Week 4 Recap: Over Early, Under Later

Author: Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

The betting formula for Week 4 of the NFL season was pretty simple – bet the Over in the early games (including Thursday night) and the Under in the late Sunday and Monday night games. Seven of these nine early games had more points than projected and the two that had under fell under one point short in both instances. Five out of the six late Sunday and Monday games were under with the Bills-Raiders game tying the over-under mark of 53 and the 49ers-Eagles game having 45 points scored and just being under by a point. So, if you went Over Early and Under Later, you would have won 12 out of 15 games. Not a bad week if you’re the gambling type.

What does this have to do with Dynasty Owner? Well, simple. Starting your players in the early games was far more likely to yield the scoring you needed to win your matchup this week than having a bunch of guys playing in the late Sunday and Monday games. Dak Prescott, the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady, Joe Mixon, Odell Beckham Jr., and Amari Cooper all had big games early in the day and likely led their Dynasty Owner teams to victory. All was not lost if you started guys who played later as one of the late Sunday game performances was even our Value Player of the Week and Aaron Rodgers lit up the Falcons defense on Monday night. However, on average, Dynasty Owners were better off having their Starting lineup populated with early game players.

This is our fourth regular season Dynasty Owner weekly recap article for 2020. Unlike last week, it was early Sunday (before dinner) when writing started, but the article still had to wait until after Monday Night Football was over to be finished up. Just like every week, this article will name a Dynasty Owner Player of the Week and a Value Player of the Week, highlight a player at every position who should have been one of your Starters and one who should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad. We’ll also look at what happened in the Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – one team had more early players and got a big advantage – and take our weekly look at the Chase for the Ring standings.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points. For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of October 5th.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our fourth Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for 2020 is: Dak Prescott

Four weeks and four different QBs as Player of the Week. This week, it’s Dak Prescott who was the runner-up to Josh Allen in Week 2, but scored 50.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week to edge out the G.O.A.T Tom Brady (46.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and Joe Mixon (44.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) for the honor. Dak had 50.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (502 passing yards, 4 passing TDs, 12 rushing yards, 1 2-pt conversion, 1 INT, 1 fumble lost). He received the 4 point bonus for throwing for over 400 yards, but there’s no extra points for going over 500 passing yards. He lost 6.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points because of the INT and lost fumble and if he had been turnover free, he would have scored 56.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and set the record for points so far in the 2020 season.  Despite all of those TDs and fantasy points, the Cowboys trailed most of the game and Dak was never able to lead them to a clutch score and get those three extra points.

  • Week 4 Points: 50.3
  • 2020 Salary: $30,144,000
  • Cost per Point: $599,284

Congratulations to Dak on your third Dynasty Owner weekly honor! It’ll look good on his mantle with the Player of the Week honor from Week 1 of last year and Value Player of the Week honor from Week 11 of last year when his salary was only $680,848.

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The fourth Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week for 2020 is: George Kittle

You might be asking how can George Kittle win this award? Well, the five-year, $75 million contract extension he signed back in August doesn’t take effect until the 2021 Dynasty Owner season, so he’s still on the books at a salary of just $674,572 for this year. Kittle wins based on his amazing 40.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (15 receptions, 183 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD, 8 rushing yards). This was easily the best TE performance of the year and earned Kittle the honor over Joe Mixon who had more points (44.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), but at just over twice the salary ($1.36 million).

  • Week 4 Points: 40.1
  • 2020 Salary: $674,572
  • Cost per Point: $16,822

In a bit of a surprise, this is the first-ever Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor for Kittle and the first by a TE. Congratulations!

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been in one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 4. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Dak Prescott or George Kittle because both of them should always be in your Starting lineup – especially after being Players of the Week. Instead, these are players who might be Free Agents or on your Bench or Practice Squad, but likely weren’t Starters in Week 4 when they should have been.

QB: Teddy Bridgewater (CAR) – 32.0 points

In his first three games as a Carolina Panther, Teddy Bridgewater averaged only 17.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, so it wasn’t too likely that his Dynasty Owners would be starting him in Week 4. Even though he has a salary cap friendly 3-year, $63 million contract ($21 million per year for Dynasty Owner purposes) for a veteran QB, he is less than universally owned (87% ownership). This week against the Arizona Cardinals, Bridgewater had 32.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (276 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 32 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 1 INT). This performance made him the #5 QB of the week so he should have been in your Starting lineup.

RB: Jamaal Williams (GB) – 18.5 points

With Davante Adams and Allen Lazard out for Green Bay, somebody was going to have to step up for the Packers passing offense this week. If you didn’t watch the game and only saw the highlights, you might not realize that Jamaal Williams was one of those players who stepped up (the other guy will appear soon). Williams had a career high 8 receptions and another career high 95 receiving yards in the Packers 30-16 victory over the Atlanta Falcons. He added in 10 rushing yards for a total of 18.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That’s almost as many as he had combined in the first three weeks (19.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). With all of the injuries at RB this season and Derrick Henry and James Conner on bye, maybe some Dynasty Owners with Williams on their roster had to put him in their Starting lineup. Congrats to you if you did since that’s where he belonged this week.

WR: Tim Patrick (DEN) – 23.3 points

It’s understandable that Dynasty Owners would be unwilling to put Tim Patrick in their Starting lineups in Week 4. After all, his QB was an undrafted rookie free agent (Brett Rypien) and his team (Denver Broncos) had to fly to New York to play on a Thursday night with little rest between games and little time for the new QB to prepare for his first NFL start. On the other hand, Courtland Sutton is out for the 2020 season, making Patrick a starter and the Broncos were playing against the Jets. Patrick ending up scoring 23.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6 receptions, 113 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) and is now the #27 ranked WR in Dynasty Owner. He’s widely available (only 25% ownership), so not many Dynasty Owners were likely to have him in their Starting lineup this week. He’s also cheap ($750,000 in salary for 2020), so he could be on your Dynasty Owner roster next week.

Honorable mention to David Moore of the Seattle Seahawks. Moore is only owned in 21% of Dynasty Owner leagues, but does carry a fairly hefty $2.133 million salary cap hit. However, he did just score 18.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (3 receptions, 95 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) and had 14.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points back in Week 2. If you have a roster spot and salary cap room, Moore is more likely than Patrick to keep up his production for the rest of the season even though he’s not a starter. That’s because he has Russell Wilson throwing him the ball.

TE: Robert Tonyan (GB) – 33.8 points

Robert Tonyan had 33.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and wasn’t even the highest scoring TE of the week. However, he was easily the second highest scoring with 6 receptions, 98 receiving yards and 3 receiving TDs to earn his 33.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Prior to Week 4, he was the #24 TE in Dynasty Owner with 26.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. However, he had scored a receiving TD in each of the past two games, so he should have been owned in more than 74% of Dynasty Owner leagues. That’ll probably go up since he’s now the #2 TE in Dynasty Owner, behind only Travis Kelce, and his salary is only $750,000. If you were ahead of the curve on Tonyan and picked him up after your draft (his ADP is listed as N/A so nobody apparently drafted him), then hopefully you saw the depleted Green Bay receiving corps for this matchup against the dreadful Falcons defense and put Tonyan in your Starting lineup.

K: Randy Bullock (CIN) – 15.0 points

Randy Bullock had 15.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (FGs of 30 yards, 35 yards, 40 yards and 46 yards plus 3 PATs) in the Bengals first win of the 2020 NFL season. It’s not Bullock’s fault that the Bengals were winless as he had made 8 out of 9 FG attempts and all six of his PATs through the first three games. In fact, Bullock had two consecutive weeks with 10.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points before his Week 4 performance. He totaled 43.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points on the season and was rated as the #1 kicker in Dynasty Owner. He’s owned in 76% of Dynasty Owner leagues. If you need a kicker and have a little over $2.1 million in salary cap room, Bullock could be on your roster in the ones that he’s available in the Free Agent Auction. If you already had him, hopefully he was in your Starting lineup this week.

Honorable mentions to two AFC East kickers on bad teams who had really nice kicking games in Week 4. Jason Sanders of the Miami Dolphins had 16.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 FGs of 39 yards or less and 3 FGs of 40-49 yards) without attempting an extra point. Sam Ficken of the New York Jets was a perfect six for six on kicking attempts (4 FGs of 39 yards or less plus a 54 yarder and one PAT) for a total of 14.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been one of your Starters but wasn’t, we have some players who probably were Starters, but were better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad in Week 4.

QB: Daniel Jones (NYG) – 10.0 points

Hopefully no Dynasty Owner actually stayed with Jones as their Starter this week after two consecutive weeks with less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (8.2 points in Week 2 vs. Chicago and 7.9 points in Week 3 vs. San Francisco). On the other hand, many Dynasty Owners spent a draft pick in one of the first four or five rounds (ADP 44.2) on Jones, so they might not have given up just yet. Nobody has gotten rid of him as he’s still owned in all Dynasty Owner leagues, but maybe that’ll change after his Week 4 performance. He was better than the two previous weeks, but not by much with just 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (190 passing yards, 45 rushing yards, 1 INT, 1 fumble). The only starting QBs worse in Week 4 were two guys who were benched (Nick Mullens and Brian Hoyer). Dynasty Owners may have spent an insanely high price for Jones in their draft, but it’s time to put him on the Bench or Practice Squad.

RB: Kenyan Drake (ARI) – 3.5 points

Kenyan Drake did get injured in the fourth quarter of the Cardinals 31-21 loss to the Panthers, but he “earned” his spot on this list through his play in the first three quarters. He only racked up 3.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (35 rushing yards) to continue a decline in fantasy points from 14.5 in Week 1 to 11.5 in Week 2 to 8.9 in Week 3. Sadly, there may be a Dynasty Owner out there who paired his selection of Drake in the second or third round (ADP 30.4) with Daniel Jones in the fourth or fifth round. That’s even worse than having taken Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley or Michael Thomas because at least you don’t have to decide whether or not to start those three every week after drafting them so high. Drake shouldn’t have been in your Starting lineup in Week 4, but plays the Jets in Week 5 so his Dynasty Owners are left with another “do I or don’t I start him” decision this coming week.

WR: Calvin Ridley (ATL) – 0.0 points

If you had Calvin Ridley on your Bench or Practice Squad in Dynasty Owner this week, then let me be the first to congratulate you. If this were the 1990s, I would have suggested you make a cheap infomercial and go head to head with the Psychic Friends Network because nobody saw Ridley’s Week 4 coming after he was declared Active for Monday Night Football. Ridley was riding into the game on Monday night as the top WR in Dynasty Owner with 80.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. And he goes out and gives all of his Dynasty Owners the dreaded Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). He should have been on your Practice Squad this week. There nothing more to say than that.

TE: Mike Gesicki (MIA) – 2.5 points

The Seattle pass defense had been pretty dreadful in the first three weeks of the season, giving up 1,319 passing yards and 6 TDs, or an average of almost 440 yards and 2 TDs per game. Most of that production had come from WRs, but that’s still pretty bad and could lead a Dynasty Owner to put Gesicki in their Starting lineup for just that reason. Gesicki had been pretty good so far this season and was ranked as a Top 12 TE with 41.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, which was another good reason to put him in your Starting lineup. Looking closer shows that most of his production came in a 27.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance in Week 2 so he hasn’t been producing on a weekly basis. This week was one in which Gesicki should have been on your Bench or better yet, Practice Squad.

K: Greg Zuerlein (DAL) – 2.0 points The Cowboys scored 38 points in their Week 4 loss to the Cleveland Browns, but Dallas kicker Greg Zuerlein only had 2 PAT attempts in the entire game because the Cowboys were losing by 27 points in the fourth quarter and ended up going for 2-pt conversions after their last three TDs. Zuerlein made both of his PATs, so it’s not his fault that he only scored 2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Dynasty Owners with Zuerlein on their roster saw the possibility of lots of points in the Cleveland-Dallas game and had invested a high pick in Zuerlein (ADP 178.0) so they were likely putting him in their Starting lineup. They shouldn’t have done that as he was better left on the Bench or Practice Squad (if you have 3 kickers) this week.

Dynasty Owner Matchups of the Week Recap

Just as predicted, it was a close one that went Reverse Kanga FC’s way as they picked up their first Dynasty Owner victory with a 140.3-134.5 win over Judge Jeudy. Congratulations to Reverse Kanga FC owner Wilson Davis on the victory!

Know what happened in this matchup? Reverse Kanga FC opened up an early lead by scoring 100.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the early Sunday games from just five players (Kyler Murray, Kenny Golladay, D.J. Chark, Dalton Schultz and Justin Tucker) to open up a 100.4-51.3 lead. Judge Jeudy relied on four players in the late Sunday afternoon games, including three players from the Buffalo Bills (Josh Allen, Devin Singletary and John Brown) to close the gap, but a paltry 9.7 point game from Robert Woods didn’t help. Reverse Kanga FC’s Starters put them up by 5.3 points and his Bench added the rest for the margin of victory.

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

The Human Fund is back in first place in the Chase for the Ring as they flipped the standings with All Might who fell back to second place and apparently lost their weekly matchup as their record is 3-1 on the season. Wow!

Besides Keats McGee changing their name to Sweet Keats, there wasn’t a lot of movement in the Top 10 of the Chase for the Ring. Entchev is Homeless drops from #10 last week to completely out of the Top 25 this week, while three new teams (Rimmerworld Smegheads at #6, Kaptastrophe at #7 and Russell Wilson’s War at #9) move in and two other teams from last week’s Top 10 drop out (ShowMeThemCeeDee’s goes from #7 to #11 and HOUND457 goes from #9 to #12).

Conclusions

Hopefully you had more players in the early games than the late ones and were a winner in your Dynasty Owner game this week. It’s too early to tell if the same pattern will hold for Week 5, but check out the recap article next Tuesday to find out.

Please read the preview article which comes out on Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season to see how my Week 4 recommendations did and who should be a Starter and who should be on your Bench in Week 5. Besides the weekly recap and preview articles, we will also have at least one article every week from one of our other Dynasty Owner writers: Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) or Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl).

Hopefully, you didn’t miss the weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. If so, then head over to YouTube or one of the many other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker) that you can watch or listen to it.

The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner YouTube page as well. You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner remains at over 500 subscribers on YouTube and gaining more every week. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and make your way into the Top 25 in the Chase for the Ring standings.

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 3 Recap: Clutch

Author: Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

There were 13 NFL games on Sunday and in four of them, the winning team scored with under two minutes left in the game to win and stay undefeated. Buffalo, Chicago, Seattle and Tennessee all won this way. There were also two other games with game winning or game tying FGs at the end of the fourth quarter, giving the Lions their first victory of the season and helping the Eagles tie their game with the Bengals. This is exciting for the NFL and fantasy football players. These scores are even more exciting and important for Dynasty Owners because of one of the many Dynasty Owner innovations – the clutch scoring bonus. That’s right, if a player scores a TD or kicks a FG in the last final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime that results in a lead change, then the player gets a 3 point bonus. It’s mentioned on Page 7 of the Dynasty Owner Constitution and in the explanation of scoring in all of my articles that everyone probably skips reading.

Nine players got the clutch scoring bonus points this week – 4 QBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE and 2 kickers. Two of those players (Anthony Miller and Stephen Gostkowski) have multiple clutch scoring weeks with Gostkowski earning the bonus every week so far this season. Last week, Harrison Butker of the Chiefs had two clutch scoring bonuses for a total of 6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. They aren’t as common as they were this week, but clutch scoring is something different that can help determine the winner and loser of a Dynasty Owner matchup. Just ask Kyle Yates (@KyleYNFL) of the Fantasy Pros (https://www.fantasypros.com/) who won his matchup in our Experts league 153.7-151.3 over Jerry Donabedian (@JerryDonabedian) of Rotowire (https://www.rotowire.com/), a game in which Kyle’s team got a clutch scoring bonus from Josh Allen.

This is our third regular season Dynasty Owner weekly recap article for 2020. No clutch fantasy football article writing points, but plenty of this article was written late on Monday evening after the conclusion of Monday Night Football so many of these words would have qualified if that existed. Regardless of when it was written, this article will name a Dynasty Owner Player of the Week and a Value Player of the Week, highlight a player at every position who should have been one of your Starters and one who should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad. We’ll also look at what happened in the Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week, see if either team had some clutch scoring points, and take our weekly look at the Chase for the Ring standings.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points. For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of September 28th.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our third Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for 2020 is: Russell Wilson

For the third week in a row, a different QB is the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week. Russell Wilson wins it this week after being close to winning the past two weeks. This week, he had 54.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (315 passing yards, 5 passing TDs, 22 rushing yards, 1 2-pt conversion) which included a bonus point for over 300 passing yards and the 3 point clutch scoring bonus for the 29-yard TD pass to D.K. Metcalf with 1:47 left in the Seahawks 38-31 victory over the Dallas Cowboys. Wilson has scored the most Dynasty Owner fantasy points (142.3) over the first three weeks and had the highest single scoring week of the season in Week 3. Not quite as good as back in Week 9 of last season when he had 57.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but it was the best this week, just edging out Patrick Mahomes and his 52.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (385 passing yards, 4 passing TDs, 26 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD) on Monday Night Football. However, Russell had those clutch scoring bonus points that put him ahead of Mahomes to help him win the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor.

  • Week 3 Points: 54.0
  • 2020 Salary: $35,000,000
  • Cost per Point: $648,148

Congratulations to Russell on winning the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor for the first time this season and the second time overall!

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The third Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week for 2020 is: Alvin Kamara

In terms of value, running back is the position to find it in Dynasty Owner. For the third consecutive week, the Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week is a running back. This time, it’s Alvin Kamara and his $964,443 salary for 2020 who had a 44.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (58 rushing yards, 13 receptions, 139 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs) in Week 3. Rookie RB James Robinson of the Jacksonville Jaguars almost won this award with his 30.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (46 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 6 receptions, 83 receiving yards) for just $763,333 in salary, for a cost per point of $24,703. Kamara had more points but also costs more in salary, just over $200,000, so Kamara’s cost per point was slightly lower than Robinson at $21,576 per point. He was the third RB taken on average (ADP 7.7) but so far is the clear #1 RB in Dynasty Owner after three weeks with a total of 106.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

  • Week 3 Points: 44.7
  • 2020 Salary: $964,443
  • Cost per Point: $21,576

Congratulations Alvin on winning the Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor for first time!

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been in one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 3. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Russell Wilson or Alvin Kamara because both of them should always be in your Starting lineup. Instead, these are players who might be Free Agents or on your Bench or Practice Squad, but likely weren’t Starters in Week 3 when they should have been.

QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick (MIA) – 30.8 points

He’s widely owned in Dynasty Owner (97% of leagues), but I can’t imagine a lot of Dynasty Owners riding with Fitzmagic as their week in and week out Starter at QB. His high ownership is likely the result of being one of the cheaper QBs around at only $5.5 million in salary for 2020. His first two games were dramatically different (3.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 versus New England, followed by 32.6 points versus Buffalo), which combined ranked him outside the Top 20 at QB. He’s now had two good performances in a row after scoring 30.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (160 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 38 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 1 reception) against Jacksonville on Thursday night. He was the #9 QB in Week 3, so he should have been a Starter for most of his Dynasty Owners.

RB: Rex Burkhead (NE) – 34.8 points

Last week, I said that “it’s nearly impossible to trust a New England RB for fantasy purposes because you never know what Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels are going to do on a game-by-game basis.” This week was no different but for the opposite reason as last week as Dynasty Owners could have safely started two New England RBs and been happy. Rex Burkhead wins the honor this week, but Sony Michel was also worthy of having in your Starting lineup this week. Burkhead was impressive and did his best James White impersonation with 34.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (49 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 7 receptions, 49 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). Michel had 18.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (117 rushing yards, 2 receptions, 23 receiving yards) as well. Don’t expect this out of Burkhead, who is only owned in 34% of Dynasty Owner leagues, many more times but if you had Burkhead and trusted him enough to put him in your Starting lineup this week, then you reaped the benefits of his great performance.

WR: Justin Jefferson (MIN) – 30.5 points

Despite being drafted in the seventh round on average in Dynasty Owner leagues (ADP 80.7), Dynasty Owners with Justin Jefferson can be forgiven if they left him on the Bench or Practice Squad in Week 3. After all, he had scored just 12.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the first two weeks combined. There wasn’t a lot of reason to suspect that he would erupt for 30.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (7 receptions, 175 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) in Week 3 versus Tennessee. The 21-year old rookie first round draft pick from LSU was probably not in a lot of Starting lineups when he should have been.

Honorable mention to Cedrick Wilson of the Dallas Cowboys. The #4 WR in Dallas had 27.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 107 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs). He is currently not on any Dynasty Owner rosters, so nobody had him in their Starting lineup in Week 3. Wilson can be had off the Free Agent Auction for a mere $540,000 for each of the next two seasons if you have an open roster spot and a minimal amount of salary cap room. He’s unlikely to outscore Michael Gallup, Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb many times in the future, but why not take the chance, especially if you have Gallup, Cooper or Lamb and one of them gets injured. 

TE: Tyler Kroft (BUF) – 21.4 points

Even though Jimmy Graham outscored Kroft slightly (23.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for Graham vs. 21.4 points for Kroft), the nod goes to Kroft because 3 of his points were clutch scoring points. Those came on his second 3-yard TD reception of the afternoon in the Bills come from behind 35-32 victory over the Los Angeles Rams. Overall, Kroft had 4 receptions for 24 yards and the two receiving TDs for a total of 21.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Kroft gets the nod over Graham because he is only owned in 1% of Dynasty Owner leagues, compared to 2% for Graham. That’s what happens when you are making $4 million as a backup TE (or $8 million for Graham in each of the next two years). It’ll be interesting to see if many Dynasty Owners pick up Kroft after this performance.

K: Stephen Gostkowski (TEN) – 25.0 points

After missing his first three FG attempts as a member of the Tennessee Titans, Stephen Gostkowski has made his last nine attempts, including six in the Titans Week 3 victory over the Minnesota Vikings. The last one was a 55-yarder with 1:44 left on the clock to put the Titans up by one point. He’s had three consecutive weeks with a clutch game winning FG of progressive longer lengths (25 yards, 49 yards and 55 yards). In Week 3, he had three FGs of less than 40 yards (30, 31 and 39) plus three FGs of 50+ yards (51, 54 and the game winning 55 yarder). He also made his only PAT attempt after missing one in each of the first two games. Gostkowski is now the #1 kicker in Dynasty Owner with 38.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, including the -1 points he put up in Week 1. He is owned in less than half of Dynasty Owner leagues (48%) and will only cost $2.75 million in salary this season. He’s on a hot streak and if you need a kicker for your Starting lineup, then ride the hot hand and check if he’s available in the Free Agent Auction of your league.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been one of your Starters but wasn’t, we have some players who probably were Starters, but were better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad in Week 3.

QB: Cam Newton (NE) – 13.8 points

After looking rejuvenated the first two weeks and scoring 27.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 and 40.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 2, lots of Dynasty Owners probably pulled the trigger on Starting Newton against the Raiders in Week 3. While Newton didn’t play badly, it’s just that New England didn’t need him to do as much this week as the last two weeks. As a result, he only scored 13.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (162 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 27 rushing yards, 1 INT) and should have been on your Bench or maybe even the Practice Squad if you’re carrying three starting QBs.

Dishonorable mention to Matt Ryan. Another guy who lit it up the first two weeks (35.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 and 39.3 in Week 2), but who didn’t produce in Week 3 with only 14.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (238 passing yards, 1 passing TD, -1 rushing yard, 1 INT). That’s not what Dynasty Owners want from a guy who is costing them $30 million in salary this year. He’s still easily in the Top 10 QBs and can probably be a Starter most weeks, just not this past week.

RB: Leonard Fournette (TB) – 4.2 points

With so many RBs out with injuries, it’s difficult to find healthy productive RBs to put in your Starting lineup, never mind your Bench as well. That’s why a lot of Dynasty Owners with Leonard Fournette got excited about his 29.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy point effort in Week 2 and probably inserted him into their Starting lineup for Week 3. Makes sense to put in a guy you may have drafted early before he got released by Jacksonville or later in drafts after he was released and signed by Tampa Bay. Nice try, but it didn’t work out for Fournette owners this week as he scored just 4.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (15 rushing yards, 2 receptions, 7 receiving yards) and should have been left on your Dynasty Owner Bench.

WR: Julian Edelman (NE) – 4.2 points

What a difference a week makes – part 1. One week after setting a career best in receiving yards with 179 on 8 catches (25.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) against the Seattle Seahawks, Edelman had just 4.2 points (2 receptions, 23 receiving yards, -1 rushing yards).  It wasn’t for lack of trying as he was targeted 6 times by QB Cam Newton, the most of any New England WR. He’s still the #20 ranked WR in Dynasty Owner after this Bench-worthy performance. He should be good to put back into your Starting lineup as a WR or FLEX in Week 4 against the Kansas City Chiefs.

TE: Darren Waller (LV) – 2.9 points

What a difference a week makes – part 2. Waller was the #2 TE in Dynasty Owner after the first two weeks, but went out and scored just 2.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions, 9 receiving yards) in Week 3. He was headed for a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) until the final Raiders drive of the game when he caught those two passes. He’s still the #5 TE in Dynasty Owner after three weeks, so don’t go over-reacting and putting him on your Practice Squad just yet. It wasn’t his week against the Patriots, and he should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad, but maybe he’ll rebound against the Bills at home next week.

K: Harrison Butker (KC) – 1.0 points

Kansas City scored 5 TDs on Monday Night Football and Butker made 4 PAT attempts (4.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). However, he also missed one PAT (-1.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) as well as a 42-yard FG attempt (-2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) near the end of the first half. Just a week after scoring 17.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points which included 6 clutch scoring points, he put up just 1.0 points this week. Butker has the lowest ADP of all kickers (167.4) so if you drafted him and his $4.055 million annual salary that high, you probably have him in your Starting lineup every week. In hindsight, this was the week to Bench him.

Dynasty Owner Matchups of the Week Recap

The Human Fund had themselves another great week, putting up 195.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to win over the DC Dawgs by an impressive 88 points. The top Humans for the Human Fund this week were our Value Player of the Week Alvin Kamara (44.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), QB Dak Prescott who had 39.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and RB Nick Chubb who had 26.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Those three players had 109.9 points – enough to win the game by themselves. The Human Fund improves to 3-0 on the season, but were 195.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points enough to keep them at the top of the Chase for the Ring leaderboard?

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

It was not!  The Human Fund drops into second place in the Chase for the Ring as they were overtaken by All Might who jumped from second place into first place as behind 205.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 3. These two teams are dominating the Chase so far as the only two teams with more than 600 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (613.8 for All Might and 608.0 for The Human Fund) through three weeks of the 2020 season. They are both over 40 points clear of Keats McGee who occupies third place with 567.6 points.

Special shout-out to Entchev is Homeless who had 237.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 3 to jump into the Top 10 of the Chase for the Ring with 538.1 points and a 2-1 record. With over a thousand Dynasty Owners playing in leagues, it’s possible that someone had more points than Entchev this week. If that was you, then let everyone know by tweeting it and using the hashtag (#chaseforthering).

Conclusions

Many close games and clutch performances in Week 3 and hopefully there will be more in Week 4. After next week, we will be officially one-quarter of the way through the 2020 Dynasty Owner season (including playoffs that end in Week 16). It’s time to start piling up the victories and the points, including those clutch bonus points, if you want to win your Dynasty Owner league.

Please read the recap every Tuesday and the preview articles which come out on Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have at least one article every week from one of our other Dynasty Owner writers: Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) or Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl).

Hopefully, you didn’t miss the weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. If so, then head over to YouTube or one of the many other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker) that you can watch or listen to it. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner YouTube page as well. You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner is over 500 subscribers on YouTube and gaining more every week. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and make your way into the Top 25 in the Chase for the Ring standings.

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

2020 Rookie Check Up

Author: Chris Wolf (@CKWolf21)

As Dynasty players, we are obsessed with potential. We measure it in college performance, breakout age, workout measurables, draft stock and finally – usage. Let’s take a quick look at where some notable rookies have progressed from draft to training camp(ish) to actual gameday usage. Their stats through two weeks are listed below their names.

Joe Burrow – QB – CIN ($9.05M)

  • 509 Pass Yards
  • 3 TDs
  • 1 INT
  • 65 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD

Burrow has been running for his life behind a seemingly annual disappointment of an offensive line. A lesser rookie QB may have fared much worse with what he’s had to work with, but Burrow is an elite competitor. His pocket presence is miles ahead of where most rookies would be, and he has thus far proven that he has the ability to place the ball into tight windows of coverage.

His 97 attempts through two weeks is absolutely insane but their ground game’s ineptitude has led to Burrow putting the games on his back. He and A.J. Green look like they are worlds apart right now in the chemistry department, but he has shown a solid rapport with Tyler Boyd and his tight ends.

Justin Herbert – QB – LAC ($6.64M)

  • 311 Pass Yards
  • 1 TD
  • 1 INT
  • 18 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD

Herbert did not get into the game week 1 but we were able to get a glimpse of his talent this past Sunday. It was one of the strangest Sunday’s in recent memory so why not throw a rookie QB in against the reigning Super Bowl champs on a moment’s notice? The Chargers “leaned” on their impressive run game, but they did not shy away from calling the promising rookie’s number when they needed him.

His 33 pass attempts resulted in 22 completions, 1 passing score and an ill-advised INT that was thrown across his body. It was a solid debut for the big-armed rookie that hasn’t even taken reps with the first team offense.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire – RB – KC ($2.7M)

  • 176 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD
  • 6 Receptions
  • 32 Yards

CEH put on an absolute show on opening night against the Texans rushing 25 times for 138 yards and one TD. He usage shifted towards the receiving game in week two against the Chargers aggressive front. He saw 8 targets in week 2 compared to just 2 in week one. This was a likely mixture of Darrel Williams exiting the game and Mahomes playing mostly hurry-up in the second half. He will see better days on the ground but probably after next week when they clash with the Ravens.

Jonathan Taylor – RB – IND ($1.96M)

  • 123 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD
  • 8 Receptions
  • 76 Receiving Yards

Taylor was immediately put to test when Marlon Mack went down early in week one. He didn’t find much room to run against an underrated Jacksonville front seven, but he was able to secure all 6 of his targets for 67 yards. Week 2’s performance with 28 touches showed that he is the every down back that he was billed to be. He completely dominated the touches over Nyheim Hines (28-1) and he is locked into the RB1 situation for the rest of the season.

James Robinson – RB – JAX ($763K)

  • 164 Rush Yards
  • 1 TD
  • 4 Receptions
  • 46 Receiving Yards

Of course, we knew that at this point, James Robinson would have more rushing yards than Jonathan Taylor. With back to back games of exactly 16 carries each, Robinson has been given the workhorse role in this new look Jaguars offense. With 35 total touches through two weeks, he provides the usage you are looking for on your Dynasty Owner team to be a competent RB2 or Flex. The only true concern is game script going forward since the Jags figure to be playing catch up quite a bit in 2020.

J.K. Dobbins – RB – BAL ($1.4M)

  • 70 Rush Yards
  • 2 TDs
  • 1 Reception
  • 13 Receiving Yards

This one is a bit maddening. It would be scary if the Ravens unleashed Dobbins but this three headed monster that they have as a backfield rotation will truly limit his potential until he’s needed to take over a game. In week 1 he scored twice on seven touches. In week 2 he ran for 48 yards on only two carries and caught his only target for 13 yards. You can only hope that Baltimore is keeping their prized rookie fresh for the long haul but man, the possibilities in this offense.

Jerry Jeudy – WR- DEN ($3.79M)

  • 8 Receptions
  • 15 Targets
  • 118 Yards
  • 0 TDs

Jeudy has recorded 4 receptions in each of his first two games and has seen a team-high 15 targets. The targets should remain the same with Courtland Sutton now being out for the season. With Jeff Driskel stepping in for Drew Lock (shoulder), Jeudy’s usage did not take a hit. He and Noah Fant are destined to be the go-to recipients when the Broncos have to throw the ball. In this run-first offense, expectations should be tempered for Jeudy, but he is now the unquestioned WR1 on his team.

CeeDee Lamb – WR – DAL ($3.5M)

  • 11 Receptions
  • 15 Targets
  • 165 Yards
  • 0 TDs

Lamb looks like a true #1 receiver on a team that already has two #1 receivers. His physicality and body control are just ridiculous for someone at this stage of their professional career. His 9.7 yards after catch in week two demonstrates just how physical the former Oklahoma Sooner really is. He will maintain his role in the slot and his snaps are sure to keep increasing due to the loss of Blake Jarwin from week 1. You can safely play him as a solid flex option in this high-powered offense.

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Week 2 Recap: An Exciting, but Injury Filled Week

Author: Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

There was some exciting football in Week 2 of the NFL season. The crazy ending to the early Dallas-Atlanta game, the pair of FGs by Harrison Butker to tie the game then win it for Kansas City in the second set of games, followed by the goal line stand by Seattle to preserve a close victory over New England in the Sunday night game. There was even a late score in the Cleveland-Cincinnati game on Thursday night to make it a one possession game.

There were also a lot of injuries. A lot of injuries. Almost too many to keep track of and we aren’t even focusing on the defensive side of the ball here. The consensus top two RBs in Dynasty Owner – Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey got hurt and are out for the rest of the season and “multiple” weeks respectively. Denver had two key offensive players get injured as WR Courtland Sutton tore his ACL and is out for the rest of the 2020 season, while QB Drew Lock has a sprain shoulder and will be out at least a couple of weeks. Both had ADPs below 60 meaning they were drafted in the first five rounds on average. Not to mention Rams RB Cam Akers, 49ers RB Raheem Mostert, Colts WR Parris Campbell, Giants WR Sterling Shepard and Jets WR Breshard Perriman. All of those guys got hurt as well and will miss varying amounts of time.

This is our second regular season Dynasty Owner weekly recap article for 2020. Hopefully, it’ll be exciting and injury-free. Once again, we’ll name a Dynasty Owner Player of the Week and a Value Player of the Week, highlight a player at every position who should have been one of your Starters and one who should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad. We’ll also look at what happened in the Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week and take our weekly look at the Chase for the Ring standings.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points. For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of September 21st.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our second Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for 2020 is: Josh Allen

Two weeks and two QBs have been Player of the Week. That’s how it rolls in Dynasty Owner. This week, it’s Josh Allen who abused the Miami Dolphins defense for 50.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (417 passing yards, 4 passing TDs, 18 rushing yards). Allen completed passes to eight different players and four different guys caught TD passes. There were questions about his passing abilities, but he relied on them this week more than his legs. He had the fourth worst rushing performance of his career, but had more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than any single game in his career. Allen just inched out his first Player of the Week award over Dak Prescott who had 49.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and Aaron Jones, who had 47.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and had to settle for Value Player of the Week.

  • Week 2 Points: 50.7
  • 2020 Salary: $5,295,760
  • Cost per Point: $104,453

Congratulations Josh on winning the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor for the first time!

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The second Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week for 2020 is: Aaron Jones

For some players, a 47.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance would clearly be the best performance of their career. For Aaron Jones, it’s merely his best performance in 2020 as he had 51.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points back in Week 5 of the 2019 season. Jones had a pretty dominating performance this week with 3 touchdowns and a total of 236 yards on 22 touches for an average of 10.7 yards per touch. As mentioned previously, he had 47.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (168 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 4 receptions, 68 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). In a big scoring week, Jones almost had the biggest week and the most Dynasty Owner fantasy points. It wasn’t quite meant to be, but he was easily the best value and therefore, takes the award for Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week.

  • Week 2 Points: 47.6
  • 2020 Salary: $650,484
  • Cost per Point: $13,666

Congratulations Aaron on winning your first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor for the 2020 season and your third overall!

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been in one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 1. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Russell Wilson, Ezekiel Elliott, DeAndre Hopkins or Travis Kelce because all of them should always be in your Starting lineup. Instead, these are players who might be Free Agents or on your Bench or Practice Squad, but likely weren’t Starters in Week 2 when they should have been.

QB: Ryan Tannehill (TEN) – 37.2 points

Tannehill was the sixth best QB in Dynasty Owner this week with 37.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (239 passing yards, 4 passing TDs, 12 rushing yards) against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tannehill has played well in both of Tennessee’s games this year with no turnovers and 6 passing TDs. Despite his great end of the 2019 season and start of the 2020 season, Tannehill is only owned in 19% of Dynasty Owner leagues right now, because his $29.5 million salary makes him the 9th highest paid QB for the 2020 season. That matches his ranking as the 9th best QB in Dynasty Owner after the first two weeks of the season. Not sure how many Dynasty Owners can afford to add Tannehill to their team, but he’s playing well enough to be in the Starting lineup for those of you who already have him.

RB: James Robinson (JAX) – 23.0 points

Sure, he’s the starter in Jacksonville, but how many Dynasty Owners trusted James Robinson enough against the Titans defense to have him in their Starting lineup in Week 2? The undrafted rookie out of Illinois State had 23.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (102 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 3 receptions, 18 receiving yards) to rank as the 7th best RB for the week, behind some pretty solid early round Dynasty Owner draft picks (Aaron Jones, Alvin Kamara, Leonard Fournette, Nick Chubb, Christian McCaffrey and Kareem Hunt). Right now, he’s the #12 ranked RB in Dynasty Owner and with all of the RB injuries this past week, Robinson might find his way into the Starting lineup for more of his Dynasty Owners next week and beyond.

Honorable mention to Darrell Henderson. As the only Rams RB who wasn’t injured in Week 2, Henderson ended up carrying the load for his team and ended up with 20.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (81 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 2 receptions, 40 receiving yards). After the performance of Malcolm Brown in Week 1 in which Henderson only had 3 carries for 6 yards, not a lot of his Dynasty Owners likely had Henderson in their Starting lineup.

WR: Braxton Berrios (NYJ) – 17.9 points

Are you the Dynasty Owner with Berrios on your roster? He’s only owned in 1% of Dynasty Owner leagues, so that likely means only one of you actually owns him right now. Since it’s highly unlikely that Berrios was in the Starting lineup for that team, it’s safe to put Berrios on this list after his 17.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (6 receptions, 59 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). With Jamison Crowder out for the game and Breshard Perriman and Chris Hogan getting injured during it, Berrios was targeted 8 times (tied with Hogan for the team lead). With a low salary of just $644,602, he might be worth a flyer for any Dynasty Owners who have multiple injured WRs on their team. Since his salary is so low, adding him is advised, especially if Crowder misses any additional games.

Honorable mention to Keenan Cole of the Jacksonville Jaguars who had a TD reception for the second consecutive game. In Week 1, Cole had 15.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 47 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) which he promptly followed up with 17.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (6 receptions, 58 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). That makes him worthy of having been in your Starting lineup two weeks in a row and makes him the #17 WR in Dynasty Owner right now. Not bad for a guy who’s only owned in 13% of Dynasty Owner leagues. If you want to add him to your roster, it’s not a long term commitment as he is only signed to a one-year contract for $3.26 million.

TE: Jordan Reed (SF) – 24.0 points

There were several low-owned, low-salary TEs who took over in Week 2 for injured starters and performed extremely well. Dalton Schultz (owned in 36% of Dynasty Owner leagues; $728,090 salary) had 20.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (9 receptions, 88 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD, 1 fumble lost) in place of Blake Jarwin in Dallas. Mo Allie-Cox (owned in 21% of Dynasty Owner leagues; $660,000 salary) got 16.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions and 111 receiving yards) taking Jack Doyle’s starting TE spot in Indianapolis. Both of those were top 12 TE performances this week. However, neither one was as good as Jordan Reed (owned in 36% of Dynasty Owner leagues; $1.05 million salary) had for the San Francisco 49ers as the injury replacement for star TE George Kittle. Reed had 24.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (7 receptions, 50 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs) in the 49ers demolishing of the New York Jets. In a remarkably high-scoring week for TEs, both regular starters and injury replacements, Reed stood out just a little bit more than his fellow low-owned, low-salary TEs and should have been in your Starting lineup.

K: Randy Bullock (CIN) – 11.0 points

If you missed Thursday Night Football, forgot about it after Sunday’s games or just don’t like kickers and refuse to pay attention to them, you may have missed that Randy Bullock of the Bengals made all six of his kick attempts (3 PATs and 3 FGs) this week. None of the FGs were very long (27, 38 and 43 yards) but those points add up to 11.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That made him one of the top kickers in Week 2 and someone who should have been in the Starting lineup for his Dynasty Owners. He is under-owned as he’s only rostered in 59% of Dynasty Owner leagues despite a salary that ranks only 18 overall among kickers according to Spotrac (https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/average/kicker/#). Bullock didn’t have the most kicker points this week, that would have been Harrison Butker who got 17.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points because of the two 3-point clutch scoring bonuses. However, everyone who has Butker on their roster likely had him in their Starting lineup. That’s not the case for Bullock, even though he also would have been useful in your Starting lineup this week.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been one of your Starters but wasn’t, we have some players who probably were Starters, but were better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad in Week 2.

QB: Daniel Jones (NYG) – 8.2 points

A young quarterback struggles against the Chicago Bears defense. That hasn’t happened every year for the past couple of decades has it.  This week, it was Daniel Jones of the Giants who had a week to forget with only 8.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (241 passing yards, 21 rushing yards, 1 INT, 1 fumble lost). Not what his Dynasty Owners expected from a guy they drafted on average at the end of the fourth round (ADP 44.2). The injury to star RB Saquon Barkley didn’t help Jones at all and it might get tougher for him without Barkley and the running game to lean on. If you drafted Jones early in your Dynasty Owner draft, hopefully you picked up another starting QB because Jones should probably be riding the Bench most weeks this season.

RB: Sony Michel (NE) – 1.9 points

When James White was declared inactive prior to the Patriots game on Sunday night versus the Seahawks, Dynasty Owners with Sony Michel in their Starting lineup probably though Michel was in for some heavy usage and a better than average fantasy game. They were wrong. As usual, it’s nearly impossible to trust a New England RB for fantasy purposes because you never know what Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels are going to do on a game-by-game basis. Without White, Michel had just 7 carries for 19 yards (1.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and was only targeted once passing. In contrast, fellow New England RB Rex Burkhead had 10 touches (6 carries and 4 receptions), or three more than Michel. Michel now has fewer Dynasty Owner fantasy points on the season than Burkhead as well (12.1 for Burkhead vs. 11.6 for Michel). Michel probably shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup too much this season.

WR: Anthony Miller (CHI) and Will Fuller (HOU) – 0.0 points

While nobody of note who played in Week 1 had the dreaded Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), we had two likely Starting WRs who pulled off the feat in Week 2. Both Anthony Miller and Will Fuller who had 20.6 and 19.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points respectively in Week 1 failed to catch a pass in Week 2, while Fuller even had a rushing attempt but for zero yards. After Top 20 WR performance in Week 1, which made both of them players who should have been in your Starting lineup, they both did nothing in Week 2 and should have been on your Practice Squad.

TE: Rob Gronkowski (TB) – 0.0 points

Many people felt that Gronk was due for a big game after being held to just 3.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 versus New Orleans. Especially since Chris Godwin was out with a concussion. However, QB Tom Brady only targeted Gronk once all game and Gronk ended up with the dreaded Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). That’s not what Dynasty Owners were expecting to get for $9 million in salary (tied for 4th highest with Kyle Rudolph, who coincidentally had the same stat line as Gronk with 1 target for zero receptions). Gronk should have been on your Bench in Week 1 and Practice Squad in Week 2.

K: Matt Prater (DET) – 1.0 points

Prater had the lowest number of Dynasty Owner fantasy points of all kickers in Week 2 with 1.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points as he made all 3 of his PAT attempts but missed a 57-yard FG attempt at the end of the first half. There weren’t any huge easy missed kicks this week so even those kickers who missed a PAT or long FG this week are unlikely to be cut, but Prater probably should have been on your Dynasty Owner Bench or Practice Squad this week.

Dynasty Owner Matchups of the Week Recap

The Champ has been defeated again! This time it was Yorkshire Roses who improved their record to 2-0 with the 145.4-132.5 come from behind victory. Darren Waller outscored Emmanuel Sanders 28.3 to 2.8 on Monday Night Football to fuel the comeback for the Roses. Yorkshire Roses improve to 2-0 heading into a Week 3 clash against the only other team to beat New York’s Strongest, VIP Club Dub. New York’s Strongest falls to 0-2 and looks to rebound against yours truly in Week 3. Both of us will be without our first round draft pick RBs (Barkley for New York’s Strongest and McCaffrey for me). Don’t worry, it won’t be the Matchup of the Week.

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

We have a new leader at the top of the Chase for the Ring leaderboard after two weeks. Congratulations are in order for The Human Fund who scored 232.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 2. Combined with the 180.9 points from Week 1 which were good enough to put them in the Top 25, The Human Fund sits on top of the Leaderboard with 412.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Close behind in second place are All Might who scored 233.4 points this week.

Special shout-out to the guy who beat me for my Dynasty Owner league title last year, Tom Hamblett – Teddy MF’in Ruxpin, who sits in 7th place right now. Happy that I’m not in his league, or any of the leagues of the teams in the Top 10 this year.

Conclusions

That’s all for Week 2. No injuries occurred during the writing of this article. Let’s hope that Week 3 brings just as much exciting football and close games, but far fewer season-ending injuries.

Please read the recap every Tuesday and the preview articles which come out on Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have an article every Wednesday from one of our other Dynasty Owner writers: Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) or Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl). Follow all four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

Hopefully, you didn’t miss the weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. If so, then head over to YouTube or one of the many other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker) that you can watch or listen to it. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner YouTube page as well. You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner is over 500 subscribers on YouTube and gaining more every week. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league, overtake The Human Fund in the Chase for the Ring standings and join Eddie as a Chase for the Ring winner!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Don’t Tilt After One Week

Author: Matt “TheJerk” Morrison

Hey y’all. TheJerk here again.  Hope you had a great weekend watching what we’ve all missed for seven months. Today I’m going to go through all 32 teams and talk about one player’s performance on each team that shouldn’t cause you to overreact.

Chiefs

This season picked up right in the same place the Chiefs left off last season…dominating good football teams. A lot of fantasy (and real football) implications came from this game, but I would argue that none was bigger than Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s (CEH) debut performance. His night began modestly with back-to-back rushes to the left side, each for three yards. On the next drive, he took a one-yard rush to the right side.  So here we are, nearly a full quarter into the game and CEH has three carries for seven yards with zero targets. 

Were CEH owners concerned?  Probably some. Was Twitter concerned? Very. Was I concerned? Minimally, and the reason is SAMPLE SIZE.

Would I have liked to see CEH rip off the first carry of his career for a 65-yard touchdown? Of course, but I think seasoned dynasty players realize (that while possible) it is not likely. Would it have been nice to see a well-organized screen (the prettiest play in football) develop to CEH? Again, of course it would, but the early game script didn’t call for it. Well as most of you reading this know, those three lackluster plays are where CEH’s lack of success ended. On his fourth carry he broke away up the middle for an 18-yard run. I’m not going to recite the entire play-by-play of his night, but he was very effective from here on out. Continuously picking up 8-12-yard chunks. In total, he ended the game with 25 carries for 138 yards with one sensational 27-yard touchdown run. (I would have liked to see at least one of his goal line carries taken in, but Houston’s defense stepped up inside the five).

So why was I so long winded in laying out that for you? I did it to show how quickly people can tilt or overreact from a small sample of plays.  I literally read comments where people were saying that CEH is a bust and anyone that drafted him in the first or second round was wrong to do that. Now I’m sure some of these people don’t really believe what they’re saying and are trying to get others riled up, but that’s my point. Don’t listen to it. Don’t listen to the tilting when you know how small a sample it that is being analyzed. In the same way, don’t listen to the single game over hype that CEH is getting. The hype where people are proclaiming, he’s already heading to the HOF. That he’s a lock to win both the Rookie of the Year and MVP. This is what I say…

He had a great game.  No doubt about it. His vision to find lanes were top level in my opinion.  His cutting and agility were also top level. In summation, he’s showing us skills that we saw him show in college.  What I am more impressed with (and it’s something that he can’t even control) is his usage.  25 carries for a rookie back in his first game on a top three offence. That is valuable.  Zero targets are disappointing for sure, but those will come. My bottom line is this…had CEH come out and put up a line of 19 carries for 65 yards and no receptions, my opinion of him wouldn’t change much. I wouldn’t be declaring him a bust or be looking to trade him.  Seasons take time to build steam especially in this zero-game preseason. Don’t tilt based on one bad performance. Don’t tilt based on one good performance. There are things that you should tilt on, and I’ll discuss those at the end. For now, let’s go through every NFL team and I’ll give you one player performance from each team that you shouldn’t cause you to overreact. 

Texans

There were two players I was anxious to watch during this Thursday night game. I’ve already spent a great amount of time talking about the first and the second is David Johnson. DJ (having been traded for DeAndre Hopkins and carrying a 13-million-dollar salary) was under the microscope Week 1. Can he prove this trade was worth it for the Texans? Can he still produce at 28 years old? Can he produce one year removed from a season in which he looked run down?

He had many questions to answer and to be honest, this one game doesn’t answer any of them.  He had a good game.  He ran hard and he looked like he did three years ago.  He finished with 11 rushes for 77 yards and one touchdown including three receptions for 32 yards.  A solid game and one to be proud of, but I wouldn’t go out and sell my future for him.  Chances are the DJ owner will be looking for a large haul following this good game, but with a 13-million-dollar price tag I wouldn’t be a buyer.  Again, I think DJ should have a fine, high floor year, but the price to acquire him, given his salary, is most likely going to be too high.

Bills

Please, please don’t freak out about Devin Singletary.  I know the box score doesn’t look great.  I know what the big concern is, and I’m a little concerned too, but roll with him for a while before you give up.  Mr. Singletary posted nine rushes for 30 yards with five receptions for 23 yards and no touchdowns. Zack Moss is the obvious elephant in the room. They both ended with disappointing, but not disastrous fantasy results. The fact is this…Buffalo is going to be using a committee for their backfield. Both Singletary and Moss are above average players and, to be honest, they should both be used. This isn’t what Singletary owners want to hear (especially when you drafted him in the late second or early third). Here is some optimism…Singletary costs less than one million. Singletary is still going to be used in the passing game. Five receptions this week is behind only Hines (8), Carson (6) and Taylor (6). So yes, I think you’ve lost value on Singletary since the draft, but the answer is not to “tilt trade” him. Hang on for a while. Don’t let one game cloud your decisions.

Jets

Sam Darnold had a poor performance on Sunday.  He salvaged his day by completing a 69-yard touchdown to Jamison Crowder. A play, by the way, that was caught behind the line of scrimmage and involved two and a half-missed tackles. At any rate, Darnold completed a disappointing 21 of 34 passes. His final stat line was 215 yards with one touchdown and one INT. Not the worst performance, but not great either. There will be brighter days ahead for Darnold. Plus, with his salary being in the bottom half of all starting QB’s, he is still a value.  Let’s just hope the current coaching regime in NY doesn’t start to cause regression for him.

Dolphins

Miami played New England close for the entire game and while Mike Gesicki had a crucial 18-yard reception during their only touchdown drive, he was otherwise mostly silent. Three receptions for 30 yards is a disappointing stat line for a player of Gesicki’s athleticism.  I am unconcerned. There are not many quality receiving options in Miami, and I believe the 24-year-old TE will become more involved, especially with the news that DeVante Parker aggravated his hamstring.

Patriots

Cam Newton had a great game. Cam did something in one game that Tom Brady didn’t do in the last two seasons combined. That is, he rushed for 75 yards. Cam threw for 155 yards with 75 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns. A great fantasy performance and one that any owner is happy with.  My problem with Cam is not going to be performance. He will have a good season if he stays healthy. My issue is his value in Dynasty Owner format. Cam is getting paid almost nothing this year. If you want to own him and make a run for the championship now, I have no issue with it. (You may not find a better value at QB) Next year however, and the years to come are concerning.  If he puts up similar numbers throughout the entire season, he will get paid in 2021 and it will be north of 30 million.  In my eyes, I am not willing to sacrifice what it will take to acquire him, just to lose much of that value next year.

Example:

  • Team A Receives: Cam Newton
  • Team B Receives: Joshua Kelley, TJ Hockenson, 2021 2nd

I understand this trade is hard to consider in a vacuum without any team needs specified, but value wise, I would rather have Team B’s side. This is a reasonable trade that could very easily be offered and accepted. Bottom line: If you have Cam, congrats and sell high if possible. If you don’t have Cam, don’t sell your future for him.

Ravens

There’s no Raven’s player that I think is in danger of overreaction.  Maybe the closest player I can see would be J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins was involved but ended up having a good fantasy day because he converted two carries inside the five-yard line into touchdowns. This was notoriously Mark Ingram’s territory, so it is worth monitoring in the weeks to come.

Browns

I’m unconcerned about Nick Chubb.  He only rushed for 60 yards.  He was out touched by Hunt, and he lost a fumble.  All things considered; I chalk it up mostly to the Raven’s defense.  There will be better fantasy finishes ahead for the top three running back in terms of talent.

***Spoiler Alert***

Chubb’s QB is someone I have long term concerns for, and I’ll get to that later.

Jaguars

The Jags shocked me. It’s not necessarily that they beat the Colts. (I’ve been saying all offseason that Jacksonville will not be the worst team in the NFL) It was more about how they won. Every carry by a running back was taken by James Robinson. 16 carries for 62 yards to be exact. That stat line gave him the record for most rushing yards by an undrafted free agent in their debut game.  But this anti overreaction is not about Robinson. It’s about Chris Thompson.  Chris Thompson had zero rushes and only two receptions for 6 yards. How is that possible?  Thompson was sure to be the beneficiary of additional work after the departure of Leonard Fournette. I’ll be honest, the lack of usage is puzzling for me, but for now I’ll say that game script is the reason. The Jags did not need many passes to win this game as Gardner only attempted 20. Thompson is an above average receiving back and should be worked into the scheme more in the future especially as Jacksonville trails games throughout the season. Don’t give up on him yet.

Colts

I’m not in danger of overreacting about anyone from the Colts. Rivers is what we thought he would be…a high volume, sometimes very inaccurate gunslinger. Campbell and Hilton will go back and forth as the number one receiver on the team throughout the year. Neither of their stat lines surprised me. I would say the most surprising development for the Colts is the fact that the “one-two punch” we heard about from Frank Reich was not Mack and Taylor, but instead was Hines and Mack. That point is, however, moot with the season injuring Achilles tendon injury to Mack. Look for Taylor and Hines to shoulder the backfield.

Football Team

Don’t tilt over Antonio Gibson. Gibson put up nine rushes for 36 yards, and he added two receptions for eight yards. He is a rookie who was playing in his first game. In the same way that we shouldn’t have called CEH a bust if he had a poor performance on Thursday, we shouldn’t call Gibson a bust or move his value down at all. Give him time to develop and don’t shop him around for cheap. In fact, buy him low if his owner is panicking.

Eagles

Zach Ertz had a fine game. It wasn’t spectacular. It may not have been what you wanted, but it was serviceable.  Most importantly, it didn’t lose you the week. Just don’t look at Goedert’s box score or game film. Don’t do it…Well, if you own Ertz then you probably already know. While Ertz went for 3/18/1, Goedert went for 8/101/1. Pretty rough right? I say no. Sure; I agree that it would have been nice if Ertz would have received all of that work, but it’s not what’s happening in Philly. They have two above average tight ends and they use both of them. This just happens to be a week that was skewed in favor of Goedert. Don’t panic. Ertz had a good game and will continue to have good games. Stick with him.

Bears

Allen Robinson didn’t receive the volume he was expected to receive, or did he? Five receptions for 74 yards and no touchdowns. A solid outing. Nothing special. Robinson, however, did have nine targets. The volume was there, but the early season connection was off.  I have no concerns.

Lions

AP had a great game, but I don’t expect it to continue.  Peterson shouldn’t be dropped and deserves to be rostered in all leagues, but don’t get too attached to him.  I expect Swift to be the best running back on the team and take over lead duties eventually.  I have AP as a solid bench RB until then though.

Packers

Aaron Rodgers is owned in only one third of Dynasty Owner leagues.  That’s no surprise.  He added no offensive weapons in the offseason and his contract is 33.5 million for 4 years. (Quite a commitment). For those reasons, I don’t anticipate a big increase in ownership after Week 1.  Rodgers went 32/44 for 364 yards and four touchdowns. He will not have to pass the ball 44 times a game very often and there will no doubt be more of a focus on the ground game in the future. If you own him, congrats on being able to afford his contract and continue to start him. If you don’t own him, don’t rush to the wire to add him.

Vikings

The arguments I made against picking up Aaron Rodgers can also be applied to Kirk Cousins.  Cousins had a great game. (259/2/1) He also added an unexpected 34 yards rushing.  Both of his touchdowns came in the fourth quarter and one was in garbage time. Cousins costs 33 million for three years and is owned in zero Dynasty Owner leagues. It should stay that way.  The long-term commitment is not worth the occasional big games. Don’t be tempted.

Seahawks

Looks like we’re on a QB run here with the third in a row. Russell Wilson had a phenomenal game. This was quite possibly the best game Russell has ever played. He threw 35 times, completing 31 for 322/4/0. He had the same number of touchdowns as he did incompletions. Of those four incompletions, two were blatant drops by DK Metcalf, one was tipped as he threw and one was a poor pass. Russell made a single mistake…Amazing. Regardless, Russ is owned in 100% of leagues as he should be. The price to acquire him after Week 1 would be astronomical in terms of trade and salary commitment. For that reason, I predict Russell will be in the bottom 20% of players that are traded this year. If you own him, you don’t want to trade him. If you don’t have him, you probably don’t have enough (assets or cap space) to acquire him.

Falcons

Where do I begin here? Who do I talk about? How about Matt Ryan attempting 54 passes for 450 yards? How about the fact that three wideouts each had 12 targets, nine receptions and over 110 yards? I’m not a statistician, but I can guarantee you that has never happened in NFL history.

Nope, I’m going to talk about a tight end I was targeting in my DO drafts. Hayden Hurst. Hurst had a subpar game. Three receptions for 30 yards. The majority of the targets went to the aforementioned receivers. The usage will increase. I would tell you to stick with him, but with the scarcity at TE, you may not have any other options.

Raiders

Don’t panic on the Raider’s rookie receivers. (Edwards and Ruggs) Ruggs actually had a fine day by the box score, but he wasn’t involved much.  Edwards’ day was disappointing.  They will both get worked in slowly and will make more of an impact in the future. Store them both.

Panthers

DJ Moore will be fine.  He had a disappointing game, but those will happen. (4 for 54) Moore had a very healthy nine targets, but the in-game connection between him and Teddy was not apparent yet. Stay calm, it’s only one week.

Chargers

I think it’s clear (even from one game) that Austin Ekeler will not be the workhorse back for the Chargers. I’m not sure I expected him to be, but I am surprised by the carries and efficiency of Joshua Kelley. Kelley (12 for 60) scored the Chargers only touchdown. Most surprising is the fact that Ekeler only had one reception on one target. Game script was to blame, and it also seemed like the Chargers struggled at getting their passing game going. Ekeler will rebound.

Bengals

I’m not concerned about Joe Mixon’s poor performance on Sunday. (19 for 69 with one reception) Continue playing him with confidence.

Cardinals

Not much to overreact to here. Kyler was superb as expected. Drake had a solid game.  Hopkins is the man and the number one receiver like we knew he would be. The Cardinals beat a good team, and I look for that trend to continue.

49ers

I’m going to change the rules when it comes to the 49ers. I’m going to overreact…I missed the boat on Raheem Mostert. I respected the talent, but I wasn’t sure the efficiency and lack of volume would continue to provide high end fantasy performances. Mostert was the best-looking player for San Fran on Sunday. He was the most explosive player and received the most volume. Mostert will return value for where he was drafted this year especially given his current contract. (2.9 million) I’m second guessing my rank after one game. I would advocate attempting to trade for him if you can get away without overpaying.

Saints

It was brutal to watch, but I have zero concern about Michael Thomas this year. You should have none either.

Buccaneers

I was worried about Mike Evans coming into Sunday. I thought there was a good chance he wasn’t going to play and an even better chance he would be ineffective if he did. His hamstring strain was worth monitoring and plugging in a safer (earlier game) player would have been the smart move. Evans was also going to be opposed by Marshon Lattimore. Well, it didn’t seem like the hamstring inhibited Evans’ production. Marshon Lattimore, however, did inhibit him.  Evans was lined up against Lattimore 29 times in which he caught zero passes on two targets.  Evans did, partially, bail out Dynasty Owners with a two-yard touchdown reception. (His only reception of the game) Evans will look towards Week 2 with better and more opportunities.

Rams

Don’t fret over Cam Akers’ disappointing game. He is a rookie playing in his first game (notice the theme). Yes, he was very inefficient with 14 carries for 39 yards. Malcolm Brown looked good and will, no doubt, take the majority of the carries until he shows a drop-in production.  Hold onto Cam and start him on your bench for now.

Cowboys

Don’t put too much stock into Amari Cooper’s volume on Sunday night (14 targets for ten receptions) While I expect Cooper to be the #1 for the Cowboys year long, I don’t expect him to be the runaway #1. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Dallas and those mouths have a ton of talent. (Elliot, Cooper, Lamb, Gallup) Again, continue starting Cooper, but don’t expect ten reception nights every week.

Steelers

James Conner hurt a lot of Owners Monday night.  He hurt my All-Star League team. He hurt himself, but I believe the team when they say they don’t expect him to miss time. I’d be looking to buy on Conner if his Owner is panicking. But if you are his owner, you know better. We don’t sell low. Hang onto him and monitor his ankle in the coming weeks.

Giants

The Giants’ offensive line looked abysmal. They were getting “blown up” nearly every drop back and the rushing attempts were not any better. Saquon Barkley was held to six rushing yards on 15 carries. He also added six receptions for 60 yards which held his fantasy week (somewhat) intact. The O-line’s issues are concerning, but it’s not worth panicking over. Stand firm and start your stud.

Titans

Corey Davis had the big volume game that his Owners have been waiting for. He totaled seven receptions. This is only the second time in his career he’s had seven or more receptions and it’s something he didn’t do at all last year. Davis is owned in 74% of Dynasty Owner leagues as his yearly salary is 6.3 million. If you don’t own him, I wouldn’t be rushing out to pick him up. 

Broncos

Everything looked right on par for me as far as the Broncos go. Nearly every player received the amount of work I thought they would. I would say the most surprising outcome was Noah Fant (having five receptions for 81 yards and a touchdown). I believe the breakout is starting.  If you drafted Fant, congratulations. I think he will be well involved in the offense moving forward.  It remains to be seen how much of his volume will drop off when Cortland Sutton returns from injury. 

“So”, you’re asking yourself, “it sounds like you aren’t overreacting about any player.  Why didn’t you just write, ‘I have zero concerns about any player’”. Just because I am not overreacting, or tilting, that does not mean that I don’t have concerns. Here is a non-comprehensive list of a few players I am closely monitoring and am putting a high-risk label on…

  • Brandon Cooks (salary mixed with lack of recent production)
  • Ryan Fitzpatrick (poor play, possibility of being replaced)
  • Le’Veon Bell (usage, poor play, current injury, salary, apparent unrest with Adam Gase)
  • Mark Ingram (lack of usage, lack of usage around the goaline)
  • Baker Mayfield (inaccuracies continuing from last season, lack of connection with OBJ)

Once again, I’m not writing these players off as it was only one game.  However, most of them have lingering concerns from the previous year that hopefully won’t turn into trends. 

If you couldn’t tell after reading my 32 team write up, then I’ll tell you now. I am a patient man. 

I prefer to watch seasons develop and obtain as much information about a player or team that I can before making a regrettable, impulsive decision. I think that is a good quality to have in a fantasy owner, and even more so in a Dynasty Owner. Dynasty Owner is focused on building a team (a dynasty) for a lifetime. This single week is very minor in terms of your entire career at DO. Be patient, and don’t make a team altering decision based off of 60 minutes.  Let the season come to you and enjoy it.

Thanks for reading and I’ll see you all next time. Cheers!

Week 1 Recap: In the Books

Author: Steven Van Tassel (@SteveVT33)

Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season is in the books. Some people thought that it might not happen, but it did and for many people, it was spectacular. For others, it wasn’t so good, but they should be happy that football is back after months of uncertainty. For every 1-0 Dynasty Owner who’s crowing to his or her Twitter followers, friends, and league mates, there’s a Dynasty Owner sitting there with an 0-1 record and checking out their opponent’s team for Week 2.

This is our first regular season Dynasty Owner weekly recap article for 2020. For everyone back from the beta season, you know the drill. For everyone who is new or just didn’t read these recap articles last year, here’s what happens. We’ll name a Dynasty Owner Player of the Week and a Value Player of the Week, highlight a player at every position who should have been one of your Starters and one who should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad. We’ll also look at what happened in the Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. Finally, we debut a new feature with a weekly look at the Chase for the Ring standings.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points. For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of September 14th.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our first Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for 2020 is: Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers had himself quite a game on the road against a division foe in the Minnesota Vikings. Hopefully, you didn’t pay attention to any so-called analysts who suggested that you Bench Rodgers this week based on his 2019 performances against Minnesota. Last year, he was not very good in two starts against the Vikings (19.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 2 and 9.5 points in Week 16), but this year was a different story. Rodgers accumulated a Dynasty Owner leading 43.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (364 passing yards, 4 passing TDs plus 2 rushing yards). All of that adds up to the second Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor of his career.

Week 1 Points: 43.4

2020 Salary: $33,500,000

Cost per Point: $771,889

Congratulations Aaron on being the first Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for the 2020 season!

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week for 2020 is: Nyheim Hines

All off-season, the talk about the Indianapolis backfield centered on when Jonathan Taylor would overtake Marlon Mack as the lead RB. However, on the first drive of the season, Nyheim Hines was in the backfield on first and 10 from the Jacksonville 12 yard line and took the ball into the end zone for a TD. Hines ended up catching an 8 yard pass from Philip Rivers in the second quarter for another TD. Marlon Mack got hurt and Hines ended up as the leading rusher for the Colts with 28 yards on 7 carries. Overall, Hines had quite the day with 27.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (28 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 8 receptions, 45 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD, 24 return yards). That performance combined with his $796,137 salary was a good enough combination to make Hines the Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week.

Week 1 Points: 27.9

2020 Salary: $796,137

Cost per Point: $28,535

Congratulations Nyheim on winning the first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor for the 2020 season!

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been in one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 1. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Lamar Jackson, Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas or Travis Kelce because each one of them was the #1 player in Dynasty Owner at their respective position in 2019 and should always be a Starter. Instead, these are players who might be Free Agents or on your Bench or Practice Squad, but likely weren’t Starters in Week 1 when they should have been.

QB: Mitchell Trubisky (CHI) – 34.7 points

Even though he is rostered in a remarkably high 94% of Dynasty Owner leagues, I’ll venture to say that he wasn’t in the Starting lineup for a lot of those Dynasty Owners. And after three quarters, this seemed like the smart decision as Trubisky had just 153 passing yards and zero TDs. However, he threw for 89 yards and 3 TDs in the fourth quarter to lead the Bears to a 27-23 comeback victory over the Detroit Lions. All combined Trubisky had 34.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (242 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 26 rushing yards, 1 fumble). Out of those 34.7 points, 25.45 of them came in the fourth quarter, including the 3 point clutch scoring bonus that he got for the 27 yard TD pass to Anthony Miller with 1:54 left in the game.

RB: Malcolm Brown (LAR) – 26.0 points

With Coach Sean McVay talking about a three-back rotation as late as last Tuesday, Dynasty Owners with Malcolm Brown on their roster can be forgiven for not having him in their lineup as a Starter for Week 1. How were they to know that Brown would finish the Sunday Night Football game against the Dallas Cowboys with 26.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (79 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 3 receptions, 31 receiving yards)? Brown was a Top 5 RB this week and finished with more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than consensus first round draft picks like Alvin Kamara and Clyde Edwards-Helaire, both of whom had excellent games as well. Brown is 40% of the way to his 2019 Dynasty Owner fantasy points total of 65.1. Beware of reading too much into this performance, since Brown had 17.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in last year’s season opener, then just 47.8 points for the rest of the season.

WR: Robby Anderson (CAR) – 25.5 points

For this week, Anderson was the Carolina WR to own as he turned eight targets into 25.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6 receptions, 115 yards receiving, 1 receiving TD and 1 2-pt conversion). He had the same number of targets as Curtis Samuel and only one fewer than DJ Moore, but turned his targets into more receptions than either Samuel (5) or Moore (4). Most of his points came on a single play, the 75-yard TD reception in the fourth quarter, but that’s ok with the 53% of Dynasty Owners who have Anderson on their roster. With an ADP of 227.4, he was a late round, depth WR pick-up for most of his Dynasty Owners, most of whom probably kept him riding the Bench or even worse, sitting on the Practice Squad and not earning any points for his great performance.

TE: David Njoku (CLE) – 14.0 points

Even though he’s rostered in 92% of Dynasty Owner leagues, it’s doubtful that too many of those Dynasty Owners had faith that Njoku would outscore the likes of George Kittle, Darren Waller and Hunter Henry this week. Njoku also had one more target than his teammate Austin Hooper (3 targets vs. 2 for Hooper). Njoku had 14.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (3 receptions, 50 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) before spraining his MCL and having to go on Injured Reserve for at least three games.

Honorable mention to Logan Thomas of the Washington Football Team. Despite being named the starting TE for Washington, only 29% of Dynasty Owners took a chance on Thomas and his $3,072,500 salary for 2020. Thomas ended up as a TE1 for Week 1 with 13.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions, 37 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). He could be a top Free Agent Auction pickup on Wednesday with those stats if Dynasty Owners have more than $3 million in salary cap room or plans to release some underperforming injured player after Week 1.

K: Mason Crosby (GB) – 11.0 points Due to his $4.3 million annual salary and the fact that he only achieved double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points twice in 2019, Crosby is only owned in a remarkably low 21% of Dynasty Owner leagues. Dynasty Owners missed out on a chance for 11.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points from Crosby who kicked 5 PATs and made FGs of 31 and 43 yards in the Packers 43-34 victory over the Minnesota Vikings. He may get picked up in a few leagues by Dynasty Owners who have some salary cap room and had Austin Seibert on their roster since Seibert was released by Cleveland on Monday.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been one of your Starters but wasn’t, we have some players who probably were Starters, but were better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad in Week 1.

QB: Carson Wentz (PHI) – 15.7 points

For the most part, the top QBs had pretty good weeks. The guys who did the worst are highly owned, but likely not in many Dynasty Owner Starting lineup, such as Ryan Fitzpatrick (3.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) or Tyrod Taylor (11.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), or low ownership players like Jared Goff (16% ownership; 12.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Therefore, Carson Wentz gets the nod here based on his 15.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (270 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 2 rushing yards, 2 INT, 2 fumbles – 1 lost). Many of the Dynasty Owners with Wentz on their roster (79% ownership) may have started him against the Football Team and that decision didn’t pay off.

RB: Joe Mixon (CIN) – 5.1 points

That’s a bad week for the late first round, early second round draft pick (15.6 ADP). Mixon had plenty of touches (20), but not a lot of production with just 5.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (69 rushing yards, 1 reception, 2 receiving yards, 1 fumble lost).

Dishonorable Mention to Le’Veon Bell. Usually I try to exclude guys who get injured from this list, but Bell wasn’t doing much of anything for his Dynasty Owners before he got hurt in Week 1. He had only 6.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (14 rushing yards, 2 receptions, 32 receiving yards). Bell’s Dynasty Owners might be missing him for a couple of weeks due to a hamstring injury, and a few might even look to use their Amnesty Provision to get out from under his hefty contract ($13.125 million for three more years).

WR: Mecole Hardman (KC) – 2.1 points

Nobody of note who played in Week 1 had the dreaded Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), but Mecole Hardman came pretty close on Thursday night with only 2.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (1 reception, 6 receiving yards, 20 return yards). That’s not good for a guy who was likely drafted in the first ten rounds (ADP 114.4) of your draft. Don’t be surprised by this performance, he had five games in 2019 with fewer Dynasty Owner fantasy points, including a couple in which he only got any points because of his role in the return game.

TE: Evan Engram (NYG) – 2.9 points

Only 2.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions, 9 receiving yards) is definitely a disappointment from Engram. Engram is definitely a top second tier Dynasty Owner TE behind Travis Kelce, George Kittle and Mark Andrews, but he didn’t perform like one. It was for lack of trying to get him the ball by QB Daniel Jones who targeted Engram seven times in the Giants 26-16 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. All combined Giants TEs had just 8.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 39 receiving yards) – a sign that starting your TE against the Pittsburgh defense might be a bad idea this year.

K: Greg Zuerlein (DAL) – 2.0 points

This dishonor goes to Greg the Leg even though other kickers had fewer points and more misses (sorry to call you out Austin Seibert, but you did miss both of your kicks for Cleveland on Sunday and your job on Monday, and Stephen Gostkowski who finished with -1.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points after missing 3 FGs on Monday night). However, neither of those guys were the fourth kicker being drafted, on average, in Dynasty Owner. Zuerlein was and scored just 2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points as he made both PAT attempts and a 33 yard FG, but missed a 53 yard FG attempt.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week Recap

The Champ has been defeated! Anthony Huether and his VIP Club Dub team becomes the first Dynasty Owner to defeat Eddie Driscoll and New York’s Strongest.  VIP Club Dub jumped out to an early 84.7-15.6 lead on Thursday night behind Patrick Mahomes, David Johnson, Will Fuller and Travis Kelce and never looked back. Congratulations to Anthony for this historic victory and to Eddie on winning the Ring last year – you’re still the gold standard in Dynasty Owner and nobody can take that away from you.

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

Here it is – the first weekly 2020 Chase for the Ring leaderboard.  We have a clear leader at the top, the only team to score more than 200 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 1 with 235.3 points. Congratulations to The Swamp Donkeys!

Not surprisingly, VIP Club Dub had both the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week in Aaron Rodgers and his teammate Davante Adams, who had 41.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points himself this week. They also had Calvin Ridley (33.9 points), Christian McCaffrey (28.4 points), Chris Carson (24.6 points), Mark Andrews (22.8 points) and Robert Woods (17.9 points) in their Starting lineup. However, the Swamp Donkeys did not get the 3 point Coaches bonus as they left Raheem Mostert and his 25.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points on their Bench.

Conclusions

That’s all for Week 1. It’s on to Week 2 or as Bill Belichick would say “On to Cincinnati.”

Please read the recap every Tuesday and the preview articles which come out on Friday throughout the Dynasty Owner season. We will also have articles from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21), Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) and Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl) during the season as well. Follow all four of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter.

Hopefully, you didn’t miss the weekly Tuesday Live YouTube podcast with the creator of Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owner O.G. Paul Gabrail, Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and Seth Kerechanin, the voice of Dynasty Owner. If so, then head over to YouTube or one of the many other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker) that you can watch or listen to it.

The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue with weekly videos that will be posted on the Dynasty Owner YouTube page as well. You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Tune in to learn more about Dynasty Owner, see how our predictions did and help you set your weekly lineup. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner just passed 500 subscribers on YouTube and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league, overtake the Swamp Donkeys in the Chase for the Ring standings and join Eddie as a Chase for the Ring winner!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Ten Experts (plus Tim and Myself) Draft Their Dynasty, Here’s What Happened

Author: Steven Van Tassell

The Dynasty Owner Experts league draft was a couple of weeks before the return of Monday Night Football, but this past Monday night was just like the MNF of old. It was supposed to start at 9:00 PM (Eastern) and went way too long as the draft didn’t end until almost 1:00 AM.  Tim and I did a live stream of the proceedings that drew lower ratings than a late season Jacksonville-Tennessee game with both teams under .500. Only 211 views on YouTube so far, which is more than the videos that Tim and I have been doing on a regular basis, but less than the Christopher Harris Possum League video. On the positive side, at least two people have commented so far that they watched the entire video. Thanks to Alex Brazan and Timothy Scrom who posted that they watched it all and everyone else who watched at least part of it.

The first Dynasty Owner Experts League has 10 fantasy football experts, plus Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer and me, drafting teams to crown the first Experts League Champion. Eddie and the other guys in my beta league will argue about whether our league is the “real” experts league or not. Since all of the people in this league have ten or more times as many Twitter followers as I do (231 followers and counting as of press time) and likely more fantasy football championship than I can possibly count, I’ll keep calling them the “experts” and pray that I win a game or two. Also don’t expect me to call out bad picks too much or poor lineup decision making for the same reason, they are the experts and I’m just hoping to show that I belong in the same league.

Thanks to everyone for participating and being a part of Dynasty Owner. I proud to have been asked and excited to be a part of it. The chat banter on Monday night was fun and I have a feeling that there were more private text messages between the other experts that I wasn’t included in that were as much fun (or even more) than what occurred in the chat. For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of August 29th.

Draft Boards

Part 1 – Rounds 1 to 11

It’s probably hard to see each individual choice, but to break it down for those of you who may not have seen a Dynasty Owner live draft board: green is for RBs; red is for QBs; purple is for WRs; and blue is for TEs. Lots of green and purple with sprinkles of red and blue. Players without a picture are rookies and you can see that there were three rookies drafted in the first round, including Clyde Edwards-Helaire surprisingly being chosen with the first overall pick by Jerry Donabedian from Rotowire. A total of 24 rookies were chosen in the first 11 rounds with a rookie taken in every round but Round 3). To demonstrate how QBs are more valued in Dynasty Owner, 9 out of 12 teams had two QBs by this point in the draft with 5 of those teams having their two QBs by the end of the seventh round. Most teams had two RBs by the end of the fourth round with two teams having three by that point. Only one team (Tyler Guenthner from Dynasty Happy Hour) drafted two TEs by this point in the draft and one team (me – Dynasty Owner Steve) had zero TEs.

Part 2 – Rounds 12 to 25

There’s lots of orange in the second half of the draft – that’s for kickers. You’ll see that five teams drafted three kickers, six took two of them and one team only drafted one (Sideline Squib). The first kicker taken was Matt Gay in Round 15 by Dynasty Owner Tim, followed four picks later by Younghoe Koo by Dynasty Owner Steve. Not a lot of patterns to be seen here in the second half of the draft, so let’s look at the individual teams.

I Can Analyze That Team in One Sentence

This sounds like a great idea for a game show, doesn’t it? If you’re old enough to know that it’s not an original idea and that I’m ripping off Name That Tune (“I can name that tune in one note”), congratulations on being old like me. If you don’t get the reference, here’s a very long Wikipedia entry on the show and its various iterations (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Name_That_Tune). If you are asking what does this have to do with football, then you clearly don’t know that Mrs. Frank Gifford (if anyone doesn’t know, Frank Gifford is a NFL Hall of Famer who was also on Monday Night Football for 27 years) was the orchestra vocalist at one time. Now, on to the analysis in draft order:

  1. Jerry Donabedian, aka JerryDeez (Rotowire) – @Jerrydonabedian – I can do this one in three letters, CEH.
  2. Just Joe (Rotowire) – @Rotowire – This team was looking like a bargain team until he spent almost $35 million on Jones, Amari Cooper and Zach Ertz in Rounds 6-8.
  3. Garret Price (Dynasty Nerds) – @DynastyPrice – He had rookie fever and the cure was using a lot of his $110 million salary cap on expensive WRs in Tyreek Hill and Allen Robinson and TEs in Darren Waller and Austin Hooper.
  4. Tim Peffer (Dynasty Owner Tim) – @Dynasty_Owner – Tim took CMC and Deshaun Watson in the first two rounds, that draft strategy looks familiar (see Vantastics, “All Star League”), but it might not be the best idea to copy me.
  5. Andy Hall (Lazer 103.3 in Des Moines) @AndyHallRadio – I really like this team as he made solid selections at the start, then some value and ended with a mix of value and experience.
  6. Michael Ginnitti (Spotrac) – @Spotrac – He has a Cardinals stack of Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins and largely avoided picking top players with one year left on their contract, which probably isn’t surprising.
  7. Steve Serda (610 Sports KC) @StephenSerda – Steve has a lot of RBs and WRs on his roster with 18 of his 25 player roster playing those positions.
  8. Steven Van Tassell (Dynasty Owner Steve) – @SteveVT33 – I was excited but scared to see Patrick Mahomes drop to the #8 pick as this year could be a Ricky Bobby situation (“If you’re not first, you’re last”) followed by rebuilding with Mahomes’ contract weighing down my team.
  9. Kyle Yates (Fantasy Pros) – @KyleYNFL – Kyle went with the stars and scrubs approach by spending a lot of money early and often and then finding lots of value at the end.
  10. Tyler Guenthner (Dynasty Happy Hour) – @DHH_Tyler – Solid team and I’m not just saying that because he personally sniped me five even numbered rounds in a row by taking the guy I wanted two picks in front of me.
  11. Dynasty Rewind @DynastyRewind – Reports are that the four Rewind guys were in a Zoom chat so they can all claim credit for their picks in which they always looked for (and found) value throughout the draft, leaving them spending only $86 million and the title of the team with the most cap room left after the draft.
  12. Sideline Squib – @SidelineSquib – Steve Silvestri (@SteveSilvestri3) and Andrew Leehy (@DoOrDieNasty) love stacking so much they did it twice (one per Squibber) with their back to back picks, first with Broncos (Courtland Sutton and Drew Lock) and then Cowboys (Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb).

My Changing Draft Philosophy

For every 12-team draft, there are 12 draft philosophies. Since it would have taken a long time to talk with everyone about their philosophy for Dynasty Owner and these are extremely busy people, I decided to just share my own personal draft philosophy.

When the draft order was announced, I started to go through my Top 300 list and prepare and add players to my queue. With the #8 pick, I figured that I’d be getting Nick Chubb (#8 in my rankings) or maybe Alvin Kamara (#7 in my rankings) with my first pick. If either Kyler Murray (ADP 4.8) or more likely Deshaun Watson (ADP 6.7) fell into my lap, then I’d grab them, but otherwise I was prepared to go RB-RB with my first two picks based on my draft position. The idea was to get some low salary value players at the beginning of the draft.

That definitely did NOT happen as Patrick Mahomes dropped down to the #8 pick and I blew up my plan completely, but in a good way. Instead of thinking about what expensive veteran QB I was going to draft in the middle rounds or grabbing Josh Allen in the third round, I had gotten the reigning Super Bowl MVP. After that, it was six straight RBs (Kamara, Jacobs, Sanders, Chubb, Elliott, Swift) before two WRs (Godwin and Adams). Suddenly, it’s my pick and I’ve got the opportunity to get the #1 WR in Michael Thomas with my second round pick. I debated internally for a while, but ultimately decided to take Thomas and commit almost $65 million of my 2021 salary cap to two players. While I usually try to be flexible, this team construction was definitely not my usual Dynasty Owner strategy, but I embraced my inner Ricky Bobby and drafted Thomas.

After that, I need to make some value picks and get a RB or two and quickly. Devin Singletary was still around in the third round (pick #32 overall) and snatched up the #18 player in my Top 300 for my first RB, then grabbed my #26 ranked player in Kenny Golladay in the fourth round (pick #41). Both of them have salaries of under $1 million for 2020, so I was sitting at just over $25 million in 2020 salary (but over $65 million for 2021 or more if I try to keep Golladay around).

However, I deviated significantly from my Top 300 in the fifth round by selecting Raheem Mostert instead of several guys who I have rated higher, such as Chris Carson (who I ended up with in the sixth round anyway), Mark Ingram, James White, Todd Gurley, David Johnson, Le’Veon Bell and Tarik Cohen to name a few. My feeling was that I needed a player with a reasonable salary signed for more than one year since I’m likely not going to be able to keep Golladay in 2021. That meant no drafting Johnson and Bell and their double digit million dollar contracts (although I ended up with Johnson as my eighth round selection), no to Carson, White, Gurley and Cohen because they are all on one year deal. I also deemed Mark Ingram’s contract as too high at $5 million for two years. The decision was between Mostert and one of three rookie RBs – Antonio Gibson who may start and two (A.J. Dillon and Ke’Shawn Vaughn) of whom are projected as 2020 backups – so I went with Mostert. It was after my selection that I noticed both of my top two RBs are on bye in Week 11 this year, which is why I drafted Chris Carson in the sixth round. Let’s not go round by round as I’m sure many of you are bored reading this by now. However, I will share one additional strategy that I employed in this draft which was paying attention to the draft of the people drafting around you.  Using the Live Draft board to see how much teams have spent and who they drafted, I was able to notice that @KyleYNFL who was picking right behind me in the odd numbered rounds and right in front of me in the even numbered rounds, spent over $100 million in salaries by the ninth round. As a result, he was going to have to draft sub-$1 million guys in every round afterward. He only had about $9.5 million left in salary for his last 16 players or right around $600,000 per pick. For me, it meant drafting a couple of guys who I wanted a bit earlier than I may have done so normally, such as when I picked Allen Lazard (ADP 137.4) in the eleventh round at pick #128 instead of waiting to see if he lasted until my next pick (#137). Because of his cap situation, I didn’t think Kyle would let Lazard go by twice.

Interesting Expert Observations

From the first pick of Clyde Edwards-Helaire to the last pick of Chris Conley and everywhere in between, there were plenty of interesting things that happened during this first Experts Dynasty Owner draft. Here’s a list of a few of them:

  • Most Surprising Pick(s): Clyde Edwards-Helaire with the #1 pick, followed closely by Johnathan Taylor with the #3 pick by @DynastyPrice from Dynasty Nerds. Christian McCaffrey and Patrick Mahomes lasting to the #4 and #8 overall picks were also a surprise.
  • First Comment that Shows How Dynasty Owner Is Different – After Tim and I drafted our first kickers, someone remarked on the chat “Is there something the Dynasty guys know that we don’t”. This was followed by several kickers getting drafted including two by @DynastyPrice after I took my second kicker. Perhaps he thought I knew something since he, Tyler from Dynasty Happy Hour, and the Dynasty Rewind guys each took three kickers. This is very likely something none of them have ever done before (and likely will never do again).
  • No Big Position Runs – There is usually a run on players at a position at some point in every fantasy draft, but that wasn’t really the case in this one. Maybe experts are less likely than the rest of us to get caught up in a position run, but the longest stretch of players selected at a single position was the 7 WRs chosen in the middle of the fourth round. It started with @KyleYNFL taking D.K. Metcalf and ended with @DynastyPrice grabbing Jalen Reagor before the run ended with Just Joe from Rotowire selecting James Conner. In contrast, if readers recall, the All-Star League had a run of 13 RBs taken in the first and second round.
  • Few Questionable Picks – Having looked at over 500 teams for my Dynasty Owner handcuff article (https://dynastyowner.com/2020/08/utilizing-handcuffs-star-players/), I saw a lot of bad draft picks. Guys who should not be taken at all such as C.J. Ham immediately spring to mind. My pick of Salvon Ahmed in the 22nd round was a bad one since I picked him up Monday night and he was promptly released by San Francisco on Tuesday. Fortunately, the Dolphins picked him up off waivers, but who knows if he’ll make the team or not. Even so, I’m not alone in having Ahmed as he’s owned in 68% of leagues (and dropping) right now. The other pick that could be deemed questionable was the selection of Josh Oliver (TE – JAC) in the 24th round by Sideline Squib. Oliver is out for all of 2020, but still has two years left after this year on his contract at $1.062 million per year. Oliver is only owned in 7% of Dynasty Owner leagues, but the Squib guys could just be planning ahead for 2021 with this pick. Check out the final draft boards posted earlier in this article and send your thoughts on questionable picks to me via Twitter (@SteveVT33) or post them in the YouTube chat.

Conclusions

Being part of the first Dynasty Owner experts draft was great and a true honor. Hopefully seeing how these experts drafted will give you some ideas on how to go about doing your own Dynasty Owner draft if you haven’t drafted yet. If you already drafted, check out the draft board and see if any of the experts drafted a similar team to yours. Is it maybe because you listen to them or was it just by chance?

Hope all of you enjoyed this recap article and the actual draft podcast on YouTube. Speaking of articles, more of them are coming from myself, Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21 on Twitter) and others. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer continues to be taped and posted on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube and other places (iTunes, Spotify, Spreaker) as well. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner is closing in on 500 subscribers on YouTube now and thank you all for watching and listening. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Gimme Five: An Analysis of the Five Beta League Drafts

Author: Steven Van Tassell

For the past couple of weeks, new and returning Dynasty Owners have been drafting their teams for the upcoming 2020 season. We highlighted the results of the first league to draft (Beta League 3) in an earlier article, but that was just one draft. In total, there are 6 beta leagues with 72 of the most passionate returning owners from the 2019 Dynasty Owner season competing to win. Five of those leagues have drafted (all but League 5) and new Dynasty Owners can learn a lot by looking at the results of these beta user drafts.

All five of these beta user leagues drafted in June with the first league (League 3) picking on June 14th and the last of the beta leagues (League 6) drafting back on June 26th. As a result, these Dynasty Owners didn’t have the benefit of more recent information, such as the signing of QB Cam Newton on a 1-year, $1.75 million contract by New England or the Patrick Mahomes 10-year, $450 million mega-extension.

High Five

In the first 12-team Dynasty Owner beta user drafts, we saw five players consistently be drafted at the top of the first round. Those players are, in order, Lamar Jackson, Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, Kyler Murray and Patrick Mahomes. Each one of them has an ADP of 4.0 or lower and were drafted in the top five players in every beta user draft, except Kyler Murray who was drafted with the #7 pick in League 1 and Patrick Mahomes who was drafted with the #7 pick in League 2.

The two players not listed above who ended up as the 5th pick in the League 1 and League 2 drafts respectively, were Michael Thomas and Daniel Jones. Jones is an interesting situation and there will be more on him later in the article.

First Round Draft Selections

Out of five beta user leagues, we had a total of 18 different players drafted in the first round. Most of the first round draft picks were RBs (11), with 5 QBs and 2 WRs rounding out the rest of the first round picks. No TEs were drafted in the first round in any 2020 beta user draft. The average salary of these first round picks was just over $5 million ($5,068,669), which was driven up by the double-digit salaries of Ezekiel Elliott ($15 million) and Michael Thomas ($19.25 million) and driven down by the salaries of two players who make less than $1 million (Alvin Kamara at $964,443 and Chris Godwin at $821,041).

In contrast, a quick look at the Dynasty ADP rankings on Fantasy Football Calculator (https://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/adp/dynasty) shows a total of 23 players selected with a first round pick in 471 dynasty league drafts between April 11th and July 9th of this year. Out of those players, less than half (11) were RBs, while nearly as many were WRs (9). Only two QBs (Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes) and one TE (Travis Kelce) were selected in the first round in any of these 471 leagues.

As mentioned earlier, there are more QBs selected with a first round pick in Dynasty Owner than a regular dynasty league because of the unique Dynasty Owner scoring system. The increase in the number of QBs drafted in the first round in Dynasty Owner comes at the expense of WRs, with fewer of them drafted in the first round in Dynasty Owner. While there were the same number of RBs drafted in the first round, there were two drafted in the first round in Dynasty Owner (Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Austin Ekeler) who were not drafted in the first round in any of the 471 regular dynasty leagues. Both Derrick Henry and Leonard Fournette went in the first round of at least one regular dynasty league, but not in any of the five Dynasty Owner beta user leagues.

Fan Club Presidents Meeting

The running joke on dynasty fantasy football Twitter is that if you really like a guy and draft him early, you are President of his Fan Club. Last year, I was the President of the Jimmy Garoppolo Fan Club since I was in four leagues (two redraft, one regular dynasty and Dynasty Owner) and had him in all four. I wasn’t able to draft him in the beta users draft so my reign is over, but think Hillbilly Trash Trucks (Matthew Montgomery) got himself a heck of a starting QB with the last pick in the 13th round.

In the same spirit, I would like to nominate the following Dynasty Owners as President of the Fan Club of the following players. To be nominated, you had to draft a player at least one full round before he was drafted in any other beta user league. You also had to draft him a full round ahead of his ADP. For example, if you took Player A in the first round with the #10 pick and based on the other beta user league drafts, he would have been available with your #34 pick and his ADP was 22.0 or higher, then you’re nominated for President of that guy’s Fan Club. Without further delay, here are a few of the nominees:

  • New Mexico Mountain (League 2) – Daniel Jones
  • The Jerk (League 3) – Ke’Shawn Vaughn
  • Kralj_Smeca (League 2) – Robert Woods
  • Fumbled Dreams (League 4) – Ronald Jones
  • TE Ertz when Eifert (League 6) – Julio Jones
  • Hillbilly Trash Trucks (League 3) – Stefon Diggs
  • CyberFire (League 2) – Carson Wentz

It might have something to do with having Jones as your last name as three of the six guys picked “too early” by one Dynasty Owner are Jones’s (Daniel, Ronald and Julio).

New Mexico Mountain won the Daniel Jones presidency in a landslide as he selected Daniel Jones in the first round with the 5th pick in the League 2 draft when he wasn’t selected until at least the third round in any of the other four beta user drafts.

In the same League, Kralj_Smeca took Robert Woods with the 40th overall pick. That’s a fourth round pick for Woods when he was drafted at the end of the sixth round or in the seventh round in the other beta user drafts. Even with the high pick in League 2, Woods still has an ADP of 66.0.

Fumbled Dreams loves the Tampa Bay backfield. He drafted Ronald Jones and Ke’Shawn Vaughn back to back with the 48th and 49th picks in the League 4 draft. For Vaughn, that was right on his beta users draft ADP of 49.4, but for Jones, it was way earlier than in any other beta users draft. Jones went at the end of the sixth round (#69), top of the seventh round (#73), middle of the seventh round (#78) and middle of the eighth round (#91) in the other drafts. Even though his next pick wasn’t until the 72nd pick, Fumbled Dreams probably could have waited and gotten Jones at that time.

Fumbled Dreams was lucky that he’s not in League 3 or he would have completely missed out on Ke’Shawn Vaughn since The Jerk took Vaughn with his third round pick (#31 overall). He could have had him a round later in every other beta user league since the next highest spot that Vaughn was selected was with the #46 pick.

TE Ertz when Eifert might want to rename his team to I Love Julio Jones. He drafted Julio with the #45 pick in the 4th round of the League 6 draft, while no one else grabbed Julio before the start of the 7th round (#76). At the other extreme was League 2, as Julio wasn’t drafted until the 10th round (#117) in that league.

Stefon Diggs was drafted by Hillbilly Trash Trucks with the second pick in the 8th round (#85 overall). Matthew Montgomery might not have picked Diggs so early if League 3 hadn’t drafted first since the earliest Diggs was chosen in any other beta user league was with the #115 pick in League 2.

However, the undisputed #1 Fan Club President has to be CyberFire who drafted Carson Wentz and his $32 million salary with his 4th round pick (#47 overall). Wentz went undrafted in League 4 and has an ADP of 118.0 in the four leagues he was selected in. Wentz was drafted in the 10th round (#115), 13th round (#151) and 14th round (#159) in the other three beta leagues.

Salaries

Dynasty Owner is using real NFL contracts as part of the game, unlike any other fantasy football game out there. Just like an NFL General Manager, Dynasty Owners need to build a team using real NFL salaries (average salaries based on the total contract value divided by number of years on the contract) and stay under a hard salary cap ($110 million for the 2020 season). So, how do the five beta league rosters look in comparison to all NFL skill position players in terms of salaries?  The surprising answer is that Dynasty Owner rosters are a little top heavy.

Just over three-fifths (61%) of players drafted in the five beta user leagues have salaries of $1 million or more (Vikings WR Tajae Sharpe and Browns WR JoJo Natson both make exactly $1 million), but less than one-quarter (22%) make $5 million or more and only one in ten (11%) make $10 million or more.

In comparison, an analysis of Spotrac salaries for 914 skill position players (available at https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/average/offense/) finds that just over one-third (35%) of skill position players (QB, RB, WR, TE, K) make $1 million or more, while one in eight (12%) make $5 million or more and just 5% make $10 million or more.

This is probably not too surprisingly as Spotrac includes all skill position players under contract right now, even if many of them will eventually be waived or placed on the practice squad. Dynasty Owners are likely not picking too many of these low-paid, undrafted rookie free agents who aren’t going to make their NFL team’s roster.

Solitary Men

Raise your hand if you’re a Neil Diamond fan and got the headline reference to his 1966 song Solitary Man. I prefer Sweet Caroline myself, but nobody with the name Caroline is currently on an active NFL roster so I couldn’t use that. Shout out to my friends Scott and Kerri Bernstein who are huge Neil Diamond (and fans of the Neil Diamond cover band Super Diamond as well) for being the people who introduced me to Neil and Surreal Neil.

Not every good NFL player will be on a Dynasty Owner roster in every league. There are many guys out there who were only drafted in one of the five beta leagues that have drafted already and probably won’t be highly owned when new players start drafting as well. Here are some guys drafted in the Top 200 or higher who only were selected in one beta user league out of five.

  • Rams QB Jared Goff – #110 pick in League 3
  • 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo – #156 pick in League 3
  • Raiders QB Derek Carr – #169 pick in League 6
  • Jaguars TE Tyler Eifert – #193 pick in League 4
  • 49ers RB Salvon Ahmed – #191 pick in League 6. Admit it, most of you had to go look to see who he is. Congrats to The Replacements for making this bold selection.
  • Samaje Perine – #182 pick in League 3 and big brother to La’Mical Perine, who was drafted in all five beta leagues, but a few rounds higher than Samaje. Through extensive investigative reporting, I can confirm that this was a mistake by the team who drafted him. (Editor’s note: The team who drafted Samaje admitted he goofed up and said so, no investigative reporting was done for this article).

Both Golden Tate and Brandin Cooks were taken with the 203rd pick of the League 1 and League 4 drafts, respectively, and just missed inclusion in this list.

Random Facts

Finally, here are some random facts about the five beta user league drafts that seem interesting to me.

  • Player with highest ADP drafted in all five drafts – Gus Edwards (ADP 274.2)
  • Kicker with the lowest ADP – Matt Gay (ADP 179.4)
  • First kicker drafted in any beta user league – Greg Zuerlein (#162 pick in League 1 by Young Gunz)
  • Number of kickers with ADP below 200 – 7 (Matt Gay, Younghoe Koo, Greg Zuerlein, Justin Rohrwasser, Harrison Butker, Austin Seibert and Michael Badgley)
  • Total number of players drafted in all five beta user drafts – 366
  • Number of players drafted in all five beta user drafts – 239

Conclusions

What did we learn, if anything, from this analysis of the five beta user leagues?  

The first lesson learned is that no two leagues are the same. No player was drafted in the same draft slot in all five beta leagues. While Lamar Jackson is the top rated player in the initial Dynasty Owner Top 300 and had the lowest ADP in the five beta user drafts, his ADP is still 1.2 – meaning he was drafted first in four leagues and second in the fifth league (League 4). Fumbled Dreams had the first pick in League 4 and took Patrick Mahomes with it. With 72 Dynasty Owners, you’re likely to have 72 opinions on what to do at any single draft slot.

Second, if you want Lamar, CMC, Saquon, Kyler, or Mahomes, you better trade up into the Top 5 if you don’t get one of those top five draft slots since they will all be likely gone by the fifth pick. I saw a new Dynasty Owner on Twitter (@tommysavs) who drafted Kyler Murray with the eighth pick, but that is likely an outlier like League 1 where he was drafted seventh. By the way, congrats to him and his team (WLN Savages) on stealing Murray and “what were you thinking?!?” to the seven owners in his league who let Murray fall down to that pick.

With that said, there’s still some consensus surrounding certain things, like QBs get drafted earlier in Dynasty Owner than your regular year-to-year redraft league and most regular dynasty leagues. If you don’t know why, then look at the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system information that appears at the beginning of most of my articles. Or you can read the Dynasty Owner Constitution posted in the app or online at https://dynastyowner.com/how-it-works/ under “Read Constitution” to figure out why QBs are drafted earlier.

No surprise here, but almost nobody loves kickers in Dynasty Owner. The first one wasn’t drafted until the 14th round in any of the beta user leagues and many Dynasty Owners leave them to the end of the draft, just like your regular non-Dynasty Owner league.

For some of you, this article was too late, but others reading this haven’t drafted yet. Hopefully, this article helps you prepare for your initial Dynasty Owner season. If you want more preparation, you still have time to get yourself into one of the mock drafts going on every 15 minutes.

We have more articles coming on a regular basis from Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21 on Twitter) and I. The first of the monthly Dynasty Owner Top 300 is also coming very soon. The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer will continue to be posted on the Dynasty Owner channel on YouTube as well to help you get prepared. Subscribe to the YouTube channel and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

A History Making Afternoon

Author: Steven Van Tassell

It was exactly 3:20 PM (EDT) on Sunday, June 14th, 2020 when Belichick’s Hoodies (Sean Fournier) made the historical first pick in Dynasty Owner history by taking Lamar Jackson in the first all 12-team Dynasty Owner leagues. It ended about three hours and fifteen minutes later with the selection of Dante Pettis as the first Dynasty Owner Mr. Irrelevant with the last pick (#300 overall) by Hillbilly Trash Trucks (Matt Montgomery). I was honored to be a part of this historic event which will take its place in history between the first moon walk by Neil Armstrong in 1969 and the creation of toilet paper by Joseph Gayetty in 1857.

In addition to being the first league to draft, Beta League 3 is composed of some pretty heavy hitters from the 2019 Dynasty Owner beta season. The league is highlighted by New York’s Strongest (Eddie Driscoll), who finished the regular season at 14-0 and at the top of the Chase for the Ring leaderboard. For those of you new to Dynasty Owner, Eddie finished off his perfect season with two victories in his league playoffs to become the only player to finish the season undefeated (16-0) and win the Ring.

We also have Yorkshire Roses (Dan Clarke) who went 9-5 in his regular season, but had the most points in his league. Dan proceeded to win his league playoffs, had the most points of any team in the final week and finished in 4th place in the final Chase standings – moving up from 10th place after the semi-finals and 18th place after the regular season.

Overall, the league has eight owners who won 10 or more regular season games, five league Champions from 2019 (all of whom finished in the Top 25 in the final Chase for the Ring standings), and two owners who lost in their league finals (including myself – damn you Teddy MF’in Ruxpin). Everyone played in 2019 and all but one drafted last year. Not a lot of slouches in Beta League 3.

We will be citing mock draft ADP in this article. Please note that all mock draft ADPs listed were current as of Noon (Eastern) on Thursday, June 18, 2020.

An Early Run on Running Backs

How many times have you done a fantasy draft – either redraft or dynasty – and there’s been a pretty long run on one position? For me, it’s probably every draft when this happens where six or seven people in a row grab players at a certain position and the draft board starts lighting up with one color in a long row. Back in the day, it was colored stickers that CBS Sportsline sent the Commissioner of my redraft league. We would have one of the spouses of a league owner putting up stickers on the board like Vanna White turning the letters on Wheel of Fortune. Now, it’s on the Live Draft Board that will appear on your Dynasty Owner league draft page.

Well, this draft had probably the longest run that I’ve even seen at one position and possibly the longest run that any Dynasty Owner league will have in 2020. That’s because we saw 13 running backs taken in a row in the first and second round of this draft. Starting with Saquon Barkley with the 5th pick and ending with Dalvin Cook with the 17th pick, we had an epic early run on running backs. Congratulations to The Jerk (Matt Morrison) for stopping the madness by drafting Michael Thomas with his second round pick. As you can see from the draft board, there was a lot of green (RBs) selected in the first two rounds.

Not only was it 13 RBs in a row, but 15 out of 16 RBs selected by the last eight teams in the draft order. As we would say back in the redraft league, “Vanna’s putting up a lot of green stickers”.

The next longest runs on a single position were two separate runs of five WRs, one at the end of the fifth round and beginning of the sixth round and another near the end of the draft in the 24th round.  There was also a spot in the middle of the 12th round when seven out of nine picks were TEs.

The List of Firsts

Since this was the first 12-team Dynasty Owner draft, there were many firsts. Here’s a list of some of the most “important” ones:

  • First Pick: Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL)
  • First QB Taken – Lamar Jackson (#1 – Belichick’s Hoodies)
  • First RB Taken – Christian McCaffrey (#2 – Vantastics)
  • First WR Taken – Michael Thomas (#18 – The Jerk)
  • First TE Taken – Travis Kelce (#27 – VIP Club Dub)
  • First K Taken – Justin Tucker (#166 – VIP Club Dub)
  • First Comment about Someone Going Too Slow – Belichick’s Hoodies with the comment “Steve OTC” at 3:21:33 after selecting Lamar Jackson and it took a few seconds for my selection of Christian McCaffrey to register. It’s disputable if that was a comment to draft faster, so if not then it came less than four minutes later when Mafia Power 83 (Bruno Carina-Goncalves) posted “Come on Jerk really” at 3:25:29 while waiting for The Jerk to make his first pick. It was later discovered that he was drafting on his phone using the app, thus making him draft slower than everyone else who was on a desktop.
  • First Happy Dynasty Owner about a Player Slipping to His Selection – Eddie typed “God Bless You Yorkshire!!!!” after Yorkshire Roses picked Kyler Murray with the #4 pick, leaving Saquon Barkley available for Eddie to grab with the #5 pick. And for the record, Eddie really did use four exclamation points like a teenage girl chatting with her friend about some cute boy looking at her in algebra class.
  • First Mention of Regret for Picking Someone – After 13 RBs were drafted in a row, Yorkshire Roses typed in the chat “If I’d known every single running back would have been taken, I probably wouldn’t have had Kyler at #4”. For the record, he ended up picking his first RB (Devin Singletary) with the #21 pick.
  • First Compliment – These were few and far between with this group, but Bruno gave props to Eddie after he drafted J.K. Dobbins with the #20 pick in the draft. He also invited him to join him on his “boat”. Since I’m not from the New York area, I’m not sure if that’s code for something.
  • First Snipe – It may not have been first, but the first snipe comment in the chat was at 3:39 by Bruno when he commented about Kraft Yankaroni & Cheats (Patrick Wood) when Patrick selected David Montgomery in the 3rd round with the #30 pick. In case you aren’t seeing the pattern, Bruno was exceptionally chatty during the draft (not a criticism, I was pretty chatty too since I was drafting in the #2 spot and had lots of time between selections).

The Rise and the Fall of a Pair of TEs Playing in Florida

The ADP listed in the mock draft rooms is the live ADP from all of the mock drafts that have been taking place. Since a lot of the guys in this league have been doing a lot of mock drafts and I mean A LOT of mock drafts, it would stand to reason that this first draft would trend closely with the mock draft ADP. That didn’t happen. There were a few players who got drafted earlier than they have been going in the mock drafts and more who went later.

Here are some of the biggest risers in the first 2020 Dynasty Owner draft:

  • Melvin Gordon: On average, Gordon’s been a mid-4th round mock draft selection with an ADP of 43.2, but New York’s Strongest decided that he couldn’t wait and took him with the 5th pick in Round 3 (#29 overall).
  • Ke’Shawn Vaughn: The Tampa Bay rookie RB went two full rounds earlier than his ADP dictated. The Jerk must have really wanted him as he was the #31 overall selection, even though his mock draft ADP was 55.7.
  • Zack Moss: Dirty Hippy Farmer (Andrew Gilkin) must really like Moss. Why else would he take him with the #82 pick in the real draft when his mock draft ADP was 114.4?
  • Mike Gesicki: Gesicki was drafted with the #66 overall selection (5th TE – after Travis Kelce, George Kittle, Mark Andrews and Zach Ertz), but his ADP in mock drafts was 102.4, good for being the 11th TE in mocks. The Jerk must feel strongly about Gesicki getting a lot of throws from rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa as he was the one who made the early move on him.

There were more players who fell significantly than rose significantly. Here are some of the biggest fallers in the first 2020 Dynasty Owner draft:

  • Deshaun Watson: The Texans QB was the first victim of the wild 13 RB run and fell from ADP 7.2 in mock drafts to the #23 selection – a difference of 15.8 positions. The Vantastics, that’s me, were ecstatic to get him with their 2nd pick.
  • Dak Prescott: New York’s Strongest pulled the trigger on drafting Dak with the #77 pick in the seventh round. His mock draft ADP of 47.4 had him taken near the end of the 4th round on average.
  • The G.O.A.T.: His ADP of 94.7 in mock drafts seems high for a dynasty league, but his $25 million salary is lower than a lot of other QBs, so it’s understandable. However, in this first draft, Tom was the first selection of the 15th round by Belichick’s Hoodies, or six full rounds later than his average mock draft position.
  • James White: A favorite of the G.O.A.T. out of the backfield, White got a similar downgrade as Tom in the first Dynasty Owner draft. The Vantastics scooped him up with the #143 pick, three full rounds lower than his 107.1 mock draft ADP.
  • Lynn Bowden: One of the few rookies to fall. Drafted by the Vantastics with the #215 pick, Bowden has a mock draft ADP of 167.3.
  • DeAndre Hopkins: It took twice as long for someone (Mafia Power 83) to draft Hopkins in the real Dynasty Owner draft (#40 overall) than he usually went in mock drafts (ADP 19.4).
  • T.Y. Hilton: Did everyone but Yorkshire Roses forget about T.Y. or did salary cap restraints cause his plunge to the 18th round? Hilton was skipped in plenty of rounds before Dan took him with the #213 pick. His average ADP was almost nine full rounds earlier at 105.3.
  • Darren Waller: Waller was one of the three anti-Gesicki TEs. He was 5th TE taken in mock drafts on average with an ADP of 73.4, but in our draft, he fell sharply and was chosen with the #117 selection, the 12th TE taken overall. Yorkshire Roses was the beneficiary of this drop.
  • Hunter Henry: Henry also dropped pretty significantly – down to the #207 pick by Quaranteam (Nick Larmore) from his ADP of 113.9.
  • Rob Gronkowski: Another former Patriot turned Buccaneer who dropped in the first real Dynasty Owner draft. Gronk was being selected at the end of the 10th round in the average mock draft (ADP 119.6). However, Wannabees  (David Brady) grabbed him with the #233 pick in the 20th round in our draft.

Why Dynasty Owner is Different than a Regular Dynasty League?

For everyone new to Dynasty Owner, you will read and hear a lot about how Dynasty Owner is different than a “regular” dynasty league. At first, you may not believe it, but once you start mock drafting or get in your first live draft, you’ll soon discover that it’s impossible to fit all of the players you want under the $110 million salary cap. In a “regular” dynasty league, you can draft Ezekiel Elliott ($15 million), Julio Jones ($22 million), Travis Kelce ($9.4 million) and Russell Wilson ($35 million) in the first four rounds. Probably not so in Dynasty Owner as the rest of your team will be made up of low-cost players since you’ll only have around $28.6 million left under the salary cap for 21 more selections. Good luck with that!

As a result, players who would normally be high or middle round draft picks in a “regular” dynasty league might even go undrafted in Dynasty Owner. If you don’t believe me, here’s a list of undrafted players the first 12-team Dynasty Owner draft in history. They are ranked here by average ADP from the Fantasy Pros (https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/rankings/dynasty-overall.php). Their Dynasty Owner salary is listed in parentheses.

  • WR Adam Thielen ($16,050,000) – ADP 67.5
  • WR Brandin Cooks ($16,200,000) – ADP 96.2
  • TE Austin Hooper ($10,500,000) – ADP 102.2
  • WR A.J. Green ($17,971,000) – ADP 104.3
  • QB Matt Ryan ($30,000,000) – ADP 115.4
  • QB Aaron Rodgers ($33,500,000) – ADP 123.6
  • QB Kirk Cousins ($33,000,000) – ADP 145.8
  • WR Julian Edelman ($7,750,000) – ADP 146.2
  • QB Ryan Tannehill ($29,500,000) – ADP152.8
  • WR Sammy Watkins ($9,000,000) – ADP 153.2
  • WR Golden Tate ($9,375,000) – ADP 160.2
  • TE Eric Ebron ($6,000,000) – ADP 186.1
  • RB Chris Thompson ($1,400,000) – ADP 267.1
  • RB Rex Burkhead ($3,250,000) – ADP 293.0
  • K Ka’imi Fairbairn ($4,412,500) – ADP 307.2 (sixth highest among kickers)
  • K Mason Crosby ($4,300,000) – ADP 310.6 (tenth highest among kickers)

Thielen is on average a mid-5th round pick in a 12-team “regular” dynasty league, but nobody had the salary cap room for him in the first 12-team Dynasty Owner draft, while Cooks is a late 8th round/early 9th round pick on average. However, because of their relative high salaries (over $16 million each), they went undrafted. Thielen was picked up in the Free Agent Auction after the draft, but VIP Club Dub (Anthony Huether) had to drop Robby Anderson and his $10 million salary to pick him up and fit him under the salary cap.

Not a terrible team of undrafted players. Ryan, Rodgers and Cousins make up a good trio of QBs and there are some quality starting WRs plus a fine TE in Hooper and a decent backup in Ebron. The only questionable spot is RB with Chris Thompson and Rex Burkhead as the best available. Remember, all of these players are still available in this Dynasty Owner league and will likely be so for most, if not all of the 2020 season even though all of them are easily worthy of a spot on your “regular” dynasty league roster.

Who Took My Advice?

In my 2020 draft tips article (https://dynastyowner.com/2020/05/draft-tips-2020/), two suggestions for Dynasty Owners were to draft three QBs and three kickers so you have a Starter and Bench QB and kicker for bye weeks. With 12-teams per Dynasty Owner league and only 32 starting QBs and kickers, a few teams would be left out and need to pick up a backup QB or kicker who surprisingly makes an NFL roster in training camp. To show you how much people in my own league value my “advice”, only two other teams drafted three kickers as recommended. Thanks to Dirty Hippy Farmer and VIP Club Dub for the vote of confidence!

Not only did three-quarters of the league not follow my draft three kickers advice, two teams – Wannabees and New York’s Strongest – only drafted one kicker. Wannabees only drafted Brandon McManus and has a mere $517,518 left in salary cap room to add another kicker in the Free Agent Auction. Unfortunately for him, the rookie salary minimum for 2020 is $610,000 so he can’t even pick up a second kicker without dropping another player. At least New York’s Strongest has enough cap room ($1,755,208 at the end of the draft) to pick up another kicker, or maybe two.

Three teams will be braving the 2020 Dynasty Owner season with only two QBs right now. Belichick’s Hoodies feels comfortable enough with the #1 overall pick in Lamar Jackson that he took the 42-year old G.O.A.T. Tom Brady as his only backup QB. Quaranteam has Sam Darnold as his starter and rookie Jordan Love as his backup. Fortunately for Nick, he drafted wisely and has almost $28.5 million in salary cap room available right now. That’s not enough to pick up Aaron Rodgers, Matt Ryan or even Kirk Cousins without dropping another player, but he could fit Derek Carr for $25 million on his roster as presently constructed. Either that, or he’ll have to clear some salary cap space via trade or by dropping a player.

Drafting Philosophy – Everyone’s Got One, Here’s Two of Them

In every 12-team fantasy football draft, regardless of the format, you are likely to have 12 people with 12 different draft strategies. Some are well crafted in advance with hours of thought and time spent pouring over mock draft data. Other strategies come up on the fly after a few rounds or with the selection of a specific player or players. For example, because I drafted Derrick Henry and he might sign a long-term deal before the season starts, I wanted to leave the draft with at least $5 million in salary cap room as a buffer. Henry and the Titans have until July 15th to sign a new long-term deal since he was franchise tagged early in the off-season (https://www.nfl.com/news/titans-gm-contract-talks-with-derrick-henry-have-been-positive). If that happens, I will need room to pay him this season and didn’t want to have to fit his new salary in under the Dynasty Owner salary cap without cutting anyone already on my roster. That wasn’t my plan initially, but when Henry was available in the 3rd round and I decided to take him, I figured that I needed some cap room available in case he gets a new contract.

My team, Vantastics, spent the just barely over $2 million ($2.01 million) on three kickers. Only three teams spent less on kickers than me and all three of them have just two kickers. My kicker spending was also below both teams who only drafted one kicker. My reasoning for this is that there was very little separation between kickers in 2019 Dynasty Owner season and probably will remain as so due to the Dynasty Owner scoring system. As a result, I didn’t want to spend millions on kickers when they appear to be pretty interchangeable and preferred to use the millions that I saved by getting three cheap kickers on other positions. The downside to this strategy is that I had to draft those kickers earlier than most people did. I spent picks in Rounds 15, 17 and 20 on kickers, which was earlier than most owners, including Bruno who drafted his first kicker after I had three of them.

We also had one team (Quaranteam) who “only” spent $81.55 million out of a $110 million salary cap on Draft Day. Some of you might be asking, “Why in the heck did he do that?” Well, I asked Nick and here’s what he had to say in response to my question:

  • At first I was calculating for next year with re-signing my RBs and Kittle as the draft was going on. By round 6, I figured I had the absolute highest salary even though the numbers didn’t show it. Then as the draft went on I was trying to pick players so at the end I can afford Aaron Rodgers. Then realized I didn’t need him and since it’s a 6 team playoff versus a 4, I can wait and go all in if I need to at positions when it’s playoff time. Whether it be WR or QB, I have time to determine that. Or take advantage of anyone else with salary cap issues as the year goes on.

There are other people who appear to have a strategy as well based on their draft. Hillbilly Trash Trucks only has one player (Adrian Peterson) playing on a one-year deal. The Jerk is apparently bullish on the return of Ben Roethlisberger since he drafted five Steelers, but not Big Ben himself. New York’s Strongest appears to like this year’s rookie class as he drafted 11 players from it – the most of any team and three more than anybody else. Yorkshire Roses must have a trip to Vegas planned or some quid bet on them (he’s British and can do that legally). Why else would he draft three Raiders pass catchers in a row (Henry Ruggs, Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow) and four overall when you add in Foster Moreau. Finally, I assuming that Bruno and Sean like WRs. How do I know that? Both drafted 11 of them!

Will any of these strategies pay dividends during the 2020 Dynasty Owner season?  That’s why we play the game, so check back in at the end of the season and see whose strategy was the best.

Conclusions

Being part of Dynasty Owner history on Sunday afternoon was great. We weren’t supposed to be the first newly constructed beta league to draft, but the four scheduled before us got postponed and we lucked into the spot. For me and hopefully others, it was a lot of fun with some good back and forth in the chat. I had my laptop and phone fully charges plus paper and pen ready to manually log all of the picks. Some guys reported using multiple devices and didn’t participate much in the chat. Others are old-school and mentioned using paper and pencil and even magazines. And one other league owner called it “the hardest draft I have ever been in. I was exhausted after it was done.” Hopefully, he got a nap afterwards.

There were a lot of firsts to go along with a lot of surprises. It’s doubtful that anyone would have predicted that 13 RBs would be drafted in a row or that Adam Thielen would go undrafted. For me, I didn’t think I had a chance at drafting my QB from last year (Deshaun Watson) since I had the #2 pick, but when the big run on RBs kept going and going, I was able to get him. Maybe Watson wasn’t part of anyone’s draft strategy but mine. That could be so since it appears most everyone in this league didn’t pay attention to my quality article “advice”. Most of you reading this probably haven’t drafted yet, so you still have time to get yourself into one of the mock drafts going on every 15 minutes. We will have new articles soon from the rest of the Dynasty Owner writing team – Milos Ljubic (@LjubicMilos on Twitter) and Chris Wolf (@ckwolf21 on Twitter) as well as the first of the monthly Dynasty Owner Top 300 coming very soon. All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

The Aftermath of the First Virtual NFL Draft

Author: Chris Wolf

The first virtual draft is a wrap. It went over with minimal glitches and I want to say we were pleasantly surprised by the in-home reactions and view into NFL front offices (or basements). We all know that the NFL is a copycat league and it has never been more evident as what we saw this past weekend. Several teams chased the KC all-speed model and a few crafted their drafts after the Ravens and 49’ers run heavy schemes.

On the surface, there were winners and losers on draft weekend. At first glance, the Ravens, Cowboys and Vikings appeared to come away with an impressive rookie haul. Then we have the Green Bay Packers. You have to think that the double schalaking they received from San Francisco last year led them to draft components of a run heavy strategy.

Only time will tell how the rookie projects will assimilate to their new teams but, we can have fun projecting their success in their new landing spots. Speaking only of skilled positions related to our Dynasty Owner leagues, let’s get a bird’s eye view of some of the newest crop of NFL players that may help your team in 2020-2021.

* 2020 ​estimated​ cap charges according to overthecap.com are in parenthesis after their names*

Pick 1.01 Joe Burrow ($6,580,000) CIN ​- Andy Dalton’s recent release carves the path for this Heisman winner to start day 1. Needless to say, he should be an early to mid first round pick for your dynasty team.

Henry Ruggs III, Jerry Jeudy, CeeDee Lamb ​- Draft ‘em. All three are 1st round dynasty rookie values.

Pick 1.21 Jalen Reagor ($2,412,850) PHI –​ Great fit for a great offense. He could see immediate playing time if the Eagles move on from either Alshon Jeffery or Desean Jackson.

Pick 1.22 Justin Jefferson ($2,385,965) MIN –​ This NFL ready rookie steps into a great starting opportunity with the Vikings. He’ll most likely be the first rookie wide receiver taken redraft leagues and he’s a sure-fire first round pick in dynasty drafts.

Pick 1.32 Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($1,967,559) KC –​ The top running back selected in the NFL’s best offense. This should be your 1.01 or 1.02 in Rookie Drafts. Don’t overthink this.

Pick 2.1 Tee Higgins ($1,579,410) CIN -​ In a crowded wide receiver room, it would take moving AJ Green for Higgins to attempt to have any 2020 value. This may be a draft and stash pick for you this year.

Pick 2.2 Michael Pittman Jr ($1,565,970) IND -​ The Colt’s pulled off a very impressive draft to plug the holes in their offense. They collectively gushed over Pittman Jr liking him to Vincent Jackson. He should step in as an immediate starter opposite the aging T.Y. Hilton.

Pick 2.3 D’Andre Swift ($1,552,530) DET -​ It’s really hard to trust the Detroit Lions rushing attack but Swift is a rare athlete that may be able to thrive in any environment. They used an early 2nd round pick on him and he should see plenty of touches year 1.

Pick 2.9 Jonathan Taylor ($1,423,480) IND – This is unfair. The best pure runner in the draft is going to the team with the best overall offensive line. He’ll most likely be the 1.02 selection in your rookie draft.

Pick 2.17 Chase Claypool ($1,203,000) PIT – There are many varying opinions on this athletic freak. The one thing we do know is, he can allow JuJu to work back into the slot where he excelled in 2017 and 2018. Take note that Claypool is a big bodied receiver that the Steelers used their first pick on.

Pick 2.20 Cam Akers ($1,122,371) LAR – ESPN’s Todd McShay considers Akers the “most underrated running back in the class”. He’s a complete back with outstanding speed that could benefit from a hopefully improved L.A. Rams Offense. He’s used to running behind bad offensive lines so he should feel right at home here.

Pick 2.23 J.K. Dobbins ($1,041,716) BAL – The Ravens want to dominate the ground game to open their improved passing attack. They went out to draft one of the best in this year’s class to compliment the NFL’s MVP. He has the opportunity to be a dominant player in this offense.

Pick 2.27 Denzel Mims ($987,945) NYJ – Mims has the opportunity for a high volume role in his first year. 100 or more targets is not an unreasonable projection.

Pick 3.12 Ke’Shawn Vaughn ($864,720) TB – 7.9 ypc behind a sub-par offensive line at Vanderbilt. He offers good balance and vision to a stacked offense led by Tom Brady.

Pick 3.17 Bryan Edwards ($853,174) LVR – A much needed weapon for Derek Carr. What he lacks in top-end speed, he makes up for with his instinctive route running. Could compete for heavy targets early.

Pick 3.22 Zack Moss ($838,605) BUF – Already assigned the Frank Gore role by coaches in the Bills offense. This could lead to plenty of goal line work for an up and coming offense. Injuries are a concern for this dynamic back.

Pick 3.29 Darrynton Evans ($829,416) TEN – Evans is a home run threat that should find a niche as a complimentary back in a run-first offense. More of a compliment than a handcuff to Derek Henry.

Pick 4.18 Anthony McFarland ($790,608) PIT – His arrival breathes much needed life into the Steeler’s running back room. He’s a tough runner with good hands that could have an opportunity at some point in year one. 8-10 touches per game is a reasonable assumption.

Pick 4.36 Antonio Gandy-Golden ($733,600) WSH – A long strider with good hands will compete for snaps with sophomore Kelvin Harmon opposite rookie standout Terry McLaurin.

Pick 5.16 Tyler Johnson ($688,600) TB – A great value in round 5 of a loaded WR class. He’s a polished route runner that could push Scotty Miller and Justin Watson for the 3rd WR role in Tampa.

Pick 6.8 Donovan Peoples-Jones ($656,650) CLE – It’s not often that you find a year one contributor in later rounds but Peoples-Jones may surprise people this year. He’s talented enough to push for a role in 3 WR sets in what projects to be a much improved offense.

Other rookies such as Laviska Shenault Jr, Brandon Aiyuk, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert, and KJ Hamler are good players who may find first year value but they are in a bit murkier situations. The goal is to win every year and slot players for future roles behind those with clearer projected outcomes.

The rookies included on this list have the possibility of making an impact on their teams during their rookie campaign and all should be viewed as top 20 players at their respective positions. Draft them with confidence and hopefully a few will contribute to your team sooner than later.

Chris Wolf is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner