Free Agent Weekend Update

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

It’s the Dynasty Owner Free Agent Weekend Update! Unfortunately, your host isn’t Colin Jost or Michael Che. It’s not one of the great Saturday Night Live Weekend Update hosts from the past either like Chevy Chase, Jane Curtin, Dan Aykroyd, Dennis Miller, Norm McDonald, Jimmy Fallon, Seth Meyers, Tina Fay or Amy Poehler. It’s just me, Steven Van Tassell, bringing you all of the weekend free agent signings and other transactions that will impact all of my fellow Dynasty Owners. As a bonus to make it better, I’m going to throw in some Monday morning transactions as well!

So much has happened since Matt the Jerk’s (@dynastyjerk) Free Agent Friday article that we needed another update to handle it all. If you want to know more about Aaron Rodgers’ new contract, the franchise tags given to a trio of top TEs (Mike Gesicki, David Njoku, Dalton Schultz) and two WRs (Davante Adams and Chris Godwin), the impact of the Russell Wilson trade to Denver, or Mike Williams’ new contract, then go back and read Matt’s article.

This is your place to catch up on what’s happened since then. If you were busy watching any of the NCAA men’s basketball conference tournaments (if so, check your email for a link to join Dynasty Owner NCAA bracket and win up to $500) or focused on the continuing NHL and NBA regular seasons, you may have missed these new transactions. If you were checking to see if the PGA Tour Players’ Championship was going to finish or when MLB spring training is going to start, you also may have missed some transactions and need to know what’s going on.

We are still a couple of days away from the official start of NFL free agent signings (Wednesday at 4 PM, which is the same time as the Dynasty Owner Livestream with me and Tim Peffer). It’s a few more days until the start of the 2022 Dynasty Owner league year when all of the new contracts will be live, and the $145.74 million salary cap will take effect. A helpful “Everything to Expect Next Week” email was sent to all Dynasty Owners on Saturday morning, so check your Inbox for that rundown of all sorts of important information too so you know what’s going on.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, all statistics, roster percentages and 2021 position ranks were current as of the afternoon of March 14th. All 2021 salary information is the current salary listed on the Dynasty Owner platform All 2022 contract information (number of years and salaries) have been taken from Spotrac (https://www.spotrac.com/).

They’re Back

So far, we have had a bunch of players re-sign with their current team with more coming seemingly every hour. They are listed as Free Agents on Dynasty Owner, but once the 2022 Dynasty Owner league year starts on Friday, they will go back to their prior team at a new salary. None of the announced contracts over the weekend were for the big name free agents who are expected to make a lot of money over the next couple of years.

That last sentence was true when I wrote it at around 7 PM (Eastern) on Sunday night. In the next hour, there were two huge contract announcements (Michael Gallup and Zach Ertz). However, those re-signings were completely overshadowed by the news that the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady was unretiring and returning to play for his 23rd NFL season. He’ll play once again for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and likely keep earning $25 million per year, which was the amount of the extension he signed previously. If his contract changes, it’ll be updated on Dynasty Owner, but that’s what I’m expecting for now.

Dallas WR Michael Gallup signed the biggest contract over the weekend both in terms of overall amount and on an annual basis.

2021 RankRoster %Age2021 Salary2022 SalarySalary Change
WR84100%26$880,995$12,500,000+ $11,619,005

Gallup signed a 5-year, $62.5 million contract, or $12.5 million per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Gallup on their roster currently will have to pay him $11.62 million more in salary to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Hold him

This is the same recommendation as from my High Salary WR article published a month ago. His market value was lower than $12.5 million, but only by around $630,000. He also got an extra year more than projected. Still, the salary difference isn’t too much to change the recommendation.

However, his value has actually increased with the trade of Amari Cooper to Cleveland as he was able to be productive when healthy with Cooper in the Cowboys’ lineup. He should see more targets from QB Dak Prescott without Cooper around, even with the return of TE Dalton Schultz.

If you don’t have Gallup on your Dynasty Owner roster, you’ll need to trade for him as he is rostered in every Dynasty Owner league. That percentage could go down starting Friday as new contracts become active and the new salary cap starts, but for now, those without Gallup need to make an offer to acquire him.

The second largest overall and annual salary contract was announced minutes before Gallup’s contract. It was for Arizona TE Zach Ertz.

2021 RankRoster %Age2021 Salary2022 SalarySalary Change
TE597.5%31$8,500,000$10,550,000+ $2,050,000

Ertz signed a 3-year, $31.65 million contract, or $10.55 million per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Ertz on their roster currently will have to pay him $2.05 million more in salary to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Hold if you plan on being a contender. Trade if you’re rebuilding.

Similar to Michael Gallup, the Ertz recommendation is the same as in my Lower Salary TE article from just two weeks ago. His market value was off by an extra year, and he received almost $2.94 million more than his projected market value. Even with that extra salary and going from an anticipated salary reduction to a $2.05 million salary increase, the recommendation stays the same.

Right now, he is expected to be the 10th highest paid TE in Dynasty Owner, just $381,000 less than the franchise tag values for Mike Gesicki, David Njoku and Dalton Schultz. His ranking could change, but his consistency over the past few years has remained the same, so I’d still want him on my Dynasty Owner team.

If you don’t have Ertz on your Dynasty Owner roster, you’ll likely need to trade for him as he is rostered almost every Dynasty Owner league. I expect that percentage to go down over the next couple of days in anticipation of the Friday start date for new contracts becoming active. However, a trade offer to the Dynasty Owner with Ertz may be the best way to acquire his services in case that drop doesn’t happen right away in your league.

Prior to the Gallup and Ertz contract news, the biggest contract signed over the weekend was Josh Reynolds with the Detroit Lions.

2021 RankRoster %Age2021 Salary2022 SalarySalary Change
WR10067.3%27$1,750,000$3,000,000+ $1,250,000

Reynolds signed a 2-year, $6 million contract, or $3 million per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Reynolds on their roster currently will have to pay him $1.25 million more in salary to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Hold if you plan on being a contender. Trade if you’re rebuilding.

Josh Reynolds was mired well down on the Tennessee depth chart for the beginning of the 2021 season, but was released and picked up by Detroit. A reunion with Jared Goff, his former QB in Los Angeles, helped salvage his season. Overall, he was WR100 with 80.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 12 games played (6.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game). In his seven games with Detroit, he had 61.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for an average of 8.8 points per game. He had over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in three out of his seven games with the Lions. Reynolds is a useful Bench or Practice Squad depth WR for a contender, but probably not worth the roster spot for a rebuilding team who should be trying to find younger, cheaper players who might blossom into greatness.

He is available in the Free Agent Auction in nearly one-third of Dynasty Owner leagues if you want him for your team. The increase in salary by $1.25 million might lead some Dynasty Owners to drop him for free when his contract changes, or increase their willingness to trade him.

The second biggest weekend contract was signed by Buffalo WR Isaiah McKenzie.

2021 RankRoster %Age2021 Salary2022 SalarySalary Change
WR11149.1%26$1,127,500$2,200,000+ $1,072,500

McKenzie signed a 2 year, $4.4 million contract, or $2.2 million per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with McKenzie on their roster currently will have to pay him just over $1.07 million more in salary to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Hold for now.

McKenzie feels like a Hold for now at his new $2.2 million salary (apparently not the $4 million per year salary originally reported by Adam Schefter). His value will depend on what other offensive players sign with Buffalo after free agency starts and if the Bills do in fact trade WR Cole Beasley. Without Beasley and with no significant additions at WR, McKenzie could slide into the WR3 role in Buffalo behind Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. He already has some value as a gadget player and returner, but adding WR3 responsibilities for a high-powered Bills offense makes him worth a roster spot at his new salary.

In Week 16, McKenzie had 29.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (11 receptions, 124 receiving yards, -1 rushing yard, 1 TD) against New England with Beasley and Davis out of the lineup. Of course, Buffalo could go out and sign two additional free agent WRs, or keep Beasley and leave McKenzie as the WR4 for the team. That could mean a similar overall season to 2021 when he had 68.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 15 games played (4.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game).

Regardless of what happens in a few days, his roster percentage is on the rise and if he’s available in the Free Agent Auction in your league, you may have to bid on him sooner rather than later to acquire his services.

Next on the list is restricted free agent (RFA) Jakobi Meyers who the Patriots assigned a one-year tender offer for $3.986 million.

2021 RankRoster %Age2021 Salary2022 SalarySalary Change
WR30100%25$588,333$3,986,000+ $3,397,667

Dynasty Owners with Meyers on their roster currently will have to pay him almost $3.4 million more in salary to keep him on their team for the 2022 season. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Keep him.

Jakobi Meyers is the latest slot receiver gem uncovered by the Patriots, following in the footsteps of Wes Welker and Julian Edelman. Meyers has been an extremely productive player in each of the past two seasons and should continue to do so in 2022. He finished 2020 as WR44 with 157.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and improved to WR30 with 186.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 2021. He produced those stats for a mere $588,333 and now is receiving a nearly $3.4 million salary increase. He had double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points in nine out of 17 games in 2021 with three additional games with between 9.0 and 10.0 points. He is a solid Bench WR, potential FLEX option and bye week replacement.

If you don’t have Meyers on your Dynasty Owner roster, you’ll need to trade for him right now as he is rostered in every Dynasty Owner league. That percentage could go down starting Friday when his new contract become active, but more likely those without Meyers will need to make an offer to his current Dynasty Owner to acquire him.

Another RFA assigned a one-year tender offer by his team was D’Ernest Johnson of the Cleveland Browns. His contract is for $2.433 million.

2021 RankRoster %Age2021 Salary2022 SalarySalary Change
RB4996.9%26$585,000$2,433,000+ $1,848,000

Dynasty Owners with Johnson on their roster currently will have to pay him $1.848 million more in salary to keep him on their team for the 2022 season. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Keep him. Only trade if the offer is too good to pass up.

The recommendation for Johnson is the same as from my Lower Salary RB article  Lower Salary TE article in early February, but I could have updated it and removed the “only trade if the offer is too good to pass up” part. His potential is too great to trade away even with a salary that’s almost $1.85 million more than it was in 2021. The RB49 ranking is completely misleading. He only received significant snaps in three games in 2021 and had over 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in all three of those games.

If you want Johnson on your Dynasty Owner roster but don’t have him now, you’ll likely need to trade for him as he is rostered almost every Dynasty Owner league. You’ll probably have to overpaid to acquire his services if you think he’s worth it.

The remainder of the signings over the weekend and early Monday morning were almost all backup QBs (Tim Boyle, Jeff Driskel, Dwayne Haskins, Brian Hoyer, and Nate Sudfield). Two of them signed one-year deals for $2 million (Boyle and Sudfield), while Hoyer got an extra year at $2 million with a 2-year, $4 million contract. Haskins was a RFA and got a tender offer from Pittsburgh for one year at $2.54 million. Driskel got a veteran minimum salary contract for one year at $1,187,500 from the Texans.

The final three signings that I’ll mention were Chris Conley getting a one-year, $2 million contract to stay in Houston and two RFAs who signed tender offers for $895,000 for the 2022 season (WR Jalen Guyton of the Los Angeles Chargers and RB Ja’Mycal Hasty of the San Francisco 49ers). There may have been more on Monday afternoon after I finished writing, but this article needs to be published.

The Trading Post

Back on Friday, Matt handled the details of the Russell Wilson trade to Denver and its impact on Wilson, the two players traded to Seattle (Drew Lock and Noah Fant) and some other players on the current Broncos and Seahawks roster. There was a trade last week that he didn’t touch on as well as a big name, high salary player who was dealt on Saturday. Let’s briefly mention the two players involved in the other recent trades.

First, Carson Wentz was traded from the Indianapolis Colts to the Washington Commanders. The deal includes a bunch of draft picks as well, but the only player changing teams is Wentz.

2021 RankRoster %Age2021 Salary2022 SalarySalary Change
QB1211.95%29$32,000,000$32,000,000None

Carson Wentz and his 4-year, $128 million contract through the 2024 season moves from Indianapolis to Washington. There is no change to his salary on Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owners with Wentz on their roster will see no changes other than his team.

The second deal involved Amari Cooper getting traded from the Dallas Cowboys to the Cleveland Browns along with a 2022 sixth round pick (pick #202) for a 2022 fifth round pick (pick #155) and a 2022 sixth round pick (pick #192).

2021 RankRoster %Age2021 Salary2022 SalarySalary Change
WR2898.1%27$20,000,000$20,000,000None

Amari Cooper and his 5-year, $100 million contract through the 2024 season moves from Dallas to Cleveland. There is no change to his salary on Dynasty Owner and Dynasty Owners with Cooper on their roster will see no changes other than his team.

Since there is no contract change for either Wentz or Cooper, Dynasty Owners will those players on their roster will not be able to drop either player for free. It’s still 25% of their remaining contract amounts, which is a large enough fee for both that you should use an Amnesty Provision, or buy one for $5 million Dynasty Dollars (if you can), in order to move Wentz or Cooper off your Dynasty Owner team.

Release the Kraken (aka Overpaid Players)

As NFL teams navigate their own 2022 salary cap, we have seen several players restructure their contracts to move around money to lower their salary cap number for the 2022 season. Those contract changes don’t impact their Dynasty Owner salary as Dynasty Owner uses the average annual salary for the entire contract. Sorry to everyone who has a prominent expensive player such as Aaron Jones, Alvin Kamara, Matt Ryan, or Michael Thomas who restructured as your Dynasty Owner team gets no benefit.

The other way to alleviate the salary cap crunch for a NFL team is to outright release players with a high salary cap figure. The following players (with their Dynasty Owner salaries listed) have been released or waived in recent days:

Blake Jarwin and Tarik Cohen had two years left on those contracts, while everyone else had just one year. All of those players will become Free Agents on Dynasty Owner soon and be eligible for a free drop ($0 Dynasty Dollars). If they sign a new contract once NFL free agency starts on Wednesday, Dynasty Owners can also choose to keep them on their roster at their new salary amount. That will also result in a contract change and if the new contract doesn’t work for your Dynasty Owner team, then you can drop the player for free as well.

Conclusion

This weekend (and Monday morning) was a busy one for NFL free agents and Dynasty Owners. It continues on even as I edit this article and send it to be published. There were so many more transactions that it wasn’t possible to wait until Friday for another update. By the time many of you have read this article, there will probably have been additional announcements of free agents staying with their current teams and maybe even some reports of contracts reached by free agents with a new team. None of those contracts can be officially signed by NFL players until Wednesday to take effect in Dynasty Owner on this Friday (March 18th).

The weekly Dynasty Owner livestream with myself and Tim Peffer will review all of these transactions (and more) on Wednesday at 4 PM (Eastern). That’s the same time as NFL free agency officially opens and free agents can sign with new teams. Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button. You can also listen to it afterwards wherever you get your podcasts.

Please read all of the off-season articles from our Dynasty Owner team as well. On Mondays, I write about players, salaries and contracts to help new and returning Dynasty Owners navigate how to play our unique game. Jay Pounds is writing about everything on rebuilding your Dynasty Owner roster on Tuesday. Nate Christian is back for 2022 and will do prospect previews every Thursday. Finally, Friday is Free Agent Friday with articles from Matt Morrison – The Jerk.

Thanks for reading and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Free Agent Friday: AFC West

By: Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

The opening of NFL free agency is quickly approaching. The actual date is March 16 at 4 pm ET. We know that this date historically is the epicenter of major news and signings. I expect that this year will be no different. In addition to this date, there are several other important happenings around the NFL. As I did last year, allow me to give you some of the more important things that will be occurring over the next few months.

Franchise and Transition Tag Period:

February 22 – March 8

During this time, all teams must make a decision on whether or not they want to franchise, or transition tag a player. After this window has passed, we will know who has been “tagged” in any fashion.

NFL Scouting Combine:

March 1 – 7

The Scouting Combine was once one of my favorite events to watch when it comes to the NFL. COVID has taken a lot of that joy away because it’s not the consolidated, all-encompassing event that it once was. Many players opted out of the combine or participated in their hometowns with unofficial results. Thankfully, the NFL has relaxed some of the restrictions for this year, and it looks like it will be closer to a regular combine than the two years previously.

Free Agency Contact Begins:

March 14

There are strict rules in the NFL (like most sports) about how and when a player may be contacted about a possible contract. Up until this date, teams are prohibited from contacting free agents. Again, this may not mean much to us as Dynasty Owners other than the fact that we will probably be getting a heavy amount of rumors flying during this 48 hour period.

New NFL League Year and Free Agency Begins:

March 16

This is the date that all of us are waiting for…NFL free agency will open at 4 pm ET on March 16. Last year, we watched as free agents were signed very quickly. I anticipate this year will be the same. I will be sure to update you all every Friday with the newest info about all the free agents we have and will talk about in these articles.

These are all the events that are currently on my radar. It’s worth mentioning that the NFL Draft will take place from April 28 – 30.

AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
Byron Pringle28UFA$2,133,000$4,000,000
Darrel Williams26UFA$1,600,000$3,000,000
Jerick McKinnon29UFA$990,000$1,500,000

The Chiefs have the majority of their offensive firepower returning for the 2022 season. Patrick Mahomes, Clyde Edwards-Helaire (CEH), Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce will all be returning on the same contracts they had in 2021. Here are three lesser known players that played minor (but important) roles for the Chiefs in the past.

Byron Pringle actually had moderate success last season. He was quite inconsistent but did manage to have five games over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. There is little room for additional playmakers for the Chiefs given that Hill and Kelce take so much of the production. Not only that, but it’s been hard to predict which secondary player will step up on any given day. I expect Pringle to resign with KC for roughly double his previous contract.

Speaking of inconsistent, Darrel Williams was just that in 2021. He filled in nicely for CEH when CEH missed five games in the middle of the season, but Williams’ upside is very much limited when Clyde is healthy and in the lineup. I don’t see any reason why Williams shouldn’t be re-signed, however. He will cost more than last year, but it’s a worthy price to pay for a very capable backup running back. Unfortunately, you shouldn’t expect him to be a high scoring running back for a 3 million dollar salary.

Jerick McKinnon is likely on his way out of Kansas City. He was largely a non-factor in 2021, and he is nearing age 30. Expect McKinnon to leave the Chiefs and possibly find his last contract as a backup running back for a team in need. If you want to continue to roster him, prepare for a one and a half million dollar salary per year.

Los Angeles Chargers

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
Mike Williams27UFA$15,680,000$18,000,000
Jared Cook34UFA$4,500,000$5,000,000
Jalen Guyton24RFA$540,000$4,000,000

Mike Williams is one of the biggest free agents this off-season. He has been perennially undervalued, and it is mainly because of his injury history. Here at Dynasty Owner, an almost 16 million dollar salary is not great value when it comes to a WR2 and an inconsistent one at that. I like Williams to return to the Chargers in 2022 as it won’t cost much more to sign him. I think his going rate will be around 18 million dollars per year.

Jared Cook is a player who I feel like I talk about every off-season. He is likely to find another new home in 2022. While retirement may be a long shot this close to free agency, I think it’s still possible. He is 34 years old, but has shown the ability to be an above average tight end.

Jalen Guyton is a restricted free agent. All that means for our purposes is that he has less freedom when it comes to his free agency decisions. Guyton will be signed to a new contract, and I think it should be along the lines of 4 million dollars. However, it will likely be less as he has little leverage. 

Las Vegas Raiders

Well, this is a first. The Raiders have zero notable free agents this off-season. I won’t break down any players in full for this article, but here are a few players who may be worth keeping your eye on. However, none of these players are rostered in more than 50% of Dynasty Owner leagues.

  • Marcus Mariota
  • Jalen Richard
  • Zay Jones
  • DeSean Jackson
  • Payton Barber

Denver Broncos

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
Melvin Gordon28UFA$8,000,000$6,000,000
Teddy Bridgewater29UFA$11,499,000$10,000,000

We have two hot free agents in Melvin Gordon and Teddy Bridgewater. I truly believe that Gordon has a lot left in his career and that he would be much better served in another offense.  It’s not that I don’t like Gordon. Quite the opposite. I think he could join at least five teams and become the starter on Day One. Instead, the issue is Javonte Williams. Williams, at this point in their careers, is a more explosive and better running back than Gordon. I think the Broncos have realized that, and I’m pretty sure Dynasty Owners have too. The hard truth is that it is logical for the Broncos to bring Gordon back in order to keep wear and tear off of Javonte. They were both very efficient in 2021, and there is no reason they can’t be in 2022 as well. This would obviously take fantasy production away from both players, but it would be the right “real football move” in my opinion. In the end, Gordon will command roughly $6,000,000 per year.

Teddy B is the final player I want to talk about today. He was the starter for the Broncos for the majority of the season, but I’m nearly positive that he isn’t the long term solution to their quarterback problems. That being said, he is an above average backup quarterback in the NFL, and he will be signed to a team at some point in this off-season. Expect him to receive something around 10 million dollars per year.

If there is any player that you want me to spend more time talking about, just message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know. I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube.  Take care everyone and be safe.

TheJerk

Free Agent Market Values: Lower Salary WRs

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

With the 2021 NFL season in the rearview mirror and the 2022 season coming into view on the horizon, let’s continue to dive into the free agent WRs and their market values. As mentioned in previous articles, the anticipated 2022 Dynasty Owner salary cap is $145.74 million (70% of the expected $208.2 million NFL salary cap), an increase of $17.99 million. The 2022 Dynasty Owner league year starts on March 18th and that’s when signed contracts will take effect. Now is the time to do research by checking if any of your players have already signed contract extensions and look at market values to plan your roster for next year.

Any 2022 signed contracts are either listed under Yearly Salary Breakdown or posted in the Contract section on the player’s profile if it hasn’t taken effect yet. Dynasty Owners can start planning for free agent contracts using the anticipated free agent market values from Spotrac (https://www.spotrac.com/). This article will review ten WRs who have market values of less than $10 million per season. They aren’t the only free agent WRs who will get salaries in that range, just the only ones with a market value on Spotrac. Before we can get to the players, let’s review how they score Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, all statistics and 2021 position ranks were current as of the morning of February 21st. Spotrac has market values are available for select players at https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/free-agents/.

WRs Who Are Going to Get Over $7.5 Million per Year

The first range for the lower salary WRs is between $7.5 million and $10 million per season. None of the WRs who signed contract extensions during the 2021 season signed for this amount. Both T.Y. Hilton and JuJu Smith-Schuster signed one-year contract extensions for the 2021 season in this range ($8 million each) and Dynasty Owners didn’t get their money’s worth out of either player.

The player with the highest market value in this range is Deonte Harty. He went by Deonte Harris until Christmas Day when he changed his name to honor his stepfather. On Dynasty Owner, he’s listed as Deonte Harty, but other places might still have him listed as Harris.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR5724$588,333$9,818,663+ $9,230,330

Harty’s market value is projected at 3 years and $29,455,989, or $9,818,663 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Harty on their roster currently should expect to have to find an extra $9.23 million to keep him on their team, which is over half of the expected Dynasty Owner salary cap increase. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period and if you can’t get a deal, then drop him for free

This market value amount surprised me tremendously. I didn’t see Harty as a nearly $10 million per year player and wonder how many of his Dynasty Owners do. For his entire three-year NFL career, he has averaged just 6.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game with a high of 133.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 13 games played last year (10.25 per game). He does have youth going for him as he only turned 24 in early December and likely some NFL team is giving him a contract of this amount based on his age and potential.

Harty has gained 2,514 return yards and that counts for something in Dynasty Owner that it doesn’t in most other fantasy football leagues. It’s a total of 62.85 Dynasty Owner fantasy points spread over 36 games played for 1.75 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. It makes Harty more valuable in Dynasty Owner than elsewhere, but I still don’t see him as worth nearly $10 million per season. Hopefully another Dynasty Owner does, and you can trade him away for something. If not, then it’s perfectly fine to drop Hardy and find other players to spend that salary on.

The player with the second highest market value in this range is better known by his initials – MVS. It’s Marquez Valdes-Scantling.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR9127$669,388$8,794,033+ $8,124,645

Valdes-Scantling’s market value is projected at 3 years and $26,382,099, or $8,794,033 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Valdes-Scantling on their roster currently should expect to have to find an extra $8.125 million to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period and if you can’t get a deal, then drop him for free

This market value amount also surprised me as I didn’t see MVS as being worth almost $9 million in salary per year. He has caught only half of his targets in his career (123 receptions from 247 targets) with an average of just 2.1 receptions per game. He does move the chains though with an average of 17.5 yards per catch for his career. However, in terms of Dynasty Owner fantasy points, he only averaged 7.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in 2021 and 8.5 points per game in 2020.

Those stats, or at least the potential for providing those stats plus more, are apparently worth nearly $8.8 million per year for a NFL franchise. The franchise (as well as a Dynasty Owner) is likely to overpaid for a player who’s going to have a lot of games with 2 receptions for 35 yards with the occasional long reception and a TD. He has 10 games with over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the past three seasons and scored over 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points six times. He’s a big play, boom or bust WR. Don’t be the Dynasty Owner overpaying for that and move on from MVS, either by getting rid of him in a trade or dropping him for free.

His teammate in Green Bay, Allen Lazard, is the next WR on this list.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR5126$675,000$7,753,779+ $7,078,779

Lazard’s market value is projected at 3 years and $23,261,337, or $7,753,779 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Lazard on their roster currently should expect to have to find just short of $7.08 million more to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period, but Hold if no deal happens because you can likely trade him later on

Lazard has a very high market value for a restricted free agent (RFA). He played exceptionally well at the end of the 2021 season for Green Bay with an 83.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the final five games (16.6 points per game). He averaged 9.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game for the 2021 season (142.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 15 games played), a slight drop from his 9.8 points per game average in 2020 (97.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 10 games played).

At just $675,000 in salary, Lazard was a tremendous bargain Bench WR. He still has value at the $7.754 million salary if he stays in Green Bay as the WR2 with Rodgers and Davante Adams. Outside of Green Bay, he becomes someone who I’m more likely to want to trade right away than hold.

WRs Who Are Going to Get Between $5 and $7.5 Million per Year

The next lower salary WR range is between $5 million and $7.5 million per season. There are four players who fall into that range with the first one being A.J. Green.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR4233$6,000,000$7,011,160+ $1,011,160

Green’s market value is projected at 4 years and $28,044,639, or $7,011,160 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Green on their roster currently should expect to have to find only an extra $1.011 million more to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Trade him during the free drop period and if you can’t get a deal, then drop him for free

Another player with a surprisingly large market value. The slight increase in annual salary from $6 million to just over $7 million isn’t the surprising part. It’s the anticipated four year contract that sticks out for me. That seems like too much for a 33-year old WR who hasn’t topped 1,000 yards since 2017. Green did have over 1,000 yards receiving in six out of his first seven seasons with Cincinnati, but only had 523 receiving yards in a full season of games in 2020. He did have a bounce back 2021 season with 848 receiving yards for Arizona, an average of 9.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game (156.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 16 games played).

The length of the contract and the salary combine to make Green overvalued at his age and likely level of production. I’d try to move him for anything of value before dropping him for free if a trade doesn’t materialize.

The next player in this salary range is Cedrick Wilson.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR4926$2,183,000$6,464,732+ $4,281,732

Wilson’s market value is projected at 3 years and $19,394,196, or $6,464,732 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. That’s almost $4.3 million more in salary that Dynasty Owners with Wilson on their roster currently should expect to have to pay to keep him. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Keep him. Trade if you get a good offer and have sufficient WR depth

After missing the entire 2018 season with an injury, followed by two largely unproductive seasons, Wilson stepped up for the Cowboys in 2021 with the injury to Michael Gallup and had 146.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 16 games played (9.2 points per game). Those stats are pretty good in an offense with Ezekiel Elliott, Tony Pollard, Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb and Dalton Schultz and bodes well for Wilson if he stays in Dallas with most of those players returning or move on to another team who might provide him with more opportunities.

He is rostered in just two-thirds (66.9%) of Dynasty Owner leagues, so trade offers after he gets a new contract may not be too plentiful. That’s fine as keeping Wilson with a new contract isn’t a crazy idea, but I’d be fine with trading him if someone offered a good deal as there are players who can produce at the same level for less salary.

Veteran WR T.Y. Hilton is the next player in this salary range.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR10632$8,000,000$6,290,550– $1,709,450

Hilton’s market value is projected at 2 years and $12,581,100, or $6,290,550 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Hilton on their roster currently should expect to see their salary cap reduced by $1.71 million when he signs his new contract. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Drop him for free after trying to trade him, but not having any success

This is the same recommendation as in last week’s article for Jamison Crowder, but unlike Crowder, Hilton is expected to have a reduction in salary. Hilton is rostered in 39.6% of Dynasty Owner leagues at his current salary, so that may increase slightly with the lower annual salary. Dynasty Owners may also still think Hilton can regain his former glory from his first seven NFL seasons (2012-2018 when he had five 1,000 receiving yard seasons).

Unfortunately, the player who has missed 14 games over the past three seasons and only scored 74.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 2021 is the one who will be getting the new contract. Hilton hasn’t caught more than four passes in a single game or had a 100 yard receiving game since Week 13 of the 2020 season. Shop him around and highlight the salary decrease, but trade offers will likely be minimal or non-existent, so you’ll probably just have to drop him.

The final WR in this range had more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than any other WR on his NFL team in 2021. It’s Braxton Berrios from the New York Jets.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR4826$644,602$5,922,518+ $5,277,916

Berrios’ market value is projected at 4 years and $23,690,074, or $5,922,518 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Berrios on their roster currently should expect to have to find $5.278 million more to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Hold for now. Value depends upon who signs him

For many Dynasty Owners, the emergence of Berrios was completely unexpected in 2021. However, his 2021 performance actually built upon what he started in 2020 when he had over 100 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (103.7) and two early-season games with 17.9 and 16.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points respectively. The receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns were slightly higher in 2021, but a large part of Berrios’ increase in Dynasty Owner fantasy points came from the 1,053 return yards and return TD he had in 2021, compared to only 253 return yards in 2020.

Similar to Deonte Hardy, Berrios retains some value as a returner due to the Dynasty Owner scoring system. If he re-signs with the Jets or another team uses him in a similar way as the Jets did last year, he may be worth holding. It’s possible that he’s the next Julian Edelman, or similar to Hunter Renfrow (who also returns kicks and was his team’s top WR in 2021). It’s also possible that he played well given the opportunity that might not be presented by another team. Of course, my opinion might be biased since Berrios went to Miami, and I saw him perform well for several years in college too. Take that into consideration when he signs that new contract.

WRs Who Are Going to Get Less Than $5 Million per Year

There are three WRs in this category and all of them are in roughly the $3 million salary range. Two out of the three have a market value contract for only one year and the third player has a market value for a two-year contract. There will be many more players who sign free agent contracts for under $5 million. It’s just these three players have Spotrac market values to evaluate.

The first WR in this range is Byron Pringle.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR5228$2,133,000$3,277,579+ $1,144,579

Pringle’s market value is projected at 1 year and $3,277,579 for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Pringle on their roster currently should expect to have to find about $1.145 million more to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Hold if you’re rebuilding. Drop if you’re a contender.

This unique recommendation is based on the fact that he’s not going to hurt a rebuilding team much in 2022. After the season is over, you can drop him if his next contract is too much, or if he has a bad season with no harm done. Of course, he can be traded during the season if another Dynasty Owner wants him.

Contenders don’t need Practice Squad WRs making over $3 million right now and can drop him, but they might during the season. He was WR52 in 2021 and would have been a solid Bench WR. It was his best season by far with 140.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 17 games played (8.3 points per game).

The second WR in this range was also on Kansas City last year – DeMarcus Robinson.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR10927$1,127,500$2,943,971+ $1,816,471

Robinson’s market value is projected at 2 years and $5,887,942, or $2,943,971 per year for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. If your team is one of the 38.5% of teams in Dynasty Owner leagues with Robinson on your roster, you should expect to have to find close to $1.82 million more to keep him on your team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Drop him for free after trying to trade him, but not having any success

Robinson declined to WR109 with 69.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 17 games played (4.1 points per game) last season after consecutive WR70 finishes in 2020 and 2019. Even those seasons of 105.8 and 100.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points respectively meant that he averaged just 6.6 and 6.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in those seasons. Practice squad production but at a much higher salary, so dropping is advised, especially with the extra year on that contract. There will be plenty of Practice Squad WRs on one-year contracts of just over $1 million to replace him. His roster percentage means he’s not likely to draw much trade attention on his own, but can be added as a throw-in or to make salaries match up.

The final WR in this range is Kalif Raymond.

Position RankAge2021 SalaryMarket ValueSalary Change
WR5427$1,127,500$2,940,024+ $1,812,524

Raymond’s market value is projected at 1 year and $2,940,024 for Dynasty Owner salary purposes. Dynasty Owners with Raymond on their roster currently should expect to have to find about $1.81 million more to keep him on their team. What should his Dynasty Owners do?

Current Recommendation: Drop him for free after trying to trade him, but not having any success

Raymond had his best season in 2021 as part of an underwhelming Detroit receiving corps with 138.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in 16 games played for an average of 8.65 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. He had bounced around on several NFL practice squads for a few years before landing with the Lions. It is unlikely that he will replicate his success this past season in the future. As with Demarcus Robinson, practice squad production but at a much higher salary, so dropping is advised with plenty of Practice Squad WRs on one-year contracts of just over $1 million available to replace him.

Conclusion

That concludes the WRs with market values. There were 19 of them to go along with the one QB discussed who didn’t have a market value (Jameis Winston) and a baker’s dozen of RBs. For the lower salary WRs, it was a mixed bag of players and recommendations. Not surprising with the quantity of WRs available at plenty of salary figures. In contrast, RBs are more scarce and valuable, while there are always plenty of decent WRs available in the Free Agent Auction at one time.

We have two articles left as there are ten TEs with a market value, so I’ll split them up into two articles. No kicker article because there are no kicker market values. After the second TE article is published, it’ll be less than two weeks until NFL free agency and the start date of the 2022 Dynasty Owner season.

The weekly Dynasty Owner livestream with myself and Tim Peffer is back at its regular day and time – Wednesday at 4 PM (Eastern). Set the timer on YouTube so you don’t miss it live, or make sure to watch it afterwards. Either way, don’t forget to smash the Like button. You can also listen to the livestream afterwards wherever you get your podcasts.

Please read all of the off-season articles from our Dynasty Owner team as well. On Mondays, I’ll write about players, salaries and contracts to help new and returning Dynasty Owners navigate how to play our unique game. Jay Pounds is writing about everything on rebuilding your Dynasty Owner roster on Tuesday. Nate Christian is back for 2022 and will do prospect previews every Thursday. Finally, Friday is Free Agent Friday as Matt Morrison – The Jerk breaks down the free agents on every NFL team by division.

Thanks for reading and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Free Agent Friday: AFC North

By: Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

The matchup is known, and the stage has been set. Super Bowl LVI will take place between the Los Angeles Rams and the Cincinnati Bengals. From a season-long standpoint, this is a little bit of a shock. The Rams may have been on my short list of NFC teams that I thought could make the Super Bowl, but I had zero expectations that the Bengals could or would make it. If you look at the 2021 preseason odds for teams to win the Super Bowl, you will see that the Rams were at 12-1 odds. Not terrible. That put them as the fourth most likely team to win it all. They were behind the Chiefs, Buccaneers and Bills. The Bengals were a much different story though. They were 150-1 odds to win the Super Bowl which put them as the third least likely team to win it all. Obviously as the season progressed, it looked more and more likely that the Bengals could compete for a title. It’s still fun to look back and dream about making a bet with the full hindsight of today.

At any rate, let’s talk about some more free agents.  Today is the AFC North’s turn.

AFC North

Cincinnati Bengals

Given the fact that the Bengals are in the upcoming Super Bowl, I thought it would be appropriate to talk about their one and only notable free agent today.

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
C.J. Uzomah29UFA$6,100,000$8,000,000

Uzomah is 29 years old. He is being talked about today not because I believe he will be a dominant fantasy player or value next year. Instead, I am talking about him because he is rostered in 52 percent of Dynasty Owner leagues. This is honestly a little higher than I would have expected from a six million dollar tight end that finished as TE19 in 2021. As is the case with a lot of NFL players, Uzomah is a better real life football player than a fantasy player. I expect his roster percentage to decrease rapidly after he signs a contract worth over 7 million dollars.

Pittsburgh Steelers

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
JuJu Smith-Schuster25UFA$8,000,000$12,000,000
James Washington25UFA$1,125,336$7,000,000

A couple of 25 year old wide receivers make the list for Pittsburgh. It’s hard to believe, but James Washington is actually a few months older than JuJu Smith-Schuster. This is a testament to how young Smith-Schuster was when he entered the league and how short of a time it took him to become a household name. He is an unrestricted free agent in 2022 and will bring a value of around 12 million dollars per year. It wouldn’t surprise me in the least if that salary creeps up to around 15 million dollars.

James Washington is a player that I think is likely to find a new home this year. With a cap and quarterback uncertainty, paying over 6 million dollars for a third wide receiver is not likely what the Steelers want to do. I think the Bears, Chiefs or Saints would be a fine landing spot for Washington.

I also just wanted to mention Dwayne Haskins. As scary as it may sound, Haskins is the odds-on favorite to start for the Steelers in 2022 at this exact moment. I don’t think he will be the starter on Opening Day, but they have no one else (other than Mason Rudolph). I think it’s likely the Steelers explore quarterback options through free agency or maybe even the draft, but there is no guarantee that the player they select will be ready to start Week 1. Haskins isn’t officially on my free agent list, but I wanted to mention him here, so people have his name in the back of their mind when he does sign a new contract.

Baltimore Ravens

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
Latavius Murray32UFA$1,075,000$3,000,000
Devonta Freeman29UFA$1,075,000$2,000,000

Two aging running backs make the list of notable free agents today. Latavius Murray is likely getting close to the end of his career. I don’t think last season was his final one, but I don’t see a chance that he gets more than a single year offer. Think about something like 3 million dollars for a single year if you own Murray.

Devonta Freeman is kind of in the same situation as Murray although he is three years younger.  The 29 year old running back found new life in his career with Baltimore last season.  He wasn’t the most efficient or highest scoring running back in Dynasty Owner, but he was still a value given his salary. Freeman made a little more than 1 million dollars, but he was able to amass almost 150.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (149.6). Believe it or not this finish was good enough to put him in the Top 20 for Dynasty Dollars per Fantasy Point (DD/FP).  I wouldn’t expect a similar finish for 2022 especially since his new team is very much up in the air.

Cleveland Browns

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
David Njoku25UFA$6,013,000$6,000,000
D’Ernest Johnson25RFA$585,000$2,500,000

The Browns surprised me with only two notable free agents this year. Neither of them are big names, but I think both have a chance to make a decent impact on their (possibly) new teams.

David Njoku has had a relatively disappointing career, at least from a fantasy standpoint. He was selected in the first round of the 2017 NFL Draft. In his five NFL seasons, he has less than 1,800 receiving yards and has averaged only three touchdowns per year. I know that tight ends (including Njoku) do much, much more than just offensive production, but his stats have still been lackluster. I look for Njoku to move on from the Browns while also getting a similar contract to what he had last season.

D’Ernest Johnson made a big splash in 2021 in games without Nick Chubb or Kareem Hunt. We know that his aforementioned teammate, Nick Chubb, has already signed a multi-year contract worth over 12 million dollars per year. I’m torn on what I think the Browns should or will do with Johnson. My heart tells me that they should bring him back, but my brain tells me that it’s probably not likely. There are very few third string running backs in the NFL who make over 2 million dollars, and this is exactly what D’Ernest is likely to make in 2022. Even if the Browns wanted to use a tender on him, it would be worth over 2 million dollars. I think he will command that type of contract, but I don’t think it’ll be in Cleveland.

If there is any player that you want me to spend more time talking about, just message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know. I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube.  Take care everyone and be safe.

TheJerk

Free Agent Friday: AFC East

By: Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Just when I thought there could have been no greater controversy than Wild Card weekend, the Divisional weekend looks like it may have outdone it. Last weekend’s controversy had nothing to do with an on-field mistake or injustice. Instead, many football fans (especially Bills fans) were upset that that current overtime rule worked against them. One of the greatest football games that I’ve ever seen came down to overtime. In overtime, the Chiefs won the coin toss and marched down the field for a game winning touchdown. The complaining about the rule came after Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills did not have a chance to possess the ball on offense. Pretty much my entire Twitter timeline was filled with the same complaint…

“It is unfair for one team to have an offensive possession and not the other.”

I’m not going to comment on whether I think the rule needs to be changed, and I truly believe the NFL has no plans to, but I will say this…If the Bills would have won, and the Chiefs had lost in the same fashion, obviously the outrage would be swapped. While many people may claim that the rules are unfair, every team accepts them and agrees to play by them. Both teams had ample time and opportunity to win the game in regular time. Neither was able to, and (as punishment) some of the outcome can be left to chance.

Let’s say for argument’s sake that the OT rule was to change. I think the best way to change it would be to allow both teams to possess the ball on offense once. That means that whether a team scores a field goal or a touchdown, the opposite team gets a chance for rebuttal. After both teams tie on their first possession, then it could go to sudden death. Although I’m sure there would still be some complaints as the team that won the initial coin flip would still have an offensive advantage. At any rate, let’s get talking about some free agents.

AFC East

Buffalo Bills

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
Emmanuel Sanders34UFA$6,000,000$6,000,000
Matt Breida26UFA$1,055,000$1,000,000

Just a couple of notable Bills players to talk about today. First, we have Emmanuel Sanders. Sanders is 34 and clearly on the backside of his career. He was inconsistent in 2021, and it would be tough to trust him from a Dynasty Owner’s perspective. He will look for a salary close to what he currently has (1 year – $6,000,000). This is pretty much the going rate for aging wide receivers (think A.J. Green).

Matt Breida is kind of a fringe player to talk about, but he is rostered in 75% of Dynasty Owner leagues so here we are. He isn’t a startable asset in any Dynasty Owner league, but he should probably be rostered in most leagues. I honestly have no idea where Breida will end up. He’s been a journeyman running back his whole career. What I do know is that he will likely not make more than $2,000,000 per year, and it should be closer to $1,000,000. 

New England Patriots

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
James White29UFA$2,462,500$2,000,000
Brandon Bolden32UFA$1,850,000$1,500,000
Jakobi Meyers25RFA$588,333$5,500,000

James White is an interesting player to talk about. He has almost always outperformed his fantasy projections. 2021 was looking to be much of the same for White until he suffered a season-ending hip injury in Week 3. Although it is a small sample size, White averaged 15.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for Week 1 and 2. I have to believe that White will return to New England. He has played every game of his career with the Patriots, and I think he will have a role for himself in 2022. Given his age, it’s likely he will sign another 1 year contract, and it will likely be worth around 2 million dollars. Expect very little change from White’s contract.

Brandon Bolden is 32, but I would consider that a young 32. He has only 383 touches in his nine year career. If you remember, Bolden was one of the few players who decided to opt out of the 2020 NFL season. All of this is to say that he has very little wear on him, at least from a game standpoint. Bolden essentially took over for the injured James White in 2021. While he was likely not as effective or efficient as White would have been, Bolden provided Dynasty Owners a fine fantasy season. Believe it or not, Bolden finished inside the Top 50 running backs in terms of Dynasty Dollars per Fantasy Point (DD/FP). Top 50 isn’t necessarily the gold standard for efficiency, but if he was one of your Bench running backs last year, you could have done much worse.

Jakobi Meyers is my favorite Patriot player to speculate about. He had a very healthy season to the tune of 186.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. His salary was $588,333, and he finished as WR2 for DD/FP. He is a restricted free agent (RFA) which means that his free agency will be a little more complicated than if he was an unrestricted free agent. Here is what I wrote about RFAs last year…

“A restricted free agent includes any NFL player that has served for three years and that has an expiring contract. A RFA can receive a “qualifying” offer from his current team, but he is free to explore other teams as well. If another team gives him a better offer, his current team is allowed time to give a matching or better offer with the hopes of retaining that player. (This could be referred to as “first rights of refusal”). This is a very simplified way of explaining it, but for our purposes that’s the summary.”

Meyers fits that description, and he will look to make somewhere between 5 and 6 million dollars per year. He has earned that with a very solid past couple of years.

Miami Dolphins

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
Will Fuller27UFA$10,625,011$8,000,000
Phillip Lindsay27UFA$3,250,000$3,000,000
Malcom Brown28UFA$1,750,000$2,500,000
Mike Gesicki26UFA$1,652,981$12,000,000
Salvon Ahmed23ERFA$695,000$1,500,000
Preston Williams24RFA$588,333$4,000,000

We have a six pack of free agents for the Dolphins. I’m not going to break down every one of them today mainly because I don’t think we need to, but I will talk about all of them in depth at a later time.

Will Fuller essentially had a lost season with the Dolphins. He had only four receptions in 2021 which means he made more than 2.5 million dollars per reception. I would have to think that Miami just wants to wash their hands from this deal and move on. Anyone who looks to pick up Fuller would be looking at an $8,000,000 market value.

Phillip Lindsay was largely forgotten about this season. At least I forgot about him. He was waived by the Texans in late November. The Dolphins claimed him and actually gave him three games with more than 10 carries. Unfortunately, he was unable to amass more than 42 yards in any of those games. I anticipate Lindsay will make around $3,000,000 next year, but I’m not sure the nearly 75% roster percentage in Dynasty Owner is going to last.

Finally, I want to mention Mike Gesicki. Gesicki has earned himself a top tier tight end contract.  That looks like somewhere between 11 and 13 million dollars per year. I also think there is a decent chance the Dolphins use a franchise tag on him. This would put him in the 11 million dollar range, but it would negate the need for a long term contract. This could push the long term money down the road for another year.

New York Jets

PlayerAgeStatusCurrent SalaryEstimated Value
Jamison Crowder28UFA$9,500,000$10,000,000
Tevin Coleman28UFA$1,100,000$1,000,000
Braxton Berrios26UFA$644,602$6,000,000

The Jets have three notable offensive free agents that I’m keeping my eye on. Jamison Crowder is one of them. Crowder finished as the WR68 in 2021. I would consider him a much more effective real life wide receiver as opposed to a fantasy wide receiver. It’s no wonder that he is only rostered in 35 percent of Dynasty Owner leagues. A previous salary of 9.5 million dollars mixed with barely over 100 Dynasty Owner fantasy points is just not a recipe for success. What’s worse is that I anticipate his contract will increase slightly for 2022. If I rostered him in any league, I would wait until he signs a new contract and then drop him for free.

Tevin Coleman was mostly a non-factor for fantasy football in 2021. He is still rostered in over 78 percent of Dynasty Owner leagues which is why I’m talking about him. This roster percentage is solely due to his 1.1 million dollar contract and not his performance on the field. I have no problem with anyone continuing to roster him over the off-season as I don’t anticipate he will make much more than $1,000,000 per year.

Finally, we come to Braxton Berrios.  Berrios is a seldom talked about player in any fantasy football format, but he actually had a pretty healthy 2021 season. He finished as the WR48 and also finished as WR6 in DD/FP. He was a very good value given his nearly league minimum salary ($644,602). I expect his salary to increase by about 10 times though. I’m not sure if he will still be rosterable in most leagues with that increase.

If there is any player that you want me to spend more time talking about, just message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know. I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube.  Take care everyone and be safe.

TheJerk