Week 15 Preview – Staying Alive

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Week 14 saw a few NFL teams keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Other teams kept winning to solidify their place in the playoffs and hopes to stay alive once the NFL playoffs start. The Baltimore Ravens victory over the Cleveland Browns on Monday night was their second straight victory and has them in a tie for the final playoff bid in the AFC. In the NFC, Arizona has a one-game lead for the seventh and final playoff seed after their victory over the New York Giants. The Washington Football Team is currently on a four-game winning streak which makes them the leader in the NFC East at 6-7, one game ahead of the Giants. Even the Denver Broncos kept their extremely slim playoff hopes alive by winning against the Carolina Panthers last week. They will need to keep winning to stay alive in the NFL playoff race, but it’s not over yet for them.

Last week was the first round of the Dynasty Owner playoffs and while the #1 and #2 seeds had byes in the playoffs (and the #7 and #8 seeds had Loser’s Bracket byes), the rest of the teams had to win to stay alive. This includes #6 seeds who just made it to the playoffs with 7-6 records (or worse). It also includes those #11 and #12 seeds who finished at the bottom of their Leagues in the regular season, but still have a chance at winning the Loser’s Bracket tournament and earning the 1.13 pick in their Dynasty Owner rookie draft. In both of my leagues, the #11 and #12 seeds stayed alive for a chance at that pick by winning their first round Loser’s Bracket tournament game.

It’s similar at the top as well. In looking at all of the matchups for the teams in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring, there were a dozen of those teams’ opponents with 7-6 records in the regular season, meaning that they were likely either the #5 or #6 seed in the playoffs. Despite barely making the playoffs, those teams stayed alive in their attempt to win a League title by knocking off a higher ranked team in the first round of the playoffs. Now, they have the chance to knock off one of the top teams in Dynasty Owner.

One guy who has stayed alive for the past couple of weeks is our good friend and friendly Dynasty Owner podcast host Seth. His team (CLE Piggy Pauls) haven’t lost since Week 9 when they were 5-4 and in danger of not making the playoffs. We’ll look at his match-up in the Crossroads League semi-finals as well as an epic clash between two teams in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring. That’s right, in order to stay alive in their quest for their League Championship and a chance at the Ring, they need to beat another Chase contender in the semi-finals. We’ll look at both of these playoff games, check out the overall projected score and then the Starters and Bench to see how each team’s current lineups are projected to produce.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of December 18th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my first-round playoff (Week 14) Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Taysom Hill – 23.8 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Myles Gaskin – Did Not Play
  • WR: Michael Gallup – 4.3 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Noah Fant – 0.0 (Bad recommendation)

Not a great way to start the playoffs with one Just Ok recommendation and two Bad ones plus a Did Not Play for Myles Gaskin. While Taysom Hill was Just Ok since he finished as the #11 QB in Dynasty Owner for Week 14, he did outscore nine out of the 12 QBs in the Top 12 including Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, Deshaun Watson, Ryan Tannehill, Tom Brady and Justin Herbert. On the Bad side, we had Michael Gallup who was targeted six times for Dallas, but only had 4.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Recommending Noah Fant was also bad as he had a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), but that was because he got sick early on in the game and never returned to play. We still get to make selections this week despite the poor week. It’s the playoffs so these choices continue to be difficult, but regardless, let’s go with these guys as players who should be in your Starting lineup in Week 15:

Nick Mullens (QB – SF): This isn’t the easiest of week to find a QB who is usually a Bench option but should be a Starter. Even though Taysom Hill outscored a bunch of higher ranked QBs last week, all of those players had between 20.0 and 24.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, so the differences were marginal. This week, Nick Mullens is the recommendation, but the only way Dynasty Owners should be using him is if you are desperate. Maybe Joe Burrow was your franchise QB and he’s done for the year, or Matthew Stafford is your usual starter, but he might not play, or you had Carson Wentz and now he’s a backup in Philadelphia. Maybe you drafted Jimmy Garoppolo and stashed Mullens and his $750,000 contract deep on your Practice Squad for just this occasion. Mullens is averaging only 16.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in 2020 but has thrown for 200 yards or more in every game and averages 268 passing yards per game. Turnovers are the issue with Mullens as he has thrown at least one INT in six out of eight games. Fortunately for him and his Dynasty Owners, Dallas has only forced five INTs all season. An average passing week plus a TD and no turnovers is almost 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Add in another TD and that’s good enough to be in your Starting lineup.

Lynn Bowden (RB – MIA): For the second straight week, the pick for RB to Start is a member of the Miami Dolphins. Hopefully this week’s choice Lynn Bowden plays, unlike Myles Gaskin who did not play last week. Speaking of playing, after barely playing through the first 12 weeks of the season, Bowden stepped up with 9.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 13 versus Cincinnati and 15.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 14 versus Kansas City. While he’s listed as a RB, Bowden got almost all of his points in both games catching the ball. He’s also a threat to run or even throw an option pass since he was a QB in college. Bill Belichick’s defenses are usually tough for rookie QBs to figure out, so the Dolphins might try some trickery and have Bowden throw an option pass or two this week. Even if he doesn’t, the Dolphins could be without their two leading receivers in Davante Parker and Mike Gesicki. This would give other Dolphins players an opportunity to shine. Bowden will be one of them and since he’s produced the past two weeks, he’s the best bet to do it again and should be in your Starting lineup.

Keke Coutee (WR – HOU): The Indianapolis Colts pass defense was one of the best for the first half of the season. However, in each of the past four weeks, they have allowed a WR to score over 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. First, Davante Adams had 23.6 points, then it was A.J. Brown with 26.9 points, which included a 42-yard TD return of an onside kick. Two weeks ago, it was Coutee whoscored 24.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (8 receptions, 141 receiving yards, 112 return yards). Finally, Nelson Agholor scored 21.0 points against them last week. That’s an average of 24.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Coutee gets a second chance at Indianapolis in Week 15 and it seems likely that it’s going to be a fifth straight game with a WR torching their secondary. That’s why Dynasty Owners should have Coutee in their Starting lineup.

Cole Kmet (TE – CHI): For the past three weeks, Cole Kmet has been on the field for over three-quarters of the Bears’ offensive snaps. All three games featured Mitchell Trubisky at QB. Kmet been targeted 17 times in those games, included 7 times in each of the past two games. In those two games, he has scored 22.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points combined (9 receptions, 78 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). The Bears’ opponent this week are the Minnesota Vikings who held the Bears’ TEs to just one catch for seven yards back in Week 10 when Nick Foles was the Bears starting QB. The Vikings allowed a pair of Jacksonville TEs (Tyler Eifert and James O’Shaughnessy) to catch 10 passes for 86 yards two weeks ago, so they are vulnerable. Trubisky exploit that vulnerability so Kmet can play good enough to have in your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up is reviewing the Week 14 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations to see how those did.

  • QB: Kyler Murray – 21.9 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Giovani Bernard – 2.3 (Good recommendation)
  • WR: JuJu Smith-Schuster – 17.5 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Robert Tonyan – 14.6 (Bad recommendation)

We had one Good recommendation, one Just Ok recommendation and two Bad recommendations last week for players to put on your Dynasty Owner Bench. That’s down from the past two weeks when we had two Good recommendations, but it’s still four weeks in a row with at least one Good Bench recommendation. We kept that streak alive because Giovani Bernard had an early fumble, was out of the lineup for a while and only produced 2.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Kyler Murray had an average game with 21.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and the call to Bench him was Just Ok. However, JuJu Smith-Schuster was a Top 25 WR and Robert Tonyan was a Top 5 TE so both of those Bench recommendations were Bad. Even though last week’s recommendations weren’t great, our hope of having more Good than Bad recommendations is still alive as we have had 20 Good and 23 Bad Bench recommendations so far this season. With that goal in mind, here’s a set of Bench picks for Week 15.  

Ryan Tannehill (QB – TEN): It seems like all of the top QBs are playing poor pass defenses this week.  Patrick Mahomes does face a good one in the Saints, but there’s no way I’m picking Mahomes to have a bad game. Tannehill has been good this year, but this pick has little to do with Tannehill and his ability to play well against the Detroit Lions. It does have everything to do with the potential that Derrick Henry will run all over the Lions defense and the Titans won’t need Tannehill to throw the ball very much. The Lions have let teams run for over 200 yards twice against them this season and Henry could make it three. If that happens, Tannehill may play well, it’s just that he might not need to do more than hand the ball off to Henry. That would make him better suited to be on your Bench.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB – KC): The rookie with the best ADP (9.4) has been good, but not great this season. He’s the #14 ranked RB even after not playing in Week 13 and is averaging 14.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. However, he has a match-up against the New Orleans Saints whose defense is allowing the third fewest yards to RBs and not allowing them to catch many passes either (4.3 receptions per game by RBs). Admittedly, they allowed Philadelphia to run for 246 yards against them last week, but 106 of those yards were by QB Jalen Hurts and 82 of Miles Sanders’ 115 yards came on one big play. Otherwise, RBs only had 39 yards on 16 carries. The Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes will probably find other ways to move the ball against the Saints that don’t involve Edwards-Helaire so leave him on your Dynasty Owner Bench this week. 

Tyler Lockett (WR – SEA): Lockett is the #8 ranked WR in Dynasty Owner, but his high ranking is largely built upon two really big games (59.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Arizona in Week 7 and 37.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Dallas in Week 3). He has 8 TDs on the season, but 6 came in those two games. For the rest of the season, he’s averaging 11.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. That average drops to just 10.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game since the Week 7 explosion against Arizona. Those averages over the entire season equate to being the #34 (11.5 points per game) or #39 (10.8 points per game) WR in Dynasty Owner and someone better suited for your Bench than the Starting lineup.

Dalton Schultz (TE – DAL): Schultz has been a pleasant surprise for his Dynasty Owners this season. He’s the #10 ranked TE in Dynasty Owner at a salary of just $728,090 after being undrafted. This week, Dallas is playing San Francisco and the 49ers defense is the stingiest in the NFL against opposing TEs, allowing the fewest number of yards (399 yards) and receptions (44) to TEs all season. They have also only allowed 3 receiving TDs by TEs all year. Schultz isn’t the type of TE who produces without scoring a TD. He has scored over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points four times this season, but only once did he score that much without a TD. Schultz is also splitting receptions with three WRs (Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb) plus RB Ezekiel Elliott in the Dallas offense. Hopefully you have a TE on your roster with a better matchup and can leave Schultz on your Bench this week.

Seth’s Quest for a Dynasty Owner Title Matchup

Real Timo’s Titans vs. CLE Piggy Pauls

We saw Seth stay alive in the Crossroads League playoffs last week by dispatching Girthquake and now he’s got a semi-finals match-up against the #1 seed Real Timo’s Titans, the pride and joy of Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer. Can Seth overcome the odds again and keep his 5-game winning streak alive? Let’s take a look and find out:

It’s going to be tough for Seth as based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, his team is projected to lose by a wide margin (150.0-112.9). Let’s check out each team’s Starters and see who’s in there now and if there’s any way Seth and his team can win.

It’s an across-the-board advantage for Real Timo’s Titans from each team’s Starting lineups. Tim’s team is projected to have a 37.1-point lead over Seth and the CLE Piggy Paul’s from their respective current Starting lineups. Only at the WR1 position with Stefon Diggs over Justin Jefferson do the CLE Piggy Paul’s have an advantage. Let’s see if there is anyone on Seth’s Bench who can help him close the gap.

There’s no Bench advantage for either team. However, the projections for Mike Davis from CLE Piggy Paul’s are higher than their Starter in Damien Harris by 5.5 points. That switch could close the gap a little bit, but it’s going to be difficult for Seth to win without some great performances by his team coupled with a poor performance or two from Tim’s squad.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week #2

Bayside Tigers vs. Jet Jones

Our second Match-up of the Week features a rarity among the games for teams in the Chase for the Ring this week. It features two Chase teams who appear heading to a close game. One team is going to win and keep their Ring hopes alive, while the other team will go home and not even have a chance to win their League. Will it be Bayside Tigers, the #5 team in the Chase, or Jet Jones, the #18 team? Let’s find out:

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, it’s going to be a close one. In a high scoring game, an upset is brewing as Jet Jones has a slight advantage (163.4-166.1). Let’s check out each team’s Starters and see which team has better ones than the other.

One team has an advantage from the Starters and its Jet Jones. They have a 12-point lead from his Starters with most of the advantage coming from TE as Darren Waller is projected to outscore T.J. Hockenson by 10 points. Each team has their best offensive weapon outside of QB in their FLEX with Tyreek Hill for Bayside Tigers up against Davante Adams of Jet Jones. Interestingly, the Starting QB for Bayside Tigers is Aaron Rodgers so if Rodgers throws TDs to players on the Packers not named Davante Adams, it could swing the game to the Bayside Tigers’ advantage.

With Jet Jones having such an advantage from their Starters, let’s see how Bayside Tigers stay alive in this match-up from each team’s Bench.

Bayside Tigers have a much better Bench with a Tampa Bay Bench stack of the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady and Antonio Brown against Atlanta. Both teams also have injury concerns on their Bench with Ryan Succop for Bayside Tigers and more importantly, Matthew Stafford for Jet Jones. If Stafford doesn’t play as currently projected, Jet Jones loses the Bench scoring by 46.7 points, which equates to 9.3 more points for Bayside Tigers. Stafford gutting it out for the Lions and Jet Jones, or Jet Jones having a viable QB replacement on their Practice Squad, might be the determining factor in this Chase for the Ring elimination game.

Conclusion

Whether you’re in your League playoffs and trying to win some money or just $100 million Dynasty Dollars, or in the Loser’s Bracket tournament and vying for that 1.13 pick to help rebuild your Dynasty, it’s all about winning and staying alive. For Seth and Tim, it’s also about bragging rights for an entire year on the Dynasty Owner podcast. For Bayside Tigers and Jet Jones, winning and staying alive means having an opportunity to win the Ring and all of the glory that comes with it. Next week is the big one – the finals of the Playoffs and Loser’s Bracket tournament. Somebody we preview will win their League and maybe even the Ring.

Because of the frozen rosters during the Playoffs, there’s no need for the usual weekly free agent article from Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl), but he’s got an Intro to Rebuilding and Retooling Your Roster for those of you who aren’t competing in the playoffs right now. Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) looks at Sleepers and Rookies in his article this week. Read both of them to know how to keep building your Dynasty and follow all of us and Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

The weekly Tuesday Live podcast is at 3 PM (Eastern) / Noon (Pacific) with Seth and Tim. That’s where you can find out if CLE Piggy Paul’s (Seth) or Real Timo’s Titans (Tim) won their match-up and who has a chance to win the Crossroads League title. If Real Timo’s Titans wins, then Tim and I will likely discuss it as well on our weekly podcast on Wednesday at 1PM (Eastern) / 10 AM (Pacific). Both will be streaming live on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube.

Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has 572 subscribers on YouTube now and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your weekly matchup, your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 14 Preview – Tough Decisions

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Start and Bench decisions are always tough to make in fantasy football. You really have no control over what’s going to happen on Sunday (or Thursday, Monday and even Tuesday or Wednesday this year) and the uncertainty about who’s going to play and how much just makes it worse. It’s like NFL coaches don’t understand how important their decisions are to millions of us fantasy football players.

Last year, there was a big outcry in the fantasy community when the Cardinals had David Johnson activated for a Week 7 game versus the Giants but played only three snaps while his backup at the time (Chase Edmonds) ended up with 37.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. It happened again in Week 13 this year with Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Both times, the team’s coach said the active player was available, but only in “an emergency”.  Unfortunately, those announcements were made after the game was played and fantasy managers made the tough and ultimately incorrect decision to start Johnson (or Edwards-Helaire) instead of Edmonds or someone else who could help them win.

Start or Bench decisions are even tougher when you’re in the playoffs or trying to win that extra first round draft pick in the Loser’s Bracket tournament. A loss in Week 7 when David Johnson is a Starter for your Dynasty Owner team but barely plays hurts, but can be overcome. A loss in the first round of the playoffs or draft pick tournament is permanent, you’re out!

This week’s decisions have more weight and also seemed more difficult to make. There are players out with COVID who might be cleared in time to play on Sunday, lots of guys are “limited” in practice on Thursday, but end up playing on Sunday while others don’t. There was a Thursday night game that might have caused you to decide earlier than you would have like to do it. The decision between two similar players is already tough enough, but the added layer of being in a must-win situation just amplifies everything.

Everyone has tough decisions if they have a game this week or are in the Chase for the Ring standings and need to keep scoring points. And we have a Match-up of the Week featuring someone who has publicly agonized with the tough decisions about who to pick up and start for his team at the end of the season. Now, he ended up making the playoffs, so the tough decisions continue. We’ll look at his playoff game, check out the overall projected score and then the Starters and Bench for both teams to see how their current lineups are projected to produce.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of December 11th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 13 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Mitchell Trubisky – 16.9 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: J.K. Dobbins – 13.1 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Sterling Shepard – 5.2 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Mike Gesicki – 23.8 (Good recommendation)

A slightly below average Week 13 with only one Good recommendation and one Just Ok plus two Bad recommendations. Both Trubisky and Shepard were well outside of the top players for Week 13. In the middle was J.K. Dobbins who finished just outside of the Top 20 RBs with his 13.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy point week. The choice of Mike Gesicki at TE was the first Good TE recommendation since back in Week 4. Even though we had more Bad than Good recommendations during the regular season, we still get to make more tough decisions about who should be in your Starting lineup in Week 14:

Taysom Hill (QB – NO):  So far, Taysom Hill has been pretty good as the starting QB for the New Orleans Saints, scoring just under 23.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in his three starts. His passing hasn’t been off the charts with just 543 passing yards as a starter (181 per game). However, much to the annoyance of Alvin Kamara’s Dynasty Owner, he’s made up for it by averaging 59.3 rushing yards per game and scoring 4 rushing TDs. In Week 14, the Saints get to play the Eagles, who have given up 17 rushing TDs this year (third most in the NFL) and a rushing TD in nine games. It’s highly likely that the Saints have a rushing TD this week and that the ball stays in Hill’s hands for that TD. Lamar Jackson had his best rushing game of the year back in Week 6 against the Eagles with 9 rushes for 108 yards and a rushing TD. Hill could duplicate the 34.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points that Jackson scored that week, making him someone you want in your Starting lineup.

Myles Gaskin (RB – MIA): Cam Akers would have been perfect in this spot as he was the #57 ranked RB in Dynasty Owner before last night’s Rams-Patriots game, but slated to be the lead RB. Akers didn’t disappoint the Dynasty Owners who started him as he got them 23.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. The next best choice is tough, but the nod goes to Myles Gaskin. With the return of Tua Tagovailoa, the return of Gaskin to the Miami lineup may have been overshadowed a little, but his return was important for the Dolphins who have been hit with the injury bug at RB. Gaskin came in last week and returned to form with 13.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points – right on his season long average of 13.8 points per game. Since he’s missed four games, he’s only the overall #33 RB in Dynasty Owner and since his Dynasty Owners didn’t draft him (ADP 258.8) with the intent of starting him in the playoffs, he fits here. He seems like a good play for your Starting lineup in the playoffs because he’s been very consistent – no real highs (season high of 20.1), but no lows either (season low of 9.2). If you forgot to get him in your Starting lineup last week, there’s plenty of time to make the decision to get him in it this week.

Michael Gallup (WR – DAL): Out of the five Dallas Cowboys’ starting skill position players (RB Ezekiel Elliott, WR Amari Cooper, WR CeeDee Lamb, WR Michael Gallup and TE Dalton Schultz), Gallup is the only one not to have experienced a drop in production after the injury to starting QB Dak Prescott. Gallup has averaged 7.3 targets per game without Dak after averaging 5.6 targets per game with him. He averaged 11.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the five games that Dak started, but has gone up slightly to 12.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the seven games without him. Last week against the Ravens, Andy Dalton targeted him 11 times (more than either Amari Cooper or CeeDee Lamb) and he scored 21.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. As the #44 WR in Dynasty Owner on the season, Gallup is just outside of being a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup, but put him in there this week against Cincinnati.

Noah Fant (TE – DEN): After the first two weeks of the season, the idea of Fant not being in the Top 12 TEs seemed ridiculous as he had 19.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 versus Tennessee and 17.7 points in Week 2 versus Pittsburgh. Since then, he’s gone without a TD catch and now sits as the #14 TE overall. It hasn’t been all terrible as he has still averaged 7.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game since Week 3. In the 10 games he’s played this season with a real QB, he’s averaging 6.5 targets per game and now gets to face the Carolina defense that is in the bottom five in targets, receptions and receiving yards allowed to TEs. Fant is unlikely to produce a huge number of Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but should get enough to be worth having in your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up is reviewing the Week 13 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations to see how those did.

  • QB: Josh Allen – 40.8 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Kenyan Drake – 13.8 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Terry McLaurin – 3.4 (Good recommendation)
  • TE: Hunter Henry – 1.5 (Good recommendation)

Two weeks in a row with two Good recommendations. That’s better than most of the season and better than the Starting lineup recommendations. My Bench recommendations have been the best for WRs and TEs and these are the positions that were spot on this week. Terry McLaurin and Hunter Henry had less than 5.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points combined. Kenyan Drake was trending towards a Good recommendation, but had a 4-yard TD run in the fourth quarter to give him double-digit points and a Just Ok mark. Finally, the choice for QB was terrible for the fourth week in a row. Time to make our first set of playoff Starting lineup recommendations and hope that we keep on track with the WRs and TEs and finally give a good Bench recommendation at QB in Week 14:

Kyler Murray (QB – ARI):  Murray injured his shoulder against Seattle back in Week 11 and has only scored an average of 18.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in that game and the two games since the injury. More distressing for his Dynasty Owners is that he’s only had 15 rushing attempts for 61 rushing yards (4.1 yards per carry) in those three games after starting the season averaging 6.9 yards per carry (87 rushing attempts for 604 rushing yards). The Giants defense has only allowed opposing QBs to run for a total of 107 yards all season. Admittedly, outside of Russell Wilson, they haven’t faced any really good running QBs, but Murray hasn’t run much since his injury. The teams are heading in opposite directions with the Giants on a four game winning streak and the Cardinals having lost three in a row. Each of the Giants’ opponents during their winning streak have scored 20 points or less per game. An injured Murray against a defense playing well seems like a bad combination so keep Murray on your Bench this week.

Giovani Bernard (RB – DAL): Bernard and the Bengals face off against the Dallas Cowboys defense that has allowed the second most rushing yards to RBs and had a 100 yard rusher against them in each of the past three weeks. However, Bernard isn’t a traditional between the tackles RB because he gets two-thirds of his fantasy points in the passing game. In that aspect of the game, Dallas is the best, allowing the fewest receptions and receiving yards by RBs (42 receptions for only 240 receiving yards). To top it off, Bernard has faded since the Bengals bye week, scoring just an average of 7.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game after having 24.2 and 22.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the first two games replacing Joe Mixon as the lead RB for the Bengals. He’s just the #28 ranked RB in Dynasty Owner, but would slot as a RB2 or FLEX after factoring in injures. Don’t do it. Leave Bernard on your Bench this week.

JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR – PIT): There are a lot of pass catchers in the Pittsburgh offense. You’ve got JuJu, Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, Eric Ebron and even James Washington showed up last week with 2 receptions for 80 yards and a receiving TD. Smith-Schuster, Claypool and Johnson are all similarly ranked in Dynasty Owner at #22, #23 and #25 among WRs. However, Smith-Schuster is the one has been relying on volume more than the others recently as he’s scored 32.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the past three weeks, but needed 19 receptions to do it. His longest reception on the season is just 31 yards and he’s only averaging 8.2 yards per reception for the season and 4.4 yards per reception over the past three weeks. If the volume stops, then so does Smith-Schuster’s fantasy value. That’s concerning so Bench him this week.

Robert Tonyan (TE – GB): Tonyan is in his second stretch of three consecutive games with a TD reception this season and has moved up to be the #4 TE in Dynasty Owner on the season. Back in Week 2, Detroit held Tonyan to 2 receptions for 25 yards, but did allow him to score his first TD of the season. What Detroit didn’t do was stop Aaron Jones and the Green Bay running game as the Packers ran for 259 yards in total with Jones getting 168 yards all by himself. If that happens again and Aaron Rodgers only throws the ball 30 times like he did in Week 2, there won’t be a lot of passes for Tonyan to catch since it seems like every Rodgers’ pass attempt goes to Davante Adams. That doesn’t leave a lot of chances for Tonyan. In fact, he’s only been targeted 36 times in the 9 games he’s played with Adams (4 targets per game). That’s not a lot of opportunities to produce for Tonyan, so be wary about putting him in your Starting lineup and consider having him on your Bench.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week –

Girthquake vs. CLE Piggy Pauls

It’s the Dynasty Owner playoffs and time to start looking at some must-win games for everyone involved. The first playoff Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week features a team that everyone who listens to the Tuesday podcast should be familiar with, it’s our podcast host and the Voice of Dynasty Owner Seth Kerechanin, Ph.D. and his team CLE Piggy Pauls facing off for the second week in a row against Girthquake. Seth’s road to the playoffs has been rocky, but he made it and his reward is a rematch with the team he defeated just last week by a score of 134.9 to 119.8. The CLE Piggy Pauls are the #4 seed, but were actually outscored over the course of the Dynasty Owner regular season to the tune of nearly 200 points by Girthquake.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, it’s bad news for Girthquake as he’s projected to lose by a score of 120.3-119.7. Let’s check out each team’s Starters and see who’s in there now and if there are any tough decisions that might need to be made over the weekend.

Advantage Girthquake! Girthquake has a 5 point lead from their Starting lineup over Seth’s team. Seth is rolling with his late season pickup QB Taysom Hill this week and has a solid lineup. Girthquake isn’t dominating at any single position, but still has the overall advantage.

The Bench situation is pretty similar, but Girthquake has Christian McCaffrey on his Bench right now, while Seth has Denzel Mims on his Bench. The news that McCaffrey and Mims are out this week should make both of them pull someone off their Practice Squad. That’s not a tough decision, but choosing the right player from the Practice Squad could be. Both teams need to make that decision so they don’t end up costing themselves a playoff victory by taking a zero when they could have someone in there scoring points.

I’m sure this will be a major discussion topic on the Tuesday afternoon live podcast so tune in to find out who wins and advances in the playoffs.

Conclusion

The decisions were tough this week and if you make the correct ones (or had a bye), you get another chance to make those decisions again next week. This week was exceptionally difficult, and things will likely get more difficult as the stakes get higher and higher.

We will feature another playoff Matchup next week so if you want your team to be featured, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33). You might see your Dynasty Owner playoff team highlighted as the Matchup of the Week. Because of the frozen rosters, there’s no need for the usual weekly free agent article from Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl), but Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) put together an article on League Winners and Playoff Predictions that everyone should go check out. Follow all of us as well as Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

There will also be the weekly Tuesday Live podcast at 3 PM (Eastern) / Noon (Pacific) with Seth and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and the weekly podcast series with myself and Tim on Wednesday at 1 PM (Eastern) / 10 AM (Pacific). Both will be streaming live on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has 571 subscribers on YouTube now and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your weekly matchup, your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 13 Preview – Frozen

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Let it go! Let it go! I’ll stop there because I can imagine every Dynasty Owner with children might have that song from Frozen in their heads now. For that, I apologize. However, frozen is what your Dynasty Owner roster will become in just a couple of days. No more adding players from the Free Agent Auction. No more trades. That’s it, whoever you have on your roster as for this week’s games is who you ride with through your league playoffs (or the loser’s bracket) for the next three weeks. Hope you like your team because those guys are who you have for a while.

Let’s quickly go through a checklist of what you need if you want to win your League title or the Loser’s Bracket to get that coveted extra first round draft pick:

  • Three starting QBs in case one gets injured, or at least a handcuff for your top QB if by chance, he’s suddenly out;
  • Three starting kickers, which is less important than three QBs, but still important because nobody wants to lose their League title or that extra pick because they didn’t have a Bench kicker;
  • Plenty of depth at RB, WR and TE on your Practice Squad to weather an injury (or two) to your Starters or Bench; and
  • Enough snacks and drinks for football watching over the next three weeks

The last bullet point isn’t critical. Unless you live somewhere cold and the weather’s getting more and more frozen as the days are getting shorter. Nobody wants to run to the grocery store or 7-Eleven for snacks in the cold every day there’s a game on. That’s a lot of days in the upcoming weeks! This week alone, there are games on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday plus the next couple of Thursdays, a few Saturday games in Weeks 15 and 16 and finally the Week 16 Christmas Day Friday game. That’s a lot of starting up the car in the cold to run out for snacks and drinks, so stock up now.

One thing that’s definitely not frozen yet are all of the playoff berths in many leagues. There are spots to be won and lost and Week 14 byes to be secured. We were hoping to highlight a head-to-head match-up in which the winner makes the playoffs, while the loser doesn’t, but it was pretty hard to find. In plenty of leagues, the playoff match-ups aren’t finalized, but teams need to win and have another team lose to make it. It’s not an easy as “win and you’re in” for a lot of Dynasty Owners, which is good and should lead to a lot of excitement for Dynasty Owners in the playoff hunt. It’s that way in both of my leagues as well as another beta league with the teams featured in our Match-up of the Week.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of December 4th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 12 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Daniel Jones – 12.5 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Frank Gore – 11.6 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Jalen Reagor – 4.1 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Austin Hooper – 9.3 (Just Ok recommendation)

A slightly below average Week 12 with three Just Ok recommendations and no Good recommendations, but only one Bad one. Believe it or not, despite only scoring 12.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, the Daniel Jones recommendation was really Just Ok as ten other starting QBs had fewer points than he did. Gore had 21 touches, but only 11.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, which was enough to make him a low-end RB2. Austin Hooper had a TD catch, but not much else as he scored 9.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, putting him close, but just outside of the Top 12 TEs for the week. The only Bad recommendation was Jalen Reagor who failed to take advantage of the Seattle secondary and only scored 4.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. We’ve had more Bad than Good recommendations this year, but our final record isn’t frozen just yet, so let’s move on to the Week 13 recommendations:

Mitchell Trubisky (QB – CHI): Out of the two Bears QBs this season, Trubisky has been the better one for Dynasty Owners. Both are roughly the same salary ($8 million for Foles vs. $7.258 million for Trubisky), but Trubisky has scored just under 22.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in his four starts compared to 15.6 points per start for Foles. Trubisky is scoring roughly the same number of Dynasty Owner fantasy points as some QBs with much higher salaries, such as Matthew Stafford ($25 million) and Teddy Bridgewater ($21 million). Way back in Week 1, Trubisky led the Bears on a tremendous comeback with 3 TD passes in the fourth quarter of the Bears 27-24 victory over the Lions. It was a 34.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance for him and now in Week 13, he gets to face the Lions again. The Lions have only caused 11 turnovers this season, which should help Trubisky who has 9 turnovers (5 INTs and 4 fumbles) in only four games. Trubisky might not score 34.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points again, but he should put up enough points to be a Starter this week.

J.K. Dobbins (RB – BAL): Lost in the whole Ravens COVID-19 outbreak in Week 12 was the breakout game in Week 11 for rookie J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins had his best game of the season with 18.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and looked like he was ready to be the top RB for the Ravens in Week 12. Then he tested positive for COVID-19 and sat out the game. A game in which Ravens RB Gus Edwards gained only 10 yards on 9 carries plus a TD for a total of 7.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Dobbins is back to face Dallas in Week 13 and after Edwards’ lack of production versus Pittsburgh, he should be the top RB. Dallas has given up the second most yards to RBs per game (130.7 yards per game) and an average of 4.8 yards per carry to RBs. They were shredded by Antonio Gibson of the Football Team on Thanksgiving to the tune of 115 yards and 3 rushing TDs, not to mention the 57 yards that Gibson’s teammate Peyton Barber added on. Even though he’s just the #41 ranked RB in Dynasty Owner, Dobbins should be in your Starting lineup.

Sterling Shepard (WR – NYG): Steady, but not spectacular is the best description for Sterling Shepard this season. He has scored over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in six out of the seven games he has played this season, but never over 20.0 points. Since returning in Week 7 from injury, he has no less than 6 receptions in any game, but only one TD. At this point in the season, he’s the #63 ranked WR and probably has been sitting on your Dynasty Owner Bench or languishing on the Free Agent Auction because of his $10.25 million annual salary for four years. Even if Giants QB Daniel Jones doesn’t play, Shepard should do well against the Seattle pass defense that is the worst in the NFL against WR, giving up an average of 20 receptions and 240 yards per game to opposing WRs. Start Shepard if you have him on your Dynasty Owner roster and consider picking him up for this week and the playoffs before the transaction freeze kicks in.

Mike Gesicki (TE – MIA): Picking a TE in this spot wasn’t easy, but here goes with Dolphins TE Mike Gesicki who should be worth a start against a Bengals defense that has allowed more receiving yards (718) to TEs than any other team. They have allowed double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points to seven different TEs, including three TEs outside of the top 12 (Trey Burton, Harrison Bryant and David Njoku). Gesicki has been better in the seven games started by Ryan Fitzpatrick (9.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game and three TDs) than in the four games started by Tua Tagovailoa (5.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game and no TDs). He’s not the only Dolphins TE and Fitzpatrick may not start this week, but go with Gesicki in your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up is reviewing the Week 12 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations to see how those did.

  • QB: Aaron Rodgers – 35.7 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Melvin Gordon – 3.1 (Good recommendation)
  • WR: Mike Evans – 20.0 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Jonnu Smith – 0.0 (Good recommendation)

A split decision in Week 12 with two Good recommendations and two Bad ones. It was the second week in a row and third time this season that Rodgers has turned in a good performance when recommended as a Bench option. Mike Evans had two TDs, so the recommendation to Bench him as well was Bad. On the positive side,  the recommendations to Bench Melvin Gordon and Jonnu Smith were Good as Gordon had just 3.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and Smith had a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). That’s two Good Bench RB recommendations in a row. With the playoffs near and the transaction freeze coming soon, it’s time to step it up with these recommendations of guys to Bench in Week 13.

Josh Allen (QB – BUF): It would have been crazy to put Allen here after the first four weeks of the season when he was averaging 40.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. However, the season’s stats didn’t freeze after four weeks and since then, he’s been slightly above average (25.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game), but with four games of under 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points mixed in. This includes last week when he had a passing and a rushing TD, but only scored 17.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Chargers. Now, he gets to play against the 49ers defense that just got Richard Sherman back from Injured Reserve, held Jared Goff to 2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week and only let the Saints QBs score a combined 12.1 points in Week 10. That seems like the type of combination that should worry Allen’s Dynasty Owners and make them Bench him for a better option.

Kenyan Drake (RB – ARI): Drake is coming off one of his best performances of the year after scoring two TDs and 24.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against New England, so benching him after that seems like a curious suggestion. However, after Drake had 2 TDs and 30.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Dallas back in Week 6, he followed it up with just 5.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 7 versus Seattle. Unfortunately for Drake and his Dynasty Owners, their opponent this week are the Los Angeles Rams, who are one of the better run defenses in the NFL. They only allow 3.8 yards per carry to RBs and held San Francisco RBs to 3.4 yards per carry last week and Tampa Bay RBs to 2.4 yards per carry the week before that. Arizona will likely rely on Kyler Murray more this week and less on the running game, which is where Drake does most of his damage. Bench him this week.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): The Football Team is not in an enviable position this week having to face the Pittsburgh Steelers just five days after Coach Mike Tomlin ripped them for a poor game in a win over the Baltimore Ravens. That defense will likely be fired up to play. They already have one of the top defenses in the league and league the NFL in sacks with 41. This will make it difficult for QB Alex Smith to sit back in the pocket and find open receivers downfield, which will make him check down even more than he usually does and keep his passing numbers pretty low. That’s not good for McLaurin who has accumulated 46% of the Football Team’s receiving yards this season (highest in the NFL). Bench McLaurin against the Pittsburgh defense.

Hunter Henry (TE – LAC): The AFC West has some pretty good TEs. All four starters are ranked in the Top 15 TEs with Noah Fant of the Broncos being the lowest at #15. Travis Kelce of the Chiefs is the clear top TE and Darren Waller of the Raiders is second this year, while Hunter Henry comes in sixth place. The Patriots have done a good job against these TEs so far this year – allowing Kelce to only score 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, his second worst game of the season and Waller to get just 2.9 points in his worst game of the year. Fant did not play in the game against New England. While the Patriots defense has struggled recently against Mark Andrews of the Ravens and Jordan Akins of the Texans, they did hold Kyler Murray to his worst game of the season last week and should be able to handle Justin Herbert. That means a bad game for Henry and a spot on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week –

Cap Casualties vs. Squirrel Master

The final regular season Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week for the 2020 season is a beta league battle between a pair of teams who should make the playoffs with a victory, but only one of them is guaranteed to do so. Cap Casualties are 6-6 on the season and hold down the sixth and final spot in their League playoffs, while their opponent, Squirrel Master, is 5-7 and just behind them in seventh place. One of them is going to win and if it’s Cap Casualties, they are in the playoffs. If Squirrel Master wins, then it comes down to what happens in other League games.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, Squirrel Master should defeat Cap Casualties, leaving both teams with 6-7 records and throwing the playoff battle into complete chaos. Cap Casualties does have to fill two spots in their Starting lineup and Bench, but even if they do, it might not be enough to defeat the Squirrel Master. If Squirrel Master wins, we could see any number of teams make the playoffs.

That’s because there is another team in the League at 6-6 (Vampire Facials) who play one of the three teams with a 5-7 record (Tafoya). Two other teams (Jazz and CyberFire) also have an outside chance at the playoffs at 5-7. With playoff berths possible, all of these teams could be making moves to position their team to either make a playoff run or put their best foot forward in the Loser’s bracket for the extra first round pick. All of them have a few days before the transaction freeze kicks in to figure out what to do.

Check the recap article to find out who wins and if they make the playoffs.

Conclusion

Your Dynasty Owner roster may be temporarily frozen soon, but the NFL and Dynasty Owner games continue on this week and for the rest of December. You can still make those Free Agent Auction bids and trades after this week; they just won’t process until after the Dynasty Owner playoffs are finished. Whether you’re already in the playoffs and trying to clinch a Week 14 bye, fighting for a playoff spot like our teams in the Matchup of the Week, or just trying to improve your team for next year, these next couple of days should be interesting.

We will feature a playoff Matchup next week so if your team fights its way into the playoffs, has a game next week and you want to be featured, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33). You might see your Dynasty Owner team highlighted as the Matchup of the Week. Because of the frozen rosters, there’s no need for the usual weekly free agent article from Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl), but I’m sure he and Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) will find something to write to help you with your Dynasty Owner team once rosters are unfrozen. Follow all of us as well as Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

There will also be the weekly Tuesday Live podcast at 3 PM (Eastern) / Noon (Pacific) with Seth and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and the weekly podcast series with myself and Tim on Wednesday at 1 PM (Eastern) / 10 AM (Pacific). Both will be streaming live on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has 570 subscribers on YouTube now and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your weekly matchup, your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 12 Preview – Thankful

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Happy Thanksgiving to all of my fellow Dynasty Owners! Hope you had a great day, enjoyed way too much Thanksgiving dinner and all three Thanksgiving Day football games and have plenty of leftovers for the Sunday games and Monday Night Football. Despite 2020 being a difficult year in a lot of ways, we’ve had a full season of the NFL so far and I’m thankful for that.

A full season of the NFL equals a full season of Dynasty Owner. I hope that I speak for all Dynasty Owners when I express my thanks to everyone associated with Dynasty Owner. They should be acknowledged more often, but definitely this week, so let’s thank everyone associated with Dynasty Owner.

Starting with Paul for thinking up the concept years ago, bringing it back to life in late 2018, taking a chance and hiring me as a writer, and providing his full backing in every way possible since then. Thanks to Tim for running the day to day operations, keeping everything going with development of the game from Paul’s ideas to what it is today, all while hosting multiple podcasts and attending countless meetings. Thanks to Uncle Don for posting all of the articles from me and the other writers, providing excellent customer service to every Dynasty Owner with questions or issues and probably doing many other things that none of us Dynasty Owners know anything about to keep things going. Thanks to Seth for being the best podcast host in the business and his advice that has helped me to improve my appearances (believe it or not, they would be worse without his help). Thanks to the developers for creating the Dynasty Owner app, for all of the improvements over the course of this year and squashing all of the bugs that the beta users keep finding. And finally, thanks to my fellow Dynasty Owners for joining me in playing, promoting and supporting Dynasty Owner and to all of you who actually take the time out of your day to read these preview and recap articles and watch or listen to the podcasts. Thank you!

Two Dynasty Owners in particular who are thankful to be involved in Dynasty Owner are featured in the weekly Match-up of the Week. Both are in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring and play each other this week. They probably aren’t thankful for having to play each other, but regardless, we’ll look at their game, check out the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of November 25th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 11 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Alex Smith – 11.0 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Gus Edwards – 0.6 (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Jalen Guyton – 1.4 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Jared Cook – 1.6 (Bad recommendation)

That’s just terrible – no Good or even Just Ok recommendations in Week 11. There’s not a lot to say here. Smith was the best of a Bad batch of picks and he was only better than five other QBs this week. J.K. Dobbins had the week predicted for Gus Edwards and both Jalen Guyton and Jared Cook had one reception each for minimal yardage. Thankfully Week 11 is over, and we can move on to the Week 12 recommendations:

Daniel Jones (QB – NYG): Taking a QB in the playoff hunt playing his best football of the season against a worse team is pretty much a no-brainer at this point. Believe it or not, all of that is true about Daniel Jones this week. The Giants are thankful that despite a 3-7 record, they are in the thick of the NFC East playoff race. Their record is a half game better than the 2-7-1 record of their opponent this week, the Cincinnati Bengals. Jones had been playing better before the Giants’ Week 11 bye as he scored an average of 21.25 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Weeks 7-10 after averaging 12.3 points per game in the first six weeks of the season. It’s a positive trajectory for Jones heading into a game against the Cincinnati Bengals who will be without star rookie QB Joe Burrow and RB Joe Mixon. The Bengals might have trouble moving the ball and give Jones plenty of opportunities to score his Dynasty Owners some fantasy points and earn his spot in your Starting lineup.

Frank Gore (RB – NYJ): Frank Gore has been a steady, but unspectacular player for the New York Jets this season. Especially since Le’Veon Bell was released and Adam Gase stopped calling plays for the Jets offense. Gore has averaged 12 carries per game and 4.1 yards per carry since Gase gave up the play calling and 11.8 carries per game with an identical yards per carry since Bell was released. He’s been splitting time with La’Mical Perine since then but still received at least 10 carries per game. In terms of fantasy points, it’s been 8.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points since Bell was released and 8.0 since Gase stopped calling plays. Not a bad guy to have for your Bench. However, this week with Perine on the Injured Reserve list with a high ankle sprain and no other RBs worth playing on the Jets roster, it’ll be Gore’s time to shine against one of his former teams (Miami). Get Gore into your Starting lineup this week.

Jalen Reagor (WR – PHI): Since Seattle played on Thursday night last week, we couldn’t pick an Arizona player in this spot against the worst pass defense in the NFL. Thankfully, the Seahawks play Monday night this week so we can use an Eagles player in this spot. Even though outside of Travis Fulgham for a short stretch, none of their WRs have been worth having in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup, the matchup is too good to pass up. Kind of like that third (or fourth) helping of Thanksgiving dinner. So even though picking a guy named Jalen didn’t work last week, the choice this week is Jalen Reagor. The Eagles #1 draft pick has been working his way back from injury and started to produce with 13.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 8 versus Dallas, 8.7 points in Week 10 versus the Giants and 9.2 points in Week 11 versus the Browns (the Eagles had a bye in Week 9). Those numbers are only Bench worthy, but Reagor will step it up against the porous Seattle defense and be worthy of being in your Starting lineup this week.

Austin Hooper (TE – CLE): If this list was purely based on pre-season ranking, then Hooper wouldn’t be allowed to appear here. However, after 11 weeks of the 2020 season, Hooper hasn’t been producing as a Starting TE as he’s only averaging 7.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the eight games he has played. In the three games he played before missing two games due to a appendectomy, he put together a series of good games and averaged 11.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. He hasn’t done well in the two games since his return with 2.1 points in Week 10 and 6.3 points in Week 11. However, he gets to play a Jacksonville defense that allowed 13.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to Eric Ebron of Pittsburgh last week. Hooper should perform like the TE who signed with the Browns for $10.5 million per year, so get him into your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up is reviewing the Week 11 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations to see how those did.

  • QB: Aaron Rodgers – 29.8 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Todd Gurley – 3.9 (Good recommendation)
  • WR: Tyler Boyd – 17.5 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Robert Tonyan – 15.4 (Bad recommendation)

Three Bad recommendations in a week for the first time this season. Thankful to Todd Gurley or else it would have been four. The other three were bad as Rodgers finished in the Top 10 QBs of the week, Boyd was in the Top 20 WRs and Tonyan was a Top 5 TE. Gurley’s 3.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy point week was the only Good recommendation and the first Good RB recommendation on the season. There are still a few weeks to go and improve our Bench recommendation record. Here are the choices for guys to Bench in Week 12.

Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB): The third time’s a charm, right? Rodgers has been in this spot twice already this season and scored 43.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 versus Minnesota and 29.8 points last week versus Indianapolis. And he’s been great all season, scoring 25.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points in nine out of ten games. However, he hasn’t faced the Chicago Bears yet this season. Last year, Rodgers had 16.9 and 18.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Bears. So far this season, the Bears have faced three Top 12 QBs (Tom Brady, Ryan Tannehill and Matt Ryan) and only allowed an average of 17.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Tannehill was the best with 20.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That’s a lot of games with QB scoring in the teens, so that’s where Rodgers will probably end up this week, which means he should be on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Melvin Gordon (RB – DEN): For the entire season, Gordon is the #20 ranked RB in Dynasty Owner, averaging 12.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the nine games he has played in. However, it’s been a tale of two seasons for Gordon as he averaged 16.65 points per game before his car accident and just 9.3 points per game since the accident. He did have 17.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week versus the Dolphins but needed 2 TDs to get that many points. This week, he faces a New Orleans Saints’ defense that allows only 66 yards per game rushing to opposing RBs. Since Gordon hasn’t been very involved in the passing game since his accident (9 receptions for 42 yards), he needs to get his points on the ground and that’s tough against New Orleans. Bench Gordon this week.

Mike Evans (WR – TB): Evans is averaging a career-low 12.5 yards per reception this season with The G.O.A.T. as his QB. And according to Ian Rapoport, the G.O.A.T. hasn’t completed a deep pass since Week 7 against the Las Vegas Raiders (https://twitter.com/RapSheet/status/1331297137011908611/photo/1). While Evans has scored an average of 15.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game since the Raiders’ game, he has gotten TDs in three of those four games. The Kansas City defense has allowed the third fewest yards to WRs, the sixth fewest receptions and is tied for sixth in fewest TDs to WRs allowing only 8 TDs to them all season. Evans has needed to score TDs to keep up his #17 WR ranking in Dynasty Owner this season as he has scored a total of only 18.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the three games he has gone without a TD. Even though the Chiefs have allowed 31 points in each of their past two games with 4 TDs per game, just one TD in each game has been to a WR. No TD for Evans equals not good enough to be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup. That’s what happens this week so leave Evans on your Bench.

Jonnu Smith (TE – TEN): As the #5 TE in Dynasty Owner, Jonnu Smith has also been very TD-dependent this season. He has 7 receiving TDs this season, plus a rushing TD in Week 10, but hasn’t been getting a lot of targets, receptions or receiving yards. He is averaging 4.9 targets, 3 receptions and 33.8 receiving yards per game to rank outside the Top 12 in all three categories (14th in targets and 15th in both receptions and receiving yards). Since the Titans’ unexpected bye back in Week 4, he has only averaged 9.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game compared with 16.4 points per game before their bye week. This week, he faces the Colts defense that gave up its first TD to a TE last week versus Green Bay. It’ll be tough for Smith to be the second TE of the season to score against the Colts, so he should be on your Bench.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week –

Russell Wilson’s War vs. Swamp Donkeys

The twelfth Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2020 season is a clash of two teams in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring Standings. The 10-1 Swamp Donkeys are the #16 ranked team in the Chase, while their opponent, Russell Wilson’s War, have just a 7-4 record but are ranked #23. Both teams have consistently been in the Chase Standings and The Swamp Donkeys were our leader after Week 1.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, the points will be rolling in. Russell Wilson’s War is projected to win by a score of 160.6-155.3 over The Swamp Donkeys. Is that advantage for Russell Wilson’s War coming from his Starters, his Bench or both? Let’s check out the Starters first and see.

The slightest of Starting lineup advantages goes to Russell Wilson’s War as they are projected to score 143.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points compared to 142.1 for The Swamp Donkeys. The Swamp Donkeys have only one Starter (Mark Andrews) playing on Thursday, while Russell Wilson’s War have none right now, so both teams should be able to relax and enjoy dinner and football on Thanksgiving without worrying too much about their Dynasty Owner teams.

Russell Wilson’s War extends their advantage when Bench scoring is factored in, especially at the QB position where they have Ryan Tannehill on their Bench compared with Jake Luton for the Swamp Donkeys. Russell Wilson’s War is likely pretty thankful for that edge at Bench QB, especially with the Wednesday AM news that Luton was benched for Jacksonville in favor of Mike Glennon.

Conclusion

Thanks to everyone who made it this far and read everything written this week. Week 12 will have already started by the time any Dynasty Owners have read this and hopefully you enjoyed your Thanksgiving, and your team is ahead in its match-up after the three Thanksgiving Day games.

I’m thankful that there were two Chase team playing each other this week as it made the Matchup of the Week choice pretty easy. If you need a win in Week 13 to make the playoffs and want to be featured next week, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33). It’s back to normal next week with the recap article on Tuesday and a preview article on Friday. We will also have the usual weekly free agent article from Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl). Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) will be back on Wednesday with his insights as well. We are thankful to everyone who follows each one of us as well as Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

There will also be the weekly Tuesday Live podcast at 3 PM (Eastern) / Noon (Pacific) with Seth and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and the weekly podcast series with myself and Tim on Wednesday at 1 PM (Eastern) / 10 AM (Pacific). Both will be streaming live on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has 561 subscribers on YouTube now and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your weekly matchup, your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 11 Preview – Something to Play For

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Not everyone is having a great 2020 NFL season. For every undefeated 9-0 Pittsburgh Steelers team, there are teams highly unlikely to make the playoffs, such as the Jacksonville Jaguars at 1-8 or the New York Jets at 0-9. All three of those teams still have seven games to play, but the Steelers games are far more meaningful than the Jaguars or Jets games. The players on the Jaguars and Jets are still professionals and try their hardest to win, even while a lot of their fans are hoping that they continue to lose and get the #1 overall draft pick in the 2021 NFL draft.

While there are no 10-0 Dynasty Owner teams, there is at least one 0-10 team and possibly more out there. Many other Dynasty Owner teams are sitting at 1-9, 2-8 or 3-7 due to injuries, poor play or just bad luck in drawing quality opponent’s week after week, with little to no chance of making their League playoffs. The desire to lose for those fantasy football team owners can be great with the prospect of securing the top pick in your League’s 2021 rookie draft.

To prevent that, Dynasty Owner has created an innovative incentive to give Dynasty Owners something to play for and to try winning games at the end of the season. The winner of the Losers’ Bracket tournament in each League receives a Bonus Draft pick at the end of the 1st round of the Rookie Draft – Pick #13 and one Amnesty Provision. The Tournament Runner Up also receives one Amnesty Provision. Hopefully, that keeps all Dynasty Owners engaged throughout the entire season.

For some Dynasty Owners, they are stuck in the middle – their record is ok, but they don’t think their team is good enough to win their League and would prefer to lose, not make the playoffs and get a better draft pick. In my beta league, one owner (Matthew Montgomery) was in that position this week. His team was 5-4 but Matthew Stafford is his only healthy, starting QB. His thinking was that he’s doesn’t have a team that can win the League and openly admitted to hoping his team would lose. He still set his best possible lineup though and actually won this week to put him at 6-4 and in fourth place. Not what he wanted to happen but admirable since he could have tried harder to lose. Maybe he’ll lose the next three weeks, miss the playoffs, but have something to play for in the last three weeks in the Loser’s Bracket.

Our weekly Match-up of the Week will look at a team in the Chase for the Ring who is facing a team that has little chance for the playoffs but is still competing this season based on their lineup. They probably know they have something to play for this year. As usual for the Friday preview article, we will look at one Dynasty Owner game, check out the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3-point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of November 20th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 10 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Baker Mayfield – 6.7 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Rex Burkhead – 22.6 (Good recommendation)
  • WR: Darnell Mooney – 2.3 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Mike Gesicki – 6.0 (Just Ok recommendation)

At least Week 10 was better than Week 9 with one Good (Rex Burkhead) and one Just Ok (Mike Gesicki). Burkhead was just outside the Top 5 RBs for the week with his 22.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance. Mike Gesicki didn’t have a lot of Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6.0), but neither did many TEs, so recommending him was Just Ok. At the other end were the recommendations to Start Baker Mayfield and Darnell Mooney. Mayfield was the second worst Week 10 QB ahead of only Nick Foles, while Mooney was outscored by five players on his own team. However, even though our recommendations haven’t gone as we had hoped so far, we can’t stop making them and give up. With that, here are my Week 11 recommendations:

Alex Smith (QB – WAS): For just making it back to the NFL after his horrific injury two years ago, Washington QB Alex Smith should be the comeback player of the year. As nice of a story as his comeback is, he’s probably not the QB you want to see starting for your NFL or Dynasty Owner team this year. However, he has thrown the ball for a lot of yards in the past two weeks (325 yards in Week 9 versus the Giants and 390 yards in Week 10 versus the Lions). Not a lot of Dynasty Owner fantasy points either week (14.3 in Week 9 and 20.9 in Week 10) due to 3 INTs one week and zero TDs another. The Dynasty Owner fantasy points may come this week as he gets to face a Bengals defense that has allowed an average of 35.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to opposing QBs the past four weeks. Three of those four QBs (Phillip Rivers, Baker Mayfield and Ben Roethlisberger) were similar to Smith in that they are largely pocket passers who don’t run for many yards. In the games against those three QBs, the Bengals have allowed 40.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Smith probably won’t get that many points, but he’ll do well enough to crack the top 12 QBs for the week and be someone who should have been a Starter.

Gus Edwards (RB – BAL): Instead of a two-way split at RB, the Ravens now have a three-way split, but Edwards was less impacted by the return of Mark Ingram to the Ravens lineup than J.K. Dobbins. Edwards had 7 rushing attempts for 42 yards plus 1 reception for 31 yards (8.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). In contrast, Ingram and Dobbins combined for just 7.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week. Edwards is averaging 4.5 yards per carry for the season, while the Ravens’ opponent this week (Tennessee) is giving up an average of 4.4 yards per carry. The Titans defense has also given up 8 rushing TDs to opposing RBs this year and Edwards is the guy getting those for the Ravens now as Ingram hasn’t had a rushing TD since Week 4 and Dobbins hasn’t gotten one since he scored twice in Week 1. Edwards was drafted late (ADP 251.2) and is ranked as the #50 RB in Dynasty Owner, but he’ll perform well enough this week to be in your Starting lineup.

Jalen Guyton (WR – LAC): Guyton looks like he’s become the Chargers third WR at this point in the season after going undrafted in Dynasty Owner. He had a season-high six targets in their last game versus Miami, one less than Keenan Allen and one more than Mike Williams. He also has the ability to rip off big plays with two 70+ yard receptions this season. Guyton is getting more targets plus has the ability to break off a big play and now he gets to play the Jets in Week 11. Sounds like a recipe for a big week for the #82 ranked WR in Dynasty Owner. Guyton is only owned in 51% of Dynasty Owner leagues for a low salary of $540,000 so he might be someone you can pick up and put in your lineup this week if you’re in need of a Starting WR.  

Jared Cook (TE – NO): It’s probably been said before here, but bares repeating. The Falcons don’t defend very well against TEs. Only Buffalo has given up more receptions and more yards to TEs and they are on bye this week, so the Falcons have the opportunity to move “ahead” depending on the performance of Jared Cook. While Cook got the dreaded Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) last week, it was a miserable week for Drew Brees and a rusty Jameis Winston. Expect better from Winston this week and Cook should be one of his top targets, especially if Alvin Kamara doesn’t play. Cook also has a good track record versus the Falcons with 13.4 and 11.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against them last year. Admittedly that was with Drew Brees playing, but Winston is much better than your average backup QB. Unless your TE is Travis Kelce, you need to look for a good matchup and this is one so put Cook in your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up is reviewing the Week 10 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations to see how those did.

  • QB: Tom Brady – 42.3 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Mike Davis – 8.4 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Tyler Lockett – 11.6 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • TE: Mark Andrews – 13.1 (Bad recommendation)

Not a great week for these recommendations. Trying to go back-to-back with Good Bench recommendations of Tom Brady and Mark Andrews failed spectacularly as both were the top players at their respective position in Week 10. The recommendations to Bench Mike Davis and Tyler Lockett were Just Ok as both finished just a couple of points outside of the Top 24 at their position for the week and were a fringe starter at best. This was the first week without a Good Bench recommendation. Since we can’t give up and have to keep giving recommendations, let’s try and see how they go for Week 11.

Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB): The Indianapolis Colts defense has been pretty good at holding down opposition QBs from scoring too many Dynasty Owner fantasy points. On average, they are giving up 16.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game with a high of 30.8 points to Matthew Stafford in Week 8 and a low of -3.4 points to Kirk Cousins back in Week 2. However, Aaron Rodgers is by far the best QB that they have faced so far this season, so they may have just done well against poor QBs. It’s possible, but Rodgers also may be due for a poor game especially if the Packers are forced to play without Davante Adams (or at least not have him at full strength). Bench Rodgers against the top ranked defense in the NFL.

Todd Gurley (RB – ATL): Gurley is currently the #10 RB in Dynasty Owner this season and totally justifying his ADP of 45.0 so far. However, if you look further into his stats, you’ll see that he has only been averaging 3.7 yards per carry – the lowest yards per carry of any RB in the top 10. He’s scored 9 TDs so far in 9 games, which is second best among RBs, but a TD per game average isn’t likely to hold for the entire season. He’s also only caught 15 passes for a mere 79 yards on the season, which accounts for just one-sixth of his Dynasty Owner fantasy points (22.9 out of 139.3 points). This week, Gurley faces a New Orleans defense that is allowing just 67.9 yards per game on the ground to RBs and only 3.4 yards per carry. Gurley will need to get 20 carries plus a TD to score enough Dynasty Owner fantasy points to earn his spot in your Starting lineup. That’s a lot to ask for which is why he should be on your Bench this week.

Tyler Boyd (WR – CIN): For the 2020 season, Tyler Boyd is the #13 WR in Dynasty Owner and averaging 16.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. However, his average drops to 13.7 points per game if you remove the two games against the Cleveland Browns. He’s definitely not playing the Browns this week as the Bengals travel to the Washington, DC region to face the Football Team. The Football Team has allowed the fewest receptions and second fewest yards to WRs this season. In addition, Joe Burrow is getting sacked 3.6 times per game and the Football Team is fifth in the NFL in sacks. Burrow might not have enough time in the pocket to find his WRs, so Boyd’s production could suffer this week. That’s why he’s better left on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Robert Tonyan (TE – GB): Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been looking Tonyan’s way ever since Davante Adams’ return to the Packers lineup. Tonyan is only averaging 3.6 targets and 6.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game since Adams has been back. Even though Adams hasn’t practiced yet this week, the Packers could be getting Allen Lazard back in their lineup against the Indianapolis Colts. Rodgers is likely to look for either Adams or Lazard instead of Tonyan since the Colts are one of the best teams at defending TEs this season. They only allow an average of 3.9 receptions and 34.3 yards per game to TEs. Even though Tonyan is still ranked as the #9 TE in Dynasty Owner, his standing is skewed by his performances in Weeks 2-4 when he scored 60.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, which is nearly two-thirds of the 91.7 points he has scored all season. He hasn’t really been a Starting TE in four of the past five weeks. This week will make it five out of six as he should be on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week –

Docrob vs. just wanna win

The eleventh Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2020 season features two teams with much different levels of success this season. Sitting in fifth place in the Chase for the Ring with an 8-2 record is the aptly named just wanna win. Their opponent Docrob is struggling with a 3-7 record so far. However, that isn’t stopping Docrob from trying their best to get a win this week as they are setting a pretty good lineup for a sub-.500 team.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, just wanna win will do just that in a high scoring game by a 154.0-135.0 margin. Despite their record, Docrob must think he has something to play for as he has a full complement of players in his Starting lineup and Bench.

The advantage from Starting lineups goes to just wanna win. Their WRs are projected to score 13.6 more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than Docrob’s WRs which is most of the 16.3 point advantage they have overall from the Starting lineups. Still, Docrob has a pretty good 3-7 team with Deshaun Watson, Josh Jacobs, Tyler Boyd and Travis Kelce all in their Starting lineup. It’s just that just wanna win has a better team.

Both teams have a full complement of Bench players and from the Bench, just wanna win has an advantage at RB with the tandem of Duke Johnson and Ronald Jones expected to outscore the two Broncos RBs (Philip Lindsay and Melvin Gordon) sitting on Docrob’s Bench. Kudos to both teams for managing their rosters well and setting their lineups already.

Conclusion

Everyone reading this article has something to play for this week and the rest of the Dynasty Owner season. For a few, it’s the possibility of being the second Ring winner.  For many, it’s a spot in the Playoffs and maybe a League title. And for many more, it’s maybe an extra draft pick next year to help turn your team around for the 2021 Dynasty Owner season. How everyone does that is up to them but doing it the right way and trying to win is the best way to go.

If your team is trying to win, maybe it’ll be featured in a future Match-Up of the Week. If you want your team featured, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and check out next week’s preview to see if your matchup was chosen. Even with Thanksgiving week almost upon us, there will be a recap article on Tuesday and a preview article on Friday. We will also have the usual weekly free agent article from Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) as well. Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) has next week off but still follow all of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

There will also be the traditional weekly Tuesday Live podcast at 3 PM (Eastern) / Noon (Pacific) and the weekly podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer on Wednesday at 1 PM (Eastern) / 10 AM (Pacific) on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has 557 subscribers on YouTube now and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your weekly matchup, your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 7 Preview – Key Matchups

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Week 7 started on Thursday with a key matchup that might help determine who wins the NFC East division this year. Of course, both teams had one win coming into the game because nobody in the NFC East is any good so every time a NFC East team can win a game, it’s a huge step towards winning the division. At the end of the week, the two night games are both key matchups between likely playoff bound teams. On Sunday night, undefeated 5-0 Seattle takes on 4-2 Arizona, while on Monday night, the surprising 5-1 Bears play against the 4-2 Rams. Both of those games will help determine who might win the NFC West and earn the only bye in the conference playoffs. Remember, seven teams from each conference make the playoffs this year, so only the top team per conference gets a bye.

In Dynasty Owner, there are key matchups all over. There are ones between teams in the Top 25 in the Chase for the Ring (Quaranteed for Greatness vs. Oh God Dalvins Cookin) and others between a team in the Chase who is facing a team with the same record (Hyenas vs. The Replacements). In the Experts League, Tim and I face off to see who has bragging rights on the podcast for the rest of the year. And finally, we have a Matchup of the Week between two teams at the top of their league.

Your matchup may not be featured here, but it could be just as important to getting you into the Dynasty Owner playoffs. To help you in your quest to win your League, every week of the regular season and playoffs, there will be a set of players presented at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup as well as one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. We won’t recommend a kicker to Start or Bench though and these won’t be the obvious choices for Starters, like go ahead and start Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce (as if you weren’t going to do that already if you have them). Instead, these will be guys to Start who might be ranked outside the top players at their position, not be highly owned or who were drafted to be a backup. For the Bench or Practice Squad choices, we’ll find typical Starters who shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup for the week based on matchups or past performance against a team. We’ll also review my Week 6 recommendations and see how those players fared.

Finally, we will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the Match-up of the Week, we will look at the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce. If you want your Dynasty Owner team to be featured as the Match-up of the Week in the future, just tweet me (@SteveVT33).

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of October 23rd.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 6 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Kyle Allen – 20.8 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: J.K. Dobbins – 4.9 (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Christian Kirk – 22.6 (Good recommendation)
  • TE: Cameron Brate – 1.3 (Bad recommendation)

Two consecutive weeks with two Bad recommendations, one Just Ok recommendation and one Good recommendation. The Bad recommendations were once again at RB and TE as neither J.K. Dobbins nor Cameron Brate got enough touches to be productive. Rob Gronkowski hogged all of the TE targets in Tampa this week, leaving Brate to just one catch for three yards. And Gus Edwards got the rushing TD and had more carries than Dobbins (14 to 9), but fewer yards (26 to 28 for Dobbins). Kyle Allen was the #12 QB this week, better than lots of bigger names, and so that pick was Just Ok. Finally, Christian Kirk made the most of his two targets with two catches for 86 yards and two TDs to finish as the #5 WR for the week. That’s a good recommendation! It’s time to duplicate that Good recommendation at WR and get more at the other positions in Week 7.

Joe Burrow (QB – CIN): The Browns are one of the few teams who we can look at how Joe Burrow did against them in trying to find a weekly Starter who might be on your Dynasty Owner Bench right now. Back in Week 2, Burrow put up 32.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Cleveland. The Bengals trailed by two scores for most of the second half, so Burrow ended up throwing 61 passes. He’s probably not going to throw that many times this week and the Cleveland defense has been much improved recently, allowing only 31.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points combined in the last three games. However, Burrow has thrown the ball a league high 246 times, an average of 41 times per game, and stands to throw it a lot on Sunday afternoon at home. With that kind of volume, it’s surprising that Burrow is the #19 QB in Dynasty Owner. Bet on Burrow airing it out again against the Browns and putting up enough points to be worth having in your Starting lineup.

Justin Jackson (RB – LAC): Dynasty Owners may have forgotten that Chargers RB Justin Jackson had himself a pretty good game back in Week 5 versus New Orleans with 14.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (71 rushing yards, 5 receptions, 23 receiving yards). He has outperformed fellow Chargers RB Joshua Kelley the past two weeks and stands to do so again this week against Jacksonville. The Jaguars allow an average of 25.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to RBs per game and the fifth most rushing yards in the NFL per game so far this season. Jackson is ranked as the #67 RB for the year right now, but was a RB2 in Week 5. At only $570,000, he’s a great value and should be good for at least that this week. Go ahead and put him in your Starting lineup if he’s on your roster.

Tim Patrick (WR – DEN): When Courtland Sutton got injured, it was an open question of who the top receiver would be in Denver. After five games, it’s been Tim Patrick and Noah Fant with Patrick having more receptions (20 to 19) and yards (310 to 219) and tied with Fant in TDs (2 each). Most importantly, Patrick has more Dynasty Owner fantasy points (63 to 54.9). Of course, Fant missed last week’s game while Patrick played and had 14.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to go ahead. Even though he’s the top WR in Denver, he’s still ranked as the #37 WR in Dynasty Owner so he’s not a definite Starter. He should start this week against Kansas City after three consecutive weeks of double digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points (14.3 points in Week 3 versus Tampa Bay; 23.3 points in Week 4 versus the New York Jets; and 14.1 points in Week 6 versus New England). Last year, Sutton averaged 13.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in two games versus Kansas City without scoring a TD. Patrick should equal or exceed that this week and be in your Starting lineup.

Darrell Daniels (TE – ARI): Daniels is the top TE in Arizona, but has only scored 11.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points all year and ranks as the #58 TE in Dynasty Owner. He has played a majority of the snaps for the Cardinals in each of the past four games and this week gets to the face the worst defense in the NFL against TEs in the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons have let five opposing TEs have their best game against them over the first six games of the season (Greg Olsen – 12.4 points in Week 1; Dalton Schultz – 20.8 points in Week 2; Jimmy Graham – 23.0 points in Week 3; Robert Tonyan – 33.8 points in Week 4; Irv Smith Jr. – 11.5 points in Week 6). Daniels’ best week so far this year is 5.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 5 versus the Jets, so it’s not a high bar to clear for him to have his best week of 2020 this week. Daniels is only owned in 1% of Dynasty Owner leagues even though his salary is only $690,000. If you need a TE for Week 7, go out and get Daniels in the Free Agent Auction and put him in your Starting lineup. It worked last week with Anthony Firkser and can work again this week.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up is reviewing the Week 6 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations to see how those did.

  • QB: Tom Brady – 20.3 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Aaron Jones – 13.1 (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Cooper Kupp – 4.2 (Good recommendation)
  • TE: Noah Fant – DNP

An average week with one Good, one Just Ok and one Bad recommendation. Noah Fant didn’t play so we won’t count him. The G.O.A.T. Tom Brady finished a little bit behind our Starter recommendation Kyle Allen with 20.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to finish just outside the Top 12 QBs at #14. That counts as Just Ok. Aaron Jones didn’t have a great week, but his 13.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points was a Top 20 RB performance which means he should have been a Starter and thus, recommending him for the Bench was Bad. For the second week in a row, the WR Bench recommendation was Good as Cooper Kupp managed just 4.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. So far this year, it’s been at least one Good Bench recommendation per week, but only two of them one time. It’s time for a second week with two (or more) Good Bench recommendations in Week 7.

Ryan Tannehill (QB – TEN): Tannehill has played very well this season with only one poor game (14.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 3 versus Minnesota). The Pittsburgh defense is allowing a mere 19.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to the opposition’s starting QB through their first five games. They haven’t exactly faced the best QBs in the NFL in that time (Daniel Jones, Jeff Driskel, Deshaun Watson, Carson Wentz and Baker Mayfield), but have not allowed more than 24.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to any of them. They had their bye in Week 4 unexpectedly because of a COVID-19 outbreak involving their Week 7 opponent, the Tennessee Titans. Will the Pittsburgh defense be fired up to play Tennessee finally and keep their unbeaten record or will Tannehill show he’s a better QB than all the QBs who have played Pittsburgh already and expose the Pittsburgh defense as not that good? Bet on the former and Bench Tannehill this week.

James Robinson (RB – JAX): While he’s still the overall #8 RB in Dynasty Owner right now, James Robinson has been pretty average the past three weeks, scoring 12.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per week in that time. In the first three games of the season, he averaged 21.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. In the two weeks he hasn’t scored a TD, he’s only produced 10.0 and 9.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. This week, he faces a Chargers defense that has yet to allow a rushing TD to a RB this season and averages only allowing 16.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per week despite facing off against Top 12 RBs every week (Joe Mixon, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Mike Davis, Ronald Jones and Alvin Kamara). Even though Dynasty Owners probably will start him anyway since RBs are so hard to find, Robinson probably isn’t worth putting in your Starting lineup this week.

CeeDee Lamb (WR – DAL): This would be Michael Gallup, but he’s ranked as the #39 WR in Dynasty Owner right now, so he shouldn’t be a Starter. Both CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper are in the Top 10, but that was largely built off the work they did with Dak Prescott at QB. Both had good performances last week against Arizona (Cooper had 20.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and Lamb had 12.4 points). However, most of Lamb’s points (11.0) came in garbage time late in the third quarter and the fourth quarter when the Cowboys trailed by more than 20 points and did almost nothing but throw the ball. It’ll be tougher for Dalton and the Cowboys to throw against the Football Team as the team ranks second in passing yards allowed with 207 yards per game and ninth in sacks with 16 total. This choice could easily have been Amari Cooper as he has tended to not perform well in road games as a Cowboy, but that’s been less true this year – maybe because of the lack of crowds. Therefore, Lamb is the pick so put him on the Bench this week.

Hayden Hurst (TE – ATL):  Surprisingly, Hayden Hurst is the #9 ranked TE in Dynasty Owner right now. He was drafted on average as the #9 TE with an ADP of 93.8. He has scored 3 TDs, but is only averaging 3.2 receptions and 37.8 receiving yards per game. That’s what happens when you have Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage on your team, you become the fourth option. Now, he faces a Lions defense that has allowed only 10 receptions to TEs this season. Something tells me that Matt Ryan is going to look more towards Julio, Ridley and Gage this week against the Lions or maybe run the ball with Todd Gurley and Brian Hill against a Lions defense that gives up 123.8 yards per game to RBs on the ground. Hopefully your Dynasty Owner team has a better option so you can Bench Hurst.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week – Prince of Helaire vs. Beaumont Riders

It’s time for our seventh Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week for the 2020 season. This week, we have a battle for first place in League #37205 between the 5-1 Prince of Helaire vs. the 4-2 Beaumont Riders. Not only are they in first and second place but they just pulled off a trade with the Prince of Helaire getting Kareem Hunt in return for sending Jonathan Taylor to the Beaumont Riders. Thanks to Prince of Helaire owner Stuart Spackman (@stuspackman) for sending me the details of the trade and this matchup. The projections are close so let’s dive in.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, the Beaumont Riders should pull the mild upset and move into a tie at 5-2 with the Prince of Helaire. Beaumont Riders are projected to win by only 4.1 points (137.0 to 132.9). Stu must be confident in his team and that the projections are wrong if he’s sending the details of this game, so let’s look each team’s current Starting lineup:

The Starting lineups projected scores (not pictured here) are super close with Beaumont Riders holding a slight advantage (123.5 to 122.4). Both teams have outstanding WRs with Beaumont Riders spending a significant portion of their salary cap ($51 million) on three players, their Starters at WR and FLEX (Davante Adams, Mike Evans and Amari Cooper). Of course, those three guys are projected to score 58.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and if they do, it’ll be money well spent.

Let’s look at both Benches next to check out where Beaumont Riders are gaining their advantage.

The Bench QB competition between Nick Foles and Andy Dalton is projected to be a blowout for Dalton (23.6 to 15.2), which provides quite a bit of the overall Beaumont Riders advantage from Bench scoring (67.6 to 52.3). Not sure if that will turn out to happen, but we’ll find out on Tuesday.

Bravo to both owners for being able to field full Starting lineups and Benches this week. Good drafting and team management there, not surprising since both teams are fighting for the top spot and a first round bye in their league.

Conclusion

Is the Matchup of the Week going to be as close as the Giants-Eagles game? More importantly, what about your weekly Dynasty Owner matchup? Hopefully, yours is a battle for first place or at least an important one on your road to the Playoffs. For those of you in the Chase for the Ring, every matchup is important as you need victories in order to win your League, so you have a chance to win the Ring.

Please read the preview article each and every week. Maybe your team will be featured in a future Match-Up of the Week. If you want your team featured, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and check out next week’s preview to see if your matchup was chosen. Remember that there will be a recap article coming out every Tuesday and a preview article posted every Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well.

There will also be a weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast at 3 PM (Eastern) / Noon (Pacific). The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly live videos on Wednesdays and Fridays on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube. You can watch them live or catch a replay anytime and find older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has 539 subscribers on YouTube now and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your weekly matchup, your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 6 Preview – Bye Week Issues

Author: Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Bye weeks were originally supposed to start in Week 5 with the Packers and Lions, but the Titans and Steelers ended up having their bye in Week 4 due to a coronavirus outbreak with the Titans. Next, the Patriots and Broncos had their bye weeks moved to Week 5 as the Patriots experienced positive cases on their team. Now, it’s on to Week 6 and bye week issues are becoming real for some Dynasty Owners, including those in the Chase for the Ring. With Las Vegas, Los Angeles Chargers, New Orleans and Seattle on bye, there are many Dynasty Owners out there wondering how they are going to replace Josh Jacobs, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry, Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara, Chris Carson, D.K. Metcalf and of course, Russell Wilson in their Starting lineups. It’s possible that between yourself and your opponent, one of you doesn’t have a full Bench of players who aren’t on bye this week.

Just looking at the Chase for the Ring Top 10 current lineups finds half of the Top 10 fielding a full Starting lineup and Bench right now in Week 6. Admittedly, there are a few days left before Sunday for these teams to pick up a player off the Free Agent Auction or swing a trade, but that’s a lot of teams going without either a Bench QB and/or kicker when their record is either 5-0 or 4-1 and they are in the hunt for the Ring. There is even one 4-1 team playing a Chase contender starting Jordan Love with Jake Fromm on their Bench. At this point, the decision to not draft a third starting QB or a third kicker and the inability to pick one up off the Free Agent Auction due to salary cap restraints starts to make Dynasty Owner feel a lot less like a fantasy and closer to reality for Dynasty Owners.

This lack of a Bench QB and/or kicker could be a 4-5 point swing in your Week 6 matchup and the difference between a win and a loss, or the just the loss of those 4-5 points could be the difference between being in the Top 25 or just outside of it. That’s why someone in your league might have bid a crazy amount of Dynasty Dollars on Andy Dalton on Wednesday (he went for $80 million Dynasty Dollars in my beta league, but wasn’t available in the Experts league since Sideline Squib handcuffed him to Dak with the #253 draft pick). The bottom line is that if you’re not fielding a full Bench this week due to bye week issues, you aren’t alone. It’s might cost you though.

Regardless of bye weeks, every week of the regular season and playoffs, there will be a set of players presented at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup as well as one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. We won’t recommend a kicker to Start or Bench though and these won’t be the obvious choices for Starters, like go ahead and start Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce (as if you weren’t going to do that already if you have them). Instead, these will be guys to Start who might be ranked outside the top players at their position, not be highly owned or who were drafted to be a backup. For the Bench or Practice Squad choices, we’ll find typical Starters who shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup for the week based on matchups or past performance against a team. We’ll also review my Week 5 recommendations and see how those players fared.

Finally, we will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the Match-up of the Week, we will look at the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce. If you want your Dynasty Owner team to be featured as the Match-up of the Week in the future, just tweet me (@SteveVT33).

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of October 16th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 5 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Teddy Bridgewater – 29.0 (Good recommendation)
  • RB: Tony Pollard – 5.9 (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Cole Beasley – 11.3 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • TE: Eric Ebron – 6.3 (Bad recommendation)

For the first time, the QB recommendation was Good as Teddy Bridgewater was a Top 12 (#11) QB for the week. At RB, the prediction that Dallas would have a big lead and run over the Giants was not to be and so Tony Pollard only put up 5.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Bad recommendation. As was Eric Ebron, who had 6.3 points which included a lost fumble that cost his Dynasty Owners three points and Ebron the difference between being a Just Ok recommendation as the #15 TE and a Bad recommendation as the #19 TE for the week. Finally, Cole Beasley had another double digit Dynasty Owner fantasy point week, but was Just Ok for the second week in a row with many WRs outscoring him again. We finally got our first Good QB recommendation in Week 5 and now it’s time for the first Good WR recommendation (and more) in Week 6:

Kyle Allen (QB – WAS): In less than a half of football against the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday, Allen had 10.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (74 passing yards, 7 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD). Not bad for not playing all season for the $585,000 QB. Allen was injured on a hit to his arm and replaced by Alex Smith, but is expected back at QB for the Football Team’s next game against the New York Giants. The Giants sport a below average defense and have given up an average of 20.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to QBs. Those QBs haven’t exactly been Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Dan Marino, Dan Fouts and Drew Brees in their prime. Nick Mullens was able to put together a 24.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance against the Giants defense and there’s no reason to think that Allen can’t do the same or better. This is only applicable to Dynasty Owners with Allen on their rosters as he’s almost universally owned. He shouldn’t start over Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen, but would make a nice replacement for Dynasty Owners who might also have Joe Burrow, Daniel Jones or Carson Wentz also on their roster.

J.K. Dobbins (RB – BAL): If this list was based on talent, then Dobbins wouldn’t be here. However, he hasn’t gotten the opportunities in the Baltimore offense yet this season despite averaging 7.9 yards per carry rushing and having more receptions than any other Ravens RB with nine. He’s only gotten to rush the ball 16 times in the first five games of the season and so his RB rank right now is #38 overall. It’s the best on the team as Mark Ingram is #39 and Gus Edwards is #61, but still leaves him well outside being a definite Starter at RB or FLEX this week. The Ravens’ opponent this week is the Philadelphia Eagles who have given up an average of 14.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to their opponent’s top RB this season. That should be Dobbins this week (and frankly every week) for Baltimore and if he gets the average points being given up by the Eagles, he’ll be at the edge of the Top 20 RBs, making him a RB2 or FLEX and in your Starting lineup. If you drafted Dobbins, you drafted him with a high pick (ADP 27.1). Time to make Dobbins earn that early selection and get him in your Starting lineup.

Christian Kirk (WR – ARI): It’s tough being one of the other starting WR when D’Andre Hopkins is on your team. Hopkins is a target monster with 45 so far this year compared to 43 for all of the other Arizona WRs combined. And he hasn’t had less than 150 targets in a season since his second season in 2014. That’s probably why Christian Kirk has seemingly struggled so far this season and is the #78 ranked WR in Dynasty Owner currently. Fortunately for Kirk’s owners, he has been scoring more the past two weeks (10.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 4 and 12.0 in Week 5). Next up are the Dallas Cowboys who have given up an average of 40 points per game in their last four games with the lowest point total in that time being 34 by the New York Giants. Arizona is a much better passing team than the Giants and so their WRs are likely to feast on the Cowboys secondary. Hopkins will get his targets, receptions and yards, but so should someone else and for the past two weeks, that’s been Kirk. Insert him into your Starting lineup this week.

Cameron Brate (TE – TB): The Saints and Falcons have been the worst defenses against TEs this season, but the Saints are on bye and the Falcons just had a positive COVID case so who knows if they will play this week. Also, the Vikings TEs are Irv Smith Jr. and Kyle Rudolph, and I can’t stomach the thought of recommending either one of them, so it’s time to look elsewhere. Which brings us to Cameron Brate of Tampa Bay. Last week, he was tied for first in receptions with Mike Evans and tied for second in targets behind Evans. O.J. Howard was getting as much (or more) targets than Rob Gronkowski before he was injured and Brate looks like he’s stepping into that role for Tampa now. His $6.8 million annual salary means that he’s only owned in 7% of Dynasty Owner leagues, so not a lot of Dynasty Owners even have the opportunity to put him in their Starting lineup. If you are missing Darren Waller, Hunter Henry or Jared Cook this week and somehow have Brate on your roster, then Start him.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up is reviewing the Week 5 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations to see how those did.

  • QB: Gardner Minshew II – 26.9 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Joe Mixon – 15.4 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Terry McLaurin – 5.6 (Good recommendation)
  • TE: Zach Ertz – 1.6 (Good recommendation)

For the first time this season, we had two Good Bench recommendations (Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz), which is exactly what I asked for last week. Terry McLaurin missed having Dwayne Haskins throwing him the ball (did I just type that sentence), while Zach Ertz misses having a WR who can take the pressure and the double teams off him. As a result, both of them should not have been in your Starting lineup. On the Just Ok side was Joe Mixon who scored 15.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but needed a whopping 30 touches to do so. Even so, he was barely in the Top 20 RBs for the week, so that recommendation was Just Ok. Gardner Minshew II was the #12 QB this week, which means he should have been a Starter, therefore that recommendation was Bad. Last week, I wrote that hopefully the Good Bench TE selections keep coming and it pairs with the first Good Bench WR selection of the season. Since that’s what happened, I’m asking for four Good Bench recommendations with these Week 6 selections.

Tom Brady (QB – TB): Brady is currently the #7 QB in Dynasty Owner, so he should be a Starter, but he is coming off a poor outing in Week 5 against the Bears in which he only scored 17.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Brady has had two very good games (46.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 4 and 31.9 points in Week 3) to go along with an average game in Week 1 (23.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and two poor ones (10.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 2 and last week with 17.7 points). The Green Bay defense is rested after their Week 5 bye and should be plenty ready to face Brady and the Buccaneers. Brady’s top three WRs (Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Scott Miller) were all limited in practice on Thursday and questionable for Sunday’s game. Their health, or lack of it, might task even the G.O.A.T. so Bench Brady this week.

Aaron Jones (RB – GB): Don’t say this too loud for fear of being mocked, but Aaron Jones is TD-dependent. He’s the #4 RB in Dynasty Owner despite playing one fewer game than every other top RB, but much of his scoring is built on his six TDs so  far this year. On the other side of the ball, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been pretty stellar against the run in 2020, allowing only 43 rushing yards per game. Of course, they have allowed five TDs to RBs (4 rushing and 1 receiving), so Jones might still be a top RB if he doesn’t gain many yards on the ground. Not a big fan of having to rely on a guy to score TDs to be worth a spot in my Starting lineup. With Alvin Kamara, Josh Jacobs and Chris Carson out plus injuries to Dalvin Cook, Nick Chubb, Austin Ekeler, Dynasty Owners might have no choice but to Start Jones. However, if you have some depth, consider leaving him on the Bench this week.

Cooper Kupp (WR – LAR): Out of the Rams three main receiving weapons, Cooper Kupp is the one most likely to have a bad game versus the San Francisco 49ers. Last year, he only scored 17.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in two games vs. the 49ers compared with 27.9 for Robert Woods and 24.9 for Tyler Higbee. And in his only other appearance against San Francisco back in 2017, he scored just 3.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He didn’t play in either game against the 49ers in 2018. It appears that 49ers Defensive Coordinator Robert Saleh, who has been at the helm of the team’s defense since 2017, has Kupp’s number. Kupp is currently the #17 WR in Dynasty Owner and was a high draft pick (ADP 56.2). Don’t let those stats make you overlook his track record against this week’s opponent and leave Kupp on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

Noah Fant (TE – DEN): Fant is listed as questionable to play as of Thursday night, so Dynasty Owners may not have to decide about Starting him this week against New England. The Patriots have faced the #1 and #2 TEs in Dynasty Owner the past two weeks in Travis Kelce and Darren Waller and held them to 10.0 and 2.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points respectively. Not sure why Fant would be expected to do better than that, especially coming off a sprained ankle sustained in the Broncos Week 4 victory over the Jets. Don’t bother waiting until Sunday to make your decision to Bench Fant, do it now and worry about other things.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – DynastyPrice vs. Dynasty Rewind

It’s time for our sixth Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2020 season and this one is a grudge match. DynastyPrice (Garret Price) of the Dynasty Nerds battles his former crew at Dynasty Rewind. Verbal shots have been fired on Twitter and now it’s time to see who’s got the better Dynasty Owner team.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, it’s Dynasty Rewind as they are projected to win by 13.8 points (124.4 to 110.6). Not exactly the cakewalk that Dynasty Rewind tweeted (https://twitter.com/DynastyRewind/status/1316798650085978115), but a solid win for the Rewind crew. First, let’s look each team’s current Starting lineup to see who’s got the advantage there:

The Dynasty Rewind advantage is built upon their RBs, including James Robinson at the FLEX position as Miles Sanders, David Montgomery and Robinson are expected to score 40.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, while Duke Johnson, Johnathan Taylor and Preston Williams at FLEX are projected for just 28.3 points. The rest of the Starting lineups are even.

Let’s look at both Benches to see if both teams have a full one or if the Bye week is forcing one or both teams to have someone on the Bench who is on Bye.

Dynasty Rewind has Drew Brees on their Bench, getting them a guaranteed zero. Of course, they did draft three starting QBs, it’s just that the third one was Dwyane Haskins who is no longer a starter for the Washington Football Team. DynastyPrice is fortunate that both of his starting QBs (Baker Mayfield and Joe Burrow) aren’t on bye this week. Even with the zero from Brees, the Rewind team is projected to score more Bench points (52.3 to 40.5).

Both teams need a victory as Dynasty Rewind is in third place in our Experts league at 3-2 and a loss will knock them down the standings. DynastyPrice sits in 10th place, but his 2-3 record would move to .500 with a victory and put them right in the hunt for the playoffs.

Conclusion

There’s no bye week in Dynasty Owner! Dynasty Owners can’t take a week off from setting their Starting lineup or their Bench, especially not in Week 6 when no one has clinched a playoff berth or is totally out of the playoff hunt officially yet. Dynasty Owners also have to make sure all of the games will be played as scheduled and adjust accordingly if more bye weeks are moved around.

Please read the preview article each and every week. Maybe your team will be featured in a future Match-Up of the Week. If you want your team featured, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and check out next week’s preview to see if your matchup was chosen. Remember that there will be a recap article coming out every Tuesday or Wednesday (if there’s another Tuesday night game) and a preview article posted every Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well. Follow all four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

There will also be a weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast at a new time of 3 PM (Eastern) / Noon (Pacific). The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube and other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker). You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has 530 subscribers on YouTube now and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 5 Preview – Subject to Change

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Originally this article was going to be titled “More Flexibility” because that’s what might be needed in the NFL schedule for this week and the rest of the season if players don’t stop testing positive for COVID. However, Tim kept saying as we were talking before and during the podcast taping about how everything was “Subject to Change” and that sounded better. The point is still the same. This NFL season is subject to change at any minute – just look at what happened with the Patriots-Broncos game being moved to Monday and the Titans-Bills game getting pushed off to Tuesday. Neither of those games (or any other game) is guaranteed to be played this week. Players could test positive for COVID and suddenly things change, team complexes are closed, position meetings are on Zoom and games are in jeopardy of being cancelled. It could continue to the point where a whole week is postponed to the end of the season. This is not without precedent as it happened back in 2001 when the entire Week 2 slate of games scheduled for September 16 and 17 were pushed back to the end of the season and played on January 6 and 7. This rescheduling enabled me to go to the Patriots-Panthers game in Charlotte to watch the Pats clinch the AFC East title and a first round bye on their way to their first Super Bowl victory.

Subject to change is what everyone’s Starting lineup is going to be for pretty much the rest of the season. Dynasty Owners might think they mapped out their bye week situation for the 2020 season during the draft, but then a game or two is pushed back and suddenly those plans are subject to change. Dynasty Owners might set their lineup on Saturday night only to wake up on Sunday morning and find out Adam Schefter is reporting one of their players tested positive for COVID and is now out for the game that week. Right now, everything related to football (and for some people, life in general) is subject to change.

What isn’t changing is that every week of the regular season and playoffs, we’ll present a set of players at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup as well as one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. Go crazy and start the RB, WR or TE mentioned in the FLEX position – it’s 2020 and new for Dynasty Owner this season after all. We won’t recommend a kicker to Start or Bench though and these won’t be the obvious choices for Starters, like go ahead and start Russell Wilson, Alvin Kamara and Travis Kelce (as if you weren’t going to do that already if you have them). Instead, these will be guys to Start who might be ranked outside the top players at their position, not be highly owned or who were drafted to be a backup. For the Bench or Practice Squad choices, we’ll find typical Starters who shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup for the week based on matchups or past performance against a team. We’ll also review my Week 4 recommendations and see how those players fared.

Finally, we will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the Match-up of the Week, we will look at the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce. If you want your Dynasty Owner team to be featured as the Match-up of the Week in the future, just tweet me (@SteveVT33).

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points. For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of October 9th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 4 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick – 23.5 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Ronald Jones II – 20.8 (Good recommendation)
  • WR: Cole Beasley – 12.2 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • TE: Dalton Schultz – 17.2 (Good recommendation)

Another week, another Good RB recommendation. It was Ronald Jones II in Week 4 who finished as a RB1 and thus, a Good recommendation. Not quite as Good as Rex Burkhead was the week before, but still Good. On the better side, Dalton Schultz was also a Good recommendation – finishing as the #4 TE for the week, but completely overshadowed by the monster weeks put up by George Kittle and Robert Tonyan. Ryan Fitzpatrick was Just Ok as he was the #16 QB in Week 4, while Cole Beasley had double digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but was also Just Ok since plenty of WRs outscored him this week. Still no Good recommendations yet at QB or WR. However, this was the first week with no Bad recommendations. Let’s try to duplicate that feat in Week 5:

Teddy Bridgewater (QB – CAR): Quarterbacks are averaging 43.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game against the Atlanta defense over the first four weeks of the season. Three of those games were against top-flight QBs like Russell Wilson, Dak Prescott and Aaron Rodgers, but they also allowed 41.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to the Bears QB combo of Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles. Carolina and Teddy Bridgewater visits Atlanta for Week 5 and even though cornerback A.J. Terrell is back for the Falcons, he played the first two games when they gave up 43.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to Russell Wilson and 49.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to Dak Prescott so his return isn’t the cure to the Falcons defensive ailments. He may be the #18 QB in Dynasty Owner right now, but Bridgewater should be a Starter this week.

Tony Pollard (RB – DAL): The Cowboys have been great on offense and terrible on defense this season – averaging 31.5 points scored per game and allowing 36.5 points per game. It’s doubtful that the Giants are going to score that much since they are averaging 11.75 points per game. If the Cowboys are able to throw the ball early and open up a lead, they can rely on Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard to run the ball late to preserve a big lead. In 2019, there were three weeks in which both Elliott and Pollard were both worthy of being Starters. In those three games, Pollard averaged 22.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (while Elliott had 23.1). This is the first of those weeks in 2020 as the Cowboys roll to an early lead and then sit back and run the ball with Elliott and Pollard in the second half, making Pollard worth putting in your Starting lineup.

Cole Beasley (WR – BUF): If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again. Am I right? Last week, putting Beasley in your Starting lineup if you had him turned out to be a Just Ok move. He put up 12.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (3 receptions, 32 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) but did come out of the game for a while with a foot injury. His performance versus the Las Vegas Raiders was perfectly in line with what he’s been doing all year. In the first three games, he averaged 12.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game and in Week 4, he had 12.2 points. In 2019, he scored 184.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 15 games, or an average of 12.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. He still falls outside of the Top 24 WRs and is only owned in 37% of Dynasty Owner leagues (up 13% from last week at this time). With several top WRs on bye this week (Kenny Golladay, Davante Adams, Allen Lazard), out with injuries (Michael Thomas and Chris Godwin) or possibly on bye if things change and there are more positive COVID tests for their team or their opponent (Tyreek Hill), having a steady presence like Beasley in your lineup doesn’t sound like a bad idea. Of course, Buffalo is supposed to play the Patient Zero of NFL teams in the Tennessee Titans, so this recommendation is “subject to change”. However, if the game is played, then get Beasley into your Starting lineup.

Eric Ebron (TE – PIT): The Steelers play their cross-state rivals, the Philadelphia Eagles, this week and in three out of four games this season, the Eagles have allowed a Top 12 TE performance. Two of them (the 28.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance by Tyler Higbee in Week 2 and the 40.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance by George Kittle in Week 4) saw the Eagles give up the most points to a TE for the week. Ebron isn’t Higbee or Kittle, but he’s as good or better than Logan Thomas who had 13.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Eagles in Week 1 and was the #7 ranked TE for the week. As for Ebron himself, he’s improved his production every week so far this season starting with just 2 targets and 2.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1, moving up to 5 targets and 7.2 points in Week 2 and ending with 7 targets and 16.2 points in Week 3. Go ahead and Start Ebron this week.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up is reviewing the Week 4 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations to see how those did.

  • QB: Cam Newton – DNP
  • RB: Ezekiel Elliott – 19.5 (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Allen Robinson – 23.1 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Tyler Higbee – 5.1 (Good recommendation)

Ezekiel Elliott was a RB1 this week, so he should have been in your Starting lineup, not on your Bench. Ditto with Allen Robinson as that recommendation continues the streak of four Bad Bench WR recommendations in a row. On the other hand, for the third week this season, the Bench TE recommendation was a Good one as Tyler Higbee had only 5.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Finally, while technically the Cam Newton selection could be rated as Good since he didn’t play in Week 4 and thus, should have been on your Practice Squad, we’re calling that one a Did Not Play (DNP) and not counting it. Hopefully the Good Bench TE selections keep coming along and it pairs with a first Good Bench WR recommendation of the season. Here are the Week 5 Bench or Practice Squad selections.

Gardner Minshew II (QB – JAX): Minshew is currently the #10 QB in Dynasty Owner, even though he’s scored 73.0 fewer Dynasty Owner fantasy points than #1 QB Russell Wilson. Minshew has put up three good performances (28.6, 30.9 and 28.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and one bad one (10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Miami in Week 3). The Jaguars are travelling to Houston to face the 0-4 Texans who rate as a middle of the pack defense so far this season, but have yet to record an INT. Meanwhile, Minshew has thrown 4 INTs so far this season. The Texans defense could be revitalized with the departure of Head Coach Bill O’Brien and the elevation of Associate Head Coach Romeo Crennel to interim Head Coach. Crennel wants a different attitude and energy so maybe that translates into an INT or two. There are plenty of QBs in the same range who Dynasty Owners can put in their Starting lineup instead of Minshew this week. Hope you have one and can sit Minshew on your Bench.

Joe Mixon (RB – CIN): Joe Mixon struggles quite a lot against the Baltimore Ravens defense. He’s averaging 10.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in six games against them in his career with only two double-digit point games. Now, he did just have 44.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week to move him up to the #7 overall RB in Dynasty Owner, but that’s just one good week. Once a season in his three years as a pro, he has been held to less than 15 rushing yards in a game by the Ravens. The Ravens defense in 2020 is similar to those from the past two years in terms of holding down the fantasy production of RBs. Are you willing to risk they won’t hold Mixon down for his one bad game against them per season this week? Play it safe and leave Mixon on your Bench.

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): McLaurin has dealt with a lot of adversity this season. He was questionable with a thigh injury last week against Baltimore and still managed to put up 21.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but he is still questionable with that injury for Week 5. He also suffered by having Dwayne Haskins as his QB for the first quarter of the season and still managed to score 71.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and be the #11 ranked WR in Dynasty Owner. That’s very impressive, but likely to end this week. Kyle Allen is the new QB for the Football Team, at least for this week, and the Rams defense that has only allowed 1 TD to a WR this season (Stefon Diggs) is on tap. Allen probably struggles, takes a few sacks and has a bad game in his first outing for Washington. That’s not good news for McLaurin owners so get him on your Bench.

Zach Ertz (TE – PHI): It’s unlikely that the Steelers defense forgot how to cover TEs after last week’s unexpected time off. They may have even spent the week watching tape of Week 2 versus Denver when Noah Fant had 17.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to hype themselves up for playing this week against Zach Ertz and the Philadelphia Eagles. Ertz only had 6.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week versus the San Francisco 49ers and is currently the #16 TE in Dynasty Owner, but come on, everyone drafted him so high (ADP 72.7) to be their week in, week out Starter at TE. Sorry to say that Carson Wentz really isn’t passing it well enough to trust him to get the ball into Ertz’s hands enough to justify having him in your Starting lineup. Bench Ertz this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – F.F. Express vs. Yayareaboogiemen

It’s time for our fifth Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2020 season. This week we have a battle of 4-0 teams with high point totals. F.F. Express has scored 675.2 points this year and sits in 14th place in the Chase for the Ring. Yayareaboogiemen isn’t far out of the Chase with 627 points to sit in 86th place. By the end of Week 5, one of them will be in control of their league.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, it looks like a really close game with F.F. Express pulling out the win in a high-scoring game by less than two points (149.4 to 147.8). Any change in Starting lineups or even Bench players could result in a change in who’s projected to win. First, let’s look each team’s current Starting lineup to see who’s got the advantage there:

F.F. Express has a 3.8 point advantage from his Starting lineup. The F.F. Express backfield of Dak Prescott, Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott is projected to outscore the Yayareaboogiemen starting backfield of The G.O.A.T. Tom Brady, James Robinson and James Conner by 17.2 points (69.3 to 52.1). At WR, Yayareaboogiemen makes back 10.0 of those points with Amari Cooper and Terry McLaurin projected to outscore Mike Evans and JuJu Smith-Schuster 41.8 to 31.8. We also have a battle of two of the top TEs in the NFL with F.F. Express having Travis Kelce, while Yayareaboogiemen has George Kittle. With this caliber of players, it’s not surprising the scoring in this game is projected to be so high.

Let’s look at both Benches to see how Yayareaboogiemen makes it a closer game.

It’s mostly at TE and kicker where Yayareaboogiemen close the gap as Tyler Higbee and Sam Ficken are projected to outpace Dan Arnold and Graham Gano by 10.2 Bench points, which converts to 2.0 points. Not enough to overtake the F.F. Express though.

Of course, both teams’ lineups are subject to change, especially for F.F. Express who has A.J. Dillon (who is on bye) sitting in one of his Bench spot. The good news for both teams is that both of them have no Titans or Bills players and few Patriots and Broncos players with games in the most jeopardy of being subject to change and postponed this week.

Conclusion

From the start to finish time for this article, two Sunday games were pushed back to Monday (Patriots vs. Broncos) and Tuesday (Titans vs. Bills) respectively. Hopefully there are no more positive COVID tests for any of those teams and those games can go on as rescheduled, but Dynasty Owners better be ready to change out their lineups if either game is postponed further.

Please read the preview article each and every week. Maybe your team will be featured in a future Match-Up of the Week. If you want your team featured, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and check out next week’s preview to see if your matchup was chosen. Remember that there will be a recap article coming out every Tuesday and a preview article posted every Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well.

There will also be a weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube and other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker). You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner is over 525 subscribers on YouTube and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 4 Preview – Flexibility

Author: Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

We haven’t even gotten one-quarter of the way through the NFL season and the  first positive COVID case by an active player on a team’s roster occurred, followed by the first postponed game of the season (Titans vs. Steelers). Within a couple of days, the NFL went from saying the Titans-Steelers game would be played on Sunday, to moving it to either Monday or Tuesday to postponing it. The NFL was flexible with its schedule by postponing the game this week and making Week 4 a bye week for the Titans and Steelers. Now Dynasty Owners need to be the same way and get flexible with their lineups. It’s time to sit all of your Tennessee and Pittsburgh players as they now have a Week 4 bye. All of those bye week plans those players made are out the window as Eric Ebron figured out (https://twitter.com/Ebron85/status/1311710034049536000?s=20%3C/p%3E%3Cp%3E).

Did you have your team set up so all of your QBs had different bye weeks and now that might get scrambled because of games being switched? It’s time to be flexible with your bye week plans. Are you already down Christian McCaffrey or Saquon Barkley and were relying on Derrick Henry or James Conner as your top RB this week? It’s probably time to hit the Free Agent Auction and see who’s available in your league or start some trade talks with another owner. Hopefully you didn’t use all of the extra $2 million in salary cap room that Dynasty Owner graciously added to this year’s salary cap and have some flexibility in who you can pick up in the Free Agent Auction or at least have a player or two who you feel comfortable dropping from your team. It’s 2020, it’s all about being flexible when some kids are doing virtual school, and work meetings or family events are being held over Zoom instead of in person. It’s making things work when the situation changes – being flexible.

Every week of the regular season and playoffs, we’ll present a set of players at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup as well as one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. Go crazy and start the RB, WR or TE mentioned in the FLEX position – it’s 2020 and new for Dynasty Owner this season after all. We won’t recommend a kicker to Start or Bench though and these won’t be the obvious choices for Starters, like go ahead and start Russell Wilson, Alvin Kamara and Travis Kelce (as if you weren’t going to do that already if you have them). Instead, these will be guys to Start who might not be highly owned or who were drafted to be a backup. For the Bench or Practice Squad choices, we’ll find typical Starters who shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup for the week based on matchups or past performance against a team. We’ll also review my Week 3 recommendations and see how those players fared.

Finally, we will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the Match-up of the Week, we will look at the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce. If you want your Dynasty Owner team to be featured as the Match-up of the Week in the future, just tweet me (@SteveVT33).

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of October 2nd.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 3 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Carson Wentz – 25.8 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Rex Burkhead – 34.8 (Good recommendation)
  • WR: Adam Humphries – 8.1 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Drew Sample – 1.1 (Bad recommendation)

Thank you to Rex Burkhead for being my first Good Starter recommendation of the season. Carson Wentz was close as he was the #12 QB of Week 3, but that’s Just Ok since he was a borderline Starter. The recommendation to put Adam Humphries and Drew Sample in your Starting lineup was Bad with Humphries being outside the Top 50 WRs for the week and Sample being very bad as he only had 1.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. As has been the pattern in 2020, these recommendations fell far short of perfection. Let’s try to get more than one Good recommendation in Week 4:

Ryan Fitzpatrick (QB – MIA): After a terrible 4 turnover (3 INTs and 1 fumble) performance against New England in Week 1, Ryan Fitzpatrick has put together two consecutive turnover-free 30.0+ Dynasty Owner fantasy point games. Overall, that makes him the #17 ranked QB in Dynasty Owner. Now in Week 4, he gets the banged up Seattle defense flying cross-country to Miami for an early game. Seattle has by far the worst pass defense in the NFL and no longer resembles the famed Legion of Boom defenses from 2012 to 2015 that led the league in scoring defense. This Seattle defense has allowed 1,319 yards passing and 6 TDs over the first three weeks of the season. That’s an average of almost 440 yards and 2 TDs per game or 34.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. An average QB game by Fitzpatrick this week against Seattle will definitely put him in the Top 12 QBs for the week and make him worthy of being in your Starting lineup.

Ronald Jones II (RB – TB): Jones should have a good week against a Chargers defense that has several players missing due to injury. He’s currently the #33 RB in Dynasty Owner, while fellow Buccaneers RB Leonard Fournette is #26. Fournette missed practice on Thursday, but worked out on the side. His absence would open up more playing time for Jones against the Chargers. Plus, the Chargers have to fly cross-country to play in one of the early games, which is always tough on a team’s players. Jones has been consistent this season so far, getting around 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per week (10.2 in Week 1, 10.7 in Week 2 and 9.3 in Week 3). That’s good enough on its own to be at least worthy of using as your FLEX, but Jones will be good enough this week to get “promoted” to a RB spot in your Starting lineup.

Cole Beasley (WR – BUF): Beasley’s numbers have improved steadily every week so far this season, from 9.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1, up to 12.0 points in Week 2 to 16.0 points in Week 3. While Gabriel Davis got most of the attention for his 4 receptions and 81 yards in place of John Brown, Beasley was the Bills’ leading receiver in the game with 6 receptions for 100 yards. Beasley is actually averaging 15.2 yards per catch, which is slightly ahead of teammate Stefon Diggs. All he needs is a TD from Josh Allen. With John Brown questionable with a calf injury suffered in last week’s game, Beasley could be in line for more work this week against the Raiders. He’s only owned in 24% of Dynasty Owner leagues right now because of his $7.25 million annual salary for 3 more years. If you spent that kind of money to get him, it’s time to get him in your Starting lineup.

Dalton Schultz (TE – DAL): As the #14 TE currently with 98% ownership in Dynasty Owner leagues after going undrafted (that’s what ADP N/A means on his profile page), Dalton Schultz wasn’t someone who Dynasty Owners planned on having on their team this season. Now, it’s Week 4 and he’s a recommended player for your Starting lineup. With Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb on the Cowboys, it’s hard to believe that there are any targets left for Schultz, but he’s been targeted 20 times in just three games (one more than Gallup and two fewer than Lamb). This week, Schultz faces a Cleveland Browns defense that has allowed 22 TE receptions and an average of 13.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to the opponent’s leading TE through the first three weeks of the season. That’s enough Dynasty Owner fantasy points to be a Starter so get Schultz into your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up are the Week 3 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations. How did they fare (Good, Bad or Just Ok)?

  • QB: Deshaun Watson – 22.7 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • RB: Todd Gurley – 15.2 (Bad recommendation)
  • WR: Robert Woods – 20.4 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Darren Waller – 2.9 (Good recommendation)

Picking Darren Waller as a Bench player last week was a Good recommendation, but it was the only one. Robert Woods was a Top 12 WR, so that was a Bad recommendation. However, Todd Gurley was a middle of the road RB2 and Deshaun Watson was just outside of the Top 12 QBs by a couple of points which makes both of those selections Just Ok. So far, two out of the three Good Bench recommendations on the season have been TEs. Hopefully we can keep doing well with the TE selections and do better with rest of the positions in picking who should be sitting on your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out with the Practice Squad in Week 4.

Cam Newton (QB – NE): Another week, another good running QB as the opponent for the Kansas City Chiefs. This week, it’s Cam Newton coming to Arrowhead Stadium on the heels of the Chiefs holding Lamar Jackson to just 15.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points on Monday Night Football. They also held Deshaun Watson to 24.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1, which put Watson outside the Top 12 QBs for the week. Each week so far this season, the Chiefs defense has only allowed one passing TD. As a Patriots fan, it pains me to make this recommendation, but the fact is that the Kansas City defense appears to be well equipped to stop good running QBs, like Cam Newton. It’s probably tough for Newton’s Dynasty Owners to do it, but Benching him is the right call for Week 4.

Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL): This recommendation is all about lack of volume for Zeke. While he’s averaging almost 20 carries and 5 receptions per game, the Cowboys can only resemble the Air Raid or Run n’ Shoot offense for so long since neither Mike Leach, Mouse Davis nor June Jones are calling the Cowboys plays this season. Cleveland needs to keep the ball on the ground offensively and use up the clock to keep the ball out of Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott’s hands. They are tied with the Rams as the #3 rushing offense in the NFL right now and held the ball nearly 34 minutes per game in victories against Cincinnati and Washington, so it’s possible. It’s probably crazy to think that with all of the injured RBs out there that sitting a consensus first round draft pick (ADP 9.7) who is rated as the #4 RB in Dynasty Owner right now is a good idea. However, if somehow you have two or more good RBs on your roster with better matchups, putting Elliott on your Bench is something to think about at the minimum.

Allen Robinson (WR – CHI): Despite having not so good QBs throwing him the ball for pretty much his entire career, Allen Robinson is always a serviceable WR on a week in and week out basis. He only had three games in 2019 with less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but already has one this year so far. Even so, he’s still the #17 rated WR in Dynasty Owner right now and was at his best last week once Nick Foles entered the game. Robinson caught 4 passes for 54 yards and a TD (15.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) from Foles in the second half alone. This week, Foles is the starting QB, but the opponent is the top rated pass defense in the NFL in the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts are allowing just 132 passing yards per game through the first three games. Admittedly, they faced Gardner Minshew II, Kirk Cousins and Sam Darnold in those three games, but Nick Foles isn’t exactly Patrick Mahomes. The over-under for the Colts-Bears game is 43 points, so not a ton of TDs are expected by either team. Be flexible with your lineup and Bench Robinson this week.

Tyler Higbee (TE – LAR): After watching the Patriots hold Darren Waller to 2.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week, it’s tempting to put Travis Kelce in this spot. However, that’s crazy as Kelce has scored over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points all three weeks in 2020 and 14 out of 16 weeks last year. Nope – not going to touch that one. Instead, Tyler Higbee is the choice as he’s the #4 TE in Dynasty Owner and owned in 98% of Dynasty Owner leagues despite a hefty $7.25 million salary through 2024. Higbee is someone who Dynasty Owners are planning on having for a long, long time with that contract, but who they need to get out of their Starting lineup this week. The Rams are playing the Giants this week and likely won’t need to throw the ball much to win. The Giants three previous opponents haven’t had to do much throwing with only 32 passing attempts per game, tied for 25th overall. Plus, the Giants have also been pretty good this year against TEs when their opponents have thrown the ball, allowing just 10 receptions for 123 receiving yards to them. Hope you have another good TE to put in his place because Higbee should be on your Bench this week.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week – Judge Jeudy vs. Reverse Kanga FC

It’s time for our fourth Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week for the 2020 season between two of the best Dynasty Owner Twitter followers out there – Tom Ayling (Judge Jeudy) and Wilson Davis (Reverse Kanga FC). Tom started the #DOTrades movement on Twitter that has moved into being a regular segment on the weekly podcast with Tim and I and Wilson faithfully appears to read every Dynasty Owner tweet. Even though neither one is on the Chase for the Ring leaderboard, this is still a Matchup worthy of being analyzed.

Based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, it looks like Reverse Kanga FC gets his first 2020 Dynasty Owner victory by a close 125.1-114.9 margin. Let’s look each team’s current Starting lineup to see who’s got the advantage:

The entire 10.2 point projected victory for Reverse Kanga FC rests in his Starting lineup, but you’ll see that Judge Jeudy has James Washington of the Steelers in his Starting lineup. Tom says he plans on switching out Washington for either John Brown or Sammy Watkins – both of whom are on his Bench right now. Let’s look at both Benches to see how many points Tom can expect from John Brown or Sammy Watkins and what that does to the Matchup.

Depending on whether Tom moves Sammy Watkins (11.2 projected points) or John Brown (10.3 projected points) from his Bench to the Starting lineup, he makes this Matchup into a toss-up. Add in the fact that Wilson has Stephen Gostkowski on bye now and Tom will get to take a WR off his Practice Squad and put him on his Bench and we’ve got a Matchup that’s too close to call.

It’ll come down to Monday Night Football and each team’s Bench players as Judge Jeudy has Aaron Rodgers while Reverse Kanga FC has the combination of Brian Hill and Hayden Hurst from his beloved, but possibly cursed Atlanta Falcons.

Conclusion

Both teams in our Matchup of the Week are being flexible with their rosters. By Thursday, neither one has set their final lineup, which is ok since they’ve got time to wait and see if anything happens that might cause them to need to make a change. It’s 2020 after all. Maybe Reverse Kanga FC has a waiver claim pending to add a third kicker to put on his Bench in place of Gostkowski or maybe Judge Jeudy is cooking up a trade to post on Twitter with #DOTrades that will put his team over the top this week. Your guess is as good as mine, so you’ll have to check back on Tuesday and see who won.

Please read the preview article each and every week. Maybe your team will be featured in a future Match-Up of the Week. If you want your team featured, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and check out next week’s preview to see if your matchup was chosen. Remember that there will be a recap article coming out every Tuesday and a preview article posted every Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well. Follow all four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter. There will also be a weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner.

The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube and other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker). You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner is up to 520 subscribers on YouTube and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 3 Preview – Worlds Apart

Author: Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Two weeks into the NFL and Dynasty Owner season, we’re starting to see patterns, trends and groups forming. In the NFL, you’ve got your likely playoff teams sitting at 2-0 (Ravens, Chiefs, Bills), a bunch of teams at 1-1 and some teams with playoff aspirations sitting at 0-2 who are worried about falling out of the playoff hunt in Week 3 (Texans and Eagles). Within the 2-0 group, you have teams like those listed above with visions of the Super Bowl dancing in their heads, along with teams who are just happy to be 2-0 at this point (Las Vegas Raiders). Both the Chiefs and Raiders might both be 2-0 and in the same division, but they are worlds apart in their likelihood of reaching the Super Bowl. Sorry Chucky.

It’s the same in Dynasty Owner. You’ve got groups of teams in every league at 2-0, a group of teams sitting at 1-1 and still another group of teams at 0-2. Since everyone started in the same spot, nobody should have been in rebuilding mode at the start of the season, but two games in, it’s possible some Dynasty Owners are thinking about 2021 if they can’t pick up a victory in Week 3. And even within the 2-0 group of teams in every league, you’ve got teams who are high in the Chase for the Ring standings and those who are 2-0, but aren’t anywhere close to making it onto the Chase leaderboard. Those teams might both be 2-0, but they are probably going their Separate Ways (Worlds Apart) in Dynasty Owner. Anybody else have a flashback to the days when MTV showed videos like the Journey – Separate Ways (Worlds Apart) video? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LatorN4P9aA) If you don’t remember, just watch it in all its cheesy 80s glory.

Every week of the regular season and playoffs, we’ll present a set of players at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup as well as one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. We won’t recommend a kicker to Start or Bench though and these won’t be the obvious choices for Starters, like go ahead and start Patrick Mahomes, Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara and Travis Kelce (as if you weren’t going to do that already if you have them). Instead, these will be guys to Start who might not be highly owned or who were drafted to be a backup. For the Bench or Practice Squad choices, we’ll find typical Starters who shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup for the week based on matchups or past performance against a team. We’ll also review my Week 2 recommendations and see how those players fared.

Finally, we will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the Match-up of the Week, we will look at the overall projected score and then each team’s Starters and Bench to see how their current lineups are projected to produce. If you want your Dynasty Owner team to be featured as the Match-up of the Week in the future, just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and maybe it’ll be your matchup highlighted sometime in the future.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of September 25th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s take a look at how my Week 2 Starter recommendations fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok):

  • QB: Mitchell Trubisky – 17.1 (Bad recommendation)
  • RB: Joshua Kelley – 13.3 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Tre’Quan Smith – 13.6 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • TE: Logan Thomas – 6.6 (Bad recommendation)

Week 2 was better than last week, but still had only two Just Ok recommendations out of four, while the Mitchell Trubisky and Logan Thomas recommendations were bad. Both Joshua Kelley and Tre’Quan Smith were at the bottom end of being worthy to start, finishing as the #25 RB and #29 WR respectively so both fall into the Just Ok category. Trubisky was the #24 QB and a low-end Bench option at best, while Thomas was the #29 TE and best left on the Practice Squad. Let’s try to get at least one Good recommendation in Week 3 out of these four:

Carson Wentz (QB – PHI): Despite his ADP of 124.2, Wentz is nothing but a backup for most Dynasty Owners at this point. A few are even releasing him and using an Amnesty Provision or taking the $32 million Dynasty Dollars hit (25% of the $128 million remaining on his contract) as his ownership is down to 66%. While the Bengals defense has only let up 31.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the first two games (11.1 for Tyrod Taylor and 20.6 for Baker Mayfield), Wentz will have both of his starting tackles (Lane Johnson and Jason Peters) for a second straight game. The offensive line allowed zero sacks to the Rams last week and if Wentz gets comfortable behind his line, he should be able to find Zach Ertz, Dallas Goedert and Miles Sanders enough to make him worth being a Starter, even if the Eagles run the ball a lot as predicted.

Rex Burkhead (RB – NE): I’m likely going to regret this recommendation but with James White looking out for the Patriots versus Las Vegas after the tragedy involving his parents, Rex Burkhead becomes someone you can put in your Starting lineup this week. I know in the Week 2 recap article that I said you can’t trust a New England RB for fantasy purposes, but I think that with a full week of practices and time to game plan for Burkhead, he takes White’s role for a week. He had 8.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week (2 rushing yards, 4 receptions, 47 receiving yards) without the benefit of a week to plan. Belichick and McDaniels will do better than that this week making Burkhead worthy of being a Starter despite being a New England RB and only owned in 28% of Dynasty Owner leagues.

Adam Humphries (WR – TEN): It’s a good thing that I can’t include Thursday games because one of two Jacksonville WRs (Keelan Cole or Laviska Shenault Jr.) would have gone in this spot. Neither was spectacular with 8.9 and 8.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points respectively on Thursday night versus the Dolphins. Let’s pick on the Vikings instead since their pass defense has been horrible this season against WRs (33 receptions, 405 receiving yards, 5 receiving TDs). Most of that damage was done by Green Bay with Davante Adams, Allen Lazard and even Marquez Valdes-Scantling catching TD passes in Week 1, but even Zach Pascal had a TD for Indianapolis last week. The Tennessee Titans will be playing in Minnesota this week and QB Ryan Tannehill has been throwing the ball very well over the first two games of the season. The Titans receiver with the most receptions has been Adam Humphries (11 vs. 10 for Corey Davis and 8 for Jonnu Smith). Humphries is only owned in 5% of Dynasty Owner leagues, largely because of his $9 million annual salary. If you’re paying his salary, you might as well get some Dynasty Owner fantasy points from Humphries so put him in your Starting lineup this week.

Drew Sample (TE – CIN): C.J. Uzomah is out for the rest of the season after tearing his right Achilles last week. An injury that probably went unnoticed because it happened on Thursday and then a bunch of more prominent guys got injured later on in Week 2. In his place, Sample had 7 catches for 45 yards (11.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). All total, Bengals TEs have 35.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (22.7 for Uzomah and 13.2 for Sample), which would rank them as the #5 TE so far this season if just one of them had all those points. Sample should get all, or almost all, of the TE targets this week versus a Philadelphia defense that allowed 3 TDs to Rams TE Tyler Higbee last week. Sample was owned in just 15.5% of Dynasty Owner leagues last week and is now owned in 82.5% of leagues. If you picked him up, you probably should use him as a Starter this week.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Next up are the Week 2 Bench or Practice Squad recommendations. How did they fare (Good, Bad or Just Ok)?

  • QB: Carson Wentz – 12.8 (Good recommendation)
  • RB: Melvin Gordon – 16.4 (Just Ok recommendation)
  • WR: Terry McLaurin – 25.5 (Bad recommendation)
  • TE: Noah Fant – 17.7 (Bad recommendation)

Two weeks and only two good Bench recommendations so far with another one coming in Week 2 with the selection of Carson Wentz, who was well outside of the Top 12 QBs. Melvin Gordon was the #17 RB so that was Just Ok as he was a low-end FLEX Starter. The inclusion of Terry McLaurin and Noah Fant on the Bench list were Bad ideas as both of them finished in the Top 10 at their position, so let’s not speak of them again. Hopefully we can do better with this set of players who should be sitting on the Bench or hanging out with the Practice Squad in Week 3.

Deshaun Watson (QB – HOU): Consensus first round Dynasty Owner draft pick (ADP 9.8) who signs a 4 year contract extension that averages $39 million per year and kicks in next year. That was Watson’s off-season. Now that the games have started, the difficult early season schedule combined with the impact of losing DeAndre Hopkins has kicked in and is impacting Watson’s fantasy production. After two weeks, he was ranked as just the #18 QB in Dynasty Owner. Now, he has to go on the road to play against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense in Week 3. No thank you! Hopefully you picked up a quality, high-salary backup QB and can insert him into your Starting lineup this week and leave Watson on the Bench.  

Todd Gurley (RB – ATL): Gurley was one of those “don’t draft him” guys for me this year after he finished the 2019 season as the #16 RB in Dynasty Owner and the Rams released him. Even though he signed a one-year, $6 million contract with the Falcons and has just Ito Smith and Brian Hill behind him on the depth chart, I still wanted no part of him this year. Many Dynasty Owners disagreed and drafted him high (ADP 45) as a RB1 or RB2. Now with injuries to several high-profile RBs, Dynasty Owners are left with a tough decision about starting Gurley again this week after he put up just 19.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (117 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 2 receptions, 1 receiving yard) over the first two weeks. He’s averaging just 3.3 yards per carry so far this season and that’s not likely to go up significantly against the Bears defense. Don’t stick with him just because you drafted him so early, sit Gurley on your Dynasty Owner Bench this week.

Robert Woods (WR – LAR): Robert Woods meet Tre’Davious White. He’ll likely be shadowing you this week and preventing you from catching passes from Jared Goff. He’s only allowed five receptions all year (admittedly against the Jets and Dolphins, but still pretty impressive). Mr. Goff will be getting pressured by the Buffalo Bills defense and likely dumping passes off to slot receiver Cooper Kupp and tight end Tyler Higbee instead of challenging Mr. White. Woods also had more yards rushing in Week 2 than receiving (19 rushing vs. 14 receiving). Not something I want from a $6.8 million WR with an ADP of 68.8.  Woods won’t get totally shut out this week, but he’s probably not worth a spot in your Starting lineup either.

Darren Waller (TE – LV): Waller torched the New Orleans Saints defense for 28.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points on Monday night (12 receptions, 103 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) and is the #2 TE in Dynasty Owner after two weeks. That means he’s on the Must-Start list, right? Wrong. Waller should be on your Bench this week because he’s playing the New England Patriots, not the New Orleans Saints again. The Patriots defense is just good against TEs. Last year, TEs averaged 4 receptions and 43 receiving yards per game versus them and this year, the Dolphins and Seattle TEs have combined for just 4 receptions and 39 receiving yards. Bill Belichick is always looking to take away a team’s top options, meaning stopping Josh Jacobs from running the ball and preventing Waller from catching passes. Plus, the Raiders are flying cross-country on a short week to play a 1 PM (Eastern) game, which is not good for their chances to go 3-0 or Waller’s chances to be a Top 12 TE. Bench him.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – The Human Fund vs. DC Dawgs

It’s time for our third Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week for the 2020 season, but the first one featuring a team from the current Chase for the Ring standings. The Human Fund is the #1 team right now, but they face a Week 3 challenge from another 2-0 team in their league, DC Dawgs. In contrast, DC Dawgs sit in 816th place – that’s not a typo – in the Chase standings (You’ll have to trust me and Don on that one since my standings don’t go that low). Sorry to say it, but this looks like a mismatch based on the Chase standings alone. And based on the exclusive Dynasty Owner scoring projections for each team’s current lineup, it looks like The Human Fund should win pretty easily over the DC Dawgs (162.4 to 120.6).

Let’s look each team’s current Starting lineup to see how much of an advantage that gives The Human Fund:

The Human Fund has the advantage at almost every position and an overall advantage of 34.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. DC Dawgs has a decidedly Green Bay flavor in their Starting lineup with three Packers (Aaron Jones, Allen Lazard and Davante Adams). If the Packers score a lot of points on Sunday night against New Orleans, we could have an upset by the DC Dawgs.

On to the Bench where Dynasty Owners get 20% of their Bench scoring added to their overall point total. Each team has the following players on their Bench right now.

The Human Fund advantage extends to the Bench. They are projected to outscore the DC Dawgs by an 88-50.3 margin and have higher projections from every Bench position.

This matchup will be over after Sunday Night Football as neither team has anyone in their lineups right now on either Baltimore or Kansas City. Both teams will have to wait until after Monday Night Football is over to check the final Chase standings though. Be sure to check out the Tuesday recap article to see who actually won and if The Human Fund are still on the top of the Chase for the Ring Leaderboard and most importantly, if your team was good enough to make it there as well.

Conclusion

The Human Fund is expected to win and move to 3-0 on the 2020 Dynasty Owner season, but will they remain at the top of the world in Dynasty Owner (aka the Chase for the Ring standings)?  Even if DC Dawgs pulls the upset and The Human Fund loses, they might stick in the Top 25 with a solid points performance.  However, you have to win your league to win the Ring so just racking up points isn’t enough.

Please read the preview article each and every week. Maybe your team will be featured in a future Match-Up of the Week. If you want it to be your team that is featured next week or another time, then just tweet me (@SteveVT33) and check out next week’s preview to see if your matchup was chosen. Remember that there will be a recap article coming out every Tuesday and a preview article posted every Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well.

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