Week 14 Recap: Little Change at the Top

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

The NFL standings after Week 13 had 11 teams sitting in the lead or tied for the lead in their division. In the AFC, Buffalo, Pittsburgh and Kansas City each led their respective divisions outright, while Tennessee and Indianapolis sat tied for first place in the AFC South. In the NFC, Green Bay and New Orleans had outright leads, while New York and Washington were tied at the top of the NFC East, while out in the NFC West, Seattle and Los Angeles were tied.

After Week 14, the top of the standings hadn’t changed much as 10 out of those 11 teams were still in at least a tie for first place. While Pittsburgh and New Orleans both lost, neither team fell out of first place. Eight of the other first place teams won to maintain their grip on at least a share of the lead in their division. Only the New York Giants lost and fell out of first place in their division.

It’s a little bit different in Dynasty Owner because it’s the playoffs. While bye weeks for the top two teams in every Dynasty Owner league ensures that the teams with the best records are still alive in their quest for a League Championship, a couple of teams at the top of the Chase for the Ring standings finished outside of the top two in their League. As a result, they had to battle an opponent in the first round of the playoffs.

As we see in the NFL, being in first place in your division is no guarantee of a Week 14 victory. Pittsburgh lost to another first place team in Buffalo, while New Orleans was upset by Philadelphia. Similarly, being in the Top 25 in the Chase for the Ring standings was no guarantee of a first round playoff victory. Just ask Hingle McCringleberry. The 14th ranked team overall after the regular season went down to defeat in the first round of the playoffs (losing a nail biter to Hot Mess by a score of 152.7 to 152.3).

Our Dynasty Owner Player of the Week had a great performance in Week 14 that helped his team stay at the top of their division. For this first round of the playoffs edition of the Dynasty Owner weekly recap, we’ll name the Player of the Week, the Value Player of the Week and also highlight a player at every position who should have been one of your Starters and one who should have been on your Bench or Practice Squad. We’ll also find out if Seth won his playoff game that was featured as our Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week. We’ll also look at the new Chase for the Ring standings featuring only teams still alive for their League Championship and see if any changes that occurred in the Top 10.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner ownership statistics were current as of December 15th.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our first 2020 playoff Dynasty Owner Player of the Week is: Derrick Henry

For the second time this season, Derrick Henry of the first place Tennessee Titans topped 200 yards to receive the 6 point bonus. Not coincidentally, it was also the second time that he has been named the Dynasty Owner Player of the Week. Back in Week 6 against Houston, Henry ran for 212 yards and 2 rushing TDs, including the game-winner in overtime, plus 2 receptions for 52 yards to score 49.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. This week against the Jacksonville Jaguars, Henry had three more yards (215) but fewer receiving yards and 42.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (215 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 2 receptions, 7 receiving yards). He also had more than 40.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (40.5) two weeks ago against the Indianapolis Colts. That’s one game of over 40.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against each team in the division for Henry. A division that he has helped his team to sits on top of along with Indianapolis.

  • Week 14 Points: 42.2
  • 2020 Salary: $10,278,000
  • Cost per Point: $243,555

Congratulations Derrick on winning your second Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor of the 2020 season and helping your team stay in a tie for first place!

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The first 2020 playoff Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week is: Russell Gage

Gage was a trendy sleeper pick in Dynasty Owner this year after a finishing up the second half of the 2019 season strong. It’s the combination of being the #3 receiver in Atlanta with Matt Ryan at QB for the Falcons offense along with a very friendly contract of $654,049 that runs through the 2021 season. This week, he had his best performance of 2020 with 21.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 82 receiving yards, 39 passing yards, 1 passing TD). The 21.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points was the fewest number of points scored by a Value Player of the Week in 2020 as well as less than any player who won the honor in 2019.

  • Week 14 Points: 21.1
  • 2020 Salary: $654,049
  • Cost per Point: $30,998

Congratulations Russell on your first Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor.

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 14. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Derrick Henry because barring injury or bye week, he should always be in your Starting lineup. Instead, these are players who might normally be on your Bench or Practice Squad, but likely weren’t Starters in Week 14 when they should have been.

QB: Drew Lock (DEN) – 34.4 points

Inconsistency is only thing consistent about Drew Lock’s 2020 season. He’s played in 10 games, scored 163.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this season and currently ranks as the #28 QB in Dynasty Owner. He has had three games of less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, three games of more than 30.0 points and four games with between 10.0 and 20.0 points. This week, Lock turned in one of his good performances as he had 34.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (280 passing yards, 4 passing TDs, 4 rushing yards, 2 fumbles – 1 lost). This came on the heels of three poor performances in which he averaged 11.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (he missed the Week 12 game along with all of the other Denver QBs). Lock and his $1.75 million annual salary is owned in every Dynasty Owner league, but after those three bad performances, there were likely few Dynasty Owners who dared to put him in their Starting lineup when they should have done so.

Honorable mention to Mitchell Trubisky who had almost as many Dynasty Owner fantasy points as Lock (33.6) and sits right behind Lock in the QB rankings at #29 even though he has only started six games this year. Despite getting benched  after winning the first three games of the season for Chicago, he is still owned in 80% of Dynasty Owner leagues. This week, he had 33.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (267 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 23 rushing yards). That’s his second best performance of 2020 and one that made him worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup.

RB: Cam Akers (LAR) – 23.4 points

With an ADP of 34.6, Cam Akers was expected to be doing better than being the #49 ranked RB after 14 weeks of the 2020 season. As his Dynasty Owners could likely tell you, it was frustrating to see him put up an average of 3.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game over the first ten games of the season and seemingly being the third RB for the Rams. However, after ripping off a 61 yard run in Week 12 against San Francisco, Akers has been the lead RB for the Rams and a welcome addition to the Starting RB mix for his Dynasty Owners. He is averaging 18.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game over the past three weeks, including a career high 23.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (171 rushing yards, 2 receptions, 23 receiving yards) in Week 14. That performance helped the Rams to a win over the Patriots on Thursday Night, a win that allowed them to stay in a tie for the lead in their division. Akers is looking like a must Start player in the Dynasty Owner playoffs after Week 14. Hopefully he was in your Starting lineup this week and your team advanced.

Honorable mention to Gus Edwards of Baltimore who had 18.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (49 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 1 reception, 4 receiving yards) in Baltimore’s wild Monday Night Football victory over the Browns. That’s a season best performance for another RB stuck on a team with two other quality RBs. The two TDs were unexpected and probably didn’t help too many Dynasty Owners, unless they were smart enough to predict this performance from Edwards and had him in their Starting lineup.

WR: K.J. Hamler (DEN) – 22.6 points

For the second week in a row, we had someone with a very efficient week of two receptions for two TDs. Last week, it was Dan Arnold of the Arizona Cardinals, while this week, it was K.J. Hamler of the Denver Broncos. Hamler had 2 receptions for 86 receiving yards and 2 receiving TDs (22.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) in the Broncos 32-27 victory over the Carolina Panthers. That’s a season high for the 21 year old rookie receiver from Penn State and possibly a preview of things to come in the future between himself and QB Drew Lock. It was his best game of the year and his Dynasty Owners probably weren’t expecting it this week, so they likely didn’t have him in their Starting lineup.

TE: Irv Smith Jr. (MIN) – 16.3 points

Bigger things were expected this season from Irv Smith Jr. than he has produced for his Dynasty Owners. Smith was drafted pretty high as his ADP of 132.9 made him the 13th TE drafted on average. However, he is only the #33 ranked TE for the season in Dynasty Owner, even after his 16.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance (4 receptions, 63 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) in Week 14. Injuries caused him to sit out three of the past four weeks. Even though he was expected to be productive with fellow TE Kyle Rudolph out, his Dynasty Owners can be forgiven if they didn’t want to include him in their playoff Starting lineup this week and left him on the Bench.

K: Greg Zuerlein (DAL) – 12.0 points

On average, Zuerlein was the fourth kicker off the board in Dynasty Owner drafts this year. The combination of his strong leg (that’s why his nickname is Greg the Leg), the high-powered Dallas offense behind Dak Prescott and a lower than average salary of $2.5 million annually made attractive to Dynasty Owners who picked their kicker on the early side of the draft. However, he’s been very shaky on the longer FG attempts this year, making only one out of six attempts from 50 yards or longer in the Dynasty Owner regular season. He came through this week, nailing a 55 yard FG, plus two other FGs from 39 yards or less (20 and 34 yards) and 3 PATs to be the highest scoring kicker of the week with 12.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Hopefully his Dynasty Owner stuck with him and kept him in their Starting lineup despite Zuerlein being ranked outside of the top 12 kickers prior to the start of the Dynasty Owner playoffs.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been one of your Starters but wasn’t, we have at least one high drafted or high ranked player who probably was in your Starting lineup but would have been better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who scored few, none or negative Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week, so they should have been riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad in the first round of the playoffs.

QB: Matt Ryan (ATL) – 8.5 points

Matt Ryan has played some of his worst football since the Falcons bye week. In the four games since going on bye, Ryan has only averaged 12.35 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. Turnovers have been an issue as he had 7 turnovers (5 INTs, 2 fumbles – 1 lost) in the first nine games of the season and 7 of them (6 INTs and 1 fumble – lost) in the last four games. In the first week of the Dynasty Owner playoffs, Ryan only had 8.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (224 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 3 rushing yards, 3 INTs). Hopefully you heeded the warning signs from the previous couple of weeks and left Ryan on your Bench.

RB: James Conner (PIT) – 0.8 points

After missing the past two games, Dynasty Owners with James Conner on their team were likely happy to have him back for the first round of the playoffs. He had averaged 13.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in the Steelers’ first ten games before going on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Unfortunately for everyone who relied on him to return to that form after the time off, Conner went out and put up his worst performance of the year with just 0.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (18 rushing yards, 1 fumble). Even after this poor performance, he’s still ranked as the #24 RB in Dynasty Owner, so he’s still your RB2 or FLEX starter if you advanced in your playoffs or Loser bracket tournament. However, in the first round of both of those, he should have been on your Bench.

WR: Corey Davis (TEN) – 3.4 points

Three WRs (Davante Parker, Mike Williams, Deebo Samuel) who could have potentially been in your Starting lineup had poor performances this week, but all three of them were injured and therefore, not eligible for this spot. One week after his best game of the season (35.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Cleveland in Week 13), Corey Davis was likely in the Starting lineup for plenty of his Dynasty Owners since he was facing the Jacksonville defense. Unfortunately for them, Davis had his second worse game of the season with only 3.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (3 receptions, 34 receiving yards, 1 fumble – lost). He should have been on your Dynasty Owner Bench, not in the Starting lineup.

TE: Hayden Hurst (ATL) – 1.7 points

Just like Matt Ryan, Hurst hasn’t scored a lot of Dynasty Owner fantasy points since the Falcons’ bye week. He only scored 10.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the first three games after their bye and added just 1.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (1 reception, 7 receiving yards) in Week 14. He has finally fallen out of the top 12 TEs now as he’s the #15 TE in Dynasty Owner after this week. Hopefully his Dynasty Owners had a better option to go with and had Hurst on their Bench or Practice Squad.

K: Brandon McManus (DEN) – 0.0 points

If you consider Sunday the start of the week, then it’s been a pretty miserable week so far for Brandon McManus. And it’s only Tuesday. First, he missed two PAT attempts on Sunday, while making two others to score his Dynasty Owners exactly 0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week. Then on Monday, he announced that he would be heading to the reserve/COVID-19 list because of close contact with someone infected.

Dishonorable mention to Graham Gano of the New York Giants. Gano had been a pleasant surprise at kicker for his Dynasty Owner this season up until this week when the Giants offense only produced one TD and no FG attempts for him. He made the kick, but the 1.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance was his worst of the year. Hopefully concerns about the Giants offense led his Dynasty Owners to leave Gano on the Bench this week.

Special dishonorable mention to Dan Bailey. After missing three kicks in Week 13, Bailey was at it again in Week 14. If you had him in your Starting lineup, you probably know that he ended up with -8.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points after missing all three of his FG attempts (36, 46 and 54 yards) plus his only PAT attempt. That’s seven missed kicks in the crucial final week of the regular season and first round of the playoffs for Bailey’s Dynasty Owners. His ownership is high at 79% so plenty of you have him on your rosters. If you haven’t done it already then banish Bailey to your Bench or Practice Squad.

Dynasty Owner Matchup of the Week Recap –

Girthquake vs. CLE Piggy Pauls

The improbable late season and playoff run by Seth and CLE Piggy Pauls continues as they took out Girthquake by a score of 135.7-129.4 in the first round of the Dynasty Owner playoffs. It was a clean sweep of the season series for the CLE Piggy Pauls as they defeated Girthquake twice in the regular season in addition to their playoff victory.

After starting the season at 1-3, Seth ripped off four straight victories before a loss in Week 9 to sit at 5-4 on the season. They got back on the winning track in Week 10 and haven’t lost since then, even after losing their starting QB Joe Burrow to injury in Week 11.

Girthquake had the Player of the Week Derrick Henry and Value Player of the Week Russell Gage on their roster but CLE Piggy Pauls had balance with four players in their Starting lineup scoring over 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. As a result, Seth advances to the playoff semi-finals in the Crossroads League to face Dynasty Owner Tim while Girthquake’s 2020 Dynasty Owner season is over.

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

If these standings look familiar, it’s because there has been little change in our Top 10 over the past week. It’s all of the same teams with just wanna win moving ahead of All Might into third place. Of course, it’s because all of the teams in the Top 10 had first round playoff byes, but half of them put up more than 190.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week (with another team just missing out with 189.2) to maintain their Chase position. However, there has been a slight bit of tightening of Barbee Kilgore’s lead over all of the Top 10 except second place Quaranteed for Greatness. Barbee Kilgore scored 163.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week, but everyone else in the Top 10 just scored more and closed the gap slightly.

Conclusions

The lack of changes at the top of the Chase for the Ring standings after the first round of the playoffs (as well as the Loser’s bracket tournament) was not a huge surprise. We did lose one Top 25 team, but with everyone playing this week and all of the playoff teams trying to win their League championship, we should have some more movement as only two out of twelve team per League can remain in the Chase.  

The NFL schedule appears to have stabilized and so the regular Tuesday recap and Friday preview articles are on tap. Please read the Week 15 preview article to see how my Week 14 recommendations did and who should be a Starter and who should be on your Bench in the playoffs and loser’s bracket tournament semi-finals. We will have an article on Championship Sleepers and Rookie Rankings from Matt Morrison – The Jerk (@Dynastyjerk) coming on Wednesday as well. Two more weeks without transactions means that we won’t have the regular weekly look at Free Agent Auction targets from Jay Poundsee (@jaypoundsnfl), but he’ll be back. Be sure to follow all of us plus Dynasty Owner (@Dynasty_Owner) on Twitter to read what we’re writing and tweeting.

The podcast series with myself and Dynasty Owner CEO Tim Peffer goes live at 1 PM on Wednesday. If you can’t make it live, then watch or listen anytime on the Dynasty Owner YouTube channel. You can catch up with older videos and tutorials there as well. Subscribe as well to receive notifications and make sure to “Like” all of the videos to help promote them. Dynasty Owner has 569 subscribers on YouTube right now and we thank everyone who has subscribed already. All of this great content is available to help you win your semi-finals matchup and continue your quest to make your way into the Top 25 in the Chase for the Ring standings.

Follow us on Twitter: @Dynasty_Owner

Old Faces in New Places (The Jeffersons Version)

Author: Steven Van Tassell

We’re a moving on up! Moving on up! To the East Side! To a De-Luxe apartment in the sky! This first of two articles on players who have moved teams since free agency started will focus on players who received a salary increase. That’s why the title has the Jeffersons in it (look it up if you don’t get it).

While they all may have gotten a salary increase, some of them will be worth the extra money, some won’t be, and others are in the middle. There are a lot of players who left one team in free agency for more money with another team, so we can’t cover everyone (sorry if you are looking for analysis of Robby Anderson, Tajae Sharpe or Case Keenum). Instead, let’s take a look in depth in this article at a few other players.

All stats are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth .25 points for every 10 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

I’ll Take Veteran QBs for $25 Million, Alex

This off-season, we had two veteran QBs sign $25 million contracts with new teams – Philip Rivers and the G.O.A.T. (Tom Brady). While Brady is older (43 when the 2020 NFL season starts vs. 38 for Rivers), he was the one who got a two-year deal, while Rivers settled for just one year. That’s just not fair, Rivers has nine kids to support!

Regardless of how many kids they have or age, both Rivers and Brady are tied together this off-season because they are playing for a new team for the first time in the twilight of their careers. Their $25 million contracts, on average, put them into a tie with Drew Brees and Derek Carr for 12th on the list of highest paid QBs (https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/average/quarterback/). Both are making slightly more than in 2019, $2 million for Brady and almost $4.2 million for Rivers. However, which one (if either) is a better fit for your Dynasty Owner team, or should you drop Rivers or Brady if you have them on your roster currently. We’ll break down Brady first, because he’s the G.O.A.T. then Rivers.

Brady finished the 2019 season as the #11 QB in Dynasty Owner (for the second consecutive year) with an average of 21.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. He was fairly consistent as he really only put up one very bad game (4.2 points in Week 4 versus Buffalo) versus four games with 30.0+ Dynasty Owner fantasy points (three in the first five weeks, then one thereafter). He’ll be another year older in 2020, but has better WRs in Tampa Bay (Mike Evans and Chris Godwin) than he did in New England (Julian Edelman), but a worse running game (Ronald Jones in Tampa Bay versus Sony Michel, James White and Rex Burkhead in New England) to help take the load off.

So, the question of the day is – Is Brady going to improve in 2020? Honestly, probably not, but he could stay in the same range as the past two seasons and finish as the #11 QB again, which is fine based on his salary ranking. For the Dynasty Owners who have him on their roster (he’s owned in 89% of Dynasty Owner leagues), hold him unless you really need the salary cap room or have a younger, better QB (or better yet, two) on your roster. Trading is dicey as what are you going to get in dynasty for a 43-year old QB?

Rivers is owned in fewer Dynasty Owner leagues (48%) than Brady and finished the 2019 season as the #18 QB in Dynasty Owner, a decline from #12 in 2018. His weapons in Indianapolis (T.Y. Hilton, Marlon Mack and Jack Doyle plus a rookie/free agent WR) aren’t as good as they were on the Chargers (Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler and Hunter Henry), so expect that he’s not going to be better in 2020. Maybe having an actual home crowd to play in front of will make him perform better, but don’t count on it. Drop Rivers if you need salary cap room or if a cheaper, younger QB such as Teddy Bridgewater ($21 million contract, owned in 43% of Dynasty Owner leagues) or just a younger QB who costs the same (Derek Carr – owned in 41% of Dynasty Owner leagues) is available.

Are These Receivers Worth Four Million More?

In another coincidence, we have three receivers (two WRs and one TE) who got new contracts with new teams that will pay them $4 million more than they were paid in 2019 (technically, it’s “only” $3.75 million more for Tyler Eifert, but that’s close enough). All of them were not highly owned in Dynasty Owner in 2019 at their old salaries, but are expected to have expanded roles with their new teams, thus justifying the higher salary to their new team. The question for Dynasty Owners is – Are they worth their new 2020 salary or not?  Let’s take a look and see.

  • Former Packers and Cowboys WR Randall Cobb signed a 3-year, $27 million contract ($9 million per year for Dynasty Owner purposes) with the Houston Texans to replace the traded DeAndre Hopkins. At least, that’s the assumption and what the Texans hope happens. He was only owned in 4% of Dynasty Owner leagues at $5 million in 2019 when he was on the Cowboys and finished the season as the #44 WR in Dynasty Owner with 153.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He did miss one game, so his average was just over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game (10.2). Unless he improves greatly on that performance in 2020, he’s unlikely to be worth $9 million, which puts him right now as the 28th highest paid WR in 2020 (https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/average/wide-receiver/). If you have $9 million in salary cap room and think Cobb will improve in the Houston offense over what he did for Dallas and become someone you can put in your Active lineup as a WR or FLEX on a weekly basis, then he’s almost certainly available in your league and you should go pick him up. I don’t support that move and think you can find better ways to spend that salary cap space.
  • For $1 million less, Dynasty Owners can pick up Breshard Perriman of the New York Jets. Like Cobb, the former first round pick of the Baltimore Ravens is making $4 million more in 2020 than 2019 ($8 million in 2020, up from $4 million in 2019), but he’s three years younger than Cobb (27 at the start of the 2020 NFL season versus 30 for Cobb). Perriman projects as the top outside WR threat for the Jets, which was Robby Anderson last year. Anderson finished #41 WR, but had to play several games without Sam Darnold at QB with mostly Luke Falk in his place (0 TDs in three games and released as soon as Darnold was healthy and back ready to play QB). Perriman had flashes of brilliance at the end of the 2019 season with Tampa Bay and averaged 21.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the final five games of the season (helping many fantasy players at the end of the season and in the playoffs). He probably can’t sustain the success he had at the end of last season, but I’d take him over Cobb if I needed a WR and had the salary cap room. He’s available in 70% of Dynasty Owner leagues, so take a look if you have roster space and $8 million available.
  • Finally, we have new Jacksonville TE Tyler Eifert. Eifert technically didn’t get a $4 million increase (it was only $3.75 million), but still raised his salary from $4 million in 2019 to $7.75 million in 2020 when he signed his new 2-year, $15.5 million contract. If Eifert is the 2015 version of himself, then he’s well worth this new contract (52 receptions, 615 yards receiving, 13 receiving TDs in 13 games). However, if he’s the Eifert who played only 14 games over the next three seasons from 2016 to 2018, or the 2019 version who played all 16 games but only had 106.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, then he’s definitely not worth it. Eifert averaged just 6.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in 2019 and finished as the #19 TE. According to Spotrac, he’s the eighth highest paid TE (https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/average/tight-end/). I just don’t see him as being worth that contract, even with Gardner Minshew II throwing him the ball, so his Dynasty Owner ownership of 20% should go down, not up during this free drop period.

Greg the Leg Moves from LA to Dallas

Finally, we have another kicker, in addition to Mason Crosby who was highlighted in a previous article (https://dynastyowner.com/2020/03/afford-new-home/), who got a new contract worth more than he made in 2019. Greg Zuerlein, aka Greg the Leg, received a three year, $7.5 million contract from the Dallas Cowboys and will no longer be kicking for the Rams. Greg the Leg was with the Rams so long that he played with them when they were still in St. Louis.

His new contract is worth only $250,000 more per year than his old one, but is he really worth $2.5 million in Dynasty Owner salary cap room? Should his Dynasty Owner drop him or keep him (you can’t pick him up because he’s owned in 98% of leagues right now)?

Even though $2.5 million seems like a lot of your $110 million salary cap for a kicker, Zuerlein will only be the 18th highest paid kicker in the NFL in 2020 (https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/average/kicker/). He finished as the #13 kicker in Dynasty Owner in what was a poor season for him. He missed nine FGs in 2019 (1 FG under 40 yards and 8 of 40+ yards), but was perfect in PAT attempts (42 for 42). He missed as many FGs in 2019 as he did in the prior three seasons combined. As a Zuerlein Dynasty Owner, I’m sticking with Greg the Leg and predicting that he bounces back in 2020. I have two other, cheaper kickers as well and recommend everyone try and have the same on their roster.

Conclusions

Not everyone who got a new contract in 2020 is going to be worth the higher salary in Dynasty Owner. Breshard Perriman is one player who Dynasty Owners should look at getting if he’s available in your league, the G.O.A.T. and Greg the Leg are two guys to hold. Dynasty Owners can probably even try to work a trade for Zuerlein as well. In contrast, Randall Cobb, Tyler Eifert and Phillip Rivers can be dropped if you need salary cap room or left in the Free Agent Auction.

There’s more contract news to cover before Dynasty Owners have to pay the drop fee to release a player. A second article about players who switched teams this off-season, but are getting paid less than they did in 2019, is coming tomorrow. And don’t forget about all of the great Dynasty Owner specific podcasts (particularly the Live podcast from Friday – which was a lot of fun), message board debates and Twitter posts.  All of this great content is available to help you win your Dynasty Owner league and maybe become the winner of the 2020 Chase for the Ring!

Steven Van Tassell is a freelance writer for Dynasty Owner.

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner