for the season and the not as nearly inspiring duo of Darrell Henderson and Sony Michel replacing Akers. The Bears were in the middle of the pack (19th) in terms of passing yards allowed per game last season and lost cornerback and former first round pick Kyle Fuller to free agency. Stafford is projected as the QB12 for the 2021 season, but is the 19th QB being drafted, on average, with an ADP of 117.6, so most Dynasty Owners are probably thinking that he’s their Bench QB. Since he is very familiar with the Bears defense from his time in Detroit, this should be a good matchup for him in his first game with the Rams. Stafford put up 39.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 13 against the Bears last season with Marvin Jones as his top WR and a pretty motley crew (Quintez Cephus, Danny Amendola, Mohammed Sanu and Jamal Agnew) lining up opposite Jones at WRs for the Lions offense that day. Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp are a significant upgrade at the WR position for Stafford. He should take advantage of the upgrade and be worthy of putting in your Starting lineup.

Phillip Lindsay (RB – HOU): With Tyrod Taylor at QB and a lot of question marks at WR for Houston, it stands to reason that the Texans will try to run the ball this week against Jacksonville. Jacksonville gave up lots of Dynasty Owner fantasy points to RBs last year, including 12.3 points to Texans starting RB David Johnson in Week 5 and 14.3 points to his backup, Duke Johnson, in Week 9. Jacksonville did go out and acquire a couple of run stuffing defensive linemen in the off-season to help out their defense that finished third from last in rushing yards allowed to RBs and fifth from last in rushing TDs allowed to RBs. Lindsay fits the build of a RB who profiles as being a Bench player. He’s projected as RB44 for the season and his ADP is 143.0, which translates into the 50th RB drafted on average. However, with Houston’s likely need to run the ball to take pressure of Taylor, Lindsay should run plenty so that he’ll score enough Dynasty Owner fantasy points to rank as a Top 24 RB for the week.

Sammy Watkins (WR – BAL): For the past two seasons, Watkins has come and played really well in Week 1. In 2019, he had 46.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (9 receptions, 198 receiving yards, 3 receiving TDs). Then, he failed to score any more TDs or have any additional 100 yard receiving games for the rest of the 2019 season. Last year, he wasn’t as productive in Week 1, but still scored 21.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (7 receptions, 82 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD, 3 rushing yards). He only scored one more TD for the Chiefs all season and left to sign with the Ravens as a free agent. This year, he gets to face a Raiders defense that allowed Robby Anderson to score 25.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6 receptions, 114 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) in his debut for the Carolina Panthers in 2020. Let’s face it, the Ravens aren’t sure who’s going to run the ball for them this week other than QB Lamar Jackson, so they may have to lean on the passing game more than they’d usually do, which isn’t a bad thing against a Raiders defense that ranked in the bottom third of passing yards allowed to WRs for each of the past two seasons. Learn from the past and put Watkins in your Starting lineup if you have him on your Dynasty Owner roster. It might be your only chance to use him there this season and you don’t want to miss out.

Anthony Firkser (TE – TEN): Not only is Firkser now the new top TE in Tennessee, but he also would appear to be the third best receiver on the team behind A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. While Tennessee is perceived to be a “run-first” offense and ranked third in percentage of running plays executed in 2020, they still only ran the ball a little over half of the time (51.8%). Firkser was more of a pass catching TE in 2020 than the player he is replacing (Jonnu Smith) and the other main TE on the current Titans roster (Geoff Swaim).

PlayerOffensive SnapsTargetsTarget %
Jonnu Smith745658.7%
Geoff Swaim354123.4%
Anthony Firkser3485315.2%

If this pattern holds in 2021, then expect Firkser to get most of the TE targets and Swaim to stay in and block more. Last season, Smith and Firkser, the two primary receiving TEs for Tennessee, accounted for 118 targets between them, or 7.4 per game. Let’s reduce that to seven per game for Firkser who has averaged catching nearly three-quarters of the passes thrown to him in his career and in 2020 (74% for each). That’s five receptions per game. His average yards per reception in 2020 was 9.9 and for his career is 11.3. If we round that to 10 yards per reception, his projected stat line is 5 receptions for 50 yards in Week 1, which equals 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That’s a low end TE1 and someone who plenty of Dynasty Owners would be happy to have as the TE in their Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Now it’s the time to look at how my Bench recommendations from the previous week worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). Just like for the Starter recommendations, I’ll take a look at how my 2020 season recommendations fared at each position since it’s Week 1.

Once again, the 2020 season was not as good on the recommendation front as 2019, but I did better on telling Dynasty Owners who to Bench than Start. Out of 60 recommendations in total (4 per week for 16 weeks minus four recommendations that were rendered “not applicable” as the player recommended did not play that week), 21 were rated as Good. That’s over one-third (35%). There were more Bad recommendations (25) than Good (21), but that’s only two-fifths (42%) that were Bad. The final one-quarter (23%) were Just Ok recommendations. The balance in 2019 titled more towards Good (42%) than Bad (32%) with about one-quarter (27%) being Just Ok. In terms of position in 2020, we had the following results:

QB: Good – 4 picks (27%); Bad – 7 picks (47%); Just Ok – 4 picks (27%)

RB: Good – 3 picks (19%); Bad – 5 picks (31%); Just Ok – 8 picks (50%)

WR: Good – 7 picks (47%); Bad – 7 picks (47%); Just Ok – 1 pick (7%)

TE: Good – 7 picks (50%); Bad – 6 picks (43%); Just Ok – 1 pick (7%)

All: Good – 21 picks (35%); Bad – 25 picks (42%); Just Ok – 14 picks (23%)

My Bench recommendations were definitely better than my Starter recommendations with twice as many good Bench recommendations than Starter ones (35% for Bench vs. 15% for Starters). The receiver Bench recommendations were the best with half (50%) of the TE recommendations and almost half (47%) of the WR recommendations making it into the Good category. In Week 9, I recommended Benching Tom Brady, Ezekiel Elliot, Mike Evans and Mark Andrews and three of the four turned out to be Good (Brady, Evans and Andrews), while Elliott turned in a performance that was deemed Just Ok.

This year is bound to be better, so let’s see if I can recommend four Good players for Dynasty Owners to sit on the Bench this week.

Justin Herbert (QB – LAC): This one hurts as I actually drafted Herbert with the #10 pick in the first round of one of my Dynasty Owner startup leagues and his startup ADP is 8.1. Herbert is projected as the QB4 for the entire 2021 season, but the matchup against the Washington Football Team isn’t great for him. Herbert was great last year, but he didn’t face the best pass defense in the NFL. That belonged to the Washington Football Team. Herbert also performed worse when playing on the East Coast in 2020, averaging 25.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in East Coast games (Tampa Bay, Buffalo, and Miami). That’s a couple of points under his 28.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy point average for the entire season. I’m not sure if I’ll follow my own advice here as my other QBs in that league are Mac Jones and Ryan Fitzpatrick, but if you have a better option, I suggest you use him and Bench Herbert.

Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG): Dynasty Owners didn’t draft Barkley with their first round pick in 2020 (ADP 3.0), or with either their first or second round pick in 2021 (ADP 11.8) to sit him on the Bench, but that’s my advice this week for several reasons. First, he’s not likely to get many carries as he’s coming off major knee surgery, was limited in practice on Thursday and the Giants play a division game against the Washington Football Team next Thursday. Second, the Denver defense is expected to be much improved over last year with the return of Von Miller. Third, the Giants offensive line didn’t play well in the pre-season, saw two players retire during training camp, traded one player away and had another placed on Injured Reserve. That doesn’t breed confidence that Barkley will do as well as anticipated in Week 1 and why his Dynasty Owners should probably wait and see how he does before inserting him into their Starting lineup.

Allen Robinson (WR – CHI): The Bears face off in Week 1 against the Los Angeles Rams and their top rated defense against WRs from 2020. These teams have played against each other in each of the past two seasons and Robinson hasn’t scored a TD in either game, while averaging only 8.25 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. He had 11.0 points (4 receptions for 70 yards) in 2020 and just 5.5 points (4 4 receptions for 15 yards) in 2019. In fact, Robinson has only been targeted 10 times in total in those two games. Robinson was targeted less often than fellow WRs Taylor Gabriel and Anthony Miller in 2019 and four players (Darnell Mooney, Jimmy Graham, David Montgomery, and Anthony Miller) in 2020 because he was largely being guarded by Rams cornerback Jalen Ramsey who has been selected to four straight Pro Bowls and the top active cornerback in the NFL Top 100 this off-season. I didn’t even mention that the Bears are starting Andy Dalton at QB in Week 1. Robinson is a great WR and takes up a lot of the salary cap for your Dynasty Owner team at $17.88 million in salary for 2021, but don’t force him into your Starting lineup just because of his salary or high ADP (65.2). Move him to your Bench for this week.

Mike Gesicki (TE – MIA): Gesicki is the tenth TE in terms of startup Dynasty Owner ADP (100.7) and ranked eleventh overall in terms of projected 2021 production, so he’s probably a low-end Starting TE for his Dynasty Owners. Hopefully they have a TE with a better matchup on their Bench.  Gesicki hasn’t done great in his career versus New England as he has only scored 26.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in five career games (5.3 points per game on average) with just a single TD. In the 2020 season opener against New England, he had three receptions for 30 yards to account for 6.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Gesicki did not play against New England in Week 15. The Patriots appears to have a good idea of how to stop Gesicki, so I’d keep him on the Bench this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – Barbee Kilgore vs. Dan’s Dynasty

It’s time for our first Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2021 season. Since everyone is tied for first place, all of the Week 1 Match-ups are compelling and worthy of previewing. However, there’s really only one team to mention here and that’s 2020 Chase for the Ring winner Viktor Kilgore and his Ring winning Barbee Kilgore team (League #35395). Viktor took down over 1,000 other teams across all Dynasty Owner leagues and was the “best of the best” last year.

In a “regular” dynasty league, a team has a good chance to repeat because you can keep your team intact. Not in Dynasty Owner as Viktor wasn’t able to keep his entire Ring winning team because of salary increases for several players. Three key players from his 2020 team (Patrick Mahomes, Dalvin Cook, and Travis Kelce) have much higher salaries in 2021. Because of the increase in Mahomes’ salary from $4.1 million in 2020 to $45 million in 2021, Viktor dropped Mahomes for free when his new contract kicked in and replaced him with Ben Roethlisberger (1 year/$14 million). The savings allowed him to keep both Cook and Kelce as their salaries increased by $11 million (Cook) and $4.9 million (Kelce) respectively. He was also able to afford to draft four players in the rookie draft (Mac Jones, Michael Carter, Chuba Hubbard, and Kyle Trask) who have salaries totaling $7.4 million for the 2021 season.

Unlike the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who returned all 22 of their starters from last year, Viktor had some roster turnover in the off-season. Check out the changes in his Starting lineup from the 2020 playoffs to Week 1 this year. Only four out of the eight Starters from both playoff weeks are the same. Essentially, half of the Starters from his 2020 Ring winning team have been dropped or traded.

Position2020 – Week 162020 – Week 152021 – Week 1
QBPatrick MahomesPatrick MahomesBen Roethlisberger
RBDalvin CookDalvin CookDalvin Cook
RBJeffrey WilsonJames RobinsonMyles Gaskin
WRDavante AdamsDavante AdamsDavante Adams
WRMike EvansTyreek HillTyler Boyd
TETravis KelceTravis KelceTravis Kelce
FLEXTyreek HillMike EvansMarvin Jones
KTyler BassTyler BassTyler Bass

Let’s see if that impacts the projections for his Week 1 match-up with Dan’s Dynasty.

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The projections have Barbee Kilgore as the winner of this week’s Match-up of the Week by a significant margin of 157.4 to 119.9. Unfortunately for Dan’s Dynasty, they already had Giovani Bernard play on Thursday night and only score 3.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Plus, they don’t have a Bench kicker. That’s likely to not get it done against the defending Champ!

A win will put Viktor one step closer to repeating as his League Champion and Chase for the Ring Winner. There is plenty of football left to be played this week and nothing is official until Monday Night Football is over. Check out the Tuesday recap article to see if Viktor actually won and if he’s on the first Chase for the Ring Leaderboard of 2021. If your Dynasty Owner team had a good week, they might be there as well.

Conclusion

Please read my weekly preview article each and every week to see who should be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup and who should be on your Bench. If you have one of the players mentioned, hopefully it will assist you with your lineup decisions. While some Dynasty Owners may heed my advice, others might disagree, or not have a better option for their Starting lineup and choose to ignore a Bench recommendation. Other Dynasty Owners may not need Starting lineup help as they have a stud player at a position who isn’t moving to the Bench unless he’s injured or on bye.

In addition to this weekly preview article, Dynasty Owner has plenty of other great content to help you win your League Championship and maybe the Chase for the Ring. Our in-season publication schedule is as follows:

  • Mondays: The week is starting, but the NFL football week is almost over. Almost, but not quite yet! To get ready for some more football, Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl) will preview the Monday Night Football matchup from the Dynasty Owner perspective.
  • Tuesdays: In the morning, I’ll recap the week in the NFL and the Match-up of the Week, award the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week and the Value Player of the Week. I’ll also check and see how my weekly recommendations fared and highlight players at each position who should have been in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup and those who should have been on the Bench or Practice Squad. In the evening, Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl) is back with an article and video to help you figure out what players you need to target in the Free Agent Auction.
  • Wednesday: It’s time for Matt Morrison – The Jerk to dive into a topic of his choosing. His article and video will help Dynasty Owners set their weekly lineup, make roster decisions, think about trade ideas, or just make them more informed about how Dynasty Owners need to think. Every week is different so check it out!
  • Thursday: It’s time to start the football week! Thursday Night Football is happening every week and Matt Morrison – The Jerk will preview the Thursday night game to find the most relevant players from both teams and where they should be – in your Starting lineup, on the Bench or hanging out with the Practice Squad. At the end, he’ll pick his “Value of the Game”. He selected CeeDee Lamb (WR – DAL) in Week 1 and Lamb didn’t disappoint with 23.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for just $3.5 million in salary.
  • Friday: The end of the week, but NFL football is still two days away. It’s time for me to preview the Sunday games and look into one Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. I’ll make my recommendations of players to get in your Starting lineup and which ones to keep on your Bench. There will be a weekly preview video as well.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of us plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 1

Cowboys vs Buccaneers

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Hello Dynasty Owners and welcome to my first ever Thursday Night Football preview article. I will be constructing all the Thursday Night Football previews for the year, while Jay (@jaypoundsnfl) does the Monday Night Football previews. Throughout my previews, I’ll highlight some general things I’ll be watching for in the game. For example:  I may reference previous matchups, players returning from injury or wide receiver/cornerback matchups. I’ll review some of the top players playing in the game and what you should be doing with them (Starting lineup, Bench, Practice Squad). Finally, I’ll give a Value of the Game. This player will be one who I project to lead all players in overall value for that game.

Sounds good?  Let’s get into it.

What To Watch For

There are a few general things I’m going to be looking for tonight. First, I want to see how Dak Prescott is moving following his elaborate ankle surgery. In addition to that, I want to see how his shoulder looks after an injury to it that sidelined him for a majority of the pre-season. I did watch Hard Knocks, and it seemed like Dak’s ankle was fully recovered, but you never know until you see it in a live game scenario. I look forward to witnessing Dak’s return not only for this game but for the entire season.

The second thing I will be looking for is how the “pecking order” for the Buccaneers’ receivers shakes out. Yes, I know this will be a small sample size of only one game, but it will be interesting to see, nonetheless. Here is how the target share ended up for the 2020 season…

 1234567891011121314151617Total
Mike Evans41048922761199*57124109
Chris Godwin767966109*359784
Antonio Brown58133*5761461
Scotty Miller635702963101*232353
Rob Gronkowski317368846367*272477

A “-“ indicates the player missed the game, * indicates that the team was on bye in Week 13

These are all the primary pass catchers for the Bucs last season with their targets per game.  As you may remember, Antonio Brown (AB) did not play for the first eight weeks of the 2020 season. Throughout the entire 2020 season, Mike Evans had a 31.2 percent target share among wide receivers. Godwin was second with 24 percent and Antonio Brown was third with 17.5 percent despite missing the first eight games. What’s interesting is how these numbers are skewed when you only look at the last half of the season when AB was playing. Here are the numbers then…

Mike Evans had a wide receiver target share of 31.3 percent. Chris Godwin had a wide receiver target share of 27.4 percent. Antonio Brown had a wide receiver target share of 30.0 percent.  These are clearly the only numbers we should consider because what happened prior to AB’s arrival is not very helpful. Once again, I look forward to seeing how the target shares end up.

Top Players

The top players shouldn’t be too hard to guess. These are players that should be started regardless of their salaries. Simply put, these players just put up Dynasty Owner fantasy points.  These players should be in the Starting lineup in every Dynasty Owner league. They are:

  • Dak Prescott ($40,000,000)
  • Tom Brady ($25,000,000)
  • Ezekiel Elliott ($15,000,000)
  • CeeDee Lamb ($3,502,503)
  • Amari Cooper ($20,000,000)
  • Mike Evans ($16,500,000)
  • Chris Godwin ($15,983,000)

That is the list. These seven players should lead this game in scoring, and they should be in your Starting lineup in almost every Dynasty Owner league.

Bench and Practice Squad Players

Even though Antonio Brown missed practice on Monday and Wednesday, he is expected to play tonight. However, I don’t have him as someone who should be in your Starting lineup since I think Evans and Godwin will be Brady’s top two targets. Instead, leave AB on the Bench.

Remember that players on your Dynasty Owner Bench accumulate Dynasty Owner fantasy points and 25% of the Bench points are added to your total score. While Antonio Brown, Rob Gronkowski and Michael Gallup probably shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup, they will produce some points and should be on your Bench. Same with the trio of Tampa Bay RBs likely to split reps for the Buccaneers. Your Bench players are:

  • Leonard Fournette ($3,250,000)
  • Ronald Jones ($1,767,977)
  • Giovani Bernard ($1,212,500)
  • Antonio Brown ($3,075,000)
  • Michael Gallup ($880,995)
  • Rob Gronkowski ($8,000,000)

As for other widely rostered players on Dynasty Owner, my recommendation is to leave the rest of them on the Practice Squad in Week 1. They might be useful at some point this season, just not this week. These players are:

  • Ke’Shawn Vaughn ($1,188,999)
  • Tony Pollard ($796,945)
  • Scott Miller ($661,960)
  • Tyler Johnson ($902,355)
  • Jaelon Darden ($1,044,476)
  • Blake Jarwin ($5,500,000)
  • Dalton Schultz ($728,090)

Value of the Game

Finally, let me present to you my “Value of the Game.” This is my prediction as to who will be the greatest value. Like always, value takes into account not only fantasy points but salary.  Throughout this season, you will find that the majority of my “Values of the Game” will also be mentioned in my top players. After all, you are going to have to be a top player in order to qualify as a top value. The player I want to highlight this week is CeeDee Lamb.

Lamb comes into his sophomore season poised for a real breakout. Lamb’s rookie season is often overshadowed by what Justin Jefferson did. There is no doubt that Jefferson had the more impressive season, but that shouldn’t take away from what Lamb did. He had 84 touches, 1,017 total yards, and six touchdowns. He also added 219 return yards and a kickoff return for a TD (all of which added to his point total). Oh, by the way, he did all this without Dak Prescott for the majority of the season. I cannot wait to see Lamb’s career, season and even this game with Dak. The fact that he is paid $3,502,503 in salary per year is even sweeter. Look for Lamb to lead all Cowboys in targets tonight. Here is my stat and Dynasty Owner fantasy points (DOFP) prediction for Lamb on Thursday…

Week 1 ProjectionsReceptionsYardsTDsDOFP
CeeDee Lamb787121.7

This stat line would be good enough to crown Lamb as my Week 1 Value of the Game.

As always, I thank everyone for reading.  Football is back!  I’ll talk to you all next week on Wednesday.  Take care and be safe.

The Jerk

Week 16 Preview – Déjà vu All Over Again

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Yogi Berra was right about this. It feels like there’s plenty of repetition in Week 16 of the NFL as well as at the end of the Dynasty Owner season. The NFL has the Browns playing in New York for the second week in a row, just like San Francisco did earlier in the year and New England did recently with back-to-back games in Los Angeles. San Francisco plays its third consecutive game in Arizona with a road game against the Cardinals after two “home” games there the past two weeks.

In Dynasty Owner, we’re seeing some things again as well. We still have quite a few 7-6 and 8-5 teams who won last week and get to play for a League Championship this week. The Chase standings look familiar to anyone who’s been checking them regularly. Despite losing several teams from the Top 25 after last week’s games, we really have only one truly “new” team added (welcome to SchmajeffreyRun making their inaugural appearance in the Top 25).

For the Match-up of the Week, we’re going to do two of them again. Seth’s team (CLE Piggy Pauls) won last week so we need to follow through and see if he can go all the way and win a title. And just like last week, we’ll also preview the only game with two teams in the Top 25 of the Chase. Spoiler alert – this match-up may be familiar as they were featured as the Match-up of the Week earlier this season as well.

Finally, are we going to see a repeat of 2019? Eddie and New York’s Strongest won the regular season title and captured the Ring last year. This year, Barbee Kilgore sat at the top of the standings during the regular season and is still there now. They might not be undefeated, but can they hold to win the Ring?

This article will look the same as the other 15 weeks with a set of recommendations for your Starting lineup as well as some recommendations for players to leave on your Bench or Practice Squad. As usual, there will be our look at the overall projected score for both of our Match-up of the Week games. We will, as usual, peek at the Starters and Bench for all of these teams to see how their current lineups are projected to produce.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of December 23rd.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

It’s time to take our next to last look at how my Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Nick Mullens – 14.6 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Lynn Bowden – 10.6 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Keke Coutee – 13.3 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • TE: Cole Kmet – 3.2 (Bad recommendation)

The poor Starter recommendations continued in the playoff semi-finals as we had two Just Ok and two Bad recommendations. Neither Nick Mullens (14.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) nor Cole Kmet (3.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) did very well, and those recommendations were Bad. The selections of Lynn Bowden and Keke Coutee were Just Ok as both had more than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and finished just inside the Top 30 at their respective positions. Let’s hope we don’t have a third straight playoff week without a Good recommendation. For the last time in 2020, here are the recommendations for players who should be in your Starting lineup to help you win in Week 16:

Baker Mayfield (QB – CLE): For the past four weeks, Mayfield has been the best QB in Dynasty Owner. He’s averaged 33.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points over that time to move up to be the #16 QB for the entire season. His average over that time is better than Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen, Ryan Tannehill, Lamar Jackson and everyone else in the NFL. In that same time period, his opponent this week, the New York Jets, have allowed opposing QBs to average 30.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. All this lines up perfectly for his Dynasty Owners to put Mayfield in their Starting lineups for the playoff or Loser’s Bracket tournament finals and have him lead your team to victory.

Zack Moss (RB – BUF): Moss had the best game of his rookie season back in Week 8 against New England with 20.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (81 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs). He also had 81 rushing yards last week versus Denver, which tied his mark set in Week 8 for the most rushing yards in a game. In the past two weeks, New England has let rookie RBs run all over them, allowing 171 rushing yards and 23.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to Cam Akers of the Rams and 122 rushing yards plus a rushing TD for 23.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to Salvon Ahmed of the Dolphins. They also gave up 24.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to Kenyan Drake of the Cardinals back in Week 12. Moss may split time with Devin Singletary and only be the #52 ranked RB in Dynasty Owner, but he should be in your Starting lineup this week.

Emmanuel Sanders (WR – NO): The Saints have Drew Brees back at QB, but are now missing their best WR in Michael Thomas. That means someone needs to step up and be the guy Brees throws it to this week against Minnesota. The top candidate for the job is Emmanuel Sanders. Sanders has played in five games this season with Brees but without Thomas and averaged 13.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in those games. His scoring average in the seven games he played with Thomas in the lineup (including games without Brees at QB) is five points lower (8.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Brees looked rusty in his first game off Injured Reserve versus Kansas City in Week 15 but the expectation is that he’ll improve and play better against Minnesota. That bodes well for the #48 ranked WR in Dynasty Owner, so get him in your Starting lineup.

Austin Hooper (TE – CLE): Ten. That’s how many TEs have scored double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points when playing the Jets this season. Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry and Mike Gesicki all did it, but the four of them are Top 12 TEs. There are six other TEs who did it and are well outside of the Top 12, such as Jordan Reed, Tyler Higbee, Adam Shaheen, Mo Allie-Cox, Tyler Kroft and Will Dissly. This week, Austin Hooper has the opportunity to exploit the Jets defense. His QB has been playing great recently and with the Jets’ struggles against the TE, it stands to reason that he will join the double-digit scorers club in Week 16. That’s good enough to make him a TE worth having in your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Let’s look back at Week 15 to see how those Bench or Practice Squad recommendations did.

  • QB: Ryan Tannehill – 45.7 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire – 9.3 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Tyler Lockett – 7.4 (Good recommendation)
  • TE: Dalton Schultz – 9.4 (Just Ok recommendation)

Another week with one Good recommendation, although having two Just Ok recommendations was an improvement from last week when we had just one. We only had one Bad recommendation, but it was really Bad as Ryan Tannehill was the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week with 45.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Dalton Schultz were both held to just under 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but got close enough to make those Recommendations fall into the Just Ok category. Finally, on the bright side, recommending Tyler Lockett for the Bench was Good as he only had 7.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to finish outside the Top 50 WRs for the week. A couple of the picks in Week 16 are flashbacks to Week 13 when both of them were listed here and were actually Good recommendations, while the other two should have been on your Bench in recent weeks. There’s still an outside chance to have more Good than Bad recommendations this year, we just need at least 3 Good ones and no Bad ones. Here are the Bench picks for Week 16.  

Russell Wilson (QB – SEA): It’s been a rough couple of weeks for Russell Wilson. After really cooking at the beginning of the season, Wilson has cooled off. He hasn’t thrown for 300 yards in a game since back in Week 9 against Buffalo and has gotten two or more TDs just twice in the past six weeks. Since the Buffalo game, he has averaged just 19.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. That stretch includes a 9.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy point outing against this week’s opponent, the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams have the NFL’s best pass defense, even if they didn’t show it last week against the Jets. Russell may get cooking again for the Seahawks, but it’s probably not going to happen in Week 16, so leave him on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

James Conner (RB – PIT): Conner is expected to return to the Steelers’ lineup for their Week 16 game against the Indianapolis Colts, but don’t automatically return him to your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup for several reasons. First, the Steelers have been pretty bad the past three weeks. Second, Benny Snell played pretty well against the Bengals last week with 19.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and according to reports, may have earned additional playing time. Third, Conner’s best games were all in the first half when he averaged 16.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. In the four games he has played in the second half, it’s down to just 6.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Finally, if you flashback to Week 14, before he missed last week with an injury, he had his worst game of the season and only scored 0.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. While he’s technically outside of the Top 24 RBs at #26, he is probably a RB2 or FLEX option for most of his Dynasty Owners still fighting for a title or the 1.13 draft pick. Sit him on your Dynasty Owner Bench in his return.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): With a potentially messy situation at QB for the Football Team this week, it’s best to avoid having McLaurin in your Starting lineup if you can afford to do so. Last week’s starter Dwayne Haskins might get suspended by the team for a violation of team rules. Alex Smith missed last week’s game with a leg injury and may not be healthy enough to return and play this week. That means the Football Team’s starting QB could be either Taylor Heinicke who signed with the team just two weeks ago or rookie Steven Montez who has not played in a NFL game yet. It’ll be difficult for McLaurin to overcome his QB situation this week, so leave him on your Bench.

Hunter Henry (TE – LAC): As the TE with the highest salary in Dynasty Owner ($10.607 million), Henry has been a good solid piece of his Dynasty Owners’ Starting lineups for most of the season. He’s only had one truly bad game (1.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points versus New England in Week 13), but no great games. His best performance was last week’s 17.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy point game against Las Vegas. Will he repeat against another division opponent in Denver this week? Probably not as his recent history against the Broncos isn’t great (7.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 8 and 3.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 13 last year). Plus, the Broncos are pretty good at defending TEs. They did a good job holding both Darren Waller and Travis Kelce to under 7.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in games earlier this season and should be able to do the same to Henry, so Bench him this week.

Seth’s Quest for a Dynasty Owner Title Matchup –

Dynasty Owner Don vs. CLE Piggy Pauls

We continue with Seth’s quest for a Dynasty Owner title as he and his beloved CLE Piggy Pauls were able to overcome the projections to defeat Tim and Real Timo’s Titans in the Crossroads League semi-finals last week. Now, he has to face another member of the Dynasty Owner leadership in Dynasty Owner Don in the finals. Will Seth be the underdog for the third time in these playoffs? Let’s look and see:

Yes indeed! Despite a better regular season record, the CLE Piggy Pauls are an underdog. Just like they have been throughout the playoffs. Seth was the #4 seed in the playoffs and Dynasty Owner Don had an 8-5 regular season record so he must have been the #6 seed and toppled two higher seeds already to make it this far.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, the CLE Piggy Pauls are projected to lose by a 37.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (134.4 to 97.4). That’s more than his deficit in each of the last two rounds of the playoffs. Let’s check out each team’s Starters and see who’s in there now and if there’s any way Seth can pull off a third consecutive upset victory.

While Dynasty Owner Don has the overall advantage in the Starting lineups, it’s really because of his QB and kicker. His advantage in those two positions is 36.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and he’s projected to win by 37.0. This is where the injury to Seth’s Starting QB (Joe Burrow) really hurts. Seth was able to overcome having Taysom Hill as his Starting QB last week so maybe he can do it again. Let’s check and see who both teams have on the Bench and if Seth has anyone who can make up the gap?

Dynasty Owner Don has the advantage with Bench scoring as well and once again, that advantage comes almost entirely from the QB position. Lamar Jackson from Dynasty Owner Don’s team is projected to score twice as many Dynasty Owner fantasy points as Daniel Jones from the CLE Piggy Pauls (26.2 to 13.1).

Overall, it’s looking like a tough one for Seth and the CLE Piggy Pauls. However, they have overcome the odds in each of the past two weeks, so there’s hope that they can do it again.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week #2 –

The Swamp Donkeys vs. Russell Wilson’s War

If our second Match-up of the Week looks familiar, it’s because they were featured back in Week 12. Back then, both of them were in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring standings. It’s true now as well and in fact, this is the only Championship game this week featuring two teams in the Chase (just like last week’s Match-up between Bayside Tigers and Jet Jones), as Russell Wilson’s War are #10 while The Swamp Donkeys are #14. Russell Wilson’s War won a close game last time, but who’s going to prevail with a League Championship and shot at the Ring on the line? Let’s look and see:

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, Russell Wilson’s War should win by a final score of 162.4-154.5. Both teams are going to need more points, plus a few losses by teams in front of them in the Chase to win the Ring. Let’s check out each team’s Starters and see which team has the best Starting lineup.

It’s close, but Russell Wilson’s War has the Starting lineup advantage by 7.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Their lead is entirely from the 8.0 point advantage that the projections give their kicker (Younghoe Koo) over The Swamp Donkey’s kicker (Matt Gay). Russell Wilson’s War will jump out to the lead on Saturday as they have three players who play then, while all of The Swamp Donkeys’ current Starting lineup are in action on Sunday. Russell Wilson’s War has their QB (Josh Allen) playing on Monday night, so both teams might be watching that game intently to see if they win or not. It might also come down to Bench scoring, so let’s check out the Benches for both teams.

The Bench scoring will be over by Sunday night as neither team has anyone on their current Bench from either the Bills or Patriots. The Bench scoring is almost as tight as it can be with Russell Wilson’s War having a 0.7 point advantage (74.8 to 74.1). The Swamp Donkeys could add three points to their projected Starting lineup by inserting Matt Prater in at kicker over Matt Gay, but neither player is projected to score many points.

Russell Wilson’s War is looking like they will repeat their close victory from Week 12 and win their League Title. The Swamp Donkeys need some help to pull the upset and take this re-match, but the #1 team after the first week can’t be counted out.

Conclusion

Thank you to everyone who made the 2020 season of Dynasty Owner possible. It’s been a lot of fun previewing and recapping the season for all of my fellow Dynasty Owners once again.

Once the playoffs are over, the Free Agent freeze is lifted, and a new season of Dynasty Owner starts. There will be several articles per week on a wide range of subjects from the writing team of myself, Jay Poundsee  (@jaypoundsnfl) and Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk). Please check them out and follow all of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

Thanks for reading and Happy Holidays!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner