Week 7 Preview – Full Lineups

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

Everybody who plays fantasy football is talking about the fact that six NFL teams are on bye this week and how tough it is to field a team this week. Most of these people are likely playing in traditional dynasty league, or redraft leagues, and maybe have to set a lineup with ten starting lineup spots at most. In some dynasty leagues, teams can have up to 30 players on their roster and don’t have to worry about managing a salary cap. In reality, it shouldn’t be too hard to find ten active and healthy players when you have thirty players to choose from on your roster and 26 active NFL teams. They may not be the “best” players or guys who would ever grace your lineup in a normal, bye-free week, but at least they should play and possibly score some points for your team.

In addition, it’s not like you’re the only team in this situation. Everybody in your league has the same problem. With the Bills, Chargers, Cowboys, Jaguars, Steelers and Vikings on bye, it’s inevitable that both you and your opponent will have a few players on bye this week. The important thing is that you do your best to field a full lineup and try to win your Week 7 games.

Dynasty Owners have to do more than most fantasy football managers every week. We have to set lineups with eight players in our Starting lineups, plus seven players on the Bench who get 25% of the points that they score added to your final score. Having a full lineup of 15 players might give you the small advantage that your team needs to win. Sometimes, that’s what it takes to win. Last week, a team in my beta league (Beta League 3 – #27483) lost by just 0.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That’s only 2.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points from a player on your Bench. Last week, Patriots kicker Nick Folk was 3 for 3 on PAT attempts and scored 3.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. If the team that lost by 0.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points didn’t have a Bench kicker, but had at least $1.075 million in salary cap room to take on Folk’s salary, they could have picked up Folk and been victorious.

That wasn’t the case as the team had a full lineup and Folk is rostered in 97% of Dynasty Owner leagues, so it wasn’t likely that he was available to add last minute to many teams. However, here is a list of players (with at least one player per position). All but one of these players makes $1 million or less in salary for the 2021 season,. All of them are widely available in Dynasty Owner leagues and would have provided more than 2.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points last week.

PlayerTeamPositionYears Left/SalaryDOFPRoster %
Brandon AllenCINQB1 year/$1.5 million6.05.3%
Travis HomerSEARB2 years/$665,7046.444.4%
Ray-Ray McCloudPITWR1 year/$1 million6.31.8%
Nick Westbrook-IkhineTENWR1 year/$610,0005.733.7%
Luke FarrellJACTE4 years/$959,5053.13.6%
Jody FortsonKCTE1 year/$660,0003.79.5%
Matthew WrightJACK1 year/$780,00019.040.2%

It’s not easy to do, but it’s doable if you want to have a full lineup every week, keep some salary cap room, and look hard enough at the Free Agent Auction. For example, I didn’t have a Bench QB or Bench kicker for a team in one of my Dynasty Owner leagues for Week 7. I had drafted three starting QBs and three kickers at the beginning of the year, but Ryan Fitzpatrick and Rodrigo Blankenship are currently on IR and Justin Herbert and Tristan Vizcaino are on bye. The news that Baker Mayfield wouldn’t play on Thursday night opened up the possibility of picking up Case Keenum who has two years left on his contract at $6 million per year. Not a shrewd pickup by any means, but I didn’t want to miss out on those Bench QB points, so I bid the minimum of $1 million Dynasty Dollars on Keenum and won the bid. Keenum played ok last night and scored 16.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, meaning my team will get an extra 4.15 points added to its final score. Whether I win because of those points is another matter, but at least I feel like I did my best to win this week.

If you were in a similar situation and did the same thing by picking up Keenum or even did another move like bidding on Chris Blewitt, the new kicker for the Washington Football Team (1 year/$780,000) who is now rostered in 27.2% of Dynasty Owner leagues, I applaud your desire to compete every week and do your best to win. In fact, I got outbid for Blewitt’s services as I bid $2 million Dynasty Dollars and he went for $3 million. Imagine getting outbid for a kicker who has never kicked in a NFL game or in a meaningful game since 2016 when he was in college at Pittsburgh. He was working at Home Depot and Planet Fitness and lives in Northern Virginia. I also live in Northern Virginia near where he went to school, so I might have run into him at the Jersey Mike’s near both of his workplaces one day. Only in Dynasty Owner can you get outbid for a kicker with that kind of resume!

If you read this whole introduction, you’re getting a full dose of Dynasty Owner analysis, which is kind of like having a full lineup. It won’t get you any Dynasty Owner fantasy points to help you win your game this week, unless my analysis is helpful, and you follow it. Every week of the 14-game Dynasty Owner regular season and three game playoffs, I’ll present a player at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup. After that, I’ll name one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. With six teams on bye, it’s going to be tougher than ever to find players to Start who were clearly drafted to be on your Bench or Practice Squad, or who currently rank outside the Top 12 QBs, Top 24 RBs, Top 24 WRs and Top 12 TEs. For the Bench recommendations, I’ll suggest players drafted to be Starters or who should be in your Starting lineup based on their play so far this season, but who shouldn’t be in there this week based on matchups, past performance against a team or something else. That’s also tougher to find with six teams on bye.

Finally, I will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For this week, both teams have full lineups ready to go already and neither one had to pick up Case Keenum or Chris Blewitt to do it. Can’t blame either team if they had picked up those players as both are in the Top 150 of the Chase for the Ring and playoff contenders in their league. If you’d like to see your team featured next week, then send me a tweet (@SteveVT33). The other way is to like my tweets and have an undefeated team just outside of the Top 100 in the Chase for the Ring standings, like how I chose this week’s teams. That’ll do it as well.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of October 22nd.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s look at how my recommendations from the previous week fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I predicted performances worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup for these four players. Here’s how they all did in Week 6.

QB: Taylor Heinicke – 12.1 (Bad recommendation)

RB: Brandon Bolden – 1.2 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Tim Patrick – 13.2 (Just Ok recommendation)

TE: Ricky Seals-Jones – 15.8 (Good recommendation)

Ricky Seals-Jones was the best recommendation as he finished with the most points and was TE6 in Dynasty Owner for Week 6. Patrick was just outside of the Top 24 WRs and could have been in the FLEX position for your team, so that recommendation was Just Ok. However, both Heinicke and Bolden weren’t even close to being Good choices. Bolden continues a streak of six consecutive Bad RB recommendations and two straight Bad recommendations who play for New England, so despite thinking about it, I’m not recommending that Dynasty Owners start Rhamondre Stevenson this week.

It was a slightly below average week with four teams on bye, so let’s see how I do in Week 7 with six teams resting.

Matt Ryan (QB – ATL): The Dolphins are allowing opposing QBs to score an average of 26.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game against them. What’s interesting is that almost all of those points have come via the pass. Very few points (just under 1.0 per game) have been from QBs running the ball. Almost all (96.2% of points) have come from QBs throwing the ball. Even Bills QB Josh Allen had only 35 rushing yards against the Dolphins defense. At the same time, Matt Ryan has scored 96.2% of his Dynasty Owner fantasy points by throwing the football. Both starting Dolphins CBs (Xavien Rhodes and Byron Jones) missed last week’s game versus Jacksonville and have been limited in practice so far this week. If they aren’t able to play at full strength, the Dolphins pass defense becomes even weaker. Ryan is averaging 24.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this season (120.1 points in five games), but scored 39.8 points in Week 4 versus Washington and 30.0 points in Week 5 versus the Jets. He’s getting better as the season rolls along and against a Miami defense that has allowed 13 passing TDs and 307.5 yards passing per game, there’s no reason to think his good play won’t continue. Start Ryan this week against the Dolphins.

Devonta Freeman (RB – BAL): In the Ravens’ Week 5 comeback against Indianapolis, Devonta Freeman was the team’s top receiving RB (3 receptions for 34 yards good for 6.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). In Week 6, all three of the Ravens’ active RBs (Latavius Murray, Le’Veon Bell and Freeman) scored rushing TDs and Murray sprained his ankle, so Freeman ended up as the team’s leading rusher (53 yards vs. 44 for Murray and 18 for Bell). With Murray likely out this week, Freeman should be the Ravens’ lead ball carrier and pass catcher out of the backfield. Opposing RBs are averaging 7.8 receptions and 48.5 receiving yards per game against Cincinnati. Even if Freeman only gets half of those points, that’s 4 receptions for 24 receiving yards (6.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Add in some rushing yards and Freeman should be able to score double-digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week and be worth a spot in your Starting lineup.

Marquez Callaway (WR – NO): Everyone who drafted Marquez Callaway thinking that he’d be the replacement for WR Michael Thomas while Thomas was on the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list weren’t too happy after the first four weeks of the 2021 season. At that point, Callaway had scored only 28.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (9 receptions, 137 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). He nearly matched that production in Week 5 with 24.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (4 receptions, 85 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs). At this point, he’s still WR54 after six weeks. The Saints had their bye in Week 6, but even if you project his average of 10.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (53.2 points in five games) over six games, he’d still only be WR42. If you went further and removed all of the players on bye in Week 7, he’d still be WR30 and outside of Starting WR range. With Thomas’ return on the horizon, it may be Callaway’s last chance to be the top Saints WR. Fortunately for him and his Dynasty Owners, he’s playing against a Seattle defense that is ranked 21st in fantasy points allowed to WRs and allowed Pittsburgh WR Diontae Johnson to garner 9 receptions for 71 receiving yards, plus 25 rushing yards (18.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) last week. Use Callaway in your Starting lineup this week then keep him around for the rest of the season because of his inexpensive salary (2 years/$765,000 per year).

Robert Tonyan (TE – GB): Last year, Tonyan had 11 TDs, nine games with more than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, and averaged 11.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game. This year, it’s a completely different story as he has only scored 1 TD with one game of more than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (14.2 points in Week 2) and has scored 26.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points scored (4.4 points per game). Fortunately for Tonyan, he gets to face a Washington Football Team defense that has been bad all year and doesn’t appear to be getting any better. They have been allowing an average of 10.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to their opponent’s top TE. Granted that includes Travis Kelce (17.9 points), Dawson Knox (14.9 points) and Kyle Pitts (9.0 points), but it also includes Jared Cook (10.6 points), Adam Trautman (a season high 6.3 points) and Kyle Rudolph (a season high 4.5 points). Even the bad TEs are going for season high Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Football Team and the good to decent ones are getting double digit points, or close to it. That’s because while they have only allowed one TD to a TE all season (Knox in Week 3), they are in the Top 10 in receptions and receiving yards allowed to TEs. Three Top 12 TEs are on bye this week (Knox, Dalton Schultz, and Cook who is TE12) plus TE14 Tyler Conklin is on bye too. All Tonyan should need is to be a Starting TE is match the average number of Dynasty Owner fantasy points being allowed by the Football Team. Tonyan will be at least average this week, so insert him in your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Now it’s the time to look at how my Bench recommendations from Week 6 worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). It was another week with at least two Good Bench recommendations. That’s four out of six weeks with that many. I also had two Bad recommendations to go along with the two Good ones.

QB: Derek Carr – 28.9 (Bad recommendation)

RB: Dalvin Cook – 23.3 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Tyler Lockett – 5.6 (Good recommendation)

TE: Dawson Knox – 7.5 (Good recommendation)

Derek Carr was QB8 in Dynasty Owner for Week 6 and Dalvin Cook was a Top 10 RB. Both of those recommendations were Bad, and they should have been in your Starting lineup. However, I was correct that Tyler Lockett would struggle in Pittsburgh with Geno Smith at QB. Dawson Knox broke his hand in Week 6, but still threw for a 2-point conversion, but only had 7.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and was a low-end Bench TE as a result.

The good news with six teams on bye is that players who might not be normally in your Starting lineup are suddenly there because of all of the good players out, so the pool of available players for Bench recommendations has improved. However, the bad news is that it will take fewer points to be a Starter than previous weeks. Good and bad, just like my Week 6 recommendations. The Week 7 Bench list starts with…

Sam Darnold (QB – CAR): After four good weeks to start the season, Sam Darnold has seemingly returned back to his old ways and played poorly the past two weeks. In the first four weeks, Darnold averaged 28.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game, while in the past two games, he has scored a combined 26.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (6.8 points in Week 5 and 20.1 points in Week 6). So why is he listed here? Even with those two poor recent games, he is still QB14 on the season and with four Top 12 QBs are on bye this week (Josh Allen – QB3, Dak Prescott – QB6, Justin Herbert – QB7, Kirk Cousins – QB10), Darnold is the 10th ranked QB playing in Week 7. He may be the best option that some Dynasty Owners have this week, but I’m here to remind you that Darnold has to go back to New York. He’s playing the 1-5 Giants, but a return to MetLife Stadium in New Jersey isn’t likely at the top of his favorite things to do list. The Giants have played decently against QBs this season as they have given up 155.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to QBs in six games. While that QB would be ranked QB11 in Dynasty Owner, if you take out the past two games when they faced QBs much better than Darnold (Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott), their average QB drops to 23.2 points per game. Start Darnold if you have to, but I’d suggest leaving him on the Bench if you have another option.

Darrell Henderson (RB – LAR): This is somewhat of a hunch, but I think Rams Head Coach Sean McVay will throw the ball more than normal with QB Matthew Stafford playing against his old team (Detroit Lions) this week. Stafford is averaging 33.3 pass attempts per game, which is lower than the 36.8 passing attempts that Jared Goff averaged in 2020. Even Rams backup QB John Wolford threw the ball 38 times in his Week 17 start last year. More passing this week than normal equals less running for Darrell Henderson and running the ball is how Henderson scores Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Two-thirds (67.2%) of Henderson’s points come on running plays as he has just 12 receptions for 119 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD in five games played so far in 2021. Once the Rams get up big by throwing the ball, they will probably rest Henderson and use Sony Michel more in the fourth quarter. Henderson had 21 carries in last week’s 38-11 blowout of the New York Giants compared to 9 for Michel, but in the fourth quarter, Michel had five carries versus four for Henderson. It’s tough to recommend putting the RB13 on the season who is averaging 18.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game on the Bench, but that’s what I’m doing. We’ll see what happens.

Corey Davis (WR – NYJ): The Patriots defense held Davis to only 2.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (2 receptions for 8 yards) back in Week 2 against the New York Jets. I see no reason why they won’t do it again. While it’s true that Zach Wilson has three more NFL games of experience and a bye week to prepare for the New England defense this time, I don’t think the results will change much for Davis. He may get more than 2.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week, but he won’t have enough to be in your Starting lineup. Bench Davis again like his Dynasty Owners should have done in Week 2.

Mike Gesicki (TE – MIA): For some reason, the Dolphins aren’t on bye this week. With the NFL giving six teams the week off, you’d think both teams who played in London last week would be resting. Jacksonville is, and Atlanta and the Jets were off Week 6 after playing there in Week 5. The last time a Dolphins team played the week immediately after playing in London was 2017 when their bye week was shifted to Week 1 due to a hurricane. In the game after playing in London, the Dolphins beat Tennessee 17-10, but only had 178 yards of total offense under QB Jay Cutler. In addition to thinking the Dolphins’ offense will be off after playing overseas, the Falcons defense has gotten better against TEs in their last three games (6 receptions for 53 yards on 13 targets). Is the Tua-Gesicki combination that much better than Daniel Jones-Evan Engram, Taylor Heinicke-Ricky Seals-Jones, or Zach Wilson-Ryan Griffin? Ok, they are definitely better than Wilson and Griffin, but not a lot better than the other pairs. And I know that Gesicki just had 19.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Jacksonville with Tua back at QB. However, I also remember Gesicki getting a Blutarsky (0.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) in Week 1 against New England with Tua at QB. I also remember that one week after exploding for 31.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against Tampa Bay in Week 5, Dolphins RB Myles Gaskin disappeared for Miami in Week 6 with just 2.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. It’ll happen again this week, so put Gesicki on your Bench.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – TPC Murder Hornets vs. Wheelwoody

It’s time for the seventh Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week of the 2021 season. Despite the fact that six NFL teams are on bye, both teams featured this week will be fielding full lineups. That’s right, all eight Starting lineup positions and seven Bench spots for both the TPC Murder Hornets and Wheelwoody are filled with players playing games this week. That’s good as both teams are looking to make it back to the playoffs in League #27466 where they faced off in the third place game last year (a game won by TPC Murder Hornets by a score of 200.7-154.6).

For the most part, TPC Murder Hornets are injury free, although Antonio Brown has missed practices and is listed as questionable. They are also using every available, healthy WR and TE on their roster including Free Agent Auction pickup Dante Pettis as a Bench WR and Rams TE Tyler Higbee in their FLEX position. On the other side, Wheelwoody has Tyreek Hill in his Starting lineup and both Jeremy McNichols and Tyler Kroft on his Bench. All of them are listed on the injury report as questionable right now. They can substitute Dallas Goedert, fresh off the COVID-19 list, into their lineup to replace Kroft, but don’t have a next man up if McNichols sits out this week.  However, both teams are, as NBC golf announcer Gary Koch famously said about this Tiger Woods putt, “Better than most!”

TPC Murder Hornets sit at the top of the League #27466 standings with a 6-0 record and were in 112nd place in the Chase for the Ring standings before Thursday night’s Browns-Broncos game with 959.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Wheelwoody is behind by two games in the league standings at 4-2, but have scored only 10.7 fewer Dynasty Owner fantasy points than TPC Murder Hornets and were in 148th place in the Chase standings before Thursday night.

Interestingly, TPC Murder Hornets are projected to win this week’s Match-up of the Week by more Dynasty Owner fantasy points (21.62) than their advantage from the previous six weeks of games.

The entire advantage for TPC Murder Hornets comes from their Starting lineup and more specifically their Starting RBs. Alvin Kamara and Darrell Henderson of TPC Murder Hornets are projected to score 41.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, while the Wheelwoody Starting RB combo of Mark Ingram and Michael Carter are projected for just 16.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. That’s what is happening to Wheelwoody as both of their usual Starting RBs (Dalvin Cook and James Robinson) are on bye.

TPC Murder Hornets made a huge move earlier this season that may help keep them at the top of their League standings and in contention for the Ring. They ended up using an Amnesty Provision on Russell Wilson after he was injured and replaced him with Kirk Cousins and Geno Smith. They had bid $12 million Dynasty Dollars back in March for Wilson in the Free Agent Auction and then spent $1 million Dynasty Dollars for Cousins and $6 million Dynasty Dollars for Smith after Wilson went down. Those are some bold in-season moves by TPC Murder Hornets in their quest for the Ring.

Conclusion

If your Dynasty Owner team, or teams, are heading out this week with a full lineup, you deserve a round of applause. Either you were extra sharp in paying attention to the bye weeks while drafting your team, or got lucky with the players you drafted in 2020 and held on to during the off-season. It probably wasn’t easy to make it happen, regardless of how you drafted with all of the injuries so far this season. In most cases, multiple Free Agent Auction bids probably helped get your team to full lineup status as well. Hopefully the full lineup strategy works out for your Dynasty Owner team with a victory this week (unless you’re playing one of my teams) and you can continue to fill out a full lineup in the remaining seven weeks of the Dynasty Owner regular season. That’s correct! After this week is finished, we will be officially halfway through the 2021 Dynasty Owner regular season.

Please read my weekly preview article each and every week to see who should be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup and who should be on your Bench. If you have one of the players mentioned, hopefully it will assist you with your lineup decisions. While some Dynasty Owners may heed my advice, others might disagree, or not have a better option for their Starting lineup and choose to ignore a Bench recommendation. Other Dynasty Owners may not need Starting lineup help as they have a stud player at a position who isn’t moving to the Bench unless he’s injured or on bye. Hopefully, the choices for your Starting lineup and Bench are solid, your team wins its game, and you stay in contention for the playoffs and even the Chase for the Ring.

In addition to this weekly preview article, Dynasty Owner has plenty of other great content to help you win your League Championship and maybe the Chase for the Ring. Our in-season publication schedule is as follows. On Monday, Jay Pounds will preview the Monday Night Football matchup from the Dynasty Owner perspective. Tuesday has a double shot of Dynasty Owner content with my Week 7 recap article and Jay’s Free Agent Auction targets article and video. Wednesdays is when Matt Morrison – The Jerk will dive into a topic of his choosing with an article and a video. Since his Incredibly True Statistics series is over. You’ll have to check and see what topic is on tap for Wednesday. The next day, he’ll have an article previewing the Thursday Night Football game to start the second half of the Dynasty Owner regular season (aka NFL Week 8).

Don’t forget about the two weekly Dynasty Owner livestreams. On Wednesday, it’s myself, Tim Peffer and Cousin Justin (who is an injury expert and a real actual Doctor of Physical Therapy) recapping the past week. There is also the free flowing fun that is Seth and Tim chatting together live on Thursdays at 1 PM, interviewing some Chase for the Ring contenders and setting up the Dynasty Owner week. Set those timers on YouTube so you don’t miss either one of those broadcasts.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube if you can’t make it live or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of the Dynasty Owner team of writers plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Thursday Night Football: Week 7

Broncos vs Browns

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Week 7 starts with a game between two 3-3 teams. The Denver Broncos will travel to Cleveland to battle the Browns. The Broncos started the season 3-0, but it’s worth noting that their only victories have come against teams with a combined 3 wins. Those teams are the Giants, Jaguars and Jets. Under normal circumstances, I would have given this game to the Browns easily, but this game is not taking place under normal circumstances. Let me explain why.

The Browns will be without their secondary running back, Kareen Hunt. Hunt was ruled out early in the week as he suffered a calf injury in Week 6. Hunt has already been placed on IR, and will miss at least three games. There was some hope that Nick Chubb would be able to play in this game after he has been battling a calf injury of his own. Unfortunately, Chubb was also ruled out for this Thursday Night affair. Chubb was declared out on Tuesday, and he will miss his second consecutive game. The final blow for the Browns came yesterday as Baker Mayfield was also ruled out. Baker has a labrum tear that happened in Week 6. He will miss the first game of his career due to injury as Case Keenum will take over as the leader of the Browns tonight.

Cleveland is a two point favorite with a very low forty-one point over/under. It appears Vegas is predicting a low scoring game with so many offensive weapons missing.

Value of the Game Recap

Last week, I predicted that Jalen Hurts would be the Week 6 Value of the Game. After watching the game, I was a little unsure if that prediction was right. I compared three of the top players from that game in terms of their Dynasty Dollars per Point (DD/PT) value, and here are the results…

 SalaryDOFPDD/PT
Jalen Hurts$1,506,29227.1$55,582
Antonio Brown$3,075,00024.3$126,543
Leonard Fournette$3,250,00030.7$105,863

Hurts was indeed the Value of the Game from Week 6 Thursday Night Football. He actually had a pretty poor real life football game, but his rushing touchdown efficiency saved his fantasy day.  Hurts ended the game with 27.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (DOFP), and he currently sits at QB9 on the season. Here is my projection from last week compared to the actual results…

Week 6 ProjectionsAttemptsCompletionsPassing YardsRushing YardsTDsDOFP
Jalen Hurts453030157232.8
Week 6 ActualAttemptsCompletionsPassing YardsRushing YardsTDsDOFP
Jalen Hurts261211544327.1

As you can see, my projections were a good way off, but the end result is the same.  Hurts was the Value of the Game.

What To Watch For

The number one thing I’m looking for in this game is essentially what I talked about in my opening. I’ll be keeping track of which offensive players take the lead for the Browns. They will be missing their top three weapons and overall team leaders. How will they respond, and will their defense be able to keep them in the game?

The popular pickup this week was D’Ernest Johnson. I even picked him up in one of my Dynasty Owner leagues. He was cheap enough to warrant an addition (1 year/$585,000). While I’m not expecting an MVP type game, I will be happy with 8 to 10 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. I think he is more than capable of reaching that goal especially with the expectation that he will be the goal line back.

Starters

Every player on this list should be started in nearly every Dynasty Owner league.  At a minimum, you should have a tough decision as to whether you’re going to start them or put them in your Bench slot.

Courtland Sutton ($1,710,480)

Noah Fant ($3,147,680)

Bench

Teddy Bridgewater ($11,499,000)

Melvin Gordon ($8,000,000)

Javonte Williams ($2,216,438)

Demetric Felton ($910,285)

D’Ernest Johnson ($585,000)

Tim Patrick ($3,384,000)

Donovan Peoples-Jones ($870,402)

Value of the Game

This is the least confident that I have been in a few weeks. I have a player in mind that should be the Value of the Game pretty easily, but there are a lot of new, cheap players on the Browns that have the potential to break out. Regardless, I am going with the established player. This week I am picking Broncos WR Courtland Sutton. Sutton has had an inconsistent start to his season to say the least. He has three games of less than 9.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points while also having three games of greater than 23.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. With Jerry Jeudy out for this game, I see Sutton having a game closer to 23 points as opposed to 9.  Here is my official prediction for Courtland tonight…

Week 7 ProjectionsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Courtland Sutton6106122.6

This prediction combined with a salary of $1,710,480 makes Sutton my Week 7 Thursday Night Football Value of the Game.

Thank you all, and I will see you next week. Take care and be safe.

TheJerk

Incredibly True Statistics – Tight Ends

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

As we start another week in dynasty football, my article series comes to an end. This will be the final installment of my “Incredibly True Statistics” theme. Today, I will be talking about the surprising seasons that a few tight ends have had. Like I always mention, we are still dealing with a fairly small sample size. Yes, six weeks is a big chunk of the season, but what can happen in six game increments can still be misleading. Regardless, six weeks is not negligible.  We have seen what the majority of player’s seasons should shape up to be within the first two months of the season. Of course, there will be outliers in the back half of the season as there are in the first half, but I feel like we have a much better idea of what some of these players (especially rookies) will become.

This is a long winded way of saying that you may have the urge to give up or replace certain players on your team, and it is perfectly fine to do that by now.  While one or two weeks is not enough time to move on from a certain player, six weeks is more than sufficient.

Incredibly True Statistics

Tight ends may not be your favorite topic to hear about, and to be honest they aren’t my favorite, but they are an important position in Dynasty Owner. Hopefully you can find some value in what I’m about to present to you as there is a major opportunity to beat your opponent in this position especially. While others are becoming bored with tight ends, you should be trying to improve it. Your opponent’s complacency is your gain. Any edge that you can find over your opponent should be exploited, and I think tight end is one of the most exploitable positions in all of fantasy football.

Mark Andrews

The thing that makes Mark Andrews’ performance this season incredible is not the fact that he is TE2 on the season. Before the season started, I would have admitted that a TE2 finish for Andrews is in the realm of possibility. While I wouldn’t have predicted him to be TE2 six weeks through the season, I wouldn’t have called you crazy if you would have told me that. Rather, what’s incredible is how close he is to being the TE1 on the season.

It’s no surprise that Travis Kelce is the current number one tight end, but he holds that spot by only 3.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (DOFP). That’s right, only three receptions separate the Tight End King from Mark Andrews. Here is how Andrews has done it…

He currently has:

 ReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Mark Andrews344683105.8

This really is an incredible amount of volume when you examine it next to his 2020 and even 2019 volume.  Here is Andrews’ 2021 16-game pace compared to his 2020 and 2019 16-game pace.

2021 ProjectedReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Mark Andrews911,2488282.1
2020 16-Game StatsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Mark Andrews668018192.1
2019 16-Game StatsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Mark Andrews6890911218.9

So, there are two ways you can look at this. You can choose to say, “Well, Andrews is on pace for a career year in volume and overall production. He’s well over his career pace, and he’s not going to be able to sustain that efficiency or volume.”

You could take it the other way and say, “Andrews is having a career year, and he is finally being utilized the way that he should. He is a Top 5 tight end in the NFL, and he should see 100 receptions a season.”

I don’t think either side is wrong because I could see his season going either direction, but I would tend to think his usage will more or less be the same going forward. He is a Top 5 NFL tight end. I do feel like he had been underutilized in the past. Here’s the thing though. He really wasn’t needed to be a 100 reception guy in the previous two years. The running game was more than enough to allow Baltimore to win the majority of their games, and I’m worried that you can’t say that now. Running back injuries have decimated the Ravens’ depth chart. I think placing a bigger responsibility on Andrews is the right decision, and I think it will continue through the rest of the 2021 season. If he gets anywhere close to 100 receptions this season, he will be one of the best values in all of Dynasty Owner, let alone among tight ends. A salary of $863,290 is going to allow him to compete for the Value of the Year award.

Dalton Schultz

Probably more surprising than Andrews’ spot at TE2 is the fact that Dalton Schultz is TE3 in Dynasty Owner on the season. Yes, he is in a completely separate tier from Kelce and Andrews due to a significant drop in Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but it’s still very impressive that Schultz has been the third best fantasy tight end. The most interesting part of his epic rise has been the fact that he’s doing it with Blake Jarwin back on the team. You may remember that Schultz got his big opportunity in the NFL after Blake Jarwin missed almost the entire 2020 NFL season. Schultz had a fantastic season as he finished as the TE10 with 148.5 fantasy points.

The assumption was that Schultz’s production would decrease with Jarwin returning. The opposite has actually been true. Schultz not only seems to be the more trusted tight end, but he is also receiving the most volume and playing time. I have both Jarwin and Schultz in one of my Dynasty Owner leagues. I incorrectly played Jarwin over Schultz in the first two weeks. That won’t be happening again this season. While I don’t know if Schultz’s production will continue at a TE3 pace, I do know that he is a Starting tight end, or at the very least a Bench tight end.

As is the case with Andrews, Schultz is on a very cheap salary ($728,090) and has been a good value so far through six weeks.

Kyle Pitts

Finally, let’s talk about Kyle Pitts. There was more hype and optimism surrounding Pitts than any other rookie tight end that I can remember. A lot of this hype was justified though. It’s not every day that NFL fans get to see a tight end selected fourth overall in the NFL draft. I’m not going to say anything bad about Pitts for a few reasons…

First, I think it would be extremely unfair to downplay Pitts’ production so far when he has played in only five NFL games. He is playing one of the most difficult positions to learn as a rookie player. Second, he really hasn’t been bad. A lot of his lack of production has come because of either poor quarterback play or just a lack of volume.

Pitts currently sits as the TE10 on the adolescent season. Pitts’ Dynasty Owners are probably not too happy with the start to his season. Let me give you a few reasons why you shouldn’t be concerned.

First, the most obvious reason is that Atlanta has already had their bye week. This means that while most tight ends have played six games, Pitts has only played five. Don’t let the lack of Dynasty Owner fantasy points scare you. It is a little misleading. Second, as I said earlier, Pitts is a rookie. He’s still learning. Third, his most recent game a week and a half ago was by far his best, and it was a real breakout game. In Week 5, Pitts posted 9 receptions, 119 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown. Now, I don’t expect him to do this every week, but this gives a lot of hope to the Dynasty Owners who have him on their roster. This should help you see a path to fantasy greatness.  Finally, this is Dynasty Owner. So, what if it takes him a year to figure out how to be an NFL tight end?  You are still going to have a superstar in the future with a relatively cheap contract ($8,227,624). Sure, he may disappoint you this year, and this may be a year that you really want to take home the Championship, but you will say that about every year.  Be patient with him (and really all rookies). I can promise you that in two or three years you will be reaping the benefits of sticking with Pitts.

That finishes up my “Incredibly True Statistics” articles.  As always, thank you for reading and continuing to support Dynasty Owner. Message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know if you have any questions or concerns. I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube. Take care everyone and be safe.

TheJerk

Free Agent Auction Targets – Week 7

By: Jay Pounds (@JayPoundsNFL)

Welcome Dynasty Owners to another week of the Free Agent Auction targets article. I want to apologize as the Dynasty Owner site has been experiencing problems and undergoing maintenance. I was not sure if I would be able to get this article out, so I will have to skip over Jay’s weekly recap due to time constraints. I also want to encourage everyone to do some of their own free agent digging this week as I may have overlooked a low owned player. I will say Week 6 was wild and that I was happy to see my Steelers get back to .500. With that said, let’s check out this week’s free agent targets.

Alright Dynasty Owners, we are back with another week of trying to find a diamond in the rough with the Free Agent Auction targets. The free agent articles/videos will be dropping every Tuesday afternoon in advance of when bids process on Wednesday at 5 AM and will consist of the week’s Top 5 free agent adds. I will do my best to keep the players listed at an ownership percentage of 65% or less and make sure all players have contracts of $8,000,000 or less, with most players coming in at under $4,000,000. One last note, in Dynasty Owner you will be credited each week with 25% of your entire Bench’s score making these weekly free agent pick-ups extremely important to help boost your total weekly score.

On to the top targets for Week 7:

  1. D’Ernest Johnson (RB – CLE) – 1 year/$585,000 – 33.1% Rostered

Outside of losing the game, the Browns got some of the worst news possible with one of their star running backs (Kareem Hunt) going down with a significant injury. Unfortunately, in the NFL injuries are part of the game and the next man up scenario is a real thing. I am expecting D’Ernest Johnson and Demetric Felton (89.9% rostered) to split carries evenly since Chubb will not play in Thursday’s game. If Johnson shows out with his opportunity, he could be in line to spell Chubb while Hunt is out.

2. Kendrick Bourne (WR – NE) – 3 years/$5,000,000 – 36.1% Rostered

If you are not named Steve Van Tassell, or a different Patriots fan, you may not be aware just how good Bourne has been this season, especially recently. In the past four weeks, Bourne has scored double digit Dynasty Owner fantasy points three times. It seems Bourne has found his place in the Patriots’ offense and while he may not be a consistent player every week, he will get you solid production for a Bench player most weeks. The only real downside with Bourne is his contract and the fact you will have to hold onto him for three years or pay the price of cutting him.

3. O.J. Howard (TE – TB) – 1 year/$6,013,000 – 30.8% Rostered

Most everyone has no idea how long I have been waiting to put O.J. Howard on a list like this. I have been a huge Howard truther since he come out of Alabama and feel Tampa has never quite used him correctly. I am not sure this 6 catch, 49 yard, 1 touchdown (14.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy point) performance is here to stay or if it was simply a fluke. Either way, I am excited. If Howard is gaining Brady’s trust, he could be a surprise in the second half of the season.

4. Ross Dwelley (TE – SF) – 1 year/$1,600,000 – 26.0% Rostered

While I am not all that excited about the last two guys on this list, they are certainly candidates to play on your Bench throughout Bye Week season. Dwelley has not done much since taking over for George Kittle, but in his defense Kittle had not done much either before his injury. If Dwelley can get on the same page as whoever is chucking the rock, he could be a sneaky Bench play.

5. Kalif Raymond (WR – DET) – 1 year/$1,127,500 – 49.1% Rostered

Just as Kendrick Bourne has, Kalif Raymond has quietly put-up double-digit points in three of his last four games with one 0.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy point dud in between. Raymond seems to be trusted by his quarterback Jared Goff as he has caught six passes in a game twice already this season. The main worry I have with Raymond is the fact that Tyrell Williams will be back at some point, and Raymond’s production could take a massive hit because of it.

Please do not forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you for reading and as always good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Week 6 Preview – Let the Bye Weeks Begin!

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

One of everyone’s least favorite things about fantasy football probably has to be bye weeks. They limit your lineup choices, especially in weeks like this week with four teams (Atlanta, New Orleans, New York Jets and San Francisco) on bye, and turn fringe candidates for your FLEX position into players who are suddenly in your Starting lineup for a couple weeks in the middle of the season. This week is bad with four teams off, but next week is even worse as six teams are on bye. Six teams! That’s nearly one out of every five teams sitting at home. Combine bye weeks with all of the injuries that have been happening throughout the NFL and it’s enough to drive a Dynasty Owner crazy.

For Dynasty Owners, last week was the final week that you likely have all of the players on your roster at your disposal. Sorry about that, I should have warned you. That’s right, it’s nine straight weeks of smaller rosters available for Dynasty Owners but still the need to fill out a full Starting lineup and Bench. Every week, Dynasty Owners are relying on 15 different players to score points for their team. Even if you have the maximum of 30 players on your roster (not counting Injured Reserve), that’s still half of your players who need to produce. If you don’t have room under the salary cap for 30 players, your team could be left with as few as only ten players on the Practice Squad, including players on bye. Unlike a “regular” fantasy football league, you can’t just add players on a whim or drop them because they are on bye. It’s going to cost you Dynasty Dollars to drop players and you’ll still need salary cap room to afford replacements. Geno Smith might be cheap ($1,212,500 in salary), but he’s not free.

If you drafted this year and paid attention to bye weeks, hopefully you have enough players on your Practice Squad who can suit up and make a contribution on your Bench this week, while that Bench player is substituting for a Starter on bye. If your draft was last year, it might not be your fault that a bunch of your players have the same bye week now. Both Derrick Henry and Christian McCaffrey are off in Week 13. If you drafted both of them last year, you didn’t know that was going to happen. Besides the first season when you draft, there’s no way to control how the bye weeks are going to hit your team.

Dynasty Owners don’t get a regular season bye week. You only get one if you finish in first or second place and don’t have a Week 15 playoff game. If you finish in 7th or 8th place, you also get a Loser’s Bracket bye, but that shouldn’t be your goal five weeks into the season.

Thanks for not taking a bye from reading my weekly preview article. Every week of the 14-game Dynasty Owner regular season and three game playoffs, I’ll present a player at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) who you should have as a Starter in your Dynasty Owner lineup. After that, I’ll name one player per position who should be on your Bench or Practice Squad. With bye weeks, it’s going to be tougher than ever to find those players to Start this week who were clearly drafted to be on your Bench or Practice Squad, or who currently rank outside the Top 12 QBs, Top 24 RBs, Top 24 WRs and Top 12 TEs. For the Bench recommendations, I’ll suggest players drafted to be Starters or who should be in your Starting lineup based on their play so far this season, but who shouldn’t be in there this week based on matchups, past performance against a team or something else.

Finally, I will look at one Dynasty Owner game, our Match-up of the Week. For the second consecutive week, it’s a pair of undefeated teams with one team in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring. Both teams have few bye week issues, so it’s an evenly matched game. If you’d like to see your team featured next week, then send me a tweet (@SteveVT33).

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of October 15th.

These Guys Should be Starters This Week

First, let’s look at how my recommendations from the previous week fared (Good, Bad or Just Ok). I predicted performances worthy of being in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup for these four players. Here’s how they all did in Week 5.

QB: Jacoby Brissett – 19.7 (Just Ok recommendation)

RB: Damien Harris – 8.8 (Bad recommendation)

WR: Laviska Shenault – 6.8 (Bad recommendation)

TE: Hayden Hurst – 10.0 (Good recommendation)

Seeing Hurst as a Good recommendation with only 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points seems surprising, but he was in fact the TE9 for the week. He lost 4.0 points because he fumbled twice and lost one. Otherwise, he would have been TE6. Harris was the fifth consecutive Bad RB recommendation, but both of the past two (Harris and Trey Sermon) have finished with just under 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points so at least they had decent performances. Shenault had no points until the fourth quarter and just one reception for 58 yards. Brissett wasn’t great against the Buccaneers, but he did have more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than 13 other NFL starting QB, so the recommendation was Just Ok.

For the first time this season, I’m recommending a stack from a single team and also repeating a player who did Good back in Week 4. It’s what you need to do when four teams are on bye.

Taylor Heinicke (QB – WAS): The last time Taylor Heinicke played a low-rated defense, he scored 36.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for the Washington Football Team in Week 4 versus Atlanta. The Atlanta defense is actually better against QBs than the Football Team’s opponent this week, the Kansas City Chiefs. Before facing Heinicke, the Falcons’ defense had allowed 31.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to opposition QBs. Kansas City has allowed 36.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game to opposition QBs after five weeks. Take out their Week 1 opponent (the Cleveland Browns with Baker Mayfield at QB who only scored 15.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) and the average jumps up to 41.7 points per game. Heinicke is averaging just over 25.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per start. He also averages 5.1 yards per rush and the Chiefs defense allows 5.9 yards per rush from QBs. The fewest number of rushes by Heinicke in his four regular season starts this season is four, so an average game is between 20-25 rushing yards. The Chiefs defense is also allowing over 300 yards passing and two passing TDs per game. That adds up to almost 30.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points if Heinicke is average this week. His play has been above average and therefore, he should score at least 32.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week. That’s Starting QB production.

Brandon Bolden (RB – NE): Last week, Damien Harris was listed here because the Patriots game plan should have been run-focused. This week, Brandon Bolden is the choice because the Patriots game plan should include plenty of passing. With James White out for the rest of the season, the top Patriots pass catching RB is now Bolden. Bolden has 14 targets in three games since White’s injury with no fewer than 4 targets and 3 receptions in a single game. Bolden doesn’t run the ball much (only 7 rushing attempts for 29 yards all season) as that’s Damien Harris’ job, while Harris doesn’t catch many passes out of the backfield (8 targets and 7 receptions in 5 games so far this season). Opposing RBs are averaging 7.2 receptions per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense. They allowed 10.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (3 receptions, 16 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD) to Giants backup RB Devontae Booker on passes last week and 9.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions, 48 receiving yards) to Panthers backup RB Rodney Smith the week before. With two Top 10 RBs (Cordarrelle Patterson and Alvin Kamara) plus Mike Davis (who is a Top 30 RB, so a solid FLEX option) out on bye, Bolden fits in as a bye week Starting lineup replacement.

Tim Patrick (WR – DEN): Patrick has been a solid, but fairly unspectacular fixture in the Broncos lineup so far this season. He was the team’s WR3 or WR4 in training camp, but with in-season injuries to fellow WRs Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler, he’s moved up to WR2 behind Courtland Sutton. His quiet consistency stands out as he’s scored more than 10.0 Dynasty Owner in 12 out of 20 games over the past two seasons. Out of those twenty games, he’s only scored fewer than 5.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points three times. That includes the Week 12 debacle last season when Denver used WR Kendall Hinton as their starting QB. In a bye week with top WR options on bye like Deebo Samuel, Calvin Ridley and Corey Davis, Dynasty Owners could do a lot worse than plug Patrick into their Starting lineup and have him put up an average game of 4 receptions for 60 receiving yards (10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). It may be “Just Ok”, but I’ll take that in a bye week with four teams off.

Ricky Seals-Jones (TE – WAS): This is the first time all season that I’ve stacked a QB and any receiver in my Starter recommendations. However, the Kansas City defense has been dreadful this season, allowing an average of 296.4 passing yards per game (tied for 29th) and a NFL-high 32.6 points per game. They have allowed opposing TEs to rack up 6.2 receptions for 93.2 receiving yards per game. Only two TEs on the Football Team have been even targeted with a pass this season (Logan Thomas and Seals-Jones). Since Thomas is on Injured Reserve and out for the game with a hamstring injury, Seals-Jones should have a very productive game as the main TE target for Washington QB Taylor Heinicke. In Seals-Jones’ first game without Thomas, he scored 9.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions for 41 receiving yards) against a New Orleans’ Saints defense that is much better at defending TEs than the Chiefs. Seals-Jones was targeted nine times by Heinicke in that game and if he sees that many passes thrown his way this week, he’s well positioned to score double-digit fantasy points. If you need a replacement in your Starting lineup with Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL) on bye and are in one of the 33.1% of leagues in which Seals-Jones isn’t rostered, go grab him and his 1 year/$990,000 contract, and stick him in your Starting lineup.

These Guys Should Be on the Bench (or Practice Squad) This Week

Now it’s the time to look at how my Bench recommendations from Week 5 worked out (Good, Bad or Just Ok). After two poor weeks, I had two Good Bench recommendations and one Just Ok recommendation for Week 5.  George Kittle ended up not playing in Week 5, but wasn’t ruled out until after the article was completed so that pick doesn’t count.

QB: Daniel Jones – 5.8 (Good recommendation)

RB: James Conner – 10.7 (Just Ok recommendation)

WR: Brandin Cooks – 5.3 (Good recommendation)

TE: George Kittle – DNP (N/A recommendation)

Recommending that Dynasty Owners keep Daniel Jones and Brandin Cooks on their Bench last week was Good, while James Conner was Just Ok as he was a very low end FLEX Starter in Week 5. Conner had a TD and was Just Ok. I said that he was more likely to have zero than two TDs and under 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and wasn’t far off as he only had 10.7 points. Jones got injured and didn’t play the entire second half, but with only 5.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, he wasn’t on his way to a great performance anyway.

With bye weeks coming now, it’s going to get more difficult to recommend quality players who should be sitting on your Bench, but here goes for Week 6.

Derek Carr (QB – LV): Carr is the current QB12 in Dynasty Owner and the last QB who should be in your Starting lineup, but with two of the Top 12 having already played on Thursday night (Tom Brady and Jalen Hurts) and one injured (Russell Wilson), the pool of top QBs has shrunk. It’ll get tougher to find one in the next few weeks because of bye weeks even though none of the QBs on bye this week (Matt Ryan, Jameis Winston, Zach Wilson and Trey Lance/Jimmy Garoppolo) should really be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup on a week-to-week basis.  I’m sure that one of the top QBs will underperform this week, but none of them really stood out as having a tough opponent, except for Derek Carr who has to face the Denver Broncos just a few days after the resignation of Jon Gruden. With the controversy over Gruden raging last week, Carr had his worst game of the season with only 8.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (206 passing yards, 10 rushing yards, 1 INT). Last season against a less formidable Denver defense, Carr only had a combined 36.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points with 8.7 points in Week 10 and 27.6 points in Week 17 when both teams were out of the playoff race. That’s just 18.15 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in a season in which Denver allowed 30.9 more passing yards and 8.7 more points per game than they are this season. Carr is nothing more than a Bench QB in Week 6.

Dalvin Cook (RB – MIN): A return to full practice on Thursday makes it likely that Dalvin Cook will be back in the Minnesota Vikings lineup for their Week 6 game against the Carolina Panthers. However, that doesn’t mean he should be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup. It’s true that he was likely your first round draft pick either last year (ADP 4.4) or this year (ADP 4.7), but the Carolina defense held another player with that same first round pedigree (Alvin Kamara) to only 7.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 rushing yards, 4 receptions, 25 receiving yards) back in Week 2. And Kamara wasn’t coming off missing two out of the previous three games due to injury like Cook is. Cook and Alexander Mattison were held to a combined 8.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 4 by Cleveland and the Vikings only scored seven points in that game. Cleveland is the only other Top 10 defense that the Vikings have played so far this season and they aren’t as good statistically as Carolina. Cook probably shouldn’t be in your Starting lineup again until Week 8 as he needs to take a spot on your Bench this week, then the Vikings are on bye in Week 7.

Tyler Lockett (WR – SEA): After scoring 57.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (12 receptions, 278 receiving yards, 3 receiving TDs) in the first two weeks, it’s been three consecutive Bench worthy performances for Tyler Lockett. The best of the past three weeks was last week when he had 10.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (5 receptions for 57 yards). The fact that he improved after two games with less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points is the good news. The bad news is that only 1.7 of those points (1 reception for 7 yards) came with Geno Smith at QB. Smith will be the Seattle QB this Sunday night on the road against Pittsburgh in his first NFL start since 2017. Lockett is all about the big scoring fantasy games. While Lockett was the WR8 last year, he still had seven games with less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. He finished as Dynasty Owner WR12 in 2019 with six of those games. He’s WR15 so far in 2021 with two games already with fewer than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. I just don’t see Lockett having one of his big games this week. He’s more likely to finish with under 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, which makes him a Week 6 Bench option.

Dawson Knox (TE – BUF): In just five games this season, Dawson Knox has more than the 64.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points he had for the entire 2020 season when he played in 12 games. He has only 5.6 fewer points than he did in his rookie season back in 2019 when he played in 15 games. To say that Knox has done better than expected this season is an understatement. However, to expect him to remain as the TE3 for the entire season is a bit unrealistic especially since he has scored a TD in each of the past four games (5 TDs overall). Only in Week 1 did Knox fail to score a TD and in that game, he had only 8.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. While that’s not a terrible game, it would likely keep him out of the Top 12 TE scorers for the week. It’s a likely scenario against a Tennessee defense that has averaged allowing TEs to catch fewer than 3 passes per game for less than 25 yards (2.6 receptions for 22.6 receiving yards) and only a single receiving TD. For the season, the Titans defense has only allowed TEs to score a total of 27.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Last week against Jacksonville, they allowed most of those points (18.8) to a trio of Jaguars TEs (Dan Arnold, Jacob Hollister and Luke Farrell) with Arnold as the highest individual scorer (9.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Seems safe to think that Knox won’t be the first TE this season to score over 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points against the Titans, which is why he should be on your Dynasty Owner Bench this week.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week – The Dropkick Joey Browners vs. LvMeSmMe

It’s time for the sixth Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week of the 2021 season and the first one with bye weeks involved. There are actually two Dynasty Owner teams named “Bye Week”, but neither one of them had a particularly compelling match-up to analyze. One of those teams was 3-2 and facing another 3-2 team, while the other team was 2-3 and facing a 3-2 team. Maybe both of them will go on winning streaks during the nine consecutive weeks featuring at least two teams on bye and I can use them later on.

Instead, let’s look at a match-up of 5-0 teams. The Dropkick Joey Browners were in 21st place in the Chase for the Ring before Thursday Night Football, but only 13.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points ahead of LvMeSmMe in the League #27464 standings. The Dropkick Joey Browners have a minor bye week issue with Hayden Hurst on bye for the Falcons, so they went out and picked up Ricky Seals-Jones to replace him on their Bench this week (Mark Andrews is their Starting TE). LvMeSmMe had more bye week issues with both Kyle Pitts and Deebo Samuel off on bye. Even before looking at projections, it seems like this is a pretty even match-up.

The current projections have The Dropkick Joey Browners winning by 8.78 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Both of the players who played on Thursday Night for LvMeSmMe were on their Bench and did close to their projections, so the results from Thursday didn’t change things too much. Speaking of Bench points, it’s the Bench that gives The Dropkick Joey Browners nearly all of their advantage as their Bench was expected to outscore LvMeSmMe’s Bench by 26.3 points, which equals 6.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and a clear majority of their advantage. It’s all about the Bench RBs and WRs as The Dropkick Joey Browners have Nyheim Hines, James Robinson, A.J. Green and Rondale Moore on their Bench compared to Marlon Mack, James Conner, Greg Ward and Preston Williams. That’s a pretty solid Bench for The Dropkick Joey Browners, especially for a bye week. They will likely have bye week problems some other time, but not in Week 6.

The Dropkick Joey Browners will need to be ahead by a significant number of points after Sunday because LvMeSmMe has two of their best Starters (Josh Allen and Derrick Henry) along with Dawson Knox and Randy Bullock on their Bench. Anything less than a 50.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy point lead will leave The Dropkick Joey Browners sweating out the Monday Night Football game and unable to do anything about it. When it’s all over, one of these teams will definitely be unbeaten and possibly in the Top 25 of the Chase for the Ring.

Conclusion

It’s the first of nine consecutive weeks with at least two NFL teams on bye for Dynasty Owners. Every week from now until the end of the Dynasty Owner regular season, you’ll likely have less than a full roster. Your roster depth will be tested, while your salary cap management skills have to stay razor sharp. You may be faced with a decision on whether to try and win your weekly match-up versus holding on to a player who could be helpful for your team either later on this year, or in the 2022 season and beyond.

At some point during this nine weeks, your Dynasty Owner team may come to a crossroads. Make a push to compete for the Ring, or even just to make your league playoffs, or start selling off assets and rebuild. Right now, those decisions can probably be put on hold, but they could be coming soon.

Please read my weekly preview article each and every week to see who should be in your Dynasty Owner Starting lineup and who should be on your Bench. If you have one of the players mentioned, hopefully it will assist you with your lineup decisions. While some Dynasty Owners may heed my advice, others might disagree, or not have a better option for their Starting lineup and choose to ignore a Bench recommendation. Other Dynasty Owners may not need Starting lineup help as they have a stud player at a position who isn’t moving to the Bench unless he’s injured or on bye. Hopefully, the choices for your Starting lineup and Bench are solid, your team wins its game, and you stay in contention for the playoffs and even the Chase for the Ring.

In addition to this weekly preview article, Dynasty Owner has plenty of other great content to help you win your League Championship and maybe the Chase for the Ring. Our in-season publication schedule is as follows. On Monday, Jay Pounds will preview the Monday Night Football matchup from the Dynasty Owner perspective. Tuesday has a double shot of Dynasty Owner content with my Week 6 recap article and Jay’s Free Agent Auction targets article and video. Wednesdays is when Matt Morrison – The Jerk will dive into a topic of his choosing with an article and a video. Right now, he’s doing a series on Incredibly True Stats by position. The next day, he’ll have an article previewing the Thursday Night Football game to start Week 7.

Don’t forget about the Dynasty Owner livestream on Wednesday with myself, Tim Peffer and now featuring Cousin Justin (who is an injury expert and a real actual Doctor of Physical Therapy). There is also the free flowing fun that is Seth and Tim chatting together live on Thursdays at 1 PM. Set those timers on YouTube so you don’t miss either one of those broadcasts.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of the Dynasty Owner team of writers plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Thursday Night Football: Week 6

Buccaneers vs Eagles

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

I wish I could say that tonight’s game should be competitive, but the reality is that it may not be. In Week 6 of Thursday Night Football, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will play the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles come into the game with a 2-3 record and are third in the NFC East. The Eagles have been mostly uncompetitive in their losses this season. They lost by 12 to the Chiefs, and by 20 to the Cowboys. The visiting team, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, are currently 4-1 and lead the NFC South. Tampa Bay’s lone loss came to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3. Expect an offensive outburst by the Bucs tonight as they are averaging 33.4 points per game.

At the time of this writing, the betting line is TB -7, and the over/under is 52.5 points. There are only three games with a higher over/under for Week 6, and none of the teams in those games are playing a defense as bad as the Eagles. With an implied point total of almost 30 points for the Bucs, I expect plenty of fantasy production to go around.

Value of the Game Recap

Last week, I predicted that DK Metcalf would be the Value of the Game. This was a pretty easy decision for me to arrive at. Not only did Metcalf have one of the two ultra-cheap salaries in that game, but he had also shown success against the Rams in their previous matchup in the 2020 playoffs. In fact, here is what I wrote last week about Metcalf…

“I have a few options to choose from for my Value of the Game, but in the end I’m going to pick DK Metcalf.  I also considered Darrell Henderson (and I think he’ll have a fine game), but I think tonight is going to be a Metcalf game. Historically, Metcalf has not played very well against the Rams in the regular season. He had 8 receptions for 87 yards and zero TDs last year against the Rams, but that was combined in both regular season games. However, it may be forgotten that when the Rams and Seahawks met in the Wild Card Round of the 2020 playoffs, Metcalf went for 5 receptions, 96 receiving yards and 2 TDs. I predict a game line closer to the playoff game tonight than the two regular season meetings.”

While I didn’t settle on that exact line for my prediction, it was what I based most of my projection on.  Here was my projected game stats compared to his actual output:

Week 5 ProjectionsReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
DK Metcalf676119.6
Week 5 ActualReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
DK Metcalf598226.8

It appears that I should have put my money where my mouth was and just predicted a carbon copy of Metcalf’s 2020 Wild Card game. Regardless, as far as value goes, Metcalf was the victor in Week 5. I’ll look to take a three week winning streak into Week 6.

What To Watch For

Oddly enough, the biggest thing I’m looking for in this game will not be on the Tampa Bay side at all. What I want to see is Zach Ertz. I know, I know. This may not be the most interesting story line of the game, but let me explain…

By now you have probably heard the news that Dallas Goedert is most likely going to miss Week 6 with a positive COVID test. This means that for the first time this season, Ertz will be the primary/sole tight end receiving option for the Eagles. I predict at least four receptions and at least 50 receiving yards for Ertz in this game. That combined with an above average chance for a touchdown, makes him a very interesting tight end play this week. The $8,500,000 salary is not great, but if you are one of the 63.9 percent of Dynasty Owners who roster Ertz, then this is a prime position to start him.

Starters

Every player on this list should be started in nearly every Dynasty Owner league.  At a minimum, you should have a tough decision as to whether you’re going to start them or put them in your Bench slot.

Tom Brady ($25,000,000)

Jalen Hurts ($1,506,292)

Leonard Fournette ($3,250,000)

Mike Evans ($16,500,000)

Chris Godwin ($15,983,000)

Antonio Brown ($3,075,000)

Zach Ertz ($8,500,000)

Bench Players

Giovani Bernard ($1,212,500)

Miles Sanders ($1,337,544)

Kenneth Gainwell ($953,882)

DeVonta Smith ($5,035,348)

Value of the Game

In an attempt to continue my three week winning streak, I am once again going to go with the safest pick I can think of. The player is Jalen Hurts. Hurts is the safest pick for the Value of the Week competition because he has the lowest salary of anyone in my “Starters” list, and he is a quarterback. On average, quarterbacks receive more Dynasty Owner fantasy points than running backs or wide receivers. Hurts is currently the QB8 on the season, and an average day for him (29 Dynasty Owner fantasy points) should easily wrap up the Value of the Game.  Here is my prediction for Hurts tonight…

Week 6 ProjectionsAttemptsCompletionsPassing YardsRushing YardsTDsDOFP
Jalen Hurts453030157232.8

A stat line like this combined with Hurts amazingly affordable salary of just over $1.5 million makes him my Week 6 Thursday Night Football Value of the Game.

Thank you all, and I will see you next week.  Take care and be safe.

TheJerk

Week 5 Recap: Comebacks

By Steven Van Tassell (@SteveVT33)

This article had been titled even before Lamar Jackson led the Baltimore Ravens to a 31-25 comeback victory over the Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night Football. However, the fact that Week 5 in the NFL was about comebacks crystallized after that game. It was also about kickers missing kicks, but I didn’t think most people would want to read an entire recap article with a kicker based theme.

Besides the Ravens comeback on Monday night, the Vikings, Eagles, Patriots and Chargers were all behind late in the fourth quarter but secured victories. Not all of the comebacks had clutch scoring events and players receiving the Dynasty Owner 3-point clutch scoring bonus, but several of them did and boosted the score for their Dynasty Owners.

In addition to Week 5 game comebacks, we had a few players who came back and did well after poor performances in Week 4. The G.O.A.T. Tom Brady and Myles Gaskin did extremely well just one week after being listed in the Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad section of the Week 4 recap.

With Lamar Jackson and Mark Andrews scoring so many points on Monday Night Football, there were likely more than a few Dynasty Owners who won their games after thinking they were going to lose. One friend of mine looked to be a sure loser in his non-Dynasty Owner game going into the fourth quarter on Monday night, but ended up winning by double-digits because he had Andrews, who scored 2 TDs and 2 2-pt conversions in the fourth quarter along, as his TE. One of the match-ups featured in the Monday Night preview article was in my beta league and it was expected to be close as Belichick’s Hoodies had Lamar Jackson on his Bench and was up by just over one point against VIP Club Dub who had Justin Tucker in his Starting lineup. In the end, Belichick’s Hoodies won what was expected to be a close game by over 14.5 points. In that same league, one of our other writers Matt (@dynastyjerk) with his team The Jerk was losing his game by nearly 40.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points coming into Monday Night Football. He still had Mark Andrews in his Starting lineup, but probably wasn’t too optimistic about his chances. Andrews ended up with 41.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and The Jerk won by 2.25 points. Now, that’s a comeback!

Did any Dynasty Owners have a more incredible comeback than The Jerk? Or was your team sweating out a close game before the fourth quarter on Monday night, but ended up winning by a lot? Let me know on Twitter (@SteveVT33) and I’ll retweet it so other Dynasty Owners can revel in your glorious victory.

All stats cited are based on the Standard Dynasty Owner scoring system as outlined in the updated Dynasty Owner Constitution. Standard Dynasty Owner scoring gives you .1 points for every yard rushing or receiving, .1 point for every 2 yards passing, 1 point per reception, 6 points for a rushing, receiving or passing touchdown and 2 points for a successful 2-point conversion (rushing, receiving, or passing). Interceptions or fumbles lost cost you 3 points, while a fumble that is recovered by the player’s team is a loss of only 1 point. Bonus points are available for 100-199 yards rushing (2 points), 200 yards rushing or receiving (6 points), 300-399 yards passing (1 point) and 400 yards passing (4 points). There is also a 3 point bonus for clutch scoring, which is a score that results in a lead change in the final two minutes of the 4th quarter or overtime. Kickoff and punt return touchdowns are worth 6 points for the player and kickoff and punt returns are worth 1 point for every 40 yards.

Standard Dynasty Owner scoring for kickers gives you 1 point for every extra point, while a missed extra point will cost you 1 point. It’s 2 points for a field goal of between 0 and 39 yards, 4 points for a field goal between 40 and 49 yards and 5 points for a field goal of 50 yards or longer. A missed field goal of between 0 and 39 yards will cost you 3 points, while a miss of 40 yards or more is a loss of 2 points.

For the purposes of this article, ADP and Dynasty Owner rostered percentage statistics were current as of the morning of October 12th.

Dynasty Owner Player of the Week

Our fourth Dynasty Owner Player of the Week for 2021 is the player behind one of the best comebacks of the week: Lamar Jackson

As the top scorer in Dynasty Owner in 2019, Lamar Jackson was the Player of the Year, as well as winning the individual weekly award in Week 12 and splitting it with Jameis Winston in Week 15, which were the playoff semi-finals, as in 2019, there were only two rounds of playoff games, not three. Three is also the number of players who have scored more than 60.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in a single game so far. Jackson had 60.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (442 passing yards, 4 passing TDs, 63 rushing yards, 2 2-pt conversions, 1 fumble – lost), which only trails Tyreek Hill’s 63.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance in Week 12 of the 2020 season and Aaron Rodgers’ 62.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance in Week 7 of the 2019 season. This performance pushed Jackson into the QB3 spot for the 2021 season, a comeback from his disappointing QB11 finish in 2020.

Week 5 Points: 60.4

2021 Salary: $2,367,912

Cost per Point: $39,204

Congratulations Lamar on winning your third overall Dynasty Owner Player of the Week honor and the first one since the 2019 season.

Honorable mention to the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady and Justin Herbert who were set to split the Player of the Week honor until Jackson’s heroics on Monday night. Both had 55.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, which is usually plenty to win the honor. Brady had 411 passing yards, 5 passing TDs and 13 rushing yards in his comeback after being included as a Player Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad last week, while Herbert had 398 passing yards, 4 passing TDs, 29 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD and 1 2-pt conversion as the Chargers scored 12 points in the final five minutes of the fourth quarter to come back and defeat Cleveland by a score of 47-42. Herbert has also come back from two below average games at the beginning of the year (17.7 and 19.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). If Brady or Herbert had scored this many points in Weeks 1-4, they would have easily been the Player of the Week, but not so in Week 5.

Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week

Because this is Dynasty Owner and we’re all looking for value from the players on our roster, we also have the Value Player of the Week. The fifth Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week for the 2021 season is: Myles Gaskin

His salary as a seventh round draft pick in 2019 is perfectly suited to being a regular winner of the Value Player of the Week honor, however, Myles Gaskin has only one Value Player of the Week honor to his credit. That came at a very good time for his Dynasty Owners as he did it in the Dynasty Owner playoff finale (Week 16) of the 2020 season with two receiving TDs and 33.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. This week, Gaskin had the second two receiving TD game of his career with 31.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (25 rushing yards, 10 receptions, 74 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs). While his salary is perfectly suited to winning this award, after his 0.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy point performance in Week 4 (3 rushing yards on two carries), his Dynasty Owners may not have been expecting a complete reversal in usage and production in Week 5.

Week 5 Points: 31.9

2021 Salary: $651,694

Cost per Point: $20,429

Congratulations Myles on winning the first regular season Dynasty Owner Value Player of the Week honor of your career and second one overall.

Honorable mention this week to another member of the comeback Ravens team, Mark Andrews who scored 41.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (11 receptions, 147 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs, 2 2-pt conversions) on Monday night. While Andrews had 9.8 more Dynasty Owner fantasy points, Gaskin was still more valuable due to his lower salary ($651,694 for Gaskin compared to $863,290 for Andrews). Gaskin had a cost per point value of $20,429, while Andrews’ was only $273 higher at $20,702 per point. Similar to Brady and Herbert, Andrews’ performance would have been good enough to win Value Player of the Week in any other week so far this season. With Andrews due to make $14 million per season starting in 2023, time is running out for him to win his first Value Player of the Week award.

Players Who Should Have Been Starters This Week

Next, we look at those players who should have been one of your Starters based on their performance in Week 5. We aren’t going to write that you should have started Derrick Henry or Davante Adams because barring injury or bye week, both of them should always be in your Starting lineup. Instead, these are players who might normally be on your Bench or Practice Squad (or even not on many Dynasty Owner rosters), but likely weren’t Starters in Week 5 when they should have been.

QB: Davis Mills (HOU) – 34.8 points

After one of the worst games in Dynasty Owner history last week, Davis Mills had quite the comeback in Week 5. Last week, Mills scored -8.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (87 passing yards, 4 INTs, 2 rushing yards, 1 fumble) in the Texans’ 40-0 loss to the Buffalo Bills. This performance was eerily similar to the one turned in by Jets QB Sam Darnold in the infamous “Ghost Game” on Monday Night football in 2019 against the New England Patriots. The Jets lost that game 33-0 and Darnold scored -10.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (86 passing yards, 4 INTs, -1 rushing yard, 1 fumble – lost). Darnold bounced back the next week with a better, but still below average game (12.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points), while Mills scored far more points after just the first half alone (22.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points – 202 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 2 rushing yards). Mills finished the game with 34.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points overall (312 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 2 rushing yards), but despite his efforts, the Texans lost 25-22 to New England. This performance made Mills a Top 5 QB for Week 5 and someone who should have been in your Starting lineup.

RB: Devontae Booker (NYG) – 20.8 points

As Saquon Barkley got healthier, the percentage of snaps given to his backup Devontae Booker had declined. In Week 1, it was close to an even split (24 for Booker versus 29 for Barkley). However, in Weeks 2 through 4, Barkley was on the field for over 80% of the Giants’ snaps on offense (58 snaps, or 84% in Week 2; 60 snaps, or 86% in Week 3; and 56 snaps, or 89% in Week 4). Booker was even inactive in Week 3 after getting only 10 snaps in on offense in Week 2. He was back in Week 4, but only got in for 7 offensive snaps. However, after Saquon Barkley rolled his ankle after playing only six plays on offense in Week 5, Booker was back on the field for 60 snaps, or 88% of the Giants’ offensive snaps. He parlayed those snaps into 20.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (42 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD, 3 receptions, 16 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD).  If his Dynasty Owners had known this was going to happen, they would have put him in their Starting lineups.

WR: Kadarius Toney (NYG) – 29.6 points

The New York Giants had three key injuries in Week 5 (QB Daniel Jones, RB Saquon Barkley and WR Kenny Golladay). As I wrote above, Booker made the most of his opportunity, but he wasn’t the only one. The Giants’ #1 draft pick in 2021, Kadarius Toney, did so as well with Golladay out. One week after scoring a completely unexpected 13.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the Giants’ comeback victory against New Orleans, Toney was the team’s leading receiver against the Cowboys as well. Toney improved upon his Week 4 performance with 29.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (10 receptions, 189 receiving yards, 7 rushing yards). Toney was the fourth WR drafted in the 2021 NFL draft, but just the eighth rookie WR taken in Dynasty Owner start-up drafts (ADP 144.6) and tied for eighth in rookie draft ADP (20.8). With his low Dynasty Owner draft capital, it wouldn’t be a surprise if few Dynasty Owners had Toney in their Starting lineup, even after last week’s performance. They should have put him in their Week 5 Starting lineups and taken full advantage of all of the points that he scored.

TE: David Njoku (CLE) – 27.9 points

For the second week in a row, a TE from an Ohio team who makes over $6 million per season is in this spot. Last week, it was C.J. Uzomah from Cincinnati who came from out of nowhere to score 26.5 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and this week, it’s David Njoku from Cleveland who did the comeback from the depth of the TE position to score 27.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (7 receptions, 149 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD). He set his own personal career best in Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week and had more points than he did in the previous four weeks combined (18.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). It was also the first game of his NFL career in which he had more than 100 receiving yards. After his big performance in Week 4, Uzomah saw his roster percentage grow from 0.6% up to 13%. Njoku was on more rosters (23.1%) at the start of Week 5 than Uzomah, but we’ll see if everyone who had salary cap room spent it all on Uzomah or if any other Dynasty Owners can afford to add Njoku to their rosters in advance of Week 6. Regardless, Njoku was likely not in many Dynasty Owner Starting lineups this week when he should have been.

K: Nick Folk (NE) – 17.0 points

New England kicker Nick Folk started off the season on the Patriots practice squad, but has kicked in all of the team’s regular season games. It would be a comeback, but probably more like Bill Belichick working the NFL salary cap to reduce Folk’s salary by $550,000. Folk was supposed to make $1.625 million in salary this season, but now only makes $1.075 million since signing off the practice squad to the active roster. Dynasty Owners with Folk on their team aren’t complaining as it saved them $550,000 in salary cap room too. And they aren’t complaining with Folk’s performance this season, especially what he did in Week 5. He scored 17.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points with four FGs of varying lengths (32 yards, 52 yards, another 52 yarder and a clutch 21 yard FG with 15 seconds left in the game). He did miss one of two PAT attempts, or he would have scored more points. As the #11 ranked kicker entering Week 5, Folk was by no means a guaranteed Starter for his Dynasty Owners. Hopefully they had him in their Starting lineup (unlike me) and took full advantage of all of the points that he provided their team.

Players Who Should Have Been on the Bench or Practice Squad

For every player who should have been in your Starting lineup but wasn’t, we have at least one highly drafted or highly ranked player who probably was in your Starting lineup, but would have been better left on your Bench or Practice Squad. Here are some likely Starters who scored very few, none or negative Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week, so they should have spent Week 5 riding your Dynasty Owner Bench or hanging out on the Practice Squad.

QB: Sam Darnold (CAR) – 6.8 points

Daniel Jones was my pick for the QB to leave on your Bench this week, but I could have just as easily picked Sam Darnold and written the same words about just waiting for him to rip the heart out of all of his believers eventually. It was bound to happen, and it finally did for both players in Week 5. Jones can be forgiven as his 5.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy point day was over before halftime due to a concussion, but Darnold played the whole game against Philadelphia and was only able to score one more point. Darnold had only 6.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (177 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 10 rushing yards, 3 INTs). It wasn’t as bad as the infamous “Ghost Game”, but it wasn’t what his Dynasty Owners had come to expect so far in his comeback season with Carolina. Darnold shouldn’t have been in your Starting lineup this week even though he was ranked in the Top 12 QBs in Dynasty Owner before the week started. Now that he has fallen down to QB16, he shouldn’t be seen as mainstay in your Starting lineup anymore.

RB: Chase Edmonds (ARI) – 3.4 points

There were plenty of possible RBs who might have been a Starter for your Dynasty Owner team in the second RB or FLEX spot this week who did worse than Edmonds, but none of them (Kenyan Drake, Nyheim Hines, J.D. McKissic, Trey Sermon and Devin Singletary) were guaranteed to be in your Starting lineup. In contrast, Chase Edmonds should have been as he had scored an average of 15.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points per game in Weeks 1-4 with a low of 12.5 points in Week 2. He was the one Arizona skill position player other than QB Kyler Murray to not have a bad week so far this season. That ended in Week 5 as Edmonds only produced 3.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (15 rushing yards, 3 receptions, 19 receiving yards, 1 fumble lost). For the first time this season, Dynasty Owners with Edmonds on their team should have put him on the Bench.

WR: Marvin Jones (JAC) – 3.5 points

With fellow WR D.J. Chark out for the season, it seemed like the stock of both Marvin Jones and Laviska Shenault had gone up in fantasy football even as the drama in Jacksonville with Head Coach Urban Meyer raged on. It turns out that two Jacksonville WRs did benefit from Chark’s season ending injury, but their names are Tavon Austin and Jamal Agnew. Jones was projected to score 15.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and was averaging 13.45 points per game through the first four weeks of the season, but ended up with just 3.5 points (1 reception for 25 yards). Both Austin and Agnew plus TEs Dan Arnold and Jacob Hollister, as well as Shenault who had 6.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (1 reception for 58 yards), had more Dynasty Owner fantasy points this week than Jones did. Jones hadn’t scored that few points and been as worthy to be on your Bench since Week 6 of the 2020 season when he was on the Detroit Lions.

TE: T.J. Hockenson (DET) – 4.2 points

This is Hockenson’s second appearance here, which is probably not fair to him, but he is one of the few TEs who Dynasty Owners should have felt comfortable plugging into their Starting lineup on a weekly basis without regard to his team’s opponent. That was especially true after he scored over 20.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the first two weeks of the 2021 season (23.7 points in Week 1 and 20.6 points in Week 2). Since then, he’s come back to earth with three straight subpar performances (3.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 3, followed by 8.2 points in Week 4 and this week’s 4.2 points). Hockenson was only targeted three times and caught two of those passes with a total of 22 receiving yards. With injuries taking their toll on some of the middle of the pack TEs (Logan Thomas and Maxx Williams) plus one of the elite (George Kittle), Dynasty Owners with Hockenson on their roster are going to need solid week-to-week performances from a player who they drafted (ADP 50.5) to be in their Starting lineup every week. Unfortunately for them, this wasn’t a good week to have him there.

K: Evan McPherson (CIN) – -2.0 points

Evan McPherson was the only kicker taken in the 2021 NFL draft. Cincinnati used the 5th pick of the 5th round (pick #149 overall) on the Florida kicker. Dynasty Owners liked the new Cincinnati kicker enough that he was selected in rookie drafts with generally a mid-third round pick (ADP 30.4). He was the ninth kicker drafted, on average, in Dynasty Owner start-up drafts with an ADP of 197.9. Dynasty Owners who drafted McPherson had to have been happy after the first four weeks of the season as he was the #8 kicker in Dynasty Owner with 33.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and only one missed kick (a 43-yard FG attempt in Week 4 versus Jacksonville). At a salary of just under $1 million ($955,928), he was likely in plenty of Starting lineups this week as the Bengals faced off against the Green Bay Packers. He shouldn’t have been as he missed two FGs (a 57-yarder with less than a minute to go in the fourth quarter and a 49-yarder in overtime). He did make both of his PAT attempts, but the misses cost him 4.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points to leave his Dynasty Owners with -2.0 points from him this week.

Dishonorable mention to Matthew Wright of the Jacksonville Jaguars who continued the Jaguars’ kickers “perfect” record of missing FGs by hitting the crossbar with a 53 yard FG attempt. Wright also missed one of two PAT attempts and finished Week 5 with -2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (FG miss from 53 yards and 1 of 2 on PATs). Jacksonville kickers have scored a combined -2.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points this season (1 missed FG of 40-49 yards, 3 missed FGs of 50+ yards and 9 out of 12 on PAT attempts). Despite a salary of only $780,000, very few Dynasty Owners picked up Wright after he was signed by Jacksonville to replace Josh Lambo. Wright was rostered in only 2.4% of Dynasty Owner leagues last week. Wright has a total of 1.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy point, which makes him the better of the two Jaguars’ kickers this season with Josh Lambo having scored -3.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Hopefully none of the few Dynasty Owners with Wright on their roster had him in their Starting lineup, or will have any Jacksonville kicker there until one of them can make a FG.

Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week Recap – Miami Crypt Keepers vs. The UnderDawgs

No comeback for The UnderDawgs on Monday Night Football. It probably wasn’t very realistic as they needed around 70.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points from Nyheim Hines to win since he was on their Bench and the Dynasty Owner single game record is 63.9. Instead, Hines only got 2.6 points and The UnderDawgs fell well short of a comeback victory.

Miami Crypt Keepers were a well-balanced team with six players in their Starting lineup chipping in at least a dozen points, led by Derrick Henry who had 33.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. In contrast, The UnderDawgs had Tom Brady and Austin Ekeler combine for 86.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points and the rest of their Starting lineup only score in the single digits for a combined 31.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. The victory keeps Miami Crypt Keepers undefeated and in first place in the League #59074 standings, while The Underdawgs stay in second place and their record drops to 4-1 on the season.

Miami Crypt Keepers won the Match-up of the Week, but lost their spot on the Chase for the Ring leaderboard with a below average performance this week. They dropped from 11th place down to 55th place. There is still plenty of time left in the season for them to make a comeback, return to the Leaderboard and maybe even capture the Ring.

Chase for the Ring Leaderboard

The current Chase for the Ring leaderboard features several new teams with three teams in the Top 10 after being completely out of the Top 25 just a week ago:

SKOL Vikings are now in first and sixth place in the Chase for the Ring. They were in third and fifth place last week. The team in first place now from League #31927 scored a whopping 242.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, while the League #31831 team in sixth place had “only” 195.7 points. Last week, The Road Warriors had a 30.6 point lead, but now they are in second place and trail SKOL Vikings by 11.8 points. Thee Camel Toe Jockey had 223.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in Week 5 to move three spots up from sixth place to third.

As mentioned earlier, there are a few newcomers to the Top 10 this week with the teams currently in sixth place (Mizzou Mafia Bosses), ninth place (Rimmerworld Smegheads) and tenth place (Joeyjet53) not even in the Top 25 last week. Mizzou Mafia Bosses is also one of only three undefeated Top 10 teams left at 5-0.

Conclusions

Did either your favorite NFL or Dynasty Owner team mount a comeback this week? The Patriots did for me, but my three Dynasty Owner teams that were behind after the Sunday Night Football game were all too far behind to reasonably comeback to win. Even the one with Mark Andrews was too far behind. Shout out to Big Grizz in League #76065 who defeated that team of mine and sits in first place in the standings with the same record as Team Polian, but more points scored. Hopefully when some of the many players who are on Injured Reserve come back, my teams will start winning again.

Don’t worry if your team didn’t mount a comeback in Week 5. Hopefully they won and your Dynasty Owner team (or teams if you’re in multiple leagues) is in position to make the playoffs and a run for your League Championship. Congrats if they are and even if they aren’t, don’t give up just yet.

There’s plenty of great Dynasty Owner content coming out this week to check out. The Free Agent Auction targets article and video by Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl) was published on Tuesday. Hopefully you read it and watched the video to help you decide who to bid on and then you won those bids. Matt Morrison – The Jerk had his article and video get posted as well for his Incredibly True Stats by position series. Matt will be back with his Thursday Night Football preview on Thursday afternoon to set the tone for Week 6. Finally on Friday, I’m back with an article and video that will preview the rest of the Week 6 slate of games. I’ll also have another exciting Dynasty Owner Match-up of the Week and see how my Week 5 recommendations fared.

Please read all of our articles, watch our videos on YouTube or listen to them wherever you get your podcasts. Don’t forget follow all three of us plus Dynasty Owner on Twitter as well. Thanks, and have a great day!

Steven Van Tassell is the Head of Content for Dynasty Owner

Follow us on Twitter: @SteveVT33 and @Dynasty_Owner

Incredibly True Statistics – Wide Receivers

By Matt Morrison (@dynastyjerk)

Week 5 is history. It’s officially in the books. With the conclusion of it, we have a single undefeated team remaining, and a single winless team remaining in each conference.

The undefeated team comes from the best conference (speaking in terms of wins), and it is the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals won a close, defensive game against the San Francisco 49ers last week. The 1972 Dolphins will have to put away the champagne for now and wait at least one more week to ensure their undefeated record remains intact.

On the other hand, the Jacksonville Jaguars (as well as the Detroit Lions) remain winless. The Jags lost by 18 in a game that felt closer than that up until the end. The Jags defense continues to be one of the worst in the league as they allowed 37 points and multiple touchdowns to Derrick Henry. At this point, there doesn’t seem to be any reason to think the Jags won’t get the 1st overall pick for the second consecutive year.

Today, I’m going to be continuing my “Incredibly True Statistics” articles. I will be writing about a few wide receivers that have some baffling stats as we are close to a third of the way through the season. Let’s do it…

Incredibly True Statistics

There are a plethora of wide receivers I could talk about for this article. It’s no surprise that’s the case either. Wide receiver is the deepest position in fantasy football as teams often have at least two relevant players for that position. I’m going to limit my ramblings down to three players today, and at the end I’ll give a list of players that deserve mentioning but not necessarily a full write up on.

Mike Williams

“Wow!”  What else can I say about what Williams has done this year. He is currently tied as the WR1 in Dynasty Owner with Cooper Kupp. He has 119.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points (DOFP) which is good for 23.82 points per game. What’s also impressive is the fact that he went for more than 36.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in two of his five games. He leads all wide receivers in the NFL with 6 touchdowns. He is also Top 5 in targets and yards.

This is an incredibly hot start to the 2021 season especially for a player who had so much potential coming out of college. Mike Williams was selected 7th overall in the 2017 NFL draft, but he was the second wide receiver selected. Who was the first?  Williams has also dealt with injuries more than an average wide receiver has. I knew he had the talent and build to be the number one wide receiver, but I didn’t think we would ever see it. If you own him and were able to survive his $15,680,000 salary, then you are reaping the benefits right now. While I don’t expect Williams to finish the season as the WR1, he, without question, needs to be started for the rest of the season.

Marquise Brown

Hollywood Brown comes into Week 6 as the WR6. Brown is a player who was given up on over the past couple of years.  Dynasty Owners were definitely frustrated with his lack of production in 2019 and the first half of the 2020 season. It’s not that his fantasy finishes were all that bad, but rather that he was wildly inconsistent. For example:

In 2020, Brown had six games with less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. Five of those games were in the first half of the season. A similar trend was present in 2019 where Brown had eight games with less than 10.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points.

In addition to being inconsistent, it never seemed like the “Boom Potential” was there for Brown. In 2020, his highest scoring game in Dynasty Owner was 21.1 points, and that occurred in Week 17, so it didn’t help you. Not a great stat for a player who busted 38% of the time.

Well, through the first five games of 2021, Brown seems to have broken that trend. He has 106.6 Dynasty Owner fantasy points or an average of 21.3 fantasy points per game. He did have one bust game of 8.3 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, but the rest have been over 19.0 points. It also seems like he is doing this very quietly. I haven’t heard much buzz about Brown for what he is doing. Brown is a Top 10 wide receiver with a salary that’s less than 3 million dollars per year. If he keeps this up, he’s starting to sound like a Value of the Year candidate.

Ja’Marr Chase

Chase ($7,547,410) is the WR8 five games through the NFL season.  He has 98.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points for an average of 19.7 points per game. I’ll be the first to admit that I missed the train on Chase at least for this year. I did not draft him in any of my leagues including Dynasty Owner. It’s not necessarily that I was down on him as a player, but I thought the average draft price he was going at was not reflective of where he would finish at the conclusion of the season. Well, five games through the season he has returned more value than where he was being drafted. A 4th or 5th round pick in a redraft league would be a great value if you knew what he was going to do in the first third of the season. Likewise, a middle of the first round pick in Dynasty Owner rookie drafts was great value as well. He was the first wide receiver off the board in most Dynasty Owner rookie drafts (ADP 4.4), and we are seeing that translate to NFL production.

Of all wide receivers with 20 or more catches, Chase ranks first in yards per reception at 19.8.  The big plays have certainly been there for Chase. Of his five touchdowns, four were over 30 yards. Two of them were 50 yards or more, and one was 70 yards. Like I said, the big plays have been there for Chase. I didn’t expect him to break out this early. Hell, not even Justin Jefferson broke out this early in 2020. Speaking of Jefferson, let’s do an in-depth comparison of these two great wide receivers. Here are Jefferson and Chase’s first five NFL games compared to each other…

 ReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Justin Jefferson19371162.1
Ja’Marr Chase23456598.4

It’s easy to see that Chase has been much better in his first five NFL games when compared to Jefferson. Obviously this doesn’t tell the whole story, but it does give you an idea of how truly special Chase’s rookie season could be. Let’s compare Chase’s five game average with Jefferson’s entire 2020 season…

 ReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Justin Jefferson881,4007273.2
Ja’Marr Chase741,45916314.9

This is what Chase would do over a 16 game season if he kept up his current production. Yes, I know the NFL season is now 17 games, but I didn’t want to compare a 16 game season to a 17 game season, so I just simplified Chase’s projection to 16 games.

Obviously, I don’t project Chase to finish his rookie season with 16 touchdowns or 314.9 fantasy points, but it does make you think, “What if?”

Honorable Mentions

Deebo Samuel ($1,811,869) [WR5]

DeAndre Hopkins ($27,250,000) [WR16]

Stefon Diggs ($14,400,000) [WR27]

Please tune in next week as I wrap up my “Incredibly True Statistics” theme. As always, thank you for reading and continuing to support Dynasty Owner. Message me on Twitter (@dynastyjerk) and let me know if you have any questions or concerns. I would appreciate it if you followed @Dynasty_Owner on Twitter as well as subscribed to Dynasty Owner on YouTube. Take care everyone and be safe.

TheJerk

Free Agent Auction Targets – Week 6

By: Jay Pounds (@JayPoundsNFL)

Welcome back to another week of the Dynasty Owner Free Agent Auction preview. The chance to grab talent in the Free Agent Auction is drying up quick and you must get the players you want now. Before we get into the available free agents, we have Jay’s weekly recap for the 5th week of the NFL season.

The Steelers and Big Ben bounced back in a big way scoring 27 points on a very good Denver defense. The Seahawks playoff chances took a serious hit with Russell Wilson set to be out until at least Week 10. Can Geno Smith weather the storm? The Jets are still the Jets as things continue to look ugly for the guys in green. Kyle Pitts had his first big game as a rookie for the Atlanta Falcons with Calvin Ridley out for the week. The Bengals and Packers combined to miss five potential go ahead field goals before Mason Crosby nailed the game winner in overtime. My biggest take away from that game is how well the Bengals have played to start the season. Jalen Hurts led the Eagles to a comeback win against the Panthers, but even after winning the Philly franchise cannot feel the best about Hurts as their franchise QB. The Texans are playing extremely hard for new coach David Culley and may have found an answer at quarterback despite all the Deshaun Watson drama. The Jaguars will likely be looking for a new coach after this season with Trevor Lawrence underperforming significantly and an 0-5 start in Jacksonville. The Lions lost another tough heartbreaker but even after an 0-5 start, I love the direction Dan Campbell has the Lions going in moving forward. Tom Brady put it on the Dolphins throwing for 5 touchdowns after getting a new wheel put on his walker the night before the game. The Bears struggled at times against the Raiders but seem to have found their franchise QB in Justin Fields after he led the team to another win. The Cardinals are Super Bowl contenders after finding a way to beat San Francisco despite Kyler Murray not having a great performance. The Giants without Daniel Jones proved to be no match for the Cowboys surging defense. The only thing good that came out of this game after losing Saquon Barkley, Kenny Golladay, and Jones to injury was Kadarius Toney bursting onto the NFL scene. The Chiefs struggles on defense continued as they lost a key AFC matchup to Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills on Sunday night. Lamar Jackson threw for a career high 442 yards in a magnificent comeback win over the Colts on Monday Night Football. At last, that leaves us with Baker Mayfield and the Browns. The Browns and Mayfield played a great game but, in my opinion, it was more of the same. The one thing I want to see from Mayfield is him learning how to win games he shouldn’t, similar to Lamar Jackson against the Colts last night.

Alright Dynasty Owners, we are back with another week of trying to find a diamond in the rough with the Free Agent Auction targets. The free agent articles/videos will be dropping every Tuesday afternoon in advance of when bids process on Wednesday at 5 AM and will consist of the week’s Top 5 free agent adds. I will do my best to keep the players listed at an ownership percentage of 65% or less and make sure all players have contracts of $8,000,000 or less, with most players coming in at under $4,000,000. One last note, in Dynasty Owner you will be credited each week with 25% of your entire Bench’s score making these weekly free agent pick-ups extremely important to help boost your total weekly score.

On to the top targets for Week 6:

  1. Geno Smith (QB – SEA) – 1 year/$1,212,500 – 1.8% Rostered

The Seahawks playoff chances took a massive blow on Sunday when Russell Wilson injured a finger on his throwing hand paving the way for Geno Smith to see the field. Smith filled in well for Seattle’s superstar quarterback finishing the game with 10 completions on 17 attempts, 131 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and the game ending interception, though the pick was not his fault. As I always say quarterbacks are Dynasty Owner gold especially when they have a salary in the same range as Geno Smith. If you lost Wilson, over the weekend Smith is the perfect guy for your roster.

  • David Njoku (TE – CLE) – 1 year/$6,013,000 – 23.1% Rostered

David Njoku may finally be happy with his place in the Browns organization after Sunday. Njoku exploded against the Chargers, and I believe it would behoove the Browns to play him over the other tight ends on the roster because of his playmaking ability. Njoku’s athleticism was fully on display Sunday evening as he posted a stat line of 7 catches for 149 yards and a touchdown scoring an impressive 27.9 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. If Sunday happens to be a rare occurrence for Njoku, no worries you will not be on the hook for him after this season with him only having one year left remaining on his current contract.

  • Kendrick Bourne (WR – NE) – 3 years/$5,000,000 – 32.5% Rostered

Kendrick Bourne was a player I considered in last week’s article, but I wanted to see a little more from him on the field before recommending him. In Week 5, Bourne did not have the best week finishing with 3 catches for 26 yards plus 12 rushing yards, but aside from Hunter Henry the entire Patriots offense seemed to struggle in the win. In the weeks prior to the Texans game, Bourne had solid performances in back-to-back games with a combined stat line of 11 receptions, 154 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD (32.4 Dynasty Owner fantasy points). Expect Bourne to have some up and down weeks on your Bench but he is worth a look.

  • Rashard Higgins (WR – CLE) – 1 year/$2,377,500 – 42.0% Rostered

A few weeks back I had Rashard Higgins in a Free Agent Auction article and while he has not quite produced like I had hoped, here we are again. Odell Beckham Jr has struggled to say the least since his return from injury and I am not particularly sure he is even close to 100% just yet. While this is not good news for the Browns, it is good news for Hollywood Higgins. Donovan Peoples-Jones led the Browns WRs with 6 targets, while Higgins finished with 5. At some point, the Browns are going to need to depend on their WRs and Higgins has a great shot to be the safety net for Baker Mayfield, especially while Jarvis Landry is out.

  • Ricky Seals-Jones (TE – WAS) – 1 year/$990,000 – 35.5% Rostered

While I hate putting two tight ends in these articles, I am not sure anyone else makes more sense, plus I wanted to give you a cheaper option at the position than Njoku. If you are a cap strapped Logan Thomas owner like me, you may end up needing to go this route versus taking a shot on David Njoku. In Week 5, the Football Team struggled on offense, but Seals-Jones still saw 8 targets catching 5 of them for 41 yards for 9.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points. If the Washington offense continues to get their tight ends involved often it will give Seals-Jones a shot to be productive in place of Thomas.

Conclusion

Please do not forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly Tuesday recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you for reading and as always good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!

Monday Night Football Preview: Week 5

Colts vs Ravens

By: Jay Pounds (@jaypoundsnfl)

Welcome back to another edition of Dynasty Owner’s Monday Night Football preview. If I am being honest when I looked at the schedule, I was extremely disappointed it was not the Chiefs vs Bills game, though I would have missed on Dawson Knox being the Value of the Game if it had been. Last week, we had the Raiders vs Chargers, and I did not miss on the Value of the Game with Mr. Third and Renfrow (Hunter Renfrow) himself snagging a touchdown and helping me nail my Value of the Game pick. Renfrow finished last Monday night’s contest with a stat line of 6 receptions for 45 receiving yards and a TD (plus 22 return yards and a fumble) for 16.1 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, while I had him pegged for 5 receptions for 62 receiving yards and a TD, scoring 17.2 Dynasty Owner fantasy points in the showdown against the Chargers. You read that right folks, Hunter Renfrow has a place in Dynasty Owner as one of the cheapest, most reliable options in all of football. Renfrow finished with a very similar stat line again in Week 5 catching 6 passes for 56 yards but was unable to find the end zone. I don’t know about you but in my eyes Renfrow is a perfect player to place on your Bench and forget about him all season long, except on bye weeks of course.

What to Watch For

It’s Monday nighttime folks and in tonight’s game, we have the Indianapolis Colts facing off against the Baltimore Ravens. In this contest there will be two major things I am watching for with none being more important than Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore run game. Since the beginning of the season, we have seen Lamar put the Ravens on his back and carry them to a 3-1 record with a shot at sole possession of first place in the AFC North through five weeks of play. Jackson has been great thus far through the air which has to be a welcoming sign in Baltimore, but I feel the most important factor of Jackson’s game this season has been his legs and the timely plays he has created because of his uncanny rushing ability. If Jackson can get going the way he has most of this season, we will be looking at a Baltimore victory. The second major thing I will be looking at in this game is the Colts offense as a whole.  The Colts have struggled badly on offense through the first four weeks of the season, and it has led them to a 1-3 record. Can Carson Wentz overcome two sprained ankles? Now that I am thinking about it, is there any other explanation for two bad ankles aside from playing pickup basketball against Allen Iverson? If the Colts want to have any chance at winning this game, they will need a huge performance out of Jonathan Taylor.

Jay’s Monday Night Prediction

 
Indianapolis Colts 17    Baltimore Ravens 24

Over/Under Projections

Colts

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Carson WentzQB$32,000,00021.4Under
Jonathan TaylorRB$1,957,28714.7Over
Michael PittmanWR$2,153,21212.1Over
Zach PascalWR$3,384,0003.6Over
Mo Alie-CoxTE$3,384,0004.6Under

Ravens

PlayerPositionSalaryProjected PointsOver/Under
Lamar JacksonQB$2,367,91227.9Over
Latavius MurrayRB$1,075,00010.7Under
Marquise BrownWR$2,946,83514.2Under
Sammy WatkinsWR$5,000,00011.8Over
Mark AndrewsTE$863,29013.8Over

Jay’s Dynasty Owner Games of the Week

Each week I will pick two games that are close in score and will likely be decided during Monday Night Football. If you happen to find yourself in this situation on Sunday night, please get ahold of me on Twitter (@jaypoundsnfl) and I will gladly feature your game here.

Game 2 – League #27483 (Beta League 3)

Belichick’s Hoodies – Lamar Jackson on Bench left to play

Another week, another team counting on Bench points to win. Belichick’s Hoodies had a solid week led by the ageless wonder Tom Brady and his 55.8 Dynasty Owner fantasy points scored in Week 5. Belichick’s Hoodies will need a solid performance all around from Jackson to win as his opponent has Jackson’s kicker Justin Tucker left to play in his Starting lineup. I know staring down the best kicker in NFL history can be daunting but have no fear, Bench points are here. I think Belichick’s Hoodies pulls this one out by roughly a point.

VIP Club Dub – Justin Tucker in Starting lineup left to play

VIP Club Dub must be somewhat upset heading into Monday night’s contest as they had a huge opportunity to go up big and secure an easy win with Patrick Mahomes playing last night against the Bills. Mahomes was only able to muster up 22.7 Dynasty Owner fantasy points which is not what you expect from a quarterback you are paying $45,000,000 per year, especially in a prime-time matchup. Even after a lackluster performance from Mahomes, VIP Club Dub has a chance to walk off Monday night on Justin Tucker’s leg, just as the Ravens have so many times.

Game 2 – League #28278

Donkey Punchers – Rodrigo Blankenship on Bench left to play

With a name like Donkey Punchers and a player name like Rodrigo Blankenship left to play, there is no way this Dynasty Owner loses their matchup! I am just kidding of course, but you have Jay’s Seal of Approval forever stamped on your kicker and team’s name. The projections show that Donkey Punchers are set to lose the matchup by almost 6.0 Dynasty Owner fantasy points, and I must agree with the projection gods on this one.

Landrys Saracens – Lamar Jackson in Starting lineup and Latavius Murray on Bench left to play

I really believe Lamar Jackson is quietly having a fantastic season and that will continue into tonight’s game. The Ravens have easily been one of the most beat up teams in football up to this point and Lamar has put his team on his back each week and just continues to win. Landrys Saracens also has Latavius Murray on his Bench, and it seems he is going to be the man in Baltimore’s backfield moving forward. Landrys Saracens sweats this game out, but ultimately pulls away in the end.

Value of the Game

As I mentioned earlier, I was able to hit on last week’s Value of the Game by picking the always consistent Hunter Renfrow. This week, I am going to go in a somewhat similar route and take someone most wouldn’t at this point in the season by selecting Mark Andrews as the Week 5 Value of the Game. Andrews has struggled this season to say the least, but I am expecting a bounce back week soon and just hoping it happens this week. The Ravens gave Andrews a massive deal a while back which means they have big plans for him moving forward. At this point, the team almost needs to go out of their way to get Andrews going and I expect to see it this week against a tough Colts defense. If Jackson and Andrews can get going, the Ravens could have a potent offense the rest of the way.

Winner – Mark Andrews

Jay’s Projected Stat LineReceptionsReceiving YardsTDsDOFP
Mark Andrews574118.4

Be sure to check out my Free Agent Auction article and video that will be released on Tuesday afternoon before Free Agent Auction bids are processed on Wednesday at 5 AM. Don’t forget about Steve Van Tassell’s weekly Tuesday recap article and Friday preview article and video, as well as Matt “The Jerk” Morrison’s Wednesday article and video plus his Thursday Night Football preview article. Don’t forget to check out Dynasty Owner on YouTube!

Thank you all for reading and hopefully tonight’s game will be a good one with all these projections coming true. Stay safe and good luck on your 2021 Chase for the Ring!