Free Agent Market Values: High Salary WRs

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Now that the Super Bowl is over, Dynasty Owners can turn their total focus to the Dynasty Owner off-season and upcoming free agency period. We’ll give the Rams’ fans an extra day or two to celebrate and Bengals’ fans the same time period to get over what happened, but they don’t want to wait too long to start thinking about the off-season as things will start moving soon.

NFL free agents can re-sign with their current team, or wait until March 16th and sign with a new one. Those new contracts, as well as the contract extensions signed during the 2021 season, will take effect for Dynasty Owners on March 18th. We don’t have a finalized 2022 salary cap yet since the NFL hasn’t finalized theirs, but it’s anticipated to be $145.74 million (70% of the expected $208.2 million NFL salary cap).

In other dynasty leagues, you may start thinking about rookies and which ones you want on your team, but Dynasty Owner is different because rookies are harder to evaluate because you have to take their contract into effect. That’s why NFL free agency is more important in Dynasty Owner than a regular dynasty league. Players changing teams might impact how much you value a certain player on your regular dynasty league team, but you’re unlikely to drop a player solely based on the fact that he switched teams. However, in Dynasty Owner, a new team means a new contract and that new contract might make a player too expensive to take up a roster spot on your Dynasty Owner team that has to stay under the salary cap.

The contract increases (and in some rare cases, contract decreases) will impact the Dynasty Owner’s decision on whether to keep that player and his new contract on their team. If they don’t want the player and his new contract, they can trade the player or drop them for free during the contract change window (currently seven days, but possibly going up). There are a lot of free agents out there who will be getting new contracts and Dynasty Owners can start planning for their contracts using the anticipated free agent market values from Spotrac (https://www.spotrac.com/).

After discussing mostly RBs for the past two weeks, it’s time to turn our focus to the WRs for a pair of articles. Since not everyone has the time to go check out the market value for all of the impending free agents or even just the 19 WRs with a Spotrac market value, I’ll look for you. This article  will give their Market Value estimates, compare it to the player’s 2021 Dynasty Owner salary and make a recommendation for what to do with the player at that new salary. Since there are 19 free agent WRs to go over, the high salary WRs ($10 million or more average annual salaries) will go first, followed by the lower salary WRs. The high salary RBs had market values of over $5 million and none were in the $10 million or more range. In contrast, for WRs, we have nine who are expected to command annual salaries of $10 million or more.

Before we get to the part about how players score Dynasty Owner fantasy points, let me brag a bit about my Super Bowl prediction. Last week, I predicted a Rams victory by a score of 23-19, which was only one point off of the exact final score of 23-20. Check out last week’s article if you don’t believe it. I thought there would be a bit more offense by the Bengals being stuffed in the red zone leading to more field goals for them than happened, which is why the Bengals’ score ended up being off by a point. Enough about that, let’s congratulate Matthew Stafford, Aaron Donald and the rest of the Los Angeles Rams for winning the Super Bowl!

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, all statistics, Average Draft Positions (ADPs), and 2021 position ranks were current as of the morning of February 14th. Spotrac has market values available for select players at https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/free-agents/.

WRs Who Are Going to Get Paid Over $20 Million Per Year

There are a lot of free agent WRs hitting the market in 2022. Out of all of them, there is one who is viewed as above the rest and worth a contract of more than $20 million per season. Right now, there are only three WRs in the over $20 million salary bracket (DeAndre Hopkins, Julio Jones and Keenan Allen with Amari Cooper making exactly $20 million), but Davante Adams is expected to join them for the 2022 season.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR229$14,500,000$25,867,703+ $11,367,703

Adams’ market value is projected at 5 years and $129,338,515, or $25,867,703 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Adams on their roster currently should expect to have to find an extra $11.37 million to keep him on their team. That’s a significant portion of the expected $17.99 million increase in the Dynasty Owner salary cap. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him

This is a tough decision. On one hand, you have the WR2 for the 2021 season, the WR1 in 2020 even though he missed two games and the WR23 in 2019 when he missed four games. He has over 1,000 yards in three of the past four seasons and only missed by three yards in 2019 in 12 games played. He has scored 10 or more TDs in five of the past six seasons. Obviously, he is a major talent who won’t turn 30 until near the end of next season. In a regular dynasty league, I’m not sure that you even entertain a trade for Adams.

On the other hand, it’s not a regular dynasty league, it’s Dynasty Owner and salaries matter. Adams is estimated to make nearly $26 million next year as well as the following four seasons. In 2022, he will be the second highest non-QB salary behind $27.25 million for Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins. His anticipated salary increase of $11.37 million is over three-fifths (63%) of the expected increase in the Dynasty Owner salary cap of $17.99 million. To keep Adams, your Dynasty Owner team is likely going to have to drop or trade other players and find more bargain salaries to make it work.

The fact that Adams may be playing without Aaron Rodgers for the first time in his career hasn’t even been mentioned yet. It’s an important consideration. Is Adams going to continue get over 10 targets per game as he’s averaged the past four seasons with Rodgers in Green Bay? Maybe next year, but what about 2027 when he’s pushing 35 years old? Those are things that you need to consider in Dynasty Owner that you might not think about in a regular dynasty league. Of course, he and Rodgers could continue to team up in Green Bay, or somewhere else, for another year (or more) and continue their high level of performance.

Dynasty Owners with Adams should trade him as soon as they can. His value is high, the possibility of playing with Rodgers and staying in Green Bay is still there. Another Dynasty Owner in your league is going to want Adams and will give you something of value in return for him. It may even turn into a bidding war for his services, which will drive up the price.

WRs Who Are Going to Get Between $15 and $20 Million per Year

The range of $15 million to $20 million is pretty wide as in terms of market values, the highest projected contract is $18.1 million per season and the lowest is $16.3 million, but we’ll stick with that range. These three WRs will join two who signed contract extensions with an annual salary in this range during the 2021 season. Tyler Lockett signed a 4-year, $69 million extension ($17.25 million per year) with the Seattle Seahawks and Courtland Sutton signed a 4-year, $60.8 million extension ($15.2 million per year) with the Denver Broncos. Both of those contracts will kick in on March 18th for Dynasty Owners. The other three have market values on Spotrac in this range with Chris Godwin having the highest.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR1625$15,983,000$18,195,988+ $2,212,988

Godwin’s market value is projected at 5 years and $90,979,940, or $18,195,988 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Godwin on their roster currently should expect to have to find only an extra $2.2 million to keep him on their team. He was on a one-year, transition tag deal last season to try and win another Super Bowl ring with the G.O.A.T.. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Keep him, unless you get a great trade offer

If he leaves Tampa, the team that signs Godwin will likely make him their WR1 receiver and a focal point of their passing offense. He should have every chance to succeed and be worth that contract. If he stays in Tampa, he will still be playing with Mike Evans and under Bruce Arians. In three years with Arians as his coach, Godwin has been the WR16 last season while playing in only 14 games, the WR30 in 2020 in just 12 games and the WR2 in 2019 in 14 games with Jameis Winston at QB.

On the negative side, he is coming off surgery for a torn ACL. Some may argue that he benefitted from Evans’ presence and might not be a WR1 on his own. If he stays with Tampa Bay, it will be without Brady. Finally, five years is a long time and maybe he won’t be worth the money at the end of the deal. None of these concerns are strong enough to trade him unless the offer is great and difficult to pass up.

The other two WRs in this salary range are Mike Williams and Allen Robinson. Both have very similar market values with Williams’ being slightly higher, so we’ll talk about him first.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR1227$15,680,000$16,739,980+ $1,059,980

Williams’ market value is projected at 4 years and $66,959,920, or $16,739,980 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. That’s just $1.06 million more in salary that Dynasty Owners with Williams on their roster currently should have to find to keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period and if you can’t get a deal, then drop him for free

His WR12 finish in 2021 was easily his best fantasy season in his five year NFL career. However, it was built off of a great stretch of four games in the first five weeks in which he had a total of 117.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (29.25 per game). In the other 12 games he played in, he had 132.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (11.05 per game). He had nine double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy point games in 2021, but in only two of those games did he fail to score a TD. In contrast, his teammate Keenan Allen was the WR11 and had 15 double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy point games and only scored six TDs. For a contract that would make put him in the top 10-12 WRs in annual salary, I need those Dynasty Owner fantasy points on a weekly basis. Williams isn’t a guy who’s going to do that for your Dynasty Owner team.

Allen Robinson is the final WR in this salary range.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR9028$17,880,000$16,376,209 – $1,503,791

Robinson’s market value is projected at 4 years and $65,504,836, or $16,376,209 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners who held on to Robinson during his terrible 2021 season (still rostered in 87.0% of Dynasty Owner leagues) will get a salary savings of $1.5 million if they keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period and if you can’t get a deal, then drop him for free

This is my assessment and what I would do if I had Robinson on any of my Dynasty Owner teams. I don’t have him and think that Dynasty Owners who stuck with Robinson throughout the 2021 season as he plummeted down to WR90 from WR9 in 2020 and WR8 in 2019 are more likely to hang on to him. They likely want to see if he turns it around. If the Dynasty Owner in your league drafted Robinson last year, or picked him up in a trade during the season, they might be more willing to part with Robinson than someone who had him in 2020. I’ll assume many Dynasty Owners will hold on to Robinson at this slightly lower salary, so if you want him on your Dynasty Owner team, you will have to pay more than you will now.

This assessment holds pretty much regardless of his landing spot as the Bears no longer have Matt Nagy as coach, but still have a QB of the future in Justin Fields. Robinson was a Top 10 QB in Dynasty Owner with Chase Daniel, Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky at QB. That says he’s not dependent on having a great QB throwing him the ball to provide great production.

WRs Who Are Going to Get Between $10 and $15 Million per Year

The range of $10 million to $15 million is also wide as all three WRs with those market values in that range are really in between $13.2 million and $11.9 million. These three WRs will join two who signed contract extensions with an annual salary in this range during the 2021 season. Robby Anderson is at the high end as he already signed a 2-year, $29.5 million extension ($14.75 million per year) with the Carolina Panthers and Tim Patrick is at the lower end with his 3-year, $34 million extension ($11.33 million per year) with the Denver Broncos. Both of those contracts kick in on March 18th for Dynasty Owners.

Out of the four free agent WRs who have market values in this range, the largest average annual salary amount is projected to be earned by Odell Beckham Jr. (OBJ).

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR6029$1,250,000$13,179,995+ $11,929,995

OBJ’s market value is projected at 2 years and $26,359,990, or $13,179,995 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners who held on to him throughout the 2021 season were originally paying him $18 million, then saw his salary drop down to $1.25 million when he was released by Cleveland and picked up by the Rams for an in-season savings of $16.75 million. His salary increase is projected at $11.93 million for Dynasty Owners who want to keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period and if you can’t get a deal, then drop him for free

My feelings on OBJ have been the same for a while. He wasn’t worth $18 million, and I suggested using an Amnesty Provision on him way back in March of 2020. He was the first player on my January 2021 list of Players to Avoid Drafting in 2021. Finally, my article titled “How to Rid Your Roster of an Unwanted Player” advocated getting rid of him when he was released by Cleveland before the Rams picked him up for just $1.25 million back in early November

After playing well for the Rams in eight games with 87.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (10.9 per game), he stepped it up in the NFL playoffs and will likely parlay that into a new high-salary contract. His trade value will be higher now than later as the glow of his playoff performance fades during the NFL off-season.

That last paragraph was obviously written before the Super Bowl. The best time to trade OBJ would have been after his first quarter TD as he injured his knee in the second quarter and didn’t return to play. This injury may change his market value, but regardless he is a NFL free agent, one NFL team will sign him, and Dynasty Owners will have to figure out what to do at that point.

Jamison Crowder has the next highest WR market value.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR6828$9,500,000$12,345,747+ $2,845,747

Crowder’s market value is projected at 4 years and $49,382,988, or $12,345,747 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Crowder on their roster currently should expect to have to find $2.846 million more in salary cap to keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Drop him for free after trying to trade him, but not having any success

At his current $9.5 million salary, Crowder is only rostered in 32.5% of Dynasty Owner leagues. Adding nearly $3 million on top of that for four years so the contract extends until Crowder will be 33 years of age won’t help that roster percentage or in finding a trade partner. At the height of his career, Crowder was the W27 in 2019 with 197.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 16 games played (12.35 points per game). His average Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game was higher in 2020 at 15.05 per game, but he only played 12 games and finished as the WR35. Poor QB play hasn’t helped Crowder during his time in New York, but he was the Jets’ top receiver both of those years and that’s certainly not happening anywhere else in the NFL. Shop him around, but trade offers will be minimal or non-existent, so you’ll likely just have to drop him.

The final three WRs have market values of just under $12 million per year. Since all of them are finishing up their rookie contracts, each will be making at least $10 million more next year. Despite playing only four games in 2021, D.J. Chark has the highest market value.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR15025$1,111,807$11,906,373+ $10,794,566

Chark’s market value is projected at 4 years and $47,625,492, or $11,906,373 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Chark on their roster only got four games of service from him in 2021 and should expect to have to find nearly $10.8 million more in salary cap to keep him on their team in 2022. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Hold him

Chark was a productive WR for the Jaguars in both 2019 and 2020 and started off the 2021 season with two good games before fracturing his ankle in Week 4 and missing the rest of the season. If you drafted Chark, you likely spent a pretty early draft pick to get him (ADP 80.5 in 2021 and 85.8 in 2020), so the talent was supposed to be there at a low salary of $1,111,807. The talent is still there, and he should be in a much better situation than Jacksonville. The main stumbling block is the extra salary. Yes, $11.9 million is a nice salary, but it won’t even put him in the top 25 in WR salary. There are better values out there, but unlike RBs, there’s no reason to automatically trade away a young WR who is getting his second contract. Holding Chark to see how he fares in his first year at his new salary is reasonable. He can always be traded away for something if he doesn’t play well or even dropped with an Amnesty Provision since his contract will have nearly $36 million left on it.

Next on the just under $12 million per year salary list is Christian Kirk.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR2725$1,473,717$11,893,133+ $10,419,416

Kirk’s market value is projected at 4 years and $47,572,532, or $11,893,133 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. This is only $13,240 less per year than Chark, so don’t be surprised if they sign identical deals. His salary increase is projected at $10.42 million for Dynasty Owners who want to keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Hold him

The same recommendation as Chark, but if you have both of them on your Dynasty Owner team and can only hold on to one of them, I’d choose Kirk. Kirk has performed well every season and averaged over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in all four seasons from 2018 to 2021. In 44 games over the past three seasons, he only scored 14 TDs, but had 26 games with 10.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

Kirk was a great value on his rookie contract and can still help your Dynasty Owner team win, it’s just that he’s going to cost more in salary now. Fortunately, the increase in the salary cap gives you the space to keep a couple of players who will earn a salary increase. He’s unlikely to singlehandedly win your team a League Championship, but he can be an important piece in the FLEX position or as a bye week and injury replacement in the Starting lineup, so holding on to him is advised.

Finally, our list of $10 million or more per year free agent WRs ends with Michael Gallup.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR8425$880,995$11,870,671+ $10,989,676

Gallup’s market value is projected at 4 years and $47,482,684, or $11,870,671 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. This is only $22,462 less per year than Kirk and $35,702 less per year than Chark. All three of them might sign identical deals. His salary increase is projected at $10.99 million for Dynasty Owners who want to keep Gallup on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Hold him

The same recommendation as Chark and Kirk. Gallup played in only 9 games in 2021 after playing in 46 out of 48 games in his first three seasons. His WR ranking has slipped from WR22 in 2019 to WR38 in 2020 to WR84 in 2021. He dropped from averaging 15.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in 2019 to 10.8 per game in 2020 and 10.2 in 2021 due to the presence of CeeDee Lamb in the Cowboys lineup. Being able to average double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points on a team with Lamb, Amari Cooper, Ezekiel Elliott along with the emergence of Dalton Schultz is a good sign that Gallup can be productive if he remains in Dallas or moves elsewhere in free agency. Staying in Dallas would reduce his value, but it would make the possibility of him turning into a bust at his new salary a lot less likely. A new home could unlock his full potential and make him a bargain. That alone is a good reason to hold on to Gallup.

Conclusion

We have nine free agent WRs who are expected to sign contracts of more than $10 million per season in free agency. However, the gap in total contract amount is wide as it ranges from as much as $129.34 million (Davante Adams) to as little as $26.36 million (Odell Beckham Jr.). Out of the nine WRs mentioned, eight of them are expected to retain a high roster percentage in Dynasty Owner and have at least some value.

As mentioned at the beginning of this article, there are a total of 19 WRs with Spotrac market values. The final ten will be highlighted next week as they all have market values of less than $10 million per year. The players on the high salary WR list were pretty much as anticipated, while there are some surprising WRs who don’t have a market value as well as vice versa. Read next week’s article to find out who made the list and who didn’t.

The weekly Dynasty Owner livestream with myself and Tim Peffer is back at its regular day and time – Wednesday at 4 PM (Eastern). Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button. You can also listen to it afterwards wherever you get your podcasts.

Please read all of the off-season articles from our Dynasty Owner team as well. On Mondays, I write about players, salaries and contracts to help new and returning Dynasty Owners navigate how to play our unique game. Jay Pounds is writing about everything on rebuilding your Dynasty Owner roster on Tuesday. Nate Christian is back for 2022 and will do prospect previews every Thursday. Finally, Friday is Free Agent Friday right now as Matt Morrison – The Jerk breaks down the free agents on every NFL team by division.

Thanks for reading and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Now that the Super Bowl is over, Dynasty Owners can turn their total focus to the Dynasty Owner off-season and upcoming free agency period. We’ll give the Rams’ fans an extra day or two to celebrate and Bengals’ fans the same time period to get over what happened, but they don’t want to wait too long to start thinking about the off-season as things will start moving soon.

NFL free agents can re-sign with their current team, or wait until March 16th and sign with a new one. Those new contracts, as well as the contract extensions signed during the 2021 season, will take effect for Dynasty Owners on March 18th. We don’t have a finalized 2022 salary cap yet since the NFL hasn’t finalized theirs, but it’s anticipated to be $145.74 million (70% of the expected $208.2 million NFL salary cap).

In other dynasty leagues, you may start thinking about rookies and which ones you want on your team, but Dynasty Owner is different because rookies are harder to evaluate because you have to take their contract into effect. That’s why NFL free agency is more important in Dynasty Owner than a regular dynasty league. Players changing teams might impact how much you value a certain player on your regular dynasty league team, but you’re unlikely to drop a player solely based on the fact that he switched teams. However, in Dynasty Owner, a new team means a new contract and that new contract might make a player too expensive to take up a roster spot on your Dynasty Owner team that has to stay under the salary cap.

The contract increases (and in some rare cases, contract decreases) will impact the Dynasty Owner’s decision on whether to keep that player and his new contract on their team. If they don’t want the player and his new contract, they can trade the player or drop them for free during the contract change window (currently seven days, but possibly going up). There are a lot of free agents out there who will be getting new contracts and Dynasty Owners can start planning for their contracts using the anticipated free agent market values from Spotrac (https://www.spotrac.com/).

After discussing mostly RBs for the past two weeks, it’s time to turn our focus to the WRs for a pair of articles. Since not everyone has the time to go check out the market value for all of the impending free agents or even just the 19 WRs with a Spotrac market value, I’ll look for you. This article  will give their Market Value estimates, compare it to the player’s 2021 Dynasty Owner salary and make a recommendation for what to do with the player at that new salary. Since there are 19 free agent WRs to go over, the high salary WRs ($10 million or more average annual salaries) will go first, followed by the lower salary WRs. The high salary RBs had market values of over $5 million and none were in the $10 million or more range. In contrast, for WRs, we have nine who are expected to command annual salaries of $10 million or more.

Before we get to the part about how players score Dynasty Owner fantasy points, let me brag a bit about my Super Bowl prediction. Last week, I predicted a Rams victory by a score of 23-19, which was only one point off of the exact final score of 23-20. Check out last week’s article if you don’t believe it. I thought there would be a bit more offense by the Bengals being stuffed in the red zone leading to more field goals for them than happened, which is why the Bengals’ score ended up being off by a point. Enough about that, let’s congratulate Matthew Stafford, Aaron Donald and the rest of the Los Angeles Rams for winning the Super Bowl!

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, all statistics, Average Draft Positions (ADPs), and 2021 position ranks were current as of the morning of February 14th. Spotrac has market values available for select players at https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/free-agents/.

WRs Who Are Going to Get Paid Over $20 Million Per Year

There are a lot of free agent WRs hitting the market in 2022. Out of all of them, there is one who is viewed as above the rest and worth a contract of more than $20 million per season. Right now, there are only three WRs in the over $20 million salary bracket (DeAndre Hopkins, Julio Jones and Keenan Allen with Amari Cooper making exactly $20 million), but Davante Adams is expected to join them for the 2022 season.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR229$14,500,000$25,867,703+ $11,367,703

Adams’ market value is projected at 5 years and $129,338,515, or $25,867,703 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Adams on their roster currently should expect to have to find an extra $11.37 million to keep him on their team. That’s a significant portion of the expected $17.99 million increase in the Dynasty Owner salary cap. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him

This is a tough decision. On one hand, you have the WR2 for the 2021 season, the WR1 in 2020 even though he missed two games and the WR23 in 2019 when he missed four games. He has over 1,000 yards in three of the past four seasons and only missed by three yards in 2019 in 12 games played. He has scored 10 or more TDs in five of the past six seasons. Obviously, he is a major talent who won’t turn 30 until near the end of next season. In a regular dynasty league, I’m not sure that you even entertain a trade for Adams.

On the other hand, it’s not a regular dynasty league, it’s Dynasty Owner and salaries matter. Adams is estimated to make nearly $26 million next year as well as the following four seasons. In 2022, he will be the second highest non-QB salary behind $27.25 million for Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins. His anticipated salary increase of $11.37 million is over three-fifths (63%) of the expected increase in the Dynasty Owner salary cap of $17.99 million. To keep Adams, your Dynasty Owner team is likely going to have to drop or trade other players and find more bargain salaries to make it work.

The fact that Adams may be playing without Aaron Rodgers for the first time in his career hasn’t even been mentioned yet. It’s an important consideration. Is Adams going to continue get over 10 targets per game as he’s averaged the past four seasons with Rodgers in Green Bay? Maybe next year, but what about 2027 when he’s pushing 35 years old? Those are things that you need to consider in Dynasty Owner that you might not think about in a regular dynasty league. Of course, he and Rodgers could continue to team up in Green Bay, or somewhere else, for another year (or more) and continue their high level of performance.

Dynasty Owners with Adams should trade him as soon as they can. His value is high, the possibility of playing with Rodgers and staying in Green Bay is still there. Another Dynasty Owner in your league is going to want Adams and will give you something of value in return for him. It may even turn into a bidding war for his services, which will drive up the price.

WRs Who Are Going to Get Between $15 and $20 Million per Year

The range of $15 million to $20 million is pretty wide as in terms of market values, the highest projected contract is $18.1 million per season and the lowest is $16.3 million, but we’ll stick with that range. These three WRs will join two who signed contract extensions with an annual salary in this range during the 2021 season. Tyler Lockett signed a 4-year, $69 million extension ($17.25 million per year) with the Seattle Seahawks and Courtland Sutton signed a 4-year, $60.8 million extension ($15.2 million per year) with the Denver Broncos. Both of those contracts will kick in on March 18th for Dynasty Owners. The other three have market values on Spotrac in this range with Chris Godwin having the highest.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR1625$15,983,000$18,195,988+ $2,212,988

Godwin’s market value is projected at 5 years and $90,979,940, or $18,195,988 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Godwin on their roster currently should expect to have to find only an extra $2.2 million to keep him on their team. He was on a one-year, transition tag deal last season to try and win another Super Bowl ring with the G.O.A.T.. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Keep him, unless you get a great trade offer

If he leaves Tampa, the team that signs Godwin will likely make him their WR1 receiver and a focal point of their passing offense. He should have every chance to succeed and be worth that contract. If he stays in Tampa, he will still be playing with Mike Evans and under Bruce Arians. In three years with Arians as his coach, Godwin has been the WR16 last season while playing in only 14 games, the WR30 in 2020 in just 12 games and the WR2 in 2019 in 14 games with Jameis Winston at QB.

On the negative side, he is coming off surgery for a torn ACL. Some may argue that he benefitted from Evans’ presence and might not be a WR1 on his own. If he stays with Tampa Bay, it will be without Brady. Finally, five years is a long time and maybe he won’t be worth the money at the end of the deal. None of these concerns are strong enough to trade him unless the offer is great and difficult to pass up.

The other two WRs in this salary range are Mike Williams and Allen Robinson. Both have very similar market values with Williams’ being slightly higher, so we’ll talk about him first.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR1227$15,680,000$16,739,980+ $1,059,980

Williams’ market value is projected at 4 years and $66,959,920, or $16,739,980 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. That’s just $1.06 million more in salary that Dynasty Owners with Williams on their roster currently should have to find to keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period and if you can’t get a deal, then drop him for free

His WR12 finish in 2021 was easily his best fantasy season in his five year NFL career. However, it was built off of a great stretch of four games in the first five weeks in which he had a total of 117.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (29.25 per game). In the other 12 games he played in, he had 132.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (11.05 per game). He had nine double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy point games in 2021, but in only two of those games did he fail to score a TD. In contrast, his teammate Keenan Allen was the WR11 and had 15 double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy point games and only scored six TDs. For a contract that would make put him in the top 10-12 WRs in annual salary, I need those Dynasty Owner fantasy points on a weekly basis. Williams isn’t a guy who’s going to do that for your Dynasty Owner team.

Allen Robinson is the final WR in this salary range.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR9028$17,880,000$16,376,209 – $1,503,791

Robinson’s market value is projected at 4 years and $65,504,836, or $16,376,209 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners who held on to Robinson during his terrible 2021 season (still rostered in 87.0% of Dynasty Owner leagues) will get a salary savings of $1.5 million if they keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period and if you can’t get a deal, then drop him for free

This is my assessment and what I would do if I had Robinson on any of my Dynasty Owner teams. I don’t have him and think that Dynasty Owners who stuck with Robinson throughout the 2021 season as he plummeted down to WR90 from WR9 in 2020 and WR8 in 2019 are more likely to hang on to him. They likely want to see if he turns it around. If the Dynasty Owner in your league drafted Robinson last year, or picked him up in a trade during the season, they might be more willing to part with Robinson than someone who had him in 2020. I’ll assume many Dynasty Owners will hold on to Robinson at this slightly lower salary, so if you want him on your Dynasty Owner team, you will have to pay more than you will now.

This assessment holds pretty much regardless of his landing spot as the Bears no longer have Matt Nagy as coach, but still have a QB of the future in Justin Fields. Robinson was a Top 10 QB in Dynasty Owner with Chase Daniel, Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky at QB. That says he’s not dependent on having a great QB throwing him the ball to provide great production.

WRs Who Are Going to Get Between $10 and $15 Million per Year

The range of $10 million to $15 million is also wide as all three WRs with those market values in that range are really in between $13.2 million and $11.9 million. These three WRs will join two who signed contract extensions with an annual salary in this range during the 2021 season. Robby Anderson is at the high end as he already signed a 2-year, $29.5 million extension ($14.75 million per year) with the Carolina Panthers and Tim Patrick is at the lower end with his 3-year, $34 million extension ($11.33 million per year) with the Denver Broncos. Both of those contracts kick in on March 18th for Dynasty Owners.

Out of the four free agent WRs who have market values in this range, the largest average annual salary amount is projected to be earned by Odell Beckham Jr. (OBJ).

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR6029$1,250,000$13,179,995+ $11,929,995

OBJ’s market value is projected at 2 years and $26,359,990, or $13,179,995 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners who held on to him throughout the 2021 season were originally paying him $18 million, then saw his salary drop down to $1.25 million when he was released by Cleveland and picked up by the Rams for an in-season savings of $16.75 million. His salary increase is projected at $11.93 million for Dynasty Owners who want to keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period and if you can’t get a deal, then drop him for free

My feelings on OBJ have been the same for a while. He wasn’t worth $18 million, and I suggested using an Amnesty Provision on him way back in March of 2020. He was the first player on my January 2021 list of Players to Avoid Drafting in 2021. Finally, my article titled “How to Rid Your Roster of an Unwanted Player” advocated getting rid of him when he was released by Cleveland before the Rams picked him up for just $1.25 million back in early November

After playing well for the Rams in eight games with 87.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (10.9 per game), he stepped it up in the NFL playoffs and will likely parlay that into a new high-salary contract. His trade value will be higher now than later as the glow of his playoff performance fades during the NFL off-season.

That last paragraph was obviously written before the Super Bowl. The best time to trade OBJ would have been after his first quarter TD as he injured his knee in the second quarter and didn’t return to play. This injury may change his market value, but regardless he is a NFL free agent, one NFL team will sign him, and Dynasty Owners will have to figure out what to do at that point.

Jamison Crowder has the next highest WR market value.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR6828$9,500,000$12,345,747+ $2,845,747

Crowder’s market value is projected at 4 years and $49,382,988, or $12,345,747 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Crowder on their roster currently should expect to have to find $2.846 million more in salary cap to keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Drop him for free after trying to trade him, but not having any success

At his current $9.5 million salary, Crowder is only rostered in 32.5% of Dynasty Owner leagues. Adding nearly $3 million on top of that for four years so the contract extends until Crowder will be 33 years of age won’t help that roster percentage or in finding a trade partner. At the height of his career, Crowder was the W27 in 2019 with 197.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 16 games played (12.35 points per game). His average Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game was higher in 2020 at 15.05 per game, but he only played 12 games and finished as the WR35. Poor QB play hasn’t helped Crowder during his time in New York, but he was the Jets’ top receiver both of those years and that’s certainly not happening anywhere else in the NFL. Shop him around, but trade offers will be minimal or non-existent, so you’ll likely just have to drop him.

The final three WRs have market values of just under $12 million per year. Since all of them are finishing up their rookie contracts, each will be making at least $10 million more next year. Despite playing only four games in 2021, D.J. Chark has the highest market value.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR15025$1,111,807$11,906,373+ $10,794,566

Chark’s market value is projected at 4 years and $47,625,492, or $11,906,373 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Chark on their roster only got four games of service from him in 2021 and should expect to have to find nearly $10.8 million more in salary cap to keep him on their team in 2022. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Hold him

Chark was a productive WR for the Jaguars in both 2019 and 2020 and started off the 2021 season with two good games before fracturing his ankle in Week 4 and missing the rest of the season. If you drafted Chark, you likely spent a pretty early draft pick to get him (ADP 80.5 in 2021 and 85.8 in 2020), so the talent was supposed to be there at a low salary of $1,111,807. The talent is still there, and he should be in a much better situation than Jacksonville. The main stumbling block is the extra salary. Yes, $11.9 million is a nice salary, but it won’t even put him in the top 25 in WR salary. There are better values out there, but unlike RBs, there’s no reason to automatically trade away a young WR who is getting his second contract. Holding Chark to see how he fares in his first year at his new salary is reasonable. He can always be traded away for something if he doesn’t play well or even dropped with an Amnesty Provision since his contract will have nearly $36 million left on it.

Next on the just under $12 million per year salary list is Christian Kirk.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR2725$1,473,717$11,893,133+ $10,419,416

Kirk’s market value is projected at 4 years and $47,572,532, or $11,893,133 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. This is only $13,240 less per year than Chark, so don’t be surprised if they sign identical deals. His salary increase is projected at $10.42 million for Dynasty Owners who want to keep him on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Hold him

The same recommendation as Chark, but if you have both of them on your Dynasty Owner team and can only hold on to one of them, I’d choose Kirk. Kirk has performed well every season and averaged over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in all four seasons from 2018 to 2021. In 44 games over the past three seasons, he only scored 14 TDs, but had 26 games with 10.0 or more Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

Kirk was a great value on his rookie contract and can still help your Dynasty Owner team win, it’s just that he’s going to cost more in salary now. Fortunately, the increase in the salary cap gives you the space to keep a couple of players who will earn a salary increase. He’s unlikely to singlehandedly win your team a League Championship, but he can be an important piece in the FLEX position or as a bye week and injury replacement in the Starting lineup, so holding on to him is advised.

Finally, our list of $10 million or more per year free agent WRs ends with Michael Gallup.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR8425$880,995$11,870,671+ $10,989,676

Gallup’s market value is projected at 4 years and $47,482,684, or $11,870,671 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. This is only $22,462 less per year than Kirk and $35,702 less per year than Chark. All three of them might sign identical deals. His salary increase is projected at $10.99 million for Dynasty Owners who want to keep Gallup on their team. What should they do?

Current Recommendation: Hold him

The same recommendation as Chark and Kirk. Gallup played in only 9 games in 2021 after playing in 46 out of 48 games in his first three seasons. His WR ranking has slipped from WR22 in 2019 to WR38 in 2020 to WR84 in 2021. He dropped from averaging 15.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in 2019 to 10.8 per game in 2020 and 10.2 in 2021 due to the presence of CeeDee Lamb in the Cowboys lineup. Being able to average double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points on a team with Lamb, Amari Cooper, Ezekiel Elliott along with the emergence of Dalton Schultz is a good sign that Gallup can be productive if he remains in Dallas or moves elsewhere in free agency. Staying in Dallas would reduce his value, but it would make the possibility of him turning into a bust at his new salary a lot less likely. A new home could unlock his full potential and make him a bargain. That alone is a good reason to hold on to Gallup.

Conclusion

We have nine free agent WRs who are expected to sign contracts of more than $10 million per season in free agency. However, the gap in total contract amount is wide as it ranges from as much as $129.34 million (Davante Adams) to as little as $26.36 million (Odell Beckham Jr.). Out of the nine WRs mentioned, eight of them are expected to retain a high roster percentage in Dynasty Owner and have at least some value.

As mentioned at the beginning of this article, there are a total of 19 WRs with Spotrac market values. The final ten will be highlighted next week as they all have market values of less than $10 million per year. The players on the high salary WR list were pretty much as anticipated, while there are some surprising WRs who don’t have a market value as well as vice versa. Read next week’s article to find out who made the list and who didn’t.

The weekly Dynasty Owner livestream with myself and Tim Peffer is back at its regular day and time – Wednesday at 4 PM (Eastern). Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button. You can also listen to it afterwards wherever you get your podcasts.

Please read all of the off-season articles from our Dynasty Owner team as well. On Mondays, I write about players, salaries and contracts to help new and returning Dynasty Owners navigate how to play our unique game. Jay Pounds is writing about everything on rebuilding your Dynasty Owner roster on Tuesday. Nate Christian is back for 2022 and will do prospect previews every Thursday. Finally, Friday is Free Agent Friday right now as Matt Morrison – The Jerk breaks down the free agents on every NFL team by division.

Thanks for reading and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Wide Receiver Top 10 Rankings: Kansas City Chiefs Breakdown

Kansas City Chiefs’ Breakdown

Hello Owners, and thank you for continuing to read my weekly articles.  I hope all of you are also able to watch my video breakdowns on YouTube or at least listen to them via podcast.  As all of you know, I am very passionate about Dynasty Owner.  I imagine most of you are too if you follow my articles.  I want to thank you all for supporting this platform, and for spreading the news about Dynasty Owner.  With that out of the way, I want to talk about last week’s article a little before I jump into this one.

Since the start of 2021,  I have been centering my articles around each NFL division and, in turn, each NFL team.  Last week was a little different, and I didn’t explain why.  When I decided to go with this ranking theme for the month of June, I expected everything to go pretty smooth.  We have four main positions that need to be ranked, and we have four teams in each division.  I was going to try and put one player from each team in their respective position rankings.  The quarterback rankings started with Justin Herbert.  Herbert is my number one quarterback in Dynasty Owner.  That week worked well.  Running back rankings, however, turned out to be harder than I thought.  I wrongfully assumed that either Josh Jacobs (LV) or Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) would be my delegate from the running back position.  (Hell, I had them both ranked as Top 5 running backs last year.)  As I said, that was a wrong assumption.  As soon as I stated each player out, I quickly realized that Jacobs belonged nowhere near the Top 10 and CEH was going to rank no higher than RB14.  I wanted to sneak CEH into the Top 10, and I thought about it, but it wouldn’t have been reflective of my true rankings.  Therefore (as you probably noticed) I did not have a “team theme” for last week.  While working on my wide receiver rankings, I found that we are going to have the same issue.  No matter how hard I tried, there was no way to fit a Raiders or Broncos wide receiver into the Top 10.  Here is my resolution.  Next week I will combine the Raiders and Broncos breakdowns into one article.  The next article will discuss Top 10 tight end rankings and both teams will have a tight end in the Top 10 for my rankings.

Wide Receiver Rankings

A few important facts to note before I release the rankings…

First, all Dynasty Owner leagues are full PPR (Point per Reception).  This means that you will receive one full point for a reception that any of your players completes.  Obviously, running backs and tight ends will receive these valuable points as well.  For the most part though, wide receivers account for the majority of the PPR points that are handed out.  This places a big emphasis on wide receivers especially if you would compare it to a ½ PPR or no PPR league.  So, what does this mean for my rankings?  To be honest, it plays into them, but does not affect the wide receiver to wide receiver rankings much.  What it does affect is my overall rankings, especially how low reception running backs compare to high reception wide receivers.  Think about Derek Henry for example.  There is a reason that he was not ranked in my Top 10 running backs last week, and the reason is not completely his salary.  Henry ranked 45th among all running backs in terms of receptions in 2020.  While that drops him below some of his pass catching peers, it also drops him below some wide receivers that you may not expect.

Second, as I mentioned in my previous article, these rankings are not only reflective of value, but they also reflect where I personally like to spend my salary cap.  I tend to avoid paying for expensive running backs (at least in the early rounds).  This allows me to pay for expensive wide receivers and quarterbacks in the middle rounds.  My rankings will reflect that, and it is the reason that I have twice as many “high contract” wide receivers as I do running backs in the Top 10.

RankPlayer2020 DO Finish2021 DO Proj FinishYears RemainingSalary
WR1Justin Jefferson793$3,280,701
WR2D.K. Metcalf652$1,146,513
WR3Tyreek Hill212$18,000,000
WR4Calvin Ridley542$2,725,178
WR5Davante Adams181$14,500,000
WR6Stefon Diggs333$14,400,000
WR7A.J. Brown1172$1,413,092
WR8Terry McLaurin2062$961,918
WR9CeeDee Lamb22153$3,502,503
WR10DeAndre Hopkins424$27,250,000

Justin Jefferson comes in as my WR1 at this moment.  What is the reason?  He’s on a rookie contract ($3,280,701) for three more years, and he was WR7 in Dynasty Owner last season.  Will he be the highest scoring wide receiver in 2021?  Probably not.  Will he be the highest scoring wide receiver over the next three years?  Probably not.  But he will be a reliably Top 10 wide receiver over those three years, and there are very few receivers who will have a lower DD/FT (Dynasty Dollars per Point).  JJ is top level value in the same way that Jonathan Taylor is top tier value.

DK Metcalf is WR2.  I project that Metcalf will outscore Jefferson over the next three seasons but that the point difference will most likely be negligible.  Given that idea, the extra year JJ has on his rookie contract is far more valuable than any year to year advantage DK has.

Here is where our “team theme” resumes.  Tyreek Hill is an unbelievably talented wide receiver playing with an unbelievably talented quarterback.  Here are Tyreek’s last three seasons…

 RecTotal YardsTDsFantasy Points/GameTotal Fantasy Points
2018871,6301320.9334
2019841,2841017.1273.9
2020931,4921822.3356.2

(Stats are based on a full 16 game season)

These numbers are very consistent, and any of these years would be on pace of a Top 10 wide receiver.  Yes, there is an elephant in the room, and it’s the fact that Hill costs $18,000,000 per year to own.  That is not a small amount, and it could be too much that you feel scared away from him.  I’m here to tell you not to be.  If you budget correctly for the rest of the draft, there is no reason that you should be worried about drafting Hill.  In one of my paid leagues, I have acquired Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey, Hill and Darren Waller.  Now, you most likely aren’t going to be able to draft all four of them in a startup league, but the point remains…it is possible to spend early and have enough cap to finish the draft.  Hill is not going to win any efficiency awards this year, but there is a very real (maybe even likely) possibility that he is the WR1 at the end of the 2021 season.  A few more points before we move on…

I haven’t mentioned the receiving bonus or Clutch Scoring that Dynasty Owner employs.  The receiving bonus is awarded as 6 points if a player has at least 200 receiving yards in a single game.  This is no doubt a rare event.  In fact, only three players in 2020 had 200 or more receiving yards in a game.  One is Tyreek Hill with 269 in Week 12 against the Buccaneers.  Can you name the other two?  (Hint: They both had exactly 200 receiving yards and only one is a wide receiver.)  While these six points being awarded is rare, Hill is the most capable player in the NFL to do it.  I’m going to make a bold prediction right now and predict that Hill will have two 200 yard receiving games in the 2021 season. 

The final thing I want to mention is Clutch Scoring.  Along with real salaries and bench scoring, Clutch Scoring is one of the many facets of Dynasty Owner that makes it unique.  Clutch Scoring is awarded as 3 points when any of your players score in the final two minutes of regulation or anytime in overtime as long as that score results in a lead change.  This also applies to tied games.  Obviously, this bonus is nearly impossible to predict, and to be honest, the success of the Chiefs hampers all of their players from receiving it.  However, if the Chiefs do find themselves down and in a two minute offense at the end of the game, Hill is one of the biggest threats to score.  We know he can score and that he can score quick.  Again, these bonuses are not likely to be awarded on a weekly basis, but Hill is one of the most capable receivers to get them.

Calvin Ridley has proven quite a bit in his young career, but he will have to prove it all again.  This time it will be as the Alpha on his team.  There have been numerous tales of secondary wide receivers that were unable to take over as the “lead receiver” after the Alpha left.  I personally believe that Ridley can and will do it.  It also doesn’t hurt that Kyle Pitts comes in as another prime weapon and matchup nightmare for future defenses.  Time will tell how successful Ridley will be as the Alpha, but with two years still on his rookie deal, he will have a lot of room for error.

Davante Adams and Stefon Diggs come in as WR5 and WR6.  Both have nearly identical salaries ($14,500,000 and $14,400,000), and they are both coming off of superb seasons (WR1 and WR3).  I wouldn’t argue with you if you liked Diggs over Adams, but Adams’ dominant season in 2020 (despite missing two games) puts him just ahead of Diggs.

A.J. Brown and Terry McLaurin rank next as rock solid value picks.  The addition of Julio Jones in Tennessee worries me somewhat as he will take volume away from Brown.  However, I believe the Julio addition makes the Titans a better team overall which will allow for longer drives and more scoring potential.

CeeDee Lamb has the most expensive contract of all the “cheap contract” receivers on this list.  Even still, he is poised to have another successful year.  Hopefully in 2021, he will have Dak Prescott for the entire season.  If he does, I’m projecting a Top 15 wide receiver finish for him.

DeAndre Hopkins rounds out these rankings, and I struggled with this pick for quite a while.  He is by far the most expensive wide receiver in the NFL (it’s not close).  However, when I look at his finish last season (WR4) and his projected finish this season (WR2), I can’t help but think that his production necessitates a spot in the list.  I am aware that Hopkins is 29 years old and is reaching the declination point for wide receivers in the NFL.  I contend that even if he only plays for the duration of the rest of his contract (4 years), he will be productive enough to warrant a top receiver ranking.  As I said in the beginning, I will gladly pay for expensive wide receivers if I can successfully draft the cheap running backs.

*The two players (other than T. Hill) that recorded 200 yard receiving games are Tyler Lockett and Darren Waller.

That does it for me this week.  Message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know what you agree with or disagree with as far as my rankings go.  Give me a shout if you just want to talk about fantasy football in general.  Also, I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube.  Next week I’ll wrap up this division as I bring a double team breakdown and my tight end Top 10 rankings.  Thank you all.  Take care and be safe.

TheJerk

2020 Dynasty Owner Regular Season Awards

By: Jay Pounds (@JayPoundsNFL)

Do you remember back in June wondering if there would even be a 2020 NFL season? Well, the NFL did it with surprisingly minimal hiccups. We saw plenty of game time changes, game date changes, player and personnel changes, no preseason, and so many more little altercations from the norm, but all that said it was still a fantastic football season. The most extreme case we all witnessed in 2020 was the Denver Broncos quarterback situation, other than that the NFL must be thrilled with the way this season played out. While the NFL season is not finished yet, the Dynasty Owner season is and with that can only mean two things, the offseason, and the end of season awards.

With the offseason now upon us it is a very crucial time for our owners compared to other formats. In the coming months you will need to handle your roster, contracts, preparing for the rookie draft, and much more. If you would like to stay ahead of the field be sure to keep an eye out for future articles and videos by the Dynasty Owner team, but enough talk about the coming months, it is time for the awards.

These awards will have silly names just as the midseason awards did, with different winners of course. I take immense pride in being able to bring you all these awards as it is something, I always enjoy reading each year from all the different analysts around fantasy football. My favorite part about awards in sports are the great debates and opinions that come with them, so if any of you would like to debate some of these please feel free to message me on twitter.

The “Why Did I Draft Him” Award

  • Winner- Michael Thomas – 5 years – $19,250,000/ $229,439 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – T.Y. Hilton – 1 year – $13,000,000/ $79,172 ($DD/PT)
  • Award Meaning – A player who was a headache for owners.

Thomas – The classic why did I draft this player dilemma is never a fun place to be. Michael Thomas is the winner here and while he was injured for a portion of the season, he also was punching his teammates at practice and causing issues according to reports. Talent will never be the question with a player of Thomas’ caliber but off the field issues may be, and while I am not saying it is a foregone conclusion that he is the next Antonio Brown, it is not a fantastic looking pattern of behavior either. Owners had to pay Thomas over $19 million this season and got virtually nothing in return aside from 3 decent games (by Thomas standards).

Hilton – Interestingly I decided to put the runner-up Hilton in 2 awards that contraindicate each other (as you will see later) but that is the beauty of Dynasty Owner, Hiltons contract is the sole reason he is the runner-up.

Midseason Winner – T.Y. Hilton

The “I Am So Glad I Drafted Him” Award

  • Winner – Josh Allen – 2 years, $5,295,760/ $10,261 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – Calvin Ridley – 3 years, $2,725,178/ $9,715
  • Award Meaning – The most surprising player with a low $DD/PT.

Allen – This is one of the best awards to have one of your players win in my opinion. If you had Allen this season you drafted him extremely high, which let us face it, it was a risk at the time. Allen has tremendous rushing upside near the goal line which is one of the main reasons Owners drafted him so high. What owners did not expect is the level of top end consistency in the passing game that this kid was able to produce this season. Allen finished as the QB-2 overall with 2 games scoring 50 points or more and a total of 6 games with 40 points or more scored. He had over 4500 yards passing with 37 touchdowns in 2020 making the future in Buffalo brighter than it has been in decades.

Ridley – The runner-up Ridley finally had his breakout season we all expected. He finished with almost 1400 yards receiving and missing double digit touchdowns for the 2nd time in his career by just 1. Ridley was also able to display that he is more than capable of being the number one guy when Julio leaves town, which means great news for his owners.

Midseason Winner – Gardner Minshew

The “I Really Want Him Moving Forward” Award

  • Winner – Justin Jefferson – 4 years, $3,280,071/ $12,008 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – Jonathan Taylor – 4 years, $1,957,287/ $7,476 ($DD/PT)
  • Award Meaning – The best dynasty asset moving forward.

Jefferson – I am not sure there is much I can tell you about the winner of this award that you have not already seen or heard. The LSU product undeniably exploded onto the scene in week 3 and then never looked back, shattering records along the way. As a rookie he was able to amass 85 catches for 1400 yards and 7 touchdowns, finishing as the number 7 wide receiver for the year. The fact Jefferson was able to do all of this with extremely limited mini camps, OTA’S, and zero preseason makes what he accomplished even scarier than it originally looked. If you were one of the lucky owners who drafted or acquired Jefferson consider yourself blessed, because you should have a starting slot on your roster filled for quite some time.

Taylor – The runner up Taylor started the year off in a bad way and looked horrible while doing it. He was constantly missing holes, running into blockers, and getting outperformed by teammates on a weekly basis, until week 10 that is. Taylor finished as strong as I can ever remember a rookie finishing and looks poised to be the next great back in fantasy.

Midseason Winner – DK Metcalf

The “Juggler” Award

  • Winner – D.J. Chark, 2 years – $1,111,807/ $7,238 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – Leonard Fournette – 1 year, $2,000,000/ $14,925 ($DD/PT)
  • Award Meaning – A player who was very inconsistent.

Chark – One of my favorite overall awards in this entire article is this award, and that is because drafting a talented player who you never want to play due to inconsistency happens to every owner at some point, no matter how good you are. What I mean by that is every owner that plays not just dynasty owner, but fantasy football has drafted a headache at some point. While Chark did not have a horrible season, he also did not get anywhere close to what was expected of him from fantasy owners. After starting the 2020 season on fire Chark fell off dramatically after week 4 posting just one week over 20 points and just 3 games with 10 points or more after week 6.

Fournette – Fournette, the runner up was chosen for many of the same reasons as Chark. Fournette was drafted high in all leagues only to be cut from the Jaguars shortly after. He then showed signs of promise in week 2 with a massive game leading to false hope for his owners.

Midseason Winner – Dionte Johnson

The “Best Jay Suggestion” Award

  • Winner – Mike Davis – 1 year – $3,000,000/ $14,599 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – Nelson Agholor – $1,047,500/ $5,644 ($DD/PT)
  • Award Meaning – The best free agent of 2020.

Davis – The best free agent in 2020 is hands down Mike Davis. The way Davis was able to step in and give you close to 3/4ths the production of CMC is superhuman if you think of the context behind it. CMC is the greatest fantasy player since Tomlinson, and Davis is a journeyman back who has never stuck with a team. Davis was able to manage 642 yards rushing on just 165 carries, while adding an additional 373 yards receiving and 8 touchdowns. We will see if this turns into a shot somewhere for Davis or another backup role, but either way he played well enough to win this award in 2020.

Agholor – The runner up Agholor is another veteran no one expected to have a good season yet here we are talking about him. Agholor had a great connection with Derek Carr and that paid off to the tune of just under 900 yards and 8 touchdowns. If Agholor ends up back in Vegas, he may be a sneaky weapon next season.

Midseason Winner – Travis Fulgham

The “Best Young Gun” Award

  • Winner – Justin Herbert – 4 years $6,644,688/ $15,392 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – Joe Burrow – 4 years $9,047,534/ $40,517 ($DD/PT)
  • Award Meaning – The best rookie quarterback.

Herbert – The fact that Burrow was injured really stinks for the sake of this award, and for Burrow himself as well. These two rookie signal callers did nothing but put on a clinic this past season. Herbert broke the rookie record for touchdowns finishing with 31 passing, and 5 rushing. 36 total touchdowns for a kid few seemed sold on back in April/May. It is safe to say the Herbert owners should have a significant advantage moving forward with Herbert gaining more experience at such a cheap salary. Herbert was the quarterback 9 for the season with a low salary that is locked in for years to come.

Burrow – The runner-up was having a record-breaking season himself before a season ending injury ruined those plans. He has great leadership as well as a Jordan type drive, so he should be back fully healthy in no time. The fact he was able to put those types of numbers up while having one of the worst offensive lines in the league is impressive.

Midseason Winner – Joe Burrow

The “Kitchens to Stefanski” Award

  • Winner – Jonathon Taylor – 4 years, $1,957,287/ $7,476 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – T.Y. Hilton – 1 year, $13,000,000/ $79,172 ($DD/PT)
  • Award Meaning – Trash to treasure, or most improved.

Taylor – The midseason award I did for this I chose the player most improved from the previous season. The end of season award will go to a player everyone wrote off during the season but turned it around. Taylor is the most deserving of this award with such a frustrating start to his season. As I mentioned above it was not pretty for Taylor but in week 10, he finally got enough carries to get going and then he never looked back. Taylor capped his run with a 253-yard performance against Jacksonville in week 17, along with 2 touchdowns.

Hilton – The runner up is oddly enough Taylor’s teammate T.Y. Hilton whom started terribly slow as well turning it around shortly after Taylor did, yet oddly enough the offense ran ok before and after.

Midseason Winner – Corey Davis

The “Reminds Me of Watching the Jets” Award

  • Winner – Todd Gurley – 1 year, $6,000,000/ $35,885 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – Ezekiel Elliott – 6 years $15,000,000/ $ 67,658 ($DD/PT)
  • Award meaning – The player you drafted that you cannot stand to watch.

Gurley – Was there a stranger story in football this season than Todd Gurley? The guy started out as an absolute touchdown machine with 9 in the first 9 games, only to not find the endzone the rest of the season, finishing with 9 total touchdowns. When you just look at the paper aspect of Gurley’s outlandish season it makes no sense, the fact that he was so efficient in the RedZone, yet the team was so bad and as soon as the team starts winning, he falls of a cliff.

Elliott – The runner-up Zeke did have a productive season finishing as the Rb9 overall, but when watching him he did not look like Zeke. In 2020 Elliot was flat out bad in the RedZone, had minimal explosive plays, had one game above 25 points, and had 6 games with 10 points or fewer. I am not saying he was not startable it just was not like watching the Zeke we are used too.

Midseason Winner – Ezekiel Elliott

The “JaMarcus Russel to David Blaine” Award

  • Winner – Jalen Reagor – 4 years, $3,317,669/ $37,872 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – Michael Pittman – 4 years $2,153,212/ $21,771 ($DD/PT)
  • Award Meaning – The rookie that tends to disappear from games

Reagor – While this award pains me to the fullest extent for personal reasons, I still must write about it. I have both Reagor and Pittman on my team and am really counting on both in the coming years. The winner, Reagor has had a monumentally bad season compared to who the Eagles could have had in Justin Jefferson who went shortly after Reagor in the NFL draft. Reagor was hurt early in the season but even when healthy he failed to produce with his highest yardage total for a game being 55 yards, and that came on one catch. The TCU product also failed to catch more than 5 passes in any game this season, while some of that may have been on his quarterbacks, he is going to need to make a significant jump next season or Howie Roseman and Doug Pederson may be out the door.

Pittman – The runner up had a remarkably similar season to our winner except for Pittman’s big game against the Titans where he had 7 catches for 101 yards and a touchdown. Pittman is a promising prospect who was drafted early in the 2nd round so I expect him to bounce back.

Midseason Winner – Cam Akers

The “Atlanta Falcons” Award

  • Winner – Curtis Samuel – 1 year, $1,613,421/ $7,642 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – Jonathon Taylor – 4 years, $1,957,287/ $7,476 ($DD/PT)
  • Award Meaning – A player who finished the season strong.

Samuel – You will find I have made a slight twist in this award from when it was the midseason award due to the Falcon’s recent play, in return the midseason winner will be left off. Curtis Samuel was quietly one of the most reliable fantasy receivers from week 7 on with 6 games over 17 points scored and only failing to score double digits twice. The most impressive part about Samuel’s run is that he was able to do it while only scoring 3 touchdowns meaning he was extremely involved in the game plan. If Samuel ends up leaving Carolina next season he could end up as a great dynasty asset for the future, as well as a great off season trade chip. I am not as high on Samuel returning to the Panthers with the team set to welcome fantasy superstar CMC back into the mix.

Taylor – The runner-up here got a lot of consideration to win the award for his strong finish, but Samuel was able to do it a few extra weeks as well as Samuel was not expected to be a every week starter this season as Taylor was.

The “2020 G.O.A.T.” Award

  • Winner – Davante Adams – 2 years – $14,500,000/ $40,570 ($DD/PT)
  • Runner Up – Alvin Kamara- 1 year – $964,443/ $2,538 ($DD/PT)
  • Award Meaning – The M.V.P.

Kamara – The runner-up Kamara had himself a season to brag about as well with 932 rushing yards 756 receiving yards and a massive 21 total touchdowns. Kamra popped off with a 6-touchdown performance for owners in the championship game which single handedly won him the 2020 G.O.A.T. award. Owners of Kamara also found themselves with an extreme bargain because of his cheap contract.

Adams – I do not know if there is enough time in the day to write about how dominant Adams truly is, even with an all-time great at quarterback. The teams Adams face know he is getting the ball especially in the red zone, yet no one has been able to stop him. Adams put together some extravagant numbers this season with 115 catches almost 1400 yards and 18 touchdowns and I will say it again teams knew he was the only receiver getting the ball. I really hope as football fans we get to see Adams and Rodgers for at least a few more seasons together they just keep getting better.

Midseason Winner – Russell Wilson

The “Butt Fumble” Award

  • Winner – Daniel Jones tripping himself instead of scoring
  • Runner Up – There can only be one!
  • Award Meaning – See 2020 Dynasty Owner Awards video.
Full video breakdown to article

Conclusion I hope everyone enjoys reading/watching these awards as much as I do enjoy writing them, it really is a lot of fun. I want to touch on something briefly before finishing and that is If you had fun with Dynasty Owner this season or the season before and you know people who would enjoy this format too please invite them and if you do not have the time to teach whoever it is please send them our way and we will be glad to help. The more Dynasty Owner grows the better it can become for all of us. I hope you all stay safe and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

2014 Wide Receivers Draft Class and Their Rookie Season

Author: Milos Ljubic

Wide Receivers from this year’s NFL draft are expected to be one of the best WR classes in the NFL history…maybe the best in this century, at least. The previous best WR’s class in the last 20 years was the 2014 NFL draft class. This article is about their rookie seasons and the impact they had had on their teams.

The first WR drafted was Sammy Watkins. The Buffalo Bills drafted him from the 4th position. The Bills gave the 2015 first-round pick to Browns to move up five positions. Watkins has had a solid career, but he didn’t meet expectations for a player drafted that high. Buffalo was an average team. They had a problem with QBs. Their starter was E.J. Manuel, probably the worst starter in the entire league. Manuel was benched after the 4th week and was replaced with Kyle Orton. Also, the Bills didn’t run as they expected. Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller regressed a lot. They had three solid young WRs with Woods and Hogan. Watkins’s rookie season was very good. He immediately became the number one WR on the team. He was Buffalo’s best offensive player that year. Watkins finished his rookie season with 65 receptions for 982 yards and 6 TDs with one fumble. The Bills finished with a 9-7 record as a 10th team in AFC. Sammy Watkins now plays for Kansas City, on a one year contract for $9M.

From the 7th position, the second drafted WR was Mike Evans. Tampa was awful that year (a 2-14 record), but Evans was a fantastic choice. The Buccaneers didn’t have anything that year. They didn’t have a decent QB (their starters were Josh McCown and Mike Glennon). They didn’t have a running game. TEs were awful, too. The only good player was a 31-year-old Vincent Jackson. This was Jackson’s last season with 1000 yards. Playing with him was great for Evans – he had a great receiver to play with and played the number two WR in his first season. Evans finished the season with 68 catches for 1051 yards, and 12 TDs without a fumble. Mike Evans signed an extension with Tampa until 2024 on an annual contract of $16.5M.

Odell Beckham Jr. was the 3rd WR selected on the draft. The Giants were above average offensively, but overall a below-average team. They finished the season with a 6-10 record. Manning played one of the best seasons in his (HOF) career. The running game was solid with a rookie Andre Williams and a veteran Rashad Jennings. Ruben Randle (WR) and Larry Donnell (TE) played well. Even though Beckham had missed the first 4 games due to an injury, he was the best Giants’ player that season. He recorded 91 catches for 1305 yards and 12 TDs with only one fumble in twelve games. Giants traded Odell to Cleveland Browns. He has a contract until 2024 for $18M per year.

The fourth WR drafted in the first round was Brandin Cooks. The Saints sent their 3rd-round pick to Arizona to move up seven places. Cooks was viewed as a slot receiver at that time. The Saints were loaded on the offensive side of a ball, but they decided to add more speed with this selection. They were the best offensive team in the league, but at the same time, they were the second-worst defensive team. Cooks played the first 10 games of the season but missed the rest of it due to an injury. He had 53 catches for 550 yards and 3 TDs with one saved fumble. If we compare Cooks with his teammates, he was the most targeted WR in those ten games, but far less productive. Marques Colston had 15.4 yards per catch, while Kenny Stills had 14.8. With 10.4 Cooks was even worse than TE Jimmy Graham, who had 10.5 yards per catch. After his rookie campaign, Cooks had four consecutive 1000+ yards seasons. The Saints finished the 2014 season with a 7-9 record. Cooks changed a few teams in a meanwhile. Hi is currently in Houston. He has a contract until 2024 for $16.2M annually.

Kelvin Benjamin was the last WR drafted in the first round and the first one to play in a playoff game. Being selected at the 28th position, he immediately became WR number one for Carolina. Carolina’s number two receiver that year was a veteran Jerricho Cotchery, who was in his 11th NFL season. Carolina was among the top 10 defensive teams and the top 10 running teams. Also, TE Greg Olsen had 1000+ yards season. Even if Benjamin could have been considered as a bust, his rookie season was great. He had 73 catches for 1008 yards with 9 TDs and one lost fumble. Benjamin tore his ACL after a rookie year. After his ACL injury he was never able to come back and play at the level of his rookie season and his been out of the league since 2018.

The Jacksonville Jaguars drafted three WRs on this draft. The Jaguars were a bad team. Rookie Blake Bortles was QB, so the passing offense was also bad. The defense was poor to say the least. The running game was below average. WRs’ corps were made from three rookies plus Cecile Shorts in his 4th year. The first drafted WR by the Jaguars was Marqise Lee, from the 39th position. He had 37 catches for 422 yards and only one TD in 13 games. The second Jaguars’ selection was Allen Robinson from the 61st position (the 11th WR on draft). In the 10 games he played, he had 48 catches for 548 yards and 2 TDs. Allen Hurns was third in that group. He was undrafted, and the only WR who wasn’t selected in the first three rounds but had some impact on his team in the rookie season. Hurns was the best Jaguars’ WR that season and the only one who played all 16 games. He caught ball 51 times for 677 yards and 6 TDs. None of them are in Jacksonville anymore. Lee will play this season for the New England Patriots for $1M. Robinson is the number one WR for the Chicago Bears and has one more year with an annual salary of $14M. Hurns signed a two-year extension with the Miami Dolphins this year, for $3.5M per year.

The Philadelphia Eagles also moved up in the draft to get a WR. They gave 5th-round pick to the Titans to move up 12 positions. They drafted Jordan Matthews from the 42nd position. Chip Kelly’s Eagle’s had a very good roster, especially on the offense. Despite 9 Pro Bowlers (the most in the NFC) and a 10-6 record, Eagles finished the season as the 7th team in the conference. Matthews was the number two WR, behind Jeremy Macklin for the team. He finished the season with 67 catches for 872 yards and 8 TDs. The Eagles had one more WR in the third round. That was Josh Huff from the 86th position, 13th WR overall. He was 4th WR on the depth chart, but his impact was negligible. Jordan Matthews is a free agent at the moment, while Huff is playing at CFL.

The Seattle Seahawks picked up the 8th WR from the draft, Paul Richardson. The Seahawks were great that year. They finished first in the conference, but their game was based on the defense and the rushing, being first in the whole league in both categories. Their passing game was among the five worst in the league. And in that offense, Richardson was the 4th option (the 3rd WR). Richardson played 15 games and collected 29 catches for 271 yards and only one TD. Richardson is a free agent currently.

Green Bay drafted Davante Adams from the 53rd position which was, from today’s perspective, a great pick. The Packers were a great team that year, finishing in second place in the conference, right behind Seahawks. They had an average defense but their offense was great. This was the Aaron Rogers’ second-best season and the second MVP award. Eddie Lacy played at his best that season, along with Jordy Nelson. Randall Cobb had a 1000+ yards season, the first and the last time in his career. In those circumstances, Adams didn’t have many chances, finishing the season with 38 catches for 446 yards and 3 TDs. Adams is the first WR option in the Green Bay offense. He has a contract for $14.5M per year until the 2022 season.

Cody Latimer was the 10th WR selected on this draft and the biggest bust. He was selected by the Denver Broncos, who were great that season, finishing in second place in AFC. They had most Pro Bowlers that season with 11 being selected. Latimer was the 6th WR on the depth chart: only 2 catches for 23 yards and yet…somehow, Latimer is still in the business. He has on year contract with Washington Redskins for $1M.

The twelfth WR was Jarvis Landry. He played for the Miami Dolphins. Miami was an average team in every statistical category and finished the season with 8-8 records. Landry had a solid season, playing all 16 games. He had the most receptions on the team with 84 and was second at receiving yards, 758, as well as TDs, 5, in both cases behind Mike Wallace. Miami traded Landry to the Browns and still has three more years for $15.1M annually.

The 14th selected WR was Donte Moncrief, having been picked by the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a great offense. Their running game was below average, but their passing offense was the best in the entire league. Andrew Luck was great and healthy too. Moncrief was the 6th most targeted player, 4th among WRs. He finished the season with 32 catches for 444 yards (4th on the team, 3rd among WR) and 3 TDs (6th on the team, 3rd among WRs). Moncrief currently a free agent.

The last WR selected on the second draft day was John Brown. The Arizona Cardinals were a solid team. Carson Palmer had finished the season after the sixth game. WRs corps were the only reliable part of the Cardinals’ offense. Brown was third amongst WRs on the depth chart, but his production was similar to the production of Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd. Brown finished the season with 48 catches for 696 yards and 5 TDs. Brown is now in Buffalo. He has two more years for $9M per year.

In the next article, I will analyze this year’s WRs corps, trying to compare these two groups and make some predictions about what we can expect from this years’ rookies.

Milos Ljubic is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

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